Register a SA Forums Account here!
JOINING THE SA FORUMS WILL REMOVE THIS BIG AD, THE ANNOYING UNDERLINED ADS, AND STUPID INTERSTITIAL ADS!!!

You can: log in, read the tech support FAQ, or request your lost password. This dumb message (and those ads) will appear on every screen until you register! Get rid of this crap by registering your own SA Forums Account and joining roughly 150,000 Goons, for the one-time price of $9.95! We charge money because it costs us money per month for bills, and since we don't believe in showing ads to our users, we try to make the money back through forum registrations.
 
  • Post
  • Reply
Job Truniht
Nov 7, 2012

MY POSTS ARE REAL RETARDED, SIR

Wouldn't even a basic difference of means test say that those two normal curves are statistically insignificant?

Adbot
ADBOT LOVES YOU

AShamefulDisplay
Jun 30, 2013

Ramadu posted:

Willful misinterpretation of the Higgs-Boson, the "God Particle" maybe?

Nah, my guess is Fine Tuning of the Universe or some poo poo like that.

AShamefulDisplay
Jun 30, 2013

Job Truniht posted:

Wouldn't even a basic difference of means test say that those two normal curves are statistically insignificant?

Came across this. This is my (admittedly amateur) analysis.

I would like to note a truly interesting bit 'of his analysis: when he compares Tea Party scientific literacy vs non-tea party, he is adding Conservapub>0 (ie, conservatives) to non-tea party*. So what this could mean (and I wonder why he didnt consider this in his write-up) is that the tea party members score higher on scientific literacy than non-tea party conservatives, which drags the aggregate non-tea party group down enough to make it seem that tea party identification is positively correlated with scientific literacy. This seems to fit with other studies I have seen w/r/t tea party members being a bit more well-educated than others who identify with the conservative cohort.

Criticism of analysis aside, even if tea party identification correlates positively with scientific literacy, this does not mean that the people that they vote for are more likely to be scientifically literate than their more liberal counterparts (and to be fair, vice versa).

*N= Sample size.
Conservapub<0 (aka liberal)= 1168
Conservapub>0 (aka conservative)= 1148
Tea party=430

Conservative-Tea Party=718
Non-tea party conservative+liberal=1886. 1886 is his N for non tea party members. Not much of a stretch to say that he merely adds non tea party conservative sample to his liberal sample.

Strudel Man
May 19, 2003
ROME DID NOT HAVE ROBOTS, FUCKWIT

Job Truniht posted:

Wouldn't even a basic difference of means test say that those two normal curves are statistically insignificant?

AShamefulDisplay posted:

Came across this. This is my (admittedly amateur) analysis.

I would like to note a truly interesting bit 'of his analysis: when he compares Tea Party scientific literacy vs non-tea party, he is adding Conservapub>0 (ie, conservatives) to non-tea party*. So what this could mean (and I wonder why he didnt consider this in his write-up) is that the tea party members score higher on scientific literacy than non-tea party conservatives, which drags the aggregate non-tea party group down enough to make it seem that tea party identification is positively correlated with scientific literacy. This seems to fit with other studies I have seen w/r/t tea party members being a bit more well-educated than others who identify with the conservative cohort.

Criticism of analysis aside, even if tea party identification correlates positively with scientific literacy, this does not mean that the people that they vote for are more likely to be scientifically literate than their more liberal counterparts (and to be fair, vice versa).

*N= Sample size.
Conservapub<0 (aka liberal)= 1168
Conservapub>0 (aka conservative)= 1148
Tea party=430

Conservative-Tea Party=718
Non-tea party conservative+liberal=1886. 1886 is his N for non tea party members. Not much of a stretch to say that he merely adds non tea party conservative sample to his liberal sample.

From Sir Rolo's second link:

quote:

But because they are like everyone else, these high "science comprehending" tea-party members will be more likely to display politically biased misinterpretations of empirical data than people who display a lower "science comprehension" apptitude. The greater their capacity to engage in analytical thinking, the more systematically they will use that capacity to ferret out evidence congenial to their predispositions and block out and rationalize away everything else.

