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farraday
Jan 10, 2007

Lower those eyebrows, young man. And the other one.

Mr.Showtime posted:

I really doubt that the new governors in Egypt wants to get involved in a war of any kind but that might just be me.

There are wars and then there are wars. Being the well compensated Arab point man for preventing crimes against humanity in Libya is fairly different from invading.

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Nonsense
Jan 26, 2007

This is good, perhaps CNN can get way better corroborated information.

Herstory Begins Now
Aug 5, 2003
SOME REALLY TEDIOUS DUMB SHIT THAT SUCKS ASS TO READ ->>

Brown Moses posted:

To be honest this is making the Green Movement look kinda faggy.

Iranians do love their V-necks.

Syphilicious!
Jul 26, 2007

Uglycat posted:

The fact that supporting client states out of (perceived) self-interest has ended horribly is sufficient to assume a self-interested organization might rethink that approach.

I dunno champ we had a pretty good run. The end doesn't sting so much when you realize that you had however many decades of absolute control. This is true for the dictators themselves specifically; they've had lives of extraordinary indulgence and the only reason they wouldn't approach their deaths with smug grins on their faces is because we humans tend to lose sight of the big picture like that when the end is near. For us, the ending is even less horrible because it is often all too easy to start things up again.

Mr.Showtime
Oct 22, 2006
I'm not going to say that

farraday posted:

There are wars and then there are wars. Being the well compensated Arab point man for preventing crimes against humanity in Libya is fairly different from invading.

If you think the military in Egypt wants to get its hands dirty and hurt relations with pretty much every other country in the region you are a crazy person.

Edit: Egypt has been and still will be well funded by America, that won't change. They have nothing to gain by getting into a war that they can't gain by simply providing humanitarian aid.

farraday
Jan 10, 2007

Lower those eyebrows, young man. And the other one.

Mr.Showtime posted:

If you think the military in Egypt wants to get its hands dirty and hurt relations with pretty much every other country in the region you are a crazy person.

Edit: Egypt has been and still will be well funded by America, that won't change. They have nothing to gain by getting into a war that they can't gain by simply providing humanitarian aid.

You completely failed to understand my post, but thank you for responding.

Mr.Showtime
Oct 22, 2006
I'm not going to say that
So then exactly what are you saying.

Ham
Apr 30, 2009

You're BALD!

Greyhawk posted:

Well, considering the border to Egypt seems to no longer be staffed, I guess he just wandered in.

The Egyptian side of the border is staffed and they're preventing Egyptian nationals from entering Libya but allowing in all aid convoys + the military is setting up field hospitals and refugee camps (for Libyans and Egyptians, there's almost 500,000 Egyptians in Libya) on the border in the town of Salum.

I'm guessing they wouldn't have issues with letting a foreign reporter in though.

Plus: The Egyptian Air Force is mostly trained by the US Air Force so it's not like they lack the training, however they definitely lack in air superiority capabilities as they're limited to the AIM-9X missile.

Uglycat
Dec 4, 2000
MORE INDISPUTABLE PROOF I AM BAD AT POSTING
---------------->

Syphilicious! posted:

I dunno champ we had a pretty good run. The end doesn't sting so much when you realize that you had however many decades of absolute control. This is true for the dictators themselves specifically; they've had lives of extraordinary indulgence and the only reason they wouldn't approach their deaths with smug grins on their faces is because we humans tend to lose sight of the big picture like that when the end is near. For us, the ending is even less horrible because it is often all too easy to start things up again.

That's certainly a direction the western leadership could pursue.

I believe it would be unwise.

But there's no a priori reason they couldn't pursue a different path. Say, one where they respect a population's right to self-determination, but refuse to sit idly by while a military force is slaughtering innocent civilians for daring to speak and peaceably assemble.

Xandu
Feb 19, 2006


It's hard to be humble when you're as great as I am.
Interesting, the US doesn't have an ambassador to Libya. He was recalled back to DC after wikileaks revealed insensitive comments.

edit: video of Libyan diplomats in NYC attacking Gaddafi is great. Everyone's jumping ship.

The Casualty
Sep 29, 2006
Security Clearance: Pop Secret


Whiny baby
We're all hosed now. Bahrain has cancelled Formula 1.

Boner Slam
May 9, 2005
dude on aje: Europe, Egypt, Nato etc. could have airplanes capable to enforce no-flight zones on station in 30 minutes notice

Banano
Jan 10, 2005
Soiled Meat

The Casualty posted:

We're all hosed now. Bahrain has cancelled Formula 1.

Welcome to last week.

Wirth1000
May 12, 2010

#essereFerrari

Banano posted:

Welcome to last week.

Actually it was only canceled today. The GP2 Asia Series race was canceled last week.

Falken
Jan 26, 2004

Do you feel like a hero yet?

The Casualty posted:

We're all hosed now. Bahrain has cancelled Formula 1.
The season start has always been at Albert Park. Bahrain was never anything more than a dress rehersal.

