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Lucy Heartfilia
May 31, 2012


Wait what? People in Japan are opposed to geothermal power because of THEIR ONSEN? How?

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Grand Fromage
Jan 30, 2006

L-l-look at you bar-bartender, a-a pa-pathetic creature of meat and bone, un-underestimating my l-l-liver's ability to metab-meTABolize t-toxins. How can you p-poison a perfect, immortal alcohOLIC?


There are a lot of people who believe that exploiting geothermal power will somehow magically cause the onsen to stop working. Enough of these people exist that Japan has close to zero geothermal power generation, despite being one of the best places in the world to do it. Wikipedia claims Japan currently produces 0.1% of its power through geothermal.

hadji murad
Apr 18, 2006

Grand Fromage posted:

There are a lot of people who believe that exploiting geothermal power will somehow magically cause the onsen to stop working. Enough of these people exist that Japan has close to zero geothermal power generation, despite being one of the best places in the world to do it. Wikipedia claims Japan currently produces 0.1% of its power through geothermal.

This makes total sense (to hear about in regards to Japan)

Zo
Feb 22, 2005

LIKE A FOX

hadji murad posted:

This makes total sense (to hear about in regards to Japan)

And likely totally inaccurate.

I would like to see sources of officials who actually believe that their onsens will "magically stop working". It's far more likely a combination of your standard NIMBY stance (e.g., not wanting heavy industries around tourism sites) and relying on the fact that nuclear was the standard "next gen" technology, could be placed in the middle of buttfuck nowhere, and supplied a huge chunk of Japan's energy consumption.

Of course the latter may not be the case depending on how the restarts work out but there won't be pressure on geothermal unless nuclear is totally off the tables.

Mr. Fix It
Oct 26, 2000

💀ayyy💀


Spazzle posted:

What about high speed pizza delivery?

You're an alright guy in my book.:thumbsup:

ozza
Oct 23, 2008

Geothermal power plants in onsens that were once tourist meccas seems like a great idea to me. Beside the power generation, it would give local economies at least a minor shot in the arm. God knows there are enough shuttered up Bubble-era getaways in the boondocks to choose from. I can't imagine there are enough residents left in a lot of them to object.

65% of Iceland's power generation is geothermal - what's stopping Japan?

ArchangeI
Jul 15, 2010

ozza posted:

Geothermal power plants in onsens that were once tourist meccas seems like a great idea to me. Beside the power generation, it would give local economies at least a minor shot in the arm. God knows there are enough shuttered up Bubble-era getaways in the boondocks to choose from. I can't imagine there are enough residents left in a lot of them to object.

65% of Iceland's power generation is geothermal - what's stopping Japan?

Well, Iceland is on the other end of the world and the price of undersea powercables is enormous.

Sheep
Jul 24, 2003

ozza posted:

65% of Iceland's power generation is geothermal - what's stopping Japan?

Ignorance and not a lot else, really. If people actually researched things instead of just kneejerking about them (Ospreys and the safety non-issue come to mind) then it wouldn't even be an issue.

LyonsLions
Oct 10, 2008

I'm only using 18% of my full power !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Zo posted:

And likely totally inaccurate.

Yes, I've never heard that idea anywhere but in this thread, nor have I ever found any articles to support it. Privately I've heard nothing but support for geothermal power, other than concerns about the cost to set it up.

Big Hubris
Mar 8, 2011


mystes posted:

Cartoons are cheap to produce, except in the US.

I actually don't understand how US TV shows are so expensive.

Hollywood's been a giant money laundering ring since it's inception and it drives entertainment prices sky high across the country.

dilbertschalter
Jan 12, 2010

ozza posted:

Geothermal power plants in onsens that were once tourist meccas seems like a great idea to me. Beside the power generation, it would give local economies at least a minor shot in the arm. God knows there are enough shuttered up Bubble-era getaways in the boondocks to choose from. I can't imagine there are enough residents left in a lot of them to object.

65% of Iceland's power generation is geothermal - what's stopping Japan?

Providing power for 300k people isn't the same as providing power for 125 million.

ozza
Oct 23, 2008

dilbertschalter posted:

Providing power for 300k people isn't the same as providing power for 125 million.

True enough, that wasn't a great comparison. There's no denying that it's a hugely underutilised energy source in Japan at present, though - just 0.2% of electricity produced is geothermal, and capability has been basically unchanged since 1999.

