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Verizian
Dec 18, 2004
The spiky one.
Watching AJE livestream on their Youtube page and Ghadaffi is not in Benghazi.

In fact he's in Tripoli with sheets hung up that keep blowing in a breeze to reveal small piles of rubble when they show wide angles. He's giving another long speech about how he hasn't shot any Libyans, only a few hundred filthy rats. He then went on to dare the western imperialists in France and England to invade so he can defeat them in honourable battle as he has done in the past.

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Nonsense
Jan 26, 2007

Verizian posted:

Watching AJE livestream on their Youtube page and Ghadaffi is not in Benghazi.

In fact he's in Tripoli with sheets hung up that keep blowing in a breeze to reveal small piles of rubble when they show wide angles. He's giving another long speech about how he hasn't shot any Libyans, only a few hundred filthy rats. He then went on to dare the western imperialists in France and England to invade so he can defeat them in honourable battle as he has done in the past.

His forces are going to be moving in on Benghazi. I also saw when AJE cut to his speech, i turned it off, because why would anybody want to listen to his speeches.

Nuclear Spoon
Aug 18, 2010

I want to cry out
but I don’t scream and I don’t shout
And I feel so proud
to be alive

Nonsense posted:

His forces are going to be moving in on Benghazi. I also saw when AJE cut to his speech, i turned it off, because why would anybody want to listen to his speeches.

because lol

(USER WAS PUT ON PROBATION FOR THIS POST)

Lustful Man Hugs
Jul 18, 2010

So, who exactly is winning in Libya? Every other post switches between:

"Oh no, Gaddafi's definitely going to win this really soon"

"BREAKING NEWS: Libyan Rebels capture several fully operational tanks"

How is this actually going?

Lagtastic
Jan 24, 2005

I have no idea what I'm doing.

And I'll have fun doing it.

ChaosSamusX posted:

So, who exactly is winning in Libya? Every other post switches between:

"Oh no, Gaddafi's definitely going to win this really soon"

"BREAKING NEWS: Libyan Rebels capture several fully operational tanks"

How is this actually going?

Things are going poorly for anti-Gaddafi forces, but it can still be turned around.

Cacatua
Jan 17, 2006

Nonsense posted:

His forces are going to be moving in on Benghazi. I also saw when AJE cut to his speech, i turned it off, because why would anybody want to listen to his speeches.

His speeches are getting drat predictable. He probably dehumanized the opposition (called them dogs or whatever), bitched about al-qaeda, rambled about drugs and people being drugged, threatened the West and everyone else with death, accused the West and the opposition of lying, denied the mass protests, and generally threw around more ridiculuous conspiracy theories.

I think he said earlier in an interview that he was disappointed with Sarkozy and other European rulers who condemned him. Yeah, people don't like it when you commit atrocities on innocent people. Imagine that.

Yaos
Feb 22, 2003

She is a cat of significant gravy.

ChaosSamusX posted:

So, who exactly is winning in Libya? Every other post switches between:

"Oh no, Gaddafi's definitely going to win this really soon"

"BREAKING NEWS: Libyan Rebels capture several fully operational tanks"

How is this actually going?
Even if pro-Gaddafi forces "win" there will still be years of fighting. The fact that people are still defecting in the middle of battle would say something about the future of Libya.

This could just be a Wag the Dog scenario and nothing is actually happening.

Dr. Habibi
Sep 24, 2009



quote:

Update: A trusted source has confirmed to us this story: The pilot who flew his plane into Baab Al Aziziyah took off as part of a 2 plane team with the mission of bombing strategic points in Al Guradibya base in Sirte. Their orders were to return immedietly after completing the mission. One pilot followed orders while the other flew to Tripoli where he emptied what he had left of ammunition on Baab Al Aziziyah and then crashed his plane into it

Welp, that answers that question. Sounded like a good strategy, before, you know, that last part.

Namarrgon
Dec 23, 2008

Congratulations on not getting fit in 2011!

