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WhiteHowler
Apr 3, 2001

I'M HUGE!

ikanreed posted:

In spite of claims of decentralized control, virtually all stable coin Blockchains are owned by specific entities and they can give more money invented from thin air to anyone they want.

I must not have the galaxy-brain level of genius required to understand how this isn't the most obvious scam ever.

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Jean-Paul Shartre
Jan 16, 2015

this sentence no verb


WhiteHowler posted:

I must not have the galaxy-brain level of genius required to understand how this isn't the most obvious scam ever.

Because everyone who "doesn't trust the banks, man" trusts everyone else who "doesn't trust the banks, man." Why would someone on "your team" lie to you, even if that lie lets them take "all your money"?

Scam Likely
Feb 19, 2021

It doesn't seem that much different than me as a child drawing a fake eleventy zillion dollar bill in ballpoint pen on printer paper and a bunch of grown rear end adults literally clamoring over one another to buy it.

Cyrano4747
Sep 25, 2006

Yes, I know I'm old, get off my fucking lawn so I can yell at these clouds.

Scam Likely posted:

It doesn't seem that much different than me as a child drawing a fake eleventy zillion dollar bill in ballpoint pen on printer paper and a bunch of grown rear end adults literally clamoring over one another to buy it.

Nah, that's NFTs.

WhiteHowler
Apr 3, 2001

I'M HUGE!

JohnCompany posted:

Because everyone who "doesn't trust the banks, man" trusts everyone else who "doesn't trust the banks, man." Why would someone on "your team" lie to you, even if that lie lets them take "all your money"?

I guess I get why people buy in (greed), but you'd think something like "it's actually hard to get US dollars back out of your EXTREMELY VALUABLE WE PROMISE crypto coins" might be a moon-sized red flag.

Scratch Monkey
Oct 25, 2010

👰Proč bychom se netěšili🥰když nám Pán Bůh🙌🏻zdraví dá💪?

dsf posted:

Bitcoin will most likely bounce back a bit before the next leg down below 20k (probably around the same time the "real" stock market has a chance to recover and consolidate a bit) barring anything crazy like tether getting completely de-pegged. Crypto shills will be sure to use the intervening time to draw ridiculous charts and try to get as many people as possible back in to 'buy the dip!!!'

Avynte
Jun 30, 2012

by Fluffdaddy

Orvin posted:

No thinking allowed. Only number up.

Astrochicken
Aug 13, 2007

So you better go back to your bars, your temples
Your massage parlors!

steinrokkan posted:

Oh so when you want to trade bitcoins or sell bitcoins you don't get dollars, you get MegaValue Family Funbucks? And a promise that each Funbucks is actually covered by a real dollar (no you can't see the dollar)

That's kinda genius in how blatantly evil it is

For the most part it's self-contained which is why watching a crash like this is so satisfying. It's karma, a beautiful natural thing like watching the Niagara Falls at sundown or witnessing the miracle of birth.

Cacafuego
Jul 22, 2007

KakerMix posted:

People are profoundly ignorant holy poo poo

tpink
Feb 18, 2013

Melman
Figured out the "secret" of why Three Arrows is collapsing.

https://www.wsj.com/articles/battered-crypto-hedge-fund-three-arrows-capital-considers-asset-sales-bailout-11655469932

quote:

Three Arrows was among a group of large investors that took part in a $1 billion token sale earlier this year by Luna Foundation Guard, a nonprofit organization started by South Korean developer Do Kwon, the creator of TerraUSD. The funds went toward a bitcoin-denominated reserve for the stablecoin, and were meant to help maintain TerraUSD’s value at $1 per coin.

Mr. Davies said Three Arrows invested about $200 million in Luna as part of that deal, a sum that was effectively wiped out when TerraUSD and Luna both became worthless in a matter of days.

...

Mr. Davies said Three Arrows was able to withstand the Luna losses, but the subsequent cascade of events that caused prices of bitcoin, ether and other cryptocurrencies to plummet in recent weeks created more problems, he added.

...

“We were not the first to get hit…This has been all part of the same contagion that has affected many other firms,” Mr. Davies said.

He said Three Arrows is still trying to quantify its losses and value its illiquid assets, which include venture-capital investments in dozens of private cryptocurrency-related companies and startups.


Those "illiquid assets" that they have invested into dozens of crypto players are worthless, hth.

ElGroucho
Nov 1, 2005

We already - What about sticking our middle fingers up... That was insane
Fun Shoe
Is there any way to grift some people out of their life savings, or am I too late

Sentient Data
Aug 31, 2011

My molecule scrambler ray will disintegrate your armor with one blow!
I'd love to see those perfectly objective and logical "technicals" applied to charts of blackjack winnings or horserace results, bonus points if you can somehow convince someone that the data is from a new underground coin

Koopa Kid
Aug 21, 2007



WhiteHowler posted:

I must not have the galaxy-brain level of genius required to understand how this isn't the most obvious scam ever.

