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Alter Ego posted:If recent history has taught me anything, it's that our media will keep stories that embarrass Democrats alive for as long as possible--and as the poster above pointed out, the ACA that passed in March of 2010 killed Democrats in November 2010. It's not entirely unreasonable to think that it will still be an issue. If the website gets fixed and millions of people sign up by the middle of March then ACA is something Democrats are bringing up. If enrollment ends with the website still loving up and nowhere near the target numbers are reached, it'll be the first and last thing every Republican says withing earshot of a camera or a voter. Of course we've also got a bunch of picture perfect opportunities lined up for the Republicans to just completely poo poo all over their chances by letting Ted Cruz and the Suicide Caucus ride again. Chances are pretty good that ACA just joins the rest of the issues in the witches cauldron of GOP issues alongside Benghazi, Fast and Furious, and the tyrant Michele forcing healthy food on our kids. Maybe we'll get real lucky and it'll be about those traitorous Democrats and their hatred of all Jews after a nuclear deal gets worked out with Iran.
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Nov 21, 2013 01:27
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Paul MaudDib posted:What context do you mean? Have American wages improved sufficiently (or have fixed expenses diminised sufficiently) that two incomes are no longer necessary to make ends meet? The big problem you have is that, while there was a time when having two members of the household in the workforce was feasible, automation is removing a lot of these jobs and leaving nothing in return. Some automation creates new jobs (repairing the automatons) but a lot of the jobs will be lost forever. Rising housing prices, insurance costs etc may force second household members to look for work, but the decline of people participating in labor will continue as we replace human labor with automated labor. It's going to get a lot worse.
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Nov 21, 2013 01:34
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StarMagician posted:So, are women supposed to be staying home making the house or not? It used to be that we were advocating for them to leave the restriction of the nuclear home and make their way in the working world but I can never tell these days. We as a society have not actually done much to make it feasible for women not to have to work full time domestically and vocationally at the same time. Obviously this really needs to change instead of just telling women to stop having careers and children, but that doesn't obviate the actual fact that it hasn't changed (and that there really isn't much pressure for it to change in the future).
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Nov 21, 2013 02:04
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The thing is automation and women being allowed to work could both be good things the problem is instead of letting automation give everyone a lower work load capital has used the efficiency automation creates for decades to make a smaller and smaller work force (still paid same low wages) do all the work and capital hoovered up all the benefits. Women were forced to enter the work force due to frozen (and now dropping) wages to meet the rising cost of living but capitalist exploitation of automation means wages are depressed AND there are fewer jobs available. So we are caught in the trap of two worker households being all but a necessity but there not being enough jobs. This means people either have to go into debt or not afford as much stuff, lowering demand. If we had decent minimum wage laws or an approach to employment that didnt solely benefit the 1% based on c19th ideas this would be much less of an issue. But yes Republicans, keep blocking even the most milquetoast attempts at demand side recovery, pretend identifying the problem of too many people needing to participate in labour is sexist and propose further tax cuts for the super rich. That will fix everything.
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Nov 21, 2013 09:34
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De Nomolos posted:Which issue hits people more closely at home: Benghazi, the budget, immigration, or health care? All of them depending on whose home it is. Benghazi impacts the fewest people, but the budget (in terms of government employees and employees of contractors) impacts a shitton of people, as do immigration and healthcare. However, you can arrange those last three in a hierarchy. Failure to reform immigration laws means families get shattered, budgetary fuckery means millions of people go without pay for the duration of shutdowns or get laid off due to cuts, healthcare shittiness means people can be driven into bankruptcy by pneumonia, but without a paycheck or a family it's a passing concern.
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Nov 21, 2013 15:02
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The Entire Universe posted:All of them depending on whose home it is. Benghazi impacts the fewest people, but the budget (in terms of government employees and employees of contractors) impacts a shitton of people, as do immigration and healthcare. Let me rephrase that: which one effects the most people that consistently vote in midterms? Even if the budget trickles down, it's effects aren't readily seen in the mail or in your bank account daily unless you're a vet, contractor, or fed. And that's assuming they don't all first focus on health care instead. Of course, they may see benefits from the ACA by then, and this is all moot. No one is going to vote based on Benghazi. Don't kid yourself.
