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https://mobile.twitter.com/ddayen/status/1552647629820989441 Joe Manchin and Chuck Schumer Have a Surprise for You --- never don't be Dayen-ing and Prospect-ing. A good article that's worth clicking through and reading in full. Some excerpts: quote:There is no such thing as a genuine surprise in Washington—usually. This was a genuine surprise. I had been talking to people this week who would or should have known that talks between Manchin and Schumer, thought to be moribund, were taking place. The closest I got to foreknowledge was one source saying that they just didn’t believe it. An army of reporters, lobbyists, and hangers-on didn’t know this was happening. what a prestige posted:The reveal was made a few hours after the Senate cleared the CHIPS and Science Act, a bill that offers semiconductor manufacturers subsidies for reshoring and boosts science programs. Mitch McConnell had threatened that bill, something highly cherished by Schumer, if Democrats persisted with a party-line bill that raised taxes and boosted clean energy. When Manchin walked away from negotiations with Schumer just two weeks ago over those two items, McConnell let his guard down and allowed a vote on CHIPS, which was popular with many of his Republican colleagues. Schumer and Manchin waited until that cleared the Senate before announcing a reconciliation deal with taxes and climate back in. A mixed bag on healthcare but one where sins are more of omission than commission quote:Now, all that said: What’s in the bill, and was it worth the agita? The health care piece has already been covered: extending the subsidies that make insurance affordable in the Affordable Care Act (for three years, beyond the end of this presidency, which is important), combined with an exceedingly modest drug price reform that still yields $288 billion in Medicare savings and more for individual seniors, is fine. The Democrats should find a way to get insulin back into the mix, rather than leaving it out so a bipartisan bill can fail. quote:The tax measures are simple. There’s a corporate alternative minimum tax for companies with more than $1 billion in annual profit. It’s based loosely on Elizabeth Warren’s book profits tax from the 2020 campaign, which derived profit from financial statements to investors, not deduction-heavy tax filings; however, it seems like some credits will be able to count against profits, meaning more savings for corporations. There’s also an $80 billion investment in the IRS that CBO believes will raise $124 billion in revenue on net (the Biden administration thinks it will be much higher), and a tweak, not a closure, of the carried interest loophole. I'm thrilled about the book tax (alternatively Corporate AMT), even with it being softened from the 2020 version. The big win from this is it's outside of the taxation ratchet scheme that's been killing tax revenue for a few decades (republicans get acclaim by cutting 10%. Dems raise 5%. Republicans cut by 15%. Dems raise 5%. And so on), and one where the populist messaging is so easy Manchin's already out there with it. The others represent minor wins and a failure to address lasting concerns. quote:As for the climate and energy measures, you will hear a lot that this is the largest climate action taken by the U.S. government in history. Those statements often tell you nothing, because it’s a “compared to what” scenario. On its own terms, this narrows energy investment from $550 billion in the initial Build Back Better Act to $369 billion, though a “climate bank” and “climate accelerator” could allow for another $290 billion in investment from the private sector. This is mostly achieved through scaling back the credits; included in that number is an “all of the above” energy strategy with incentives for fossil fuel production (with carbon capture), offshore oil and gas (with a larger royalty payment), biofuel production, and more. This was of course the only way to get Manchin’s buy-in, a trade of sustaining carbon emissions (hopefully slightly cleaner ones) for the green transition. Yay posted:Other things climate hawks have pointed out include $60 billion in environmental justice provisions (neighborhood block grants, along with port pollution reduction), manufacturing tax credits for renewables, energy efficiency subsidies, a methane leakage fee, and $5 billion in grants to utilities to decarbonize, as well as a direct-pay credit for public power facilities. Boo posted:I don’t have a full breakdown of how much of that $369 billion is for cleantech, but there are hundreds of billions enumerated in the topline summary, and that doesn’t include the electric-vehicle benefit, which is $4,500 for used vehicles and $7,500 for new ones, up to fixed income limits, and available at point of sale. The skeptical net posted:Overall, the claim is that the bill will reduce emissions by 40 percent by 2030. This is roughly four-fifths of what the original BBB did, though the money available is much lower than that. So seeing some independent modeling would be useful. The shoe to drop posted:Manchin also secured a promise from leadership for unspecified “permitting reform” by the end of September. (This is apparently mainly so the natural gas Mountain Valley Pipeline that runs through West Virginia can get approved.) Two final notes: Dayen acknowledges what I also noticed immediately on permits - Manchin is acting now for a future, unspecified promise...one that can be thwarted (or at least forced to rely on bipartisan passage) by a single progressive or a fraction of the house CPC. The dynamic should sound familiar - it's just that the sides are flipped. Secondly, there's an argument (Made months ago by Dayen, who earned his toldyouso) that a year+ was wasted pushing for the doomed BBB that was never going to pass. There is probably more to examine here on the merits of ambitious failure and who gets assigned the blame, but I lean towards the idea of passing this back 6-9-12 months ago would probably have put Dems in a better position than how things actually shook out. Part of an alternative case is that this is likely to be a situation where Dems do A Thing shortly before the election and that hasn't happened in a decade. The last bit that I still see sneaking under the radar is that this appears to be deficit reduction through increased revenue rather than slashed spending. I'm sure someone with a better legislative memory can tell me, but when was the last time a reconciliation bill was deficit-shrinking at this scale due to increased revenues rather than reduced spending? Not counting the magic asterik era of tax cut=revenue growth, of course.