People are inclined to engage in magical thinking when it comes to technology because most adults are only exposed to tech concepts through fiction. Also your average adult's financial literacy is so poor that "just print some more money" actually does seem like a reasonable solution to all the world's problems.

Random Stranger
Nov 27, 2009



WhiteHowler posted:

I must not have the galaxy-brain level of genius required to understand how this isn't the most obvious scam ever.

It's literally how banking in the 19th century worked... and caused non-stop financial crises.

It kind of amazing how many different ways you can find warning signs that crypto can't work. And they just ignore all of them.

Proud Christian Mom
Dec 20, 2006
READING COMPREHENSION IS HARD
its like the real estate crash where they have no idea how much all the houses are actually worth, except the houses were at least real and they're now trying to value a bunch of imaginary poo poo

Rad Russian
Aug 15, 2007

Soviet Power Supreme!

Koopa Kid posted:

People are inclined to engage in magical thinking when it comes to technology because most adults are only exposed to tech concepts through fiction. Also your average adult's financial literacy is so poor that "just print some more money" actually does seem like a reasonable solution to all the world's problems.

It's almost like we need to improve financial education to teach people about banks, savings accounts, and retirement savings through an IRA. With follow-up education to spot and ignore MLMs, and various pyramid schemes. Instead, we have people like Jay-Z sponsoring crypto classes in the ghetto.

Scratch Monkey
Oct 25, 2010

👰Proč bychom se netěšili🥰když nám Pán Bůh🙌🏻zdraví dá💪?

tpink posted:

when TerraUSD and Luna both "became" worthless in a matter of days.

yeah they were totally valuable before but through some form of black magic they transformed into something without value. weird how that worked

CommieGIR
Aug 22, 2006
Probation
Can't post for 4 hours!
Pillbug

Rad Russian posted:

It's almost like we need to improve financial education to teach people about banks, savings accounts, and retirement savings through an IRA. Instead, we have people like Jay-Z sponsoring crypto classes in the ghetto.

Yes, but those are also not solutions given the capital hell world right now where none of those things help you as much as they should.

DickParasite
Dec 2, 2004


Slippery Tilde

ElGroucho posted:

Is there any way to grift some people out of their life savings, or am I too late

Start a church

Serious_Cyclone
Oct 25, 2017

I appreciate your patience, this is a tricky maneuver

DickParasite posted:

Start a church

L. Ron Hubbard Like Typing Detected

LordSaturn
Aug 12, 2007

sadly unfunny

OzyMandrill posted:

Just because the actual value is meaningless doesn't mean it cant be valued too low - there is the vast amount of electricity and hardware (growing at the rate of human greed) that need to be kept running to keep the plates spinning, and the block rewards get exponentially smaller by design to inflate the price Right now a bunch of people are looking at very red bills and wondering what to do. Probably hoping stuff improves, and glad they generally cash out everything as soon as possible.

The real problem comes if the price truly crashes, then noone is paying the bills, and the hardware gets switched off and dumpstered. Then there is not enough hashing power to complete blocks in any sort of reasonable time so a hard fork will be required at minimum to get the frisbee off the roof.

Vampire Panties posted:

Nah their toilet code has a ton of provisions for that. If mining bits on BTC every out values the price of BTC, the regulating body (:lol::lol::lol:) Will lower the computational complexity so fewer slower miners can keep the network intact. There is a risk that it crashes so hard that miners shut off their rigs but let’s be real - weirdos will rig up solar powered ASICS that will run until the sun consumes the earth for their chance at a lottery ticket

the frisbee on the roof scenario is based on the following:
  • blocks are calibrated to be mined every 10 minutes
  • the calibration takes the form of difficulty
  • the difficulty is recalibrated every two weeks, or (14 days * 24 hrs/day * 6 blocks/hr) = 2016 blocks
  • the difficulty calibration is built into the protocol and distributed among the nodes

so if I snap my fingers immediately after the difficulty calibration and blocks start taking 60 minutes instead of 10, the next difficulty calibration will be in 84 days instead of 14 - 12 weeks instead of 2. and in that period, the payout will essentially be 17% of normal - so there's less incentive to keep pushing through to the next calibration, leading to miners giving up and going offline, which drives the block rate down, which drives the payout lower and pushes the calibration farther out. similar to a short squeeze, it's a cascading effect driving out anyone who's mining for profit instead of ideology.

