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Doltos
Dec 28, 2005

🤌🤌🤌
Yeah I don't know why you'd ever let a franchise WR go instead of paying them, Tennessee Titans.

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TheGreyGhost
Feb 14, 2012

“Go win the Heimlich Trophy!”

kiimo posted:

Grey Ghost should Washington take Drake Maye or Jayden Daniels

They should take any OL they can for this and the next draft and then take a run in 2026.

Maye if you absolutely have to take a QB—his OL in college is so bad he literally has tape where he basically guesses which side of the line will bust and tilts his drop mid-drop back which is insane. Like, he gets A-gapped so badly that his 3 step quick game happens with pressure in his face, legitimately one of the most inhospitable OLs I’ve ever seen for a QB his caliber, it looks like Jay Cutler at vandy.

Daniels would die behind that line or force 800 horrific deep balls because the receivers don’t separate on time—basically can’t think of a worse situation unless they let him borderline run and shoot stuff mixed with heavy formation to boundary to give him running room. Dude doesn’t make decisions for his own health.

Even McCarthy might be okay if they get reductive and try to focus on running the ball better. I hate his arm strength for a first rounder unless he has Burrow/Stroud caliber ball placement, but he does handle pressure okay


Fate Accomplice posted:

guessing one of these was supposed to be passing

The latter. You could call his offense with 7th graders, it’s based on reps in system relative to everyone else and sucks poo poo the second the personnel hasn’t grown up doing it forever.

Docjowles
Apr 9, 2009

TheGreyGhost posted:

They should take any OL they can for this and the next draft and then take a run in 2026.

I appreciate someone saying this. I don't know what the right course of action is but the discourse being so strongly "the Patriots suck absolute poo poo and should trade back as much as possible cause they will ruin any QB they draft" at the same time as "the Commanders are ready to draft the QB of the future" has been bothering me all offseason. The Pats absolutely do suck poo poo, but so do the Commies. Washington was objectively worse, they got a better draft slot. Be consistent in your taeks

Dexo
Aug 15, 2009

A city that was to live by night after the wilderness had passed. A city that was to forge out of steel and blood-red neon its own peculiar wilderness.
I think the Pats are in a worse place than the Commies from a roster building perspective.

Like they do legitimately have nfl wide receivers. And on defense at least have interior dudes.

I think you can get away with a bad line if you have receivers or you can get away with no receivers if you have a good to decent line, but neither is dire.

Can scheme around one, but not both.

Jen X
Sep 29, 2014

To bring light to the darkness, whether that darkness be ignorance, injustice, apathy, or stagnation.
I think people are looking at next year's QB class and deciding that there's no hope on the immediate horizon

and the GM wants to keep their job so 3 year plans aren't in vogue

Dexo
Aug 15, 2009

A city that was to live by night after the wilderness had passed. A city that was to forge out of steel and blood-red neon its own peculiar wilderness.
Also no guarantee you are in that position.

It's real easy to win some dumb games you probably shouldn't and be out of position to get a QB.

Like your backup goes on a legendary meme run.

Docjowles
Apr 9, 2009

Dexo posted:

I think the Pats are in a worse place than the Commies from a roster building perspective.

Like they do legitimately have nfl wide receivers. And on defense at least have interior dudes.

I think you can get away with a bad line if you have receivers or you can get away with no receivers if you have a good to decent line, but neither is dire.

Can scheme around one, but not both.

Sure. But the Pats do have picks in rounds 2-7 this year, several of which will presumably (?????) go toward WR and OL. It feels like people are acting like those picks don't exist. Yeah they won't fix things overnight but jesus our receivers are so bad that a round 2 WR might immediately become the WR1 lol. It's a huge mystery what a post-Belichick draft looks like. But if they just make normal, on-the-board picks at positions of need they'll hopefully crawl out of the hole he dug pretty quickly.

Pats are strong in the secondary and at edge, although those pass rushers are coming up on the end of their contracts. I guess it also remains to be seen what this defense looks like post Belichick. Can it continue to run on spare parts without marquee stars? Or do they need to put more capital into defense now that they don't have one of the greatest defensive minds of all time moving the chess pieces around.

