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Who is going #1 overall?
Juraj Slafkovsky, LW
Shane Wright, C
Logan Cooley, C
David Jiricek, D
The Field
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Paracaidas
Sep 24, 2016
Consistently Tedious!

ThinkTank posted:

I got beaten to the punch on the draft thread this year but I was gonna make the op just this gif


I'm jumping the gun and hopping offsides a bit, but it's almost NHL draft time and that's very exciting for... almost nobody this year, really. Does your team need a goalie of the future? He's probably in this draft but good luck finding him. Are you taller than 6'1" with any skating ability? Congratulations, you're a first round pick so long as you're not a wing. Questions about your ability on skates? You're... still probably a first rounder this year.

A brief refresher of Hockey's unique draft rule compared to other domestic leagues: Amateur players can declare for the draft and be selected by a professional team but still attend and play in collegiate leagues. The team retains their rights until the end of their collegiate career in a process known as "draft and follow". Should a player decide not to sign with the team that drafted them, they become college free agents, free to sign their entry level contract with any team. I'm fascinated to see how this intersects with the NIL evolution, but that's neither here nor there, the most notable effect this year is Minnesota pocketing #47 after trading Jack McBain's rights to Arizona when he expressed an unwillingness to sign (Arizona had 12,000 picks and the trade enabled them to burn a year of McBain's ELC, as opposed to being on a level playing field with all other interested teams had he become a college FA). Also the details of everything above are probably wrong directional. Draft order below, next post will contain The Athletic's bigboard and comps. Note that there is ample chatter about the Devils and Sens looking to move out of the top 10, which is rare (and basically unheard of for a top5 pick).

Link to post w/ Athletic Mock Draft

Round 1
1. Montreal Canadiens
2. New Jersey Devils
3. Arizona Coyotes
4. Seattle Kraken
5. Philadelphia Flyers
6. Columbus Blue Jackets (from CHI)
7. Ottawa Senators
8. Detroit Red Wings
9. Buffalo Sabres
10. Anaheim Ducks
11. San Jose Sharks
12. Columbus Blue Jackets
13. New York Islanders
14. Winnipeg Jets
15. Vancouver Canucks
16. Buffalo Sabres (from VGK)
17. Nashville Predators
18. Dallas Stars
19. Minnesota Wild (from LA)
20. Washington Capitals
21. Pittsburgh Penguins
22. Anaheim Ducks (from BOS)
23. St. Louis Blues
24. Minnesota Wild
25. Toronto Maple Leafs
26. Montreal Canadiens (from CGY)
27. Arizona Coyotes (from CAR via MTL)
28. Buffalo Sabres (from FLA)
29. Edmonton Oilers
30. Winnipeg Jets (from NYR)
31. Tampa Bay Lightning
32. Arizona Coyotes (from COL)

Round 2
33. Montreal Canadiens
34. Arizona Coyotes
35. Seattle Kraken
36. Arizona Coyotes (from PHI)
37. New Jersey Devils
38. Chicago Blackhawks
39. Ottawa Senators
40. Detroit Red Wings
41. Buffalo Sabres
42. Anaheim Ducks
43. Arizona Coyotes (from SJ)
44. Columbus Blue Jackets
45. Arizona Coyotes (from NYI)
46. Washington Capitals (from WPG)
47. Minnesota Wild (from VAN via ARI)
48. Vegas Golden Knights
49. Seattle Kraken (from NSH)
50. Dallas Stars
51. Los Angeles Kings
52. Detroit Red Wings (from WSH)
53. Anaheim Ducks (from PIT)
54. Boston Bruins
55. Winnipeg Jets (from STL via NYR)
56. Minnesota Wild* (compensatory for not signing former 24th overall pick Filip Johansson)
57. Chicago Blackhawks (from MIN)
58. Seattle Kraken (from TOR)
59. Calgary Flames
60. Carolina Hurricanes
61. Seattle Kraken (from FLA via CGY)
62. Montreal Canadiens (from EDM)
63. New York Rangers
64. Ottawa Senators (from TB)
65. New York Islanders (from COL)

Paracaidas fucked around with this message at 02:41 on Jul 7, 2022

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Paracaidas
Sep 24, 2016
Consistently Tedious!
1. Juraj Slafkovsky, LW, Tps (FINLAND)
Mar. 30, 2004 | 6′ 3.5″ | 218 pounds | Shoots left

Tier: Projected bubble NHL All-Star and top of the lineup player

Skating: NHL average
Puck skills: Above NHL average
Hockey sense: NHL average
Compete: NHL average
Shot: Above NHL average

Player comparable: Rick Nash

Background: Slafkovsky was a regular player for a top Liiga club in TPS this season albeit without great production overall. He was named MVP of the Olympics where he played a huge role in Slovakia earning a bronze medal. He was named a top three played for Slovakia at the World Championships. He played a notable role on Slovakia’s U20 team which outshot Sweden by a 2:1 margin in a world juniors game. He played for Slovakia’s national team in the World Championships as a U17 player. He was a top player for the Slovakian U20 team as a 16-year-old and a top player for a top Finland junior team in 2021.

Analysis: Slafkovsky has all the assets you’re looking for in a top NHL forward. He’s a 6-foot-4 winger who can beat opponents with speed and skill. He posseses outstanding puck skills, and can put pucks through legs and sticks at a very high rate. Slafkovsky can use finesse, or power and quickness to get around defenders. Slafkovsky can also set up and finish plays well. Physically, he won’t run over guys but his compete is good enough. He projects as a top-line winger with the potential to pop and become be a true star in the NHL.

2. Shane Wright, C, Kingston (OHL)

Jan. 5, 2004 | 6′ 0.25″ | 191 pounds | Shoots right

Tier: Projected bubble NHL All-Star and top of the lineup player

Skating: NHL average
Puck skills: NHL average
Hockey sense: Above NHL average
Compete: Above NHL average
Shot: Above NHL average

Player comparable: Mika Zibanejad

Background: Wright was the captain and a top player for Kingston. He finished 8th in OHL scoring. He was a top two-line center for Canada’s U20 team at the world juniors. He scored nine goals and 14 points in five games at the U18 worlds as a U17 player, leading Canada to gold. He was granted exceptional status to play in the OHL as a 15-year-old where he scored 39 goals and 66 points in 58 games.

Analysis: Wright is a very well-rounded center who has no noticeable flaw in his skill set but there also isn’t a ton about his game that gets you overly excited. He can skate and handle the puck like an NHLer. Wright’s game translates because of his compete and direct style of play. He takes pucks to the net and plays quick. He can pull up to make a tough pass but can take pucks to the interior too. He has the high-end vision to run a power-play unit and make tough plays with pace. His shot is very good, showing the ability to pick corners from long range consistently. Off the puck he’s competitive and responsible, showing maturity beyond his years. He projects as a No. 1 center in the NHL due to his all-around play with a chance to be a star, but probably won’t be an elite scorer in the league.

3. Logan Cooley, C, Usa U-18 (NTDP)
May. 4, 2004 | 5′ 10.25″ | 174 pounds | Shoots left

Tier: Projected top of the lineup player

Skating: Above NHL average
Puck skills: Above NHL average
Hockey sense: Above NHL average
Compete: Above NHL average
Shot: Above NHL average

Player comparable: Brayden Point

Background: Cooley has been the leading player in the 2004 age group for the USNTDP the last two years, although his pure production doesn’t blow you away. He made the USA world junior team as a 17-year-old in a significant role as their No. 2 center with power play time. He was a top forward at the U18 World Championships. He was a top player for the U18 team as a 16-year-old as well. He’s committed to the University of Minnesota.

Analysis: Cooley is a dynamic player. When he has the puck on his stick you instantly notice him because of his high-end speed, skill and offensive IQ. He can make highly creative dekes and passes at full speed. The pace of his game is why I think he will be a top NHL player. He takes pucks up the ice and to the net often. Cooley lacks size, but he plays hard. He can drive play at even strength while also having the vision and shot to be a power-play threat running a unit from the walls. He projects as a first-line forward; as a center, he would be a low-end first-line center in the NHL.

4. David Jiricek, D, Plzen (CZREP)


Nov. 28, 2003 | 6′ 3.0″ | 189 pounds | Shoots right

Tier: Projected top of the lineup player

Skating: Below NHL average
Puck skills: NHL average
Hockey sense: NHL average
Compete: Above NHL average
Shot: Above NHL average

Player comparable: Alex Pietrangelo

Background: Jiricek was playing a notable role on a good Czechia league team and looking very good versus men, before a knee injury at the world juniors knocked him out for the second half. He has since started practicing again and was invited to Czechia’s national team camp. He played games for the senior Czechia team at the Karjala Cup and World Championships. He was also named one of Czechia’s best players at the 2021 world juniors despite being one of the youngest players in the tournament.

Analysis: Jiricek is a big, right-shot defenseman who makes an impact at both ends of the rink. He has great individual skill to make opponents miss. You combine that with very good vision and a hard point shot, and inside the offensive zone he can make a lot happen and be dangerous on a power play. His skating won’t dazzle, but for his size he gets around well enough. What his skating looks like post-knee surgery is something to monitor. He shows some shiftiness to pull away from checks, but lacks ideal speed and burst for the NHL level. Despite that, he defends well due to his reach and a high level of physical play, often punishing opposing forwards with his body. He projects as a top-pair defenseman.

