morningdrew posted:

Tag yourself, I'm Pipedaddy and I work at amazon

Hollismason posted:

Yeah but there's some specific stuff in their handbook I think about what to do if you suspect that two of your fellow proud boys are gaying each other or some poo poo.

It's really weird.

AreWeDrunkYet posted:

Biden wasn’t an incumbent

dr_rat posted:

I remember the Legal Eagle made a good point, you can tell how good any of trumps lawyers are by how much their on TV. With the ones being constantly on TV obviously being the shittest of the poo poo.

SlurredSpeech609 posted:

How do these people make it through life?

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/01/11/us/politics/iowa-voters.html

Mr Ice Cream Glove posted:

https://twitter.com/Phil_Lewis_/status/1745796840962892124?s=20

Grey Cat posted:

Grammarchist posted:

Robert Caro's series on LBJ is really infuriating during the parts where he covers the conservative coalition during the New/Fair Deal Era. Conservative senators, especially in the South, could get away with anything as long as they kept Civil Rights and other progressive bills at bay. This allowed them to control committees through seniority and simply amassing experience with parliamentary tricks, patronage, and networking. First-term liberals were harder to keep in office, because their voters expected immediate results and tended to lose enthusiasm if they failed to produce or compromised.

It puts things into perspective when you realize just how much FDR and Truman failed to accomplish, given how we think of them today. It does make LBJ's power plays a lot more satisfying in the end, even if he was (and had) a colossal dick.

SlurredSpeech609 posted:

lol, she wrote an op-ed endorsing Haley on dailymail.

John Wick of Dogs posted:

Why has the amount of border crossings increased so much.

I guess I don't have a high awareness if the political situations in central and south America but are there humanitarian crises leading to more refugees? Is it economically really bad right now?

Because just in general this seems like a period in time where people would least want to be in the USA, it sucks here right now especially for immigrants.

Is it just we are employing far more jackbooted thugs, or have blocked the border into choke points so the amount of immigration is not substantially different but the rate of encounters is a lot higher?

kazil posted:

Seth Pecksniff posted:

Judge Engoron is a frequent visitor to SA so every time you post demanding he release his judgment he pushes back the publishing by the day

dr_rat posted:

Don't most of his kids hate him anyway? Why make it public if it's just going to get you written out of the will.

Trump 100% would write any of them out of the will on a whim.

MrQwerty posted:

Lol they were already doing that when she got fired

Blackchamber posted:

She was going to have a much bigger role and she can't really even act very well. Then there's crossover roles in other SW series I'm sure and so on and so on. Obviously she wouldn't have become filthy rich on that alone but steady paycheck and already part of the Disney family so she can slide into other stuff (Rosario aka Ahsoka starred in Haunted Mansion which wasn't great but again starred in a disney production) but no do go on Gina you do what you feel is right and have no regrets... (shes having huge regrets).

Queen-Of-Hearts posted:

That flamethrower contraption looks incredibly jank and she’s lucky it didn’t set her on fire.

kazil posted:

https://www.businessinsider.com/donald-trump-legal-fees-pac-donor-money-personal-cases-2024-2

SonOfGhostDad posted:

lol, both of my parents have told my and my siblings that when their Silent Gen parents die, they'll be liquidating their assets and selling our childhood home so they can blow their inheritance and leave nothing for their children or grandchildren. fuckin rules

pixaal posted:

The Nightman Cometh? The play?

No wait it's the children beauty pageant isn't it.

Mr Ice Cream Glove posted:

Shageletic posted:

The Muslim ban still is in effect, as those who were banned under it are still knocked out of the system and there's been a huge drop in visas offered to people the ME where I'm originally from. My cousin got kicked out of the country under Biden when he had family and young kids and a pretty good as a supervisor in a mechanic. But successful asylum applications are a joke rn.

Isn't the the Trump head of the USPD still there?

Mr Ice Cream Glove posted:

Does he even have 5?

Random Stranger posted:

A bunch of illegals crossed the Mexican border to live on the other side and got mad when told they couldn't own slaves. Then they locked themselves in a church when the government came to enforce the laws and died poorly because they were a bunch of shitheads.

Mr Ice Cream Glove posted:

Well I guess that settles that

Oh wait

TulliusCicero posted:

Who the gently caress is this poo poo for?

Are they trying to manifest black trump voters into existence?

Another Bill posted:

this is how birth control pills work?

Blurred posted:

I missed polling chat last night, but wanted to add my two cents here.

