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Bit more info about Ras Lanuf:quote:The deputy director of the hospital in Ajdabiya, near Ras Lanuf, has told AP that although Gaddafi's forces have taken the residential areas of Ras Lanuf, rebels still hold the port and oil facilities.
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# ? Mar 11, 2011 11:23 |
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# ? May 21, 2024 17:39 |
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Brown Moses posted:If you think people are bitching about petrol prices at the moment just wait a couple of weeks. Easy solution: buy an oil well. Brown Moses posted:Hopefully Gaddafi's troops aren't going to bombard the port and oil facilities like they did the residential area. You realize he gives no fucks about destroying the gently caress out of anywhere that isn't firmly in his control. He blew up water supplies and power lines(plants?) for a city he had control of about one day prior.
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# ? Mar 11, 2011 11:28 |
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From what I've read the oil facilities at Ras Lanuf are pretty critical to the production of fuel for his army, which was why it was important that the rebels managed to capture it.
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# ? Mar 11, 2011 12:25 |
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redscare posted:Sarko seems like the sort of guy that would send the DeGaulle and a few wings of Rafales unilaterally instead Means nothing but that's been the talk of the bars around St. Cyr this week. I was talking to a Colonel who knows a guy who knows a guy etc. who heard that exactly this may happen. Not that I give any credence to rumors like that but it does show that it's not unthinkable to the French military. From talking to friends around here about it most of them aren't against it, even my friends in left-wing Rennes. They want to see the Libyan rebels succeed but they don't trust Sarkozy's intentions.
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# ? Mar 11, 2011 13:37 |
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I wonder if all of the unease of Libyan reaction to civilian casualties from a NFZ are somewhat overblown. They are going to see the results of CQ's human shield bullshit up close after all, and will possibly inflict far more accidental civilian casualties themselves, especially if the fight drags on to urban areas. Reminds me of the first friendly fire incident incident in Afghanistan: A US airstrike was timed wrong and I forget the number but I think a dozen or so Northern Alliance troops were killed. The Special Forces officer who had to tell their commander was afraid of what the reaction would be, but the Alliance leader basically shrugged and said "These things happen." I think the super angry reactions we think of are more from stuff like that Apache gunship video with killing of random dudes trying to rescue the other random dudes the chopper shot up. As long as the west doesn't send in thousands of troops or carpet bomb western Libya I don't think the Libyans will lose ownership of the revolution in the eyes of anyone, either. Ideally the Europeans who armed CQ as of late and the neighboring Arab states will provide air interdiction over rebel held territory. I almost think they should do limited air strikes, with super-stringent rule of engagement: "Hey rebels, is that column of t-72s heading from Tripoli to Sirte in the open desert yours?" "Definitely not." "Cool, didn't think so." *erases column from face of Earth* So basically never near friendlies/civilians, keeping CQ from moving anything east that is obviously military.
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# ? Mar 11, 2011 13:42 |
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KurdtLives posted:I wonder if all of the unease of Libyan reaction to civilian casualties from a NFZ are somewhat overblown. They are going to see the results of CQ's human shield bullshit up close after all, and will possibly inflict far more accidental civilian casualties themselves, especially if the fight drags on to urban areas. Reminds me of the first friendly fire incident incident in Afghanistan: A US airstrike was timed wrong and I forget the number but I think a dozen or so Northern Alliance troops were killed. The Special Forces officer who had to tell their commander was afraid of what the reaction would be, but the Alliance leader basically shrugged and said "These things happen." I think the super angry reactions we think of are more from stuff like that Apache gunship video with killing of random dudes trying to rescue the other random dudes the chopper shot up. On the other hand.. what the hell are you talking about? The only thing stopping a NFZ is the joke of a UN that has Russia and China, authoritarian states - the complete mirror of what the Libyan government stands for, with veto power over the decision.
