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mobby_6kl
Aug 9, 2009

by Fluffdaddy
https://mobile.twitter.com/visegrad...genumber%3D1474

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gregday
May 23, 2003

https://twitter.com/ragipsoylu/status/1500915756237737991

Nenonen
Oct 22, 2009

Mulla on aina kolkyt donaa taskussa

Shes Not Impressed posted:

Z is the start of the sound of the word "West" in Ukrainian and Russian.

And apparently it is being used for a slogan, because 'za' means 'for', like in WW2 "Za Stalina! Za Rodinu!" was a common phrase meaning "For Stalin, for Motherland!"

BIG FLUFFY DOG
Feb 16, 2011

On the internet, nobody knows you're a dog.


Rapulum_Dei posted:

I get the reluctance to embargo gas supplies - it’s impractical for Europe’s addiction and the price is already rising which is money in Putins pocket even if he can’t spend it anywhere.

But oil. Why can’t the other OPEC countries increase production to relive price pressures while exports from Russia are banned?

Oil producing nations are by and large authoritarian and also benefit from high prices

OAquinas
Jan 27, 2008

Biden has sat immobile on the Iron Throne of America. He is the Master of Malarkey by the will of the gods, and master of a million votes by the might of his inexhaustible calamari.

Oh snap.

Death blow right here.

evilweasel
Aug 24, 2002

Zephro posted:

People assume the reason the Americans are suddenly talking to the Venezuelans is a deal whereby Venezuela get their sanctions lifted in return for maximising production to offset the expected loss from Russia.

it's worth noting there are two big problems with this:

1) venezuela's oil industry has been wrecked by a decade+ of mismanagement and it will take a lot of effort to "maximize production"

2) venezuela produces some really lovely oil that requires specialized refineries to work with; i know there's one in the gulf coast but I don't know if it can ramp up the ability to process that crude or if its capacity is maxed out

Grouchio
Aug 31, 2014

It is indeed true. The Hardbass Revolution starts tonight! :v:

BIG FLUFFY DOG
Feb 16, 2011

On the internet, nobody knows you're a dog.


Zephro posted:

People assume the reason the Americans are suddenly talking to the Venezuelans is a deal whereby Venezuela get their sanctions lifted in return for maximising production to offset the expected loss from Russia.

Also sudden swift progress in the new Iran deal everyone forgot about!

Nessus
Dec 22, 2003

After a Speaker vote, you may be entitled to a valuable coupon or voucher!



evilweasel posted:

it's worth noting there are two big problems with this:

1) venezuela's oil industry has been wrecked by a decade+ of mismanagement and it will take a lot of effort to "maximize production"

2) venezuela produces some really lovely oil that requires specialized refineries to work with; i know there's one in the gulf coast but I don't know if it can ramp up
This may be as much about the market price poo poo than about actual material realities - there are not objective shortages of gasoline in the US and I imagine not in Europe either, it's just getting more expensive.

I thought Biden and co. had spoken to UAE about gas exports for Europe? Or is this a case of 'yeah tht would help but it's not a replacement'

Antigravitas
Dec 8, 2019

Die Rettung fuer die Landwirte:

evilweasel posted:

it's probably best not to cause an economic disaster for germany while you're trying to get the EU to support you as much as possible

It's not the economics that is the problem.

It's relying on gas heating and not putting a gun to landlord's head to insulate for decades.

Seth Pecksniff
May 27, 2004

can't believe shrek is fucking dead. rip to a real one.

Zephro posted:

People assume the reason the Americans are suddenly talking to the Venezuelans is a deal whereby Venezuela get their sanctions lifted in return for maximising production to offset the expected loss from Russia.

It would make the most sense. Them, along with Iranian oil, would do much to blunt any loss from Russia, and I'm sure both of the governments aren't going to mind the high oil prices at the moment.

cinci zoo sniper
Mar 15, 2013




Nenonen posted:

And apparently it is being used for a slogan, because 'za' means 'for', like in WW2 "Za Stalina! Za Rodinu!" was a common phrase meaning "For Stalin, for Motherland!"

