Register a SA Forums Account here!
JOINING THE SA FORUMS WILL REMOVE THIS BIG AD, THE ANNOYING UNDERLINED ADS, AND STUPID INTERSTITIAL ADS!!!

You can: log in, read the tech support FAQ, or request your lost password. This dumb message (and those ads) will appear on every screen until you register! Get rid of this crap by registering your own SA Forums Account and joining roughly 150,000 Goons, for the one-time price of $9.95! We charge money because it costs us money per month for bills, and since we don't believe in showing ads to our users, we try to make the money back through forum registrations.
 
  • Locked thread
Fried Chicken
Jan 9, 2011

Don't fry me, I'm no chicken!
Reminder: King v Burwell is slated for SCOTUS hearings in March. For those who don't recall, this is the legal challenge to the ACA on providing subsidies, because at one point in the law it specifies state exchanges are eligible for them, not federal. The law mentions federal exchanges and subsidies at two other points in it and we have terabytes worth of politicians discussing it showing the subsidies were from all exchanges, but the counter to that is a guy who didn't pass the law said subsidies weren't for federal exchanges and the GOP really wants the ACA to fail, so that's a pretty heavy point to make.

GOP still has no health care plan btw. And the ACA is still working better than even optimistic predictions expected

Adbot
ADBOT LOVES YOU

ComradeCosmobot
Dec 4, 2004

USPOL July

Fried Chicken posted:

GOP still has no health care plan btw. And the ACA is still working better than even optimistic predictions expected

I was under the impression that, on several occasions last term, the Republicans had proposed a "plan", if you can call "repeal Obamacare and then pass all the stuff we liked about it in a piecemeal fashion, also tort reform" a plan.

Hodgepodge
Jan 29, 2006
Probation
Can't post for 208 days!
It's worth noting that if the price of oil from the tar sands goes to high, the result is that their profitability dies. The current downfall of oil prices has been something of a blow to their profitability, and it can be amusing how quickly their political star fades whenever that happens.

That means a lot more when you consider that they're not exactly that popular here in Canada. Making them more profitable could well be a factor in their continued operation, and not doing so makes it substantially more likely that they will at least be more highly regulated in the future.

Especially since Steven Harper is sort of reaching the expiry date for viability as a Prime Minister and the tar sands are very much something he would choose as his hill to die on.

woke wedding drone
Jun 1, 2003

by exmarx
Fun Shoe

My Imaginary GF posted:

You wanna know why a donation's made, and how you can get in on that moneytrain for your % commish? You identify the big men in your state and look at their committee's public disclosures.

Next, you take a look at all contributions at the lege level in your state. What you're looking for are trends in giving, and it helps to know who gets what through which bill when and how and where the records to find out are. So, let's say you spot $200k over the past decade by a single individual to one of the big men in town. What next?

Well, you find that individual's other contribution history. If your big man runs a tight ship, its highly likely that those one-off donations by that individual to 10 candidates during the same quarter came from an ask by the big man. You mark this and file it for when you make your ask to the big man after you've established your rapport.

Best to think of politicians as capital investments with high risk and higher return. When you've gotten a sufficiently large enough social register, you find a way to introduce yourself and make a patron think they've picked you and been the one to suggest your run for office. This makes them a stakeholder in your campaign and lowers the cost of your future asks.

What does it take to get to the point where you need to begin to value your policy positions? Your ability to secure 51% of the average cost for the position you seek under the patron's control. In Chicago, the average council election costs $500k, so this puts you on the hook for $251k. How do you get that $251k? By shaking down everyone you know until you either bust out or win. You start with the folks who can't refuse you: family. You value how much your parents can bundle for you, and you be precise. I don't give a poo poo what your family does, I want you to turn them into some loving money. If your family isn't out there bundling on your behalf, good loving luck entering American politics.

