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  • Locked thread
Main Paineframe
Oct 27, 2010

Brainbread posted:

So, apparently the US government may have been talking about sanctions against Israel for continuing to build settlements in Jerusalem.

http://freebeacon.com/national-security/reports-obama-mulling-sanctions-on-israel/
http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2014/12/05/obama-officials-mum-on-reports-white-house-weighing-sanctions-on-israel/

And I am aware that its from Fox News and Free Beacon.

The original reports come from Haaretz, and while the original article is paywalled, the headline explicitly mentions the potential effects such news could have on election polls, so this could be more of an attempt to influence Israeli politics than a real thing actually likely to happen.

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eSports Chaebol
Feb 22, 2005

Yeah, actually, gamers in the house forever,

Dead Reckoning posted:

If folks were actually concerned about corruption in US elections, they'd be posting about it in the US Politics or campaign finance reform threads, not the Israel/Palestine thread. I'm amused that some posters can't point Israel doing something without taking a whole bunch of words to explain that Israel is doing it the Very Worst it's ever been done.

The pro-Israel lobby is singular though in that it is so effective without really bribing that much. I mean campaign contributions alone are nothing compared to getting a shot at a seven-figure sinecure after your public service is over which is the sort of thing other lobbies offer to effect regulatory capture. Of course a huge part of this story is that AIPAC isn't really as powerful as they appear (or think they are)—they just have limited influence that overlaps with a U.S. policy that is somewhat arbitrary and of questionable benefit, but still a firm status quo. If the anti-Cuban lobby were as prominent, people might think they're super powerful too, since the embargo makes no real political or pragmatic sense, but there it is.

Dead Reckoning
Sep 13, 2011

Panzeh posted:

Israel influences US politics with respect to its actions quite a bit. It seems reasonable, looking at how the US seems unreasonably attached to the country from any given geostrategic approach. The US is an important part of the I/P issue. It seems relevant to the thread.
This is true of a shitload of other countries as well. Maybe you should talk about it as a normal part of politics and discuss how an effective Palestinian lobby might be organized to serve as a counterweight, rather than "waagh, American politicians are traitors for taking pro-Israel American Jews' money" or "once all these baby boomers die, then we'll finally have the political clout to spite Israel." Seriously, the "shocked and appalled that lobbying exists" shtick is wearing thin.

eSports Chaebol
Feb 22, 2005

Yeah, actually, gamers in the house forever,

Dead Reckoning posted:

This is true of a shitload of other countries as well. Maybe you should talk about it as a normal part of politics and discuss how an effective Palestinian lobby might be organized to serve as a counterweight, rather than "waagh, American politicians are traitors for taking pro-Israel American Jews' money" or "once all these baby boomers die, then we'll finally have the political clout to spite Israel." Seriously, the "shocked and appalled that lobbying exists" shtick is wearing thin.

Bush didn't have to clarify he was still a loyal friend to Old Europe to win reelection

My Imaginary GF
Jul 17, 2005

by R. Guyovich

eSports Chaebol posted:

Bush didn't have to clarify he was still a loyal friend to Old Europe to win reelection

You're not familiar with the issues 'Old Europe' lobbies on, are you? Yes, Bush did make that clear on the issues which mattered.

Dead Reckoning posted:

This is true of a shitload of other countries as well. Maybe you should talk about it as a normal part of politics and discuss how an effective Palestinian lobby might be organized to serve as a counterweight, rather than "waagh, American politicians are traitors for taking pro-Israel American Jews' money" or "once all these baby boomers die, then we'll finally have the political clout to spite Israel." Seriously, the "shocked and appalled that lobbying exists" shtick is wearing thin.

I'm in agreement with you, however, like the poster above demonstrates, individuals complaining about I/P lobbying in the United States either are unfamiliar with politics, hopelessly naive, purposefully disingenuous, or oppose I/P lobbying out of an ideological or personal framework through which they view the issues. Often, its hard to tell the difference. And if anyone says that working in the system would be impossible for Palestinians, no, it really wouldn't, especially not when Zaire, Columbia, Liberia, Uruguay, and other, less developed states, have been able to do so successfully on issues which matter to their local elites.

CommieGIR
Aug 22, 2006

The blue glow is a feature, not a bug


Pillbug

My Imaginary GF posted:

I'm in agreement with you, however, like the poster above demonstrates, individuals complaining about I/P lobbying in the United States either are unfamiliar with politics, hopelessly naive, purposefully disingenuous, or oppose I/P lobbying out of an ideological or personal framework through which they view the issues. Often, its hard to tell the difference. And if anyone says that working in the system would be impossible for Palestinians, no, it really wouldn't, especially not when Zaire, Columbia, Liberia, Uruguay, and other, less developed states, have been able to do so successfully on issues which matter to their local elites.