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# ¿ Jul 28, 2022 16:41 |
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# ¿ May 9, 2024 22:19 |
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https://mobile.twitter.com/scottwongDC/status/1552734282325557248 The outcome was expected. That leadership couldn't enforce the whip after the appalling and undecorus acts by the Senate Dems, on the other hand...
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# ¿ Jul 28, 2022 20:56 |
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Racing Stripe posted:you really need to be skeptical of anyone saying that this must be big because the FBI’s ethical code and standards wouldn’t permit them to do such a thing frivolously. They are not above a fishing expedition, just like any other law enforcement agency. quote:Federal magistrate judges tend to require relatively thorough, specific, and well-documented applications, as opposed to state judges, who will generally sign a warrant that looks like something Gary Busey blew out of his nose after Fourth of July weekend. fakeedit: I see much of this was covered. Gumball Gumption posted:Retrial started today for the two ring leaders after the previous case deadlocked because of poor FBI work.
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# ¿ Aug 9, 2022 15:46 |
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Back on the raid specifically, I'm going to go through Marcy Wheeler (@emptywheel)'s latest blog post on the search. A brief note of context: Wheeler (a journalist and author with a deep history on the overlap between the intelligence community and the courts) has frequently made strong assertions based on tenuous connections between threads in legal proceedings and press stories on 1/6 and Russian interference. She's often right (you're better informed reading her than Maggie, for instance), but her hedging language below should be read with that context. The woulds, coulds, and mays are a departure for her, suggesting she (like everyone) is speculating without specific knowledge. As an aside: This was undoubtedly one of McCarthy's goals - by signalling the intent to crawl up the rear end of everyone with knowledge in January, he dissuaded even those inclined to leak, ensuring there'd be a vacuum for overheated speculation from the MSM and asscovering from Trumpworld.quote:From the start of the reporting on Trump’s theft of classified documents, commentators have suggested that Trump was only under investigation for violations of the Presidential Records Act or 18 USC 2071. quote:Still, it’s possible — likely even — that there are exacerbating factors that led DOJ to search Mar-a-Lago rather than just (as they did with Peter Navarro) suing to get the documents back. Cutting in after two grafs here: Most looked at "Why now?" And "Jay Bratt, the chief of the counterintelligence and export control section at the Justice Department" and, if they connected the dots at all, leapt to "Trump selling or giving away secrets to foreign powers". By laying out the ongoing investigations and cases most likely to be linked to the warrant, she builds the foundation for a contrarian take: This isn't over the improper retention of presidential or classified documents. It's over the refusal to return ones responsive to a case. quote:With that as background, Trump would be apt to take classified documents pertaining to the following topics: Based on the mentioned cases, what do any of these disparate possibilities have in common? quote:For many if not most of these documents, if Trump were refusing to turn them over, it might amount to obstruction of known investigations or prosecutions — Barrack’s, Rudy’s, or Trump’s own, among others. Thus, refusing to turn them over, by itself, might constitute an additional crime, particularly if the stolen documents were particularly damning. Finally, she buttons with a decent whatif for "why now?" quote:One more point about timing: An early CNN report on these stolen documents describes that a Deputy White House Counsel who had represented Trump in his first impeachment was liaising with the Archives on this point. I can't stress enough though: Anyone (poster, pundit, press, pol) who writes with confidence on what the search does or doesn't mean and what will or won't come from it should be viewed as talking out of their asses. As noted above, part of the impact of McCarthy's statement was to make it extremely likely that nobody involved from the Fed side is leaking, which would mean nobody knew poo poo last night, knows poo poo now, or will know poo poo tomorrow.
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# ¿ Aug 9, 2022 16:21 |
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evilweasel posted:my impression of Wheeler was that (as you said) she made a lot of strong statements on russia stuff that did not really appear to pan out
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# ¿ Aug 9, 2022 16:43 |
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Leon Trotsky 2012 posted:They specifically came in to install the keypad safe in the locked storage room because of the "sensitive nature" of the documents. So, the DOJ knew about it for - at minimum - 3 or 4 months. They either let him hold on to it during that period out of impotence/fear about doing anything other than having him voluntarily hand them over or someone there wanted to let Trump slide. Leon Trotsky 2012 posted:Other than complete impotence or extreme loyalty to Trump and wanting to prevent him from getting in trouble, I can't see why the DOJ just kept asking him to give them back and let them sit there for so long. The actions also give a multimonth window where there is no room for any defenses like "Trump previously held classification authority so I believed they were free and clear" or "I decided I'd take them with me and once I did that I could do anything I want". Bannon's trial serves as a recent example of "I ignored the government's directives because I believed they were incorrect but didn't challenge them" not being particularly effective. This would be implausibly risky if Justice believed the documents were a unique threat. On the other hand, if those or similar items happened to turn up on the dozens of devices seized from Rudy, Clark, Tarrio, Stone, Shroyer, Eastman, and now Jones (that we know of!), it'd somewhat mitigate the threat posed by the physical MAL documents. There are enough threads (figurative and twiteral) out there right now that any new revelation isn't a "must mean" for anything. No matter how impatient we get.