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# ? Mar 11, 2011 13:50 |
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Quick update from the Guardian:quote:• Gaddafi's forces appear to have forced most of the rebels out of the city of Ras Lanuf Personally I think the rebels are probably willing to accept a few civilians casualties if it stops Gaddafi slaughtering civilians.
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# ? Mar 11, 2011 13:59 |
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Lascivious Sloth posted:On the other hand.. what the hell are you talking about? The only thing stopping a NFZ is the joke of a UN that has Russia and China, authoritarian states - the complete mirror of what the Libyan government stands for, with veto power over the decision. Guess I just want someone, anyone to do something besides Office Depot's generous donation of mobile light anti-air platforms [MLAP's]. Edit: Brown Moses just posted what I was going on about except hopefully it will actually happen.
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# ? Mar 11, 2011 14:07 |
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While the international community fiddles while Libya burns today is also a big day in Bahrain:quote:Tensions are escalating in Bahrain, according to AP: quote:Sinister news from AP on the threats facing three prominent human rights activists in Bahrain: No news from Saudi Arabia about their protests yet.
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# ? Mar 11, 2011 14:21 |
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Interestingly the supposedly Gaddafi controlled Zawiyah is reporting more fighting today between rebels and Gaddafi forces.
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# ? Mar 11, 2011 14:29 |
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Brown Moses posted:Interestingly the supposedly Gaddafi controlled Zawiyah is reporting more fighting today between rebels and Gaddafi forces. I think this was to be expected, CQ's men may have control of the streets but they are going to face guerilla tactics from the rebels in every city they take back.
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# ? Mar 11, 2011 14:30 |
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And I think that'll be an even bigger problem for them in cities in the East where the rebels have been raiding depots and everyone has their own AK47 and RPG. Saif Gaddafi is being a oval office on TV again: quote:Saif al-Islam, Gaddafi's second-eldest son, blames the violence on Libyans who had been held as "terrorists" by the US. quote:Saif al Gaddafi goes on to accuse armed Gaddafi opponents of further torture. He says there were no demonstrations in Baida, but that armed groups attacked and seized control of arms caches there, then attacked the army. quote:Saif al-Islam Gaddafi is addressing reporters.
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# ? Mar 11, 2011 14:34 |
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quote:Saudi Arabia:
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# ? Mar 11, 2011 15:17 |
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Bit of good news from Libya:quote:Fighting continues along the Libyan coast. An anti-Gaddafi rebel fighter tells Al Jazeera that opposition forces have mounted a counter-attack, and have pushed Gaddafi forces out of Ras Lanuf. The front line is now 20km further west, toward Bin Jawad, he tells us by phone. We'll being you the full phone call very soon. It sounds like more oil facilities and residential areas have been hit by Gaddafi artillery during the battle. Fortuantly the residential area is mostly empty of civilians now.
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# ? Mar 11, 2011 15:48 |
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If I were the rebels I'd rig the important oil infrastructure in Ras Lanuf to blow in case they get driven out again, if they have the equipment for it.
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# ? Mar 11, 2011 16:19 |
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SUPER MEGA SAUDI ARABIA UPDATE: No one in the capital showed up. Truly, today fate's hand has been firmly with the government in biblical proportions. what a lovely day to be a protester. Here's what happened: 1. The morning was greeted with a sandstorm, one of those particularly lovely ones that consists of extreme heat and no wind, it was bad enough that high rises were not visible and you can hear the thuds of the helicopters but not see them. 2. Every single place that people can gather in, including supermarkets and strip malls were covered with police. 3. every imam in the country preached to the marching orders of the ministry of interior. 4. at 6 pm a freak hailstorm with ice slightly larger than a Pea hit the city hard. 5. and now it's raining. Oh and no one showed up. there were a couple of protests to the east but were arrested and handled with. I just hope the government doesnt sell the weather today as god being on their side or something. Overall I think that saudi's going to be skipping this whole people power thing for the foreseeable future. Al-Saqr fucked around with this message at 16:30 on Mar 11, 2011 |
# ? Mar 11, 2011 16:20 |
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A democratic movement is stillborn, millions of American motorists breath a sigh of relief. More news from Ras Lanuf: quote:Ras Lanuf, Sidra Port and Albargiya remain under rebel control after fierce battles, residents tell Al Jazeera.