You would have to ignore the entire background of the I/P conflict to believe this. I mean, completely ignore everything.

eSports Chaebol
Feb 22, 2005

Yeah, actually, gamers in the house forever,

My Imaginary GF posted:

I'm in agreement with you, however, like the poster above demonstrates, individuals complaining about I/P lobbying in the United States either are unfamiliar with politics, hopelessly naive, purposefully disingenuous, or oppose I/P lobbying out of an ideological or personal framework through which they view the issues. Often, its hard to tell the difference. And if anyone says that working in the system would be impossible for Palestinians, no, it really wouldn't, especially not when Zaire, Columbia, Liberia, Uruguay, and other, less developed states, have been able to do so successfully on issues which matter to their local elites.

The thing is there are way more American elites who feel a kinship with Israel than with Palestine, like Sheldon Adelson alone is huge. How many rich people anywhere in the world even give a real poo poo about Palestine instead of just claiming to? There's no parallel diaspora. Also come on man if you're gonna be an insane wonk, please don't misspell Colombia.

Dead Reckoning
Sep 13, 2011

eSports Chaebol posted:

Bush didn't have to clarify he was still a loyal friend to Old Europe to win reelection

quote:

America has no truer friend than Great Britain.
- G. W. Bush, 20 Sept 2001

Did you forget that Bush and Blair were so close that Blair ended up taking flak for it at home? I guarantee that, if Bush had said, "It is time to reexamine our relationship with Great Britain" or "I don't enitrely support NATO" it would have been a campaign issue. Similarly, Bush never had to tell the Saudis that he was on their side, because A) He was a former oil executive with another former oil executive as his VP, and B) his foreign policy during his first term was entirely harmonious with Saudi interests.

MonsieurChoc
Oct 12, 2013

Every species can smell its own extinction.

CommieGIR posted:

You would have to ignore the entire background of the I/P conflict to believe this. I mean, completely ignore everything.

Dude, MIGF. You should know by now.

My Imaginary GF
Jul 17, 2005

by R. Guyovich

eSports Chaebol posted:

The thing is there are way more American elites who feel a kinship with Israel than with Palestine, like Sheldon Adelson alone is huge. How many rich people anywhere in the world even give a real poo poo about Palestine instead of just claiming to?

So is your issue with ~jews~ who support Israel? There are plenty of christian zionist organizations in America who lobby far to the right of AIPAC on most issues. Its the job of Palestinians to win over individuals to their cause. Clearly, the only individuals they've been effective at winning over are those who want them to die in order to advance their own interests.

The Palestinian tactics aren't working. They can either adapt new tactics, or continue to be ignored. One thing that may ease this would be the distinction of Gazans as non-Palestinians. When you're able to separate the discussion of Gazan issues from Palestinian issues, you're able to lobby from an improved position.

Absurd Alhazred
Mar 27, 2010

by Athanatos

emanresu tnuocca posted:

Legalese aside, how is lobbyism in general not corrupt to the point it ought to be considered a treasonous activity. How attempting to influence the democratic process through bribery is not worthy of swift guillotine induced justice is beyond me.

There's actually some buzz here in Israel about how the recent elections might have more to do with the fact many MKs were favorable towards a legislation that was supposed to limit Sheldon Edelson's ability to brainwash the masses with his freebie pro-Bibi newspaper.

Paywall, maybe someone can C&P the article? http://www.haaretz.com/news/national/.premium-1.630097

With pleasure!

---

Knesset's dissolution: A sure win for one man

For a certain gambling mogul and tabloid owner, the political upheaval is the best remedy for last month's slap in the face.



On Wednesday, the Knesset, not yet two years old, rejoiced and exulted. The MKs voted six times to behead about 40 of their number in the next election. They tried to cover up their anxiety with raucous laughter and stale jokes. They were like the fellow who walks by a graveyard at night, scared to death, whistling loudly to himself.

Equally impressive was the speed with which yesterday’s political partners adjusted to their new situation. With obvious relief, they lost no time in tarring and feathering one another verbally, as though this is what they had been waiting for over the past 20 months when they sat, elbows locked, around the cabinet table in the Knesset plenum.

Strategic Affairs Minister Yuval Steinitz (Likud) responded at length to the motions to dissolve the Knesset. He dubbed his successor in the Finance Ministry a “pretty boy” and a “presenter.” That was his sweet, if belated, revenge for the episode in the early days of the government when the arrogant, overbearing Yair Lapid demanded that Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu eject Steinitz from a security cabinet meeting, because there was no reason for him to be there.

The Yesh Atid leader counterattacked Wednesday evening, saying Netanyahu is “out of touch” and that as a security cabinet member, he saw the prime minister having difficulty coping with the pressures of managing the war last summer.

If things were so bad and so dangerous for the country, why didn’t Lapid resign? Where’s his national responsibility?

Netanyahu himself looked glum and gray. He knows he’s in the fight of his life – a self-inflicted fight. He didn’t give the impression of someone who’s convinced that his path to a fourth term as PM will be a walk in the park. Maybe he was dumbstruck by the polls reported by Channel 2 and Channel 10, giving Likud 22 seats. Maybe he started to have regrets.