This guy really is on the ball, I gotta say.

VitalSigns
Sep 3, 2011

If the Tea Party wants to convince me that a scientific study said they're good at science, they shouldn't have a picture of a blackboard with irrelevant electromagnetics and quantum mechanics formulas.

Wouldn't a sociology professor fill his blackboard with, like, statistics?

muscles like this!
Jan 17, 2005


That's because that is an image of Michael Stuhlbarg from the movie A Serious Man.

AShamefulDisplay
Jun 30, 2013

VitalSigns posted:

If the Tea Party wants to convince me that a scientific study said they're good at science, they shouldn't have a picture of a blackboard with irrelevant electromagnetics and quantum mechanics formulas.

Wouldn't a sociology professor fill his blackboard with, like, statistics?

It wasnt even really a scientific study. It looks more to me like the dude was bored, grabbed some data from someone else, and cobbled up a histogram. Nothing wrong with that, but this seems to me to be about playing with numbers than an actual scientific paper.

AShamefulDisplay
Jun 30, 2013

Strudel Man posted:

From Sir Rolo's second link:


This guy really is on the ball, I gotta say.

Most certainly true. Again, this feels more like just bored idle number crunching than an actual study.

Vivian Darkbloom
Jul 14, 2004


Job Truniht posted:

Wouldn't even a basic difference of means test say that those two normal curves are statistically insignificant?

Not according to the first link from Kahan, which says that there was a small, statistically significant positive correlation between tea partying and science IQ. Kahan points out afterward that "Again, the relationship is trivially small, and can't possibly be contributing in any way to the ferocious conflicts over decision-relevant science that we are experiencing."


AShamefulDisplay posted:

It wasnt even really a scientific study. It looks more to me like the dude was bored, grabbed some data from someone else, and cobbled up a histogram. Nothing wrong with that, but this seems to me to be about playing with numbers than an actual scientific paper.

C'mon, the links are right there. This is a post-hoc analysis by a respected scholar, it's not illegitimate because you say so.

AShamefulDisplay
Jun 30, 2013

Vivian Darkbloom posted:


C'mon, the links are right there. This is a post-hoc analysis by a respected scholar, it's not illegitimate because you say so.

I dont think it is illegitimate, I just dont think it is as rigorous as some have been trying to pass it off as. His analysis is incomplete.

Just for the record, I dont think that scientific illiteracy has anything to do with political affiliation. For every creationist, global warming denying tea partier, there is gonna be at least 1 anti nuclear, anti gmo, crystal healing, homeopathic loving liberal out there.

EDIT: for the record, this is what he said:

quote:

Next time I collect data, too, I won't be surprised at all if the correlations between science comprehension and political ideology or identification with the Tea Party movement disappear or flip their signs. These effects are trivially small, & if I sample 2000+ people it's pretty likely any discrepancy I see will be "statistically significant"--which has precious little to do with "practically significant."
He isnt making a claim about statistical significance in his original numbers, he is saying that future study might yield statistical significance.

AShamefulDisplay fucked around with this message at 07:11 on Oct 27, 2013

Strudel Man
May 19, 2003
ROME DID NOT HAVE ROBOTS, FUCKWIT

AShamefulDisplay posted:

I dont think it is illegitimate, I just dont think it is as rigorous as some have been trying to pass it off as. His analysis is incomplete.

Just for the record, I dont think that scientific illiteracy has anything to do with political affiliation. For every creationist, global warming denying tea partier, there is gonna be at least 1 anti nuclear, anti gmo, crystal healing, homeopathic loving liberal out there.

EDIT: for the record, this is what he said:

He isnt making a claim about statistical significance in his original numbers, he is saying that future study might yield statistical significance.
It's in the picture, man. p = 0.05 is just barely on this side of statistically significant - a fact which he specifically calls out in the second post. There were 2316 respondents, hence the reference to sampling 2000+ people.

