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My fellow political cassandras, please join me in making your predictions for the 2022 midterms general election as well as for the early announcements of the 2024 presidential elections. Winners will be those who correctly predict: 1. Earliest & most accurate forecast for the dem/gop head counts in the U.S. Senate & U.S. House after the 2022 midterms 2. Earliest & most accurate calls for individual 2022 U.S. Senate races 3. Earliest & most accurate predictions of the 2024 announcements to run for U.S. president 4. Bonus round/tie breaker: Earliest & most accurate bat-out-of-hell upset victory in the 2022 midterms Study Aids Ballotpedia 2022 Congressional elections Ballotpedia 2022 Senate elections Ballotpedia 2022 House elections RCP poll aggregator 538 poll aggregator Politico ratings & predictions Larry Sabato’s crystall ball Feel free to suggest your own & I’ll add them. My Predictions: 1. Midterms outcome: GOP will win the U.S. House 235-210. 2. Dems will hold their current 50 seats in the U.S. Senate, although there will be some switches for parties: * Dems will gain PA & one other state TBD (maybe WI) * Dems will lose NV & AZ 3. 2024 presidential candidates: * Trump will likely run again (duh) and if so, then DeSantis will NOT run against him. It’s liberal wishcrafting to imagine that they’re mortal enemies when, instead, DeSantis is Trump’s protege and (imo) they’re more likely to run as a joint ticket. DeSantis is only 43 and has all the time in the world to wait out Trump, and nothing to gain by runnning against him. * Biden will not run for reelection; this will be announced in the first quarter of 2023. * Once Biden announces his long overdue retirement, there will be an immediate & strong push from khive/clintonites to give Kopmala an air of inevitability and those who disagree will be convicted of misogynoir. 4. Bat-outta-hell prediction: * Shaheen loses NH and/or Walker wins GA. I’m not at all confident in my own predictions, and my history of them is mixed. otoh:   Ok, so he didn't run as an indy. I SAID MY PREDICTIONS WERE MIXED.Let’s see what you’ve got!  Please probate anyone who posts grover's iraq war predictions bc that poo poo's played out.vvv NO YOU SHUT UP DAD Willa Rogers has issued a correction as of 23:39 on Aug 25, 2022 |
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Aug 25, 2022 21:01
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cassadras
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Aug 25, 2022 21:02
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my prediction: poopoo pee caca fart and doo doo
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Aug 25, 2022 21:04
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trump
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Aug 25, 2022 21:04
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placeholder
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Aug 25, 2022 21:04
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desantis is gonna have all the energy till trump calls him a loser on stage and his campaign collapses
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Aug 25, 2022 21:05
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Archduke Frantz Fanon posted:desantis is gonna have all the energy till trump calls him a loser on stage and his campaign collapses I SAID THEY'RE NOT GONNA RUN AGAINST EACH OTHER. CLEAN YOU'RE MONITOR.
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Aug 25, 2022 21:06
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i predict democrats are going to lose the house and senate. i do not know which states will enable this to happen but it will be a blow out
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Aug 25, 2022 21:09
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i predict we're all going to play hard and have fun 
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Aug 25, 2022 21:11
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we have to respect the process
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Aug 25, 2022 21:12
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Willa Rogers posted:I SAID THEY'RE NOT GONNA RUN AGAINST EACH OTHER. CLEAN YOU'RE MONITOR. desantis v. trump showdown. biden walks through them in a white suit
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Aug 25, 2022 21:12
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speaking of the process, nick saban will run to replace joe manchin after he loses. i cannot reveal my sources
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Aug 25, 2022 21:13
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desantis vs. trump is as likely as kopmala vs. hitlery
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Aug 25, 2022 21:13
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JAY ZERO SUM GAME posted:we have to respect the process -Joe Biden, at his press conference about the milwaukee voting massacre Nov 10 2024
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Aug 25, 2022 21:13
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Willa Rogers posted:desantis vs. trump is as likely as kopmala vs. hitlery stop spitting in god's eye
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Aug 25, 2022 21:16
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i think the republican primary will be between desantis and trump and also liz cheney will be there but she'll be ritually sacrificed on stage while tucker carlson makes his surprised face
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Aug 25, 2022 21:19
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Trump will win
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Aug 25, 2022 21:20
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cspam isn't Cassandra's because Cassandra's aren't wrong all the time
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Aug 25, 2022 21:23
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Jeb, final answer.
