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A Buttery Pastry
Sep 4, 2011

Delicious and Informative!
:3:

Slashrat posted:

Perhaps the thinking is that a batch of new hires is less likely to already contain someone involved in a plot to poison him, and attempts to recruit of one of them into such a plot will be easier to catch than figuring out if any existing staff has already been recruited.
Here I was thinking that having to hire 1000 people would make it easy to sneak in professional killers as servants.

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Zedsdeadbaby
Jun 14, 2008

You have been called out, in the ways of old.

Chello De Don posted:

I've seen mentioned the argument that NATO is actually responsible for the current war, and that Russia is (almost) blameless. I have no clue how one comes to this conclusion; I was accused of only listening to "pro-west" sources on the matter when I got into an argument with a friend over this stuff. Can someone give me a link or a short rundown on the position of the argument?

No. Go sea-lion somewhere else.

(USER WAS PUT ON PROBATION FOR THIS POST)

OAquinas
Jan 27, 2008

Biden has sat immobile on the Iron Throne of America. He is the Master of Malarkey by the will of the gods, and master of a million votes by the might of his inexhaustible calamari.

...is that a camo sleep mask on his helmet?

the popes toes
Oct 10, 2004

Friday, Moscow will have a stadium celebration for annexing Crimea. I'm assuming attendence is, er, free of charge
https://twitter.com/phildstewart/status/1504557515278802948?cxt=HHwWiICzpdbFoeEpAAAA

Deteriorata
Feb 6, 2005

BBC report, embedded with Kharkiv defenders:

https://www.bbc.com/news/av/world-60786964

cinci zoo sniper
Mar 15, 2013




Shibawanko posted:

is serbia a lost cause at this point? i recall they were basically on their way to applying for EU membership at one point, but i havent been paying attention

My government did threaten to torpedo their EU application if they don’t shut the gently caress up, and they’ve backed down on the specific point of contention, Air Serbia servicing Russian flight destinations.

OddObserver
Apr 3, 2009
https://twitter.com/JonathanLanday/status/1504564488816766982

The American that was killed in Chernihiv was among the people in that bread line...

slowdave
Jun 18, 2008

Dr. Arbitrary posted:

That guy's got to be retired by now, right?

Pulled back from retirement for one last mission........

Mr. Fall Down Terror
Jan 24, 2018

by Fluffdaddy

Dr. Arbitrary posted:

I feel like a ghoul for feeling this way, but every time I see news of a VDV commander being killed or captured, a little part of me hopes it's the guy from the music video.

That guy's got to be retired by now, right?

that guy, alex buinov, was never a solider. he was a pop musician and then he became a right wing politician. pretty sure this is him playing the keyboard

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Hk8GgtGeehU

OAquinas posted:

...is that a camo sleep mask on his helmet?

those are goggles with a camo-pattern cloth sock thing over them to keep them from getting dirty / flashing glare about the place

Boba Pearl
Dec 27, 2019

by Athanatos

Pavlov posted:

I would really recommend passing on this, but yes they are likely to get a response.

True it's not for the faint of heart, but out of the 3 WW3 threads I'm following, it's the only thread that goes into the history of conflicts that happen, and explain they're beliefs even while people are being actively antagonistic. As long as you don't go in saying "Hey what's up you fuckin NAZIS DICK SUCKING PUTINITES!!?" You could at least gather information from people who are able to provide a more rounded and complete set of ideas and understanding of their beliefs. Whereas in other places on the forums, you may find it a bit difficult to get a well thought out argument that is also concise. It's also the only place on the forums you can go to hear opinions that may not run exactly along what the other threads are giving. It's good to observe your beliefs from multiple perspectives, and that means having difficult discussions and educating yourself on the matter.

Boba Pearl
Dec 27, 2019

by Athanatos
Especially since boring Nato discussions are not allowed in this thread.

VideoGameVet
May 14, 2005

It is by caffeine alone I set my bike in motion. It is by the juice of Java that pedaling acquires speed, the teeth acquire stains, stains become a warning. It is by caffeine alone I set my bike in motion.

Ynglaur posted:

I'd be interested if they pushed from Mykolaiv or just went around Russian forces east of Mykolaiv and cut them off.