I guess I agree that Washington is slightly better positioned but it doesn't feel like night and day. But that's how I've been reading the discourse around the two teams.

Cash Monet
Apr 5, 2009

TheGreyGhost posted:

They should take any OL they can for this and the next draft and then take a run in 2026.

I used to think this way but I think I've done a 180.

You're not guaranteed to be in a position to draft a QB you think is worth a 1st round pick in any given year, even if you're willing to trade up. If you can land a guy with potential without having to give up extra picks, you do it.

Ornery and Hornery
Oct 22, 2020

Cash Monet posted:

I used to think this way but I think I've done a 180.

You're not guaranteed to be in a position to draft a QB you think is worth a 1st round pick in any given year, even if you're willing to trade up. If you can land a guy with potential without having to give up extra picks, you do it.

Exactly.

It’s a simple flow chart: does the team have a franchise qb? If not, then the team 100% must draft an elite qb prospect when given the opportunity.

If the team tries to build a better situation for an incoming QB prospect then you get yourself out of elite qb prospect range.

Also, it’s the nfl. A team can absolutely build sufficient supporting talent around a rookie qb in two offseasons, if the team commits to doing so.

Cavauro
Jan 9, 2008

it's all because people used to think an elite first year qb would become really bad and worthless for life if he wasn't on a good team right away with extremely rare exceptions. but now more people think actually all those guys just sucked and it's unrelated

Relentlessboredomm
Oct 15, 2006

It's Sic Semper Tyrannis. You said, "Ever faithful terrible lizard."
On the Pats / Wash front they’re different situations bc Washington’s roster isn’t utterly devoid of talent on offense. They have a glaring hole on the o line but they also have 7 picks in the first 3 rounds including 2 picks at the top of the 2nd. They added a great young center in FA to go with their one good olineman at RG. It’s totally feasible for them to go QB & T for their first two picks and add some oline depth in the 3rd. Their needs line up perfectly with the deepest talent in this draft and they’ll get more shots at it.

They’re in a much better spot to add a QB than the Patriots but it does hinge on them using at least 1-2 more picks on oline in the 2nd and 3rd

Wash is also a good one to trade back into the first for oline like if Guyton is around in the late 20s

Relentlessboredomm fucked around with this message at 05:49 on Apr 19, 2024

BlindSite
Feb 8, 2009

Billy 5 aces is co hosting pat mcafees draft show next week.

Pat kinda grates but I don't think I can pass up belichicks insight.

A Sneaker Broker
Feb 14, 2020

Daily Dose of Internet Brain Rot
So are we doing a Game Day Thread for each day or we just gonna unload in here?

BlindSite
Feb 8, 2009

Usually there's a gdt for all 3 days.

Nosre
Apr 16, 2002


Relentlessboredomm posted:

On the Pats / Wash front they’re different situations bc Washington’s roster isn’t utterly devoid of talent on offense. They have a glaring hole on the o line but they also have 7 picks in the first 3 rounds including 2 picks at the top of the 2nd. They added a great young center in FA to go with their one good olineman at RG. It’s totally feasible for them to go QB & T for their first two picks and add some oline depth in the 3rd. Their needs line up perfectly with the deepest talent in this draft and they’ll get more shots at it.

They’re in a much better spot to add a QB than the Patriots but it does hinge on them using at least 1-2 more picks on oline in the 2nd and 3rd

This OL analysis seems to line up almost exactly with the Pats, down to being good on 2 spots (in our case C and RG/RT [Onwenu]). They also have the same glaring hole (LT) and will almost certainly use a high pick on it.

I don't know how the guards line up but the Pats do have 3-4 guys competing there, including their former 1st round pick who has looked ok at times (and really bad at others, I know). And all this with terrible OL coaching last year, which could go a long way if it's fixed.

WR is another topic of course, but your post was mostly on OL and they really seem comparable there, not WASH being a much better spot.

