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| # ¿ May 22, 2024 10:29 |
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Leperflesh posted:This is a lesson we all must learn, from time to time; don't buy meme stocks, even when the meme is coming from inside the building. Let's note that many people who read or post in the stock thread did NOT participate in NDRA, SOFI, or other trash stocks. Some even posted against them. Hopefully this thread's iteration will prove a bit more resistant to trash stock mania now that the 2021 trash bubble has mostly passed.
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Nov 26, 2022 15:51
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Pastrami posted:There are those that realized the music had stopped in February/March 2021 and those who are quiet and bagholding to this day. hey pastrami, wasn't there some sort of tastyworks options education video you thought would be good for this thread? could you please link?
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Nov 27, 2022 15:30
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https://twitter.com/prometheusmacro/status/1596244377349017600 one of... many fintwit accounts I follow, this one is kind of interesting for the model market-timing portfolio in his linked (free) substack. currently: 52% BIL 21% GLD 7% CANE 6% SOYB 5% CPER 5% SLV 2% UNG marvelous backtests for his new strat, of course, but it will be curious to see how forward performance holds over coming months/years.
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Nov 29, 2022 00:26
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Does anyone know a good data source for percent of companies reducing or raising guidance in current quarter earnings season?
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Dec 1, 2022 14:56
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hmm, saintonan pointed me toward https://insight.factset.com/ which has (usually weekly) blog posts following earnings season, including guidance revision metrics. Unless there's a more frequently updated public source, that seems to be the go-to. Also a good link for the OP, lots of data at that site.
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Dec 1, 2022 15:08
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Is EVGO dead or is it gonna somehow be saved by the infrastructure bill? https://finviz.com/quote.ashx?t=EVGO&p=d https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/NASDAQ-EVGO/financials-statistics-and-ratios/ it is bleeding cash like no tomorrow. Fits in my crap-tacular screen that also identified tickers such as AMC, WE, MSTR, and RUM.
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Dec 8, 2022 21:22
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 crude down to $71!
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Dec 8, 2022 21:32
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if any of you are checking the price of your trash meme stocks, be sure to also check the quantity ANN ARBOR, Mich. --(BUSINESS WIRE)-- ENDRA Life Sciences Inc. (NASDAQ: NDRA) (the “Company”), a pioneer of Thermo Acoustic Enhanced UltraSound ( TAEUS ®), announced today that it will be effecting a reverse stock split of its outstanding shares of common stock at a ratio of 1-for-20. The reverse stock split will reduce the number of shares of the Company’s common stock outstanding from 63,174,455 shares to approximately 3,158,723 shares, subject to adjustment for the rounding up of fractional shares.
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Dec 9, 2022 15:43
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Femtosecond posted:Someone posted this link in the discord and it's a good read. that whole post is a great read, thank you. I had Bronte's 13-Fs bookmarked, but had no idea he kept a blog. I gotta see what other big names post in similar manners.
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Dec 10, 2022 15:14
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Anyone here invest in preferred stocks? Paramount Global preferred, $PARAP, has 23% dividend yield. Obviously in the 'too good to be sustainable' category by that metric but has anyone looked into this sort of thing in the past? How do you properly value a high-div preferred? https://www.nasdaq.com/market-activity/stocks/parap/dividend-history edit: apparently PARAP is a mandatory convertible, semi interesting google doc linked in twitter thread here https://twitter.com/senith/status/1531588320278761472 pmchem fucked around with this message at 16:11 on Dec 22, 2022 |
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Dec 22, 2022 16:03
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https://twitter.com/eddiedonmez/status/1608870013930459137?s=20 nice collection of investment bank 2023 outlooks, in reply @ tweet. he links to posts of his on linkedin and from there you can download PDFs. you know, to see how wrong they all are 252 trading days from now.
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Dec 31, 2022 16:52
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Link in tweet goes to absolutely great explanation from CBOE about recent equity put/call ratio spikes, with very detailed data. https://twitter.com/WallStJesus/status/1609329857200111618 Example quote: quote:The incidence of heavy volume in deep ITM contracts with no resulting open interest is indicative of a strategy employed by the largest market participants to minimize exposure to early assignment. Commonly seen in deep ITM calls ahead of an ex-dividend date, this type of activity creates large blocks of open interest that are immediately assigned by another party. The net effect is that early assignment on original short positions is avoided based on the percentage pro-rata allocation method used by OCC. Another effect is a sharp spike in the equity put/call ratio that is nondirectional and unrelated to typical option use cases.