5. Simon Nemec, D, Nitra (SLOVAKIA)

Feb. 15, 2004 | 6′ 0.0″ | 190 pounds | Shoots right

Tier: Projected top of the lineup player

Skating: NHL average
Puck skills: NHL average
Hockey sense: Above NHL average
Compete: Above NHL average

Player comparable: Mackenzie Weegar

Background: Nemec played significant minutes versus men in Slovakia for the last two seasons. He has immense international experience. He scored 17 points in 19 games for his club team in Slovakia. He’s already played in two world juniors, and was among Slovakia’s best players both times. He has been in two World Championships including 6 points in 8 games at this year’s tournament. He was the best defenseman at the Hlinka Gretzky Cup this summer and in the Olympics this season.

Analysis: Nemec is a very well-rounded defenseman. His puck game is great. He has the high-end brain to make a lot of tough plays often. Nemec can hit seams, make plays under pressure and makes a great outlet pass. He also shows individual skill which, when combined with good speed, allows him to be dangerous in transition too. Defensively he’s solid due to his skating, compete and brain, even though he’s not imposing physically and can be trusted with tough responsibilities. Nemec projects as a top pair defenseman.

6. Cutter Gauthier, LW, Usa U-18 (NTDP)
Jan. 19, 2004 | 6′ 2.25″ | 189 pounds | Shoots left

Tier: Projected bubble top and middle of the lineup player

Skating: NHL average
Puck skills: NHL average
Hockey sense: NHL average
Compete: Above NHL average
Shot: High-end

Player comparable: J.T. Miller

Background: Gauthier was a versatile and important player for the U.S. NTDP this season, playing often on both special teams, lining up at wing and center for full games depending on their roster. He became a go-to player as the season went along, lining up on Cooley’s wing and playing PP1. He’s committed to Boston College.

Analysis: Gauthier has the tools that can make you easily envision him in the NHL. He has a thick 6-foot-2 frame and can skate like an NHL player. With his size and speed he can overpower opponents to force turnovers or in how he attacks the net and it makes him an asset on the PK. Gauthier can create with his skating and skill, but his main offensive weapon is his shot. He can pick corners from distance with a powerful wrist shot. I didn’t love his playmaking early on but that part of his game grew on me as the season went on especially how he made passes on the move. I see a potential very good top-six forward whether at center or the wing with a chance to pop and become a true top of the lineup type.

7. Joakim Kemell, RW, Jyp (FINLAND)

Apr. 27, 2004 | 5′ 10.75″ | 171 pounds | Shoots right

Tier: Projected bubble top and middle of the lineup player

Skating: NHL average
Puck skills: NHL average
Hockey sense: NHL average
Compete: Above NHL average
Shot: Above NHL average

Player comparable: Viktor Arvidsson

Background: Kemell came out of the gates flying in Liiga but slowed down in the second half when he returned from injury. He played a top-six role on Finland’s U20 team, and scored a goal a game at the Hlinka Gretzky and at the U18 Worlds. As an underage, he scored at a high rate as well in Finland’s U20 league and was a solid player for Finland’s U18 team as a 16-year-old.

Analysis: Kemell is a well-rounded winger who has almost every NHL attribute you want other than size at 5-foot-11. He brings skill and speed to his shifts, showing the ability to carry the puck up ice and create chances for himself and his teammates. Kemell can pass the puck very well, but his shot is his main weapon. You can set him up from mid-range and he can finish. He lacks size, but he plays hard, showing no fear of engaging physically to win back pucks or to take a hit to make a play. He projects as a very good top-six winger who will score a lot of goals in the NHL.

8. Matthew Savoie, C, Winnipeg (WHL)

Jan. 1, 2004 | 5′ 9.0″ | 175 pounds | Shoots right

Tier: Projected bubble top and middle of the lineup player

Skating: Above NHL average
Puck skills: NHL average
Hockey sense: Above NHL average
Compete: Above NHL average
Shot: Above NHL average

Player comparable: Jaden Schwartz

Background: Savoie was one of the top forwards in the WHL as a 17-year-old, helping lead Winnipeg to the top of the standings and ending the season 7th in league scoring. He was a point-per-game player in the USHL as a 16-year-old. Savoie was the top pick in his WHL Bantam Draft after applying for and being denied exceptional status to play at the age of 15. He played at the U17 Challenge for Canada as a 15-year-old and was a top player.

Analysis: Savoie is a very talented scorer. He stands out with the puck on his stick and can attack in a variety of ways. Savoie is an excellent passer, who can run a power play, hit seams at a high rate and make tough plays under duress. He has very good hands to maneuver in traffic. He has good speed to beat opponents wide and he has a shot that can score from range. Savoie lacks ideal NHL size, but he competes hard and wins a surprising amount of battles for his size. He doesn’t have incredible speed and skill for a 5-foot-9 player so he may be moved to the wing in the NHL, but regardless I see him as a very good top-six forward.

9. Marco Kasper, C, Rogle (SWEDEN)

Apr. 8, 2004 | 6′ 1.0″ | 183 pounds | Shoots left

Tier: Projected bubble top and middle of the lineup player

Skating: NHL average
Puck skills: NHL average
Hockey sense: NHL average
Compete: Above NHL average

Player comparable: Sam Bennett

Background: Kasper has played a lot of games for one of the best SHL teams in Rogle over the last two seasons and got a regular shift this season. He scored 6 points in 13 SHL playoff games this season as well. He captained Austria’s U20 team at the world juniors. He also played very well for Austria’s senior team, including a four points in three games performance at a tournament in November and a major role for their World Championship team.

Analysis: Kasper was easy to spot even in SHL games because of how powerful an athlete he is. He would often be the guy to wind it up in his own end to carry the puck due to his great speed and skill. Kasper has a strong 6-foot-1 frame, isn’t afraid to attack the hard areas, and can win some battles versus men as a 17-year-old. Kasper attacks with speed and skill, and while he can pull up to make a play or use his hard shot, his direct style of play will translate to the NHL. He projects as a quality top two line center.

10. Danila Yurov, RW, Magnitogorsk (RUSSIA)

Dec. 22, 2003 | 6′ 1.0″ | 178 pounds | Shoots left

Tier: Projected bubble top and middle of the lineup player

Skating: NHL average
Puck skills: Above NHL average
Hockey sense: NHL average
Compete: NHL average

Player comparable: Troy Terry

Background: Yurov played limited minutes on one of the best KHL teams, often lining up as a 12th or 13th forward for Magnitogorsk. Later in the season he played more junior games where he was very good for a top MHL team. He scored three goals and four points at a U20 Four Nations tournament which helped him make Russia’s U20 team in a lower role. He was a point-per-game player in Russia’s junior league the previous season, and scored 11 points in seven games at the U18 world championship.

Analysis: Yurov’s skill stands out when you watch him. His stick skills and overall creativity with the puck are high end. He’s a good skater and shows excellent ability to beat defenders with speed or with dekes. He also shows great skill in tight spaces to maintain possession. Yurov can make plays but I wouldn’t call his playmaking as dynamic as his stickhandling. He’s not overly physical but Yurov works hard to create turnovers and can kill penalties. He projects as a quality top-six winger.

11. Jonathan Lekkerimaki, RW, Djurgarden (SWEDEN)

Jul. 24, 2004 | 5′ 10.5″ | 165 pounds | Shoots right

Tier: Projected bubble top and middle of the lineup player

Skating: NHL average
Puck skills: NHL average
Hockey sense: NHL average
Compete: Below NHL average
Shot: High-end

Player comparable: Jordan Eberle

Background: Lekkerimaki put up big numbers in Sweden’s J20 league showing significant goal-scoring ability in league and international play. He came up to the big club in Djurgarden in the second half where he played a notable role in SHL games and scored at a high rate for a 17-year-old. He scored for Sweden’s U20 team at a November tournament and led the U18 Worlds in scoring.

Analysis: Lekkrimaki is a skilled winger who has various offensive elements in his game, but the clear strength of his game is his shot. He is a goal-scoring threat from the faceoff dots with a hard, accurate wrist shot and one-timer that projects to be a weapon in the NHL. He has good speed, hands and vision to generate clean entries and make plays but those aspects don’t pop like his shot. Like a lot of shooters, he leans too much on his best asset and play too much on the perimeter which isn’t ideal for a player who lacks size. Lekkerimaki projects as a quality top-six winger.

12. Nathan Gaucher, C, Quebec (QMJHL)
Nov. 6, 2003 | 6′ 2.75″ | 207 pounds | Shoots right

Tier: Projected middle of the lineup player

Skating: Below NHL average
Puck skills: NHL average
Hockey sense: NHL average
Compete: Above NHL average

Player comparable: Nicolas Roy

Background: Gaucher was an important all-situations center for a top QMJHL club in Quebec. He didn’t post big scoring totals this season after scoring a point per game in the prior season. He was invited to Canada’s U20 camp in the summer as an injury replacement.