ChaosSamusX posted:

So, who exactly is winning in Libya? Every other post switches between:

"Oh no, Gaddafi's definitely going to win this really soon"

"BREAKING NEWS: Libyan Rebels capture several fully operational tanks"

How is this actually going?

I think AJE summed it up perfectly; Gaddafi has the weapons and the experience, but they lack the manpower and it seems that at any conflict there are defecting troops. The rebels have the manpower but lack the weapons and military training, although that deserves the comment that the organization and skill of the defecting military officers (now the rebel military command) isn't really known.

Anything beyond this is essentially speculation. If you ask me Gaddafi can't win this. Not just because he lacks the manpower but because he lacks the loyalty. This shows itself in even his 'elite' brigade defecting in groups and it will eventually make it impossible to occupy the entire country, fundamentally a government can only rule if it's citizens obey. e; Normally a dictatorship overcomes that last part by fear, but Libya has probably passed the point of no return as soon as your citizens are prepared to die en masse to defy you.

Mad Doctor Cthulhu
Mar 3, 2008

Dr. Habibi posted:

Welp, that answers that question. Sounded like a good strategy, before, you know, that last part.

"Either tortured to death or gently caress YOU YOU CHARLES BRONSON-LOOKING MOTHERFU--"

I wouldn't recommend it, but given how Gaddafi has treated 'prisoners' of war, gently caress it.

Zappatista
Oct 28, 2008

WILL AMOUNT TO NOTHING IN LIFE.

ChaosSamusX posted:

So, who exactly is winning in Libya? Every other post switches between:

"Oh no, Gaddafi's definitely going to win this really soon"

"BREAKING NEWS: Libyan Rebels capture several fully operational tanks"

How is this actually going?

Seems to me like parts of both sides (well, maybe parts of whatever rebel army exists and all of Ghadaffi's high command) are encouraging the reporting of propaganda as fact.

Chortles
Dec 29, 2008

Staggy posted:

Well it might not have been the original plan. It may have been a case of someone getting hit, realising they can't land/get back safely, and deciding to make the most of it.
These were the original "kamikazes," before the Imperial Japanese military got the idea to intentionally do this.

Mad Doctor Cthulhu's interpretation only makes sense if that aircraft was actually stricken; the description from Freigeist suggests that the aircraft didn't even try for the bombing run, as opposed to the other one (ya know, if it even did).

Young Freud
Nov 26, 2006

Mad Doctor Cthulhu posted:

"Either tortured to death or gently caress YOU YOU DRAG QUEEN-DRESSING MOTHERFU--"

I wouldn't recommend it, but given how Gaddafi has treated 'prisoners' of war, gently caress it.

I will not have the name of cinematic hero Charles Bronson sullied in this thread. :clint:

Pajser
Jan 28, 2006
Is it out of the realm of possibility, that someone could kamikaze this human being?

Brown Moses
Feb 22, 2002

Some choice quotes from Twitter:
evancehill

quote:

Our team in Tobruk confirms ship (reportedly with 25,000 tons of fuel) was intercepted by #Libya rebels en route to Tripoli via Greece.

Liberty4Libya

quote:

Heavy sustained gun fire in #Sirte amid news of raising the independence flag #Libya #Feb17 Confirmed

quote:

Confirmed: #Sirte has joined #Feb17 revolution raising the independence flag. #Libya @AJELive @AJEnglish @AJArabic RT RT RT

LibyanDictator

quote:

Burns hospital in Tripoli completely surrounded by security, reports that Gaddafi's sons were hurt in attack earlier. #Libya #feb17

quote:

Reports that a group of #Gaddafi's personal security forces are from #Zwara and have defected after Gaddafi's attack on city. #Libya #Feb17

quote:

Brigades that were surrounding #Misrata and #Zawia have retreated. Completely disappeared. #Libya #feb17

quote:

Via Libyanfsl: The Firjaan tribe in Sirte organised an attack on the #Gaddafi forces in the city. #Libya #feb17

quote:

Reports that 300 of the Gaddafi forces (Saadi brigade) surrender to people of #Ajdabya. #Libya #Feb17

LibyanYouthMovement

quote:

The ship Revolutionaries captured is owned by Hanibal Gaddafi, on its way to Zawia from Greece containing fuel supplies #Libya #Feb17

ChubbyEmoBabe
Sep 6, 2003

-=|NMN|=-

Pajser posted:

Is it out of the realm of possibility, that someone could kamikaze this human being?

