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Baddog posted:
Actually, there's a special very shortened prayer for when you are in the middle of battle, but I'm not sure why you think that they're stopping in the middle of a fight to pray to begin with. Do you have a source?
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# ? Mar 25, 2011 03:10 |
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# ? May 21, 2024 12:16 |
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This line of discussion about religious fundamentalists is pretty weird in light of the fact that Egyptian Muslims were praying while being sprayed with industrial-strength fire hoses and being guarded by Christians and the like, but nobody was yakking about the scary fundamentalists then. At least, not that I remember.
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# ? Mar 25, 2011 03:10 |
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t3ch3 posted:Just to be clear, I don't really like the idea of anything. I'm just trying to understand how this conflict can be ended with the least possible loss of life and I think that, at this point, the creation of a refugee state best serves that purpose. Whether the rebels like it or not, their struggle cannot exist without coalition air support, but it's also extremely unlikely that they'll ever take Tripoli without coalition ground support, and that battle would kill thousands. What about the Rebel held towns in the West of the country? There were uprisings in drat near every town (including in Tripoli) until Gaddaffi brutally put them down, it isn't going to be easy or clean but the Rebels have support in every town.
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# ? Mar 25, 2011 03:15 |
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t3ch3 posted:Just to be clear, I don't really like the idea of anything. Not even puppies? More to the point you're right that if the orders shifted and they refused to protect anything west of Ajdabiya they likely could not advance, but it would also leave Zitan and Misrata completely at the whim of Ghaddafi. The East west divide is entirely arbitrary and doesn't even indicate the main areas of the uprising, which would ahve to include much of the West. Why is what you're suggesting any different from drawing Europeans drawing lines on a map to divide up foreign countries for centuries without regard to what happens on the ground? I understand you think the best option is now gone, but I don't see how what you're suggesting is in any way the best of what's left. Will the rebels stop attacking? They've given no signs of it. Will Ghaddafi? No reason to believe that either. The only advantage is it gets you back to your preferred response, which is doing nothing militarily. Edit// Unsurprisingly the Yemeni opposition told Saleh to go gently caress himself. http://english.aljazeera.net//news/europe/2011/03/201132513041139452.html farraday fucked around with this message at 03:20 on Mar 25, 2011 |
# ? Mar 25, 2011 03:17 |
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Anyways, somebody who's actually an expert (and by expert I mean the loving former head of a jihadist group in Libya) in this has analyzed the potential fundamental threat from the chaos in Libya and sayshttp://www.quilliamfoundation.org/index.php/component/content/article/785 posted:‘Gaddafi has tried very hard to give the impression that the Libyan opposition is controlled by al-Qaeda. This ideas flies in the face of all the evidence. The opposition is a diverse coalition of Libyans from many tribal and political backgrounds. Just because some Islamists support the opposition against Gaddafi this does not make the opposition Islamist. Read the whole thing.
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# ? Mar 25, 2011 03:19 |
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To split Libya in two would be to leave those rebels in Tripoli and to the west to gruesome and horrible deaths at the hands of Gaddafi, and as soon as you did it the moral and legal imperative to stop a 'cleansing' of that scale and magnitude would mean the UNSC would intervene again anyway. Ground forces can be used by the coalition, there's just a reluctance not to use them now. Funding the rebels so that they can become more organised and training them in tactics will do more at the moment in terms of legitimacy and diplomacy. Gaddafi's dead (80% sure) or in the Hague (20) by June
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# ? Mar 25, 2011 03:19 |
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A divided Libya is a really bad thing idea for several reasons. Notwithstanding the fact that if Gaddafi is left in power, he'll continue to harass the east, if not with his army then with terrorist attacks. Also take this into account:code:
Basically, spitting Libya in two would likely create something like a North/South Korea, so hopefully nobody in charge is too keen on the idea. e: Also I think Gaddafi deliberately kept the eastern half of Libya underdeveloped, and while they seem to have been doing fine in these past few weeks, I doubt they have the infrastructure in place to build a new country. e2: I'm half right about the oil: source So it really depends where you divide the country, but right now Gaddafi's side controls about half of the oilfields in Libya. That said I doubt Gaddafi's Libya will win as many oil contracts as Free Libya would, so Tripoli would still see a fall in foreign investment. Narmi fucked around with this message at 03:38 on Mar 25, 2011 |
# ? Mar 25, 2011 03:20 |
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Cartouche posted:Ah, the good old days. When we had folks like Patton kicking rear end. The rebels should take a page from Patton and put luxury seats in their jeeps.
