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ReidRansom
Oct 25, 2004


Deteriorata posted:

A lot of boomers about to retire lost a shitload of money from their 401(k)s in the market crash of 2008. Putting their Social Security funds in the market is the last thing they are interested in.

Putting a nail in that coffin was probably the only good thing to come out of the crash.

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Deteriorata
Feb 6, 2005

VitalSigns posted:

Bush's proposal was from 2005, and boomers were specifically exempt.


That was the right-wing plan to start gutting Social Security and turning into another fee-generating scam for Wall Street: blunt the opposition of seniors by exempting them. It didn't work of course, but I was speculating whether, had he offered to increase current retirees' benefits, they would have reliably voted to gently caress over the next generation like they always do.

You're perfectly right of course that post-2008 that proposal is going to be dead for a long, long while. No one would dare suggest it today.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A35231-2005Mar14.html

quote:

A majority of elderly voters have turned against the plan for private accounts, even though the White House has assured them it would have no impact on their Social Security benefits

quote:

In this month's poll, 68 percent of adults 18 to 29 years old said they support investing some Social Security contributions in the stock market. That support falls with the respondents' age, to 60 percent among those 40 to 49, 53 percent among those 50 to 64, and 37 percent among those 65 and older.

I think your demographic analysis is flawed.

Name Change
Oct 9, 2005


Now that we're back in "the stock market flies upward eternally regardless of the actual economy" mode again, I wouldn't be surprised that under-informed young idiots want to put at least some of their future in it, especially when every other way to have a future is being systematically choked off by lovely policy.

VitalSigns
Sep 3, 2011

Deteriorata posted:

I think your demographic analysis is flawed.

Well I did say that it didn't work. People near retirement had no actual incentive to vote for it either. From the same article you quoted:

quote:

"I personally wouldn't get a whole lot out of it, really," said the 46-year-old director of science and technology for Dow Corning Corp.'s specialty chemicals business. "It's not relevant to me."
...
"If there are no other incentives than this, we probably wouldn't take part in it, because the numbers don't make a whole lot of sense for us personally," said Sue Smorodin, 45, a homemaker in St. Louis.
...
"If you're my age, it isn't going to make much difference really," said Mark Kaufman, 52, a rancher and farmer in Nebraska's panhandle. "I can't get all that excited."
...
If young voters tend to be apathetic or ambivalent, the elderly are anything but. GOP strategists are convinced Republican politicians must emphasize over and over that anyone older than 55 will not be affected by the plan. By exempting those in or near retirement from participation in the accounts or any benefit reductions, Bush hopes to neutralize opposition from the most vocal and reliable voting bloc.

Deteriorata
Feb 6, 2005

VitalSigns posted:

Well I did say that it didn't work. People near retirement had no actual incentive to vote for it either. From the same article you quoted:

The fact that the older the respondents were, the less likely they were to support it, and the highest support was with the young suggests your entire analytical framework is backwards.

Older people know and appreciate the value of Social Security and tend to be very protective of it, not just for themselves but for their children, as well. They understand how much their kids will need it when they are old far more than their children do themselves. This has been true since the very beginning of Social Security.

Sorry, but your attempt to portray Boomers as cartoon villains is not grounded in reality.

VitalSigns
Sep 3, 2011

The only older people opposing it in that article gave "what's in it for me" as their reasons. Not one of them said that the stock market is too risky to gamble the future of the next generation on. You could have at least picked a better example.

Is it really a controversial statement that the boomers have voted to lower taxes for themselves and gut the infrastructure and social programs set up by their parents anytime a program stops benefiting them personally?


VVVVVV
Fair enough

VitalSigns fucked around with this message at 06:19 on May 12, 2014

Gyges
Aug 4, 2004

NOW NO ONE
RECOGNIZE HULK

VitalSigns posted:

The only older people opposing it in that article gave "what's in it for me" as their reasons. Not one of them said that the stock market is too risky to gamble the future of the next generation on. You could have at least picked a better example.

It's at the end of the article

quote:

But the strategy may backfire, homemaker Smorodin said, noting that her mother has grown incensed about the issue. By and large, the elderly do understand the president has promised not to touch their Social Security checks, according to polling.

But that is not relevant to their political opposition, Smorodin said, noting that older people also worry that pension benefit cuts will hurt their children and grandchildren.

At 69, Gene Wallace knows the White House's proposal would have no impact on his Social Security check, but if Bush believes that will silence the Republican mayor of Coldwater, Mich., Wallace grumbled, "he's all wet."