It’s a universally acknowledged fact that a Netanyahu-led Likud is always more optimistic at the start of an election campaign than when the final results are in. As Foreign Minister Avigdor Lieberman put it, nothing good threatens Netanyahu in this election. Anything less than 20 seats for Likud and it’s a whole new ballgame. In that situation, longed for by many MKs – in which Netanyahu disappears from view into the setting sun – party leaders like Moshe Kahlon and Lieberman would be liable to stick in the knife at the critical moment and twist, twist, twist.

All the major parties but one – Habayit Hayehudi, which is in an excellent situation – are starting this campaign from positions of weakness. Likud, as just described. Shas, without Rabbi Ovadia Yosef, is doing badly in the polls. Yisrael Beiteinu is treading water. Yesh Atid could lose half its MKs. Hatnuah is hovering on the brink of the threshold vote of four seats to enter the Knesset. Meretz, which for a long time had a two-digit result in the polls, is back to seven seats.

The biggest tragedy, though, is Labor. The polls consistently give the party 13 seats – less than it has now. Even today, with the coalition parties faltering and the government deteriorating and its leaders wallowing in a revolting mud bath of mutual bad-mouthing, the chief opposition party is not benefiting. To reach such a situation you need a special talent.

The truth is that the disputes over the budget and the zero-VAT housing initiative (to lower prices for first-time home buyers) could have been resolved in a two- or three-hour meeting of coalition party leaders. Netanyahu could easily have got himself another year in office, his 10th. Yair Lapid and Tzipi Livni would not have ousted him.

The whole “putsch” story, around which Netanyahu forged a dark theory, is a joke. On Wednesday, an ultra-Orthodox, or Haredi, MK who is deep in the loop, told someone: “I can’t believe that Bibi actually bought our story about a deal being concocted with Lapid. It’s incredible how easy it was for us to bring down this government.”

Indeed, there was no dealing and no wheeling. Lapid in an alliance with the Haredim? It’s hard to imagine that even the ultra-suspicious Netanyahu believed that tale. Maybe he just used it as an excuse to be rid of his unwanted partners? In the end, he was the one who decided – very uncharacteristically – to topple the pillars.

Why, for example, did he also fire Justice Minister Livni? She did not “subvert” or abuse him verbally. Her criticism was reasonable within the coalition’s political reality. She was certainly less blunt that Lieberman during Operation Protective Edge or Economy Minister Naftali Bennett on various occasions.

Fishing deep to explain her dismissal, Netanyahu dived to the depths of the archive and hooked an obscure meeting she held with Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas last May against his wishes. But afterward they worked harmoniously during the 50 days of the Gaza campaign, in which she performed like a foreign minister in all but name, doing pretty good work in quelling the growing anger in the diplomatic community. Eight months later, he suddenly remembers to punish her? It doesn’t wash. There was obviously an extraneous motive.

Sheldon’s coalition

All this brings us back to November 12, when the Knesset, with the support of MKs from Livni’s Hatnuah, Lapid’s Yesh Atid and Lieberman’s Yisrael Beiteinu passed the so-called Israel Hayom bill in preliminary reading. (If the law is passed, Israel Hayom, the pro-Bibi freebie owned by American billionaire Sheldon Adelson, would be forced to charge for the paper.) According to knowledgeable sources, that was the day on which the fate of the coalition was sealed. Netanyahu cut off all contact with Lapid. He made no effort to resolve the budget crisis. In fact, he ceased to be a prime minister where preservation of his coalition was concerned. He also rarely met with Livni and Lieberman.

It has been observed many times that for the sake of Israel Hayom – his “iron wall,” in Jabotinsky’s phrase – Netanyahu will go to the people. That’s how critical the paper is for him. And there you go: Exactly three weeks after the Knesset vote on the bill, he fires two of his three domestic conspirators (he might need Lieberman in the next coalition) and dissolves the House.

When a Knesset is dissolved, bills that have only had preliminary reading are erased as though they never existed. That’s the immediate gain of Netanyahu and of his patron and benefactor, casino king Adelson. Anyone who wants to try again in the next Knesset will have to start from scratch, and it’s an itchy process.

On the assumption that Netanyahu will form the next government, he will likely demand of his new partners a commitment to oppose any such malicious move. The Haredi MKs, Sephardim and Ashkenazim alike, did not show up for the Israel Hayom vote, nor did MKs from Habayit Hayehudi. They passed the test. They are qualified to enter the gates of the next government. Netanyahu will only have to persuade Lieberman, Kahlon or Labor’s Isaac Herzog, or two of the three, to promise him, man to man, that Masada shall not fall again – that no legislation like that will pass. If a coalition like that is formed in the next Knesset, it can rightfully be dubbed “Sheldon’s coalition.”

Channeling energies

The Israel Hayom episode is not the only media cloud hovering over this election campaign. Since Gilad Erdan became interior minister, Netanyahu has held the communications portfolio, and likely will hold it during the campaign. Again, not by chance.