Analysis: Gaucher is a skilled and competitive center. He possesses a bulky 6-foot-3 frame and is a physical player which allows him to win a lot of puck battles. Gaucher creates a lot of offense around the net due to his physical tools. He’s a responsible two-way player who can PK well. Offensively he’s not flashy, but he has the hands to make plays inside the offensive zone and shows flashes of good playmaking. I think his point totals would have been higher on a different QMJHL team this season but Quebec was quite deep up front. He creates a lot around the hard areas of the ice. He has a fluid stride, but lacks top-end speed and doesn’t make a ton of plays. Gaucher projects as a second line two-way center.

13. Ivan Miroshnichenko, LW, Omsk Krylia (RUSSIA-2)


Feb. 4, 2004 | 6′ 1.0″ | 185 pounds | Shoots right

Tier: Projected middle of the lineup player

Skating: NHL average
Puck skills: NHL average
Hockey sense: NHL average
Compete: Above NHL average
Shot: High-end

Player comparable: Gabriel Landeskog

Background: Miroshnichenko played all season up versus men in Russia’s second-tier league in a regular role before his season ended in January due to being diagnosed with Hodgkin’s lymphoma. He scored 1 goal and 2 points at the U20 4 nations in November. He was the captain and a leading player for Russia’s U18 team when they won Hlinka Gretzky gold. He scored 6 goals and 8 points in 7 games at the U18 World Championships the previous season. He originally intended to play in Muskegon of the USHL instead of Russia the past two seasons but ran into visa issues.

Analysis: Miroshnichenko is a player with all the attributes you want in a top NHL winger. He’s got good size and strength. He’s a strong skater. He’s highly skilled. He can make plays and he’s highly competitive. His shot is a bullet and can be a weapon from the flank on a pro power play. He can beat defenders with speed, he can put pucks through legs, he can create at evens and on the power play. He has a bulky frame and can play a powerful style of game. He has the tools and track record of a projected top line winger, but given his diagnosis he is being placed several tiers below that due to the significant uncertainty in his future projection — despite positive developments since the initial diagnosis.

14. Denton Mateychuk, D, Moose Jaw (WHL)

Jul. 12, 2004 | 5′ 10.75″ | 188 pounds | Shoots left

Tier: Projected middle of the lineup player

Skating: Above NHL average
Puck skills: NHL average
Hockey sense: NHL average
Compete: NHL average
Shot: Above NHL average

Player comparable: Shayne Gostisbehere

Background: Mateychuk played a ton for Moose Jaw this season, often playing half the game and was one of the best 17-year-olds in the WHL. He was also very good as a 16-year-old in the CHL and was invited to represent Canada at the U18s. He was the 11th pick in his WHL Bantam Draft.

Analysis: Mateychuk is an undersized but dynamic defenseman. His skating pops, showing very quick feet that can easily transition pucks up ice with speed or evade pressure easily. Mateychuk attacks with the puck using his skill, skating and vision, making him a threat off the rush and blue line to create chances He can play with pace, but can also make passes off the point and use his hard shot to create offense. He defends well in the WHL due to his feet but at 5-foot-11 the concern for scouts is how well he’ll be able to check in the NHL. It’s a reasonable concern but I think he’s so talented and the skating is so good that he will find a way to succeed and become a top four defenseman.

15. Brad Lambert, C, Pelicans (FINLAND)

Dec. 19, 2003 | 6′ 0.5″ | 175 pounds | Shoots right

Tier: Projected middle of the lineup player

Skating: Above NHL average
Puck skills: NHL average
Hockey sense: NHL average
Compete: Below NHL average

Player comparable: Andre Burakovsky

Background: Lambert split this season between JYP and Pelicans in Liiga where his production rate dipped from his great underage season. He was having a monster world juniors before it was abruptly cancelled and was great at the tournament the previous season, too. His U18 and U17 games with Finland were not as impressive.

Analysis: Lambert is a high-end athlete. His skating ability is explosive. He has great speed and edgework, allowing him to cut away from pressure easily. You combine his skating with strong hands and he’s a go-to guy for zone entries. He can make tough plays in motion and shows O-zone creativity. He can use his skating to circle too much at times but this season showed more willingness to attack directly. He’s full of potential, even though I’ve seen him take a lot of nights off. I think he will be a top-six winger in the NHL but he may frustrate coaches.

16. Reid Schaefer, LW, Seattle (WHL)

Sep. 21, 2003 | 6′ 3.0″ | 213 pounds | Shoots left

Tier: Projected middle of the lineup player

Skating: Below NHL average
Puck skills: NHL average
Hockey sense: NHL average
Compete: Above NHL average
Shot: Above NHL average

Player comparable: Alex Killorn

Background: Schaefer was an important player for Seattle playing on both special teams and scoring a lot of goals for the T-Birds. He was top 10 in scoring in the WHL playoffs. He was an eighth-round pick in his WHL bantam draft who has developed quite well since then.

Analysis: Schaefer’s NHL appeal is due to being a 6-foot-3 winger with legit skill, scoring touch and tenacity. He’s able to use his size and hands to create offense around the net, while also having an excellent wrist shot to score from range.He has value away from the puck, with a strong work rate, good physicality and can PK. He’s never historically been a big scorer, but his puck game and playmaking kept impressing me as the season went along and his role elevated. He looks like a future middle-six power winger with the potential to play high in a lineup if he really hits.

17. Lian Bichsel, D, Leksand (SWEDEN)

May. 18, 2004 | 6′ 5.0″ | 216 pounds | Shoots left

Tier: Projected middle of the lineup player

Skating: NHL average
Puck skills: NHL average
Hockey sense: Below NHL average
Compete: Above NHL average

Player comparable: K’Andre Miller

Background: Bichsel played very well in Sweden’s junior ranks and got extended time with Leksands SHL team. He made Switzerland’s world juniors team in a notable role and was a top player for their U18 team. He was also named one of Switzerland’s best players at the U18 worlds the prior season. A concussion ended his season in the spring.

Analysis: Bichsel’s physical tools are quite evident. He’s a 6-foot-5 defenseman who skates well for his size, is physical and has some offensive touch. He can carry and create through the neutral zone due to his feet and skills and shows some creativity from the offensive blue line. He has good hands but there isn’t much playmaking or poise in his puck play. Defensively he’s quite good due to his reach, feet and physicality. He closes gaps like a pro and can be trusted to play hard minutes as he advances levels. Bichsel projects top four defenseman with the potential to play higher in a lineup if the offense translates.

18. Rutger McGroarty, RW, Usa U-18 (NTDP)

Mar. 30, 2004 | 6′ 0.75″ | 200 pounds | Shoots left

Tier: Projected middle of the lineup player

Skating: Below NHL average
Puck skills: NHL average
Hockey sense: NHL average
Compete: High-end
Shot: Above NHL average

Player comparable: Tyler Toffoli

Background: McGroarty was a top forward for the U.S. NTDP this season, often lining up in a premier scoring role and wore the ‘C’ for that age group. He scored 8 goals in 6 games at the U18 Worlds this season. He represented Team USA at the U18 Worlds as a U17 player. He is from the Lincoln, Nebraska area and is committed to Michigan.

Analysis: McGroarty is a highly-skilled winger who is a threat inside the offensive zone because of his very good puck skills, shot and vision. He can make a lot of plays with finesse, but also is highly competitive. He forces a lot of turnovers, wins a good number of battles and can create around the hard areas of the offensive zone. The knock on McGroarty historically has been his skating. He has an awkward stride that lacks ideal balance and mechanics, but he has enough quickness to be able to play in the NHL. He projects as a top nine winger with the potential to play much higher in a lineup if the skating holds up well enough.

19. Kevin Korchinski, D, Seattle (WHL)

Jun. 21, 2004 | 6′ 2.25″ | 185 pounds | Shoots left

Tier: Projected middle of the lineup player

Skating: NHL average
Puck skills: NHL average
Hockey sense: NHL average
Compete: NHL average

Player comparable: Justin Schultz

Background: Korchinski was a top player for a good WHL team in Seattle this season and one of the best 17-year-old defensemen in the CHL. He was the 10th pick in his WHL Bantam Draft and invited to Canada’s U18 camp.

Analysis: Korchinski has a clear NHL toolkit. He’s a 6-foot-2 defenseman who can skate and has offensive abilities. He’s able to carry pucks up ice well with his skating, and has excellent edgework to evade pressure. Korchinski shows touch and vision with the puck to run a power play and create off the blue line due to his skill and feet. Despite his size and skating, he’s mediocre defensively. He doesn’t compete that hard on that side of the ice and is overly aggressive offensively. That’s a concern, but he generates so much offense that it makes up for those issues to an extent. Korchinski projects as a top-four defenseman.

20. Jiri Kulich, C, Karlovy Vary (CZREP)

Apr. 14, 2004 | 5′ 11.5″ | 172 pounds | Shoots left

Tier: Projected middle of the lineup player

Skating: NHL average
Puck skills: NHL average
Hockey sense: NHL average
Compete: Above NHL average
Shot: Above NHL average

Player comparable: Ross Colton

Background: Kulich got a regular shift vs. pros in Czechia this season with power-play time. He captained their U18 team and made their world junior team in a notable role. He led the U18 world championships in goals and was named MVP of the tournament.

