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Mr. Nice!
Oct 13, 2005

c-spam cannot afford



Welcome to week 8, friends.

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Mr. Nice!
Oct 13, 2005

c-spam cannot afford



DariusLikewise posted:

The Los Angeles Rams will win the Super Bowl

Right now they're just keeping the 3rd wildcard seat warm for Washington's football team.

Mr. Nice!
Oct 13, 2005

c-spam cannot afford



Fields is a poor man's Hurts, and Dallas did a pretty good job defensively against the eagles. Shame about their offense, though.

Also, in the NFC here are the current strength of schedule numbers:

Above or at 0.500:
Lions: 0.650
Packers: 0.583
Cowboys: 0.565
Commanders/Cardinals: 0.522
Bears: 0.521
Rams: 0.512
Saints: 0.500

Below 0.500:
Giants 0.479
Eagles/Vikings: 0.475
Bucs: 0.476
49ers/Panthers: 0.458
Falcolns: 0.438
Seahawks: 0.370

I think the NFC north and Dallas suffer from having to play the NFCE. Commanders also have to play the NFCE and are up there. :lol: the seahawks have a cupcake schedule.

Mr. Nice!
Oct 13, 2005

c-spam cannot afford




The play the NFCE and the AFCE this year. Their 17th game is the Jags. Their same finish as last year opponents are the Seahawks and the Panthers. The easiest games they have remaining are just the Bears, Packers, and Panthers.

Just a murderous schedule. If you can find three sure wins in the rest of their season, you're a bolder person than I.

Mr. Nice!
Oct 13, 2005

c-spam cannot afford



C-Euro posted:

I never know how much stock to put into SOS because yeah it makes sense that teams with bad records have high SOS, they keep losing so their opponents have more combined wins! And of course, the inverse is true for teams with good records.

Has anybody ever looked at end-of-season standings in comparison to SOS?

Last year:
AFC SoS for Playoff teams above 0.500:
Chiefs: 0.538
Raiders: 0.510
Steelers: 0.521

NFC:
49ers: 0.500


The only AFC team with a harder SoS than the Chiefs last year was the Ravens (0.531), who finished 12th of 16.

The highest SoS NFC team was the Giants at 0.536 followed closely by Washington at 0.529.

Yes, by construction teams with winning records are typically going to have SoS below those teams with bad records. However, it is still indicative of difficulty of schedule. It isn't the best, though, for reasons such as yours, which is why it is not the top tiebreaker. It isn't irrelevant, and outliers do definitely tell a story. The Lions and Seahawks are major outliers right now, and a quick glance at their schedules explains it. The Lions are playing almost every single good team this year and the Seahawks are playing almost every bad team this year.

C-Euro posted:

E: the funny thing about Detroit is that some of the excited chatter going into this season was fuels by a belief that they would have a relatively soft schedule this year. Now people are saying they have the hardest schedule in the league this year and you all wonder why us Lions fans are so beat down. It never ever ends.

The joys of parity.

Mr. Nice!
Oct 13, 2005

c-spam cannot afford



C-Euro posted:

Parity is when your team hasn't won a title since Eisenhower was in office :goleft:

I remember a couple of copium articles when WCF was nearing death that the league should put its thumb on the scale a bit to help get one of its longest-serving owners a shot at a Super Bowl, but alas. Not like he deserved it.

I meant that which teams are best and worst in any given year is not certain year to year. There are a few notable exceptions, but each year there are teams that were poo poo the previous year that are great and teams that were great that turned to poo poo.

Mr. Nice!
Oct 13, 2005

c-spam cannot afford



Remember when Ray Rice's victim apologized for her role in getting knocked out cold in an elevator only to have her lifeless body dragged out to door and to their room?

Mr. Nice!
Oct 13, 2005

c-spam cannot afford



If they were running against college players they’d still look hilarious.

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Mr. Nice!
Oct 13, 2005

c-spam cannot afford



It is week 9: https://forums.somethingawful.com/showthread.php?threadid=4016329&perpage=40&noseen=1#post527396113

e: I'm smart.

Mr. Nice! fucked around with this message at 18:44 on Nov 1, 2022

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