Erdan did not want to part with that portfolio amid major steps that he was taking in the realms of public broadcasting and commercial television. Netanyahu agreed to let Erdan retain responsibility for the Israel Broadcasting Authority, so he can press ahead with reforming that outdated body. But he refused to allow Erdan to retain the communications portfolio as such. And with good reason: It can be very convenient and very rewarding to be the minister whose fat thumb is pressed on the throats of Channel 2 and Channel 10 in the rough campaign that lies ahead.

So, the pieces of the puzzle are falling into place. This week it was learned that a new investor, Shlomo Nehama, a former CEO of Bank Hapoalim, is ready to pour 100 million shekels ($25 million) into the coffers of Channel 10. Nehama is a very close, very old friend of Communications Minister Netanyahu. In 2003, he mediated between Ariel Sharon, the prime minister-elect, and Netanyahu, when the latter was considering whether to accept an appointment as finance minister. The mediation ended with Netanyahu getting the job.

In April 2005, the finance minister, accompanied by his wife, Sara, attended the 50th birthday party of banker Nehama. Civil service regulations forbid ministers to attend private functions of people with vested interests who might need them in matters related to their job. TheMarker broke the story, and when asked for a response, the finance minister’s bureau replied: “Mr. Netanyahu and Mr. Nehama have been personal friends for decades.”

First it was Ron Lauder, a former good friend, who came to Channel 10, and was burned and fled. Then the name of Bibi buddy Adelson came up as a possible investor. And now the potential savior of the troubled channel is an equally good pal of even longer standing. On Wednesday morning, I sent the following query to the Prime Minister’s Bureau: “Has the prime minister met recently with Shlomo Nehama, and did the subject of investing in Channel 10 come up in the meeting?” No answer was received by press time.

Cuckoo’s nest

Despite his current gloomy situation, Labor leader Isaac Herzog has the potential to take off in the next 100 days. It depends on whether he can bring new faces into his party, or create a new list of candidates centering around Labor. Herzog would like to bring in Livni and two or three other Hatnuah MKs, as well as MK Shaul Mofaz (Kadima). Livni is a senior stateswoman who still exerts a strong appeal among left-leaning voters, as the polls show; Mofaz is the most experienced security honcho currently in the arena.

In addition to the intense talks she’s been holding with Herzog, Livni has also been talking to Lapid about some sort of union. In recent years, she has been comparable to a tweeting cuckoo bird that lays her eggs in the nests of crows, which serve as surrogates, hatch the eggs and raise her young. She started off in Likud as a proud daughter of a Betar movement prince, Eitan Livni, split from Likud with Ariel Sharon when he formed Kadima, left Kadima when she was defeated in the primaries by Mofaz (also ex-Likud), formed Hatnuah, whose only banner was the peace process, and now she’s on the way to nesting in a new assisted living project.

Three closing notes

1. Strategic threat: A titanic struggle is underway in Likud over the method for choosing the list of candidates for the next Knesset. The titans involved are Transportation Minister Yisrael Katz and Interior Minister Erdan. Katz, who is allied with MK Haim Katz (no relation), wants to transfer the power from Likud’s 130,000 registered members to the 3,000 members of the party’s central committee. Erdan sees this as an existential threat to his standing as number one in the party, following Gideon Sa’ar’s departure.

Erdan has been Netanyahu’s ally, confidant and chief loyalist for 20 years. He has never quarreled with the boss. He expects Netanyahu to side with him unreservedly against Katz. Should he have reason to suspect that Netanyahu is behaving otherwise, he is likely to draw conclusions, as the saying goes. And what conclusions!

2. Bloc head: Lapid announced Wednesday that he is running for prime minister. The polls give his party 9-11 seats, and only 7 percent of those asked think he is qualified to be prime minister. Apparently he hasn’t learned the lesson since the unfortunate television interview he gave, immediately after the last election, when he declared he would be the next prime minister.

The talks between the parties in the center-left camp (Labor, Kadima, Hatnuah, Yesh Atid, Meretz) on forging a bloc or a compound or an arena, before or after the election, to prevent Netanyahu from forming his fourth government, are in the nascent stage. The two big quandaries: Would such a bloc increase or decrease the collective number of Knesset seats? And who will be its candidate for prime minister?

As for the first question, all the parties will soon be conducting polls and so forth. The pollster and strategist for Yesh Atid, Mark Mellman, will arrive from the United States soon. He will conduct thorough research, lasting three weeks, and only on the basis of the results will Lapid decide how to proceed.

As for the second question, it involves ego, honor and prestige. Clearly, out of the whole group – Herzog, Livni, Mofaz and Lapid – Lapid is the least qualified, least experienced and least suitable. Nothing demonstrates this better than his behavior and deportment in the past 20 months. Herzog has the ability to be prime minister and manage a coalition, but not with the number of seats the polls are predicting for Labor – though that will undoubtedly change by Election Day.

