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BrianBoitano
Nov 15, 2006

this is fine



BrianBoitano posted:

Just under the wire!

I think Biden will do way better, this is just to hedge. If Biden wins big, it'll be easy to pay the charity :)

$5 per wrong



I think I'm off by AZ, one of the NE, and GA as of today. If GA flips back, RAINN will be hearing from me :argh:

Following the lead around here and rounding up to $50 to celebrate :toot:



GreyjoyBastard, can I have this one + remove my Bernie or Bust? It was a damned lie...

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asterioth
Jul 27, 2007

If it's worth killing it's worth overkilling.

asterioth posted:

Oh man, both of the animated tags are great.


I'm going with this map, .25 a state thats wrong



Went ahead and bumped it up to 3 bucks to cover what i got wrong and anything that might flip.
Lemme get chaos reigns

TyrantWD
Nov 6, 2010
Ignore my doomerism, I don't think better things are possible
Got GA and PA wrong at $5 each, but this is at least a slightly less dark timeline than I thought, so I doubled it to $10 each.



Would like this one (and could I get the animal crossing racoon one removed?)

syzygy86
Feb 1, 2008

syzygy86 posted:

Ended up with the same map. $7 per state.

I missed four so far, Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, and Maine #2.



Let's do it

DTurtle
Apr 10, 2011


DTurtle posted:

Looking for that Biden blowout.
10€ per state.

No blowout :(
I'll take this one:

By my count that is 10 misses (9 states + Maine 2), so 100€ or roughly $120.

KDdidit
Mar 2, 2007



Grimey Drawer

KDdidit posted:

$2 a state



Missed NC, TX, ME-2, and completely failed to double check my map that had Utah blue.



Chaos Fox please

Pick
Jul 19, 2009
Nap Ghost

Pick posted:



$1 per state

Off on 4 states, will send funds today. Plus big bonus for Biden win overall.

The SituAsian
Oct 29, 2006

I'm a mess in distress
But we're still the best dressed

The SituAsian posted:

$3.00 per state. Doing both maps





By my count I missed

Pres
NC
ME-2
NE-2
GA (assuming Biden win)

Senate
Georgia Special (assumed loss)
NC
IA
ME

Round by $1 because why not

Zamujasa
Oct 27, 2010



Bread Liar

Zamujasa posted:



$2/state.




For tags, swap the joe one out for this one.

quote:

zakharov
Nov 30, 2002

:kimchi: Tater Love :kimchi:

zakharov posted:

Betting five dollars per state.



LOL I think this is the same as Moon Slayer whoops

I owe $15 by the books but I can do better. One Chaos Reigns tag please.

skeleton warrior
Nov 12, 2016


skeleton warrior posted:

I am also wagering my posting honor, but as that's extremely small stakes, I'll also bet $1 per electoral vote difference between this and the actual results.




Biden won with 306, I said $1 per electoral vote, so that's a donation of... a cursed number, so I'll round that up to $90.






I think Chaos Reigns is most appropriate. Also, I don't think I can ever look at a needle again.



Thanks, GJB!

skeleton warrior fucked around with this message at 14:34 on Nov 13, 2020

Roseo
Jun 1, 2000
Forum Veteran

Funkdreamer posted:

You were the only one in the thread to correctly call Georgia but not North Carolina for Biden

Any reason, time traveler??

Someone had to :v:

(Georgia has the ATL area and that's been booming with a lot of people moving there, there's a strong GOTV, governor was stolen from the Dems 2 years ago there. NC feels more like a wish and hope similar to TX at this point - it'll flip in 5-10 years, potentially.)

Sharks Eat Bear
Dec 25, 2004

Sharks Eat Bear posted:

I'll do $10 per miss



I missed TX, NC, IA and ME-2, so $40 but I'll round up to $50 since I'm happy that Trump lost. I don't really want to bother taking a screenshot but if that's bad form then I will. No gang tag plz

goethe.cx
Apr 23, 2014


goethe.cx posted:

Posting My Map. $5 per state I get wrong



as promised, $25 for 5 missed calls (blue georgia???)



edit: oh yeah and i'll take the chaos reigns tag

goethe.cx fucked around with this message at 00:15 on Nov 14, 2020

Handsome Ralph
Sep 3, 2004

Oh boy, posting!
That's where I'm a Viking!


Handsome Ralph posted:

Texas is a stretch but if I'm wrong, more money to charity. I'll go for $5 per state that I miss.


I'd like the chaos reigns version of the tag when the time comes.

I missed four, so $20 to RAINN.


EDIT: :siren: IK Note:siren: People who have donated and requested tags, I've queued you up. Anyone posting after this, we'll get around to you.

Handsome Ralph fucked around with this message at 02:04 on Nov 14, 2020

Phlegmish
Jul 2, 2011



Do we have the final results yet? Btw no tag for me, please

Moon Slayer
Jun 19, 2007

goethe.cx posted:

(blue georgia???)

Slightly blue North Carolina, slightly red Georgia was a call a lot of people, including me, made. It made sense since NC went for Obama in 2008 and Georgia last went for a Democrat in 1992.