Next, you turn to trusted friends, folks who want your social approval. You value how much spare capacity they have in their funding availability and you make a direct ask, to their face, and you don't accept no. You don't have to name the ask amount at first; you have an ask goal in mind that you refuse to go lower than, and allow your friends to name their commitment so they have ownership over the amount. You write it down, you keep track, and you hound the poo poo out of them every time you see them until they meet that amount.

After, you turn to those with axes to grind against your opponent and whose interests you seek to represent. Finally, you turn to cold calling the whales with tailored asks that make you stand out from the crowd.

And that's how you get elected to council so you can show folk you're a very serious person who they can invest in for your run for Congress or state leg (with Congress in mind after next re-districting).

E:

Now with those whitey $$$, what you gotta figure out is where in this process their contributions came in. Was it daddy bundling some contributions from the country club resulting in grandpa's war buddy giving you some cash, or was it a direct ask to some dudes in the Illinois Nazi Party for their support on some issues of racial significance to secure white votes in Chicagoland?

Again, you work at a Subway.

Hodgepodge
Jan 29, 2006
Probation
Can't post for 208 days!

SedanChair posted:

Again, you work at a Subway.

Is the Subway at least in Chicago?

The Warszawa
Jun 6, 2005

Look at me. Look at me.

I am the captain now.

SedanChair posted:

Again, you work at a Subway.

C'mon, it's an Arby's.

Also I didn't realize until just now that Rahm's middle name was actually Israel.

fool of sound
Oct 10, 2012

Hodgepodge posted:

Is the Subway at least in Chicago?

No better place for high-powered glad-handling.

Fried Chicken
Jan 9, 2011

Don't fry me, I'm no chicken!

ComradeCosmobot posted:

I was under the impression that, on several occasions last term, the Republicans had proposed a "plan", if you can call "repeal Obamacare and then pass all the stuff we liked about it in a piecemeal fashion, also tort reform" a plan.

I don't think voting to repeal a law and saying they will, at some later date, do something (they won't say what) with a law (thus far unwritten) that will accomplish *talking point* through some mechanism (unknown and without empirical support) with the bonus of it won't cost anything and the can fit on a napkin constitutes a plan.

Of course, what I just described was the "plan" for Iraq, so hey, I guess by their standards it is.

On a different topic: You’re being very disrespectful walking around like that,” said one NYPD officer to ANIMAL photographer Aymann Ismail as he documented cops with their backs turned.

woke wedding drone
Jun 1, 2003

by exmarx
Fun Shoe
Oh yeah, I remember what else I was going to ask. Then what?

You sell out your friends, you get money and power. Your new friends are hollow, you're hollow. What then? You win?

My Imaginary GF
Jul 17, 2005

by R. Guyovich

SedanChair posted:

Oh yeah, I remember what else I was going to ask. Then what?

You sell out your friends, you get money and power. Your new friends are hollow, you're hollow. What then? You win?

#winning #dialfordollars #MembersOnly

Of course you loving win. You keep making new friends and hollowing them out until they can pay no more.

A Shitty Reporter
Oct 29, 2012
Dinosaur Gum
No, because eventually you grow old and die, and all that's left is a world that's worse off and the decomposing body of someone who didn't care about other human beings.

Post 9-11 User
Apr 14, 2010
I am beginning to suspect that you are literally Rahm Imanuel.

Carl Levin, one of the Senators that actually voted against the Iraq war powers insanity, paints a rosy picture for the Senate as he retires:

quote:

"I will love my work until my last day here and...I will leave here with unabashed confidence in the Senate's ability to weather storms and meet the nation's needs," Levin said last month during his farewell address on the Senate floor.

"I know the Senate can do better," the Democrat added, "because I have seen it happen with my own eyes."

He's also a commie, apparently:

quote:

"There will be a real battle royal on tax reform," Levin said, "to benefit people who need the most support, instead of having growing wealth among the wealthy."
http://www.mlive.com/lansing-news/index.ssf/2015/01/as_carl_levin_retires_michigan.html

Place your bets on what deranged psychopath will fill the vacancy he leaves behind on the Senate Armed Services Committee. How will they one-up having Michelle Bachmann on an intelligence committee?

