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Lindsey O. Graham
Dec 31, 2016

"We're not generating enough angry white guys to stay in business for the long term."

- The Chief
As the African American Civil Rights Movement and dismantling of Jim Crow laws in the 1950s and 1960s visibly deepened pre-existing racial tensions in much of the Southern United States, Republican politicians such as presidential candidate Richard Nixon and Senator Barry Goldwater developed strategies that successfully contributed to the political realignment of many white, conservative voters in the South to the Republican Party that had traditionally supported the Democratic Party.[4] It also helped push the Republican party much more right.[4]

In academia, "southern strategy" refers primarily to "top down" narratives of the political realignment of the South, which suggest that Republican leaders consciously appealed to many white southerners' racial resentments in order to gain their support.[5] This top-down narrative of the southern strategy is generally believed to be the primary force that transformed southern politics following the civil rights era.[6][7]

This view has been questioned by historians such as Matthew Lassiter, Kevin M. Kruse and Joseph Crespino, who have presented an alternative, "bottom up" narrative, which Lassiter has called the "suburban strategy". This narrative recognizes the centrality of racial backlash to the political realignment of the South,[8] but suggests that this backlash took the form of a defense of de facto segregation in the suburbs, rather than overt resistance to racial integration, and that the story of this backlash is a national, rather than a strictly southern one.[9][10][11][12] - Wikipedia

Check out Nixon's electoral map:



Notice the missing firewall.

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deadgoon
Dec 4, 2014

by FactsAreUseless
why do white people gotta suck so much

Karl Barks
Jan 21, 1981

Whoever smellt it, dealt it

Lindsey O. Graham
Dec 31, 2016

"We're not generating enough angry white guys to stay in business for the long term."

- The Chief
Reagan's electoral maps:





Lol, at lonely Minnesota.

The rust belt did not vote for either of the Bushes, McCain or Romney, however, in the grand scheme of American politics, these are swing voters who are vulnerable to racial dog whistling.

The problem with attribution of Trump's win to white poor people, is that, much like minorities who also lead rural lifestyles, it's actually consistently more likely that they will hold regressive views due to the pathology of poverty and its consequences. They were always going to vote Trump.

The people who swung the election are independent voters who did not come out and vote. By independent, I mean the center right, who are also vulnerable to swinging left during change democratic elections.

After Trump completes his eight years in office, due to the incumbent advantage, these same people are highly likely to vote democrat in the next election.

What sunk the left was intra party squabbling, the refusal to compromise with each other and the failure to present a united yet belligerent front.

Lindsey O. Graham
Dec 31, 2016

"We're not generating enough angry white guys to stay in business for the long term."

- The Chief
Here is where it gets messy; here is a list of views and opinions for Reagan/Blue Dog/Trump voter:

Voters who fit the "Blue Dog" profile tend to be, roughly:

Fiscally conservative.

Pro union.

In favor of trade protectionism.

Moderately liberal on social issues.

They are definitely in favor of fair treatment, but their support for affirmative action or similar programs would generally be weak.

Anything as extreme as reparations would be straight out.

Ranged from mildly pro-choice to mildly pro-life, but in either case not a single issue voter on the topic.
Perhaps best summed up by Bill Clinton's line, safe, legal and rare but these voters would probably put the emphasis on rare.

Strong on national defense.

Pro second amendment.

Religious, specifically Christian but not in your face about it

This is the Rust belt voter, these are the people Trump got to vote for him.

Lindsey O. Graham has issued a correction as of 03:15 on Jan 20, 2017

Ytlaya
Nov 13, 2005

deadgoon posted:

more than 2/3rds of trump voters earn >$50k a year

more than 3/4ths of trump voters live in the suburbs or a city with >50k people

how does this fit into the narrative that trump was elected by poors living in the sticks?

I think the argument is supposed to be that a significant portion of voters who changed sides (from Democratic to Republican) were poor/rural. Most people who vote Republican or Democratic in each election stay pretty much constant, so the minority who change voting habits end up being one of the key factors determining who wins.

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Lindsey O. Graham
Dec 31, 2016

"We're not generating enough angry white guys to stay in business for the long term."

- The Chief
Hillary was bleeding independent voters. Both independents who broke hard for Trump and Blue Dog democrats who stayed home.

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