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Hello everyone and welcome to the home of the degenerates. This here is the "NEW" gambling thread and hopefully it will be a successful reset of previous threads that have since died out probably because everyone is broke due to poor Bank Roll Management What is a sports wager you might ask? Well, instead of telling you all the intricacies of bets and the types you can make, i'm going to let my friend Wikipedia tell you how you can place a wager against Vegas or some other bookmaking entity. wikipedia posted:Straight Bets - are wagers that are made against the spread. The spread, or line, is a number assigned by the bookmakers which handicaps one team and favors another. For example, in the NBA, when two teams play each other, one is perceived as being more likely to win. To attempt to make wagering on the underdog desirable, the bookmaker will give them points. Before game 5 of the 2012 NBA Finals, the Miami Heat were expected to beat the Oklahoma City Thunder. The line read: Miami -3, Oklahoma City +3. To determine who wins against the spread, the line is either added or subtracted from a team's final score. In the above example, if the bettor chose Miami, he would subtract 3 points from Miami's final score and compare that to Oklahoma's final score. For him to win his bet, Miami would have to win the game by 4 points or more. This is the most common type of bet in sports. Juice Again, Juice is a pretty basic concept, but the way in which it is presented greatly depends on what region you hail from/are betting from. A good description of juice is below, also from Wikipedia, but it works and is acceptable. wikipedia posted:Odds for different outcomes in single bet are presented either in European format (decimal odds), UK format (fractional odds), or American format (moneyline odds). European format (decimal odds) are favored in continental Europe, Canada, and Australia. They are the ratio of the full payout to the stake, in a decimal format. Decimal odds of 2.00 are an even bet. UK format (fractional odds) are favored by British bookmakers. They are the ratio of the amount won to the stake. Fractional odds of 1/1 are an even bet. US format odds are favored in the United States. They are the amount won on a 100 stake when positive and the stake needed to win 100 when negative. US odds of 100 are an even bet. Good Sites for US bettors: Topbet - My personal choice. This company is run out of the Netherlands and has always been consistent for me. Easy to use interface, decently updated lines, and a good mobile platform are all perks. They're offering 50% on $250 first deposit right now. Bovada - Used to be bodog I think. Seems solid and goons like it but i've heard their lines can be a little bit off of the beaton path. Also 50% on $250. 5dimes - I've used it and it's ok. Goons seem to like it. It has reduced juice which is cool. They have a cool new rewards program that I've never used and don't understand. betonline - Never have used it but have heard it was a viable option. BRMM AKA Bankroll Management This is a very important topic to me and really is more valuable than anything else in this thread. Look, there are going to be trends. You are going to get hot and your are going to get cold. No one has the secret. It's gambling. The secret to having FUN (if you aren't here to have fun, leave, no seriously. If you want to make consistent money go get a real job) is not bursting your load. Here's a great story from a page all about BRMM. wunderdog.com posted:A Tale Of Two Sports Bettors So how much should you bet? It depends on you, but it shouldn't be a large percent of your bankroll. You will see me break down Units in here. As a general rule of thumb, this is what a unit should look like to you. 0.5 unit - 0.5% of bankrol 1 unit - 1% of bankroll 1.5 units - 1.5% of bankroll 2 units - 2% of bankroll 2.5 units - 2.5% of bankroll If I am loving confident (rarely) I will make a 10 unit bet. That's what I max out at. Typically a good confident play by me that is standard is 5 units. Apps for tracking bets and overall performance http://www.betbudapp.com If you're serious about this, use this app. The only issue i've found is with not being able to plug in a line for the second game of a baseball double header. That was a one off. Everything else is great. Features: App tracks games in real time. Customization fields on full edition such as juice, line total, etc. Enter Paylays, teasers, run line, money line, literally everything you can think of except for prop bets. Overall stats including % and total amount you are up. Color coded so you can easily see how a slate of bets is coming. And that's really it. Post what you would like about Bankroll management and keep track of your picks here. If a goon get's hot, it's always fun to tail and enjoy the ride. Most importantly, only gamble what you can afford to lose. If you want to have fun, don't put life changing amount of money on this.