After a bit of reading today it looks like, in addition to gaining consent from onsen managers, another hurdle for geothermal power is the huge cost involved in locating and drilling sites for power plants. The fact that the majority of the locations are in difficult-to-access, mountainous regions pushes this cost up even further. The good news is that post-3/11 the government has upped subsidies for exploration and construction costs. But yeah - certainly the few academic articles that I was able to find all suggested that the biggest issue for geothermal power in Japan was understanding / acceptance by local stakeholders.

Kenishi
Nov 18, 2010
Most of Abenomics has been working as planned except for the most important part. Abe got the prices to go up and has money going into companies but something isn't moving.

Japan firms resist Abe's calls to raise wages: Reuters poll

quote:

Just under half of 266 companies answering a question on what they will do if the tax is raised as planned, said they will not respond with any increase to overall pay - including bonuses.

Only 13 percent plan to offset the tax hike with any pay increases, while 37 percent do not yet know what they will do, according to the survey which was conducted between August 30 and September 13.

Woops.

Then this was followed a day later by this.

Govt, labor, firms hold 3-way talks

quote:

Representatives from the government, the business world and labor have held their first meeting to discuss how to improve wages and employment.

Samurai Sanders
Nov 4, 2003

Pillbug
Sounds exactly the same as the US to me. Trickle-down economics is a fantastical notion no matter where it is or what you call it.

Horseshoe theory
Mar 7, 2005


Where's the 'whoops'? I'm pretty certain that's the game plan by Abe ("gently caress the poor with higher sales taxes while lovingly fellating the corporate overlords")...

Deceitful Penguin
Feb 16, 2011

ArchangeI posted:

Well, Iceland is on the other end of the world and the price of undersea powercables is enormous.
Anecdotal, but I know more dudes working on geothermal energy in China than in Japan.

That said, there were a few Japanese students in our geothermal science whatever, so eh, maybe. Still doesn't change the fact that it's NIMBY-ism that's stopping poo poo from happening rather than them lacking the know-how. Always been a bit surprised though that they haven't tried out tidal more, seeing as it would probs work fairly well there.

Stringent
Dec 22, 2004


image text goes here

Deceitful Penguin posted:

Anecdotal, but I know more dudes working on geothermal energy in China than in Japan.

That said, there were a few Japanese students in our geothermal science whatever, so eh, maybe. Still doesn't change the fact that it's NIMBY-ism that's stopping poo poo from happening rather than them lacking the know-how. Always been a bit surprised though that they haven't tried out tidal more, seeing as it would probs work fairly well there.

I've always had a knee jerk fear that the likes of Tepco doing geothermal could end up polluting or somehow loving up the onsens in some way.

Is this not a reasonable concern, rather that just some NIMBY bullshit?

Grand Fromage
Jan 30, 2006

L-l-look at you bar-bartender, a-a pa-pathetic creature of meat and bone, un-underestimating my l-l-liver's ability to metab-meTABolize t-toxins. How can you p-poison a perfect, immortal alcohOLIC?


I could believe TEPCO being incompetent enough to do anything at this point, but from my understanding of how geothermal works there's no way to hurt anything with it. The worst that can happen is you gently caress up building the plant and it doesn't work.

The Earth has plenty of internal heat, the onsens won't be affected by drawing off a tiny bit for electricity. You could drill into the onsen itself and vent it or something but that would have to be intentional.

Zo
Feb 22, 2005

LIKE A FOX

Grand Fromage posted:

I could believe TEPCO being incompetent enough to do anything at this point, but from my understanding of how geothermal works there's no way to hurt anything with it. The worst that can happen is you gently caress up building the plant and it doesn't work.

The Earth has plenty of internal heat, the onsens won't be affected by drawing off a tiny bit for electricity. You could drill into the onsen itself and vent it or something but that would have to be intentional.

You can definitely and gently caress it up by overproducing, which will cool off the local area (i.e. the effective area of the plant). It will eventually regenerate - this is the "renewable" part - but your plant might be unprofitable for a while. This is mostly just economic impact on the plant itself.

Environmental-wise my understanding was that some plant types evaporate away a shitload of water which must be replenished with external sources. This would obviously affect the mineral composition of their precious onsen water, but I believe there are also plant types which do not emit any vapour. Not sure what the tradeoffs are though.

VideoTapir
Oct 18, 2005

He'll tire eventually.