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# ? Mar 11, 2011 16:26 |
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Pictures of the Libyan rebels via Cryptome.org: http://cryptome.org/info/libya-fight/libya-fight-02.htm
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# ? Mar 11, 2011 16:31 |
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Brown Moses posted:More news from Ras Lanuf: Probably mostly due to this: quote:17:10 Al Jazeera The 36th battalion (aka. AsSaeeqa, “the Thunderbolt”) which defected and joined the revolutionaries is taking the lead in pushing Gaddafi’s forces back and allowing the revolutionary forces to move foward quote:5:24pm The military that defected has finished regrouping/reorganizing. I heard that they would be leading the assault from now on, with the volunteers supporting them from behind. Narmi fucked around with this message at 16:55 on Mar 11, 2011 |
# ? Mar 11, 2011 16:52 |
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Narmi posted:Probably mostly due to this: Oh now this should be interesting.
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# ? Mar 11, 2011 17:03 |
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Hopefully this will pan out:quote:The Arab League is apparently set to back a no-fly zone over Libya, according to Reuters, who quote the Hungarian foreign minister, Janos Martonyi. There were some reports of the real army taking over the rebels forces yesterday, I guess after yesterdays retreat they are finally reformed and pushing forwards.
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# ? Mar 11, 2011 17:04 |
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quote:Al Jazeera's Alan Fisher (@AlanFisher), reporting from the EU summit in Brussels, tweets: Bit more about the Arab League too: quote:Janos Martonyi, Hungarian foreign minister, tells reporters at the EU summit that he expects the Arab League - due to meet tomorrow - to support a no-fly zone over Libya.
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# ? Mar 11, 2011 17:15 |
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LibyaFeb17.com has posted a gallery of pictures of the damage from Zawiyah.
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# ? Mar 11, 2011 17:26 |
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Given how little most of the region thinks of their governments right now, I'm not sure why the Arab League matters that much.
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# ? Mar 11, 2011 18:16 |
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Eventful day in Egypt today, hundreds of thousands went down everywhere in Egypt, not protesting, but celebrating "national unity". This last week has been very shaky because of the burning of a church by a muslim mob said to have been instigated by state security and some clashes between thugs and protesters (muslims and christians) that resulted in 13 dead. Hundreds of thousands went out today holding crosses, qurans and wearing the flag of Egypt in celebration of national unity against these events, and even the military leadership participated in Tahrir Square.
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# ? Mar 11, 2011 18:25 |
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Hopefully we'll see a bit less of this once the defected army commanders start to organise the rebel forces: Dude is firing an RPG at a jet. All that is going to do is blow up a chunk of countryside somewhere, and maybe kill someone who is in the wrong place at the wrong time. Still, it looks kinda bad-rear end.
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# ? Mar 11, 2011 18:26 |
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Jamsque posted:Hopefully we'll see a bit less of this once the defected army commanders start to organise the rebel forces: He may be a dumb rear end, but that is an epic picture.
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# ? Mar 11, 2011 18:27 |
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Lascivious Sloth posted:On the other hand.. what the hell are you talking about? The only thing stopping a NFZ is the joke of a UN that has Russia and China, authoritarian states - the complete mirror of what the Libyan government stands for, with veto power over the decision. and which is the nation who's used their veto the most?
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# ? Mar 11, 2011 18:38 |
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What are the odds of even hitting a low-flying jet with an RPG-7?
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# ? Mar 11, 2011 18:54 |
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ChaosSamusX posted:What are the odds of even hitting a low-flying jet with an RPG-7? Slim to none. But if Allah wills it...