Wasn't this a joke on M.A.S.H. or something? :lol:

Catch 22. Major Major.

sniper4625
Sep 26, 2009

Loyal to the hEnd

Dr. Arbitrary posted:

I feel like a ghoul for feeling this way, but every time I see news of a VDV commander being killed or captured, a little part of me hopes it's the guy from the music video.

That guy's got to be retired by now, right?

The lead singer guy? He's just a singer.

Still going strong at 71 though.

sniper4625 fucked around with this message at 22:23 on Mar 17, 2022

brugroffil
Nov 30, 2015


VideoGameVet posted:

Catch 22. Major Major.

That's Major Major Major Major

Kraftwerk
Aug 13, 2011
i do not have 10,000 bircoins, please stop asking

Morrow posted:

Serbia is very pro-Russia and anti-NATO since the former is basically the only country that had its back during that whole business in the 90s. They very much want to be part of the EU and have gotten most of the way there, so it's possible to say they are anti-NATO but pro-EU. Their pro-Russia stance here is absolutely damaging their odds of integration and it's going to be a real inflection point going forward.

The EU will eventually win out because all of Serbia's neighbors will eventually be part of it.

I hope you're right because while I haven't been back since 2019 it is disgustingly Pro-Russia over there and they still bear a massive grudge about the NATO bombings and the belief that they were treated unfairly by the west who arbitrarily sided with the Croatians.
Plus there seems to be a lot of far-right bullshit popping up in Serbia including neo-Cetnik movements that want to revive the monarchy (lol). The Serbs still want Kosovo back and think losing it was a US scheme to steal the natural resources. There is a lot of hosed up propaganda there with some insanely looney Q-Anon style conspiracies including how the real Tito apparently died in Barcelona and the one who ruled until his death was a body double who served the west. They have a serious propaganda and information problem over there.

It's encouraging though because while they SAY a lot of pro-russian stuff the actions seem to point to attempted EU integration.

cinci zoo sniper
Mar 15, 2013




Dr. Arbitrary posted:

That guy's got to be retired by now, right?

That guy is https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Viktor_Zolotov

Edit: actually not sure if that’s younger Zolotov there, or the factual singer

cinci zoo sniper fucked around with this message at 22:26 on Mar 17, 2022

Dr. Arbitrary
Mar 15, 2006

Bleak Gremlin

1. Look, I'm not saying that I have a rational basis for wondering if it's going to be the guy when I scroll down.
2. Have you seen how the war's going? Putin's low on people he can trust.

Morrow
Oct 31, 2010

Kraftwerk posted:

I hope you're right because while I haven't been back since 2019 it is disgustingly Pro-Russia over there and they still bear a massive grudge about the NATO bombings and the belief that they were treated unfairly by the west who arbitrarily sided with the Croatians.
Plus there seems to be a lot of far-right bullshit popping up in Serbia including neo-Cetnik movements that want to revive the monarchy (lol). The Serbs still want Kosovo back and think losing it was a US scheme to steal the natural resources. There is a lot of hosed up propaganda there with some insanely looney Q-Anon style conspiracies including how the real Tito apparently died in Barcelona and the one who ruled until his death was a body double who served the west. They have a serious propaganda and information problem over there.

It's encouraging though because while they SAY a lot of pro-russian stuff the actions seem to point to attempted EU integration.

Even in the EU they'll be like Hungary in that they're a revanchist little gremlin of a state, but the economic benefits of being in the EU will eventually make them swallow their pride.

The_Franz
Aug 8, 2003

Dr. Arbitrary posted:

I feel like a ghoul for feeling this way, but every time I see news of a VDV commander being killed or captured, a little part of me hopes it's the guy from the music video.

That guy's got to be retired by now, right?

That guy is Alexander Buinov, a musician, and he's in his 70s.

Just Another Lurker
May 1, 2009

Edited to remove an irrelevance. :tipshat:

Just Another Lurker fucked around with this message at 22:47 on Mar 17, 2022

cinci zoo sniper
Mar 15, 2013




OAquinas posted:

...is that a camo sleep mask on his helmet?

It might be one of those helmet obfuscators, like on IDF helmets.

Staluigi
Jun 22, 2021

Dr. Arbitrary posted:

2. Have you seen how the war's going? Putin's low on people he can trust.

putin orders his honor guard to rough up the guy who got them stuck in an unwinnable quagmire. they're like 'are u sure bro' insert rest of joke

cinci zoo sniper
Mar 15, 2013




Just Another Lurker posted:

Context/relevance would be nice. :)

It’s not relevant for this thread.