Brown Moses
Feb 22, 2002

Ban Ki-Moon has said attacks on protesters using aircraft "would constitute a serious violation of international humanitarian law". Hopefully that'll make at least some members of the military think twice before breaking international law.

Orkin Mang
Nov 1, 2007

by FactsAreUseless
'King of Kings of Africa' indeed. What an evil piece of poo poo.

Nenonen
Oct 22, 2009

Mulla on aina kolkyt donaa taskussa

farraday posted:

There are wars and then there are wars. Being the well compensated Arab point man for preventing crimes against humanity in Libya is fairly different from invading.

This isn't the French revolution. The Egyptian provisional government consists of the same old Mubarak people, and even if they weren't that, they would have no popular mandate to invade their neighbour.

Egypt needs to have its economy fixed so that people can eat. "Short victorious wars", while tempting, come second.

Cacatua
Jan 17, 2006

This just in:

SultanAlQassemi: Al Jazeera anchor: Libyan State TV: Gaddafi will give a live interview from in front of his house.

Oh God, this is going to be insane. (assuming it happens)

Cacatua fucked around with this message at 00:53 on Feb 22, 2011

Seizure Meat
Jul 23, 2008

by Smythe

Nenonen posted:

This isn't the French revolution. The Egyptian provisional government consists of the same old Mubarak people, and even if they weren't that, they would have no popular mandate to invade their neighbour.

Egypt needs to have its economy fixed so that people can eat. "Short victorious wars", while tempting, come second.

Yeah, this. If there's military action to be taken, it's going to come down from the UN, not a regional power. The regional powers are a bit preoccupied at the moment.

AKA Pseudonym
May 16, 2004

A dashing and sophisticated young man
Doctor Rope

Cacatua posted:

This just in:

SultanAlQassemi: Al Jazeera anchor: Libyan State TV: Gaddafi will give a live interview from in front of his house.

Oh God, this is going to be insane.

CNN just had a clip of him holding and umbrella and getting out of a truck saying that he was still in Libya.

The Brown Menace
Dec 24, 2010

Now comes in all colors.


Brown Moses posted:

Ban Ki-Moon has said attacks on protesters using aircraft "would constitute a serious violation of international humanitarian law". Hopefully that'll make at least some members of the military think twice before breaking international law.

Yeah Ban Ki, THAT'll show 'em!

God, he has a way of saying nothing of importance with so many words. Seeing him live was rather sobering.

Greyhawk
May 30, 2001


Cacatua posted:

This just in:

SultanAlQassemi: Al Jazeera anchor: Libyan State TV: Gaddafi will give a live interview from in front of his house.

Oh God, this is going to be insane.

They've been announcing that for 2 hours now. I hope he speeds up, I need to go to bed.

Toplowtech
Aug 31, 2004

Xandu posted:

I don't know why you think France or Italy have any credibility. France has sold weapons to Libya that have been shown to have been used against protesters and has been close with Gaddafi for the past decade for economic reasons. Italy imports a huge amount of Libyan oil and Berlusconi is quite friendly with Gaddafi.

If you speak french, you can watch the current French ambassador in Tunisia (yeah the one who insulted the Tunisian people) here, defending Gaddafi on french Television a few years ago, it's quite disgusting ("Gaddafi has changed!"). Apparently, he was quite proud that Gaddafi was calling him "my son".

BIG HORNY COW
Apr 11, 2003

Toplowtech posted:



Moammar! My man!

Gimmie some skin!

sweeptheleg
Nov 26, 2007

Toplowtech posted:


If you speak french, you can watch the current French ambassador in Tunisia (yeah the one who insulted the Tunisian people) here, defending Gaddafi on french Television a few years ago, it's quite disgusting ("Gaddafi has changed!"). Apparently, he was quite proud that Gaddafi was calling him "my son".

He looks like the evil tiger from junglebook.

Xandu
Feb 19, 2006


It's hard to be humble when you're as great as I am.
Wedeman on CNN right now. Very rough copy

"what we're seeing is clearly an open revolt against the government, we didn't see any police any army. The only groups in control are the so-called popular committees with youths with guns. We do know that the government out of Tripoli may try to reassert its authority. We were concerned with Libyan paratroopers...16k have left [to Egypt]. Gas stations are open there a few stores open, it appears that for the moment there's no immediate threat. No compunction using brutal force against the movement."

"People are worried we're getting reports it's really hard to confirm not being able to got there, there have been some air strikes and there are concerns that there are these mercenaries the Libyan government has hired..we were told 150 had been captured and were being guarded."

farraday
Jan 10, 2007

Lower those eyebrows, young man. And the other one.
When I wrote well compensated Arabic point man apparently everyone decided to read "and no one else".

The reason Egypt would be point is because the western countries who would want to react would want as much Arabic cover as physically possible. Meanwhile, despite frankly silly claims Egypt is still just being run by Mubarak men, they do not want the civil unrest caused by denying cooperation to an international effort to aid protesters in Libya would cause in their own cities.