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Aug 25, 2022 21:23
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Tim Ryan will successfully primary Biden
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Aug 25, 2022 21:26
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My Predictions: 1. Midterms outcome: GOP will win the U.S. House , +7 Dems go to 51-49 Senate 2. Dems hold GA, pick up PA , lose OH 3. 2024 presidential candidates: Trump picks MTG as VP, Kamala runs with Pete as vp. Desantis left in cold 4. Bat-outta-hell prediction: Sharice David loses
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Aug 25, 2022 21:36
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This Things I believe Midterms GOP wins house +16 seats GOP Takes Senate 52-48 Senate Particulars GA to GOP AZ to GOP NV to GOP PA to DEM 2024 Presidential Candidates GOP: Trump as Prez Iowa Gov Kim Reynolds as VP Dems: Presidential Candidate is Gavin Newsom VP is Mayor Peter Trump wins and America is restored to greatness Bat out of hell Prediction Nevada's entire congressional delegation will be Republican in the house Egg Moron has issued a correction as of 23:05 on Aug 25, 2022 |
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Aug 25, 2022 22:53
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Adding ballotpedia to the OP. Thanks for those sets of predictions, y'all..
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Aug 25, 2022 23:33
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A bad person gets more power.
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Aug 25, 2022 23:44
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Aug 25, 2022 23:45
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*click*
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Aug 25, 2022 23:52
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Willa Rogers posted:I SAID THEY'RE NOT GONNA RUN AGAINST EACH OTHER. CLEAN YOU'RE MONITOR. I’m unironically voting vermin supreme in 2024 so I don’t give a poo poo
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Aug 26, 2022 05:21
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Dems keep the Senate and pick up seats. I'm optimistic about the House but I think the Dems lose it by less than ten Representatives. If the Dems do lose the House McCarthy will not be Speaker. Record turnout for midterms and what should've been a red wave ends with a whimper. Dems win in '24 regardless, because Trump is the Republican nominee and it's basically the same race as '20 but with people even more disgusted by the fat gently caress.
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Aug 26, 2022 05:22
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Liz Cheney runs as a spoiler candidate on purpose to weaken the trump crowd, but somehow makes it more powerful instead
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Aug 26, 2022 05:27
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I don't think Kari Lake will be AZ gov, and Kelly will definitely be retaining his seat in the Senate
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Aug 26, 2022 05:56
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Harold Fjord posted:Tim Ryan will successfully primary Biden Jonah Ryan will primary Biden Dunno Timothy Simons' politics but I'd put my money on Funny TV Man. Worked for Trump!
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Aug 26, 2022 11:42
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I predict death
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Aug 26, 2022 13:12
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mastershakeman posted:My Predictions: Sharice Davids got redistricted by the republican legislature. But her opponent, Amanda Adkins, is the person who wrote the failed constitutional amendment to ban abortions (although I don't think that hurt Adkins) and her district still includes KC and the KC metro. Everyone's saying it's a tossup but I think she loses.
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Aug 26, 2022 13:33
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GOP wins house handily Senate is stalemate (GA to GOP, PA to Dem) Trump is the nominee in 24 Biden is the nominee in 24 Biden loses to the once and future presdinald. Bat outta hell prediction: Either Liz Cheney or the Forward party runs as a spoiler in 24 and Trump wins the popular vote as well
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Aug 26, 2022 13:37
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i predict its gonna suck rear end op
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Aug 26, 2022 13:40
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death cult takes the house lesser death cult maybe keeps the senate by 1-2 max losing ohio/ga and taking pa/az can go either way weimar joe is the dem nominee trump gop nominee that neocon forward party of turds runs cheney and steals a bunch of dem votes if the chud court rules on that awful vote stealing poo poo trump wins easily even if they dont vote on it he probably wins anyway
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Aug 26, 2022 13:42
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Relevant Tangent posted:Dems keep the Senate and pick up seats. the wrongest prediction
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Aug 26, 2022 13:44
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Dems pick up a seat in the senate, lose house Biden announces 1 term only after midterms Pritzker/Klob are nominees Trump/DeSantis are the other nominees Trump wins with the inverted Grover Cleveland, losing the popular vote worse than either two elections. WI assembly gives their electors to Trump even though Pritzker won the state by 6 points.
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Aug 26, 2022 14:50
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Florida: Val Demmings loses, hard Charlie Crist loses, hard.
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Aug 26, 2022 15:32
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Wow, really going out on a limb there. 
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Aug 26, 2022 16:25
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