Strudel Man fucked around with this message at 07:16 on Oct 27, 2013

Vivian Darkbloom
Jul 14, 2004


AShamefulDisplay posted:

I dont think it is illegitimate, I just dont think it is as rigorous as some have been trying to pass it off as. His analysis is incomplete.

Just for the record, I dont think that scientific illiteracy has anything to do with political affiliation. For every creationist, global warming denying tea partier, there is gonna be at least 1 anti nuclear, anti gmo, crystal healing, homeopathic loving liberal out there.

As a grad student trained in the methodology that Kahan's describes in his blog post, I don't see any reason to question the conclusions. I mean, this particular post-hoc analysis is not peer-reviewed but he got the data from his own peer-reviewed publication.

edit: Also what Strudel Man says. While this "proof" of tea party smarts was misreported in a wide range of conservative media, Kahan makes it very clear that it doesn't say what the macro makers think it does.

AShamefulDisplay
Jun 30, 2013

Strudel Man posted:

It's in the picture, man. p = 0.05 is just barely on this side of statistically significant - a fact which he specifically calls out in the second post. There were 2316 respondents, hence the reference to 2000+.

Hmm, yeah fair enough. I guess my only real problem is that he added conservatives to non conservatives and compared those two numbers to tea partiers. Tea partiers are more or less by definition conservatives, so a better analysis would be to compare tea partiers to liberals or whatever.

EDIT: yeah I think I get where this data is coming from and why Im having trouble accepting it. The question isnt Lib vs Tea Party, its Everyone vs Tea Party. And again, I dont personally think that political ideology means much with reference to scientific literacy.

AShamefulDisplay
Jun 30, 2013

Vivian Darkbloom posted:


edit: Also what Strudel Man says. While this "proof" of tea party smarts was misreported in a wide range of conservative media, Kahan makes it very clear that it doesn't say what the macro makers think it does.

Yeah, I agree with this. See my original post on the subject.

Thomas13206
Jun 18, 2013

henkman posted:

Sorbo is a pretty big conservative

http://video.foxnews.com/v/2201861256001/

my favorite part is when he tells Steve Doocy and Brian Kilmeade that he's better read than most folks in Hollywood but "not you guys!"

The Insect Court
Nov 22, 2012

by FactsAreUseless

Mornacale posted:

The joke is based around the desirability of a woman who is easy to persuade into oral sex. But sex should be a free exchange of affection between two people, not something that a man is trying to get "easily". It contributes to the culture of men being the aggressors seeking sex and women as the gatekeepers withholding it.

e: It's also worth noting that the campaign is misogynistic just insofar as it's clearly aimed 100% at straight men, rape culture aside.

I'm sickened by the fact that you didn't consider that lesbians(cis and trans) can receive oral sex, you heteronormative gender-fascist.

stan worship posted:

I guess those folks are really banking on being the only source of information for their readers, because every time I've ever googled "southern strategy" I've come across the remarks Lee Atwater made about who it targeted:

Ken Mehlman, the RNC chair back during the Bush years, actually went before the NAACP and gave an apology for the way Republican politicians had exploited racial polarization. Although it'll likely be dismissed as homo-socialist RINO lies by a Tea Partier.

My favorite quotation, though, is from Nixon strategist Kevin Phillips

quote:

From now on, the Republicans are never going to get more than 10 to 20 percent of the Negro vote and they don’t need any more than that… but Republicans would be shortsighted if they weakened enforcement of the Voting Rights Act. The more Negroes who register as Democrats in the South, the sooner the Negrophobe whites will quit the Democrats and become Republicans. That’s where the votes are. Without that prodding from the blacks, the whites will backslide into their old comfortable arrangement with the local Democrats.

The Insect Court fucked around with this message at 09:57 on Oct 27, 2013

Mornacale
Dec 19, 2007

n=y where
y=hope and n=folly,
prospects=lies, win=lose,

self=Pirates

The Insect Court posted:

I'm sickened by the fact that you didn't consider that lesbians(cis and trans) can receive oral sex, you heteronormative gender-fascist.