Zo posted:

You can definitely and gently caress it up by overproducing, which will cool off the local area (i.e. the effective area of the plant). It will eventually regenerate - this is the "renewable" part - but your plant might be unprofitable for a while. This is mostly just economic impact on the plant itself.

Environmental-wise my understanding was that some plant types evaporate away a shitload of water which must be replenished with external sources. This would obviously affect the mineral composition of their precious onsen water, but I believe there are also plant types which do not emit any vapour. Not sure what the tradeoffs are though.

Don't forget thermal pollution of waterways, if there is any warm-water outflow from the plant.

pentyne
Nov 7, 2012
Same day the US government shuts down?

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-10-01/abe-proceeds-with-japan-s-first-sales-tax-increase-since-1997.html

quote:

Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe proceeded with an April sales-tax increase and will implement a stimulus program as he tries to rein in the world’s biggest debt burden without jeopardizing efforts to end deflation.

The levy will rise to 8 percent from 5 percent now, Abe, 59, said in Tokyo today, the first increase since 1997. Abe will unveil the size of a package of stimulus measures later today, the ruling party chief told reporters. Economists have projected a 5 trillion yen ($51 billion) plan that will include public works spending and tax breaks encouraging companies to boost capital spending and wages.

Tailwinds for the world’s third-largest economy heading toward the April increase in duties reduce the danger of Abe following in the footsteps of Prime Minister Ryutaro Hashimoto, who in 1997 oversaw a 2 percentage point boost in the levy. The move cost him his job as Japan sank into a recession with consumption swooning against a backdrop of weakening demand abroad due to the Asian financial crisis.

The Washington-based IMF has urged Japan to go beyond the scheduled increases in the consumption levy, lifting it to “at least 15 percent” to bring down its public debt over the medium term.

Things are happening in Japan, but from that last comment I can't actually tell if the IMF wants Japan to succeed or collapse entirely and let them come in to fix the mess.

dilbertschalter
Jan 12, 2010

pentyne posted:

Same day the US government shuts down?

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-10-01/abe-proceeds-with-japan-s-first-sales-tax-increase-since-1997.html


Things are happening in Japan, but from that last comment I can't actually tell if the IMF wants Japan to succeed or collapse entirely and let them come in to fix the mess.

Japan has the highest ratio of public debt to GDP in the world.

VideoTapir
Oct 18, 2005

He'll tire eventually.

pentyne posted:

Same day the US government shuts down?

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-10-01/abe-proceeds-with-japan-s-first-sales-tax-increase-since-1997.html


Things are happening in Japan, but from that last comment I can't actually tell if the IMF wants Japan to succeed or collapse entirely and let them come in to fix the mess.

Why sales tax and not income tax or something else progressive?

Is Japan in a wave of "gently caress the poor" right now, too?

Mr. Fix It
Oct 26, 2000

💀ayyy💀


VideoTapir posted:

Why sales tax and not income tax or something else progressive?

Is Japan in a wave of "gently caress the poor" right now, too?

Because the workforce is getting ready to shrink like crazy as the median age creeps up towards 50 (44.6 as of 2010). They need to be able to collect tax from retirees if they're going to make a dent, and a consumption tax is probably the only politically feasible way to do that. And it's only barely feasible since all those olds vote.

Mr. Fix It fucked around with this message at 10:48 on Oct 1, 2013

ReidRansom
Oct 25, 2004


Mr. Fix It posted:

Because the workforce is getting ready to shrink like crazy as the median age creeps up towards 50 (44.6 as of 1010). They need to be able to collect tax from retirees if they're going to make a dent, and a consumption tax is probably the only politically feasible way to do that. And it's only barely feasible since all those olds vote.

Japan has always had a relatively high propensity to consume though. And also to save. They could easily recapture that from their olds on passing through an estate tax without endangering people reducing their spending.

LimburgLimbo
Feb 10, 2008

ReidRansom posted:

Japan has always had a relatively high propensity to consume though. And also to save. They could easily recapture that from their olds on passing through an estate tax without endangering people reducing their spending.

But it would be political suicide because the elderly are by far the most politically influential. As-is pushing through the consumption tax increase destroyed the last administration.

Ardennes
May 12, 2002
Yeah, of course elderly folk usually don't spent as much per capita on items that are likely to be taxed in the first place, if anything it is going to depress consumer spending for younger folk who are already hard pressed.

Basically, it is dancing around the real issues of Japan economy which are demographic (and largely tied to sexism).