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# ? Mar 25, 2011 03:26 |
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farraday posted:Not even puppies? More to the point you're right that if the orders shifted and they refused to protect anything west of Ajdabiya they likely could not advance, but it would also leave Zitan and Misrata completely at the whim of Ghaddafi. It's not any different and my opinion is entirely based on a hunch that a few thousand fewer people might die if that were done than the inevitably bloody push toward Tripoli with coalition ground support. I fully admit that I have no reason to believe this beyond an uninformed guess from a white American armchair general type and am really glad that I'm nowhere near being in a position to decide or be affected by this decision. I'll concede that my kneejerk is toward less use of force where it can happen and anyway this is a silly argument to have since events are going to play out as they will whatever theories we propose here. I'll gladly agree to be proven wrong on an internet message board if fewer people die. edit: also, i actually do dislike dogs and, by extension puppies. sorry.
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# ? Mar 25, 2011 03:28 |
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Museveni, the president of Uganda, wrote an article about Gaddafi. It's, um, unique. http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2011/03/24/the_qaddafi_I_know
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# ? Mar 25, 2011 03:37 |
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t3ch3 posted:It's not any different and my opinion is entirely based on a hunch that a few thousand fewer people might die if that were done than the inevitably bloody push toward Tripoli with coalition ground support. I fully admit that I have no reason to believe this beyond an uninformed guess from a white American armchair general type and am really glad that I'm nowhere near being in a position to decide or be affected by this decision. You monster! Also, I disagree with your thoughts on the proper response to this problem. I think my biggest problem with what you're suggesting is it seems as naively optimistic as thinking a conquest of Tripoli by outside rebel forces wouldn't be bloody. I'm not sure how you recognize the dangers in one course while ignoring, or minimizing to a large degree, the dangers in the other. In any case, twitter reports of variable reliability. Believe at your own risk. quote:Tripolitanian: CONFIRMED: #Libya Gov searches morgues around #Tripoli to present to journalists as civilian deaths from #UN I think the best part of twitter isn't necessarily the rumors, but the way you watch them bounce around between accounts you know news organizations are using as sources, even if they try and disguise the nature of the source.
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# ? Mar 25, 2011 03:38 |
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farraday posted:You monster! Also, I disagree with your thoughts on the proper response to this problem. I think my biggest problem with what you're suggesting is it seems as naively optimistic as thinking a conquest of Tripoli by outside rebel forces wouldn't be bloody. I'm not sure how you recognize the dangers in one course while ignoring, or minimizing to a large degree, the dangers in the other. Please believe me, I was doing nothing of the sort. That's why I described a partition as the "least bad" option, in my opinion. I don't think it's possible to be optimistic of the result in Libya, unless you're being seriously deluded or disingenuous.
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# ? Mar 25, 2011 03:40 |
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t3ch3 posted:Please believe me, I was doing nothing of the sort. That's why I described a partition as the "least bad" option, in my opinion. I don't think it's possible to be optimistic of the result in Libya, unless you're being seriously deluded or disingenuous. Fair enough, although I would weigh the chances differently I can see why a partition could appear attractive, especially from the perspective of limiting western involvement. In any case as the opposition in Yemen gets set to have their own "day of departure" it is time for sunrise in Yemen and Fridays have been explosive. Syria is also expecting serious disturbances today, which will test the willingness of the ruling Baath party under hereditary president Bashar al-Assad to use violence. In Libya, aid has starting flowing into Benghazi, including aid workers. There are also unconfirmed reports that the clearing of Misrata's port has allowed rebels to sneak support into the city.
