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This is the TV/IV flavored thread for liveposting US Midterm election results and associated despair, laughter, whatever. Standard D&D rules are somewhat relaxed here as it's a TV/IV thread. Please avoid zero-content shitposting, flamewars, posting about posters, or the neverending argument over electoralism ("does voting matter??"). Check your forums grudges at the door. LINKS TO ELECTION COVERAGE If you have good links to election coverage please let us know in-thread and one of the mods will edit them in the OP. ABC News coverage: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MJWgLWe9dzs CNN: https://livenewsof.com/cnn/ PBS: https://www.pbs.org/newshour/politics/watch-live-2022-midterm-elections-pbs-newshour-special-coverage NYT map and dashboard (paywall): https://www.nytimes.com/interactive...c®ion=NavBar Fritz the Horse fucked around with this message at 01:44 on Nov 9, 2022 |
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Nov 8, 2022 23:01
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I'm also on the lookout for good election day streams! Here's the ABC News one: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MJWgLWe9dzs Remember to panic early and often before any results are in.
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Nov 8, 2022 23:03
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I'm scared
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Nov 8, 2022 23:03
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Ok so to lead off from the other thread there seems to be some crossed wires happening with the Nevada doomers vs optimists https://twitter.com/RalstonReports/status/1590101032939315206https://twitter.com/JohnRSamuelsen/status/1590092333328236544
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Nov 8, 2022 23:04
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Going to vote now, updates soon
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Nov 8, 2022 23:04
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Youth Decay posted:Ok so to lead off from the other thread there seems to be some crossed wires happening I would have thought most people in Clark would vote by mail, seeing as Nevada has universal vote by mail.
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Nov 8, 2022 23:05
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Ralston you motherfucker didn't include the second tweet putting this poo poo in context https://twitter.com/JohnRSamuelsen/status/1590102328308543488 God I hate twitter. Especially Musk hell-twitter where there are no blue checkmarks.
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Nov 8, 2022 23:06
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Ah here we go, guys on the news standing in front of tv maps and talking fast aw yeah
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Nov 8, 2022 23:07
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so is anything cool on the ballot anywhere outside of regular candidate stuff?
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Nov 8, 2022 23:07
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JosefStalinator posted:I'm also on the lookout for good election day streams! Here's the ABC News one: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MJWgLWe9dzs already on it
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Nov 8, 2022 23:08
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I'm still confused.
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Nov 8, 2022 23:08
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Youth Decay posted:Ralston you motherfucker didn't include the second tweet putting this poo poo in context Yeah, the percentage numbers are closing faster than they did in 2020 but the morning also started off with Republicans higher than they were in 2020. Something feels... weird about all of this though. Like everyone talking about Nevada is seeing wildly different things.
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Nov 8, 2022 23:08
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we had a relative fuckload of early voters at the site i went to (at a church in a low income black neighborhood) probably not enough to actually make my district do the right thing because texas but maybe a good sign for less red states
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Nov 8, 2022 23:10
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Rigel posted:I'm still confused. Republican election day turnout is ahead of the Dems as per usual, so we have to look at how much higher it is. Ralston is looking at raw numbers, actual data scientist guy Samuelsen is looking at ratios.
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Nov 8, 2022 23:10
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This is gonna be like 2016 where I ruin my birthday by staying up all night drinking whiskey and being depressed about the world. Lol
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Nov 8, 2022 23:10
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Tatsuta Age posted:so is anything cool on the ballot anywhere outside of regular candidate stuff? https://www.cnbc.com/amp/2022/11/07/recreational-marijuana-legalization-is-on-the-ballot-in-these-states.html AR, MD, MO, ND, and SD voting on legal weed. Also I think NE, NV, and DC have minimum wage hikes on the ballet.
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Nov 8, 2022 23:11
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Failed Imagineer posted:This is gonna be like 2016 where I ruin my birthday by staying up all night drinking whiskey and being depressed about the world. Lol Your fault for choosing to be born in early November.
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Nov 8, 2022 23:11
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A GIANT PARSNIP posted:AR, MD, MO, ND, and SD voting on legal weed. This actually has some impact for me, since I am moving to Kansas City next year and haven't yet decided on KCK or KCMO. If this passes, I'll go to the Missouri side.
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Nov 8, 2022 23:13
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Tatsuta Age posted:so is anything cool on the ballot anywhere outside of regular candidate stuff? There are some states with ballot proposals to protect abortion.
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Nov 8, 2022 23:14
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Tatsuta Age posted:so is anything cool on the ballot anywhere outside of regular candidate stuff? in Illinois, voting on enshrining the right to organize and collective bargaining into the state constitution!
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Nov 8, 2022 23:16
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Doom needs only doom
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Nov 8, 2022 23:16
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Srice posted:There are some states with ballot proposals to protect abortion. And multiple states where they are voting on whether to outlaw slavery or not.