I highly doubt he is out sunbathing.

He's probably 20 feet deep in a reinforced bunker 24/7.

Brown Moses
Feb 22, 2002

So there's claims some of the military in Sirte have rebelled and taken over an army base, and that Gaddafi's family were injured on the attack on his compound. The Libyan rumour mill is going into overdrive at the moment.

Chade Johnson
Oct 12, 2009

by Ozmaugh

Pajser posted:

Is it out of the realm of possibility, that someone could kamikaze this human being?

There are plenty of fitting words to describe Colonel Gaddafi, perhaps you could refrain from including homophobic slurs in that list?

Narmi
Feb 26, 2008

Brown Moses posted:

So there's claims some of the military in Sirte have rebelled and taken over an army base, and that Gaddafi's family were injured on the attack on his compound. The Libyan rumour mill is going into overdrive at the moment.

While I don't believe anything that Gaddafi or StateTV says regarding their victories over the rebel, I'm pretty skeptical about all these sudden victories. It's 1:15am in Benghazi now, so we'll probably have to wait until tomorrow and see if an independent new source can tell us what's actually going on.

Murderion
Oct 4, 2009

2019. New York is in ruins. The global economy is spiralling. Cyborgs rule over poisoned wastes.

The only time that's left is
FUN TIME
Meanwhile on the Europeans being dicks front:

The BBC posted:

Italy blocks ferry of Moroccans fleeing Libya

Italy has prevented a ferry carrying 1,800 people, mainly Moroccans fleeing the fighting in Libya, from docking in Sicily.

The ship had sailed from Tripoli and asked for permission to refuel on the island after being refused entry to Malta, Italian media said.

Meanwhile, 41 people are feared drowned after a boat carrying migrants capsized off Tunisia, UN officials say.

Five were rescued by another boat heading to the island of Lampedusa.

Since Monday, 21 boats have arrived on the Italian island from Tunisia carrying 1,600 migrants.

The boat which went down at around midnight on Sunday night, three hours after leaving the southern port of Zarzis, had been carrying 41 men and five boys.

"We talked to the five survivors in Lampedusa," UN refugee agency spokesman Federico Fossi told the BBC News website.

"They were in the water for eight hours. They saw one boat passing by but it didn't stop. The other one that rescued them had 45 people on board. That was also in distress and that was rescued by a military ship."

UN officials estimate that more than 10,000 Tunisians have arrived in Lampedusa since the downfall of President Zine El Abidine Ben Ali two months ago.

Marine Le Pen, the leader of the French far right National Front party, who has just visited the island, told reporters in Rome on Tuesday that the news of the sinking confirmed her belief that the migrants should not be allowed to stay in Europe.

She said: "If we encourage illegal immigration, if we authorise illegal immigrants to set foot on European soil, how many more will embark on these adventures and how many more will lose their lives?"
Italian orders

The Mistral Express ferry that sailed from western Libya is now approximately 150 miles from the port of Augusta on Sicily's east coast.

It was blocked from sailing closer into Italian waters on the orders of the Italian interior ministry, officials said, while they found out who was on board and what their intentions were.

The ferry is understood to be carrying 1,715 Moroccans, 35 Algerians, 26 Egyptians, 7 Tunisians and other people from Mali, Sudan, Syria and Mauritania.

The boat was said to have been chartered by the passengers who had been working in Libya at the time of the revolt against Col Gaddafi.