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# ? Mar 25, 2011 03:57 |
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Apologies for a double post but there's been some news. First, apparently the internet has been cut in parts of Syria. News from today could be sporadic if the regime is trying to cut online links. Second, word that Khaddafi troops around Ajdabiya attempted to call a ceasefire and withdrawal with the rebels. The discussion fell apart over the issue of tanks. The regime wanted to take them with, the rebels said "haha no". A sign, perhaps, of the straits Khaddafi's troops around Ajdabiya are in, although not enough to make them surrender outright. Most recently are unconfirmed reports that the rebels have pushed forward into Ajdabiya itself. Of course you can take this with as much salt as you can stand, especially if you're still fearing radiation.
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# ? Mar 25, 2011 06:19 |
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farraday posted:Second, word that Khaddafi troops around Ajdabiya attempted to call a ceasefire and withdrawal with the rebels. The discussion fell apart over the issue of tanks. The regime wanted to take them with, the rebels said "haha no". Agreeing to a ceasefire would be a very stupid thing for the rebels to do, if their aim is to depose Khadaffi.
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# ? Mar 25, 2011 06:35 |
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IRQ posted:Agreeing to a ceasefire would be a very stupid thing for the rebels to do, if their aim is to depose Khadaffi. It would have been a local ceasefire, not a country wide one as I understand. That wouldn't stop fighting elsewhere and would probably resume fighting in the next city along the coast.
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# ? Mar 25, 2011 06:37 |
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THE HORSES rear end posted:The first two were bullshit, the last one was true. No, the true reason (and objective) was "Funneling cash to war profiteers."
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# ? Mar 25, 2011 06:57 |
#syria on Twitter is relatively quiet so far, seems to be a mix between people rooting for a big blowup who mostly seem to be out of the country (i.e. "you must stand up for your rights" or whatever), and people in-country who seem cautiously excited about lifting emergency law. I guess we'll see as Friday continues though.
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# ? Mar 25, 2011 08:46 |
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I've got some friends studying in Aleppo and they haven't seen any protests so far, but that could change today.
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# ? Mar 25, 2011 08:55 |
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Competition posted:I was refuting those who commented upon an individual incident in Syria and started to invent a civil/proxy war by mentioning how in drat near every measurable way Syria is one of the least divided Arab states and therefore one of the least likely to fall into a full fledged civil war What the people you responded to were also mentioning, is Syria's location. It's wedged between Turkey, Iraq, Israel, Joran, Israel and Lebanon, all of which might have an interest in how it develops. A full out war between those countries isn't likely though, I'll agree with that, but if it comes to civil war, there might be some foreign involvement. Competition posted:(which even the ongoing Libya crisis hasn't been described as) Competition posted:but that it is one of the least likely to fall into this Tom Clancy fantasy Competition posted:1: There is no evidence and 2: If anything there should have been more troops deployed in the historically more rebellious part of the nation that also happens to be on the border with a nation that has just undergone a massive revolution. Vir fucked around with this message at 10:12 on Mar 25, 2011 |
# ? Mar 25, 2011 10:10 |
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Live Blogs March 25th LibyaFeb17.com AJE BBC Guardian cioxx posted:Here's a curated list of Twitter personalities I'm working on. Some of them from Brown Moses suggestions throughout the thread.
