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Kim Jong Il
Aug 16, 2003

emanresu tnuocca posted:

Regardless as for MIGF's actual (asinine) point as for the disengagement effectively killing the prospects of a two state solution this is simply bullshit, the major obstacles facing any possible two state solution have always been the presence of settlers in territories with a majority palestinian population and the lack of territorial contingency between the west bank and gaza, neither of these 'parameters' have been altered by the disengagement from Gaza, if he's arguing that the two state solution is more dead now than it was in 2005 due to the Israeli citizenry being less inclined to support further withdrawals this is also bullshit cause the biggest change in Israeli perceptions ought to be attributed to the second intifada (Sharon visiting the temple mount in 2000 says hi).

That's bullshit pretext and you know it. The second intifada was a deliberate provocation by Fatah to try to gain additional leverage against Barak.

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emanresu tnuocca
Sep 2, 2011

by Athanatos

Kim Jong Il posted:

That's bullshit pretext and you know it. The second intifada was a deliberate provocation by Fatah to try to gain additional leverage against Barak.

I think that the bloodiest conflict in the history of Israel and Palestine likely had more to it than merely 'sticking it to Barak', the line about Sharon was mostly cause Avshalom is hanging around the thread, it was still an unnecesary provocation, perhaps not more than a casus belli but that too makes it rather irresponsible, particularly considering Sharon was an atheist.

Avshalom
Feb 14, 2012

by Lowtax
he would never do such a thing

SyHopeful
Jun 24, 2007
May an IDF soldier mistakenly gun down my own parents and face no repercussions i'd totally be cool with it cuz accidents are unavoidable in a low-intensity conflict, man

Avshalom posted:

he would never do such a thing

does the lazy eye turn you on? You could drown in one while being objectified by the other....:sax:

Bear Retrieval Unit
Nov 5, 2009

Mudslide Experiment

emanresu tnuocca posted:

particularly considering Sharon was an atheist.
:pwn:

For real?

Avshalom
Feb 14, 2012

by Lowtax

SyHopeful posted:

does the lazy eye turn you on? You could drown in one while being objectified by the other....:sax:
i do think it was kind of cute, he looked like a frog :kimchi:

Avshalom
Feb 14, 2012

by Lowtax

loquacius
Oct 21, 2008


Obligatory reminder that Israel does not share America's correlation between political conservatism and religious fervor, and that Zionism started as a socialist movement.

Duckbox
Sep 7, 2007

I don't know if it's actually that different, Loq. The Republican party didn't make its unholy alliance with the Religious Right until the 70s. For instance, Richard Nixon, a man as right wing as they come, was raised Quaker (if you can believe it), but his religion barely entered into his public identity at all and there's an ongoing debate over how observant he was (many of the Quakers I've know are all too happy to disown him). Plenty of American conservatives to this day, particularly in the money wing of the party, aren't very religious. There's even groups like the Randists who are explicitly Atheist. American conservatives may thump the Bible when it's convenient, and their voter base certainly has more fundamentalists, but in my experience, the average Republican elected official really isn't that much more religious than the average Democrat. The Israeli right wing actually seems to have a somewhat analogous relationship with their religious right in that the mainstream elements use the support of groups like the Haredim -- groups they may not actually have that much in common with -- to bolster their legitimacy as defenders of the Jewish State much the same way Republicans trumpet Christian values.

Your comment about socialism being a much bigger factor in Israel is right on though.

emanresu tnuocca
Sep 2, 2011

by Athanatos

He was obviously a secular jew who didn't observe almost any of the Mitzvahs, whether he was a dawkins atheist, more agnostic or if he actually did believe in the jewish god but thought that nothing short of the "Israel is for jews" crap matters I don't really know, he paid lip service to zionist biblicisms and the such like many Israeli prime ministers do, even though they were all secular and most likely somewhere on the atheist/agnostic scale, who knows, he certainly didn't go to visit the temple mount on account of being a True Believer.

Avshalom
Feb 14, 2012

by Lowtax
You don't have to be rigidly orthodox to consider the Temple Mount a sacred site. Every Jew has a right to visit it, just like Muslims and Christians do.

emanresu tnuocca
Sep 2, 2011

by Athanatos
What about atheists?

I don't really care who visits that hill or doesn't, I think though that a high profile politician, particularly one such as Sharon who's shown he had some measure of long term vision and restraint (during his latter years of course) should avoid unnecessary provocations.

Avshalom
Feb 14, 2012

by Lowtax
An atheist Jew is still a Jew.

Fuck You And Diebold
Sep 15, 2004

by Athanatos

Avshalom posted:

An atheist Jew is still a Jew.

But are they jewish.

emanresu tnuocca
Sep 2, 2011

by Athanatos

Avshalom posted:

An atheist Jew is still a Jew.

