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bollig posted:The first Selzer poll is out: 40% of people who are likely to vote in the caucus say they aren't changing their mind. 52% say they could change their mind. If those percentages were evenly distributed among the candidates (I didn't check to see if they had some sort of crosstabs for that question), that would be good news for not Trump, because maybe they'd peel off some of his support. I suspect there is a lot of overlap between the 42% who want Trump first and the 40% who don't think they'll change who they want first, so that's not as good news for the not Trumps. E: bollig posted:
lol Jethro fucked around with this message at 21:30 on Aug 21, 2023 |
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Aug 21, 2023 19:31
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Yiggy posted:I read that as, 52% of likely caucusgoers are soft decided. Or put another way, seems to me like shy Trump supporters. They could be convinced to vote for someone else, but they probably won't be because there isn't a Trumpier Trump, and they'll rally around whoever is ahead. You could be right, but also is there really such a thing as a shy Trump supporter these days?
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Aug 21, 2023 19:33
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Phlegmish posted:What the hell is going on in the US this year, their primary thing is even more chaotic than usual The Republicans are mostly just coming to grips with their voters saying "we have an incumbent this year" when the non-Trump candidates were desperately trying to say "nuh uh" sometimes without being too mean to Trump. And also they are trying to fix some other issues with the primary system but being "conservative" they also don't want to change anything.
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Feb 7, 2024 17:46
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Trazz posted:Can someone explain how Nikki Haley would be a stronger candidate than Trump? Because I don't see it. I don't think she beats Biden when she loses millions of votes and doesn't gain any.
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Mar 8, 2024 00:30
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