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# ? Mar 25, 2011 10:26 |
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It's Friday, so that means the usual post Friday prayers protests across the Middle East and Arab world, so expect to see lots of innocent protesters being murdered in the streets by government forces. Here's a round up of the last 12 hours: Yemen quote:Guardian While things look quiet in Libya today so far, Yemen is bracing itself for big protests. Witnesses say Yemeni forces are trying to prevent anti-government protesters from reaching the capital, Sana'a, for a demonstration to demand that President Ali Abdullah Saleh step down after three decades. Protesters hope the "day of departure" rally - modelled on Egypt - will bring a million people out. Witnesses tell AP that troops are manning checkpoints trying to identify protesters to bar them from the capital. Security forces, however, are allowing pro-Saleh demonstrators to enter the capital in buses. quote:BBC Awadh from Mukalla, Yemen, writes: "The government has pulled all the security personnel from the street in Mukalla, so everybody is worried, not knowing what is being planned." quote:BBC There are reports from Yemen that security forces are trying to prevent tens of thousands of anti-government protesters from gathering in the capital Sanaa after Friday prayers. We'll bring you more on this story as it develops. NFZ and NATO quote:Guardian The US, Britain, France and Turkey agreed to put the three-pronged offensive – a no-fly zone, an arms embargo, and air strikes – under a Nato command umbrella, in a climbdown by France that accommodates strong Turkish complaints about the scope and control of the campaign. quote:BBC The United Arab Emirates said last night it was sending six F-16 and six Mirage aircraft to join the coalition. Foreign Minister Sheikh Abdullah bin Zayed al-Nahayan said the participation "will commence in the coming days". Ajdabiya quote:BBC UK Defence Secretary Liam Fox says British Tornado jets took part in armed reconnaissance missions over Libya last night. "The Tornado aircraft launched a number of guided Brimstone missiles at Libyan armoured vehicles which were threatening the civilian population of Ajdabiya," he said." quote:BBC The BBC's Kevin Connolly in Benghazi says the UK's use of Brimstone jets on Ajdabiya overnight - designed to destroy targets without causing collateral damage - was exactly the sort of attack the rebels have been demanding. "Ajdabiya is the first town they will have to take if they are ever to make the long march from Benghazi to Tripoli, and they have been making no impression on Col Gaddafi's better equipped and more professional forces," he says. quote:BBC BBC defence and security correspondent Nick Childs says the RAF Tornado strike on military vehicles near Ajdabiya last night was part of a significant operation involving several fighter jets and repeated attacks. "There have been a number of British strikes but they have tended to be long-range against significant major targets. This is the first of this type in which the Tornadoes have gone after forces on the ground." quote:BBC The BBC's Ben Brown near Ajdabiya says despite last night's strikes the city remains an active frontline, with shelling from pro-Gaddafi forces seen earlier today. The city is surrounded by regime troops, he says, with the population stuck in the middle said to be quickly running out of food, water and electricity. quote:Guardian More detail is emerging of overnight air strikes near Ajdabiya, where Gaddafi troops have proved surprisingly resilient. France's army chief of staff, Admiral Edouard Guillaud, said a plane destroyed an artillery battery. Guillaud also says French forces destroyed a military base, a munitions depot and maintenance facilities in Libya's interior. Tripoli quote:BBC At least three explosions hit Tripoli last night. The AFP news agency says one blast was heard in Tajoura, home to military bases. Regime troops also raked the skies of the capital with anti-aircraft fire, as they have been doing for the past few night. quote:BBC BBC foreign editor Jon Williams tweets: "BBC team in Tripoli report quietest night so far in #Libya capital as focus moves to Misurata&Ajdabiya." quote:BBC The BBC's World Affairs correspondent John Simpson in Tripoli says the capital saw a relatively quiet night, with coalition bombs landing on the outskirts. The feeling among officials, he says, is that things are not as bad as they might have been. quote:BBC Our correspondent says the details of who said what to whom in the coalition talks largely goes unnoticed by officials in Tripoli. "But what they do understand is that the organisation which is attacking them is divided in its approach, and that, inevitably, gives them a sense of hope. They have not been smaashed out of ground as they expected to be, and that gives them a feeling they might even survive this operation." quote:AJE Al Jazeera's Anita McNaught, in Tripoli, says the lives of the Libyans are getting "harder by the day" as many petrol stations and shops are shut and many people stay at home because they fear airstrikes.
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# ? Mar 25, 2011 10:37 |
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Sweden expects that a request for JAS Gripen planes may come on Tuesday. There are enough planes, but if the NFZ lasts for a long time, Sweden could share the burden.