I don’t believe that’s the motivation for the choice vehicle marking. They already have that with every other soldier being plastered in St. George’s ribbons like they were paid crisis actors filming for RT interviews in Riga.

evilweasel
Aug 24, 2002

Nessus posted:

This may be as much about the market price poo poo than about actual material realities - there are not objective shortages of gasoline in the US and I imagine not in Europe either, it's just getting more expensive.

I thought Biden and co. had spoken to UAE about gas exports for Europe? Or is this a case of 'yeah tht would help but it's not a replacement'

iirc the UAE gas exports for europe were part of a plan for dealing with if russia shut off gas exports entirely in response to the sanctions; it might work if you absolutely need to get gas to germany to avoid people freezing, but not so much for getting gas at a "reasonable" price

and yeah venezuela production getting restarted might cause oil prices to fall sooner than their production would go online

Nenonen
Oct 22, 2009

Mulla on aina kolkyt donaa taskussa

cinci zoo sniper posted:

I don’t believe that’s the motivation for the choice vehicle marking. They already have that with every other soldier being plastered in St. George’s ribbons like they were paid crisis actors filming for RT interviews in Riga.

No, but it's being cited as a reason why the latin Z letter in particular has been picked for civilian propaganda purposes. Otherwise we should be seeing V and O signs in same quantities?

slow hands
Feb 5, 2005
we slow hands

Sorry for the dumb question but what would the implications of Russia defaulting be? Even worse devaluation of their currency?

Nessus
Dec 22, 2003

After a Speaker vote, you may be entitled to a valuable coupon or voucher!



Nenonen posted:

No, but it's being cited as a reason why the latin Z letter in particular has been picked for civilian propaganda purposes. Otherwise we should be seeing V and O signs in same quantities?
Probably there were some shitheads who were using it organically and the Russians leaned into it.

Zephro
Nov 23, 2000

I suppose I could part with one and still be feared...

Nessus posted:

I thought Biden and co. had spoken to UAE about gas exports for Europe? Or is this a case of 'yeah tht would help but it's not a replacement'
It's not clear how much spare export capacity there is in places like Qatar. LNG requires specialist infrastructure to liquify it, specialised ships to transport it at cryogenic temperatures, and then yet more specialised infrastructure to regasify it at the other end. Besides Europe Japan and South Korea import shedloads of LNG. In the medium term LNG could possibly replace Russian gas but in the short term you're limited by infrastructure at every step of the chain.

Mr. Fall Down Terror
Jan 24, 2018

by Fluffdaddy

Zephro posted:

People assume the reason the Americans are suddenly talking to the Venezuelans is a deal whereby Venezuela get their sanctions lifted in return for maximising production to offset the expected loss from Russia.

isn't the venezuelan oil sector a hosed up mess of broken equipment and procedures? iirc last year russia looked into taking over some chunk of it and backed away, probably because the cost of repair to get the oil wouldn't be worth the price of the oil. like i dont think it would really be possible for venezuela to increase production

https://www.france24.com/en/live-news/20220114-venezuela-the-decline-of-an-oil-giant-in-crisis

Orthanc6
Nov 4, 2009

Grouchio posted:

It is indeed true. The Hardbass Revolution starts tonight! :v:

No joke the conscripts coming back home will see everything they enjoyed for their 18 years of life; social media, western clothes and electronics, as well as millions of potential jobs, all gone forever because of the war they were forced to fight for Putin's ego. There's a real good chance Russia does not survive their own troops returning home unless they call this off immediately.

BIG FLUFFY DOG
Feb 16, 2011

On the internet, nobody knows you're a dog.


Seth Pecksniff posted:

It would make the most sense. Them, along with Iranian oil, would do much to blunt any loss from Russia, and I'm sure both of the governments aren't going to mind the high oil prices at the moment.

The high oil prices are offsetting some of the damage sanctions are causing to russias ability to finance the war so lowering oil prices isn’t just about helping peoples commute it’s also important in terms of the point of sanctions.

That said it puts Biden in the position of getting to run on high gas prices or on being soft on the two biggest Republican boogeymans in the world in November and I don’t envy him for that

Zephro
Nov 23, 2000

I suppose I could part with one and still be feared...