"I'm a parent as well as a grandparent. Somewhere along the line, they are going to be eligible for retirement assistance," he said, with all the energy he could muster three weeks after open-heart surgery. "It's everybody's concern what happens to this country."

Though part of Bush's problem was that his plan sucked rear end even if you wanted to be able to put your money in the Stock Market instead of Social Security. It was just going to phase up to 4% of you Social Security taxes going into a private account. That's like .4% of your income, which is hardly something to get you fired up to overhaul the system.

Alec Bald Snatch
Sep 12, 2012

by exmarx
If you want to take the Boomers are selfish fucks angle remember this- they're the ones taking care of and burying their elderly parents. They know how much it costs to keep them living independently or at least out of the lovely nursing homes, and how lovely those homes are. If anything they want to make sure their kids are well off enough to do the same for them. The privatization scam only goes over well with people who aren't old enough to understand death.

FAUXTON
Jun 2, 2005

spero che tu stia bene

comes along bort posted:

If you want to take the Boomers are selfish fucks angle remember this- they're the ones taking care of and burying their elderly parents. They know how much it costs to keep them living independently or at least out of the lovely nursing homes, and how lovely those homes are. If anything they want to make sure their kids are well off enough to do the same for them. The privatization scam only goes over well with people who aren't old enough to understand death.

It also helps when those parents were kids/adolescents during the great depression and saw directly how the stock market can take everything, as well as how well a government can do when it gets its poo poo together. Boomers coming on the later end of the boom had parents who either weren't old enough to remember how bad things got or how the government stepped in, or bought into the really religious/philosophical side of the cold war and thought McCarthy was right to hold his hearings.

At least that is my view of it, consider it pure speaking-from-rear end opinion rather than cited facts.

Chokes McGee
Aug 7, 2008

This is Urotsuki.

OneThousandMonkeys posted:

Now that we're back in "the stock market flies upward eternally regardless of the actual economy" mode again, I wouldn't be surprised that under-informed young idiots want to put at least some of their future in it, especially when every other way to have a future is being systematically choked off by lovely policy.

Woah hey, let's not go overboard with this. The stock market is still a fine place to put retirement funds when you're young, just because you can weather the crashes easier and continue to buy in while prices are still low.

The issue is continuing to put your money in the stock market as you get older. You're supposed to move and more into bonds to secure your gains as you age. Putting more than a small amount into stocks when you're ready to retire is sheer madness.

FAUXTON
Jun 2, 2005

spero che tu stia bene

Chokes McGee posted:

Woah hey, let's not go overboard with this. The stock market is still a fine place to put retirement funds when you're young, just because you can weather the crashes easier and continue to buy in while prices are still low.

The issue is continuing to put your money in the stock market as you get older. You're supposed to move and more into bonds to secure your gains as you age. Putting more than a small amount into stocks when you're ready to retire is sheer madness.

Yeah, one of the most basic pieces of retirement advice is "start with stocks, finish with bonds."

Not that you balance 100% in either at any point, but the general idea is that you have the time ahead of you to recover from risks while you're still young, but as you get older you want to have more and more of your savings held in safer* investments like bonds so you have a "floor" if 1929 or 2008 happens again and aren't stuck losing 75% of your portfolio value at age 50.

No investment is truly safe, though you can avoid all but the most apocalyptic risks (trade-off: very low returns) by sticking to bonds like Treasury notes.

FAUXTON fucked around with this message at 15:50 on May 12, 2014

evilweasel
Aug 24, 2002

Chokes McGee posted:

Woah hey, let's not go overboard with this. The stock market is still a fine place to put retirement funds when you're young, just because you can weather the crashes easier and continue to buy in while prices are still low.

The issue is continuing to put your money in the stock market as you get older. You're supposed to move and more into bonds to secure your gains as you age. Putting more than a small amount into stocks when you're ready to retire is sheer madness.

You're assuming that you're diversified. A social security stock account would presumably have let you pick your own stocks, which would definitely lead to many people going entirely bust by going all-in on GM or the like.

Democrazy
Oct 16, 2008

If you're not willing to lick the boot, then really why are you in politics lol? Everything is a cycle of just getting stomped on so why do you want to lose to it over and over, just submit like me, I'm very intelligent.
Isn't the Social Security Trust Fund already invested in the forms of Treasury Bonds? It may yield low returns overall, but purchasing these bonds would allow interest rates on these bonds to go down (effectively lowering the cost of borrowing) while financing our federal government, as much of a win-win as you can have.