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# ¿ Aug 12, 2022 02:54 |
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On sourcing, WaPo kindly gives us onestop shopping in the piece quoted above:quote:according to people familiar with the investigation. quote:State and federal officials declined to name the man or describe a potential motive. However, a law enforcement official identified him as Ricky Shiffer. quote:The people who described some of the material that agents were seeking spoke on the condition of anonymity to discuss an ongoing investigation. They did not offer additional details about what type of information the agents were seeking, including whether it involved weapons belonging to the United States or some other nation. Nor did they say if such documents were recovered as part of the search. Might be someone else entirely. But on the shortlist of people who'd know part of what was being sought, are willing to talk to the press, are found credible by real outlets, and are unable or unwilling to share detailed scope and the outcome of the search.... I lean away from the investigators and towards Trumpworld and witnesses. YMMV.
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# ¿ Aug 12, 2022 03:10 |
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ryde posted:One thing I don't see being discussed by law-knowy-people is whether or not Trump is likely to be indicted. Isn't it possible that they could have used a warrant to get the docs and then decline to prosecute? It'd be a spineless move but I'm sorta used to that after the past 6 years. Lawknowers I trust say that executing the warrant is an escalation that makes an indictment more likely. None of them are capable of saying if that means a 1% chance to a 2% chance or a 50% to a 99% chance. Anybody giving you more specificity is at best a liar and at worst too much of an idiot to understand how little they know. In lighter fare, MSNBC had on a former Pence aide who discussed her personal experience with the mishandling of sensitive info by the administration: Finding classified documents in a womens restroom, immediately placing it in a folder that did not comply with regulations for handling the documents and running it over to security with an explanation of where she found it, that she saw nobody around, and an apology for using a nonconforming folder. Just in case anyone needed further evidence that Ivanka would absolutely be the sort of school resource officer to leave her gun on the toilet.
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# ¿ Aug 12, 2022 22:17 |
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Herstory Begins Now posted:this is also unprecedented in terms of confidential material investigations, too, afaik. Like extremely without precedent. smug n stuff posted:https://twitter.com/tonyromm/status/1558203663914508294?s=21&t=tvOjG82DC1SeSiT-sN3ROg Does look like it passed unanimously among Dems.
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# ¿ Aug 12, 2022 22:41 |
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Yeowch!!! My Balls!!! posted:the 'but her emails' thing is the closest, insofar as it was a running gag in both the Bush and Obama SecState offices that you had a private email server for handling all the poo poo you didn't want ever subject to FOIA or any of the classification red tape, and while strictly speaking doing so ran afoul of most of the same laws as long as you don't piss off the FBI they'll let you skate for it. see Colin Powell's explanation for his actions being "yes, I did it, what the gently caress are you going to do about it, I thought so" for reference. Trump's State Department disagrees with your assessment, Ze. quote:A multiyear State Department probe of emails that were sent to former secretary of state Hillary Clinton’s private computer server concluded there was no systemic or deliberate mishandling of classified information by department employees quote:Overall, investigators said, “there was no persuasive evidence of systemic, deliberate mishandling of classified information.” The report cited “instances of classified information being inappropriately” transmitted, but noted that the vast majority of those scrutinized “were aware of security policies and did their best to implement them.” Please, elaborate on how the 91 state department policy violations across 33,000 emails "strictly speaking" run afoul of the laws listed in the Mar A Lago warrant. A note that neither Justice nor State (under pressure, per WaPo and Politico, from Grassley and the GOP senate as well as the remainder of the executive branch) found any criminal behavior. In the meantime, I'll stick with Petraeus, the executive brancher who removed many classified documents (including TS/SCI) to his Florida mansion for fun and profit as a much closer comparison.
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# ¿ Aug 12, 2022 23:15 |
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FizFashizzle posted:Don’t forget Petraeus was using classified intel to impress his side piece. In other news, further progress in the Breonna Taylor murder: https://mobile.twitter.com/NickAtNews/status/1558219175931281408 quote:A police detective in Louisville, Ky., is expected to plead guilty to conspiring to mislead a judge in order to obtain a search warrant for Breonna Taylor’s home, a plea that would mark the first conviction of a police officer over the fatal raid more than two years ago.
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# ¿ Aug 12, 2022 23:40 |
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Yeowch!!! My Balls!!! posted:letter of the law, you probably could lock Powell up alongside Clinton for this poo poo, on grounds of insecure storage of classified information relating to national security. there's a reason the conclusion you quote has to lean real hard on ''systemic, deliberate mishandling," because the 'mishandling' itself is not a debatable question, the installation of private email servers to get state department business done outside state department systems was not accomplished by accident, and the law doesn't say you're allowed to gently caress around with classified information as long as you say it was an oopsie in retrospect. Yeowch!!! My Balls!!! posted:strictly speaking doing so ran afoul of most of the same laws Additionally, in what ways were the inadvertent inclusions of sensitive intelligence in these emails similar to Trump's alleged intentional removal and retention of his ts/sci documents?