Analysis: Kulich is a well-rounded prospect. He has a fluid, powerful skating stride that can generate clean entries and beat defenders wide. He has slick 1v1 skills and combined with his speed is a threat off the rush. He can make plays but is more of a threat when he’s in motion than picking apart defenses as a playmaker. Kulich has a great shot, showing a one-timer and wrist shot threat from range. Kulich doesn’t show fear from attacking the net or taking a hit to make a play. He projects as a top nine forward, whether at wing or center with the potential to play higher in a lineup.

21. Pavel Mintyukov, D, Saginaw (OHL)

Nov. 25, 2003 | 6′ 1.25″ | 197 pounds | Shoots left

Tier: Projected middle of the lineup player

Skating: NHL average
Puck skills: NHL average
Hockey sense: NHL average
Compete: NHL average
Shot: Above NHL average

Player comparable: Brandon Montour

Background: Mintyukov played a ton of minutes for Saginaw this season and was a top scoring defenseman in the OHL as a first-year draft-eligible player. He missed all of 2020-21 due to the OHL not playing. Previously, he was a top player at the World U-17 Challenge where Russia won gold, scoring five points in six games.

Analysis: Mintyukov is an exciting defenseman. He plays with pace and is aggressive as a rusher. His skating allows him to evade pressure easily and transition pucks up ice with his feet. Mintyukov is also highly skilled and can make plays through legs and sticks. He shows good offensive IQ, knowing when to activate and how to make plays with the puck. He also has a hard point shot, making him dangerous on the PP with his skating and vision. Defensively he’s solid, showing an ability to use his long reach, mobility and physicality to kill plays. He can be a little too aggressive at times trying to create offense when he leaves his defensive position. He projects as a top-four defenseman with the potential to play high in the lineup.

22. Frank Nazar, C, Usa U-18 (NTDP)

Jan. 14, 2004 | 5′ 9.75″ | 175 pounds | Shoots right

Tier: Projected middle of the lineup player

Skating: Above NHL average
Puck skills: NHL average
Hockey sense: NHL average
Compete: High-end

Player comparable: Alex Kerfoot

Background: Nazar was a significant player for the US program, often lining up as a top-two-line center.. He was highly productive as an underage player, scoring over a point a game. He’s committed to Michigan.

Analysis: Nazar brings a lot of speed and energy to his shifts. He lacks ideal NHL size, but he makes up for it with his effort. He is hard on pucks, and shows no fear in how he attacks the interior third of the offensive zone. He can make an occasional flashy deke or pass, but most of his offense comes from the high percentage areas. Nazar’s great speed helps him get to the net and turn around a lot of defenders. He projects as a third-line center with a chance to be a No. 2 center.

23. Conor Geekie, C, Winnipeg (WHL)

May. 5, 2004 | 6′ 3.25″ | 196 pounds | Shoots left

Tier: Projected middle of the lineup player

Skating: Below NHL average
Puck skills: NHL average
Hockey sense: NHL average
Compete: NHL average

Player comparable: Dylan Strome

Background: Geekie was a top player on one of the best teams in the CHL this season, following up a great 16-year-old season where he was a point per game. He was the No. 2 pick in his WHL Bantam Draft right before his teammate Matthew Savoie. His brother Morgan Geekie plays for the Seattle Kraken.

Analysis: Geekie has drawn a lot of interest from NHL teams because he’s a 6-foot-3 center with a high skill level. With his hands and reach he’s able to consistently maneuver pucks through sticks and legs to create chances. He’s a big man who doesn’t shy away from physical contact, which combined with his skill makes him tough to deal with down low and strip the puck from in general. Geekie can make plays and run a power play, showing good vision and finish from the perimeter. His main flaw, like his brother Morgan’s was, is his skating. He’s a better skater than his brother and can separate occasionally at the WHL level but doesn’t project to do so in the NHL. Geekie projects as middle-six center with a chance to play higher in the lineup.

24. Lane Hutson, D, Usa U-18 (NTDP)

Feb. 14, 2004 | 5′ 8.5″ | 148 pounds | Shoots left

Tier: Projected middle of the lineup player

Skating: NHL average
Puck skills: NHL average
Hockey sense: High-end
Compete: NHL average

Player comparable: Torey Krug

Background: Hutson was a top four defenseman for the U.S. NTDP all season and generated a lot of offense. He was invited to the U18 team as an underage player where he was a top player for that team as well, being named one of the top three players at the U18 World Championships in 2021 for USA. He was named top defenseman of the 2022 U18 Worlds. He’s committed to Boston University.

Analysis: Hutson is a constant threat with the puck on his stick. He’s the smartest player in the draft. He makes so many seam passes to generate chances. Hutson is also a highly-skilled puckhandler who shows great creativity off the offensive blue line. He makes a lot of crafty fakes and dekes to evade pressure. He’s not the fastest skater, but his edgework is quite good and allows him to use his skating to attack. The offense is clear NHL quality. Whether a barely 5-foot-9 defenseman who isn’t an elite skater can defend in the NHL is the question with Hutson. He’s a competitive, quality defender versus juniors and college opponents but that will need to be a test he’ll need to clear down the line. I think he plays in the NHL, and projects as an offensive-tilted top-four defenseman, but I realize the odds are against a player who looks like him becoming that. I stamp him this high because he’s the smartest player in the draft and I see just enough to the rest of his game to be able to elevate at higher levels.

25. Mattias Havelid, D, Linkoping Jr. (SWEDEN-JR.)

Jan. 1, 2004 | 5′ 9.0″ | 165 pounds | Shoots right

Tier: Projected middle of the lineup player

Skating: Above NHL average
Puck skills: NHL average
Hockey sense: NHL average
Compete: NHL average
Shot: High-end

Player comparable: Sami Vatanen

Background: Havelid has been a very good junior defenseman and got a good chunk of SHL games this season. He was MVP of the J20 playoffs in Sweden. Havelid has been an important part of Sweden’s U18 team over the last two seasons, including scoring nine points in five Hlinka Gretzky games and 12 points in six games at the U18 championship. He’s the twin brother of fellow draft eligible Hugo Havelid.

Analysis: Havelid is a talented offensive player from the back end. He has the skating ability to jump into attacks and activate off the blue line to create offense with his skill. Havelid can find seams and create with his playmaking consistently. He also has a hard point shot and scored a lot of goals this season. The major drawback on Havelid is his frame. Not many 5-foot-9 defensemen play in the NHL. He defends well and has been great at retrievals in junior but whether he will versus men is the debate. Due to how well he skates I think he will make it as a top four defenseman who can help a power play.

26. Owen Pickering, D, Swift Current (WHL)


Jan. 27, 2004 | 6′ 4.0″ | 178 pounds | Shoots left

Tier: Projected middle of the lineup player

Skating: NHL average
Puck skills: Below NHL average
Hockey sense: NHL average
Compete: NHL average

Player comparable: Travis Sanheim

Background: Pickering played major minutes for Swift Current this season and put up solid scoring totals for a defenseman his age. He was named one of Canada’s top 3 players at the U18 World Championships. He was a ninth round pick in his WHL Bantam draft but experienced a significant growth spurt since then.

Analysis: Pickering’s tools are evident to anyone who watches a game or two. He’s a 6-foot-4 defenseman who skates quite well for his size and has offense. He can carry through the neutral zone to create controlled exits/entries and is good on retrievals. He can also pull up to make a good outlet or seam pass in the O-zone. He can use his size and feet to close on checks efficiently. Pickering’s ascent has been quick, and thus there are some raw aspects with his play with the puck and overall consistency. He projects as a second or third pair defenseman depending on how much the offense translates.

27. Luca Del Bel Belluz, C, Mississauga (OHL)

Nov. 10, 2003 | 6′ 0.5″ | 175 pounds | Shoots left

Tier: Projected middle of the lineup player

Skating: Below NHL average
Puck skills: NHL average
Hockey sense: NHL average
Compete: NHL average
Shot: Above NHL average

Player comparable: Ryan Donato

Background: Del Bel Belluz had a productive season playing all situations for a strong Steelheads team, being one of the top scorers in the OHL early in the season but that production tailed off in the second half. His production trended way up after only scoring six points in his first OHL season in 2020. He was a third-round pick in his OHL Draft.

Analysis: Del Bel Belluz is a very skilled center with decent size. He has the crafty puck skills to manipulate the puck in tight areas and often shows he can beat defenders one on one. He can run a power play off the flank due to his very good vision and shot although I don’t see that as his role in the NHL. He lacks foot speed for the higher levels, but he works hard enough and provides some two-way value down the middle. He projects as a top-nine forward. With his feet he may struggle to stick at center but if he does it’s on the third line.

28. Liam Ohgren, LW, Djurgarden Jr. (SWEDEN-JR.)

Jan. 28, 2004 | 6′ 0.0″ | 187 pounds | Shoots left

Tier: Projected middle of the lineup player

Skating: Below NHL average
Puck skills: NHL average
Hockey sense: NHL average
Compete: Above NHL average
Shot: Above NHL average

Player comparable: Alex Iafallo

Background: Ohgren was a goal per-game player and top scorer in Sweden’s J20 league while also playing limited minutes in the SHL. He was a top player for Sweden’s U18 team and played for the U20 team in November.