Mr. Fall Down Terror posted:

isn't the venezuelan oil sector a hosed up mess of broken equipment and procedures? iirc last year russia looked into taking over some chunk of it and backed away, probably because the cost of repair to get the oil wouldn't be worth the price of the oil. like i dont think it would really be possible for venezuela to increase production

https://www.france24.com/en/live-news/20220114-venezuela-the-decline-of-an-oil-giant-in-crisis
Supposedly so. But everyone is desperate.

cinci zoo sniper
Mar 15, 2013




For the 2 other Latvians reading this thread
https://twitter.com/ivchix/status/1500920405476921350

Nenonen posted:

No, but it's being cited as a reason why the latin Z letter in particular has been picked for civilian propaganda purposes. Otherwise we should be seeing V and O signs in same quantities?

Oh, for civilian purposes it could’ve very well been repurposed under that pretence. I thought you implied the military chose it for that reason, when it’s quite clearly the western military district.

cinci zoo sniper fucked around with this message at 21:56 on Mar 7, 2022

Conspiratiorist
Nov 12, 2015

17th Separate Kryvyi Rih Tank Brigade named after Konstantin Pestushko
Look to my coming on the first light of the fifth sixth some day

BigRed0427 posted:

So what is the significance of the white Z?

It's a combat designator. For this operation Russians are using a number of letters and symbols (sometimes in combination) to mark their vehicles as friendly at a glance, as well as indicate the force grouping and target areas they belong to for traffic control purposes.

At this stage of the war the latter function has degraded, but with Z being the more ubiquitous (used by forces both from the Crimea axis and a variant in the Kharkiv axis) its ended up becoming emblematic of the invasion itself in popular culture, particularly in the context of showing support for it.

Sephyr
Aug 28, 2012

Mr. Fall Down Terror posted:

isn't the venezuelan oil sector a hosed up mess of broken equipment and procedures? iirc last year russia looked into taking over some chunk of it and backed away, probably because the cost of repair to get the oil wouldn't be worth the price of the oil. like i dont think it would really be possible for venezuela to increase production

https://www.france24.com/en/live-news/20220114-venezuela-the-decline-of-an-oil-giant-in-crisis

"We'll strangle you slightly less violently if you get your rear end in gear and give me more freedom juice. Cheap!"

We live in such fun times.

alex314
Nov 22, 2007

slow hands posted:

Sorry for the dumb question but what would the implications of Russia defaulting be? Even worse devaluation of their currency?

Nah, with sanctions and asset freeze all it will do is make their borrowing more expensive in the future. I doubt they care one bit.

cinci zoo sniper
Mar 15, 2013




slow hands posted:

Sorry for the dumb question but what would the implications of Russia defaulting be? Even worse devaluation of their currency?

Yes, but also a lot of ex-USSR getting blasted due to reliance on Russian economy.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1998_Russian_financial_crisis

BIG FLUFFY DOG
Feb 16, 2011

On the internet, nobody knows you're a dog.


Mr. Fall Down Terror posted:

isn't the venezuelan oil sector a hosed up mess of broken equipment and procedures? iirc last year russia looked into taking over some chunk of it and backed away, probably because the cost of repair to get the oil wouldn't be worth the price of the oil. like i dont think it would really be possible for venezuela to increase production

https://www.france24.com/en/live-news/20220114-venezuela-the-decline-of-an-oil-giant-in-crisis

It depends on how cynical Maduro is and willing to throw out what he believes in to save his skin. But if he’s cynical enough to betray Russia which supported him while Venezuela was a sanctioned pariah for the loving United States that’s been trying to depose him nonstop to get sanctions lifted he’s probably cynical enough to let private investment come back in if it means Venezuelan state gets revenues going and I have no doubt the oil companies would swarm in like flies if that were the case.

Chalks
Sep 30, 2009

alex314 posted:

Nah, with sanctions and asset freeze all it will do is make their borrowing more expensive in the future. I doubt they care one bit.

I've seen people saying that creditors may be able to sue to get liens Russian assets located outside of Russia which could be interesting.

alex314
Nov 22, 2007

Chalks posted:

I've seen people saying that creditors may be able to sue to get liens Russian assets located outside of Russia which could be interesting.