Ardennes fucked around with this message at 11:52 on Oct 1, 2013

dilbertschalter
Jan 12, 2010

VideoTapir posted:

Why sales tax and not income tax or something else progressive?

Is Japan in a wave of "gently caress the poor" right now, too?

Japan has a very low consumption tax compared to most developed countries and a fairly high income tax.

Reverend Cheddar
Nov 6, 2005

wriggle cat is happy
Yeah, Japan's taxes are relatively high on everything but consumption, it feels like. Taxes relating to death and inheritance are also quite high, I'm told, which sort of compounds this demographic problem too, cause not enough people are dying :v:

Deceitful Penguin
Feb 16, 2011

Stringent posted:

I've always had a knee jerk fear that the likes of Tepco doing geothermal could end up polluting or somehow loving up the onsens in some way.

Is this not a reasonable concern, rather that just some NIMBY bullshit?

Some problems have been mentioned but off the top of my head, the main problems are:

1. Limits of renewabilty: You can only make the plants so big before the uptake of water becomes unsustainable, i.e. you're taking more water out than is put back in. You can put water back in manually but it's a complex logistical feat if you don't already have a very effective and reliable water distribution system. (Iceland is also at the forefront in these matters, but then again we have certain advantaged thanks to having designed our water distribution system with the idea of recycling warm water used for heating and energy generation again. Not sure about how that might work in Japan)
So you might have competition with the onsens, but it is not very likely if you're careful. Of course, we're talking about Tepco here so they might well tap the wells far too much...

2. Local area pollution: While we've made a lot of inroads since we first began using geothermal energy, you still can't escape the fact that geothermal energy creates steam and when steam is created much of the minerals that remain need to be gotten rid of. Our novel approach of selling it to tourist and pumping it into the Blue Lagoon is only partially successful in getting rid of all it and the rest end up in run-off, which has somewhat elevated levels of whatever minerals are in the water. Decent filtration means you maybe get a bit higher levels of them than you'd get anyway but Iceland and Japan have a pretty different ecosystem so those higher levels might wreak more havoc there than here.
This means that if the plants are located close to the onsens, which if they're near the center of the hotspot would be most efficient, you might have some local pollution effects. Again, a little forethought might forestall it, as would placing them a bit off but geothermal is already pretty marginally profitable if used solely for energy generation, or at least was when I learned about it.

Zo posted:

You can definitely and gently caress it up by overproducing, which will cool off the local area (i.e. the effective area of the plant). It will eventually regenerate - this is the "renewable" part - but your plant might be unprofitable for a while. This is mostly just economic impact on the plant itself.

Environmental-wise my understanding was that some plant types evaporate away a shitload of water which must be replenished with external sources. This would obviously affect the mineral composition of their precious onsen water, but I believe there are also plant types which do not emit any vapour. Not sure what the tradeoffs are though.
Steam was used early on to get rid off the minerals, but heavy use of it means that you have pretty uncontrolled contamination of often quite far off areas, depending on weather. On the other hand, less steam means more runoff or solid minerals that you need to get rid off. It's not hugely problematic but it does mean maintenance costs are higher.

VideoTapir posted:

Don't forget thermal pollution of waterways, if there is any warm-water outflow from the plant.
Yeah, Japan most likely can't use the Icelandic method to get rid of the water so runoff would have to be significantly increased or concentrated. This could effect local wildlife but I'm not an ecologist so I can't say what it might do there.

LP97S
Apr 25, 2008
Your distrust of TEPCO is not unfounded, I wouldn't touch the lot of bastards to handcrank a generator with the way they've hosed up cleanup.

Wibbleman
Apr 19, 2006

Fluffy doesn't want to be sacrificed

LP97S posted:

Your distrust of TEPCO is not unfounded, I wouldn't touch the lot of bastards to handcrank a generator with the way they've hosed up cleanup.

TEPCO's behavior is entirely predictable though. The are acting in a manner that costs them the least in yen terms. If the government had said "ok once you have finished clean-up you can start-up the rest of your reactors and start on the replacement work", I would imagine it would have already been completed. But as it stands they have very little cash flow because they are largely not generating enough power and need to purchase it off the other utilities to meet their contractual obligations.