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Nov 21, 2013 18:45
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De Nomolos posted:No one is going to vote based on Benghazi. Don't kid yourself. Rather, no one is going to vote based on Benghazi who wasn't already going to vote Republican despite protestation they were really an independent swing voter.
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Nov 21, 2013 19:29
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Install Windows posted:Rather, no one is going to vote based on Benghazi who wasn't already going to vote Republican despite protestation they were really an independent swing voter. And they were already mad because of Obamacare. Obama could have saved everyone at Benghazi himself and they'd still be voting against Obamacare.
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Nov 21, 2013 22:32
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On the bright side, we have our first wave of scandals in some time that the press hasn't attached the word "gate" to, so we're making progress.
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Nov 22, 2013 05:39
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De Nomolos posted:And they were already mad because of Obamacare. Obama could have saved everyone at Benghazi himself and they'd still be voting against Obamacare. Why is he wasting time having a vacation in Libya when there's real work to do!? 
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Nov 22, 2013 09:48
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ReV VAdAUL posted:Why is he wasting time having a vacation in Libya when there's real work to do!? Ha ha I bet he played a round of golf while he was there also please never check how much vacation the last president took
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Nov 22, 2013 09:57
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crowfeathers posted:Ha ha I bet he played a round of golf while he was there also please never check how much vacation the last president took He was TOTALLY working during those vacations, so they don't count. Checkmate libs 
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Nov 22, 2013 14:23
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Mountain bikin', brush clearin' Bush was great because he couldn't do much governin' when he was showin' off his new ranch. Unfortunately, it turned out that while daddy's lil' helper was funnin' in Crawford, daddy's big helper was busy governin' from the Naval Observatory.
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Nov 22, 2013 16:26
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ReindeerF posted:Mountain bikin', brush clearin' Bush was great because he couldn't do much governin' when he was showin' off his new ranch. Unfortunately, it turned out that while daddy's lil' helper was funnin' in Crawford, daddy's big helper was busy governin' from the Naval Observatory. *an undisclosed location.
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Nov 22, 2013 16:33
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Haha. Yeah, when the Russians update their targeting computers for the nukes, they just target every black square or fuzzy blob on Google Earth.
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Nov 22, 2013 16:42
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crowfeathers posted:Ha ha I bet he played a round of golf while he was there also please never check how much vacation the last president took https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z3p9y_OEAdc
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Nov 22, 2013 17:49
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ReindeerF posted:Haha. Yeah, when the Russians update their targeting computers for the nukes, they just target every black square or fuzzy blob on Google Earth. I bet the NSA has already thought of that and randomly blacked out a few random abandoned facilities while sticking Cheney in a secret room in some small-town library that's opened by touching the 3rd book from the left on the encyclopedia rack.
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Nov 22, 2013 18:45
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Good news, 2015's Obamacare signups will start after the midterm election, not before. I'm sure you can imagine what the reaction is going to be of Republicans hoping to have that remind everyone about Obamacare just before the election.
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Nov 22, 2013 18:46
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No, really you guys, Liz Cheney is from Wyoming. And here are her daughters, none of whom were born in Wyoming, to tell you about it. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AtMOK_hCt9g
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Nov 26, 2013 01:45
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Joementum posted:No, really you guys, Liz Cheney is from Wyoming. And here are her daughters, none of whom were born in Wyoming, to tell you about it. It worked for Bush, but he wasn't as obviously evil as Liz.
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Nov 29, 2013 23:05
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This blog post has two good primary calendars for 2014. Might want to put them in the OP.
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Dec 2, 2013 18:16
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Bqhatevwr: Scott Brown has dropped the "MA" from his Twitter handle.