De Nomolos
Jan 17, 2007

TV rots your brain like it's crack cocaine

Democrazy posted:

Isn't the Social Security Trust Fund already invested in the forms of Treasury Bonds? It may yield low returns overall, but purchasing these bonds would allow interest rates on these bonds to go down (effectively lowering the cost of borrowing) while financing our federal government, as much of a win-win as you can have.

Sure you can trust that T bills will always be safe, just like how Social Security will be there for today's kids :smug:

Sure you can trust a government program, ask an Indian :smug:

Sure American government is a market stabilizer, just like how you can still get penny candy :smug:

All heard in one class sitting.

Ballz
Dec 16, 2003

it's mario time

Clay Aiken's primary just got a lot more interesting, as his opponent just died.

Ballz fucked around with this message at 22:09 on May 12, 2014

Fritz Coldcockin
Nov 7, 2005

Ballz posted:

Clay Aiken's primary just got a lot more interesting, as his opponent just died.

And yet Ruben Studdard will STILL win somehow.

Teddybear
May 16, 2009

Look! A teddybear doll!
It's soooo cute!


So, um, what happens if the recount shows Crisco won? Do they shrug and say, "welp, let's go with Aiken," or do they have to roll with him on the general ballot?

Fritz Coldcockin
Nov 7, 2005

Teddybear posted:

So, um, what happens if the recount shows Crisco won? Do they shrug and say, "welp, let's go with Aiken," or do they have to roll with him on the general ballot?

Depends on North Carolina law, I think. Anyone here familiar with the particulars of NC election law when a candidate dies? I looked through and couldn't find anything.

CannonFodder
Jan 26, 2001

Passion’s Wrench

De Nomolos posted:

NO UNION BUG. BURN THEM.

Seriously, I've seen this be a huge issue in a primary. Don't make that mistake.
Would it be an issue for a Republican to have yard signs that do have a union label?

evilweasel
Aug 24, 2002

Alter Ego posted:

Depends on North Carolina law, I think. Anyone here familiar with the particulars of NC election law when a candidate dies? I looked through and couldn't find anything.

It may also depend on party rules.

Chokes McGee
Aug 7, 2008

This is Urotsuki.

evilweasel posted:

You're assuming that you're diversified. A social security stock account would presumably have let you pick your own stocks, which would definitely lead to many people going entirely bust by going all-in on GM or the like.

Well, my reply was mostly meant for OneThousandMonkey's (seemingly) blanket statement of "under-informed young idiots" putting money in the stock market for retirement. My point was, there's nothing wrong with retirement plans stashing money in stocks. Unspoken was my belief that you don't put social security, a concept which contains the word "security" in the name, into a volatile fund prone to crashes what is wrong with Bush's brain :psyduck:

Thankfully that got shot down. Get a Roth IRA and diversify funds into it though, it's pretty rad!

kitten emergency
Jan 13, 2008

get meow this wack-ass crystal prison

Ballz posted:

Clay Aiken's primary just got a lot more interesting, as his opponent just died.

Clay Aiken has been taking campaign strategy tips from Frank Underwood, I see.

Alec Bald Snatch
Sep 12, 2012

by exmarx

Teddybear posted:

So, um, what happens if the recount shows Crisco won? Do they shrug and say, "welp, let's go with Aiken," or do they have to roll with him on the general ballot?

Crisco was planning to concede tomorrow anyway.

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ
Gary Peters starts the operation to introduce his opponent in the MI Senate race to voters.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=p1Wd6dx-yuo

Dr.Zeppelin
Dec 5, 2003

evilweasel posted:

You're assuming that you're diversified. A social security stock account would presumably have let you pick your own stocks, which would definitely lead to many people going entirely bust by going all-in on GM or the like.

Not to mention be managed by payday loan scumbags who fleece people who don't know any better with ridiculous loads, maintenance fees, and the like.

Nintendo Kid
Aug 4, 2011

by Smythe
No, generally big finance companies muscle out the payday loan guys whenever possible.

De Nomolos
Jan 17, 2007

TV rots your brain like it's crack cocaine

Joementum posted:

Gary Peters starts the operation to introduce his opponent in the MI Senate race to voters.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=p1Wd6dx-yuo

Wow. That's cold blooded. She bulldozed 8 mile even though she lived there.

Good ad.

sullat
Jan 9, 2012

Alter Ego posted:

Depends on North Carolina law, I think. Anyone here familiar with the particulars of NC election law when a candidate dies? I looked through and couldn't find anything.