Shifty Pony
Dec 28, 2004

Up ta somethin'


How quickly we forget

US truck sales up on cheap gas and easy credit

quote:

Spurred by low gasoline prices, pickup truck and large SUV sales surged in the month.

Sales of GM pickup trucks Chevrolet Silverado and GMC Sierra surged 35 percent to 81,273, outpacing the F-Series pickups from Ford, which were flat at 74,355 vehicles. Ford's F-150 pickup truck sales remain limited due to the rollout of a new version.

Fiat Chrysler Automobiles' Ram Truck brand pickup sales soared 32 percent to 44,222 units.

A Shitty Reporter
Oct 29, 2012
Dinosaur Gum
Forget? We never learned in the first place. Why bother, when it's so much easier to be short-sighted, clueless and greedy?

Jazerus
May 24, 2011



Welp, guess low prices are totally the new normal and will definitely last the lifetime of my vehicle, better buy a gas guzzler :downs:

zoux
Apr 28, 2006


People really have no business making their own decisions.

Evil Fluffy
Jul 13, 2009

Scholars are some of the most pompous and pedantic people I've ever had the joy of meeting.

Good Citizen posted:

Because it wouldn't change the outcome of the vote

Yes but what kind of RINO in Conservative Clothing is he to have had the support of democrats? :freep:

Fried Chicken posted:

Reminder: King v Burwell is slated for SCOTUS hearings in March. For those who don't recall, this is the legal challenge to the ACA on providing subsidies, because at one point in the law it specifies state exchanges are eligible for them, not federal. The law mentions federal exchanges and subsidies at two other points in it and we have terabytes worth of politicians discussing it showing the subsidies were from all exchanges, but the counter to that is a guy who didn't pass the law said subsidies weren't for federal exchanges and the GOP really wants the ACA to fail, so that's a pretty heavy point to make.

GOP still has no health care plan btw. And the ACA is still working better than even optimistic predictions expected

It'd be nice if the SOTU was an actually report on the state of the country. But that'd involve things like Obama talking about how the ACA is helping millions but how the GOP is trying to do everything they can to get it repealed because they're spiteful children. It'd also require mentioning how hosed up our infrastructure is and that it's going to have to be fixed/replaced but that costs money.

My Imaginary GF
Jul 17, 2005

by R. Guyovich

Evil Fluffy posted:

Yes but what kind of RINO in Conservative Clothing is he to have had the support of democrats? :freep:


It'd be nice if the SOTU was an actually report on the state of the country. But that'd involve things like Obama talking about how the ACA is helping millions but how the GOP is trying to do everything they can to get it repealed because they're spiteful children. It'd also require mentioning how hosed up our infrastructure is and that it's going to have to be fixed/replaced but that costs money.

Obama thinks he can work with Republicans on issues where he agrees with their policy positions, like tax reform. For him, why ruin that working relationship by flouting how loving awesome ACA is?

And folks call me delusional. Resign

Boot and Rally
Apr 21, 2006

8===D
Nap Ghost

zoux posted:

People really have no business making their own decisions.

How much of this has to do with people not understanding the genesis of gas prices? I mean, if you blame Obummer and Dumb-o-crats and see gas prices fall when Republicans take over the legislature (or get voted into it), perhaps there is at least some kind of reasoning. I really want to believe poor decisions come from poor reasoning and not just dumbassery.

zoux
Apr 28, 2006

Boot and Rally posted:

How much of this has to do with people not understanding the genesis of gas prices? I mean, if you blame Obummer and Dumb-o-crats and see gas prices fall when Republicans take over the legislature (or get voted into it), perhaps there is at least some kind of reasoning. I really want to believe poor decisions come from poor reasoning and not just dumbassery.