Diva Cupcake
Aug 15, 2005

Commanders need an OL you say?
https://twitter.com/TomPelissero/status/1781292707245138293

quote:

Said an NFC coordinator: "Jayden takes hits like Anthony Richardson takes hits. Anthony Richardson probably outweighs him by 40 pounds. And Anthony Richardson got hurt, what, three times (in four games) last year as a rookie? You cannot do that at that position. Cam Newton's career ended [at age 32] because of it, and he's the biggest human being to ever play quarterback successfully.

wandler20
Nov 13, 2002

How many Championships?

BlindSite posted:

Billy 5 aces is co hosting pat mcafees draft show next week.

Pat kinda grates but I don't think I can pass up belichicks insight.

I hope this version shows up.

Forrest on Fire
Nov 23, 2012

wandler20 posted:

I hope this version shows up.



Bill Belichick's wolf fursona confirmed

wandler20
Nov 13, 2002

How many Championships?
Eifert, are you going to do the draft game again this year?

SKULL.GIF
Jan 20, 2017


Ornery and Hornery posted:

The podcast draft coverage as a whole seems lovely this year, across different podcasters.

Not sure if that’s me getting more jaded or what.

Seems like more content than ever was focused on just the top qb prospects and then the top wr prospects.

I paid so much more attention to last year's draft than this year's even though the Packers have more top-100 picks now.

Part of it is probably just trusting the process now since last year's draft looks like it could be a home-run for the Packers, but I can't really engage with the nonstop QB talk.

Dexo
Aug 15, 2009

A city that was to live by night after the wilderness had passed. A city that was to forge out of steel and blood-red neon its own peculiar wilderness.
Yeah this draft is sorta just defined by QB/OL/WR.

Which coincidentally can be some of the most obnoxious positions to talk about.

A Sneaker Broker
Feb 14, 2020

Daily Dose of Internet Brain Rot
So many Day 1 starters among all these WRs. drat.

wandler20
Nov 13, 2002

How many Championships?
Ben Sinnott from KSU is giving me some Sam Laporta vibes. He could be a fun player.

A Sneaker Broker
Feb 14, 2020

Daily Dose of Internet Brain Rot

wandler20 posted:

Ben Sinnott from KSU is giving me some Sam Laporta vibes. He could be a fun player.

Excellent blocker.

Impossibly Perfect Sphere
Nov 6, 2002

They wasted Luanne on Lucky!

She could of have been so much more but the writers just didn't care!
Just thinking back to when Tampa traded up to take a 2nd round kicker.

wandler20
Nov 13, 2002

How many Championships?

Impossibly Perfect Sphere posted:

Just thinking back to when Tampa traded up to take a 2nd round kicker.

And here I had finally memory holed this. Thanks for bringing this nightmare back.

I even tried to defend the pick. Just an embarrassment all around.

That entire draft class was a disaster for the Bucs.

Bismack Billabongo
Oct 9, 2012

Wet

Ornery and Hornery posted:

Mays has consistently gotten worse as his influence and station has grown.

When he first started it was an inundation of his content, multiple episodes a week, lengthy episodes, researched content on novel topics.

Then he, strategically and prudently, started integrating more guests into the regular rotation to lighten his work load. Eventually he got enough regulars that he could stop appearing on some episodes.

He has grown and is now more management/leadership.

All the while, the quality of his content has decreased.

I used to love his podcast more than all others, now I barely even listen to episodes. Maybe 1 out of 6.

F

Their chats with brugler have been good when they’re just analyzing prospects but part of the problem with the national level pods like this one or any of the espn ones is that they only want to cover maybe half of the teams, and you end up with a lot of stupid shallow analysis that doesn’t actually fit with reality. And that’s before the games start and they can just winnow it down to talking about the top four Narrative teams.

Obviously with team specific pods and stuff you lean closer to people being homers, overrating their teams players, etc, but you also are hearing from people who might have a better sense of what’s going on too.

Like, I know Tennessee is not a team that anybody cares about nationally, it’s a small fanbase, whatever. But the amount of times I’ve heard Mays or tice or Mina kimes say “uhhhhhh I don’t know what the titans are doing!!” wrt their free agency moves. And it’s not hard to put together! You just have to actually think about something other than Josh Allen running and gunning for like three minutes.