Analysis: Calling Ohgren a goal scorer isn’t a novel observation given his stats this season but he’s shown he can score goals in a variety of ways. He has great hands and can create offense through his skill. He generates a lot of offense around the high-percentage areas because of his strength and compete. Ohgren also has a shot that can score from range. He’s smart enough with the puck to move it well but is more of a shooter and worker than a playmaker. His skating is OK. I’ve heard from scouts who like it but I’ve never seen a player who can separate with speed. He projects as a top-nine winger.

29. Jimmy Snuggerud, RW, Usa U-18 (NTDP)

Jun. 1, 2004 | 6′ 1.25″ | 186 pounds | Shoots right

Tier: Projected middle of the lineup player

Skating: Below NHL average
Puck skills: NHL average
Hockey sense: NHL average
Compete: NHL average
Shot: Above NHL average

Player comparable: Tanner Pearson

Background: Snuggerud was a top-six forward for the U.S. NTDP this season and one of the most improved players on the program from the previous season. He’s committed to Minnesota.

Analysis: Snuggerud’s a talented winger who can be dangerous with the puck on his stick. He has one-on-one skill, good vision, and his best asset is his shot. He is a long-range shooting threat with a one-timer you can build a power-play unit around. Snuggerud has good size, competes well and is responsible defensively. The only issue is he has heavy feet which could impede him as he advances levels. The rest of his game is strong enough though that I think he could be a top-nine forward.

30. Noah Ostlund, C, Djurgarden Jr. (SWEDEN-JR.)

Mar. 11, 2004 | 5′ 11.0″ | 163 pounds | Shoots left

Tier: Projected middle of the lineup player

Skating: NHL average
Puck skills: Above NHL average
Hockey sense: NHL average
Compete: NHL average
Shot: Below NHL average

Player comparable: Tyson Jost

Background: Ostlund has been a highly productive junior player in Sweden the last two seasons. He got time in the SHL with Djurgarden in limited minutes. He was a top forward for Sweden’s U18 team this season and played for their U18 team as an underage as well.

Analysis: Ostlund posseses impressive speed and skill. He’s able to be an asset in transition due to his abilty to create controlled entries and make defenders miss. He has a pass-first mentaility but can make difficult plays at a high rate. Ostlund has the poise to run a power-play unit and find seams but he’s not much of a shot threat. Ostlund isn’t the biggest, but he works hard enough and has shown as a junior he can reliable defensively. He looks like a potential third line center in the NHL.

31. Ryan Chesley, D, Usa U-18 (NTDP)

Feb. 27, 2004 | 6′ 0.25″ | 195 pounds | Shoots right

Tier: Projected middle of the lineup player

Skating: NHL average
Puck skills: NHL average
Hockey sense: Below NHL average
Compete: Above NHL average
Shot: Above NHL average

Player comparable: Ryan Lindgren

Background: Chesley was a top-four defenseman for the U.S. NTDP this season, often playing on both special teams units. He represented team USA’s U18 team as an underage. He’s committed to the University of Minnesota.

Analysis: Chesley has some physical assets that pop off the page from a pro projection. He’s a NHL-caliber skater who can transition pucks up ice very well with his speed. He has average size, but he’s quite strong and physical. With his mobility he’s able to close on checks well, and often uses his body to land hard hits to separate pucks from players. He has good individual skill, with the hands to beat checks one-on-one and generate a lot of power off his one-timer. Chesley isn’t a gifted puck-mover though and can struggle at times with his puck distribution. He projects as a full-time second- or third pair defenseman depending on how much the offense translates to higher levels.

32. Jagger Firkus, RW, Moose Jaw (WHL)

Apr. 29, 2004 | 5′ 9.75″ | 153 pounds | Shoots right

Tier: Projected middle of the lineup player

Skating: NHL average
Puck skills: NHL average
Hockey sense: NHL average
Compete: NHL average
Shot: High-end

Player comparable: Eeli Tolvanen

Background: Firkus has scored at a strong rate in the WHL over the past two seasons, being a big part of Moose Jaw’s offense. He’s trended up significantly after being the 82nd pick in his WHL Bantam Draft. He was named player of the game for the CHL Top Prospects Game.

Analysis: Firkus’ skill and creativity stand out consistently. He shows great ability to beat defenders one-on-one with his stickhandling. He can make tough passes at a high rate through seams and under pressure. He is a shot-and-pass threat which makes him a major asset on a power play and often scores from range with a release that will beat NHL goalies. Firkus is quick, but not fast, showing good enough skating and compete to win battles but he’s not going to beat NHL defenders wide. The scoring ability is significant enough that I think he can be a middle-six winger.

33. Isaac Howard, LW, Usa U-18 (NTDP)

Mar. 30, 2004 | 5′ 10.0″ | 182 pounds | Shoots left

Tier: Projected middle of the lineup player

Skating: NHL average
Puck skills: Above NHL average
Hockey sense: NHL average
Compete: NHL average

Player comparable: Jonathan Dahlen

Background: Howard has been a highly productive forward for the U.S. NTDP over his two seasons. He was called up to the U18 team as a 16-year-old where he played a significant role at the U18 world championships with four points in five games. He was a top scorer in the tournament overall at this year’s U18’s. He also scored seven goals in four games at the Youth Olympics. He’s committed to Minnesota-Duluth.

Analysis: Howard is a player defined by his skill level. His stick skills are among the best in the draft. He can make quick and creative dekes consistently. He’s known as a goal-scorer, but he can make creative passes and make difficult plays in small areas. Howard is a good enough skater for the NHL, but for a 5-foot-10 guy you’d like to see a little more burst. His goal scoring is more a product of his skill and willingness to attack the middle than an elite shot. He projects as a top-nine winger.

34. Filip Mesar, RW, Poprad (SLOVAKIA)

Jan. 3, 2004 | 5′ 10.0″ | 167 pounds | Shoots right

Tier: Projected middle of the lineup player

Skating: Above NHL average
Puck skills: NHL average
Hockey sense: NHL average
Compete: NHL average
Shot: Above NHL average

Player comparable: Alexander Barabanov

Background: Mesar has played pro hockey in Slovakia the last two seasons. He was a top forward at the Hlinka Gretzky Cup in the summer. He made Slovakia’s world junior team in a scoring role and also played well in games for Slovakia’s senior team.

Analysis: Mesar’s game is defined by speed and pace. He’s one of the better skaters in this draft, with the ability to burn up the neutral zone to create clean entries with speed. He has good skill and playmaking ability, and shows he can make tough plays with the puck with pace. Mesar lacks size at 5-foot-10 and isn’t an overly physical player. His compete is good enough for me but probably not where you want for an undersized player. I think with his speed, skill and scoring ability he can carve out a career as a top-nine winger though.

35. Jani Nyman, RW, Koovee (FINLAND-2)
Skating: Below NHL average
Puck skills: NHL average
Hockey sense: NHL average
Compete: NHL average
Shot: Above NHL average

36. Ryan Greene, C, Green Bay (USHL)

Skating: NHL average
Puck skills: NHL average
Hockey sense: NHL average
Compete: NHL average
Shot: Above NHL average

37. Danil Zhilkin, C, Guelph (OHL)

Skating: NHL average
Puck skills: NHL average
Hockey sense: NHL average
Compete: NHL average
Shot: Above NHL average

38. Filip Bystedt, C, Linkoping Jr. (SWEDEN-JR.)

Skating: NHL average
Puck skills: Below NHL average
Hockey sense: NHL average
Compete: NHL average

39. Cameron Lund, C, Green Bay (USHL)

Skating: NHL average
Puck skills: NHL average
Hockey sense: NHL average
Compete: Below NHL average
Shot: Above NHL average

40. Tristan Luneau, D, Gatineau (QMJHL)

Skating: Below NHL average
Puck skills: NHL average
Hockey sense: NHL average
Compete: NHL average
Shot: Above NHL average

41. Viktor Neuchev, LW, Yekaterinburg 2 (RUSSIA-JR.)

Skating: Below NHL average
Puck skills: Above NHL average
Hockey sense: Below NHL average
Compete: Below NHL average
Shot: High-end

42. Mats Lindgren, D, Kamloops (WHL)

Skating: NHL average
Puck skills: NHL average
Hockey sense: Above NHL average
Compete: NHL average

43. Miguel Tourigny, D, Acadie-Bathurst (QMJHL)

Skating: Above NHL average
Puck skills: Below NHL average
Hockey sense: Above NHL average
Compete: Above NHL average
Shot: Above NHL average

44. Maveric Lamoureux, D, Drummondville (QMJHL)

Skating: Below NHL average
Puck skills: Below NHL average
Hockey sense: Below NHL average
Compete: Above NHL average

45. Julian Lutz, LW, Munchen (GERMANY)

Skating: NHL average
Puck skills: NHL average
Hockey sense: Below NHL average
Compete: NHL average
Shot: Above NHL average