News site that I read said that the party gets to pick a replacement when the candidate dies after being nominated.

Dr.Zeppelin
Dec 5, 2003

Install Windows posted:

No, generally big finance companies muscle out the payday loan guys whenever possible.

You don't see a lot of Charles Schwab offices in West Baltimore.

Nintendo Kid
Aug 4, 2011

by Smythe

Dr.Zeppelin posted:

You don't see a lot of Charles Schwab offices in West Baltimore.

Good thing most of the country isn't West Baltimore.

sullat
Jan 9, 2012
So it would play out like out like the rest of the finance industry; the big boys screw the upper-middle class, the banks screw the lower middle class, and the payday loan companies fight over who gets to screw the poor.

Gyges
Aug 4, 2004

NOW NO ONE
RECOGNIZE HULK

sullat posted:

So it would play out like out like the rest of the finance industry; the big boys screw the upper-middle class, the banks screw the lower middle class, and the payday loan companies fight over who gets to screw the poor.

Not if that sweet, sweet, Social Security money was up for grabs. Payday Loan wouldn't stand a chance when the big boys come to the trough.

Nintendo Kid
Aug 4, 2011

by Smythe

Gyges posted:

Not if that sweet, sweet, Social Security money was up for grabs. Payday Loan wouldn't stand a chance when the big boys come to the trough.

Exactly. Just like how check cashing stores are dying to company pay debit cards associated with big banks. Which still get pretty big rakes in fees while charging nowhere near as much overall as check cashing places.

AYC
Mar 9, 2014

Ask me how I smoke weed, watch hentai, everyday and how it's unfair that governments limits my ability to do this. Also ask me why I have to write in green text in order for my posts to stand out.
Finished my mail-in ballot and mailed it Saturday. I voted straight Green Party with the exception of one Peace & Freedom, one Democrat, and one independent.

Thanks to California's glorious blanket primary system, my oh-so-wasted 3rd party vote won't be an option in November. Long live the democrats, I guess.

Cliff Racer
Mar 24, 2007

by Lowtax

AYC posted:

Finished my mail-in ballot and mailed it Saturday. I voted straight Green Party with the exception of one Peace & Freedom, one Democrat, and one independent.

Thanks to California's glorious blanket primary system, my oh-so-wasted 3rd party vote won't be an option in November. Long live the democrats, I guess.

Depending on the district you might get two Democrats to choose from! If you have a nearly full Green slate with P&F candidates thrown in I suspect this is the case, too.

De Nomolos
Jan 17, 2007

TV rots your brain like it's crack cocaine
I live in a city where the Dems dominate and the GOP runs a token loser when it feels like it. I helped run the campaign of a Buddhist who ran as a Democrat but had a very Green-like platform.

I would consider going to the Greens, but our local party has a big link to "THE TRUTH ABOUT VACCINE DANGERS" on its website. I really wish I could find a cadre to help me purge those people.

AYC
Mar 9, 2014

Ask me how I smoke weed, watch hentai, everyday and how it's unfair that governments limits my ability to do this. Also ask me why I have to write in green text in order for my posts to stand out.
Their anti-science tendencies make me uncomfortable, but they enough positions I agree with to overlook that.

De Nomolos
Jan 17, 2007

TV rots your brain like it's crack cocaine

AYC posted:

Their anti-science tendencies make me uncomfortable, but they enough positions I agree with to overlook that.

I'll take the ACA over single payer if it means preventable diseases don't return. Basic scientific truth is a little more important than fighting over how left one can be.

Rexicon1
Oct 9, 2007

A Shameful Path Led You Here

AYC posted:

Their anti-science tendencies make me uncomfortable, but they enough positions I agree with to overlook that.

I want to remind everyone that the Green Party has always been a reactionary party that has never established it's policy based on well reasoned arguments. It's all about promoting countercultural cargo-cult liberalism that leads to tons of horrible things like anti vaccine poo poo.

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AYC
Mar 9, 2014

Ask me how I smoke weed, watch hentai, everyday and how it's unfair that governments limits my ability to do this. Also ask me why I have to write in green text in order for my posts to stand out.

De Nomolos posted:

I'll take the ACA over single payer if it means preventable diseases don't return. Basic scientific truth is a little more important than fighting over how left one can be.

Can I see a citation for this? IIRC single payer is much better with preventable diseases than America's health care system.

Though we might want to take this to the single payer thread.

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