Source: http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-12743356

Yes, turning people back at the ports because they almost drowned on the way there is a perfectly valid way of discouraging illegal immigration.
:negative:

Thundarr
Dec 24, 2002


Narmi posted:

While I don't believe anything that Gaddafi or StateTV says regarding their victories over the rebel, I'm pretty skeptical about all these sudden victories. It's 1:15am in Benghazi now, so we'll probably have to wait until tomorrow and see if an independent new source can tell us what's actually going on.

If the plan of the generals in charge of the rebels was indeed to stretch out Ghadaffi's forces as much as possible before mounting a major counter-attack, now would be about the best time to do it, right before the main force reaches Benghazi. It is also possible that all these reports are total bullshit in the hopes that it will make Ghadaffi hesitate for a moment, but until shown otherwise I prefer to believe in the former :unsmith:

Brown Moses
Feb 22, 2002

Other Twitter news:

quote:

Firjaan tribe and Awlad Suleiman tribe both announce they have joined the revolution. #Libya #Feb17

quote:

Al Manara media reports the fighter pilot who flew his aircraft into Bab Azizia took off from Matiga base in Tripoli #Libya #Feb17

quote:

To clarify our early tweet, what we understand is the Libyan independence flag was lifted at one point today in Sirte, since been taken down

quote:

Reports that 2 more #Gaddafi fighter jets land in #Benghazi and surrender to the Libyan people. #Libya #Feb17

quote:

The shooting being reported and heard in #benghazi is from a villa where pro-Gaddafi spies were surrounded by revs. today #libya #feb17

neamp
Jun 24, 2003
Is Al Manara the same as the Lebanese Al Manar? If so it's a Hezbollah mouthpiece and I am not sure if it can be considered trustworthy.

The Twitter rumor mill always runs hot during the night in Libya, who knows what's really true? Though it's pretty funny how the number of troops supposedly captured at Ajdabiya keeps climbing, up to 500 now, why not?

Narmi
Feb 26, 2008
This should be interesting:

quote:

Libya: UK, France and Lebanon table no-fly zone plan

Britain, France and Lebanon have tabled a draft United Nations resolution which would impose a no-fly zone on Libya.

The draft resolution would also ban commercial flights from bringing arms and mercenaries into Libya.

Britain and France have led moves to prevent air attacks on rebels by pro-Gaddafi forces - Germany and Russia are said to oppose plans.

The Arab League has backed the idea but a meeting of G8 foreign ministers in Paris earlier failed to do so.

It comes as fierce fighting continues between Colonel Gaddafi's troops and opposition groups. Government planes have been bombing the outskirts of Ajdabiya, the last town before the rebel base in Benghazi.

'Force the pace'
Talks on a no-fly zone have been held in recent days between British representatives at the UN and their US, German and Lebanese counterparts.

Nick Robinson said he understood that the US had not yet agreed to the plan - but Britain and France were tabling it anyway, to "force the pace".

A no-fly zone was also discussed by Nato defence ministers last week, who agreed a clear UN mandate would be needed should Nato be involved.

Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov said the Arab League had not "formalised" its decision to back a no-fly zone on Saturday, adding that it had stated in the same declaration that it was "categorically opposed to any foreign intervention, particularly military intervention, in Libyan affairs".

And on Tuesday German Foreign Minister Guido Westerwelle warned against military intervention, adding: "We do not want to get sucked into a war in North Africa and we would not like to step on a slippery slope where we all are at the end in a war."

The BBC's Barbara Plett at the UN said there was still much dissent at the UN, and in Europe, over a no-fly zone.

She said the US was believed to be reticent about getting involved in a no-fly zone and there was a great fear about getting sucked into another war.

She said diplomats would consult with their capital cities overnight and negotiations were expected to start on Wednesday.

A UN diplomat told the BBC the draft resolution would establish a ban on all flights in Libya, would authorise member states to enforce it and call on them to participate in it.

Aside from the no-fly zone it also urges stronger enforcement of the arms embargo, adds names, companies and entities to the sanctions list, bans commercial flights from bringing arms and mercenaries into Libya and would set up an expert panel to monitor implementation.