46. Arseni Koromyslov, D, Ska St. Petersburg 2 (RUSSIA-JR.)


Skating: NHL average
Puck skills: Below NHL average
Hockey sense: NHL average
Compete: Above NHL average

47. Jack Hughes, C, Northeastern (H-EAST)

Skating: Below NHL average
Puck skills: Above NHL average
Hockey sense: NHL average
Compete: NHL average

48. Bryce Mcconnell-Barker, C, Sault Ste. Marie (OHL)


Skating: Below NHL average
Puck skills: NHL average
Hockey sense: NHL average
Compete: NHL average
Shot: Above NHL average

49. Seamus Casey, D, Usa U-18 (NTDP)


Skating: Above NHL average
Puck skills: NHL average
Hockey sense: Above NHL average
Compete: NHL average

50. Sam Rinzel, D, Chaska (HIGH-MN)

Skating: NHL average
Puck skills: NHL average
Hockey sense: Below NHL average
Compete: NHL average

51. Gleb Trikozov, LW, Omsk 2 (RUSSIA-JR.)

Skating: Below NHL average
Puck skills: NHL average
Hockey sense: NHL average
Compete: NHL average
Shot: Above NHL average

52. Owen Beck, C, Mississauga (OHL)


Skating: NHL average
Puck skills: NHL average
Hockey sense: NHL average
Compete: NHL average

53. Kasper Kulonummi, D, Jokerit Jr. (FINLAND-JR.)

Skating: NHL average
Puck skills: NHL average
Hockey sense: NHL average
Compete: NHL average

54. Elias Salomonsson, D, Skelleftea Jr. (SWEDEN-JR.)

Skating: NHL average
Puck skills: Below NHL average
Hockey sense: NHL average
Compete: NHL average
Shot: High-end

55. Tomas Hamara, D, Tappara Jr. (FINLAND-JR.)

Skating: NHL average
Puck skills: Below NHL average
Hockey sense: NHL average
Compete: NHL average
Shot: Above NHL average

56. Simon Forsmark, D, Orebro (SWEDEN)

Skating: Below NHL average
Puck skills: Below NHL average
Hockey sense: NHL average
Compete: Above NHL average

57. Cruz Lucius, RW, Usa U-18 (NTDP)

Skating: Below NHL average
Puck skills: NHL average
Hockey sense: NHL average
Compete: NHL average
Shot: Above NHL average

58. Rieger Lorenz, LW, Okotoks (AJHL)

Skating: Below NHL average
Puck skills: NHL average
Hockey sense: Below NHL average
Compete: NHL average
Shot: Above NHL average

59. Alexander Perevalov, LW, Yaroslavl 2 (RUSSIA-JR.)

Skating: Below NHL average
Puck skills: NHL average
Hockey sense: NHL average
Compete: NHL average
Shot: Above NHL average

60. Topias Leinonen, G, Jyp Jr. (FINLAND-JR.)

Skating: NHL average
Hockey sense: NHL average

61. Tyler Brennan, G, Prince George (WHL)

Skating: Below NHL average
Hockey sense: Above NHL average

62. Jordan Gustafson, C, Seattle (WHL)

Skating: NHL average
Puck skills: NHL average
Hockey sense: NHL average
Compete: NHL average

63. Adam Sykora, LW, Nitra (SLOVAKIA)


Skating: NHL average
Puck skills: NHL average
Hockey sense: NHL average
Compete: Above NHL average

64. Fraser Minten, C, Kamloops (WHL)

Skating: Below NHL average
Puck skills: Below NHL average
Hockey sense: NHL average
Compete: NHL average
Shot: Above NHL average

65. Dylan James, LW, Sioux City (USHL)

Skating: Below NHL average
Puck skills: NHL average
Hockey sense: NHL average
Compete: NHL average

66. Connor McClennon, RW, Winnipeg (WHL)


Skating: NHL average
Puck skills: NHL average
Hockey sense: NHL average
Compete: NHL average
Shot: Above NHL average

67. David Goyette, C, Sudbury (OHL)


Skating: NHL average
Puck skills: NHL average
Hockey sense: NHL average
Compete: Below NHL average

Paracaidas fucked around with this message at 02:33 on Jul 7, 2022

ThinkTank
Oct 23, 2007

There is only one worthwhile draft pick this year: Rutger McGroarty.

Also thanks again for throwing a second round pick this year into that absolute train wreck of an OEL trade Jimbo. Miss ya bud.

corn on the cop
Oct 12, 2012

Break what must be broken, once for all, that's all, and take the suffering on oneself.

― Corey Dostoyevsky
please do not trade for jt miller

ThinkTank
Oct 23, 2007

corn on the cop posted:

please do not trade for jt miller

Counterpoint: please do and include Jersey's 2023 first.

Seriously though, he's really good and would be terrific for a team like Jersey.

Paracaidas
Sep 24, 2016
Consistently Tedious!
Big board is up, writeups trimmed as soon as we get to his "could play, I guess?" guys. I'll fix formatting when not phoneposting

ThinkTank posted:

There is only one worthwhile draft pick this year: Rutger McGroarty.
Snuggerud and Del Bel Belluz are also top tier last names hurt by pedestrian first names.

Hunch is Lambert has the most precipitous fall compared to Pronman's big board while Luneau or Beck is most overdrafted (I'm not counting Geekie as he acknowledges he's the lowest on him by a mile)

stab
Feb 12, 2003

To you from failing hands we throw the torch, be yours to hold it high
DRAFT WRIGHT YOU FUCKS KENT HUGHES I SWEAR TO GOD

bub spank
Feb 1, 2005

the THRILL

stab posted:

DRAFT WRIGHT YOU FUCKS KENT HUGHES I SWEAR TO GOD

Wright is such a clear, obvious, slam-dunk first overall pick who is almost guaranteed to be a top-6 centre in the NHL. Not MacKinnon level, but a safe projectable RNH-like floor.

Slafkovsky is a total wildcard who had terrible production for a 1st round pick in his regular season play, but looked good in international tournaments. He just seems like such a risky choice for 1st overall. I can't imagine there's been a 1OA with a similar profile since the 90's.

NHLe models aren't great, but most potential top-3 picks have similar draft profiles. Slafkovsky has nowhere near that type of profile. For example, the 2 leading public NHLe models look at him like this:

https://public.tableau.com/app/profile/topdownhockey/viz/ProspectProjections-2022/ProspectProjections

https://twitter.com/ByronMBader/status/1532753160854310913

ThinkTank
Oct 23, 2007

The "will Wright go #1?" stuff is just drumming up interest in a pretty drab draft. They do this every year.

Hopefully some fun trades will make up for what should be a pretty lacklustre first round.

Mike_V
Jul 31, 2004

3/18/2023: Day of the Dorks
This draft seems to be a real poo poo one if you're in the top 5. Looking forward to the retrospectives to see how chaotic it all turned out

ThinkTank
Oct 23, 2007

I got beaten to the punch on the draft thread this year but I was gonna make the op just this gif

Paracaidas
Sep 24, 2016
Consistently Tedious!
Done(ish)

Nissin Cup Nudist
Sep 3, 2011

Sleep with one eye open

We're off to Gritty Gritty land




Why is the draft Thursday/Friday instead of Friday/Saturday like every other year

ThinkTank
Oct 23, 2007

Nissin Cup Nudist posted:

Why is the draft Thursday/Friday instead of Friday/Saturday like every other year

Because it's being shown on ESPN and Friday is a terrible night for television.

clean ayers act
Aug 13, 2007

How do I shot puck!?
awaiting asinhowe to tell me who the wings are picking

Good Soldier Svejk
Jul 5, 2010

clean ayers act posted:

awaiting asinhowe to tell me who the wings are picking

I've heard from sources close to the family that they're thinking of picking a plug

Good Soldier Svejk fucked around with this message at 00:12 on Jul 6, 2022

Propaganda Hour
Aug 25, 2008



after editing wikipedia as a joke for 16 years, i ve convinced myself that homer simpson's japanese name translates to the "The beer goblin"
I'm gonna be real mad when the Habs fail to pick the Wright choice

Yaya
Nov 14, 2012

vancloober cablucks
There's a guy named Jack Hughes and a guy named Elias Pettersson in this draft and I think it's insanely rude if we as a collective don't let them be drafted by New Jersey and Vancouver respectively

stab
Feb 12, 2003

To you from failing hands we throw the torch, be yours to hold it high

Yaya posted:

There's a guy named Jack Hughes and a guy named Elias Pettersson in this draft and I think it's insanely rude if we as a collective don't let them be drafted by New Jersey and Vancouver respectively

Ya but jack hughes is kent hughes kid and i'd loving lol forever if Kent drafted him with the 2nd 1st round pick instead of a Louis Leblanc wannabe from the Q that our Premier keeps clamoring for

ThinkTank
Oct 23, 2007

What excuse are we gonna get for there being no real trades tomorrow? Cap uncertainty is out the window, can they work supply chain issues in somehow?

Duckman2008
Jan 6, 2010

TFW you see Flyers goaltending.
Grimey Drawer

ThinkTank posted:

What excuse are we gonna get for there being no real trades tomorrow? Cap uncertainty is out the window, can they work supply chain issues in somehow?

