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Trabisnikof
Dec 24, 2005

zoux posted:

Actually it would probably be incompetent to run races in zero chance districts and spend limited state Democratic funds on them.

Then why did TDP spend money on Davis and VDP? :v:

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zoux
Apr 28, 2006

We were spending other states' Dem Party funds on those.

e_angst
Sep 20, 2001

by exmarx

zoux posted:

There are 72 candidates for Austin city council because we just moved to single member districts so it's 12 open seats. Signs outside the polling places are out of control. When there are that many signs, I don't even know what the point is.

The fact that it's Austin and that there are so many candidates running has lead to a larger-than-average share of "characters" in the race. My favorite? This guy:



His web site and youtube videos are pretty crazy-pants as well.

zoux
Apr 28, 2006

e_angst posted:

The fact that it's Austin and that there are so many candidates running has lead to a larger-than-average share of "characters" in the race. My favorite? This guy:



His web site and youtube videos are pretty crazy-pants as well.

Haha I saw that from afar when I went to go get groceries the other day and forgot to get a closer look. But I thought, geometric figures on the sign, bet that's a crazy person.

BrutalistMcDonalds
Oct 4, 2012


Lipstick Apathy
Whups.


quote:

Four days before federal authorities arrested him on federal weapons charges and found ammonium nitrate in his South Texas hotel room, border militia leader Kevin Lyndel "K.C." Massey chatted and posed for a photo with Republican gubernatorial candidate Greg Abbott at a campaign event in Brownsville.

http://www.mysanantonio.com/news/local/politics/article/Photo-shows-Abbott-posing-with-militia-member-who-5860768.php#photo-7078514

Nonsense
Jan 26, 2007

Whoops nothing, He'll win by an even larger margin because gently caress this states politics, now the one good thing left, its roads, are turning to poo poo and abbot is gonna be railing against the Man in the whitehouse until libertarians grow wings, hail satan.

BrutalistMcDonalds
Oct 4, 2012


Lipstick Apathy


quote:

In a memo early Friday by Battleground senior adviser Jeremy Bird, a former top field organizer for Barack Obama, the Democratic group claimed early voting had increased by more than a third so far and that Democratically leaning voters — non-whites in particular — were turning out in much larger numbers than four years ago.

But that analysis fell apart when it became clear, based on an inspection of figures from the secretary of state's office, that Battleground was using flawed data from 2010.

"The county data from 2010 was incomplete," said Battleground spokeswoman Erica Sackin. She said the group was "clarifying and updating" the memo from Bird, which was taken down from the group's website. Since the flawed data was used in calculating the demographic breakdowns, the big percentage of non-white voters said to be turning out can't be trusted, either.

http://www.texastribune.org/2014/10/31/battleground-misfires-turnout-memo/
:doh:

Shifty Pony
Dec 28, 2004

Up ta somethin'


I took a photo of the sign absurdity in Austin:



It wraps around the corner too until lit hits the property adjacent to the early voting location.

Scrot Eel
Jan 22, 2002

Drink! Feck! Arse! Girls!

Omi-Polari posted:

Here's how Austin suburbanites do race and gay baiting!

Eww Republicans. But also: Eww single moms, gays and black males.



ugh, I'm in district 6 and still have no idea who to vote for. Who's the least horrible person with a chance of winning?

Ziggy Starfucker
Jun 1, 2011

Pillbug

Scrot Eel posted:

ugh, I'm in district 6 and still have no idea who to vote for. Who's the least horrible person with a chance of winning?

Stillwell and Flannigan are both good choices. Not sure which has a better chance of winning but Stillwell seems pretty progressive and his endorsements for down ticket races mostly lined up with the choices I made independently.

Sardonik
Jul 1, 2005

if you like my dumb posts, you'll love my dumb youtube channel

Shifty Pony posted:

I took a photo of the sign absurdity in Austin:



It wraps around the corner too until lit hits the property adjacent to the early voting location.

That's pretty impressive, the HEB at Oltorf/South Congress has a pretty good sign density too.

Nonsense
Jan 26, 2007

Gotta love the daily show pissing on the audience the warm reality of Ted Cruz and his boys running this state.

MattO
Oct 10, 2003

Stillwell's kid goes to school with my daughter, I'll have to chat him up sometime.

Randandal
Feb 26, 2009

This thread's quiet.

Alkydere
Jun 7, 2010
Capitol: A building or complex of buildings in which any legislature meets.
Capital: A city designated as a legislative seat by the government or some other authority, often the city in which the government is located; otherwise the most important city within a country or a subdivision of it.



Randandal posted:

This thread's quiet.

We're too afraid to look at, or even speculate about, how bad it's going to be.

