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I assume I can safely dump Malik Willis now.
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May 3, 2023 22:41
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Poque posted:I assume I can safely dump Malik Willis now. Trade him for a 2026 4th if someone will bite
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May 3, 2023 23:09
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Sataere posted:If you have Lamar and Mahomes, you will never be in a full rebuild. Just focus on building up your depth. This is very helpful, thanks. Also the work all you guys do on Football Absurdity is fantastic
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May 4, 2023 01:06
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MakaVillian posted:This is very helpful, thanks. Also the work all you guys do on Football Absurdity is fantastic Appreciate it.  I don't understand why Hyatt wasn't rated higher by NFL teams. His tape just loving pops. When you are the most explosive athlete on the field against SEC teams and just constantly score, who the gently caress cares what offense you came from. Teach him an NFL route tree. The fact that Daboll drafted him makes me think he's gonna be an absolute stud. Might be my favorite receiver in this class.
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May 4, 2023 06:36
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Gonna reply to your Colts take here because I think the fantasy outlook is more interesting than whether they get 4 or 9 wins on the back of a poo poo division. It’s always good to be reminded that people, even very smart people, are wrong about football all the time. I and many others thought the Seahawks had a chance to go winless last year with Geno or Lock at the helm and they made the playoffs LMFAO. Nobody wanted Lockett, you could get him in the millionth round, and he had a great year. DK fell too. I also drafted many Broncos and loving WELP. So yeah I will be taking some shots on Colts and other “dude that team is obviously going to be awful” guys this year if they fall deep into the draft. Because we will be wrong about situations. It’s not the likely outcome but at some point the opportunity cost is minimal. So take the shot on the guy you believe can ball vs the boring floor of Latavius Murray.
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May 4, 2023 07:16
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Yeah like I said, i get why college fans are low on him. But I do a bunch of fantasy football film review and I decided after I kept quiet about how much I loved Mahomes in threads for fear of looking like an idiot because I also understood the risks with him as a prospect too, to just say gently caress it and plant my flags. I loved Richardson's pocket awareness and decision making. I said all along this quarterback class was being underrated and he's still my number three, but if he puts in the work, he could be Cam 2.0. And he has the right coaching staff to develop him.
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May 4, 2023 07:25
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Respect planting flags on guys. I remember watching Mahomes college tape and thinking “this guy is an utter psychopath, if he tries these back foot fadeaway jump shots into coverage with 2 pass rushers in his face in the nfl he will have a 25:1 INT:TD ratio”. And uh well turns out he is the one being in the universe with the power to just loving do it  So I’m not gonna count out the absurd athlete anymore
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May 4, 2023 07:55
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Since Josh Allen and Jalen Hurts, I am more forgiving of accuracy issues. Coaching is a lot better today if you put in the work. Process and pocket presence is just as important to me and he just looked good at everything except throwing the football. Which is why he's still my third fantasy quarterback in dynasty rookie drafts. Production actually is King because I will always grade you higher if you've shown you can do it as opposed to having the potential.
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May 4, 2023 14:51
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Have any of you guys done a Dispersal Draft in a dynasty league before? I've been looking to join a new non-Best Ball dynasty league since I already do all the work I do to keep my current dynasty team going so I'm joining this pre-existing Superflex PPR league that just lost two people. The other new guy and I are going to do a dispersal draft to take our pick of players and draft picks from the two teams whose managers left the league. The commish just sent me this so I can see what to expect: Dispersal Draft Notable Players Justin Jefferson Kyler Mixon Hollywood Dulcich Meyers Pacheco Akers Dobbins Stafford Javonte Burrow Dalvin Chubb Hopkins Kelce Conner Kupp Rodgers Sutton 1.02 2.02 3.02 If i pick first I think I'm taking JJ but after that I have no freakin' clue what I'd do - the vast majority of those players are either old or on bad teams. It should be fun and I am certain I wont have a ton of regrets when I gently caress it up.