TLDR national level football pods have turned to poo poo

Bismack Billabongo
Oct 9, 2012

Wet
Only semi related but the easiest way to keep me from listening to a podcast is having anybody who works at the ringer as a guest. Murderers row of dumbshits

Impossibly Perfect Sphere
Nov 6, 2002

They wasted Luanne on Lucky!

She could of have been so much more but the writers just didn't care!
sports podcasts in offseasons are generally a special kind of torture to listen to

Doltos
Dec 28, 2005

🤌🤌🤌

A Sneaker Broker posted:

Excellent blocker.

Yeah it's weird I've seen multiple outlets call him a bad blocker but he's pretty good when it's hat on hat. He misses blocks that cross over his face or against guys who go for the slip past him but he's a tight end.

xbilkis
Apr 11, 2005

god qb
me
jay hova

Bismack Billabongo posted:

Only semi related but the easiest way to keep me from listening to a podcast is having anybody who works at the ringer as a guest. Murderers row of dumbshits

I don't know how every single Ringer football person manages to simultaneously tick both boxes of "giant dweeb" and "obnoxious hot take artist" but boy do they seemingly pull it off across the board. I guess I get that dithering and nuance is not what a lot of people want from a sports media figure, but the Ringer folks lack both the charisma and the expertise to be operating from a place of "Can you believe there are dipshits who don't agree with my opinions??"

I actually do enjoy Ben Solak when he's doing a film breakdown or a written article but in podcast form he shifts right into that insufferable know-it-all dork zone

Bismack Billabongo
Oct 9, 2012

Wet
You would think that people who want stat obsessed dweebery or presumably intelligent discussion would not be interested in listening to hot take mouth breathers but Bomani jones keeps having nick wright on his show so maybe I’m just the exception

Play
Apr 25, 2006

Strong stroll for a mangy stray

Does being big REALLY limit your potential for injury? I have never really noticed a correlation there. I mean yeah, thicker legs and such can potentially hold up a bit better to sideways pressure but I'm honestly not sure that's how it works overall, it is your ligaments that hold your joints in place, not your muscles. I think small players can be more aware of that kind of thing and be better at limiting those situations, and if you've got less weight on your legs it's easier for them to lose traction than get some devastating knee injury. Not to mention there are tons of injuries that have nothing whatsoever to do with size, like soft tissue, spine, foot (potentially), etc.

That being said, Daniels being both so tall and so skinny, and with such a long neck, is a bit concerning especially when it comes to concussions and neck injuries. Still, he's proved pretty durable in college and that's a good sign.

Bismack Billabongo posted:

Only semi related but the easiest way to keep me from listening to a podcast is having anybody who works at the ringer as a guest. Murderers row of dumbshits

SOLAK!!!! :argh:

Anyways, I thought it might be interesting, for something to talk about, to take a look at some draft-related betting odds. Those guys are pretty drat good at predicting things.

Picks 2 to 4 projections (I would still put my money on Maye for 2 and Daniels for 3):



Picks 5 to 7 (5 unsurprisingly the most unsure):



Pick 8 to 10 (uncertainty increasing as you go down the order):



There are also odds for first and second players taken at certain positions. Obviously, Joe Alt and Marvin Harrison Jr. HEAVILY favored for first at their positions, but the DL/edge and running backs are pretty interesting:





(No, I have no clue why Will Shipley is even on this list).

We've also got over/under on draft positions for a bunch of late first round/second round players, some things sticking out to me there:

- Michael Penix and Bo Nix have the EXACT same line at 32.5. AKA, deciding if they are first rounders or second rounders (edit: nevermind, forgot the Dolphins losing their picks so actually this is 1 pick into the second round I think).

- Ladd McConkey 35.5.

- Xavier Legette 41.5 (I'm taking the under)

- Quinyon Mitchell 15.5 (another under imo)

- Cooper DeJean 22.5 (big time over for me)

This one is pretty interesting to me. Total number of players at certain positions drafted in the first round:



There are also odds for the first position taken by certain teams, although it looks like they don't offer odds for the top 8 teams plus the Vikings.