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Nov 8, 2022 23:16
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https://www.cbsnews.com/amp/live-updates/elections-2022-abortion-rights-ballot-initiatives-states-voting/#app Yeah looks like CA, MI, and VT are voting to protect abortion rights and KY and MT are voting to restrict them.
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Nov 8, 2022 23:17
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Rigel posted:Your fault for choosing to be born in early November. People like to gently caress on Valentine's Day I guess 
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Nov 8, 2022 23:18
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The first results won't be coming out until a few hours from now, I take it? Curse my European sleeping schedule
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Nov 8, 2022 23:18
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Zore posted:Yeah, the percentage numbers are closing faster than they did in 2020 but the morning also started off with Republicans higher than they were in 2020. Because it’s a wildly incomplete sorting effect compared to everywhere else. Here’s your full list of confounders: - Rs overwhelmingly vote in-person on E-day or early - Ds overwhelmingly vote via mail, which has built in automatic lag up to today - Subset of Ds with the old Reid machine tend to vote in massive turnout blocks later in the day, particularly with union drives, where they put up numbers fast and in force - Drop boxes are way more prevalent and a thing with absolutely no idea how many of those have been returned, likely cannibalizing D Election Day voters more than Rs, since it’s known that good chunk of D orgs and unions recommended using the drop boxes to avoid lines - Insane blizzard conditions in rural Nevada - In person votes are probably up more for Rs than Ds based on demography, which is going to make turnout look artificially higher because vote by mail is distrusted by Rs Like, staring at the in person vote is a thing, sure. But anyone pretending they know how this aggregates fundamentally misunderstands how segmented the voting channels in Nevada are and just how large the unknown is. Not the most TVIV post, I know, but for as much as we stare at Ralston he’s talking about relative measures like in-person votes that have behaviorally changed, likely forever.
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Nov 8, 2022 23:18
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Michigan is also voting on a voting rights constitutional amendment which while not perfect would be very very good.
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Nov 8, 2022 23:20
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Tatsuta Age posted:so is anything cool on the ballot anywhere outside of regular candidate stuff? MA's got a millionaire tax on the ballot that I'm almost sure is going to pass, so that's cool
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Nov 8, 2022 23:20
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Phlegmish posted:The first results won't be coming out until a few hours from now, I take it? Curse my European sleeping schedule https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/when-election-results-2022/ Some early stuff might start to trickle out around 7-8 PM, but yeah, not til later in the evening US time will we get anything really good.
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Nov 8, 2022 23:20
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Phlegmish posted:The first results won't be coming out until a few hours from now, I take it? Curse my European sleeping schedule Very first results in about 2 hours. Won't see a lot of results for the major races until 4 or 5 hours from now.
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Nov 8, 2022 23:20
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In Colorado we all dropped off our ballots at drop boxes weeks ago, this day-of poo poo feels very 20th century
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Nov 8, 2022 23:22
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CBS released some preliminary exit polls (huge disclaimer, obviously this will be GOP-heavy since the Dems are tilted towards early and mail voting) Keeping that disclaimer in mind, they are..... OK-ish? Not terrible? Long twitter thread here: https://twitter.com/stevenportnoy/status/1590104111739195392
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Nov 8, 2022 23:22
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First election night in years I haven’t been scrolling Twitter. I’m still pessimistic but the free floating anxiety seems lower.
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Nov 8, 2022 23:25
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Some of the social issue things on the early exits (which will be GOP heavy) were looking good, good on abortion, attitude on immigrants surprisingly good, then we get to gender identity and gay issues *record scratch* ahh yes, there we go. Still got work to do there.
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Nov 8, 2022 23:27
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Rigel posted:CBS released some preliminary exit polls (huge disclaimer, obviously this will be GOP-heavy since the Dems are tilted towards early and mail voting) The average voter is so hilariously insane, I love how contradictory these big exit polls are. Did they really only poll e-day voters? If so, that's weirdly good for Dems.
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Nov 8, 2022 23:27
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Yiggy posted:First election night in years I haven’t been scrolling Twitter. I’m still pessimistic but the free floating anxiety seems lower. Turns out drinking directly from the hose pipe of despair isn't very healthy.
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Nov 8, 2022 23:27
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I'm excited to panic with you all once again
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Nov 8, 2022 23:28
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Pakistani Brad Pitt posted:In Colorado we all dropped off our ballots at drop boxes weeks ago, this day-of poo poo feels very 20th century I miss Colorado so bad, universal mail ballots is so maddeningly superior because of course it is
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Nov 8, 2022 23:29
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Tonight on the season finale of America, someone dies! It's democracy. Democracy dies tonight at 8PM EST
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Nov 8, 2022 23:29
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JosefStalinator posted:The average voter is so hilariously insane, I love how contradictory these big exit polls are. Did they really only poll e-day voters? If so, that's weirdly good for Dems. Control of the House will be decided by about 30 different house districts in various parts of the country and the Senate will be decided by the races in NH, PA, GA, AZ, and NV. Early exit polls are generally not accurate, but they also aren't really representative of what the final seat allocation will be either.
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Nov 8, 2022 23:30
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