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May 4, 2023 17:50
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Docjowles posted:Respect planting flags on guys. I remember watching Mahomes college tape and thinking “this guy is an utter psychopath, if he tries these back foot fadeaway jump shots into coverage with 2 pass rushers in his face in the nfl he will have a 25:1 INT:TD ratio”. And uh well turns out he is the one being in the universe with the power to just loving do it I remember reading a ton of hot takes that Mahomes was a turnover machine because nobody took into account the number of pass attempts and the ratio he had was really low in college and still is today. He throws more than Aaron Rodgers but it's still low for the insane poo poo he attempts. He's going to usher in a giant pool of young QBs who loving suck trying to do what he does which is break every rule of quarterbacking with his un-human body. Kids sprinting left and then side-arming a pass to the opposite side of the field and pick sixes are going to skyrocket.
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May 4, 2023 18:27
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AAAAA! Real Muenster posted:Have any of you guys done a Dispersal Draft in a dynasty league before? I've been looking to join a new non-Best Ball dynasty league since I already do all the work I do to keep my current dynasty team going so I'm joining this pre-existing Superflex PPR league that just lost two people. The other new guy and I are going to do a dispersal draft to take our pick of players and draft picks from the two teams whose managers left the league. The commish just sent me this so I can see what to expect: Since it's superflex, I would probably take Burrow next, then some order of Chubb, Dobbins, and Akers. Or Hopkins/Kelce if you're competing this year.
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May 4, 2023 18:53
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People are still drafting Akers? ...huh.
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May 4, 2023 19:29
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kiimo posted:People are still drafting Akers? Well in this case it sounds like he had already been drafted in a prior year and is just in the pool of dudes who have to be split up from the teams disbanding Pro: he is like the only running back on the Rams so opportunity should be there Cons: washed, bad
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May 4, 2023 19:39
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AAAAA! Real Muenster posted:dispersal draft [in superflex dynasty PPR league] Is roughly how I'd rank them; adjust as needed, as I didn't put too much thought into this. Numbers = tier, players within tiers ranked in order presented. Your best strategy is probably to draft a win-now team and rebuild after 1-2 seasons around your long-term assets, i.e. QBs + young WRs. Other option is to trade away the studs (Chubb/Kelce) and slightly less productive studs (Kupp, Cook, Mixon). Trade them for undervalued players (eg Pittman, Bateman, Aiyuk if you can land him) + 2023/2024 1st or 2nd (can negotiate down, but start high). Trading will depend on the other teams in the league. If they overvalue picks (ie like the KTC trade calculator), trade picks for solid veteran players with 2-3 years left in the tank. If they overvalue players, trade studs (Kelce/Chubb) for picks + younger players. Identify teams lacking QBs and offer them bad deals with the justification that drafted QBs bust at an incredibly high rate.
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May 4, 2023 20:00
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If Superflex, I probably rank Burrow ahead of JJ. Just because the positional advantage is significant when you have a top five guy. After JJ, I want 1.02 , then Kyler. I think the key is to figure out if you are trying to win now or in the future. If you want to build for the future, focus on guys under 30 and receivers. Otherwise, just build the best roster you can. How the other team drafts would have a big impact on my strategy. If I see him grabbing Kelce early, I focus on young value that can develop. If Kelce is there by my fifth pick, I immediately go into trying to win now. If you get 1.02 and Bijan falls to you, just grab him. You'll be able to flip him for 2 firsts and a player within a year regardless of your long term strategy. If he doesn't, take the best quarterback you can get.
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May 4, 2023 21:41
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ChocolatePancake posted:<feedback> van fem posted:<feedback> Sataere posted:<feedback> Thank you gentlegoons! I think between looking at last year's production, Sleeper's startup ADP, and player age/productivity I feel like I can figure it out. I'm leaning building for the future because I know I'm going to have a bunch of players I will try to trade away both before and after the rookie draft. I already have a share of Burrow on my other dynasty roster so I think I give JJ a slight edge. If he takes JJ first and I end up with picks 2 and 3 I'm going Burrow & 1.02.