Egypt ends up well compensated through diplomatic agreements that have it's air force act as the public face of any international effort to close off Libyan airspace and the west gets to "do something" without creating impressions of Imperialistic invasion.

Or you could just say I want Egypt to invade Libya. That's close I guess.

Spiky Ooze
Oct 27, 2005

Bernie Sanders is a friend to my planet (pictured)


click the shit outta^

Brown Moses posted:

Ban Ki-Moon has said attacks on protesters using aircraft "would constitute a serious violation of international humanitarian law". Hopefully that'll make at least some members of the military think twice before breaking international law.

I hate to be hard on the UN because they mean well (not even going to touch the Glenn Beck crowd conspiracies there) but they're useless.

The Casualty
Sep 29, 2006
Security Clearance: Pop Secret


Whiny baby

Banano posted:

Welcome to last week.

The story date is Feb 21st and it's on AJE's front page, and it's being posted facetiously anyways, so don't be so butt-hurt.


Ham posted:

Plus: The Egyptian Air Force is mostly trained by the US Air Force so it's not like they lack the training, however they definitely lack in air superiority capabilities as they're limited to the AIM-9X missile.
According to globalsecurity.org, the EAF also uses the AIM-7 Sparrow for longer range engagements.

quote:

In the 1990s Egypt spent as much as 80 percent of US military aid on the air force. As part of the 'Peace Vector Program', the Egyptian air force made four orders of F-16s, totaling 190 planes. About 130 F-16s had arrived and the last batch, which will be assembled in Turkey, will start arriving around 1997. Egypt also obtained approval for the purchase of 21 F-16C aircraft. The EAF modernized its F-16 fighters to have the capability of carrying and lunching AIM-7 Sparrow AAM and AGM-84 Harpoon anti-shipping missiles and GBU TV stand off guided bombes. The Air Force has continued to receive a flow of F-16 fighter aircraft from the US. By 1995, the EAF had a total of some 170 F-16A/B/C and D variant fighters in service.
The AIM-9X is an extremely effective missile at the likely engagement ranges Egyptian pilots would theoretically see. Much better than the AA-2 and AA-8 missiles carried by Libya. Combined with their use of E-2C Hawkeyes for early warning and F-16's for air superiority, they should be more than a match for the Libyan AF, which flies mostly outdated Mig-21, Mig-23, and Mig-25s.

berserker
Aug 17, 2003

My love for you
is ticking clock

Toplowtech posted:



This picture is much funnier if you imagine that instead of them going in for a handshake, they are in the process of a much more elaborate handshake, and are currently about to do the "backhand slap".

Xandu
Feb 19, 2006


It's hard to be humble when you're as great as I am.
"They are hoping that he never asserts his authority at least in this part of the country. The eastern part of Libya was successful in bringing the army, [hoping] the same will take place in the other part of the country. We've seen today the government is willing to use air forces against unarmed demonstrators. The word is that Gaddafi is not going to step down, the [czech dictator] of the Arab world. That is what worries people here."

Ham
Apr 30, 2009

You're BALD!

Nenonen posted:

they would have no popular mandate to invade their neighbour

There are about 500,000 Egyptians living and working in Libya who are now being specifically targeted along with Tunisians by Qaddafi's people after his son's speech last night, so that's a pretty serious cause but I don't see the military intervering other than in humanitarian ways. Also 15,000 Egyptians have crossed the border into Egypt today, so far.

The Brown Menace
Dec 24, 2010

Now comes in all colors.


Woops.

Anyway, Egypt and Tunisia (possibly Turkey) could intervene.

Mr.Showtime
Oct 22, 2006
I'm not going to say that

farraday posted:

Meanwhile, despite frankly silly claims Egypt is still just being run by Mubarak men


You lost me here cause you don't know what you're talking about.

Cacatua
Jan 17, 2006

SultanAlQassemi: Gaddadi now on TV

Edit: http://twitter.com/SultanAlQassemi

He'll be translating.

Xandu
Feb 19, 2006


It's hard to be humble when you're as great as I am.

Cacatua posted:

SultanAlQassemi: Gaddadi now on TV

I think it was just that short clip saying "hey guys I"m still here, not in Venezuela"

Ireland Sucks
May 16, 2004

Cacatua posted:

SultanAlQassemi: Gaddadi now on TV

According to the BBC, for a few seconds in a totally surreal way with an umbrella.

e: and the bloke looks pretty pissed off heh, after all these hours of waiting

Orkin Mang
Nov 1, 2007

by FactsAreUseless
Bet he denies or at least distances himself from the massacres, blaming them on overly aggressive subordinates who will be duly punished.

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farraday
Jan 10, 2007

Lower those eyebrows, young man. And the other one.

Mr.Showtime posted:

You lost me here cause you don't know what you're talking about.

Don't be obtuse. Mubarak wouldn't have done half the things that have happened so far in Egypt. Claiming it is all a power shuffle with nothing changes is just paranoid conspiracy theorizing.

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