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# ? Mar 11, 2011 18:59 |
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ChaosSamusX posted:What are the odds of even hitting a low-flying jet with an RPG-7? About the same as pegging a bird with the ball during a baseball game. RPG-7s are anti-tank weapons that are only really accurate at relatively close range (<300m). They're basically no more likely to shoot down a plane with one as that guy sitting on an office chair with an assault rifle is.
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# ? Mar 11, 2011 19:02 |
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Update on Ras Lanuf:quote:18:42 Al Jazeera Reporter LIVE from Ras Lanouf gives a comprehensive update on what is happening on the battlefront right now:
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# ? Mar 11, 2011 19:19 |
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quote:# There is extreme confusion regarding what Gaddafi’s forces are doing. They are moving forward with the intent of occupying all the key facilities and towns but they are bombing them first. They want to occupy Sidra Port but they have bombarded it and destroyed it. They want to occupy the oil facilitiy in Ras Lanouf but that too has been destroyed It's official, Gaddafi is going to destroy as much as possible before going out. He's not going to care how many lifes are lost and he's not going to care about the oil supply lines to Europe. He's going to tear to shreds as many things until one of his lieutenants finally offs him or the rebels spill blood for every feet while the rest of the world keeps bickering over the details, feasibility and costs of a NFZ that everyone knows is never going to happen. So business as usual really.
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# ? Mar 11, 2011 19:28 |
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The Cheshire Cat posted:About the same as pegging a bird with the ball during a baseball game. RPG-7s are anti-tank weapons that are only really accurate at relatively close range (<300m). They're basically no more likely to shoot down a plane with one as that guy sitting on an office chair with an assault rifle is.
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# ? Mar 11, 2011 19:33 |
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I actually meant AFTER hitting the ball with the bat (which has happened too!), but yeah I was kind of thinking of that gif as well. It's not IMPOSSIBLE, but highly improbable. If the guy firing the RPG actually took down a plane, it would be because of pure blind luck rather than any intentional actions on his part.
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# ? Mar 11, 2011 19:41 |
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Lascivious Sloth posted:On the other hand.. what the hell are you talking about? The only thing stopping a NFZ is the joke of a UN that has Russia and China, authoritarian states - the complete mirror of what the Libyan government stands for, with veto power over the decision. Many things are stopping a NFZ, such as the actual logistics, which is a lot harder than any armchair generals seem to think it is. While the UN does have a number of authoritarian states, the nature of the UN is inclusive, and it has to include almost every state in the world. China almost never uses it's veto power. I suspect Russia is doing this because only a decade ago they agreed to American intervention, only to see NATO planes kill hundreds of civilians from one of their oldest allies (Serbia). many of these authoritarian governments get their recognition from the US. Pol Pot's regime, although defeated in the 80's, held Cambodias official seat into the 90's.
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# ? Mar 11, 2011 19:45 |
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Jamsque posted:Hopefully we'll see a bit less of this once the defected army commanders start to organise the rebel forces: I wish this picture was taken spontaneously, but it just screams photo-op to me. Why? Because it just looks too damned awesome to be real. Edit: Plus I imagine that the best asset that they would have in the desert against aircraft would be concealment, and that flag sticks out like a sore thumb.
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# ? Mar 11, 2011 19:50 |
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Gravel Gravy posted:I wish this picture was taken spontaneously, but it just screams photo-op to me. Why? Because it just looks too damned awesome to be real. A lot of the rebels lack military training, so them making dumb errors is perfectly believable.
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# ? Mar 11, 2011 19:56 |
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Ganon posted:This was exactly what popped into my head. And I'd imagine if that guy actually tagged a jet with his RPG, the reaction would be much the same. "What the gently caress? ...Awesome!"