There seems to be a lot of complacency here about the state of the 2024 election - the Republicans are running on losing issues, they're out of money, etc. - but I think we should be honest with ourselves that the polling just isn't reflecting that at the moment. RCP has Trump ahead in 16 out of the past 20 polls (2 tied) and I don't think that can easily be dismissed. You can point to things like sampling errors for individual polls, but that doesn't work when a lot of pollsters with different polling methods are all showing similar things. You could argue that all the polls are somehow systematically missing some key group of voters (which is perhaps what happened with the polls in 2016 and 2020, where their traditional screening methods led them to underestimate Trump's level of support among traditionally "unreliable" voters), but I don't see clear reason to presume that's happening here, nor that such systematic errors would necessarily be to Biden's advantage.

Some posters said that polling overestimated Republican performance in 2022, but that just isn't true. The final 538 average had Republicans 1.2% ahead, and they actually won by 2.8%. That's still an underperformance for Republicans under the circumstances, but it was anticipated by the polling. The polls severely underestimated the performance of Democrats in some of the special elections, yes, but polling of local races has always been super unreliable.

So, coupled with the fact that Biden's approval rating is currently under water, I think the polls should be taken seriously, and we should presume that Biden is genuinely trailing Trump at the moment and we should rightly be nervous about Trump winning in 2024. However, that's not to say that we should take the polls as accurate forecasts of what is actually going to happen in November. I think we should treat them as accurate, yes, but they reflect current voter preferences, not necessarily what the preferences will be in November. The fact is that Biden hasn't really kicked off his election campaign yet, whereas Trump has been in campaign mode for most of the past 3 years. Trump is getting press coverage (for, er, various reasons) while Biden only seems to get press coverage when they want to talk about his mental decline. Voters have the minds of goldfish and might have forgotten about some of the more heinous poo poo Trump did as president, but they're going to be reminded about it pretty constantly once the Biden campaign kicks into gear. Plus there's the minor issue of the 91 indictments hanging over Trump's head. If there's any sympathy for Trump's "persecution" at the moment, that might disappear pretty quickly once the guilty verdicts start rolling in.

So while I don't believe in unskewing the polls - I genuinely believe that Biden is behind at the moment - that's hardly reason for dooming at the moment, because most of the changes to the dynamic of the race in the next 8 months are likely to be to Biden's advantage (barring some extraordinary event - like economic collapse - that can't be foreseen for now). But I also think it's clear that we shouldn't be gloating over the corpse of Trump's political career or the Republican Party just yet, because - against all reason and human decency - their popularity seems to be holding up for now.

Grey Cat posted:

It's pretty good I've only ever seen the full cut which is like 2.5hrs. If anyone is on the fence for watching it let me sell you.

It has a booby robot, feeding humans to the work machine, a hosed up church, and some of the best set design and miniatures ever.

Batterypowered7 posted:

Keep voting for the GOP, Kentucky. See where that gets you.

Captain Fargle posted:

Ahh. So the reason Engoron never bothered revoking the Trump Org business license is because there isn't going to be any business left to revoke once Letitia James is finished stripping the bones clean.

kazil posted:

Graham got booed at a Trump rally in South Carolina over the weekend

MrMojok posted:

🚨 TRUMP LOSES EMERGENCY BID TO STAY $454m JUDGEMENT 🚨

kazil posted:

Failed Imagineer posted:

Nearly 40 years

Dapper_Swindler posted:

same, i am gonna volunteer too. if there is a brightside. it should light a fire under some asses.

Batterypowered7 posted:

I can't believe the migrants would do this.

Aramis posted:

Homo-Marxist reptilians?

HopperUK posted:

How many football fields are there in Texas?!

Rod Hoofhearted posted:

In 2022, three U.S. House seats in Ohio that were on no one’s radar flipped to the Dems. Then, Ohio voters voted for abortion rights and legalized marijuana, which the GOP-dominated state government is resisting. Also, Obama won Ohio twice.

It’s a better flip opportunity than Texas, and if Biden actually won it, the race would be called by 11pm EST.

funeral home DJ posted:

Slave-owning states were really upset about this whole "no longer being allowed to own slaves" thing and the EC was a compromise to give them outsized power to let them influence the US with racist garbage and anti-human rights legislation. Look at Kentucky trying to pass SB 500 which is the most anti-worker, anti-human legislation we've seen in literal decades.

Slave owners are still running this shithole.