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Primary total voters at my precinct: ~350 2021 citywide total voters at my precinct: ~450 Current total with three hours to go: 590 2020 general election: 730 Turns out, abortion amendments turn out voters even in off-year elections!
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Nov 8, 2022 22:50
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Precinct up to 728 with an hour left. Presidential-level turnout in the murder mitten.davecrazy posted:Is this gonna be a bloodbath for Democrats? Well there's been a surprising result already https://twitter.com/EsotericCD/status/1590132168193638401?t=Ft_L3ktNGKiTNzjEUkw33w&s=19
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Nov 9, 2022 01:02
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Mr. Nice! posted:*except in FL Yeah, it's bad. Florida earliest and mail-ins are more democratic-leaning and uh: https://twitter.com/greggiroux/status/1590134819480293376?t=PFaejzBtzZIaCTt_10XQOA&s=19 Florida's p. much a red state at this point Edit: or centrist weenies are simply not enough to turn out Democrats *and* blunt the THEY'RE SOOOOCIALISTS poo poo that's killing them in Miami-Dade facialimpediment fucked around with this message at 01:47 on Nov 9, 2022 |
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Nov 9, 2022 01:33
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Surprise of the night could be brewing on the abortion side, as pro-lifers put an anti-abortion amendment on the ballot and there are a shitload of cross-party voters telling them to go gently caress themselves: https://twitter.com/Taniel/status/1590143837686464513?t=kfFoJEq0CXU876pzJO-1UQ&s=19
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Nov 9, 2022 01:55
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As of 10PM EST, I don't see a single election caller saying it's a red wave. Outside of Florida, Democrats are winning a few toss-ups (Spanberger), while winning Republican reaches (CO-SEN) just aren't close. But Republicans don't need a wave, so it's still a senate toss-up with a heavily favored house flip. Georgia's probably iffy and trending runoff due to the libertarian pulling 2%, who knows on that one.
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Nov 9, 2022 04:03
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Nystral posted:Is WI still in Blue Mirage stage? I was expecting it to be much closer then Dem+2 with 43% in per NYT. Ignore all stuff about Wisconsin mirages because they threw a lot of people at the counting problem this time. It might not take a few days this time, might be done by tomorrow. From a Wisconsin Elections Commissioner: https://twitter.com/AnnJacobsMKE/status/1590173248842772480
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Nov 9, 2022 04:23
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I do not know anything about the outstanding vote in this district, so please appreciate this graphic for the comedy that it is, at the current time: https://twitter.com/AllezLesBoulez/status/1590186104166436864
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Nov 9, 2022 04:36
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man, this is a funny loving election so far https://twitter.com/ryanmatsumoto1/status/1590189137604546562
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Nov 9, 2022 04:54
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Zamujasa posted:where's the place to follow this poo poo live and give myself double hypertension? bonus points if it's nevada-focused, since we have two very big races with two very awful republicans running Log off for two days if you truly care about Nevada, as so sayeth the oracle: https://twitter.com/RalstonReports/status/1590162469669904384 Nevada apparently got slammed by last-minute mail-ins and drop-offs. Probably won't find out poo poo until Thursday, but feel free to just constantly refresh Ralston's feed. EVERYONE says he's the best Nevada source and he posts a lot live. And the comedy keeps rolling: https://twitter.com/jessieopie/status/1590189047728599041
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Nov 9, 2022 04:59
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I still think the House is flipping, but enjoy the comedy while it lasts (I have to go to bed, sad) https://twitter.com/michaelbd/status/1590193409897078784
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Nov 9, 2022 05:12
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https://twitter.com/KT_So_It_Goes/status/1590205629427511297?t=jji6Cbp2SnmONEqPqAyCSQ&s=19 I've been mainlining my political follows and this is basically the best descriptor of this election that I've seen. Candidate quality actually mattered, but it wouldn't shift an entire red state to blue, or vice versa, and voters remain weird. And Florida's Florida. https://twitter.com/noamscheiber/status/1590205965873614850?t=8mM8TYptt9g1ULaXkzW4fw&s=19
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Nov 9, 2022 05:54
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BOOYA MOTHERFUCKERS, SUCK IT ZYGOTES https://twitter.com/AliVelshi/status/1590206546528522240?t=UaDu9LkFYpa0HxpowEguSw&s=19 BECOME UNGOVERNABLE https://twitter.com/BenjySarlin/status/1590207341923737600?t=YSoPUkngM-lJ-xk3H1oiGg&s=19 (Don't analyze the gerrymandering stuff, lol at the map) facialimpediment fucked around with this message at 06:05 on Nov 9, 2022 |
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Nov 9, 2022 06:00
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https://twitter.com/JacobRubashkin/status/1590215550449647617?t=TpchF0zjs5BXWr98dJjStw&s=19 And fuckin lol that Fetterman is even winning before Philly gets to their mail votes. Beating Oz so bad the Republicans couldn't even get to their lawsuit full of STOP THE COUNT BEFORE PHILLY DEMS STEAL IT poo poo too bad Donnie didn't declare for president yesterday after all
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Nov 9, 2022 06:39
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McNally posted:NBC has called it for Fetterman https://twitter.com/Bob_Casey/status/1590255902405414912?t=C0mF4BmySjmAIKZyEKa6oA&s=19 Hot fuckin drat.