If I were Zelenskyy I'd try to get the dibs for rebuilding Ukraine.

Kavros
May 18, 2011

sleep sleep sleep
fly fly post post
sleep sleep sleep
Maduro will only care about consistency insofar as playing up the anti-US pariah state image helps him hold absolute control of the country. If he thinks he can 'adjust' that imaging slightly and get life support for his industries, he would easily do so.

But trusting the US is always a reasonably hard sell, so it depends on how much of a lifeline the US is dangling.

TulliusCicero
Jul 29, 2017



BIG FLUFFY DOG posted:

The high oil prices are offsetting some of the damage sanctions are causing to russias ability to finance the war so lowering oil prices isn’t just about helping peoples commute it’s also important in terms of the point of sanctions.

That said it puts Biden in the position of getting to run on high gas prices or on being soft on the two biggest Republican boogeymans in the world in November and I don’t envy him for that

absolutely no one gives a gently caress as long as gas is cheap

Also doesn't Venezuela have like the largest reserves in the world?

Makes sense to get in good with them. Also glad to hear Iran was willing to go back to negotiations with us despite our dipshittery with Trump.

I think Biden actually got a lease on life by being able to give a huge black eye to Russia and cut off one of the opposition party's primary backers.

I would say he's not looking bad going into midterms now, especially if he ever pulls his head out of his rear end and legalizes weed/ forgives student debt. And I loving hate Biden so...

Russia kinda gave him a gift. It's wierd seeing almost all of us united again in our national pastime: xenophobic hate for someone else

TulliusCicero fucked around with this message at 22:04 on Mar 7, 2022

DekeThornton
Sep 2, 2011

Be friends!
The Wagner mercs that have helped prop him up being busy dying in the mud at the moment might also be an incentive.

Canned Sunshine
Nov 20, 2005

CAUTION: POST QUALITY UNDER CONSTRUCTION



the popes toes posted:

Tough to believe the photo is real, as if Vogue had a wartime correspondent. On the other hand, this lady's shopping habits are threatened by rather drastic change, so maybe. Nah. Love the scarf, though

https://twitter.com/alextomo/status/1500821363409489930


If those helmets/armor were white, we could say "Begun, the Hunger Games have"

America Inc.
Nov 22, 2013

I plan to live forever, of course, but barring that I'd settle for a couple thousand years. Even 500 would be pretty nice.

Despera posted:

Signing up to be a Russian soldier

Perfect av/post combo

cant cook creole bream
Aug 15, 2011
I think Fahrenheit is better for weather
Wow they did it. These crazy bastards really did it!
Putin will be publicly dragged through the streets with gold chains around his neck!

Nessus
Dec 22, 2003

After a Speaker vote, you may be entitled to a valuable coupon or voucher!



Venezuela has enormous reserves of lovely oil and given the way technology has gone, it seems to be a matter of time as to when the 'oil age' ends. (Oil would still have value after this but it wouldn't be the primary fuel of personal vehicles.)

Majorian
Jul 1, 2009
https://twitter.com/spectatorindex/status/1500936199812575236

Woohoo, Russia #1!

Alchenar
Apr 9, 2008

Russia has five military districts. The Western (Zapad) is the one that has received the lion's share of modernisation so is the most 'fighty' and leading the axis attacking Kiev and assessed by many to be the center of gravity of Russia's advance.

All four land districts have been mobilised and are participating and their formations have their own first letter embalzened on their vehicles, we are probably seeing more Z's than anything else because the Kiev area is producing the lion's share of social media stuff.

Dante
Feb 8, 2003

the popes toes posted:

Tough to believe the photo is real, as if Vogue had a wartime correspondent. On the other hand, this lady's shopping habits are threatened by rather drastic change, so maybe. Nah. Love the scarf, though

https://twitter.com/alextomo/status/1500821363409489930


This look like a russian remake of the 2002 budget movie Equilibrium

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4weEXyoXZKs

Dante fucked around with this message at 22:09 on Mar 7, 2022

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Coquito Ergo Sum
Feb 9, 2021

D34THROW posted:

At least they have sexy guns. :blush:

I miss when movies had guns that weren't just tac'd out ARs.

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