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Gully Foyle
Feb 29, 2008

DariusLikewise posted:

Welcome to the November onward Jared Goff experience

Last year the Lions went 8-2 starting in November.

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Gully Foyle
Feb 29, 2008

fsif posted:

Mahomes is having a down year, Burrow is hurt, Allen and Herbert are missing the playoffs, Lamar and Hurts don't have the counting stats, Tua and Purdy are system QBs, Lawrence is mid, Stroud is a rookie that has to wait his turn, Dak will choke in the postseason.

Sam Howell for MVP.

Postseason performance don't matter for MVP, so Dak is probably the frontrunner if he keeps it up.

Gully Foyle
Feb 29, 2008

Number19 posted:

Been playing around with the playoff machine and after this week, there's no realistic path to the playoffs for Buffalo. Their most realistic path left is to win the division by winning one more game than the Dolphins down the stretch and then beating the Dolphins in Miami in Week 17.

There are some other paths but they are very convoluted and require a lot of other teams in the hunt to lose games they are probably going to win.

The Bills need a lot of help now and the odds look really bad for them to get it.

I mean, their most realistic path is to go on a tear and finish 11-6. Likely? Not at all, but I don't think you'd have to worry too much about 3 other teams being at 11-6 or better for the wildcard race.

Normally 10-7 is enough, but they are probably gonna lose every tiebreaker with already having 5 in conference losses. And they have head to head losses for tiebreakers involving Bengals, Broncos, or Jags - Broncos being the most likely problem since the Bengals probably won't get there and the Jags are likely not a wildcard team.

Just checked, and Steelers/Browns/Texans/Colts all have only 3 conference losses so far, so they are all well ahead of the Bills for tiebreaker scenarios. And as I said, Broncos are beating them from the head-to-head result. So they have to claim a wildcard cleanly, since they aren't likely to win any tiebreaker. Maybe some weird 3-way tie result could let them in, but those are difficult to parse.

Gully Foyle fucked around with this message at 00:04 on Nov 28, 2023

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