there are two main problems with this:

first, if I could snap my fingers in a way that fucks over the bitcoin miners, I would have already, I assure you. so what COULD cause a sudden sharp increase in block times? well, if the price went down far enough to make it unprofitable for long enough, a bunch of for-profit miners could give up and stop mining. historically, though, these crashes are never fast enough to start a frisbee-roof event - the price of electricity in rural china is so low that it's never stopped being worth it, and in a lot of cases these places are holding enough cash to wait it out a while, so they don't all drop off at once, so the hashrate drops more smoothly.

second, even if the frisbee did go on the roof, and the bitcoin network would be hosed in a way where it was no longer profitable to mine, ever - the remaining nodes could just agree that they were going to start mining BTC2.0, a fork of the blockchain whose difficulty value starts at a level that matches the current hashrate of the network. forks lead to hilarious drama, but the blockchain would continue in this or another form.

or maybe everybody would go to ethereum or something, who knows. anyway, there's no regulating body involved in the frisbee scenario beyond core bitcoin devs announcing this or that thing that they support. functionally it's like that, but in practical terms it's everyone agreeing to move to Jonestown 2 and forget Jonestown 1 ever existed.

EDIT: if I had to give bitcoin a compliment, it's the degree to which it's caused a bunch of insufferable internet libertarians to cooperate by consensus

EDIT EDIT: vvv that's what I'm describing with "BTC2.0" yeah. that's what that means, "the remaining nodes agree" is that

LordSaturn fucked around with this message at 18:29 on Jun 17, 2022

The Pirate Captain
Jun 6, 2006

Avast ye lubbers, lest ye be scuppered!
Could 51% of the network agree to lower the difficulty ahead of schedule?

Mooseontheloose
May 13, 2003

steinrokkan posted:

Oh so when you want to trade bitcoins or sell bitcoins you don't get dollars, you get MegaValue Family Funbucks? And a promise that each Funbucks is actually covered by a real dollar (no you can't see the dollar)

That's kinda genius in how blatantly evil it is

And to add the extra layer of irony, you peg yourself to the dollar to make your commodity to be worth something.

So, Bitcoin which is suppose to be anti-fiat currency only has value because of fiat currency.

Nessus
Dec 22, 2003

After a Speaker vote, you may be entitled to a valuable coupon or voucher!



The Pirate Captain posted:

Could 51% of the network agree to lower the difficulty ahead of schedule?
During the periods when it was like that 51% of the network or more consisted of guys in rural China exploiting cheap electricity? Quite possibly! Now? Who the gently caress knows!

PITY BONER
Oct 18, 2021


I figured it out. All of it. BTC just needs to break that 61.8 on the fib and we'll be back flying towards the sun like Icarus.

Mooseontheloose
May 13, 2003

Koopa Kid posted:

People are inclined to engage in magical thinking when it comes to technology because most adults are only exposed to tech concepts through fiction. Also your average adult's financial literacy is so poor that "just print some more money" actually does seem like a reasonable solution to all the world's problems.

I've talked about this before in this thread but crypto also appeals to certain person (wealthy-ish, mostly white) because it preys on their fears of being screwed over by "the system" and appeals to them saying, you're a smart and bright person and this is the future. Others saying this won't work lack the imagination you do, bright person and you can finally be recognized as the stable genius and the wealth that comes with it.

Basically, it preys on the burnout "bright" students by playing to their insecurities.

PITY BONER posted:



I figured it out. All of it. BTC just needs to break that 61.8 on the fib and we'll be back flying towards the sun like Icarus.

and as we all know Icarus flew to the sun and all the Grecian women loved him and he ruled greece and the world.

Heath
Apr 30, 2008

🍂🎃🏞️💦
The number just needs to go up is all

Vampire Panties
Apr 18, 2001
nposter
Nap Ghost
Bitcoin (or WallStreetBets for that matter) appeal to middle class white nerds in the same way MIT dorks learned to count cards in blackjack in 2000, or later started multi-screening internet poker. It’s :airquote: Gambling :airquote: but without their own internalized stigma of lottery tickets being for poors & stupids. They get the emotional reward of being :airquote: smarter than the system :airquote: without having to do anything. Bitcoin and GME are unique lottery tickets because (in theory) if you just keep buying them and never sell

Hillary 2024
Nov 13, 2016

by vyelkin

tpink posted:

The balls on Celcius are truly out of this world.

https://blog.celsius.network/community-faq-510f9996d94c

In other words: please continue to give us money that we will never, ever return to you.

No withdrawal, only deposit

Guze
Oct 10, 2007

Regular Human Bartender

Bitcoins are for nerds and dorks Real Americans™ gamble with bar pull tabs.