I did, actually, but thankfully--in addition to the ad existing in context of the wildly misogynist world of beer advertising--the owner of the brewery has made it fairly clear that he didn't and won't consider the experiences of anyone outside himself. And, of course, even if the ad were targeted toward lesbians, it would be no less problematic.

But please, keep on fighting the good fight against women who don't want to be objectified and raped. I'm sure every LGBTQ person is really happy to be used as a prop for your low-effort antifeminist trolling!

toanoradian
May 31, 2011


The happiest waffligator

What's the asterisk for? Also if I'm a Muslim and I read this, my status of ObamaCare exemption is a paradox!

Glimm
Jul 27, 2005

Time is only gonna pass you by

edit: Oops I can't read

Breadallelogram
Oct 9, 2012


toanoradian posted:

What's the asterisk for? Also if I'm a Muslim and I read this, my status of ObamaCare exemption is a paradox!

Muslims can't read English. Duh.

Mr Ice Cream Glove
Apr 22, 2007

9 Reasons not to marry someone who is pro-choice

quote:

You submit to the authority of Scripture, and they do not.

You believe all that the Bible says about human life: that it is superior to animal life, endowed with a soul, and imprinted with God’s image. They do not.

They do not value children the same way that you do. You cannot bring a child into this world with someone who does not value the child as God does and as you do.

If your future unborn child is suspected to have some sort of complication or “birth defect,” the conclusions you and your spouse will arrive at could very easily be life versus death.

If a future pregnancy comes at a tough time (job loss, inconvenience, hard season of life), you may find yourself under pressure to murder the child—a massive, stressful, possibly irreconcilable conflict.

If they do not think biblically about having children, it’s probably safe to assume that they won’t think biblically about raising children either.

Division is literally two visions, and you have division about issues that are exceedingly deep and important. This will cause a rift in your marital relationship that is supposed to be “one flesh.”

They disagree with God, and you cannot spend your life supporting someone who disagrees with God on a matter as vital as human life.

They are wrong.

This is from the infamous Mark Driscoll who you can read more about in this old thread

http://forums.somethingawful.com/showthread.php?threadid=3462751

myron cope
Apr 21, 2009

How old is that image? "Speaker" Nancy Pelosi.

Also odd that only two members of Congress are exempt but then ALL the staffers are too? Unless that asterisk clears it up. And those darn Muslims get everything :argh:

nyquil hangover
Jun 27, 2013

sick but sociable
I'd never date/marry anyone who ISN'T pro-choice. I know lots of other women who feel the same way.

Breadallelogram
Oct 9, 2012


Mr Ice Cream Glove posted:

9 Reasons not to marry someone who is pro-choice

I mean, I agree that pro-choice and anti-choice people should probably not marry each other.

corn in the bible
Jun 5, 2004

Oh no oh god it's all true!
Yeah, I mean I disagree with the things he listed but it's probably fair to want to marry someone with the same views as you.

Amused to Death
Aug 10, 2009

google "The Night Witches", and prepare for :stare:

nyquil hangover posted:

I'd never date/marry anyone who ISN'T pro-choice. I know lots of other women who feel the same way.

Most famously
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8lXjA7lxj_E

Nenonen
Oct 22, 2009

Mulla on aina kolkyt donaa taskussa

pacerhimself posted:

Professor Liberal Strawman

Herr Professor Gottless von Schtrawmann

Guilty Spork
Feb 26, 2011

Thunder rolled. It rolled a six.

Mr Ice Cream Glove posted:

9 Reasons not to marry someone who is pro-choice
It's be really nice if the likes of Driscoll could actually admit that when they talk of people being Biblical/Christian, what they actually mean is adhering to a particular flavor of American conservative evangelical Christianity. But I guess the billions of people who claim to be Christian and have different beliefs from Mark Driscoll are all 100% fake.

corn in the bible
Jun 5, 2004

Oh no oh god it's all true!