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Dec 3, 2013 00:52
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I seriously doubt Al Franken will lose his Senate seat, but it's worth mentioning that he's at 39% approval, 51% disapproval right now in his home state of Minnesota. http://blog.lib.umn.edu/cspg/smartpolitics/2013/12/buyers_remorse_franken_loss_wo.php
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Dec 3, 2013 00:56
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Joementum posted:Bqhatevwr: Scott Brown has dropped the "MA" from his Twitter handle. It's been a while since a Republican has lost a Senate race in more than one state.  http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Electoral_history_of_Alan_Keyes
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Dec 3, 2013 00:57
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StarMagician posted:I seriously doubt Al Franken will lose his Senate seat, but it's worth mentioning that he's at 39% approval, 51% disapproval right now in his home state of Minnesota. That poll got absolutely shredded for being terrible, instead of using actual job approval it used a excellent/good/fair/poor scale that rated fair as disapproval, which creates garbage results. The perils of university pollsters and all.
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Dec 3, 2013 01:00
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War on women? What war on women? Michigan Right to Life wants to make women purchase "rape riders" to go with their health insurance. http://www.mlive.com/politics/index.ssf/2013/12/whitmer_blasts_rape_insurance.html MLive posted:
This is the old "Obamacare will force us to pay for abortions(it won't) so let's force women to purchase more insurance to punish them for having sex." The rub of it is they don't want this petition to go to a referendum vote in 2014, they want the Michigan legislature to vote on it instead. So far no decision to do that has been made, which is a good thing.
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Dec 3, 2013 01:07
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HUGE PUBES A PLUS posted:War on women? What war on women? Michigan Right to Life wants to make women purchase "rape riders" to go with their health insurance. Ugh. gently caress this state. 
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Dec 3, 2013 02:01
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Scott Brown has a new editorial about Obamacare and its impact on states, well on one state at least.quote:For example, in New Hampshire, only 16 of the state’s 26 hospitals are available on the federal exchange, meaning patients must either pay more to keep their current doctor or seek inferior care elsewhere. Hmm. Hmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmm.
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Dec 3, 2013 19:24
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Last week, Florida's Secretary of State issued a "directive" to county supervisors of elections saying that they can't allow absentee ballots to be dropped off anywhere but the central office. This is the latest effort in a fairly long and consistent history by Rick Scott's administration of suppressing the vote (and pissing off said supervisors of elections), and many think that the timing of the order is related to the race for Bill Young's seat. Fortunately, Pinellas County's supervisor of elections basically told him to gently caress off: quote:TALLAHASSEE — Pinellas County's chief elections official firmly put Gov. Rick Scott on notice Monday: She will refuse his administration's order and will continue to urge voters to drop off their absentee ballots at satellite locations.
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Dec 3, 2013 19:35
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Joementum posted:Bqhatevwr: Scott Brown has dropped the "MA" from his Twitter handle. I look forward to Scott Brown's upcoming Carpetbaggin' Senate Candidate persona, where if the GOP needs a guy to run for Senate in the North or Northeast they just have him move there and run. If he tries to run against Shaheen, the ads will write themselves. She'll turn him into the next Alan Keyes so fast his head will spin. Plus, I can't imagine folks in New Hampshire will take kindly to a guy who just moved there and is pretending to be one of them. Fritz Coldcockin fucked around with this message at 19:54 on Dec 3, 2013 |
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Dec 3, 2013 19:51
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Ronald McReagan posted:Last week, Florida's Secretary of State issued a "directive" to county supervisors of elections saying that they can't allow absentee ballots to be dropped off anywhere but the central office. This is the latest effort in a fairly long and consistent history by Rick Scott's administration of suppressing the vote (and pissing off said supervisors of elections), and many think that the timing of the order is related to the race for Bill Young's seat. fade5 fucked around with this message at 23:19 on Dec 3, 2013 |
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Dec 3, 2013 23:12
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Considering that Florida is a solid battleground state, why don't the Democrats have anyone better than Crist?
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Dec 4, 2013 04:27
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Because the Florida Democratic Party has been basically worthless as a political and organizational force for at least a decade.