1st_Panzer_Div.
May 11, 2005
Grimey Drawer
Trying some sources to back up the NATO mercenary claim. As you would expect - CIA lead mercenary force operations sources are not readily publicly available - take them as you will:

Blackwater from NYT in Libya (where they won): https://www.nytimes.com/2020/05/25/world/middleeast/libya-mercenaries-arms-embargo.html

Daily Mail article on Russian (not Wagner) Mercenaries (just like Libya) in Ukraine: https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10602265/Putin-enlists-16-000-Middle-Eastern-mercenaries-fight-Ukraine.html

Morning Star article accusing the mercenary/oil conglomerate (that is roughly Black Water) of deploying mercenaries as well as buying up assets in Odessa to ship in Adnoc oil & Gas: https://morningstaronline.co.uk/article/blackwater-mercenaries-training-far-right-militia-ukraine-donetsk-military-commander-claims

An article from a mercenary job website that states they are absolutely not conducting offensive missions in Ukraine. Very importantly the end of the article includes a link to job search Ukraine contracts (contradicting the entire article): https://www.your-poc.com/contractors-or-mercenaries/

Protective Agent Merc Job Posting for Ukraine - pays 6x the same job in Iraq: https://silentprofessionals.org/location/ukraine/

Cop Journal reiterating the 16,000 - 20,000 figure: https://www.lawenforcementtoday.com...ght-in-ukraine/

Shes Not Impressed
Apr 25, 2004


Interesting thread:
https://twitter.com/rafsanchez/status/1504460554609602564?s=20&t=f9GvIVSkP4HlaZW-hFm5NQ

The idea that Russians are carrying Nazi flags into Ukraine to try and claim evidence that Ukrainians are Nazis is just so Putin.

hepatizon
Oct 27, 2010

Shes Not Impressed posted:

Interesting thread:
https://twitter.com/rafsanchez/status/1504460554609602564?s=20&t=f9GvIVSkP4HlaZW-hFm5NQ

The idea that Russians are carrying Nazi flags into Ukraine to try and claim evidence that Ukrainians are Nazis is just so Putin.

Finally, a true false flag.

cinci zoo sniper
Mar 15, 2013




1st_Panzer_Div. posted:

Trying some sources to back up the NATO mercenary claim. As you would expect - CIA lead mercenary force operations sources are not readily publicly available - take them as you will:

Nothing there supports your previously made claims. Furthermore, literally all of the “relevant evidence” in the links you’ve brought up is this one tweet from a random account:

https://twitter.com/reptilien31/status/1500474872123826183

Please stop wasting thread’s time, and consider developing basic media literacy.

I’m sure someone will try to well actually me here - that’s a real statement, but presented via random clown tweet posted to some random police newspaper, it does not constitute a quality source.

cinci zoo sniper fucked around with this message at 22:41 on Mar 17, 2022

Frosty Mossman
Feb 17, 2011

"I Guess Somebody Fixed All the Problems" -- Confused Citizen

cinci zoo sniper posted:

It might be one of those helmet obfuscators, like on IDF helmets.
It's goggles inside a protective cover.

TulliusCicero
Jul 29, 2017



Shes Not Impressed posted:

Interesting thread:
https://twitter.com/rafsanchez/status/1504460554609602564?s=20&t=f9GvIVSkP4HlaZW-hFm5NQ

The idea that Russians are carrying Nazi flags into Ukraine to try and claim evidence that Ukrainians are Nazis is just so Putin.

Putin's Russia really is cartoonishly evil but also so obvious in their plots, like a real life KOBRA or something :wtc:

This whole "Ukraine is full of Nazis" thing is like their lamest ploy ever, especially from a country that actively funds and support the far right around the world.

Chello De Don
Nov 12, 2006

and now i do

Zedsdeadbaby posted:

No. Go sea-lion somewhere else.

What is sea-lioning?

Also, thank you to everyone who provided some answers. I don't want y'all to relitigate the whole NATO BAD argument, so I won't press further

deathbysnusnu
Feb 25, 2016


TulliusCicero posted:

Putin's Russia really is cartoonishly evil but also so obviious in their plots, like a real life KOBRA or something :wtc:

This whole "Ukraine is full of Nazis" thing is like their lamest ploy ever, especially from a country that actively funds and support the far right around the world.