Uncertainty with Russian players.

T-Bone
Sep 14, 2004

jakes did this?

Pronman posted:

The slight majority of my information from league sources is Montreal will take Slafkovsky with the top pick, but there are still quite a few league personnel who believe it will be Shane Wright.

Scaramouche
Mar 26, 2001

SPACE FACE! SPACE FACE!

Snuggerud has to make it just for the nicknames. What'll it be, Snuggy? Dank Snug?

Paracaidas
Sep 24, 2016
Consistently Tedious!

Scaramouche posted:

Snuggerud has to make it just for the nicknames. What'll it be, Snuggy? Dank Snug?
"Rudy" or "Snugzie". Snuggie is a great marketing op though.


If draft night breaks this way, I really hope the Wild come away with one of Yurov (KHL), Lambert (became post hype during draft year, somehow), or Miroshnichenko (hodgkins lymphoma) and then one of Nazar, Snugg, or McGroarty. Just not a Dman, really. I'll post the mock when I'm home tonight if nobody beats me to it.

The Dirty Burger
Aug 24, 2007

1st team all star
+
2nd degree manslaughter
=
3rd world clothing line
Hughes-Hischier-Wright would be the puniest centre depth in the league, I love it

fawning deference
Jul 4, 2018

If Slaffy does go first, the Devils will have an interesting position. They really need a winger like him or a winger in general. I wonder if they'd think about trading down and getting an asset out of it, or just go with the top 3 down the middle and build around that.

Good Soldier Svejk
Jul 5, 2010

You gotta take the BPA/center depth, especially with Hughes' durability issues

whatis
Jun 6, 2012
trade down or move one of them to wing. it's not that big of a deal IMO, they'll have good options either way

T-Bone
Sep 14, 2004

jakes did this?

fawning deference posted:

If Slaffy does go first, the Devils will have an interesting position. They really need a winger like him or a winger in general. I wonder if they'd think about trading down and getting an asset out of it, or just go with the top 3 down the middle and build around that.

if they don't take Wright they're loving nuts imo

fawning deference
Jul 4, 2018

T-Bone posted:

if they don't take Wright they're loving nuts imo

I'm probably just ignorant at how good he is compared to someone like Cooley or other top 5 guys. It'll be pretty interesting to have 3 really young really good (if Wright pans out) centers who are very well cost-controlled.

Blackbelt Bobman
Jul 17, 2004

I don't need friends! I've been
manipulatin' you since the start!
All so I can something,
something X-Blade!


It’s kinda crazy that the Sabres have three firsts. I’m unreasonably excited for the draft because it the org finally has a sense of direction after a decade of pretending they were one or two pieces away from greatness. Free Agency is going to be nuts too because they have tons of cap space. I dunno what’s going to happen and that’s exciting?!

T-Bone
Sep 14, 2004

jakes did this?

fawning deference posted:

I'm probably just ignorant at how good he is compared to someone like Cooley or other top 5 guys. It'll be pretty interesting to have 3 really young really good (if Wright pans out) centers who are very well cost-controlled.

Cooley would be acceptable as well. Maybe Nemec I guess although those #s seem inflated

whatis
Jun 6, 2012

Blackbelt Bobman posted:

It’s kinda crazy that the Sabres have three firsts. I’m unreasonably excited for the draft because it the org finally has a sense of direction after a decade of pretending they were one or two pieces away from greatness. Free Agency is going to be nuts too because they have tons of cap space. I dunno what’s going to happen and that’s exciting?!

they'll likely be boring in FA and while there's a decent chance of a trade, i doubt it'll be anything crazy. i don't think the fun will begin until next offseason

Paracaidas
Sep 24, 2016
Consistently Tedious!
Athletic 'final' Mock
1. Montreal Canadiens: Juraj Slafkovsky, LW, TPS (Finland)

The slight majority of my information from league sources is Montreal will take Slafkovsky with the top pick, but there are still quite a few league personnel who believe it will be Shane Wright. In my experience with the draft, when players start trending in one direction late in the process, they tend to keep trending, and right now a majority of the league sources I talk to are discussing Slafkovsky as the best player in the draft. I don’t believe Montreal’s positional needs play a large factor in this decision even if obviously NHL teams prefer centers and defensemen. The Canadiens lost 60 games last season — they have needs everywhere.

2. New Jersey Devils: David Jiricek, RHD, Plzen (Czechia)

If Slafkovsky is available at this pick, I believe he’s the Devils guy. If he isn’t, it gets complicated. I could see Shane Wright here. There is obviously a ton of speculation about the Devils trading the pick in this scenario, too. Should they remain at No. 2, my best guess is they pick one of the top two defensemen, David Jiricek or Simon Nemec, with my best intel of late being they lean toward Jiricek. One name I’ve also been told not to rule out with New Jersey at No. 2 is Marco Kasper.

3. Arizona Coyotes: Logan Cooley, C, U.S. NTDP (USHL)

If Wright goes 1, then Slafkovsky 2, then I believe Arizona will be debating between Cooley, Nemec and Cutter Gauthier for this pick. If Wright is available, it makes it more interesting. My best information is Arizona prefers Cooley, but I could absolutely see Wright being picked here as well, and my information on their preference from league sources is a near coin flip.

4. Seattle Kraken: Shane Wright, C, Kingston (OHL)

If Wright starts to slip a little, my bet is this is his floor. If it goes Wright, Slafkovsky, Cooley 1-2-3, then I believe Seattle will be down to one of the top two defensemen, Jiricek and Nemec, Joakim Kemell or Gauthier, with my money being on them taking Nemec.

5. Philadelphia Flyers: Cutter Gauthier, LW/C, U.S. NTDP (USHL)

I’ve been hearing a lot about Gauthier and the Flyers as we get closer to draft day. I imagine this is a floor for Cooley if something surprising happens before this pick, such as Gauthier going at 3 or both defensemen being picked.

6. Columbus Blue Jackets: Simon Nemec, RHD, Nitra (Slovakia)

While I think it’s possible someone like Kasper or Jonathan Lekkerimaki can break up the somewhat consensus group of six at the top of this draft, I still project Columbus to be in on whichever of the top six rated prospects in Slafkovsky, Wright, Cooley, Jiricek, Gauthier and Nemec are there. In this scenario it is Nemec.

7. Ottawa Senators: Joakim Kemell, RW, JYP (Finland)

Kemell and Matthew Savoie are the two players I’ve heard speculated to Ottawa in the draft leadup. They’re both highly talented and compete well, but smaller wingers in the top 10 don’t tend to jibe with what Ottawa has prioritized in the draft of late so a part of my brain worries I’m missing something and this pick ends up being someone like Kasper, Conor Geekie or Kevin Korchinski.

8. Detroit Red Wings: Marco Kasper, C, Rogle (SHL)

I’ve had Kasper to Detroit pretty much since my first mock draft, so I apologize for the lack of creativity here. I just see so much that makes sense from a talent, positional and stylistic fit. If they went in a different direction my best bet would be for either Savoie, Joakim Kemell or Korchinski.

9. Buffalo Sabres: Jonathan Lekkerimaki, RW, Djurgarden (SHL)

I expect Buffalo to use the first of its three first-round picks primarily to add offense and skill to the organization. I’ve heard Savoie and Kemell speculated here but the best guess from my information is they will pick either Lekkerimaki or Kasper.

10. Anaheim Ducks: Kevin Korchinski, LHD, Seattle (WHL)

Unless someone falls unexpectedly, my best information is Anaheim ends up taking Korchinski or Pavel Mintyukov at this spot, adding a new top defenseman prospect to the organization that just traded away Hampus Lindholm and Josh Manson. I have heard Denton Mateychuk’s name mentioned here too by team sources.

11. San Jose Sharks: Matthew Savoie, C/RW, Winnipeg (WHL)

Savoie would fit into the types of highly skilled and competitive players the Sharks have targeted in recent years. If either Kemell, Lekkerimaki or Korchinski make it this far I believe they would all be in serious consideration for the Sharks too.

12. Columbus Blue Jackets: Pavel Mintyukov, LHD, Saginaw (OHL)

As we’ve approached the draft I’ve heard less “Russian factor” concerns on Mintyukov, who played all year in North America and didn’t go home to Russia to train this offseason. My current expectation is he will go somewhere in the top 12-13 based on what I’m hearing in the industry. Adding him and Nemec would be a huge boost to the defensive depth in Columbus.

13. New York Islanders: Nathan Gaucher, C, Quebec (QMJHL)

I realize this looks like a way off consensus pick at 13, but I keep hearing Gaucher is more highly valued in team circles than his public perception might be due to his being a 6-3 two-way center who some teams believe has legit skill. I could buy the Islanders going Geekie or Mintyukov here instead though.

14. Winnipeg Jets: Conor Geekie, C, Winnipeg (WHL)

Geekie is a highly divisive name in the scouting community. I could see him going much higher or much lower. I do think he’ll be a name in the Jets mix, along with Mintyukov, Gaucher and Noah Ostlund.