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Nov 9, 2022 10:10
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Acebuckeye13 posted:oh hell yeah I had an idea that things might go good in Michigan with the obscene turnout, but I had no idea that it could be enough to flip the state House *and* Senate. They really shouldn't have accused McMorrow of being a kiddie groomer, that basically ended up flipping both chambers of the statehouse. The Michigan Democrats' four-year plan to uncrack the state gerrymanders with the redistricting commission has been an absurd success in all ways.
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Nov 9, 2022 14:31
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Space Opera posted:Georgia is neck and neck right now, and I think if neither breaks 50% then we have to do a runoff in 2 months? Georgia's runoff date will be December 6th. I hope they like ads 
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Nov 9, 2022 16:26
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CommieGIR posted:Yeah its worth remembering Georgia was a solid GOP lock up until Warnock, so its not too suprising that its a close call, but its certainly not a good sign for Walker at all. Kemp clearly dragged Walker into the runoff via coattails, but very, very unclear who actually shows up for the runoff itself! Will be interesting if it's for Senate control again, or just the 51st vote. Also very funny: https://twitter.com/ggreeneva/status/1590368565445595136?t=CD_PWIHwWUnuypXL1EfxBw&s=19
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Nov 9, 2022 16:46
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Here's Fetterman's campaign manager: https://twitter.com/BrendanMcP/status/1590337378534952975?t=ywbEHxdkQE5pnykuicmWxw&s=19
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Nov 9, 2022 17:20
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Oz basically pulled a low-level Elon in this election: https://twitter.com/ParkerMolloy/status/1590378019704950785?t=qWg4gjPPE8g3CKesdCjcdg&s=19 And Ted Cruz sucks: https://twitter.com/JimSwiftDC/status/1590373627626606592?t=m3XfQ0ge4vmOrfeQtX2Klw&s=19
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Nov 9, 2022 17:35
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Soul Dentist posted:What was the post debate leak? Missed it I think The chattering class was like OMG FETTERMAN LOOKS SO SAD after the debate and lots and lots of unnamed Democrats spoke off the record to media types and were like "gently caress, he should've resigned after the stroke" (not possible) and "Lamb should've won" (lol no) and "gently caress, we're hosed and Oz is going to win because Fetterman had a poo poo debate" (lol)
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Nov 9, 2022 17:39
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Zamujasa posted:I want out of this state for a few reasons, but gently caress waiting to see if Nevada ends up going full Trumper chud or if the blue candidates manage to hold on. You could be California. https://twitter.com/BobSalera/status/1590400004690104320?t=DPcOAiiPipl6Ma0bM0kXJQ&s=19
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Nov 9, 2022 19:08
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Randalor posted:Is this a good or bad thing? Kemp (Republican) won by eight and Abrams only got 46%. Warnock has no business being in the election with an electorate that red, so it was medium-surprising that Kemp couldn't drag Walker over the line. Now, who the gently caress knows what the December 6th electorate is going to look like, if it's again for Senate control, and how much Donnie depresses/juices things as he lumbers around his presidential bid. https://twitter.com/PatrickRuffini/status/1590415468619534336?t=Gc7qiFg1IbSBIBGdnPbkkQ&s=19