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# ¿ Aug 13, 2022 02:02 |
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cr0y posted:Very normal democracy Two Supreme Court cases held that the criteria the constitution lays out for the election of congresscritters are the sole limitations - that neither congress (Powell v. McCormack) nor the states (U.S. Term Limits, Inc. v. Thornton) can create stricter criteria for qualification. Consider it the Air Bud theory of candidacy. As even Elias notes in the followup to his engagement farming tweet, this has never been adjudicated at the Presidential level. With that said, the theoretical legal theory here is clear: If congress shall make no law regarding itself, it certainly does not have the ability to make the same law regarding another branch. If you hew more towards the Calvinball theory of the courts, it remains dubious: Why would the Roberts Court would invent a new constitutional theory for the purpose of excluding Trump from the ballot?
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# ¿ Aug 13, 2022 16:45 |
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Epicurius posted:Plus, it's been done before. As was mentioned, Debs ran for President from prison. So did Lyndon LaRouche. Where it falls apart is that any crime that "prevented them from running for or holding office" is mandating an unconstitutional punishment (so long as "office" is US Rep, Senator, VP, or President).
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# ¿ Aug 13, 2022 17:19 |
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As the Trump legal spin cycle continues, law professor/legalblogger Orin Kerr dives into why the latest excuse -- a rewarmed leftover from Manafort's defense -- doesn't hold water. As with most times the GOP actually is forced to deal with the legal system they've created, I fruitlessly hope this leads them to global reforms... knowing full well the objection instead is that it shouldn't be this mean to us. tl;dr: Warrants need to be specific but they are read as a whole. "Any government records [during Trump's term]" is unconstitutionally vague on its own, but is read by the courts as "any government records [during Trump's term that are evidence or fruits or otherwise illegally possessed as a part of the 3 crimes you agree we have probable cause for]", which is kosher Without giving Andrew McCarthy more credit or eyeballs, the case being made is that what was approved is what's known as a "general warrant" and is explicitly barred by the fourth amendment. quote:The right of the people to be secure in their persons, houses, papers, and effects, against unreasonable searches and seizures, shall not be violated, and no Warrants shall issue, but upon probable cause, supported by Oath or affirmation, and particularly describing the place to be searched, and the persons or things to be seized. Circling back to the Fishing Expedition conversation from earlier this week, that's what is effectively barred here. Assuming everyone involved is doing their jobs (and, to the same discussion, that's a safer-though-not-assured bet when it's the feds seeking a search warrant from federal judges), "Trump definitely did some illegal things, let us search Mar a Lago for his printouts of texts from Rudy to find out what" fails to adequately describe the crimes for probable cause while "Here's why we believe Trump violated (at least) these three laws, and there's probably a paper or email or something somewhere so it could be at Mar a Lago" fails to give particulars. Some folks feel (for politicans and rich folks: only when targeted by the system they've built) that search warrants need to specify the exact evidence they seek to find and anything else can't be used in the trial or investigation. If the search warrants specifies emails about using fake back injuries to defraud medicare and the cops can only find voicemails about using fake neck injuries to defraud medicaid, tough luck -- and a warrant for communications regarding fake injuries to defraud the government is insufficiently specific. First, Kerr gets into the history (and I'm frankensteining the thread together, fair warning): https://mobile.twitter.com/OrinKerr/status/1558714541575327744 https://mobile.twitter.com/OrinKerr/status/1558714549179559936 Paraphrasing: The courts hold that obviously "proof someone committed some crime" is unacceptably vague, as is "documents related to the commission of some crime". However, courts don't view specificity in a vacuum (in warrants. YMMV in the constitutional analysis of laws and programs, thanks FedSoc). So McCarthy is generally() right that "any governent and/or Presidential Records created between January 20, 2017 and January 20, 2021" is nonspecific as hell and would obviously violate the Fourth Amendment if it were the only thing in the warrant. McCarthy, though, is a lying rear end in a top hat paid to give misinformation to the marks who see themselves as too smart for "Biden planted evidence! Russia! Impeachment!". https://mobile.twitter.com/OrinKerr/status/1558714532989505536 https://mobile.twitter.com/OrinKerr/status/1558714536282038272 https://mobile.twitter.com/OrinKerr/status/1558714552543350784 A brief pause: McCarthy absolutely knows this. McCarthy knows better, but he makes his money by betting his audience doesn't. McCarthy isn't the only one who does this, it's prevalent politician/pundit/podcaster/substacker behavior across the right, center, and left. I'd urge you to pay attention to when folks do this, since "I know better but'll say it anyway because you don't" is terminal. Mistakes happen, the problem is when it isn't a mistake. To wrap things up, we can see the courts have addressed this very recently. Manafort made the exact same arguments McCarthy is making and that we'll likely hear from Trump lawyers in court if/when this progresses that far: https://mobile.twitter.com/OrinKerr/status/1558714563079446531 https://mobile.twitter.com/OrinKerr/status/1558714569844961280 A quick note on Kerr: He clerked for Kennedy and was an advisor to Cornyn on Sotomayor and Kagan. The man is not a lefty.