UK Prime Minister David Cameron said last week that a no-fly zone would have to be "necessary, legal and win broad support" but added Europe must be "ready to act" if the situation in Libya required it.

Rebel leaders in Libya have appealed for international help in limiting Col Gaddafi's resources as his forces maintain their onslaught on rebel positions in the east of Libya.

Col Gaddafi said on state television that the Libyan people would take up arms, if a no-fly zone was imposed by Western nations or the UN.

source

I guess they realize it's now or never. Now that the rebels are using their own planes does that complicates things? If this does somehow manage to pass, does that mean they won't be able to use them against Gaddafi?

Delta-Wye
Sep 29, 2005
All the activity in the middle east last 6 weeks or so has really helped open my eyes to some stuff I've read about the 60s. I read a bunch of stories/tales of college students leaving everything behind to go support socialist revolutions in south/central america, and always wondered why they would go so far away for something like that. Reading about these revolutions has really made it hit home; if I had any illusion I would be useful there (I'm a total goon that doesn't speak arabic, etc, I would be dead weight) I would be tempted to try and participate. I guess the best I can do is stay informed and spread the good word as best I can, but I feel like I have a better understanding on why people would go so far out of their way in other countries affairs - revolution is contagious.

Pajser
Jan 28, 2006

Chade Johnson posted:

There are plenty of fitting words to describe Colonel Gaddafi, perhaps you could refrain from including homophobic slurs in that list?

Well, he dresses like one. :smugbert:

Yeah, sorry about that. Just kind of agitated.

Thundarr
Dec 24, 2002


Narmi posted:

This should be interesting:


source

I guess they realize it's now or never. Now that the rebels are using their own planes does that complicates things? If this does somehow manage to pass, does that mean they won't be able to use them against Gaddafi?

Not necessarily. It would require coordination with the militaries that are enforcing the NFZ to ensure that they allowed rebel aircraft to fly without harassment, though. However, if a NFZ is set up I can't imagine that the rebels would want to bother with keeping their own aircraft in the mix. Compared to what France and the UK could bring in, practically everything in Libya that is capable of flight is a living fossil and even maintaining them has got to put a massive strain on already limited resources.

Soviet Commubot
Oct 22, 2008


Narmi posted:

This should be interesting:


source

I guess they realize it's now or never. Now that the rebels are using their own planes does that complicates things? If this does somehow manage to pass, does that mean they won't be able to use them against Gaddafi?

To avoid confusion for my fellow Americans the verb "to table" means the exact opposite in the UK from what it means in the US.

Yaos
Feb 22, 2003

She is a cat of significant gravy.

Soviet Commubot posted:

To avoid confusion for my fellow Americans the verb "to table" means the exact opposite in the UK from what it means in the US.
I'm in the US and I've never heard of using the term "to table" to mean "to suspend" it's always meant the same as "put on the table", "lay on the table", etc. I've heard "file it away" to mean "to suspend" though.

Edit: Right now is what people were talking about before. The rebels can lose every single battle they fight, but still end up winning. The power of rebellions are not their military, it's all down to how much they want what they are fighting for. The only way for Gadaffi to win the war is to kill or lock up every single person that does not support him.

It may be some time before we find out what is and is not true though, possibly well after the end of the fighting.

Yaos fucked around with this message at 01:30 on Mar 16, 2011

Leperflesh
May 17, 2007

edit: /\/\/\:argh: beaten

Dammit, journalists need to figure out that they should never use the phrase "tabled" in international press.

It has opposite meanings in British English vs. American English.

In British English, it means to raise a matter for discussion.

In American English, it means to withdraw a matter from discussion.

So that article is immediately confusing to anyone familiar with the American meaning.

Narmi
Feb 26, 2008

Yaos posted:

I'm in the US and I've never heard of using the term "to table" to mean "to suspend" it's always meant the same as "put on the table", "lay on the table", etc. I've heard "file it away" to mean "to suspend" though.