But there are two additional relevant candidates. One is Lieberman, who is rebranding himself in the center-right camp as a responsible, highly experienced, judicious and pragmatic politician. The other is Moshe Kahlon, who’s looking like the new Yair Lapid of Israeli politics. His point of departure is 10-12 Knesset seats. But the sky’s the limit. Meanwhile, all the parties are feeling stressed by just one person: Kahlon. For them, he’s like the Ebola virus that’s threatening to spread and claim vast numbers of victims across the electoral spectrum.

The keyword is “rotation.” If, after the election, and depending on the result, Herzog and/or Lieberman and/or Kahlon agree to share the premiership between them – that will be the end of Netanyahu. That’s all that’s needed.

3. Total recall: The question of whether Netanyahu has arrived at a comprehensive deal with the Haredim on their participation in the next government, or just a partial deal, is unimportant. The decisions will be made when the results are in. Shas and United Torah Judaism will do what’s best for them.

It was different in 2008. That autumn, after Ehud Olmert’s resignation as prime minister, Livni received a mandate from the president to form a new government. She held talks with the two Haredi factions. But so did Netanyahu and Sa’ar, with the indirect, secret aid of Olmert, who was determined to prevent Livni from succeeding him.

By the time it became clear that Netanyahu would be the next prime minister, his agreements with the Haredim were airtight. Everything was decided in advance, including money for the yeshivas and who would get what jobs.

This week, Livni recalled how, in the midst of the useless talks she was holding with Shas and UTJ, former minister Shalom Simhon came over to her during a cabinet meeting.

“In Bibi’s next government,” he said to her, “Ariel Atias [from Shas] will be minister of housing, including responsibility for the Israel Lands Administration.” She was dumbfounded. Couldn’t believe it. Felt like she was in a dream. And so it was, so it was.

Volkerball
Oct 15, 2009

by FactsAreUseless

eSports Chaebol posted:

The pro-Israel lobby is singular though in that it is so effective without really bribing that much. I mean campaign contributions alone are nothing compared to getting a shot at a seven-figure sinecure after your public service is over which is the sort of thing other lobbies offer to effect regulatory capture. Of course a huge part of this story is that AIPAC isn't really as powerful as they appear (or think they are)—they just have limited influence that overlaps with a U.S. policy that is somewhat arbitrary and of questionable benefit, but still a firm status quo. If the anti-Cuban lobby were as prominent, people might think they're super powerful too, since the embargo makes no real political or pragmatic sense, but there it is.

I don't think that's true at all. AIPAC goes after dissenting politicians hard, which makes things difficult for politicians in minor districts where not a lot of money gets thrown around. It's nothing for AIPAC to hop in and get them outspent 10-1. Elizabeth Warren isn't earning herself a seven figure job anywhere, but she treads very carefully when it comes to Israeli issues. The bigger issue is that Jews are very prominent in the Democrat base of the northeast, and Evangelicals make up the Republican base. So both parties have to cater very staunchly towards the religious position on Israel and its right to exist. AIPAC didn't really create a power base. They just took what was already there, organized it, and gave it a Likud mouthpiece. That's why it doesn't matter if Israel's interests align with the US' or not. Politicians have to adapt their positions around it regardless. Even when influential Dems were getting noticeably upset about how Israel were attacking the US for its own domestic policy choices, they still disclaimered the poo poo out of any minor criticism so that it came out as if they weren't even criticizing them at all. The last guy to try it was Bush Senior after a settlement issue. Coincidentally, he's the only one-term President in the last 30 years.

eSports Chaebol
Feb 22, 2005

Yeah, actually, gamers in the house forever,

Dead Reckoning posted:

- G. W. Bush, 20 Sept 2001

Did you forget that Bush and Blair were so close that Blair ended up taking flak for it at home? I guarantee that, if Bush had said, "It is time to reexamine our relationship with Great Britain" or "I don't enitrely support NATO" it would have been a campaign issue. Similarly, Bush never had to tell the Saudis that he was on their side, because A) He was a former oil executive with another former oil executive as his VP, and B) his foreign policy during his first term was entirely harmonious with Saudi interests.

Uh the UK supported the Iraq war dude. I'm talking about Germany and France et al

eSports Chaebol
Feb 22, 2005

Yeah, actually, gamers in the house forever,

My Imaginary GF posted:

So is your issue with ~jews~ who support Israel? There are plenty of christian zionist organizations in America who lobby far to the right of AIPAC on most issues. Its the job of Palestinians to win over individuals to their cause. Clearly, the only individuals they've been effective at winning over are those who want them to die in order to advance their own interests.

The Palestinian tactics aren't working. They can either adapt new tactics, or continue to be ignored. One thing that may ease this would be the distinction of Gazans as non-Palestinians. When you're able to separate the discussion of Gazan issues from Palestinian issues, you're able to lobby from an improved position.

There are a bunch of rich American zionists, most of whom are Jewish, though of course there are plenty of rich Jewish people in America who aren't pro-Israel as well. But there's basically no rich pro-Palestinians in America. And guess what...there's a certain country who makes it a lot harder for ere to be a bunch of rich Palestinians...