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# ? Mar 25, 2011 10:37 |
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quote:AJE Al Jazeera's Anita McNaught, in Tripoli, says the lives of the Libyans are getting "harder by the day" as many petrol stations and shops are shut and many people stay at home because they fear airstrikes. Next tanker that gets interdicted needs to go to Misurata, just so they could go "Hey, look at all this petrol. There's more than we need. Hey, Tripoli, we'll give some to you if you abandon Qaddafi."
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# ? Mar 25, 2011 10:48 |
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I hope some pictures of that tanker they redirected appear, just to confirm it actually happened. I very much doubt it would have been allowed to reach Tripoli, but I'd just like to see it existed in the first place. I'm not seeing much happening in Misrata today, apart from reports of food and aid shortages. Maybe they finally did get rid of the snipers and have control of the port.
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# ? Mar 25, 2011 10:51 |
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Bahrainquote:Guardian Besides Yemen and Syria, activists plan to hold protests in Bahrain as well despite a ban on public gatherings. Reuters reports, however, that Wefaq, the mainstream Shia opposition group, has distanced itself from the demonstrations. quote:BBC Bahrainian rights activist Nabeel Rajab told BBC's World Today that protesters there will be confronted by troops from across the Gulf region, after they agreed to send military help. "This is the most dangerous thing because we are being faced by machine guns firing from helicopters, tanks, and this is the frightening thing because we don't have any more hospitals." quote:BBC Mr Rajab said all the hospitals in Bahrain had been taken over by the military, so protesters cannot take injured people there."Day-by-day we discover more people are dying among those missing people," he said. Yemen quote:Guardian As protesters gather in Yemen, the Wall Street Journal reports that President Saleh and General Ali Mohsen al-Ahmar, one of Yemen's most powerful military men but now on the side of the demonstrators, are hammering out a deal in which both men would resign within days. Sounds like it'll be a big day across the Arab world, seems things are coming to a head in Syria, Yemen and Bahrain, so expect big protests, or big protests being broken up with violence.
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# ? Mar 25, 2011 10:57 |
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Sounds like the situation in Ajdabiya is that the Gaddafi forces are pretty much cut off from reinforcements, and there communication will Tripoli has been cut, so they are pretty isolated, but still fighting. The rebels are relying on air strikes to finish off as many as possible, and they are still receiving reinforcements from Benghazi. In Misrata they are saying 30 snipers were killed, and around 70 remain, who they plan to take care of today. They are also saying the local food stores have been hit, and are currently on fire, so the food situation is getting desperate.
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# ? Mar 25, 2011 11:13 |
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the protests in syria are in the city of Daraa, it started at around last week actually, and much like other countries, the way the government reacted to it was pretty bad. http://english.aljazeera.net/news/middleeast/2011/03/201132112130110767.html
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# ? Mar 25, 2011 11:14 |
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Misrata quote:BBC Mohammed in Misrata told the BBC that while it was quiet in the city last night the situation there remains dire, with no electricity and a lack of doctors and medical supplies. quote:BBC "Misrata is besieged now for 35 days," he said. "They don't allow food to come in, they cut the water, they cut everything. And they are killing people every day by tanks and by snipers. So really, we don't see the benefit of the Nato strikes." quote:@LibyanDictator Yesterday: #Misrata: 30 snipers captured or killed, and estimated 70 still in Tripoli street. quote:@LibyanDictator Yesterday: #Misrata: 1 martyr and 12 injured Ajdabiya quote:BBC The BBC's Ben Brown near Ajdabiya says rebels have been pouring reinforcements into the area. "One commander said if there were more coalition air strikes they could take Ajdabiya today," he says, "but that may be wishful thinking". quote:BBC The BBC is in southern Italy, from where coalition jets are taking off for Libya missions. He says the UK has been keen to stress that the missiles it fired near Ajdabiya last night were low-collateral and high-precision. "These are still missiles that can cause civilian casualties, but the Ministry of Defence are making it clear are being very careful about what they are targetting." quote:@FromJoanne #Ajdabiya : Gaddafi Troops allegedly lost contact with #Tripoli &running out of Food+supplies quote:@BenBrown just outside #Ajdabiya: Ppl running out of food/water, rebels say they can take town today but need more airstrikes first
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# ? Mar 25, 2011 11:32 |
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Live on AJE: Saleh just basically gave a giant stiffy to the protesters. And there's a whole hell of a lot of them.