I'm in Canada and we use it the same way (e.g. Harper's going to table his budget on March 22). I think I might've heard of using "table" to suspend something in a movie or on TV, but as far as I know we've always used it like in the article.

Maybe there's two meanings depending on where you live in the US? Seems odd that the same thing has the exact opposite meaning in the same language in the same country though.

farraday
Jan 10, 2007

Lower those eyebrows, young man. And the other one.
This is from the US Senate reference

quote:


table, motion to - A Senator may move to table any pending question. The motion is not debatable, and agreement to the motion is equivalent to defeating the question tabled. The motion is used to dispose quickly of questions the Senate does not wish to consider further.
http://www.senate.gov/reference/glossary_term/table_motion_to.htm

No idea why they use it that way but it is the meaning I'm familiar with, although the British one makes literal sense.

IRQ
Sep 9, 2001

SUCK A DICK, DUMBSHITS!

Leperflesh posted:

In American English, it means to withdraw a matter from discussion.

So that article is immediately confusing to anyone familiar with the American meaning.

As a native speaker of 'merikan, I've never heard it used that way.

Dr Kool-AIDS
Mar 26, 2004

Narmi posted:

Now that the rebels are using their own planes does that complicates things? If this does somehow manage to pass, does that mean they won't be able to use them against Gaddafi?

The rebels would have to stop using planes too, unless we were willing to straight up say our mission is regime change rather than simply implementing a no fly zone (at which point we may as well be bombing them ourselves).

Slantedfloors
Apr 29, 2008

Wait, What?

Thundarr posted:

Not necessarily. It would require coordination with the militaries that are enforcing the NFZ to ensure that they allowed rebel aircraft to fly without harassment, though. However, if a NFZ is set up I can't imagine that the rebels would want to bother with keeping their own aircraft in the mix. Compared to what France and the UK could bring in, practically everything in Libya that is capable of flight is a living fossil and even maintaining them has got to put a massive strain on already limited resources.

If an actual No-Fly zone is set up, it makes a lot more sense for the Rebels to just push for it to shoot down any armed plane, then just mothball their air assets and watch as Ghadaffi orders his Air Force to take off and commit suicide trying to run the blockade so he feels like a big man.

You know he'd order his pilots into certain death, too. He's just that type of cockbag.

Chortles
Dec 29, 2008

Verizian posted:

I heard an amusing story the other day. The "SAS" unit captured a couple weeks back was actually SBS and they never got off the ship they were returning on. The same person who told me this story also claimed the SBS is a bunch of officially sanctioned Colonel Kurtz's.

I think what we can take away from this is that people need some proper 80's action movies otherwise their brains start breaking down.
Mindja, the SBS is seemingly like the Navy SEALs with far, far less publicity. Problem with that is, what the hell is up with the "SAS captured" story if the SBS never got off of the ship?

Delta-Wye
Sep 29, 2005

IRQ posted:

As a native speaker of 'merikan, I've never heard it used that way.

Have you ever been involved with a group that utilizes robert's rules of order? That is where I think I picked it up from.

Carnival47
Jul 21, 2004
Is a no fly zone really going to make a significant impact at this point? Even if he can't fly jets anymore, he still has access to helicopters, artillery, and tanks for killing protesters.

Delta-Wye
Sep 29, 2005

Carnival47 posted:

Is a no fly zone really going to make a significant impact at this point? Even if he can't fly jets anymore, he still has access to helicopters, artillery, and tanks for killing protesters.

Er, do helicopters not fly?

EDIT:
VV ah, more of a capability thing than a policy thing. Makes sense!

Delta-Wye fucked around with this message at 02:37 on Mar 16, 2011

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New Division
Jun 23, 2004

I beg to present to you as a Christmas gift, Mr. Lombardi, the city of Detroit.

Delta-Wye posted:

Er, do helicopters not fly?

It's much easier for low-flying helicopters to escape the notice of a NFZ. In Yugoslavia NATO never managed to adequately interdict them.

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