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# ? Mar 11, 2011 21:04 |
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# ? May 21, 2024 17:39 |
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Xandu posted:It's not like the US threatened to veto , my understanding is that France/UK (the only other states I could imagine enforcing one) don't want to go forward without the US involved. I was reacting to this: quote:Within NATO on Thursday, the United States and Germany were the most resistant to a no-flight zone, while France and Britain, which have been a drafting a United Nations resolution calling for one, were strongly in favor. But there was even disagreement among those who agreed. http://www.nytimes.com/2011/03/11/world/africa/11nato.html?partner=rss&emc=rss Which, you're right, it's not the same as a veto, but it strongly implies that both the US and Germany will vote against a NFZ over Libya in both NATO and the UN. I'd prefer that they abstained. Don't "get sucked into a war in North Africa" if you don't want to, but at the same time, don't impede those that want to help. A report from Bahrain: (translated from Arabic by Google Chrome) quote:Issue 3108 | Friday, March 11, 2011 http://www.alwasatnews.com/3108/news/read/531854/1.html <---this is in Arabic btw Some unconfirmed reports out of Mauritania: quote:@mauritaniedem1 And in Liberia, their warlord/dictator was tried but it will take months for the verdict to come out: quote:The war crimes trial of Charles Taylor, the former Liberian president, has ended with judges expected to take months to reach a verdict on whether he can be linked to murders and amputations during Sierra Leone's civil war. http://english.aljazeera.net/news/europe/2011/03/2011311172946791811.html This is important because refugees from Ivory Coast have been fleeing to Liberia. Things are pretty drat bad if Liberia looks like the place to hide or the safety zone. It shouldn't be a surprise that they've been abusing journalists in Libya: quote:@NicRobertsonCNN When we're not using you, we're beating you. Way to get the story you want heard told, Libya. Jeepers. WSJ Europe only gives you free teasers. It's frustrating to get linked there and have the article end in ellipses, but it's still worth quoting the part that I can get: quote:BY AIDA SULTANOVA BY MARC CHAMPION AND ISTANBUL http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748703327404576194611772513434.html?mod=googlenews_wsj&utm_source=twitterfeed&utm_medium=twitter So it looks like Azerbaijan has fizzled. Sorry Azeris, no soup for you. The negotiating table doesn't have a leg to stand on: quote:Mar 10 2011 http://www.jadaliyya.com/pages/index/846/distortions-of-dialogue The article goes into the details of Bahrain history and explains why the protesters are unwilling to negotiate with the very same people who have been loving them for generations. Srinagar is protesting after all: quote:JKLF protests Kashmir 'killings, arrests', Malik detained http://www.sify.com/news/jklf-prote..._medium=twitter "You don't know who I am, but I know where you live...": quote:BAHRAINI ACTIVISTS RECEIVE THREATS AFTER ANONYMOUS DEATH CALL http://www.amnesty.org/en/news-and-updates/bahraini-activists-receive-threats-after-anonymous-death-call-2011-03-11 Come on, Bahrain. Anonymous death threat calls? That's Dale Gribble poo poo right there, I tell you what. A half million people are displaced in Ivory Coast: quote:
http://www.voanews.com/english/news/africa/-Nearly-Half-Million-People-Displaced-in-Ivory-Coast-117806334.html If you've got any money, you might want to donate to the UNHCR. I've been predicting that if Gbagbo runs out of money, he's doomed, and apparently we're coming to that point: quote:No Money, No Friends, But Lots Of Bullets http://www.strategypage.com/qnd/ivory/articles/20110311.aspx Sorry if this article is hard on the eyes; it's a giant wall of text, so I added some paragraph breaks to try and tidy it up a bit. I did my best This is quite unfortunate: quote:Navi Pillay Says 'Human Rights Situation in Cote d'Ivoire is Deteriorating' http://newsblaze.com/story/20110311113634zzzz.nb/topstory.html It's natural to want to see the protesters as "the good guys" but sometimes they behave abhorrently just like "the bad guys". I'm saddened that the "white hats" in Ivory Coast are really a dusty shade of gray. If only the world were as simple as a cowboy movie.
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# ? Mar 11, 2011 21:17 |