My Imaginary GF
Jul 17, 2005

by R. Guyovich

eSports Chaebol posted:

Uh the UK supported the Iraq war dude. I'm talking about Germany and France et al

What do you think Bush's push for the AIDs policy was to benefit? It certainly didn't improve the humanitarian situation in American directly-administered overseas territory. You're pretty ignorant on political lobbying and interests, ya know?

eSports Chaebol posted:

There are a bunch of rich American zionists, most of whom are Jewish, though of course there are plenty of rich Jewish people in America who aren't pro-Israel as well. But there's basically no rich pro-Palestinians in America. And guess what...there's a certain country who makes it a lot harder for ere to be a bunch of rich Palestinians...

Ahem, ~Jews~. That's how your stance can be surmized, and thats how you come off. You need a better message if you want anyone to listen to you.

My Imaginary GF fucked around with this message at 23:07 on Dec 6, 2014

eSports Chaebol
Feb 22, 2005

Yeah, actually, gamers in the house forever,

My Imaginary GF posted:

What do you think Bush's push for the AIDs policy was to benefit? It certainly didn't improve the humanitarian situation in American directly-administered overseas territory. You're pretty ignorant on political lobbying and interests, ya know?

Uh wasn't that mostly in Africa? Are you saying Bush supported anti-AIDS measures in France and Germany despite their opposition to the Iraq War? You're gonna have to try to be at least somewhat sequitur

Absurd Alhazred
Mar 27, 2010

by Athanatos

My Imaginary GF posted:

What do you think Bush's push for the AIDs policy was to benefit? It certainly didn't improve the humanitarian situation in American directly-administered overseas territory. You're pretty ignorant on political lobbying and interests, ya know?

I think I have had an epiphany. You're in love with the rhetorical question; but the affection is not mutual. Rheta is cheating on you with remote contexts and presuppositions on reality entirely foreign to your own.

It is time for you to move on to the declarative statement, or, more persuasively, the well-founded syllogism.

Zulily Zoetrope
Jun 1, 2011

Muldoon

Dead Reckoning posted:

discuss how an effective Palestinian lobby might be organized

Sure, let's:

Step 1: Do anything at all with the intent of organizing a pro-Palestine lobby
Step 2: Be thoroughly attacked and probably slandered by the conservative media machine and AIPAC/the SWC et al.
Step 3: No politician wants to associate with you
Step 4: ???

Zulily Zoetrope fucked around with this message at 23:11 on Dec 6, 2014

eSports Chaebol
Feb 22, 2005

Yeah, actually, gamers in the house forever,

My Imaginary GF posted:

Ahem, ~Jews~. That's how your stance can be surmized, and thats how you come off. You need a better message if you want anyone to listen to you.

Ahem. You're the one posting this anti-Semitic bullshit. Shut the gently caress up.

My Imaginary GF
Jul 17, 2005

by R. Guyovich

eSports Chaebol posted:

Uh wasn't that mostly in Africa? Are you saying Bush supported anti-AIDS measures in France and Germany despite their opposition to the Iraq War? You're gonna have to try to be at least somewhat sequitur

Are you really so ignorant as to French colonial policy and EU import subsidizations and tarriffs that you're willing to say American funding of anti-AIDs policies isn't a French and German interest?

Volkerball
Oct 15, 2009

by FactsAreUseless

Kajeesus posted:

Sure, let's:

Step 1: Do anything at all with the intent of organizing a pro-Palestine lobby
Step 2: Be thoroughly attacked and probably slandered by the conservative media machine
Step 3: No politician wants to associate with you
Step 4: ???

Call Qatar.

eSports Chaebol
Feb 22, 2005

Yeah, actually, gamers in the house forever,

My Imaginary GF posted:

Are you really so ignorant as to French colonial policy and EU import subsidizations and tarriffs that you're willing to say American funding of anti-AIDs policies isn't a French and German interest?

No I'm saying it's entirely orthogonal to criticism or opposition to the Iraq War, not to mention orthogonal to this discussion, which itself is a tangent to begin with.

Absurd Alhazred
Mar 27, 2010

by Athanatos

Kajeesus posted:

Sure, let's:

Step 1: Do anything at all with the intent of organizing a pro-Palestine lobby
Step 2: Be thoroughly attacked and probably slandered by the conservative media machine
Step 3: No politician wants to associate with you
Step 4: ???
  1. Gather up all the intelligence insiders who have been repeatedly badmouthing blatant abuse of the special relationship by Israel for collection purposes
  2. Through them find defense industries that have interests at odds with blanket support for Israel.
  3. Offer to coordinate donations from them to politicians in areas where these might have a lot of influence, say some counties in NoVA.
  4. ???
  5. A new lobby is born. :3:

Volkerball
Oct 15, 2009

by FactsAreUseless

Absurd Alhazred posted:

  1. Gather up all the intelligence insiders who have been repeatedly badmouthing blatant abuse of the special relationship by Israel for collection purposes
  2. Through them find defense industries that have interests at odds with blanket support for Israel.
  3. Offer to coordinate donations from them to politicians in areas where these might have a lot of influence, say some counties in NoVA.
  4. ???
  5. A new lobby is born. :3:

There should really be a schoolhouse rock episode on lobbying groups.