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May 5, 2023 01:51
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AAAAA! Real Muenster posted:Thank you gentlegoons! I think between looking at last year's production, Sleeper's startup ADP, and player age/productivity I feel like I can figure it out. I'm leaning building for the future because I know I'm going to have a bunch of players I will try to trade away both before and after the rookie draft. I already have a share of Burrow on my other dynasty roster so I think I give JJ a slight edge. If he takes JJ first and I end up with picks 2 and 3 I'm going Burrow & 1.02. Having an excuse to root for JJ is never a bad thing. I wish I had a share.
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May 5, 2023 04:27
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Sataere posted:Having an excuse to root for JJ is never a bad thing. I wish I had a share.
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May 5, 2023 10:46
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Sorry for the double post - has anybody heard anything about Javonte Williams and his knee? I feel like him in a Sean Payton offense will be good.... in 2024. The picks went: - Joe Burrow to him - JJ and 1.02 in the rookie draft to me - Kyler and Travis Kelce to him now I'm up. Looking at dynasty Superflex startup draft rankings, I could go for two of Kupp/Chubb/Cook/Mixon to try compete this year, or I could reasonably go Jameson Williams and Javonte Williams to lean fully into "build for the future". edit: If I go for the Williamses I guess I'll be tanking.... for (Caleb) Williams 
AAAAA! Real Muenster fucked around with this message at 15:11 on May 5, 2023 |
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May 5, 2023 15:08
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I’m scared of Javonte’s season mirroring JK Dobbins last year. Where he’s “looking great and ahead of schedule” and then doesn’t do poo poo until like week 14. He’s a risky click this far out from the regular season if you are hoping for 2023 value. Conversely I am excited about Samaje Perine.
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May 5, 2023 15:21
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Javonte basically destroyed everything in his knee. I was worried that he isn't going to he the same when he recovers, so I traded him for a 2024 1st round pick. That being said, he is only like 22 years old and his upside is still huge. I wasn't going to sell him for less, if I couldn't get a 1st for him I was totally fine with holding on to him. Also, I haven't kept up on Dobbins recovery since I don't have any shares in him, but as far as I know he seems to be doing good with his recovery, so it's not unreasonable to be optimistic about Javonte.
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May 5, 2023 15:52
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Docjowles posted:I’m scared of Javonte’s season mirroring JK Dobbins last year. Where he’s “looking great and ahead of schedule” and then doesn’t do poo poo until like week 14. He’s a risky click this far out from the regular season if you are hoping for 2023 value. Conversely I am excited about Samaje Perine. Funnily enough, JK Dobbins is available as well but I was going to wait another round, maybe 2, to consider him. AAAAA! Real Muenster fucked around with this message at 15:54 on May 5, 2023 |
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May 5, 2023 15:52
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Dobbins could be sneaky.
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May 5, 2023 16:00
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kiimo posted:Dobbins could be sneaky.
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May 5, 2023 16:11
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Is DJ Moore worth 2.05 in a dynasty rookie draft? I desperately need a third starting wr
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May 5, 2023 16:46
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Yes
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May 5, 2023 16:59
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Drunk Nerds posted:Is DJ Moore worth 2.05 in a dynasty rookie draft? I desperately need a third starting wr
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May 5, 2023 17:00
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Drunk Nerds posted:Is DJ Moore worth 2.05 in a dynasty rookie draft? I desperately need a third starting wr Are you trading the 2.05? Because I would smash that for DJM. I wouldn't trade him for that. I think he's worth a late first personally. I may he biased though.  AAAAA! Real Muenster posted:I decided to go with Kupp (too good to not take) and Javonte (I like him a lot). My hope being that the other guy skips Jameson Williams because he is suspended and I can nab him next round, along with JKD. If you are tanking, I like the strategy. Kupp is still super young. Plus, JJ, Kupp is a dynamic receiving core. I'd fade most running backs because they have a shorter shelf life. It is also worth noting I just did a rookie roundup on the Baltimore Ravens and I don't think JK Dobbins is going to be very valuable. Monken doesn't run the ball. He slings it. Wide receivers are way more valuable in dynasty because they have a longer shelf life, so my next round targets if I'm you is Hollywood and Jamo. Then I'm looking at the 2.03 because this is a pretty interesting second round and you can get some nice value. I'd also be really interested in Dulcich for youth and tanking purposes.