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# ? Jul 7, 2014 19:07 |
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# ? May 19, 2024 15:45 |
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Reserved.
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# ? Jul 7, 2014 19:07 |
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Today's Picks: MLB Oakland -153 2.5U LAA -164 2.5U Cubs +150 2.5U Baltimore +155 2.5U Tampa Bay -122 2.5U Houston +120 5U Cleveland -144 3U Cleveland -1.5 +140 1U Stupid 3 team o/u 1 1.5 unit +571 parlay Mets/Braves over 7.5 White Sox/Red Sox over 10 Padres/Rockies under 10.5 Year to Date Record 14-12-1 Up roughly 10 units. thompson fucked around with this message at 20:51 on Jul 7, 2014 |
# ? Jul 7, 2014 19:11 |
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thompson posted:Today's Picks: Red Sox can't hit, White Sox can't pitch, so this is curious to me but you never know I guess.
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# ? Jul 7, 2014 23:16 |
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Ace Jameson posted:Red Sox can't hit, White Sox can't pitch, so this is curious to me but you never know I guess. If all goes according to plan i'll go 0-9 -23 units. You never know is right though.
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# ? Jul 7, 2014 23:28 |
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thompson posted:Today's Picks: Our debut night is not going so well together SA. Oh well!
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# ? Jul 8, 2014 02:36 |
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thompson posted:Today's Picks: Finished up 1 unit yesterday. Thanks Astros! Join me ladies! I feel like the guy in the horse racing thread who was posting to himself. Today's Picks: Brazil -110 5U L Cincinnati -1.5 -110 2.5U W Arizona -119 2.5U L Seattle -117 2.5U L San Diego -110 2.5U L Los Angeles +105 5U L Texas/Houston Over 9.5 5U W San Diego/Colorado Under 10 2.5UW Year to Date Record 21-22-1 Up roughly 11 units. thompson fucked around with this message at 17:13 on Jul 9, 2014 |
# ? Jul 8, 2014 16:50 |
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When Suarez bit that guy, some people won big after betting at 150:1 that it would happen. Did anyone anywhere bet on Germany giving Brazil their most lopsided defeat ever?
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# ? Jul 9, 2014 06:54 |
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thompson posted:Finished up 1 unit yesterday. Thanks Astros! Join me ladies! I feel like the guy in the horse racing thread who was posting to himself. Lost 7.5 Units yesterday roughly, but we'll get it going today. Here are the selections! Argentina -.5 5U Dodgers +110 5U L San Antonio Stars (WNBA) -4 2.5U Kansas City Royals +102 2.5U Chicago/Cinci Under 7.5 2.5U Miami +115 2.5U San Diego +100 2.5U Year to Date Record 21-22-1 Up roughly 5 units. AATREK CURES KIDS posted:When Suarez bit that guy, some people won big after betting at 150:1 that it would happen. Did anyone anywhere bet on Germany giving Brazil their most lopsided defeat ever? That's a pretty insane prop bet. I wonder where someone offered that? As for the Brazil/Germany game, you can see above that I was certainly on the wrong end of that one! thompson fucked around with this message at 23:09 on Jul 9, 2014 |
# ? Jul 9, 2014 17:18 |
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AATREK CURES KIDS posted:When Suarez bit that guy, some people won big after betting at 150:1 that it would happen. Did anyone anywhere bet on Germany giving Brazil their most lopsided defeat ever? This picture may or may not be real
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# ? Jul 9, 2014 17:21 |
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Andre Le Fuckface posted:This picture may or may not be real Holy moly...
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# ? Jul 9, 2014 17:26 |
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I've only been making sporadic baseball and UFC bets lately, but I saw someone talking about 5Dimes odds on Lebron, and decided to get in. 6u on Lebron not signing with Cleveland at +290.
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# ? Jul 10, 2014 18:23 |
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Was looking for this thread since the other one died glad there is still some gamblers here. I put 500 on the cavs to win it all at 65 to 1. A play poker with a couple of guys who work for the plain dealer and they told me to jump on it before the line moved. I didn't even think Lebron was coming back but I figured if he does it won't be 65 to 1 and now it's at 3 to 1. Good luck all if I make anymore bets I will post them in here.