Yet you see takes that the Russians are being very judicious and discriminate in their violence while in the same breath insisting on surrender because NATO forced Ukraine into a becoming a charnel house. Yeah Ukraine really does have a nazi problem, but those nazis they aren't the ones salting the earth and leveling entire cities.

Mr. Fall Down Terror
Jan 24, 2018

by Fluffdaddy

Chello De Don posted:

What is sea-lioning?

Also, thank you to everyone who provided some answers. I don't want y'all to relitigate the whole NATO BAD argument, so I won't press further

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sealioning

in terms of your friend, listen to everything they can explain in their own words and any arguments which they defer to a twitter thread, obscure podcast, or four hour youtube video can be discarded

Kchama
Jul 25, 2007

1st_Panzer_Div. posted:

Trying some sources to back up the NATO mercenary claim. As you would expect - CIA lead mercenary force operations sources are not readily publicly available - take them as you will:

Blackwater from NYT in Libya (where they won): https://www.nytimes.com/2020/05/25/world/middleeast/libya-mercenaries-arms-embargo.html

Daily Mail article on Russian (not Wagner) Mercenaries (just like Libya) in Ukraine: https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10602265/Putin-enlists-16-000-Middle-Eastern-mercenaries-fight-Ukraine.html

Morning Star article accusing the mercenary/oil conglomerate (that is roughly Black Water) of deploying mercenaries as well as buying up assets in Odessa to ship in Adnoc oil & Gas: https://morningstaronline.co.uk/article/blackwater-mercenaries-training-far-right-militia-ukraine-donetsk-military-commander-claims

An article from a mercenary job website that states they are absolutely not conducting offensive missions in Ukraine. Very importantly the end of the article includes a link to job search Ukraine contracts (contradicting the entire article): https://www.your-poc.com/contractors-or-mercenaries/

Protective Agent Merc Job Posting for Ukraine - pays 6x the same job in Iraq: https://silentprofessionals.org/location/ukraine/

Cop Journal reiterating the 16,000 - 20,000 figure: https://www.lawenforcementtoday.com...ght-in-ukraine/

1) Has nothing to do with Ukraine, and is from 2020

2) ... RUSSIA'S mercenaries, not Ukraine's.

3) Source: "Deputy chief-of-staff of the Donetsk People’s Republic militia Eduard Basurin", also provides no evidence or anything, is just baseless assertions

4) That's the generic "Click here to learn more!", also lol

5) This is a listing for bodyguards, not mercenaries.

6) Is about the volunteers, not people being hired to go fight.

Chello De Don
Nov 12, 2006

and now i do

Ah. Unfortunately I can't claim that troll moniker. I really am just super polite to strangers sometimes to a fault lol. And admittedly a little ignorant of the nuances of EE history.

cinci zoo sniper
Mar 15, 2013




https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/bonds/us-treasury-allow-russia-bond-payment-go-through-avoid-default-2022-3

quote:

Russia says it made a $117 million bond payment — a move to avoid defaulting on its debt — and the US Treasury Department said it would allow the installment.

Russia's finance minister told state-run media Thursday that the country fulfilled a debt obligation, and noted that it's up to the US as to whether the payment would be allowed. The Treasury said it would let the payment go through.

Reuters reported Thursday that correspondent bank JPMorgan received the payment and made a credit to the paying agent Citigroup, which is responsible for distributing the money to investors.

Representatives from Citigroup and JPMorgan declined to comment on the matter. A report from Bloomberg said Russia's finance ministry ordered the interest payment on Monday, ahead of its Wednesday due date.

US sanctions on doing business with Russia's central bank and other institutions won't block Moscow from making payments to Americans on dollar-denominated debt until just after midnight on May 25, a Treasury spokesperson told Bloomberg.

That's going to be the soonest possible default on USD bonds then.

Frosty Mossman posted:

It's goggles inside a protective cover.

Ah, cheers.

1st_Panzer_Div.
May 11, 2005
Grimey Drawer

Chello De Don posted:

That was the vibe I was getting from his argument, especially once the whataboutisms with American Imperialism started.

See, the impressions my friend gave was that NATO had been intentionally suffocating Russia economically and geographically in order to...create a forever enemy? To exploit? and Russia is just acting out because of this.