They either needed to have been nationalised or turned into a non-profit generator. But as it stands they will continue to drag their feet as long as that keeps them making returns to their shareholders. Note this is a good example as to why Nuclear power should never have been privitized, as what is needed for the long term stability of the plants, and for security of power, are generally things that cost money, and as such will have had corners cut. And it is likely that corner cutting is the exact cause for the whole mess in the first place. Engineers would have been advocating putting the generators in a room on stilts well above any expected tsunami height, and not in the basement. But the basement would have cost the least amount of money so that is where they went.

Wibbleman fucked around with this message at 21:04 on Oct 1, 2013

mystes
May 31, 2006

A really great court decision Monday:

quote:

The Kyoto District Court ordered anti-Korean activists Monday to pay damages for disrupting classes at a Korean school by staging demonstrations during which they used hate speech, and banned them from staging further rallies.
http://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2013/10/07/national/court-bans-rightists-hate-speech-rallies/

Samurai Sanders
Nov 4, 2003

Pillbug
Wow, I really shouldn't have looked at the 2ch thread about this decision. I always think I can just look at the poop without it getting on me but it I felt dirty by the third post.

You know what bugs me the most? When netuyos argue that netuyos must all be secret Korean agents because no true Japanese would do that much to damage Japan's reputation. My god, the brain loops necessary to believe that.

Silver2195
Apr 4, 2012

Samurai Sanders posted:

Wow, I really shouldn't have looked at the 2ch thread about this decision. I always think I can just look at the poop without it getting on me but it I felt dirty by the third post.

You know what bugs me the most? When netuyos argue that netuyos must all be secret Korean agents because no true Japanese would do that much to damage Japan's reputation. My god, the brain loops necessary to believe that.

The psychological mechanisms involved must indeed be fascinating. You see the same thing on Freep.

Genpei Turtle
Jul 20, 2007

Samurai Sanders posted:

Wow, I really shouldn't have looked at the 2ch thread about this decision. I always think I can just look at the poop without it getting on me but it I felt dirty by the third post.

You know what bugs me the most? When netuyos argue that netuyos must all be secret Korean agents because no true Japanese would do that much to damage Japan's reputation. My god, the brain loops necessary to believe that.

Whoa, there are a significant number of people making GBS threads on netouyos in that thread. Not a lot, but way more than I'd expect out of a cesspit like 2ch.

Lucy Heartfilia
May 31, 2012


Are there any big Japanese online communities which are more leftist?

Samurai Sanders
Nov 4, 2003

Pillbug

Lucy Heartfilia posted:

Are there any big Japanese online communities which are more leftist?
I've been searching for one for quite some time, I can't find one. If I did find one, I'd post there a lot, just to practice my Japanese. The culture for the kinds of messageboards that we take for granted here all flow from 2ch over there, and I guess their community and values flows with it.

But anyway yeah, there is an opposition to netuyos on 2ch as well, same as any big and powerful thing breeds an opposition.

Kenishi
Nov 18, 2010
Well, it definitely looks like the TPP is going to turn out exactly like I expected. I don't follow Japanese language papers so I don't know if they have been reporting on this or not. English Yomiuri is though.

Japan may opt to give up 'sanctuary' on TPP items

This doesn't surprise me since Japan started off with a bad hand from the get go, opting to join in the talks towards the end. Plus if you factor in the fact that Abe never really gave any concrete promises, but did make it sounds like rice and other goods would be safe. Makes me wonder how much he'll be crucified by the lobbyists over this. (I feel confident that Japan will lift tarrifs on rice completely, going against what JA probably expects.)

On the English side, that results and stuff happening at the TPP talks hasn't been mentioned much, I wonder if its the same in Japanese news.

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dilbertschalter
Jan 12, 2010

Kenishi posted:

Well, it definitely looks like the TPP is going to turn out exactly like I expected. I don't follow Japanese language papers so I don't know if they have been reporting on this or not. English Yomiuri is though.

Japan may opt to give up 'sanctuary' on TPP items

This doesn't surprise me since Japan started off with a bad hand from the get go, opting to join in the talks towards the end. Plus if you factor in the fact that Abe never really gave any concrete promises, but did make it sounds like rice and other goods would be safe. Makes me wonder how much he'll be crucified by the lobbyists over this. (I feel confident that Japan will lift tarrifs on rice completely, going against what JA probably expects.)

On the English side, that results and stuff happening at the TPP talks hasn't been mentioned much, I wonder if its the same in Japanese news.

I'd be very pleased if that happened. Most of Abe's "reforms" so far have been of the easy variety, it would be impressive if he took on a major vested interest that has a terrible effect on the Japanese economy.

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