My Imaginary GF
Jul 17, 2005

by R. Guyovich

Absurd Alhazred posted:

  1. Gather up all the intelligence insiders who have been repeatedly badmouthing blatant abuse of the special relationship by Israel for collection purposes
  2. Through them find defense industries that have interests at odds with blanket support for Israel.
  3. Offer to coordinate donations from them to politicians in areas where these might have a lot of influence, say some counties in NoVA.
  4. ???
  5. A new lobby is born. :3:

We have that. Just because you don't attend the fundraisers, doesn't mean we don't have that.

Dead Reckoning
Sep 13, 2011

eSports Chaebol posted:

The thing is there are way more American elites who feel a kinship with Israel than with Palestine, like Sheldon Adelson alone is huge. How many rich people anywhere in the world even give a real poo poo about Palestine instead of just claiming to? There's no parallel diaspora.
So your beef is that our politicians are responsive to the desires of constituents and likely donors?

Kajeesus posted:

Step 1: Do anything at all with the intent of organizing a pro-Palestine lobby
Step 2: Be thoroughly attacked and probably slandered by the conservative media machine and AIPAC/the SWC et al.
Step 3: No politician wants to associate with you
Step 4: ???
If your standard for action is, "we can't do anything that will get us called out on Fox News," you're either running for the Republican nomination in '16, or have no one to blame but yourself when your pet causes are ignored.

Absurd Alhazred
Mar 27, 2010

by Athanatos

My Imaginary GF posted:

We have that. Just because you don't attend the fundraisers, doesn't mean we don't have that.

Well, gee, I'm sorry I don't go to fundraisers, as I'm currently a Physics PhD student and not a lobbyist. I'll be sure to give you a call when I've turned my coat. :buddy:

Volkerball posted:

There should really be a schoolhouse rock episode on lobbying groups.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hKhXxvT9iak

Volkerball
Oct 15, 2009

by FactsAreUseless

My Imaginary GF posted:

We have that. Just because you don't attend the fundraisers, doesn't mean we don't have that.

What, J Street? :allears:

eSports Chaebol
Feb 22, 2005

Yeah, actually, gamers in the house forever,

Dead Reckoning posted:

So your beef is that our politicians are responsive to the desires of constituents and likely donors?

Yes, politics being beholden to money is a beef I have. Is it so absurd?

CommieGIR
Aug 22, 2006

The blue glow is a feature, not a bug


Pillbug

Absurd Alhazred posted:

Well, gee, I'm sorry I don't go to fundraisers, as I'm currently a Physics PhD student and not a lobbyist. I'll be sure to give you a call when I've turned my coat. :buddy:

Hey fellow Physics student! :pipe:

My Imaginary GF
Jul 17, 2005

by R. Guyovich

Volkerball posted:

What, J Street? :allears:

When it comes to JStreet and AIPAC, you know what my stance is on who I'd rather turn to first for money. JACPAC is a decent organization, as well, and I'm sure there are even more, narrowly-focused Israeli issue lobbies.

All it really costs to begin to find out is $35 - $250 minimum a quarter, which includes your meal and drink, so something even Absurd Alhazred could afford if he had will to get involved and make a differencr.

Absurd Alhazred
Mar 27, 2010

by Athanatos

CommieGIR posted:

Hey fellow Physics student! :pipe:

:tipshat: What's happening? :cheers: Being a war-averse Physicist, following in the footsteps of ol'e Bobby Op?

My Imaginary GF posted:

When it comes to JStreet and AIPAC, you know what my stance is on who I'd rather turn to first for money. JACPAC is a decent organization, as well, and I'm sure there are even more, narrowly-focused Israeli issue lobbies.

All it really costs to begin to find out is $35 - $250 minimum a quarter, which includes your meal and drink, so something even Absurd Alhazred could afford if he had will to get involved and make a differencr.

For a lobbyist and policy wonk, you sure do mix the public and the private way too much. I'm doing more State lobbying this year, anyway, we'll see about national if I'm still in country next year. You want to chat about that, well, we will appreciate your contribution to the facilitation of communication in this dire funding environment for graduate students. :homebrew:

Absurd Alhazred fucked around with this message at 23:29 on Dec 6, 2014

CommieGIR
Aug 22, 2006

The blue glow is a feature, not a bug


Pillbug

My Imaginary GF posted:

When it comes to JStreet and AIPAC, you know what my stance is on who I'd rather turn to first for money. JACPAC is a decent organization, as well, and I'm sure there are even more, narrowly-focused Israeli issue lobbies.

All it really costs to begin to find out is $35 - $250 minimum a quarter, which includes your meal and drink, so something even Absurd Alhazred could afford if he had will to get involved and make a differencr.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Joint_Action_Committee_for_Political_Affairs

Holy gently caress dude. No. This is biased as poo poo.

Absurd Alhazred posted:

:tipshat: What's happening? :cheers: Being a war-averse Physicist, following in the footsteps of ol'e Bobby Op?