PITY BONER
Oct 18, 2021

Mooseontheloose posted:

I've talked about this before in this thread but crypto also appeals to certain person (wealthy-ish, mostly white) because it preys on their fears of being screwed over by "the system" and appeals to them saying, you're a smart and bright person and this is the future. Others saying this won't work lack the imagination you do, bright person and you can finally be recognized as the stable genius and the wealth that comes with it.

One of my relatives was a huge anti-establishment punk who realized he was good at programming, so he got his degree in compsci and spent that last decade or so working in tech. He transferred his anti-establishment stance into everything technological, including the typical "I gotta be at the forefront of something, because anyone at the forefront of anything in this field got to cash out with huge money" thinking that's common there. This, of course, all funneled his attention into cypto.

He gambled his life savings on coins, and the last I heard from others (since we haven't spoken in years due to his frantic obsession with all this poo poo) is that he never sleeps anymore and doesn't eat, and all he can do besides work is fret over how much money he is losing.

Edit:

Vampire Panties posted:

Bitcoin and GME are unique lottery tickets because (in theory) if you just keep buying them and never sell

Those GME dorks are bit different to me because I get way more culty vibes from them. They keep buying the ever-dropping dip as if any day now the price is going to rocket back to ATH. GameStop has always been an absolute poo poo place to work or shop, but they're convinced its going to replace Steam and other platforms, especially now they GS is going to sell NFTs. The fact that DeepFuckingValue didn't even sell his position and walk away with $40+ million is loving hilarious.

PITY BONER fucked around with this message at 17:55 on Jun 17, 2022

Mooseontheloose
May 13, 2003

PITY BONER posted:

One of my relatives was a huge anti-establishment punk who realized he was good at programming, so he got his degree in compsci and spent that last decade or so working in tech. He transferred his anti-establishment stance into everything technological, including the typical "I gotta be at the forefront of something, because anyone at the forefront of anything in this field got to cash out with huge money" thinking that's common there. This, of course, all funneled his attention into cypto.

He gambled his life savings on coins, and the last I heard from others (since we haven't spoken in years due to his frantic obsession with all this poo poo) is that he never sleeps anymore and doesn't eat, and all he can do besides work is fret over how much money he is losing.

This doesn't surprise me. I work in politics, policy, and campaigns and live in New England. I know exactly the type you are talking about.

Klyith
Aug 3, 2007

GBS Pledge Week

Vampire Panties posted:

Bitcoin (or WallStreetBets for that matter) appeal to middle class white nerds in the same way MIT dorks learned to count cards in blackjack in 2000, or later started multi-screening internet poker. It’s :airquote: Gambling :airquote: but without their own internalized stigma of lottery tickets being for poors & stupids. They get the emotional reward of being :airquote: smarter than the system :airquote: without having to do anything. Bitcoin and GME are unique lottery tickets because (in theory) if you just keep buying them and never sell

but the MIT card-counting nerds actually made a poo poo-ton of money? and had a system so good that the only way casinos could handle them was to ban them from setting foot in the building?

Bitcoin & wallstreetbets is made up of the guys who are kinda smart but think they're the mega-brains, even at subjects they know little about.

Strong Sauce
Jul 2, 2003

You know I am not really your father.





Vampire Panties posted:

Bitcoin (or WallStreetBets for that matter) appeal to middle class white nerds in the same way MIT dorks learned to count cards in blackjack in 2000, or later started multi-screening internet poker. It’s :airquote: Gambling :airquote: but without their own internalized stigma of lottery tickets being for poors & stupids. They get the emotional reward of being :airquote: smarter than the system :airquote: without having to do anything. Bitcoin and GME are unique lottery tickets because (in theory) if you just keep buying them and never sell

card counting or multitabling online poker are not bitcoin

Strong Sauce fucked around with this message at 17:56 on Jun 17, 2022

Number19
May 14, 2003

HOCKEY OWNS
FUCK YEAH


https://twitter.com/web3isgreat/status/1537837060895264769?s=21&t=hOHYH-cLndbjv8hL6tSUIw

No problems here at all, this is totally normal

carticket
Jun 28, 2005

white and gold.

Mooseontheloose posted:

This doesn't surprise me. I work in politics, policy, and campaigns and live in New England. I know exactly the type you are talking about.

I bet you love the Free Staters.

WorldIndustries
Dec 21, 2004

https://twitter.com/ChrisBloomstran/status/1537799873629659136

WorldIndustries
Dec 21, 2004

another day another halt of withdrawals

https://twitter.com/vhranger/status/1537775633014657026

Number19
May 14, 2003

HOCKEY OWNS
FUCK YEAH


Time for a new Onion headline

quote:

“No way to prevent this” says only industry where this regularly happens.

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PITY BONER
Oct 18, 2021

Number19 posted:

No problems here at all, this is totally normal

"3AC has hierd legal and financial advisors to pursue solutions"

I bet one of them was wearing these socks

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