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# ? Mar 25, 2011 11:39 |
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Why do these dictators always do exactly the same thing? Huge protest gathering? Why not make an appearence on TV and piss them off even more!
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# ? Mar 25, 2011 11:41 |
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Next step is to send in attack camels, have your VP offend the protesters, and then leave office while blaming the Americans and Zionists.
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# ? Mar 25, 2011 11:50 |
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Then go into a coma.
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# ? Mar 25, 2011 11:51 |
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And now they're reporting on cricket. gently caress's sakes! E: since this has shown up about a hojillion times: http://www.cnbc.com//id/42264878?utm_source=twitterfeed&utm_medium=twitter And I hope this works -- NFSW libyan rap -- "Can't take our freedom". http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NReDBYRZ7nY "Go ahead and implement your plan, at the end of the day, you are just a man." Ogive fucked around with this message at 12:42 on Mar 25, 2011 |
# ? Mar 25, 2011 11:56 |
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Syriaquote:BBC The BBC's Lina Sinjab is in Syria. She had been trying to reach the southern city of Deraa to report on the unrest there but was stopped by security forces. All the journalists with her had their details taken by police and were sent back to Damascus, she says. We'll bring you what we can from Syria as the situation there develops. quote:BBC Reuters says thousands of people are taking part in a funeral procession in Deraa for people killed in the unrest - they are calling for political freedom. NFZ quote:@BBCBreaking NATO official: planning for #noflyzone operation over #Libya assumes mission lasting 90 days but could be extended "if necessary" quote:BBC UK Foreign Secretary William Hague tells the BBC control of the no-fly zone enforcement should pass to Nato within days. "Bear in mind we only passed the UN resolution a week ago and started military operations very urgently on Saturday in order to save Benghazi from what was about to happen to it. So we have then had to put some of the arrangements of the command of this in place over this week, but that is being put together perfectly well." Brown Moses fucked around with this message at 12:25 on Mar 25, 2011 |
# ? Mar 25, 2011 12:10 |
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NicRobertsonCNN has been posting about a trip he took today:quote:Govt officls taking journalists to Tajura in east Tripoli to farm they say hit by coaltion strike, they claim civilian casualties.
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# ? Mar 25, 2011 14:51 |
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Another report on the same trip from the Guardian:quote:The Guardian's Ian Black has been on the line from Tripoli, filling me in a trip organised by the Libyan authorities to emphasise - not very convincingly - the extent of civilian casualties from the air strikes. This is what he told me.
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# ? Mar 25, 2011 15:01 |
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Even with good intelligence, sophisticated targeting and guidance systems and thorough planning civilians will be injured and die from these air strikes. Mistakes are made, ordnance doesn't perform as expected and people simply can be in the wrong place at the wrong time. Of course the government wants reporters to write about them but unfortunately they are as much of a part of war as anything else.
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# ? Mar 25, 2011 15:28 |
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There's a bit in this article about the mysteries of Libyan funerals:quote:MORE than 30 coffins were carried to the Martyrs Cemetery on Thursday, escorted by hundreds of flag-waving supporters of Muammar Gaddafi chanting condemnation of what the state media said were civilian casualties of allied air strikes.
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# ? Mar 25, 2011 15:35 |
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# ? May 21, 2024 12:16 |
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If you're fluent in French, here's the official website for Operation Harmattan (the french part of Odyssey Dawn). The Libyan Galeb was actually destroyed with an ASM right after it landed.
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# ? Mar 25, 2011 15:51 |