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Nov 9, 2022 19:57
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Every election or two, Oregon is like "ok maybe we'll vote for the Republican governor because [independent spoiler, crime, Portland, etc]" "... nah I'll take the lesbian Democrat lol sike" https://twitter.com/hborrud/status/1590424088363020290?t=adT2VUxjh-z28LSMFdCdoQ&s=19
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Nov 9, 2022 20:50
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The first seriously solid analysis I've seen in the Boebert race and what is still out there: https://twitter.com/geoffreyvs/status/1590439200033497089?t=xlDoWPtco53LXBY5ZNXFbw&s=19
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Nov 9, 2022 21:38
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we. like. toparty we like we like to party we like toparty https://twitter.com/ryanjreilly/status/1590321101984628736?t=IHOJNUisU3DiDyowCa-64A&s=19
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Nov 9, 2022 21:52
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Leave posted:How did Michigan do? I think we got Prop 3 passed, Whitmer back, and some other good blue things. Clean sweep far above any reasonable expectation, other than CJ Zahra being reelected due to incumbency: https://twitter.com/Taniel/status/1590346153211891715?t=Io8zqu5pmLT4ai-1R8rYjA&s=19
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Nov 9, 2022 23:43
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AreWeDrunkYet posted:Is there a source that tracks the count of the total popular House vote for all the seats? I realize it doesn't decide anything, just curious how much gerrymandering skewed things in aggregate. Yep - Cook Political Report: https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1590472652233539584?t=wScdZ7UPvFRqhk1UBexzVQ&s=19
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Nov 9, 2022 23:57
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Local NBC affiliate thinks Boebert lost: https://twitter.com/KyleClark/status/1590495954905731072 Buuuut nobody truly knows anything as usual, as the AP remaining vote count could be hosed up: https://twitter.com/dcwoodruff/status/1590490780346351616 https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1590503460730187776?t=OzL147tJPFaVP5gwmVM9ew&s=19 facialimpediment fucked around with this message at 01:52 on Nov 10, 2022 |
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Nov 10, 2022 01:21
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NV-SEN is likely to take forever: https://twitter.com/RalstonReports/status/1590503251387961344 Ralston estimates that Democrats would probably be safe at a 100K remaining amount in Clark, but it's 84K. So, probably going to end up a squeaker of some type, woo! Edit: and if it's real real close, it could go all the way through NEXT Saturday. Mail-ins count if they're postmarked Tuesday, which means they can be counted until Saturday, then provisionals (5K in Clark) get counted and more curing goes on. Wheeee! facialimpediment fucked around with this message at 01:57 on Nov 10, 2022 |
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Nov 10, 2022 01:41
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News on Nevada: https://twitter.com/RalstonReports/status/1590586002933829632?t=n43LNAUwi_JBfsacuF3akA&s=19 https://twitter.com/RalstonReports/status/1590596892966023171?t=3s3qRjnsDPLdw5K9v0VdBA&s=19 Things looked dicey for NV-SEN, but now all that's left is mail vote and she's currently clearing it at a 65-35 rate, which will probably net her around 30k to wipe out the 16k deficit. Probably not enough for NV-GOV, and the Democratic House gerrymander held up fine on the house races.