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# ¿ Aug 14, 2022 18:59 |
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Two more convictions from retrial in Whitmer kidnap plotquote:A federal jury on Tuesday convicted two men of conspiring to kidnap Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer (D) in 2020, a case that raised alarms about the possibility of politically motivated violence amid the coronavirus pandemic and ahead of a bitterly contested presidential race. A brief refresher (necessary since one of the more reputable left outlets saw fit to dabble in fash apologia in its haste to give the very valid reminder that the FBI is awful. My y contemporary take is here): A racist militia hatched a scheme to kidnap and/or (and) assassinate Gretchen Whitmer due to her libertycrushing COVID lockdowns and generally being a woman in power. At multiple phases, the FBI had informants monitoring and encouraging proceedings. Six men were initially charged. 2 pled guilty, 2 were acquitted in the first trial, and the final 2 found guilty today after a deadlocked jury in that first trial. The defense's case was that the militiamen (and threepercenters) were big talkers but never had any intent to harm anyone , making this the fault of the feds. The defense, I'm sure, thought it had its shining moment when they "played audio of FBI agent Hank Impola telling an informant, “A saying we have in my office is, ‘Don’t let the facts get in the way of a good story'". Sadly, they were undone by chronological time, revealing a surprisingly prescient agent: quote:But on cross-examination, agent Corey Baumgardner agreed with a prosecutor who said Impola’s remark two months after the arrests was actually a reference to how Croft and Fox would spin the kidnapping allegations All in all, the bullshit on the subject is likely to continue. I'll close with what I felt was the right take in October and remain confident in now: Paracaidas posted:"The FBI routinely wields its power abusively and often misuses informants and undercover agents when attacking political dissidents. We don't know enough to know how abusive they were in Michigan but far more common is abusing these resources against leftwing and muslim organizations. Any laws meant to curb right wing domestic terror must also eliminate these fed practices."
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# ¿ Aug 23, 2022 20:57 |
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The underlying data, with a variety of breakouts, can be accessed directly from the feds here Additional context without a comment either way on sufficiency: This would wipe all remaining federal student loan debt from 32% of borrowers, wipe half or more of the federal student loan debt from more than half of borrowers, and wipe at least a quarter from more than 75% of borrowers. For 7.5% of borrowers, it's less than 10% forgiveness.
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# ¿ Aug 24, 2022 02:35 |
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Beastie posted:Someone said it best, if they can do 10k they can do it all. The current court understatement tends not to defer to executive agencies the way its predecessors has, enacting Scalia's "Elephant in a Mousehole" doctrine in all but name. Typically, this is done by either ignoring Chevron all together or with the one remaining (footnoted) part of Chevron they do like: quote:“If a court, employing traditional tools of statutory construction, ascertains that Congress had an intention on the precise question at issue, that intention is the law and must be given effect.” Ironically, given their love of reinterpretation, they have found solace in a Chevron predecessor, Skidmore: quote:We consider that the rulings, interpretations, and opinions of the Administrator under this Act, while not controlling upon the courts by reason of their authority, do constitute a body of experience and informed judgment to which courts and litigants may properly resort for guidance. The weight of such a judgment in a particular case will depend upon the thoroughness evident in its consideration, the validity of its reasoning, its consistency with earlier and later pronouncements, and all those factors which give it power to persuade, if lacking power to control There is at least a colorable argument that targeted relief and forgiveness is consistent with past Education action and decisionmaking in a way that blanket or more robust forgiveness is not, meaning the former is permissible and the latter is not. My impression of Biden's decision, if I'm being charitable, is that these are efforts to survive the inevitable Skidmore and Chevron challenges. The meanstesting reflects a narrower scope more in line with past actions while the different classes (Pell bonus) reflect the agency's thoroughness. It's an effort to get through the most he thinks he can implement, rather than trying for more and ending up with nothing for everyone. A less charitable take would be that Biden expects this to be shot down anyway and feels better about campaigning on and rallying against the court decision because of the self-imposed limitations than he would if it were blanket forgiveness - if he expects the answer to be $0 of forgiveness by the time the Courts have had their say, then there's no cost to choosing what he feels (rightly or wrongly) is the option with more political support.
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# ¿ Aug 24, 2022 16:43 |
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lobster shirt posted:can the special master thing be reviewed or appealed at all? Or is that basically it? As others have covered, she didn't stay the work so her ruling is likely to be irrelevant anyway. She's also not made a decision at this point. My read of the articles and various tweeters is that it's in the category of "weird and likely meaningless", which is grifter paradise to farm engagement on socials. It'd be helpful if you explain what you think/are worried happens next if she does followthrough on her inclination to appoint a special master.
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# ¿ Aug 28, 2022 16:44 |
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I don't give justice credit for this being intentional, but including the haphazardly scattered document photo in their reply seems to have broken whatever bit of Trump's sanity remained: https://mobile.twitter.com/AndrewFeinberg/status/1565086491847573504 The sound you don't hear is righty pundits correcting their previous assertions that everything was planted, because they've given up even pretending that accuracy or consistency matters. This is... not helpful... for any ongoing or future defense strategy.