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May 5, 2023 17:05
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+1 to everyone else, I would much rather have Moore than a 2nd round rookie in a mediocre class
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May 5, 2023 17:23
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Drunk Nerds posted:Is DJ Moore worth 2.05 in a dynasty rookie draft? I desperately need a third starting wr In ppr? gently caress yeah I'd do that in a minute
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May 5, 2023 17:29
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Sataere posted:Are you trading the 2.05? Because I would smash that for DJM. I wouldn't trade him for that. I think he's worth a late first personally. I may he biased though. Kupp is gonna be 30 at the start of the 2023 season. He's not ready for the retirement home but I wouldn't call him super young.
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May 5, 2023 18:06
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DJ Moore's numbers are projected to outscore last season's but they have all these qualifiers about how Chicago is 30th in WR targets. My thoughts are well you have a some legit tackle help coming in and Justin Fields can pass, he just scrambles all the time. I moved DJ Moore to my starting lineup in dynasty the second he was traded. I mean considering who has been throwing to him I feel really good about the upside. He's like Terry McLaurin, thriving with jack poo poo throwing the ball.
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May 5, 2023 19:22
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kiimo posted:DJ Moore's numbers are projected to outscore last season's but they have all these qualifiers about how Chicago is 30th in WR targets. Agreed. And as for Fields not passing a lot, well, would you feel great about throwing to the pack of assholes Chicago had running routes last year lol? Obviously running is his super power but he's not Zach Wilson out there winging passes 10 feet over guys' heads in the flat.
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May 5, 2023 19:28
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I mean the guy threw 41 touchdowns with only 3 interceptions in college one season. And then he ran for 484 yards and 10 more touchdowns. I mean, look up Richardson's Florida stats for kicks. 17 touchdowns to 9 picks. I think it's a reasonable guess that Justin Fields has the tools when he isn't running for his life.
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May 5, 2023 19:34
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Thanks for the quick advice. I had 1.05 in a superflex and Stroud was still on the board. I don't need qb too bad so my phone was blowing up Got Moore and 1.09 for 1.05 and 2.05. I wanted a top 4 wr and they were all still on the board at 1.05
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May 5, 2023 20:28
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Quiet Feet posted:Kupp is gonna be 30 at the start of the 2023 season. He's not ready for the retirement home but I wouldn't call him super young. drat. Could've sworn he was 28. kiimo posted:DJ Moore's numbers are projected to outscore last season's but they have all these qualifiers about how Chicago is 30th in WR targets. People love pointing out the low attempt rate by the Bears, but they actually dropped back to pass at around the league average. But you don't qualify for a pass attempt if you are running for your life.
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May 5, 2023 21:16
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Starting a new thread tonight. What are some new resources goons here are liking?
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May 5, 2023 21:28
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Spoeank posted:The Fourth of July is in the rearview mirror, which means that it's time to talk FANTASY FOOTBALL again! I've stolen most of this from the 2020 thread, which stole it from Beer's 2019 thread. hth
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May 5, 2023 21:31
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Drunk Nerds posted:Starting a new thread tonight. 33rd team definitely needs to be added to the OP. Gamechanger. I found myself playing with these breakdowns for hours. https://www.the33rdteam.com/the-edge/ Otherwise, Spoeank had last years thread on lockdown.
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May 5, 2023 21:35
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e. oh you already got nbc sportsedge nevermind that I also keep http://www.nflweather.com/en/ bookmarked, good to pay attention to what the weather will be for each week's upcoming games since that can affect gameplan and scoring
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