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Nov 10, 2022 12:45
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Smartest person I generally know of on national elections has basically determined: lol https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1590693791576358912?t=ABGAkut8veBsAk87acXGRw&s=19
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Nov 10, 2022 14:17
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News out of Arizona: https://twitter.com/Garrett_Archer/status/1590948132082561024?t=tZM7NDe8r02_-WF-0lqHUQ&s=19
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Nov 11, 2022 12:42
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Wasabi the J posted:They texted, then called, then beat on my door today. So funny thing: https://twitter.com/s_golonka/status/1591220509890707456?t=4im9MJ--zgduO1eZ0sInWw&s=19 Democrats especially are furiously contacting the people they know to get their ballots cured, as mail is heavily democratic and it's about to win NV-SEN. Not so sure about the other statewide offices, because they're down by more than CCM, but NV-SEN will probably be done tomorrow. Monday is the ballot cure deadline. facialimpediment fucked around with this message at 01:13 on Nov 12, 2022 |
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Nov 12, 2022 01:11
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Ballot curing is basically why all of the MAIL BALLOTS ARE INSECURE AND HACKABLE AND CHEATABLE SCAMMING DEMOCRATS is bullshit nonsense because through some magic the signatures on the envelopes get compared to an original record, and flagged if they don't match. On top of that, ballots that aren't signed or dated immediately get shoved aside as non-voted until cured. It's a big issue in Pennsylvania, as state law on curing basically delegates it to the localities. So the big cities contact the people that gently caress up, and the rurals don't bother, or Republican local politicians get PISSED that the localities actually give a gently caress about votes counting.
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Nov 12, 2022 02:04
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Jon Ralston is the fuckin god of Nevada elections, I swear to gently caress. Nobody can be trusted in analyzing early vote... except for him. https://twitter.com/Taniel/status/1591231937230045185?t=YwLZa7lp_7HvWbxSfhiQlw&s=19 https://twitter.com/lxeagle17/status/1591226402812354560?t=VilYGKRL86H68lJ3kSI32g&s=19
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Nov 12, 2022 02:22
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AZ-SEN is done, NBCNews and Decision Desk took a look at the recent Maricopa dump and saw enough. https://twitter.com/JesseRodriguez/status/1591267083828236289?t=n1dF5v9lnqN0uoezl7hDtg&s=19 https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1591268263321034755?t=rUbzPLGIDpY-YQE9zSOnbQ&s=19 Kelly winning election day votes, heavily Republican, is pretty lol facialimpediment fucked around with this message at 04:17 on Nov 12, 2022 |
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Nov 12, 2022 04:11
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davecrazy posted:Which race makes the GA run-off redundant? NV-SEN. Democrats win that and it's 50, making GA-SEN the possible 51st.
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Nov 12, 2022 04:18
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Zamujasa posted:e: god damnit ralston. tweet said ccm pulled ahead in nv-sen, now it's gone Yeah he apologized, less-than-expected Washoe batch and worse-than-expected for CCM. The Washoe batch cancelled the rural batch and it's back to Laxalt by 800. https://twitter.com/DavidWright_7/status/1591273134069809152 Probably flips to CCM in tomorrow's Clark batch. All the remaining votes (55K) are mail ballots, so she's in the driver's seat. It's done when Clark drops their next batch (tomorrow?). Also EVERY SINGLE election-denier Secretary of State lost in any semblance of a competitive race. Every single one. Republicans made a lot of jerking off motions at the "democracy is on the ballot" line, but voters sure believed it. facialimpediment fucked around with this message at 04:42 on Nov 12, 2022 |
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Nov 12, 2022 04:39
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Good projection of outstanding NV-SEN vote, with Laxalt in the lead by 800: https://twitter.com/RalstonReports/status/1591438332352831488?t=17bIqDwzrrgT2mFdT-uMnw&s=19 Projection is that Laxalt will probably pick up 1100, but CCM will pick up 2800, putting CCM in the lead by 900. Clark looming large! Also why the Culinary Union is going at full speed to contact their members with ballot curing requirements. A.o.D. posted:51 isnt redundant, it significantly reduces Manchin's ability to gently caress around. Probably fair, but Sinema is also a gently caress and with the House potentially being decided by maybe a vote or two, it's likely that Congress overall isn't getting much done that's heavily partisan. Things were hard enough with a five-vote Democratic House lead and the next one is unlikely to be that high for either party!
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Nov 12, 2022 15:47
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yo what in the loving gently caress https://twitter.com/cityafreaks/status/1591329291706699776?t=sieR4AqvIDp3zLvpBdIx1g&s=19 https://twitter.com/EsotericCD/status/1591433391538601986?t=X8a5pIBghpaicekPmopZEA&s=19
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Nov 12, 2022 16:06
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