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# ¿ Aug 31, 2022 23:27 |
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One awesome thing that happened in 2018 was the Library of Congress gaining the mandate to publish Congressional Research Service work product online, for free. For those unfamiliar, CRS is "nonpartisan shared staff to Congressional committees and members" -- in essence, a publicly funded thinktank. If this sounds dreadfully boring and irrelevant to you, then you understand why only absolute nerds like me got excited over this. With that said, it has tremendous potential as a resource to level the electoral playing field against incumbents (by allowing more challengers to engage in constituent service) and I really wish current progressive members would better serve that end by "commissioning" reports that can serve as a guide for campaigns who may not yet have the sort of dedicated, experienced policy staff that many incumbents do. An example of what is out there, here is the recently completed Metaverse 101 For Boomers: https://mobile.twitter.com/joejerome/status/1565088144088760320 Also, shoutout to this absolute legend mentioned in the comments of the Library of Congress' announcement of the website linked above: quote:This is wise of Congress and the LOC. I vividly recall, 40+ years ago working in a congressional office in which the legislative assistant commissioned a long paper from the (then) LRS, which he then submitted as his masters thesis at either GW or AU, then spun into fancier government jobs. I was appalled but too young to speak up. Perhaps abuses like that will now end. That young legislative assistant's name? Albert Einstein.
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# ¿ Sep 1, 2022 12:52 |
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The Los Angeles Sheriff's Department may have the worst ongoing misconduct of any department in the nation (Google LASD gangs). Democrat Alex Villanueva took over in 2018 on a pledge to reform the department's blatant corruption, abuse, and disregard of any potentially inconvenient laws. Add another log to the "how do you reform this?"/"this is already the reformed version" fire, because hoooo boy has he been a trip. You have the petty atrocities (whistleblowers allege that his former LASD-employee wife takes an active role in staff management, including insisting that a sexpest and another officer who managed to actually get a criminal investigation into their actions, a minor miracle for a cop, be promoted to captain over the objections of their boss), the unabated proliferation of deputy The glimmer of selfawareness vanished, however, when the coverup was exposed and, eventually, a grand jury convened. First came the press conference announcing a felony investigation into a political rival, the IG tasked with overseeing his department (who had previously announced he forwarded the investigation to the FBI over evidence of conspiracy and obstruction), and the reporter who wrote the story He quickly quote:"This is stolen property that was removed illegally from people who had some intent — criminal intent — and it’ll be subject to investigation,” Villanueva said. When pressed whether he was investigating the journalist specifically, the sheriff said, “All parties to the act are subjects of the investigation.” https://mobile.twitter.com/LACoSheriff/status/1519130930476060672 A creature capable of feeling shame might have felt he overreached and reevaluated the criming that brought him to this point. Sadly for all of us, Alex is a cop. Now, to today's news from the aforementioned journo: https://mobile.twitter.com/AleneTchek/status/1570052180715122689 Kuehl has been a target of the Sheriff for quite some time, for the heinous crimes of "conducting oversight" and "demanding reform and resignation" and "contempt of corrupt LEO shitheads", so this is merely another escalation of his Public Integrity Detail- an enterprise so nakedly abusive that even the LASD union, made up of literal gang members, issued guidance for deputies to steer clear. The DA felt similarly quote:“He’s only targeting political enemies,” Gascón told The Times about Villanueva. “It was obvious that was not the kind of work I wanted to engage in, so we declined.” With all of the angst about politically motivated search warrants and raids floating around right now, I expect that the right wing mediasphere will be all over this story shortly.
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# ¿ Sep 15, 2022 02:58 |
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It can be helpful on certain longrunning events to look back and reorient on what the narrative, public statements, and concerns were prior to resolution. It's also good practice when looking at pundits, commentators, posters, etc. Dayen and The American Prospect has been on this since things started to really bubble in February/March. It's just one source, but also comes with a large pro-labor bent. https://mobile.twitter.com/ddayen/status/1570169404595507200 Let's take a look: How America’s Supply Chains Got Railroaded: Rail deregulation led to consolidation, price-gouging, and a variant of just-in-time unloading that left no slack in the system. - MATTHEW JINOO BUCK (FEBRUARY 4, 2022, part of the wonderful "How We Broke the Supply Chain" issue) quote:A primary cause of railroads’ fragility came from decades of laying off labor. From the passage of the 1980 Staggers Act to 2019, total employment in the railroad industry fell from about 500,000 to roughly 135,000. Some of that decline came from concentrating operations on more profitable lines. But a lot came from regulators advocating for Class I railroads to sell off rail lines or move freight to smaller companies with fewer worker protections and less union presence. The whole article is worth a read but I've brought over the part specifically focused on labor. Part of why I'm choosing to highlight The Prospect's coverage here (beyond that I'm a huge fan despite routine ideological and stylistic disagreement) is that not only are they a rare outlet who've covered this from the late January BNSF court decision, a quirk of their publication timing makes the 2/4 article quoted above a bit of a time capsule - preserving the pre-ruling concerns: A dangerous culture of severe safety risks, somehow both caused and exacerbated by Wall Street's insistence on a particularly atrocious measure of efficiency leading to staff reductions and an elimination of any staff plausibly argued as redundant except executives, naturally. I've excerpted a small portion but I'd suggest you read (or listen