Guilty Spork posted:

It's be really nice if the likes of Driscoll could actually admit that when they talk of people being Biblical/Christian, what they actually mean is adhering to a particular flavor of American conservative evangelical Christianity. But I guess the billions of people who claim to be Christian and have different beliefs from Mark Driscoll are all 100% fake.

Uh, everyone knows that Papists aren't really American or even Christian, didn't you see the ads Nixon put out about it?

muscles like this!
Jan 17, 2005


Guilty Spork posted:

It's be really nice if the likes of Driscoll could actually admit that when they talk of people being Biblical/Christian, what they actually mean is adhering to a particular flavor of American conservative evangelical Christianity. But I guess the billions of people who claim to be Christian and have different beliefs from Mark Driscoll are all 100% fake.

That is exactly what they believe.

LP97S
Apr 25, 2008

Nenonen posted:

Herr Professor Gottless von Schtrawmann

Don't even bother with names, just use a liberal muslim homosexual ACLU lawyer professor and abortion doctor.

RagnarokAngel
Oct 5, 2006

Black Magic Extraordinaire

crowfeathers posted:

Uh, everyone knows that Papists aren't really American or even Christian, didn't you see the ads Nixon put out about it?

Well...to be fair if you want to find a group largely pro-Abortion, Catholics may be the wrong place to look.

ProperGanderPusher
Jan 13, 2012




RagnarokAngel posted:

Well...to be fair if you want to find a group largely pro-Abortion, Catholics may be the wrong place to look.

Driscoll doesn't care. Catholics are still not real Christians because they have that whole priesthood thing which has far too much control over the lives of their flock.

*Publicly excommunicates and shames a member of the congregation who privately confessed to Driscoll that he slept with the daughter of a high-ranking elder*

Emanuel Collective
Jan 16, 2008

by Smythe

RagnarokAngel posted:

Well...to be fair if you want to find a group largely pro-Abortion, Catholics may be the wrong place to look.

55% of American Catholics think abortion should be legal in all or most cases. Only 13% think it should be totally illegal. These numbers are slightly more favorable towards abortion than Americans in general:

http://www.washingtonpost.com/page/...ZEeKB-o6Ds4ZMNg

So while there are swaths of very, VERY anti-abortion Catholic groups, they're a very small minority.

Sir Rolo
Oct 16, 2012




http://newsone.com/2746485/blackface-trayvon-martin-halloween-costume/

gradenko_2000
Oct 5, 2010

HELL SERPENT
Lipstick Apathy
E: It's not funny, I'm not funny. Never mind

gradenko_2000 fucked around with this message at 03:36 on Oct 28, 2013

MariusLecter
Sep 5, 2009

NI MUERTE NI MIEDO
No Skittles and Arizona tea?

VideoTapir
Oct 18, 2005

He'll tire eventually.

Mr Ice Cream Glove posted:

They do not value children the same way that you do. You cannot bring a child into this world with someone who does not value the child as God does and as you do.

If he means as an abstract, idealized fetish object; as opposed to as people, then yeah, I wholeheartedly agree.

Soonmot
Dec 19, 2002

Entrapta fucking loves robots




Grimey Drawer
I'm just going to leave this here. I don't argue with this guy anymore because I cannot wrap my head around how one of the most caring, intelligent people I know can buy into this garbage.

http://cafehayek.com/2013/10/some-additional-questions-for-proponents-of-a-legislated-minimum-wage.html

Adbot
ADBOT LOVES YOU

totalnewbie
Nov 13, 2005

I was born and raised in China, lived in Japan, and now hold a US passport.

I am wrong in every way, all the damn time.

Ask me about my tattoos.

quote:

Let’s presume that you accept the reality of the law of demand, and accept also that this law applies to labor no less than it applies to legumes, Legos, plywood, cigarettes, and other goods and services. (If you don’t accept this reality and its application in labor markets, explain why you do not.)

The labor market is just like the market for peanuts. Absolutely.

  • 1
  • 2
  • 3
  • 4
  • 5
  • Post
  • Reply