Badger of Basra
Jul 26, 2007

Alkydere posted:

We're too afraid to look at, or even speculate about, how bad it's going to be.

Lol if you had deluded yourself into thinking any statewide Democrat would win. Davis got Hispanics 68-32 which is decent enough .

Alkydere
Jun 7, 2010
Capitol: A building or complex of buildings in which any legislature meets.
Capital: A city designated as a legislative seat by the government or some other authority, often the city in which the government is located; otherwise the most important city within a country or a subdivision of it.



Badger of Basra posted:

Lol if you had deluded yourself into thinking any statewide Democrat would win. Davis got Hispanics 68-32 which is decent enough .

Oh, I knew there wasn't going to be any chance. It's just that I really, really do not want to look forward at how bad it's gonna be.

BrutalistMcDonalds
Oct 4, 2012


Lipstick Apathy

Alkydere posted:

Oh, I knew there wasn't going to be any chance. It's just that I really, really do not want to look forward at how bad it's gonna be.
It's basically the worst-case scenario for Texas Dems.

Sardonik
Jul 1, 2005

if you like my dumb posts, you'll love my dumb youtube channel
I take solace in the fact that my vote for district 3 rep mattered for sure, only 14 votes between the top two according to the results on the statesman website.

BrutalistMcDonalds
Oct 4, 2012


Lipstick Apathy
With 16% reporting, the governor's race looks like:

Abbott: 59.2%. Davis: 39.2%.

Context:

In comparison, the last race finished with Rick Perry at 54.97% and Bill White at 42.28%.

Oil!
Nov 5, 2008

Der's e'rl in dem der hills!


Ham Wrangler
I voted for the reanimated corpse of the first President of the Republic of Texas and it looks like he lost too.

Winter Stormer
Oct 17, 2012

Omi-Polari posted:

With 16% reporting, the governor's race looks like:

Abbott: 59.2%. Davis: 39.2%.

Context:

In comparison, the last race finished with Rick Perry at 54.97% and Bill White at 42.28%.

Yeah, but that 16% is West Bumfuck precincts and early votes. Once the big counties start reporting, then you can really despair.

BrutalistMcDonalds
Oct 4, 2012


Lipstick Apathy

Oil! posted:

I voted for the reanimated corpse of the first President of the Republic of Texas and it looks like he lost too.
How any Texan could vote against Sam Houston is beyond me.

A shameful Texan.

--

Abbott is leading in Harris and Bexar with more than 30 percent counting in each.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=P7lGGhHZSZs

BrutalistMcDonalds fucked around with this message at 04:17 on Nov 5, 2014

D-Pad
Jun 28, 2006

You know those idiots who instead of buying a better car keep their piece of poo poo and just put nice rims on it?

Texas just did that with the Governor's office.

Winter Stormer
Oct 17, 2012

D-Pad posted:

You know those idiots who instead of buying a better car keep their piece of poo poo and just put nice rims on it?

Texas just did that with the Governor's office.

Now I want Abbott to fit his wheelchair with spinners.

BrutalistMcDonalds
Oct 4, 2012


Lipstick Apathy
It's super bad because Davis was supposed to improve on White's performance, a signal that Texas was gradually turning purple and worth it for outside investors. Instead she's doing worse. Meltdown. Worst case scenario.

computer parts
Nov 18, 2010

PLEASE CLAP
Maybe running a bland white person in a minority-majority state is not the best strategy!

blackguy32
Oct 1, 2005

Say, do you know how to do the walk?
I have some friends that work for bgtx and this is probably very bad news for them.

Shifty Pony
Dec 28, 2004

Up ta somethin'


computer parts posted:

Maybe running a bland white person in a minority-majority state is not the best strategy!

"Not the best strategy" pretty much sums up the Texas Democratic party.

BrutalistMcDonalds
Oct 4, 2012


Lipstick Apathy
She's still falling! It's a race to see how low she'll go. But a lot of the Travis votes haven't come in yet, it looks like.

computer parts posted:

Maybe running a bland white person in a minority-majority state is not the best strategy!
Yeah. She emerged in the first place as a crusading, progressive social warrior, which was exciting to progressives (a lot of them out of state). But she was also a waxwork, it turned out, and most Texans are concerned about bread-and-butter issues.

Democrats nationally bet the farm on women's issues, because of insulting things Republicans said last cycle which cost them seats. But because the Republicans have toned down the social stuff this time, doesn't rebound to the Dems' benefit. Abbott is winning with women, which will make the walls of the TDP's headquarters start vomiting.