I am not as hardline as some in CSPAM and I have some "hot takes". I can try and give you a good faith answer as I generally agree with the argument a lot of the large scale geopolitical factors are the fault of NATO (though the actual crimes are on Putin for invading - this is not a binary view):

*NATO does want a forever enemy. 1984 & Patriot Act is roughly the reason why.

*Ukraine is not new. It is simply a new front of what's occurred in Libya & Syria the past decade.

*The US military defense complex is real, extremely wealthy and influential and promotes conflict. Ignoring my mercenary claims, giant defense/oil conglomerates are massively profiting from this engagement. Germany just ordered F-35's - this order alone is greater than many nation's GDP.

*US incumbents get a large popularity boost when conflict breaks out generally. Biden, among others, have received this boost with this conflict.

*NATO has continually expanded towards Russia since the collapse of the Soviet Union. Russia views this as a threat, which NATO is aware of. NATO can be accused of in this case 'poking the bear' by sacrificing Ukraine, to gain other NATO support. In favor of this argument - multiple non-NATO nations have expressed interest in joining in the past month. NATO members have increased spending - notable the aforementioned billions in German F-35's.


I don't agree with all of the above, nor will I try to source and defend each of these claims, just offering up some of the core arguments.

(USER WAS PUT ON PROBATION FOR THIS POST)

KitConstantine
Jan 11, 2013

According to the below thread China's internal media is starting to shift to be more open about civilian casualties in Ukraine, which while a good sign isn't the be-all end-all. The whole thread is worth a read.
https://twitter.com/BeijingPalmer/status/1504554432205316097?t=MPkbSdSBQWyY89t39aLlXQ&s=19
For now it seems China is staying neutral/won't move for Russia or against Ukraine. Mostly they're anti-US. If China starts shutting down the pro-Russia stuff in minor league articles and on social media then Russia should be very worried.

Edit: the poster is the deputy editor of Foreign Policy magazine,

Chello De Don
Nov 12, 2006

and now i do

1st_Panzer_Div. posted:

I am not as hardline as some in CSPAM and I have some "hot takes". I can try and give you a good faith answer as I generally agree with the argument a lot of the large scale geopolitical factors are the fault of NATO (though the actual crimes are on Putin for invading - this is not a binary view):

*NATO does want a forever enemy. 1984 & Patriot Act is roughly the reason why.

*Ukraine is not new. It is simply a new front of what's occurred in Libya & Syria the past decade.

*The US military defense complex is real, extremely wealthy and influential and promotes conflict. Ignoring my mercenary claims, giant defense/oil conglomerates are massively profiting from this engagement. Germany just ordered F-35's - this order alone is greater than many nation's GDP.

*US incumbents get a large popularity boost when conflict breaks out generally. Biden, among others, have received this boost with this conflict.

*NATO has continually expanded towards Russia since the collapse of the Soviet Union. Russia views this as a threat, which NATO is aware of. NATO can be accused of in this case 'poking the bear' by sacrificing Ukraine, to gain other NATO support. In favor of this argument - multiple non-NATO nations have expressed interest in joining in the past month. NATO members have increased spending - notable the aforementioned billions in German F-35's.


I don't agree with all of the above, nor will I try to source and defend each of these claims, just offering up some of the core arguments.

Thanks man, this was super helpful. Itgives me a good launching point to do some research!

Mr. Smile Face Hat
Sep 15, 2003

Praise be to China's Covid-Zero Policy

Chello De Don posted:

Ah. Unfortunately I can't claim that troll moniker. I really am just super polite to strangers sometimes to a fault lol. And admittedly a little ignorant of the nuances of EE history.

I’m just curious if you have any sources to back up your opinion?

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Lead out in cuffs
Sep 18, 2012

"That's right. We've evolved."

"I can see that. Cool mutations."




Gorman Thomas posted:

Had there been any indication of how many civilians stayed behind in the city? I saw on Twitter that 20k were evacuated yesterday.

Mariupol' is a city of 450,000 people, which is a huge number to evacuate, and the city is completely surrounded by Russian troops.

So far the Russians have done things like saying they'll open a humanitarian corridor, then covering the corridor with butterfly mines. Yesterday they allowed some people to leave, but only into Russian territory. That was the 20K people. I'd imagine the majority of the residents are extremely wary of the treatment they'd receive in Russia, and would only evacuate there out of desparation.

Anyway, it seems likely that at least 300K, maybe 400K civilians are still in Mariupol right now.

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