Basically all of it? Also poor reasoning is synonymous with dumbassery.

eviltastic
Feb 8, 2004

Fan of Britches

Evil Fluffy posted:

It'd be nice if the SOTU was an actually report on the state of the country. But that'd involve things like Obama talking about how the ACA is helping millions but how the GOP is trying to do everything they can to get it repealed because they're spiteful children.

That was prominently in his 2014 speech, dunno why he'd take it out this time around.

Shifty Pony
Dec 28, 2004

Up ta somethin'


zoux posted:

People really have no business making their own decisions.

To be fair new trucks get much much better gas mileage than they did in the 90s and early 2000s.

But then again so do all other cars.

Submarine Sandpaper
May 27, 2007


Boot and Rally posted:

How much of this has to do with people not understanding the genesis of gas prices? I mean, if you blame Obummer and Dumb-o-crats and see gas prices fall when Republicans take over the legislature (or get voted into it), perhaps there is at least some kind of reasoning. I really want to believe poor decisions come from poor reasoning and not just dumbassery.
A vast majority of people who buy trucks are loving retarded as is, having no need for one in suburbia regardless of gas prices.

computer parts
Nov 18, 2010

PLEASE CLAP

Shifty Pony posted:

To be fair new trucks get much much better gas mileage than they did in the 90s and early 2000s.

But then again so do all other cars.

Looking at the GMC Sierra, you can get similar gas mileage compared with a Subaru Outback from four years ago.

zoux
Apr 28, 2006

computer parts posted:

Looking at the GMC Sierra, you can get similar gas mileage compared with a Subaru Outback from four years ago.

The liberals have won :negative:

Gounads
Mar 13, 2013

Where am I?
How did I get here?

ComradeCosmobot posted:

I was under the impression that, on several occasions last term, the Republicans had proposed a "plan", if you can call "repeal Obamacare and then pass all the stuff we liked about it in a piecemeal fashion, also tort reform" a plan.

Which doesn't work since they like covering pre-existing conditions and don't like the individual mandate which bankrupts insurance companies.

IT'S A SECRET REPUBLICAN PLAN TO GO TO SINGLE PAYER AND BLAME IT ON SOCIALIST DEMOCRATS?

My Imaginary GF
Jul 17, 2005

by R. Guyovich

zoux posted:

The liberals have won :negative:

liberals have truly won when you can power your SUV with LNG

woke wedding drone
Jun 1, 2003

by exmarx
Fun Shoe
I've wanted to sell my Civic hybrid and get something cheaper for like a year. But if I do it now, Shankar Vedantam will talk about me with a smart-assed tone of voice and Scott Simon will be like "how can humans be this laughable?" and Vedantam will be like "we're mammals! Especially you SedanChair."

PupsOfWar
Dec 6, 2013

Post 9-11 User posted:


Place your bets on what deranged psychopath will fill the vacancy he leaves behind on the Senate Armed Services Committee. How will they one-up having Michelle Bachmann on an intelligence committee?

They already did that by tapping Inhofe to chair Environmental

Shifty Pony
Dec 28, 2004

Up ta somethin'


computer parts posted:

Looking at the GMC Sierra, you can get similar gas mileage compared with a Subaru Outback from four years ago.

All wheel drive really eats into fuel economy.

There is also arguably a bit of a bubble in auto financing, especially subprime. You can get insanely long auto loans now.

Islam is the Lite Rock FM
Jul 27, 2007

by exmarx
All wheel drive rocks if you live somewhere that gets winter.

However, Joe Schmuck in Scottsdale driving his F350 Super Duty can politely go idle in his closed garage.

Nintendo Kid
Aug 4, 2011

by Smythe

DemeaninDemon posted:

All wheel drive rocks if you live somewhere that gets winter.

However, Joe Schmuck in Scottsdale driving his F350 Super Duty can politely go idle in his closed garage.

See that's the funny thing. Due to modern exhaust regulations, most vehicles aren't capable of killing you with exhaust before they run out of fuel.

computer parts
Nov 18, 2010

PLEASE CLAP

Shifty Pony posted:

All wheel drive really eats into fuel economy.