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Dec 4, 2013 04:30
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Ronald McReagan posted:Because the Florida Democratic Party has been basically worthless as a political and organizational force for at least a decade. Also Crist is/was pretty popular as Governor. The only reason he isn't currently Governor is that he wanted to be a Senator and made the mistake of being friendly to Obama instead of spitting in his face and tossing him the bird. Even if the Democrats had someone ideologically better than Crist ready to run, there's little chance they'd be politically/electorally better.
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Dec 4, 2013 05:52
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Crist's campaign manager just resigned, so already his campaign is off to fantastic start. 
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Dec 4, 2013 13:28
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Ronald McReagan posted:Because the Florida Democratic Party has been basically worthless as a political and organizational force for at least a decade. More than that - they basically withered away like an umbilical cord during Chiles' time as governor and when he dropped dead they were a dusty husk. They haven't recovered because the blue half of the state is basically hypersensitive jerseyites who replaced their tolerance of cold weather with childishness. There are of course a smattering of minorities but for the most part it's leatherfaced bleach blonde empty nesters who sound like Tom Waits with Down Syndrome.
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Dec 4, 2013 15:10
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Is there any state that has a well-organized Democratic or even Republican Party anymore? It seems like in the former case it's always a bunch of hacks playing like they matter and in the latter it's either a Senior Citizen Club or a shell for Tea Party or Ron Paul orgs. I know in VA the GOP is definitely swinging between Ron Paul and general Teabaggery (usually breaking down based on whether there's a military base nearby) and the DPVA is a handful of old line Civil Rights activists and a bunch of white guilt NoVA liberals, with a few Obamamaniacs from red areas who just want a friend thrown in. The white people with the money and their hack friends run things, which pretty much explains Terry McAuliffe.
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Dec 4, 2013 20:34
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De Nomolos posted:Is there any state that has a well-organized Democratic or even Republican Party anymore? It seems like in the former case it's always a bunch of hacks playing like they matter and in the latter it's either a Senior Citizen Club or a shell for Tea Party or Ron Paul orgs. I know in VA the GOP is definitely swinging between Ron Paul and general Teabaggery (usually breaking down based on whether there's a military base nearby) and the DPVA is a handful of old line Civil Rights activists and a bunch of white guilt NoVA liberals, with a few Obamamaniacs from red areas who just want a friend thrown in. Rick Perry has made a very impressive machine here in Texas. I think by definition parties who are in states they don't control would be less organized though because good organization can make up for a lot of other deficiencies.
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Dec 4, 2013 20:37
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computer parts posted:Rick Perry has made a very impressive machine here in Texas. I think by definition parties who are in states they don't control would be less organized though because good organization can make up for a lot of other deficiencies. Yeah but is that a Republican Party machine or a Rick Perry's Friends and Cronies machine?
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Dec 4, 2013 20:50
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De Nomolos posted:Is there any state that has a well-organized Democratic or even Republican Party anymore? It seems like in the former case it's always a bunch of hacks playing like they matter and in the latter it's either a Senior Citizen Club or a shell for Tea Party or Ron Paul orgs. I know in VA the GOP is definitely swinging between Ron Paul and general Teabaggery (usually breaking down based on whether there's a military base nearby) and the DPVA is a handful of old line Civil Rights activists and a bunch of white guilt NoVA liberals, with a few Obamamaniacs from red areas who just want a friend thrown in. The white people with the money and their hack friends run things, which pretty much explains Terry McAuliffe. State parties that have survived against the national partisan tide at the state level like the West Virginia Democrats, or to a lesser extent the Kentucky Democratic Party, seem like they'd be the strongest state parties still in existence. But in the Obama years they've had a tough time keeping their conservative ticket-splitters. 5 years ago I would have said the Arkansas Democrats but they have completely imploded and lost almost everything as the state finally caught up with the rest of the South and re-aligned. Also, state's with stable one party rule probably have strong organizations built. Vermont Dems, Utah GOP, Texas GOP, etc.
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Dec 4, 2013 20:52
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