For the TRUE degenerates, there are even odds on which position will be Mr. Irrelevant:



If I had to choose some odds I really like, they would be:

- A parley of first WR/OL/CB taken with MHJ, Alt, and Quinyon.
- Maye going second overall, and maybe also a perfect top 5 picks bet with that setup.
- AD Mitchel, Quinyon and Xavier Legette unders on positions, Terrion/DeJean overs.
- Maybe I'd go QB over, assuming the top three and JJ and either Penix or Nix to be taken late in the first round by someone trading up.

All info taken from here: https://sportsbook.fanduel.com/navigation/nfl. Curious what anyone else thinks about these, I wasn't really surprised by anything, I think the media probably keeps an eye on the line as well. If you know any dirt on a prospect, now would be the time for some lucrative insider trading.

Play fucked around with this message at 18:05 on Apr 19, 2024

Bismack Billabongo
Oct 9, 2012

Wet


SKULL.GIF
Jan 20, 2017


Play posted:

Does being big REALLY limit your potential for injury? I have never really noticed a correlation there. I mean yeah, thicker legs and such can potentially hold up a bit better to sideways pressure but I'm honestly not sure that's how it works overall, it is your ligaments that hold your joints in place, not your muscles. I think small players can be more aware of that kind of thing and be better at limiting those situations, and if you've got less weight on your legs it's easier for them to lose traction than get some devastating knee injury. Not to mention there are tons of injuries that have nothing whatsoever to do with size, like soft tissue, spine, foot (potentially), etc.

That being said, Daniels being both so tall and so skinny, and with such a long neck, is a bit concerning especially when it comes to concussions and neck injuries. Still, he's proved pretty durable in college and that's a good sign.

I'm just a layman but I'm pretty sure strength training improves tendon/ligament strength. Strength training also makes you big.

Play
Apr 25, 2006

Strong stroll for a mangy stray

SKULL.GIF posted:

I'm just a layman but I'm pretty sure strength training improves tendon/ligament strength. Strength training also makes you big.

I think they all do strength training, just because genetically one player puts on more mass doesn't mean they strengthen their tendons at the same rate. That's what I'd guess anyways, I can't prove it. But yeah, that's an interesting point.

kidcoelacanth
Sep 23, 2009

i like the ringer podcasts because i like to listen to people talk about football. well, thanks for reading my post

Pron on VHS
Nov 14, 2005

Blood Clots
Sweat Dries
Bones Heal
Suck it Up and Keep Wrestling

xbilkis posted:

I don't know how every single Ringer football person manages to simultaneously tick both boxes of "giant dweeb" and "obnoxious hot take artist" but boy do they seemingly pull it off across the board. I guess I get that dithering and nuance is not what a lot of people want from a sports media figure, but the Ringer folks lack both the charisma and the expertise to be operating from a place of "Can you believe there are dipshits who don't agree with my opinions??"

I actually do enjoy Ben Solak when he's doing a film breakdown or a written article but in podcast form he shifts right into that insufferable know-it-all dork zone

because they spend all their time on the internet. They all become like ...that

Doltos
Dec 28, 2005

🤌🤌🤌

SKULL.GIF posted:

I'm just a layman but I'm pretty sure strength training improves tendon/ligament strength. Strength training also makes you big.

Developing muscles around joints improves joint health but it doesn't prevent injuries. There's no such thing as an injury model that can predict them or a build that can shield against them. It's simply if you put yourself in danger of being hit by the equivalent of a car over and over you're most likely going to get hurt.

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Relentlessboredomm
Oct 15, 2006

It's Sic Semper Tyrannis. You said, "Ever faithful terrible lizard."

Nosre posted:

This OL analysis seems to line up almost exactly with the Pats, down to being good on 2 spots (in our case C and RG/RT [Onwenu]). They also have the same glaring hole (LT) and will almost certainly use a high pick on it.

I don't know how the guards line up but the Pats do have 3-4 guys competing there, including their former 1st round pick who has looked ok at times (and really bad at others, I know). And all this with terrible OL coaching last year, which could go a long way if it's fixed.

WR is another topic of course, but your post was mostly on OL and they really seem comparable there, not WASH being a much better spot.

Yea I was emphasizing OL bc that's where Wash has holes unlike the Pats which have holes everywhere on offense. That's sort of the whole point, Wash has less holes on offense and more high picks to address them

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