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# ? Jul 20, 2014 15:34 |
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jase1 posted:Was looking for this thread since the other one died glad there is still some gamblers here. 65 to 1 has expected value that is off the chain now. That's a great pickup. Best of luck there! I'm taking a short hiatus. Baseball is tough to bet but I'm taking a week to analyze and getting back on the horse! Football, basketball, and hockey are on their way soon too. Can't wait!
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# ? Jul 20, 2014 16:29 |
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Hey guys, I have a gambling related question. I work in finance and often deal with heavy application of statistical analysis and probabilities. I came across this article by this professor of statistics about analyzing data to produce bets that are more likely to be profitable. His example was stoppage time in soccer. He realized that few sources tracked this data and that referees had very predictable patterns, allowing him to create a very profitable system. I was wondering if you guys knew a good source for large amounts of data on various major league sports, especially for soccer, which seems to have the largest degree of randomness. I realize you're not going to beat Vegas at calculating over/unders, but I thought it'd be a fun side project to try and identify some of the crazier and smaller side bets offered that might be inefficient. This could also have interested potential in in-play betting, in which they have to make spur of the moment calculations without the luxury of watching the ratio of inflows/outflows and other book's movements.
Its Miller Time fucked around with this message at 23:34 on Jul 29, 2014 |
# ? Jul 29, 2014 23:30 |
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jase1 posted:Was looking for this thread since the other one died glad there is still some gamblers here. You're going to have some very interesting hedging decisions starting with the Eastern Conference Finals, assuming they get there.
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# ? Jul 30, 2014 00:17 |
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jase1 posted:Was looking for this thread since the other one died glad there is still some gamblers here. I know very little about betting on sports, but is it possible for you to take the opposite side of the bet now that the line has moved and arbitrage your way to a no-loss position (with less upside, of course)? coronaball posted:You're going to have some very interesting hedging decisions starting with the Eastern Conference Finals, assuming they get there. C'mon, it's the East, they'll get there.
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# ? Aug 3, 2014 17:04 |
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Gotta play smarter this year for the nfl season
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# ? Aug 3, 2014 21:37 |
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Interest check in a $20 ATS NFL Pick'em? Between this thread and the fantasy football thread we managed 16 people last year.
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# ? Aug 9, 2014 08:05 |
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I am a victim of Poor Bankroll Management™. Fortunately I know the best thing to do in this situation. Chase. Hard.
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# ? Aug 13, 2014 02:48 |
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Bobert51 posted:I am a victim of Poor Bankroll Management™. Might as well. Hitting Vegas on Thursday. It's the start of gambling season for me with EPL opening Saturday and football quickly there after. It's almost that time!
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# ? Aug 13, 2014 05:20 |
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Okie doke, football starts tomorrow. I went ahead and made a new deposit and bet on three baseball games tonight with some of my free play balance. Here are tonight's picks: Cleveland -1.5 -120 2U A's v Astros Under 9 2U Padres +131 2U and for tomorrow (grabbing it before it goes down, one would think it would): Texas A&M v South Carolina U60.5 2U Washington State -7.5 2U thompson fucked around with this message at 00:52 on Aug 28, 2014 |
# ? Aug 28, 2014 00:46 |
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One thing about Bovada formerly Bodog is they also seem to wait as long as possible to get their lines up when other sites get them up a bit early.
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# ? Aug 28, 2014 09:29 |
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soggybagel posted:One thing about Bovada formerly Bodog is they also seem to wait as long as possible to get their lines up when other sites get them up a bit early. Yeah that's the main reason I switched off of them. That and the fact that they're really bad/slow at moving their lines with the action.
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# ? Aug 28, 2014 14:39 |
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thompson posted:Texas A&M v South Carolina U60.5 4U Go ahead and add: Texas A&M v South Carolina U60.5 4U Washington State -7.5 2U Tulane Tulsa U46.5 2U Wake UL Monroe U45 2U Wake Forest +2 2U Houston Astros -139 2U Baltimore Orioles -123 2U (1-1-1 YTD since football started) Let's see if we can keep our wad until week 1 of the NFL season... thompson fucked around with this message at 17:40 on Aug 28, 2014 |
# ? Aug 28, 2014 16:58 |
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I've been doing terrible because I keep betting against the Royals. I figure they are due to choke this season away eventually, right?! I've almost lost all of my deposit money though, so my bets keep getting smaller... I consider this entertainment money though, and I really want the Royals to make the playoffs, so I'm not too torn up about it.