There is also arguably a bit of a bubble in auto financing, especially subprime. You can get insanely long auto loans now.

Oh yeah, I've seen 8 year loans for cars when previously I didn't think anything beyond 3 years was common.

The real gimmick these days is leasing though, a bunch of people are applying the same logic to it as they do to renting apartments too.

LorneReams
Jun 27, 2003
I'm bizarre

DemeaninDemon posted:

All wheel drive rocks if you live somewhere that gets winter.

However, Joe Schmuck in Scottsdale driving his F350 Super Duty can politely go idle in his closed garage.

AWD seems to be a false crutch that gets people killed where I live.

TyroneGoldstein
Mar 30, 2005

computer parts posted:

Oh yeah, I've seen 8 year loans for cars when previously I didn't think anything beyond 3 years was common.

The real gimmick these days is leasing though, a bunch of people are applying the same logic to it as they do to renting apartments too.

60 month is pretty common and always has been. 36 month lease/own are usually for people looking to dump the car after 3 years or just want a new one on a rolling basis and don't care. Magically, cars rapidly depreciate after the 3rd year...

HUGE PUBES A PLUS
Apr 30, 2005

Don't forget vehicle sales for business. Depreciation of vehicles also hinges on how many years you can use the car or truck as a write off before it's time to trade it in for something else.

Evil Fluffy
Jul 13, 2009

Scholars are some of the most pompous and pedantic people I've ever had the joy of meeting.

TyroneGoldstein posted:

60 month is pretty common and always has been. 36 month lease/own are usually for people looking to dump the car after 3 years or just want a new one on a rolling basis and don't care. Magically, cars rapidly depreciate after the 3rd year...

If you don't buy used you're just being dumb. Buy a 2-3 year old car that's 90% as good as a brand new vehicle and can cost half as much. Maybe costs 2/3 as much if you managed to get a hold of a vehicle off of a low mileage 3 year lease. Still worth saving 5-10k by buying a car that has maybe 20k miles on it though. Save the difference and use it on other things besides a car payment. Bonus points if buying used lets you skip getting a loan and pissing away thousands of dollars in interest.

Shifty Pony
Dec 28, 2004

Up ta somethin'


Evil Fluffy posted:

If you don't buy used you're just being dumb. Buy a 2-3 year old car that's 90% as good as a brand new vehicle and can cost half as much. Maybe costs 2/3 as much if you managed to get ahold of a vehicle off of a low mileage 3 year lease. Still worth saving 5-10k by buying a car that has maybe 20k miles on it though.

Looks like someone hasn't looked at the used car market lately.

About the only way to get a 2-3 year old low mileage used car for 60-70% of new is to buy a salvage title or a Chevrolet.

Fried Chicken
Jan 9, 2011

Don't fry me, I'm no chicken!

Shifty Pony posted:

Looks like someone hasn't looked at the used car market lately.

About the only way to get a 2-3 year old low mileage used car for 60-70% of new is to buy a salvage title or a Chevrolet.

I must be an anomaly then, because I managed it.

Anecdotes, yay!

Adbot
ADBOT LOVES YOU

Gin and Juche
Apr 3, 2008

The Highest Judge of Paradise
Shiki Eiki
YAMAXANADU

Shifty Pony posted:

Looks like someone hasn't looked at the used car market lately.

About the only way to get a 2-3 year old low mileage used car for 60-70% of new is to buy a salvage title or a Chevrolet.

Maybe depends on the area but I've had pretty good luck with used cars the last few years. In 2012 getting a year old low mileage Elantra for about $5-6k less than used. Then after some lady totaled it for me getting a low mileage year old loaded Altima for about 2/3 the cost of a new.

Fried Chicken posted:

I must be an anomaly then, because I managed it.

Anecdotes, yay!

Wanna make a club?

  • Locked thread