15. Vancouver Canucks: Noah Ostlund, C, Djurgarden (Sweden)

Gaucher and Ostlund are the two names I’ve heard the most with Vancouver in the runup to the draft. Both would be significant upgrades to their young center depth, but Ostlund plays a more dynamic skill and speed game. I’ve also heard Liam Ohgren speculated here too.

16. Buffalo Sabres: Jiri Kulich, LW/C, Karlovy Vary (Czechia)

Kulich’s name continues to rise, and I think he has a strong chance to be a top-20 pick on draft day. I’ve mocked Danila Yurov here consistently and I do think he could be in play, but Kulich offers far less risk and is still quite a talent. I’ve also heard Ostlund speculated here if he’s still available.

17. Nashville Predators: Owen Pickering, LHD, Swift Current (WHL)

My expectation throughout the draft process would be that Nashville would add a defenseman at 17. Whether it’s Pickering, Denton Mateychuk or Lian Bichsel, I believe they will try to help their depth at that position with this pick.

18. Dallas Stars: Lian Bichsel, LHD, Leksands (SHL)


Dallas has quite a few strong forward prospects coming through the pipeline, but there isn’t a ton coming on the blue line. Thus, I expect them try to add a defense prospect whether it be Bichsel, Pickering or Mateychuk.

19. Minnesota Wild: Frank Nazar, C, U.S. NTDP (USHL)

I know Nazar is an internet favorite, but based on conversations around the league, it’s around the late teens that I expect teams to start debating him seriously. His style of play would mesh with that of fellow Wild prospect Marat Khusnutdinov. I could see Reid Schaefer as another possibility here if they want size.

20. Washington Capitals: Reid Schaefer, LW, Seattle (WHL)

Schaefer’s name has been trending with teams after his great WHL playoffs. I fully expect him to be a first-round pick, and I don’t think him going as high as 20 is unreasonable. There isn’t a lot in the Capitals pipeline that looks like Schaefer as a big winger with some skill and sandpaper. I could see Pickering here too if he gets to 20.

21. Pittsburgh Penguins: Danila Yurov, RW, Magnitogorsk (KHL)

As we’ve gotten to draft week, I’m getting the sense around the league that teams are getting cold feet on picking players with KHL contracts like Yurov, whom many scouts rate top 10 on talent. The Penguins would likely prefer a top center or defense prospect here, but at this point in the draft the obvious ones are gone. Rutger McGroarty and Jimmy Snuggerud are names I’ve heard speculated here, but I think at 21 Yurov may be too enticing to pass up.

22. Anaheim Ducks: Jimmy Snuggerud, RW, U.S. NTDP (USHL)

I could see Snuggerud go before 22, but right around this range is where I expect him to become a serious consideration for clubs. He’s a strong, skilled winger who competes well and can score goals. You can see him complementing someone like Trevor Zegras or Mason McTavish quite well. I could also see Kulich as the pick here.

23. St. Louis Blues: Ryan Chesley, RHD, U.S. NTDP (USHL)

Chesley makes a lot of sense for the Blues in terms of his highly competitive play style, while also addressing a clear organizational need for some quality young defensemen. If either Pickering or Bichsel last to 23, I have to imagine they would be very much in the Blues mix as well.

24. Minnesota Wild: Denton Mateychuk, LHD, Moose Jaw (WHL)

Minnesota would know Mateychuk well after he played so much with fellow Wild pick Daemon Hunt. With expectations that keeping Matt Dumba will be difficult, Mateychuk can be the dynamic skating/skillful puck-mover to replace him long-term even though he lacks size. Alternatively, I could see Kulich as the pick here.

25. Toronto Maple Leafs: Rutger McGroarty, LW, U.S. NTDP (USHL)

McGroarty is a highly talented and competitive winger who would add to the type of forwards Toronto has drafted in recent years. I could see Isaac Howard, Mateychuk or Liam Ohgren being in the mix here.

26. Montreal Canadiens: Liam Ohgren, LW, Djurgarden (Sweden)

Ohgren could be gone by this pick, but if he’s here I think he would be a great addition to the Habs forward group due to his mixture of skill, scoring ability and grind in his game. I’ve heard his name connected to the Habs through the draft process as well.

27. Arizona Coyotes: Sam Rinzel, RHD, Chaska (U.S. High School)

Rinzel is a player I’ve heard speculated as a late first for a large part of the season. As we’ve gotten to draft day and the defense crop doesn’t look overly deep, I think it could become reality for a team to swing on a high school kid who is playing USHL next season due to his fantastic toolkit. League sources believe Arizona wants to get bigger at this draft and picking a 6-4, mobile defenseman with some offense would be a good place to start.

28. Buffalo Sabres: Brad Lambert, RW, Pelicans (Finland)

I’ve heard a little more Lambert love from NHL sources in the last few days than I did in June. I think it’s still possible he’s picked in the teens, but my current bet is he goes somewhere in the 20s. Lambert for Buffalo at 28 would be a big swing on the dynamic speed/skill combination with a hope he becomes more consistent.

29. Edmonton Oilers: Filip Bystedt, C, Linkoping (Sweden)

Bystedt feels like a perfect fit to boost the Oilers center depth, because of his large frame and the pace at which he plays. This could be a possible Brad Lambert landing spot too. If they go for defense, I could see both Chesley and Rinzel as options here if either are available.

30. Winnipeg Jets: Isaac Howard, LW, U.S. NTDP (USHL)

Howard was once considered a lock to be a first-round pick, but I’m not getting that sense from scouts in the last few weeks. I still think he squeaks into the first due to his very high skill level and ability to put pucks in the net.

31. Tampa Bay Lightning: Ivan Miroshnichenko, LW, Avangard (Russia)

Despite Miroshnichenko making some positive progression is his fight against his Hodgkin’s lymphoma, as we get closer to the draft, I’ve started to sense more skepticism among teams about a player many scouts had rated in the top five six months ago. I’m guessing he goes closer to 30 than 20 as I had previously mocked. Tampa could be in position here to add a type of talent they’ve drafted very little of in recent years due to their lack of draft capital.

32. Arizona Coyotes: Tristan Luneau, RHD, Gatineau (QMJHL)

Luneau’s stock has gone up and down over the past year but I still think he’ll be a tail-end first or a very early second-round pick. He has flaws particularly in his skating, but 6-2 defensemen who can move the puck aren’t easy to find and could be appealing to the Coyotes even if they already picked Rinzel.

Blackbelt Bobman
Jul 17, 2004

I don't need friends! I've been
manipulatin' you since the start!
All so I can something,
something X-Blade!


whatis posted:

they'll likely be boring in FA and while there's a decent chance of a trade, i doubt it'll be anything crazy. i don't think the fun will begin until next offseason

They better loving pay PK Subban a boatload of money to play small minutes on the third pairing and be cool around town.

AsInHowe
Jan 11, 2007

red winged angel

clean ayers act posted:

awaiting asinhowe to tell me who the wings are picking

We are on pins and needles hoping that Stevie can fleece Ken Holland out of Puljujarvi and additional picks or something.

Gut says Brad Lambert or Kasper, if available though. Lambert is the biggest swing on potential, Kasper is the most logical fit.

mcmagic
Jul 1, 2004

If you see this avatar while scrolling the succ zone, you have been visited by the mcmagic of shitty lib takes! Good luck and prosperity will come to you, but only if you reply "shut the fuck up mcmagic" to this post!

fawning deference posted:

If Slaffy does go first, the Devils will have an interesting position. They really need a winger like him or a winger in general. I wonder if they'd think about trading down and getting an asset out of it, or just go with the top 3 down the middle and build around that.

It's gonna really suck if this happens. Slafkovsky is such a perfect fit for them.

mcmagic fucked around with this message at 04:03 on Jul 7, 2022

DO YALL WANT A BOXC
Jul 20, 2010

HAHA! WOOOOOOO WOOO!
Fun Shoe
if they get Wright I still think that's good for them. they need to bite the bullet and move Hughes to wing unless he gets jacked on gear. He's got too small of a frame to play C in the modern NHL at the level they want out of him IMO. he'll keep getting hosed up by big dumb rear end holes. on wing he could be a Gaudreau/Kane type

Bard Maddox
Feb 15, 2012

I'm just a sick guy, I'm really just a dirty guy.
I hope everyone has a good time with the draft and gets the players that are good on their team. the Avs basically aren't participating in any draft for the next three years which is A-OK with me

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Paracaidas
Sep 24, 2016
Consistently Tedious!

AsInHowe posted:

Gut says Brad Lambert or Kasper, if available though. Lambert is the biggest swing on potential, Kasper is the most logical fit.

I'm really curious (and wholly inequipped to judge myself) if Lambert has earned his falling stock, or if it's a herd safety thing right now. Once he drops past 15 or so (arguably past 10), it's tough for a scout or GM to defend taking him if he turns out to be a bust: Look at all these teams who realized he was overrated, hell, he might not have gone in the first at all if you weren't so bad at your job.

That's a much less comfortable position to be in than going to the owner, pointing to everyone else letting him slide, and using that to justify missing on him when someone grabs him in the late 20s and he turns into the stud folks expected a year ago. "Look boss, it wasn't just me who got this wrong!"

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