BrutalistMcDonalds
Oct 4, 2012


Lipstick Apathy
Interesting thing: Austin might elect its first eco-socialist to the city council, Susana Almanza, who is leading in District 3.

Former Brown Beret, too.

BrutalistMcDonalds fucked around with this message at 05:17 on Nov 5, 2014

Badger of Basra
Jul 26, 2007

Omi-Polari posted:

Interesting thing: Austin might elect its first eco-socialist to the city council, Susana Almanza, who is leading in District 3.

Former Brown Beret, too.

She's the one running against her brother, right? I'm not sure if she'll be able to win the runoff, but I would be glad for her to. My friend in District 4 is going to be running against a crazy Alex Jones-ite in a runoff, so I'm hoping Austin doesn't get to Weird and he can win easy.

Also we so far have a 25% turnout for our city council races, which sounds bad until you realize that last time it was like 2%.

BrutalistMcDonalds
Oct 4, 2012


Lipstick Apathy

Badger of Basra posted:

She's the one running against her brother, right? I'm not sure if she'll be able to win the runoff, but I would be glad for her to. My friend in District 4 is going to be running against a crazy Alex Jones-ite in a runoff, so I'm hoping Austin doesn't get to Weird and he can win easy.

Also we so far have a 25% turnout for our city council races, which sounds bad until you realize that last time it was like 2%.
She's the one. A friend of mine has been pounding pavement for her for weeks. The nice thing about 10-1 is that you get a more diverse council, instead of the same establishment NIMBY liberals. There will still be establishment liberals, but maybe an actual leftist, an actual Republican (maybe). That makes for better politics.

Badger of Basra
Jul 26, 2007

Omi-Polari posted:

She's the one. A friend of mine has been pounding pavement for her for weeks. The nice thing about 10-1 is that you get a more diverse council, instead of the same establishment NIMBY liberals. There will still be establishment liberals, but maybe an actual leftist, an actual Republican (maybe). That makes for better politics.

Agreed. I loved when the council tried to push their dumb 7/3/1 half-measure, that was a riot.

BrutalistMcDonalds
Oct 4, 2012


Lipstick Apathy
So here's the view from a conservative think tanker in Austin:

quote:

Here’s your rundown of just how big the Greg Abbott victory is in TX-Gov this evening. Whatever side you’re on, it’s a historic, dominating win — nearly a 20-point margin between him and Wendy Davis at this writing with c.60% of precincts in. All the following numbers are subject to change, of course. Nevertheless:

Let’s start with the cities, which together with the border regions constitute the core of the Texas Democratic base:

Abbott is winning all of metro Houston including the core of Harris County.

Abbott is winning all of metro San Antonio including the core of Bexar County.

Abbott is winning metro Dallas-Fort Worth except Dallas County.

Abbott is winning metro Austin except Travis County.

Greg Abbott presently has three of the big five Texas cities. Keep in mind that only one of them, Fort Worth, is generally expected to go Republican in any given election. So, this is a remarkable outcome, especially given the supermajority-minority status of both Harris and Bexar.

On demography, the left-coalition hopes for a decent showing were openly pinned upon women and Hispanics. How’d Abbott do with them?

Abbott wins Hispanic men by a single point — 50-49.

Abbott gets up to 44% of all Hispanics.

Abbott wins women 54-45.

The age breakdown is interesting too. Here’s how Abbott does:

Loses 18-29 by 1 point.

Loses 30-44 by 3 points.

Wins 45-64 by 33 points.

Wins 65+ by 42 points.

So basically we see the traditional Texas Republican supermajority with Anglos and men married to a strong Hispanic showing, a win with women, a blowout in over-45s, and remarkable inroads into the urban areas. That’s what this effort looks like, and — need it be said — this is what a comprehensive defeat of the Obama for America machine looks like. Because that is exactly what this is.
Emphasis added.

Trabisnikof
Dec 24, 2005

computer parts posted:

Maybe running a bland white person in a minority-majority state is not the best strategy!

Dream Team! Dream Team!

Xen Tricks
Nov 4, 2010
How does a state with a ballooning hispanic population overwhelmingly elect a racist and whatever Abbot is?

computer parts
Nov 18, 2010

PLEASE CLAP

Xen Tricks posted:

How does a state with a ballooning hispanic population overwhelmingly elect a racist and whatever Abbot is?


computer parts posted:

Maybe running a bland white person in a minority-majority state is not the best strategy!

VitalSigns
Sep 3, 2011

I don't know, how does a campaign against women's health win women by 10 points?

:smithicide:

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blackguy32
Oct 1, 2005

Say, do you know how to do the walk?
I don't think it's that, I think people overestimate how liberal Hispanics are. They are not the block that African Americans are when it comes to voting.

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