I mean, look at this final map, it's absolutely wild:



And, as long as I was screwing around on 270towin, here's my advance prediction for 2024:




Harris/Cuomo (D): 435
Pence/Hogan (R): 68
Trump/Cruz (Ind.): 35

(not an actual prediction or toxx, I was just bored)

chaoslord
Jan 28, 2009

Nature Abhors A Vacuum


chaoslord posted:



I'll do $2 per wrong

Ok so wrong on
ME-2
NC
FL

I think that's it but rounded up to $10 in case missed something



I'll take this one

Epinephrine
Nov 7, 2008
I conditioned my donation on the outcome of the Senate, which is still undecided. Any issue with waiting until those special elections happen, or should I do half now and (depending on the outcome) the rest later? Probably saves them a small bit to do it in one go.

Da Mott Man
Aug 3, 2012


Da Mott Man posted:

I blew my budget on donations but I'll go a dollar each on this map.



Edit: gif version of the needles please when giving them out.

2 Wrong. 3 are very close so I'll just go with $5 so I don't feel cheap.




This one for me please.

Mainwaring
Jun 22, 2007

Disco is not dead! Disco is LIFE!



Mainwaring posted:

Fully prepared to look like an idiot when TRUMP happens again, but ah well nevertheless ($10):



Four wrong for me. Not in US so I picked refuge which is a charity in a similar area:


I would like the gif version of only trust your fists please!

Nth Doctor
Sep 7, 2010

Darkrai used Dream Eater!
It's super effective!


Moon Slayer posted:

- When all the states/races have been called by the Associated Press, for every one that you called wrong you will donate an amount of money to RAINN.

While the writing has been on the wall for weeks, the AP finally marked Georgia as called for Joe Biden overnight. This was probably waiting on the audit to complete, which it did and to nobody's surprise nothing changed.

I went 53/56 races. Did anyone get closer?

Acebuckeye13 posted:

The map thread should also give you a gang tag depending on how you do:

All correct: Nate Platinum
1 miss: Nate Gold
2 missed: Nate Silver
3 missed: Nate Bronze
4 or more missed: Nate Plastic

I did a quick recount hand audit scroll through the thread and found:
Only Roseo was able to call NC and GA correctly, but missed on FL and ME-2.

Additionally, Da Mott Man went 54/56 but had NC and GA both wrong, still netting out to only a single EV incorrect in the total reckoning which is also pretty drat impressive.

As far as I can tell, they are the closest two posters, having only missed a pair of races each and earning themselves the Nate Silver award.
A whole bunch of us got Nate Bronze but I didn't bother to keep track of who earned it.

E: Holy poo poo, B B only missed GA! Nate Gold Winner coming through!

B B posted:

Here's my POTUS map:



Here's my Senate map:



Doing both at $5 per missed state.

Edit: No gangtag, please. I like my current ones just fine. :)

Nth Doctor fucked around with this message at 15:40 on Nov 20, 2020

B B
Dec 1, 2005

Nth Doctor posted:

E: Holy poo poo, B B only missed GA! Nate Gold Winner coming through!

Yeah, I honestly didn't see Georgia going blue this time; I didn't even think it would be as close as it ended up.

Did pretty well overall, though, mostly by following my gut.

Moon Slayer
Jun 19, 2007

I don't have time right now to scroll back through but did anyone pull off the Nate Radium challenge (all states/districts wrong)?

GhostofJohnMuir
Aug 14, 2014

anime is not good

Moon Slayer posted:

I don't have time right now to scroll back through but did anyone pull off the Nate Radium challenge (all states/districts wrong)?

technically yes, if you count the one poster who went all in on jeb

i'm shocked that we didn't even let jeb have one state, as a treat

Pander
Oct 9, 2007

Fear is the glue that holds society together. It's what makes people suppress their worst impulses. Fear is power.

And at the end of fear, oblivion.



Pander posted:



Going in at $5 a state. Weird having more faith in blue texas and GA than OH.

Shaky needles.



4 wrong. Decided up to up it from $20 to $50 cause why not.

I'll take

DC Murderverse
Nov 10, 2016

"Tell that to Zod's snapped neck!"

DC Murderverse posted:

I think y'all posting positive maps are doing it backwards.



Absolute worst case scenario here, everything lower Likely Dem goes red, our world descends into anarchy. This way, if Trump wins I'm out less money so I can spend it on gas masks and bricks, and if Biden wins real big then I'm too relieved and excited about not descending further into fascism to care about donating to a good cause.

$5 a state, let's hope I'm sending a big payment to RAINN.

If I counted correctly this is 9 states/EV districts different from the real world, I’ll round that to $50 to make it even and celebrate a mildly good thing happening in the middle of this hell year

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Epinephrine
Nov 7, 2008

Epinephrine posted:


I'm hedging here against another thing that started a derail in USPol. Donation will be doubled if Dems fail to get 50 or more in the Senate. I don't want a gangtag, thanks though.

EDIT: Forgot to add a value: $2/state
Now that the Senate has finally been resolved: 5 states (OH, IA, TX, FL, NC) and ME-2. Dems have 50 in the Senate with Warnock and Ossoff winning their runoffs.

No gangtag, please.

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