Haha, hopefully I won't get betrayed by my own personal Eddie Teller. I'm trying to steer clear of the nuclear weapons influence, focusing on thorium research and power production.

A couple of the physics professors I work with worked at Oak Ridge and Los Alamos, and were weaponeers. They got a lot of good research done on the government dime, but they got out due to personal views.

CommieGIR fucked around with this message at 23:31 on Dec 6, 2014

Absurd Alhazred
Mar 27, 2010

by Athanatos

CommieGIR posted:

Haha, hopefully I won't get betrayed by my own personal Eddie Teller. I'm trying to steer clear of the nuclear weapons influence, focusing on thorium research and power production.

Awesome stuff. Wish I were doing something like that instead of the really abstract theoretical rubbish my dissertation's on.

Speaking of nuclear, Eishton, anonymous Israeli commentator on various issues, tied in the Eilat-Ashkelon Pipeline Company to Israel's alleged nuclear facilities with a long, rambling post (in Hebrew) in which it turns out that that company was actually created together with Iran to provide it with an oil route to the Med without having to go through Egypt's Suez Canal. Apparently the current owners still owe money to Iran as they unilaterally expropriated the enterprise sometime after the Islamic Revolution. That's also some of the reason that the company's business is classified, therefore under reduced public scrutiny, therefore oil leaks and craziness, which brings up concerns for the "Textile Factory" in Dimona, which is also not under public scrutiny, therefore a fuckup waiting to happen.

CommieGIR
Aug 22, 2006

The blue glow is a feature, not a bug


Pillbug

Absurd Alhazred posted:

Awesome stuff. Wish I were doing something like that instead of the really abstract theoretical rubbish my dissertation's on.

Don't feel bad, you are no doubt far ahead of me, I'm a poor little undergrad.

My Imaginary GF
Jul 17, 2005

by R. Guyovich

Absurd Alhazred posted:

Awesome stuff. Wish I were doing something like that instead of the really abstract theoretical rubbish my dissertation's on.

Speaking of nuclear, Eishton, anonymous Israeli commentator on various issues, tied in the Eilat-Ashkelon Pipeline Company to Israel's alleged nuclear facilities with a long, rambling post (in Hebrew) in which it turns out that that company was actually created together with Iran to provide it with an oil route to the Med without having to go through Egypt's Suez Canal. Apparently the current owners still owe money to Iran as they unilaterally expropriated the enterprise sometime after the Islamic Revolution. That's also some of the reason that the company's business is classified, therefore under reduced public scrutiny, therefore oil leaks and craziness, which brings up concerns for the "Textile Factory" in Dimona, which is also not under public scrutiny, therefore a fuckup waiting to happen.

Textile factory is certainly one of the better euphamisms I've heard.

Volkerball
Oct 15, 2009

by FactsAreUseless
Isaac Herzog's speech at Saban Forum is up on youtube now.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5djelOu-grU#t=1068

For those of you who don't know, Herzog is the opposition leader in the Knesset. Were the far right to be thrown out in elections, he'd be Prime Minister. This speech and question answering session are his plea for Israel to do that. It's a very good "state of the left" type thing.

NathanScottPhillips
Jul 23, 2009

My Imaginary GF posted:

The deal is that Hamas' endorsement of today's synagogue massacre demonstrates the reality of their ambitions: they retain actual genocidal intentions.

Some folks who defend Hamas therefore blame Israel for Hamas' possession of genocidal intent.
Well since 60% of Gaza is under 18 and 40% under 14 and live in a place where books are banned I think we can understand why they act so childish.

Absurd Alhazred
Mar 27, 2010

by Athanatos

Volkerball posted:

Isaac Herzog's speech at Saban Forum is up on youtube now.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5djelOu-grU#t=1068

For those of you who don't know, Herzog is the opposition leader in the Knesset. Were the far right to be thrown out in elections, he'd be Prime Minister. This speech and question answering session are his plea for Israel to do that. It's a very good "state of the left" type thing.

That is not quite accurate. He is head of what was until Lapid's firing the biggest opposition party. If his is a big enough party after the elections and there are enough non-right-wing parties to form a majority coalition, then he could become prime minister. But even if he gets the biggest party, we could see a replay of 2009, where Likud did not get the most seats but was still able to form a coalition otherunder Netanyahu.

(Edited for brainfart removal)

Absurd Alhazred fucked around with this message at 00:14 on Dec 7, 2014

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Volkerball
Oct 15, 2009

by FactsAreUseless

Absurd Alhazred posted:

That is not quite accurate. He is head of what was until Lapid's firing the biggest opposition party. If his is a big enough party after the elections and there are enough non-right-wing parties to form a majority coalition, then he could become prime minister. But even if he gets the biggest party, we could see a replay of 2009, where Likud did not get the most seats but was still able to form a coalition other Netanyahu.

He wasn't just the leader of Labor. He was the leader of the coalition with the Muslim Brotherhood and several other parties.

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