to) the entire article because it's an extraordinarily applicable look at how core functions lost resiliency across the supply chain and broader economy. Let's move to the next piece surrounding labor, a bit more than a month later. Rail Workers Punished for Taking Days Off, Union Says: Unionized workers at Warren Buffett’s BNSF Railway are angry about a new attendance policy that incentivizes coming to work sick or fatigued. DAVID DAYEN (MARCH 16, 2022) quote:Under the federal Railway Labor Act, workers in key transportation sectors like freight railroads cannot strike over so-called “minor” issues, under the theory that it would cause too much damage to the economy. quote:Under Hi-Viz, which was implemented February 1, BNSF gives every employee a bank of points, and if for any reason that employee cannot take a shift—whether for family and medical leave, conflicts in their schedules, personal illness, or even COVID-19—the employee is docked points. The docked points go up if the scheduled days in question are “high-impact,” like on a national holiday. [...] The Hi-Viz policy enables BNSF, the largest freight rail company in America, to double up schedules and grind its workforce down to the nub, Regan explained. “When I see railroads complaining about labor shortages, I put my head through a wall,” he said. “Rather than hire up a responsible number of employees, they’re trying to squeeze out every possible hour from existing employees who are already overworked.” [...] TTD has disputed that the system is adequate, and in its letter to federal agencies intimated that the new policy “will reduce the safety of the rail network.” Because employees will need to hoard points to account for future needs, they will be incentivized to come to work while sick or fatigued, the union claims, which raises serious safety concerns. Like any logistics profession, the materials railmen haul are routinely explosive, flammable, or poisonous. Railroad Profit-Making Strategy Comes at a Cost: A looming strike and struggles with a proposed merger could reflect a reckoning for the rail industry’s determined efforts to squeeze capacity. DAVID DAYEN (JULY 14, 2022) quote:If you thought that the worst of the supply chain woes might be behind us, think again. In the next few days, we could see either a strike or a lockout of the entire U.S. rail industry, more than two years after negotiations began on a new agreement And finally, yesterday: Potential Rail Worker Strike Caused by Erratic Scheduling: Workers must be constantly on call to work, making it impossible to live their lives. MIKE ELK (SEPTEMBER 14, 2022) quote:It’s Hugh Sawyer’s 65th birthday, and he is pissed off. A 35-year veteran of Norfolk Southern, he had spent the day before working 12 hours, driving a train from Chattanooga to Atlanta. When Sawyer started his career in the mid-1980s, the average train trip between Chattanooga and Atlanta took five to six hours. Due to understaffing and negligence of rail infrastructure, today it often takes 12 hours to make the same journey.
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# ¿ Sep 15, 2022 15:25 |
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Breaking this out separately so that it doesn't get lost in the wall of text: https://mobile.twitter.com/LaurenKGurley/status/1570414398837260288 Latest details I've been able to find from even a remotely reliable source: quote:The agreement provides workers with the ability to take days off for sick leave and medical emergencies — the unions’ central demand in negotiations — although it granted them only one day of paid sick leave, according to two people briefed on the plan, who spoke on the condition of anonymity because it had not yet been publicly announced. quote:If the contract is ratified, the agreement by the two largest railroad unions and railway carriers guarantees voluntary assigned days off and a single additional paid day off. Workers also can take time off for routine doctor’s appointments without being penalized, and would not lose attendance points for hospitalizations and surgical procedures, according to the Brotherhood of Locomotive Engineers and Trainmen. The article also notes that unnamed house Dem moderates (or as I prefer to call them, the Ryan-Schrader gang) were making noise and trying to pressure Biden with threats of voting with the GOP to enforce a contract on the unions.
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# ¿ Sep 15, 2022 15:35 |
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Kalit posted:As far as delay tactics, I imagine the railroad companies won't want to partake in that much/at all since: Which is the safest bet I can imagine for the unions.
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# ¿ Sep 15, 2022 16:06 |
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Paracaidas posted:The Los Angeles Sheriff's Department may have the worst ongoing misconduct of any department in the nation (Google LASD gangs). Democrat Alex Villanueva took over in 2018 on a pledge to reform the department's blatant corruption, abuse, and disregard of any potentially inconvenient laws. Everyone say it together: "There is always more..." https://mobile.twitter.com/AleneTchek/status/1570838019669893120 quote:A Superior Court judge on Thursday ordered Los Angeles County sheriff’s officials to stop searching certain computers seized as part of the sprawling raids tied to an investigation into the Metropolitan Transportation Authority’s contracts with a domestic violence nonprofit. Sure but that could be for any reaso... quote:The judge set a hearing for next week, demanding answers to a list of questions about how and why the warrant was secured, and why key details were omitted from the judge, Craig Richman, who signed it. Look. I'm sure they're just innocuous questio quote:Ryan also asked why sheriff’s investigators omitted from Richman that [ ]the other judge, Eleanor Hunter, had decided just two weeks ago to appoint a special master to oversee the search of the inspector general’s computers[/b]. Hunter said at the Sept. 1 hearing that she was appointing a special master to make sure materials that could be privileged under the attorney-client privilege are sealed. Okay, sure, maybe there was a little judgeshopping happening but there's no way to suspect that they knew the different judge would give favorable treamen quote:Richman and Lillienfeld have a decades-long relationship. quote:Their relationship came under scrutiny several years ago when there was an internal Sheriff’s Department inquiry into whether Lillienfeld tried to help Richman out of legal trouble. The Acabrocats!