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Jan 1, 2023 02:00
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movax posted:How does this thread feel about GM? Looks like it’s back down in the 30s. They are my favorite of the big 3 when it comes to addressing electrification but what story is their 10-K / financials telling? I'm almost certainly gonna buy GM at some point in '23. It comes up on my screener for companies with FCF and strong FFO interest coverage trading below tangible book. The next largest company to come up on the screener is 1/8 of GM's size. GM is a total outlier right now. Plus I love how Barra is handling Cruise. Problem is that car sales seem likely to dip in early '23, as well as used car values as more people default on lovely loans they took out. Calling a bottom on the auto sector in general is difficult.
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Jan 3, 2023 13:04
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Baddog posted:Coffee is for closers Such a classic scene https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bkjfZctGMq8
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Jan 5, 2023 00:31
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https://twitter.com/ecommerceshares/status/1611012527521157122 that’s a lot of employee comp
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Jan 5, 2023 16:08
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fwiw big tech often offsets SBC with buybacks
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Jan 5, 2023 17:55
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movax posted:Yeah, I am more looking for the latter: “Which ETFs hold $X”. I’ll give a read through some of the 10-Ks of companies I’m interested in and see if that sheds a bit of light. for single stocks that's super easy, multiple sites let you do it. e.g. just replace AAPL with a ticker here https://etfdb.com/stock/aapl for multiple stocks in the same ETF, I can only find one pretty useful tool: https://www.etfchannel.com/finder/ if you find something better for that, tell us
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Jan 5, 2023 23:44
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drk posted:Anyone have a a general rule of thumb for selling appreciated stock gambles? A couple of my 2022 picks are at or near +100%, which seems like as good a time as any to take some profit. Its not a serious amount of money (<$1000 between the two), but they would both be short term gains which does eat up some of the potential profit. reminds me of this q&a https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8xIDhM366YM video is so old he refers to walmart as a growth stock
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Jan 7, 2023 00:50
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https://twitter.com/jaykaeppel/status/1611720932145389568?s=20 interesting for the focus on small traders -- anyone know of data similar to that, focusing on small traders?
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Jan 7, 2023 18:26
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https://twitter.com/DiretoDaAmerica/status/1612164628947009536?s=20 commodities might get a bid when futures open
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Jan 8, 2023 20:18
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https://twitter.com/McClellanOsc/status/1613309893594984448?s=20 great thread
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Jan 12, 2023 01:39
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https://twitter.com/TheTranscript_/status/1613647733310607360 $BLK and most other big (shadow) banks report tomorrow
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Jan 12, 2023 22:35
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from https://link.theverge.com/view/63bd756d87591243690fcd9b63bd76723985a21bc0415e8d/6ef565eb Bosworth is Meta's CTO quote:In an internal memo I obtained that he sent to employees just before the holidays, Bosworth acknowledged a sentiment I’ve been hearing from current and ex-employees for a while: “We have solved too many problems by adding headcount. But adding headcount also adds overhead. And overhead makes everything slower.”  $META
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Jan 13, 2023 00:15
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https://twitter.com/kcrequity/status/1615346599361916930 great charts. anyone who follows a single stock closely knows that analyst estimates lag and are often ridiculous. but these charts clearly demonstrate that for the s&p as a whole over decades.
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Jan 17, 2023 14:58
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whole long tweet thread and blog post but I’ll link this part https://twitter.com/aswathdamodaran/status/1617205765873319938
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Jan 22, 2023 18:08
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MetaJew posted:If you haven't read the SEC filing/offer letter for Murthy, it's a trip. That dude FLEECED Intel and then drove it into the ground. dude looks like he knew he fleeced them, too: 
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Jan 27, 2023 14:40
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movax posted:SOFI is up today... sold a bunch to take an ever so slightly smaller L. yup, since I've hated on it so much (since it was in the teens or twenties...) I'll go ahead and acknowledge that it looks like 4.24 will be its low. they still have some upcoming news risk regarding student loan payment restarts/forgiveness, but I somewhat expect some of that risk may go in their favor (e.g. supreme court is full of asshats).