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# ? Aug 29, 2014 03:10 |
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OctoberBlues posted:I've been doing terrible because I keep betting against the Royals. I figure they are due to choke this season away eventually, right?! I've almost lost all of my deposit money though, so my bets keep getting smaller... Entertainment money is a great way of putting it. A rooting interest in whatever game you want at your fingertips.
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# ? Aug 29, 2014 03:54 |
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Well I didn't expect to hit the over this early in the Hawks game, still need them to mount a big comeback if I'm going to hit this parlay.
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# ? Aug 29, 2014 03:56 |
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thompson posted:Entertainment money is a great way of putting it. A rooting interest in whatever game you want at your fingertips. Yeah, I am honestly not very good at betting on sports, but I am very good at budgeting, so I can at least enjoy the betting roller coaster while knowing that losing has no real effect on my finances.
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# ? Aug 29, 2014 04:18 |
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Today's Picks: Soccer: Liverpool +157 3U (W) Aston Villa +143 2U (W) Arsenal -125 3U (L) Baseball: New York Mets -115 2U (W) Cincinnati +120 3U (W) Angels -124 2U (W) Padres +148 2U (L) Tigers -113 2U (L) Nationals +133 2U (L) Baylor -33 4U (W) Tennessee -4 2.5U (W) thompson fucked around with this message at 16:13 on Sep 1, 2014 |
# ? Aug 31, 2014 14:42 |
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thompson posted:Today's Picks: 7-4 yesterday was nice. Just two plays today. Padres -163 4U Dodgers +105 2U
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# ? Sep 1, 2014 16:14 |
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Twins moneyline Detroit moneyline - Price as an underdog? wow Mariners moneyline 5 units each
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# ? Sep 1, 2014 17:39 |
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zapplez posted:Twins moneyline I'm also in on that mariners moneyline, but parlayed with the under for 5U
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# ? Sep 1, 2014 20:07 |
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Sucks that the Royals/Indians game last night was counted as a push. I had hoped the bet would just be pending until the game is completed later in the month. gently caress the rain, I was a half inning away from winning that one...
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# ? Sep 1, 2014 20:14 |
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The Nards Pan posted:I'm also in on that mariners moneyline, but parlayed with the under for 5U Awesome, I didn't even get to enjoy that for a half inning. Bah.
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# ? Sep 1, 2014 22:06 |
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My picks for today. Baseball: Tigers 2.07 (W) 2U Athletics 2.55 (W) 2U Marlins -1.5 spread 2.70 (W) 1U Nationals -1.5 spread 2.50 1U Football: Tiger-Cats/Argonauts under 50 1.91 (W) 1U Stampeders/Eskimos over 50 1,91 (L) 1U At the moment I'm up nearly 7 units.
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# ? Sep 2, 2014 01:02 |
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Detroit +131 2U Milwalkee -112 2U San Diego -117 2U
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# ? Sep 2, 2014 16:11 |
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You are welcome Royals fans, because I just keep betting against KC.
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# ? Sep 3, 2014 04:50 |
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thompson posted:Detroit +131 2U Good 2-1 Night. 3 more plays tonight. Seattle +112 4U San Diego -129 2U Detroit +113 2U
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# ? Sep 3, 2014 16:33 |
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# ? May 19, 2024 15:45 |
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Oakland -1.5 Runline 2.75 1U San Diego -1.5 Runline 2.70 1U Colorado Moneyline 2.23 1U Baltimore -1.5 Runline 2.25 1U I only have confidence in Arizona being really bad and Baltimore being really good. e: The Packers are currently paying out 3.15 so I'm putting a unit down on that because why not. Stiev Awt fucked around with this message at 18:55 on Sep 3, 2014 |
# ? Sep 3, 2014 18:52 |