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# ¿ Sep 16, 2022 19:33 |
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RBA Starblade posted:So are "special masters" common things and if so why is this only the second time I've heard it come up ever The tiny grain of sanity in the Trump bullshit is that if there is a need for thirdparty review (there isn't), and that covers extremely sensitive and protected docs (it shouldn't), you need a decisionmaker who can get (or ideally already has) the relevant clearances. More common is what we saw with Rudy and what appears to be the case with LASD: There could be hundreds or thousands of seized documents that might be privileged and it's going to take more time than the judge has to review them all. In the LASD case, it helps that while you should never trust the cops to decide on their own, these fucks have given ample reason to doubt that they'd follow the law when reviewing the docs. Again, IANAL, but my understanding over the past few years (reaffirmed with Rudy) is that the easiest way to understand is a judge saying "I don't wanna" and delegating the work to someone else. Some 2017 examples from some special master salesperson/advocate quote:Moran v. Moran, 2017 WL 5339638, (Ariz. App. 1st Div. Nov. 14, 2017) (affirming the family court’s adoption of the Special Master’s recommendation to alter parenting time).
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# ¿ Sep 16, 2022 20:06 |
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Paracaidas posted:Everyone say it together: "There is always more..." https://mobile.twitter.com/VPS_Reports/status/1570852254646947845 In other premature news, FL's Dem slate (Uhlfelder https://mobile.twitter.com/DWUhlfelderLaw/status/1570802394681999360 https://mobile.twitter.com/DWUhlfelderLaw/status/1570810523142492165 Financial shadiness is obviously nowhere near the biggest problem with this. But some folks appreciate variety Paracaidas fucked around with this message at 21:28 on Sep 16, 2022 |
# ¿ Sep 16, 2022 20:54 |
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FlamingLiberal posted:Aramis Ayala won the Dem AG primary in FL, just FYI
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# ¿ Sep 16, 2022 21:28 |
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Best as I can tell, there's no footage of it but Garland administered and spoke at a Citizenship Ceremony on Ellis Island yesterday:quote:Attorney General Merrick B. Garland Administers the Oath of Allegiance and Delivers Congratulatory Remarks at Ellis Island Ceremony in Celebration of Constitution Week and Citizenship Day
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# ¿ Sep 18, 2022 19:04 |
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E;fb Judd Legum, thinkprogress founder and current substacker, was given one of the brochures that was provided to induce folks onto the Martha's Vineyards flight: https://mobile.twitter.com/JuddLegum/status/1571841197148102656 https://mobile.twitter.com/JuddLegum/status/1571842325743108097 This aligns with other reporting and runs counter to GOP denials of any such inducement. My guess is this still fizzles without consequences (other than for the asylum seekers), in part because it'd seem trivial for the fuckwits to argue that they've only provided correct information about the benefits provided to refugees and it's the asylum seekers' fault if they thought the benefits were being offered to them as they should understand the difference in status.
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# ¿ Sep 19, 2022 16:05 |
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ryde posted:The special master doesn't appear to be having any of it. Unlike Cannon, he's basically said that he considers the classification markings as prima facie evidence of classification and they have to actually claim which documents are unclassified. https://mobile.twitter.com/KlasfeldReports/status/1572289427766136834 https://mobile.twitter.com/KlasfeldReports/status/1572290983684935680 Is both what Dearie would do if he wants to see Trump's hack squirm and what he'd do if he wants to give his lawyers a chance to elaborate on their (woefully inadequate) pleaded arguments. Also, arguably, if he's bored and wants to fill time. I think you have the right interpretation, but it's hardly the only valid one. Phenotype posted:So in the Trump documents case, he's got the special master now, and the special master asked them to tell us if he declassified any of the documents, and they say "nuh uh we don't want to say if we declassified anything because that will damage his criminal defense." Dearie's comment https://mobile.twitter.com/KlasfeldReports/status/1572291949104877570 reflects the reality of Trump's strategy. Suggest in public and have your flacks flood the airwaves with hints that you did declassify everything, to justify truly extraordinary relief and mute public outcry. Then, in court, claim that you really do want to specify but the court can't force you to (or hold your refusal against you) because it'd harm your defense in a potential future criminal case. Important to remember here (and it apparently tripped up Trump's legal team w/r/t seating arrangements), Trump's not the defendant here.... and it's a civil, not criminal proceeding. The burden is on him.
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# ¿ Sep 20, 2022 21:24 |
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Inclined to agree with Joementum's take here, despite being well aware it's overstated as engagement bait while he preps for his new Semafor gig: https://mobile.twitter.com/daveweigel/status/1572606560215666690
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# ¿ Sep 21, 2022 16:29 |
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# ¿ May 9, 2024 22:19 |
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https://mobile.twitter.com/Olivia_Beavers/status/1572944058716135426 Some House GOP member strategy presentation slides have leaked. Ignoring the absolutely dire deck construction, it's an interesting blend of high on their own supply ("save and strengthen", "stop companies from putting politics in front of people", "protect the lives of unborn children and their mothers") and "jesus christ please stop giving up the game in tweets and interviews" ("ensure polls 30% better than banning", "increase accountability in the election process")
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# ¿ Sep 22, 2022 16:09 |