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Jan 30, 2023 18:24
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just made a poll thread you guys may have some fun with, please post'n'vote https://forums.somethingawful.com/showthread.php?threadid=4023011
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Jan 31, 2023 15:55
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https://twitter.com/dylan522p/status/1620583960970682368?s=20 the CEO was paid $180m last year
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Feb 1, 2023 02:13
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shame on an IGA posted:loving nationalize that strategic asset before they do too much damage pretty much this, what a disastrous string of executives
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Feb 1, 2023 03:02
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the ratings agencies are not impressed with INTC's trajectory https://twitter.com/LiveSquawk/status/1620788290982121473?s=20 we need more bond traders around here!
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Feb 1, 2023 15:22
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drk posted:I looked for this general business news thread for longer than I should admit realtalk I kind of view this thread as also the catch all business news thread because that’s the sort of thing you see on market chat news outlets ala bloomberg. the corporate thread seems to be more about people’s personal stories. however if someone wants to start a general business and finance current events thread — post away and see if you can get some traction! we could reset it quarterly, just to be different from other subforum’s news threads. i like the quarterly idea so much i kinda wanna see this happen! then this thread could focus more closely on securities trading in the meantime feel free to post fomc hot takes here or in the recession poll thread.
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Feb 2, 2023 01:01
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fun metric here https://twitter.com/tracyalloway/status/1626583955553284096?s=20 wish we had all these indices and stats dating back to the 60s/70s
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Feb 17, 2023 15:09
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I’m looking to do a little research this weekend. What are some stocks or specific macro ideas that were very much NOT in favor 3 months ago but have since highly outperformed (stocks) or been proven correct (macro)? Example stock, US Steel $X. Big run the last quarter despite steel rarely being a popular trade and the stock still trading far under book. https://stockcharts.com/freecharts/perf.php?VTI,X&n=65&O=011000 My plan is to go back and find twitter folks taking nonconsensus but correct positions.
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Feb 19, 2023 15:49
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nnnotime posted:$X has a strong balance sheet. Important to have an accurate steel-demand forecast to have an idea where the stock will go this year. Perhaps the demand forecast is good and the stock already up on that news. Also would be good to know if $X is a better overall investment than it's competitors. Ah yeah, my post wasn’t really about whether $X was a good idea right now, but about finding people who had useful steel industry insights in the middle of last year (or any other unusual outperformed). Anyway didn’t turn up much new except for @siyul, who has some interesting commentary and attention to detail, mostly commenting on stocks and less so on news or macro.
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Feb 20, 2023 18:20
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anyone care to post opinions on holding junk bond funds (e.g. HYG, JNK, FALN, ANGL) the next 6-12 months? curious to get takes before I post something else interesting about 'em
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Feb 28, 2023 23:39
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Agronox posted:Curious what you're going for though! well, here's what I was pondering yesterday. We all know that bonds and stock returns have been correlated the past year or two, and that the stock market is somewhat interest-rate sensitive. So I decided to do some research regarding whether anyone had calculated an effective duration for the equity market recently. the short version is: yes, and depending on assumptions it's 20-30 years. as part of that I was also looking at correlations between various bond funds and the S&P over a few windows (14, 18, 26 months). unsurprisingly, there's a decent correlation with long-term corporate bonds funds such as LQD or VCLT, supporting the 20+ year equity market duration analysis. but, it's also well known that junk bond funds are more 'equity-like' than treasury-like. they tend to rally with stocks and sell off in recessions / stock market crashes, kinda the opposite of treasuries. it turns out that their correlation (HYG or FALN to SPY) has been ever higher over those recent windows -- up to 0.9 over the last year or so! https://www.portfoliovisualizer.com...ys=60&months=36 (will get different correlation #s if you choose different windows but trend remains) one could make an argument that if you're invested in equity indexes right now, it's quite similar to being invested in junk bond funds (granted, different beta). so I kinda wanted to take the temperature of people regarding junk bond funds. responses from drk or haze weren't too supportive of it. in fact, nobody really stepped up to support investing in junk bonds. but in general I'm guessing a lot of people here are very much long the stock market, even perhaps just talking about "trading" positions. just an interesting additional way to reflect and think about the stock market; ask yourself how you feel about junk bonds.
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Mar 1, 2023 15:34
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oh wow, odd lots (the podcast) just made a discord https://twitter.com/tracyalloway/status/1630944009710448642?s=20 they have an #economy channel, of course, but I also just got them to make a #memes channel godspeed, goons
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Mar 1, 2023 16:17
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| # ¿ May 22, 2024 10:29 |
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there now are ETFs to bet against (or with) Jim Cramer https://twitter.com/EricBalchunas/status/1631288762083819526?s=20
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Mar 2, 2023 15:18
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