Only cause he's labeled as such by others, to quote Sarah Silverman, I only consider myself jewish in the sense that it oozes from my pores.

Bear Retrieval Unit
Nov 5, 2009

Mudslide Experiment

loquacius posted:

Obligatory reminder that Israel does not share America's correlation between political conservatism and religious fervor, and that Zionism started as a socialist movement.

Early Zionizm what what passes for Zionizm today are entirely different things. And while Israeli candidates don't have to say "god bless Israel" at the end of every speech to pay lip service, an openly atheist candidate would get an unbelievable amount of poo poo from almost the entire right wing and a significant part of the :airquote:center:airquote: be it the Haredi parties, the settlers, or just traditional people. I found the claim that Sharon being was atheist so surprising because I don't remember anything like that happening.

Avshalom
Feb 14, 2012

by Lowtax
My Ariel was not an atheist. He was a man of the Lord, and the Lord smiled on him until he inevitably had to fall back into the Plan.

emanresu tnuocca
Sep 2, 2011

by Athanatos

Bear Retrieval Unit posted:

Early Zionizm what what passes for Zionizm today are entirely different things. And while Israeli candidates don't have to say "god bless Israel" at the end of every speech to pay lip service, an openly atheist candidate would get an unbelievable amount of poo poo from almost the entire right wing and a significant part of the :airquote:center:airquote: be it the Haredi parties, the settlers, or just traditional people. I found the claim that Sharon being was atheist so surprising because I don't remember anything like that happening.

I'm not that sure about that, Barak is clearly an atheist, Ben Gurion was one too, as I said maybe they were agnostic on some level but no Israeli prime minister to date was a religious person, not religious in the sense of being an observant Jew like say Naftali Bennett but also not religious in the sense of having strong religious beliefs a-la George W. Bush, splitting hairs irt to their exact stance concerning the almighty we could perhaps argue about this but they were all clearly secular, didn't observe the sabbath (most important Mitzvah) and the such, if you want to consider them as existing in the twilight zone of 'not actually practicing jew but having strong jewish superstitions' and it makes a difference for you what can I say, I tend to view most secular jews as atheistic/agnostic on some level. I think we can both agree that Arik didn't ascend the temple mount due to his own personal religious zeal.

Fuck You And Diebold
Sep 15, 2004

by Athanatos

Avshalom posted:

My Ariel was not an atheist. He was a man of the Lord, and the Lord smiled on him until he inevitably had to fall back into the Plan.

Noo what happened to your av.

Cat Mattress
Jul 14, 2012

by Cyrano4747

emanresu tnuocca posted:

Only cause he's labeled as such by others, to quote Sarah Silverman, I only consider myself jewish in the sense that it oozes from my pores.

Like sweat?

I had a wisecrack about hygiene but it sounded bad.

Bear Retrieval Unit
Nov 5, 2009

Mudslide Experiment

emanresu tnuocca posted:

I'm not that sure about that, Barak is clearly an atheist, Ben Gurion was one too, as I said maybe they were agnostic on some level but no Israeli prime minister to date was a religious person, not religious in the sense of being an observant Jew like say Naftali Bennett but also not religious in the sense of having strong religious beliefs a-la George W. Bush, splitting hairs irt to their exact stance concerning the almighty we could perhaps argue about this but they were all clearly secular, didn't observe the sabbath (most important Mitzvah) and the such, if you want to consider them as existing in the twilight zone of 'not actually practicing jew but having strong jewish superstitions' and it makes a difference for you what can I say, I tend to view most secular jews as atheistic/agnostic on some level. I think we can both agree that Arik didn't ascend the temple mount due to his own personal religious zeal.

The way it feels to me at least is that while it doesn't really matter in practice, people still make the distinction between not religious and flat out atheist. Can't really explain it, I guess it's some kind of "out of sight out of mind" thing. I really don't think a candidate who'd openly declare he doesn't believe in a god won't get a bunch of his opponents shouting about what a bad Jew he is and how better they are at Judaism than him.

Avshalom
Feb 14, 2012

by Lowtax

gently caress You And Diebold posted:

Noo what happened to your av.
i don't know :( i don't even know what this thing is

i asked in another thread and they were like "it's gotenks????" like i'm an idiot but what the gently caress is a gotenk and how does it apply to me

i want arik back, both in my avatar and in real life

Avshalom
Feb 14, 2012

by Lowtax
oh well, guess i'll just have to get banned

Lum_
Jun 5, 2006
I'm here for you, man. You deserve this much for your valiant attempts at Arikporn.

Avshalom
Feb 14, 2012

by Lowtax
i dream of his fat ghost cock plumbing the depths of my earthen core

Miltank
Dec 27, 2009

by XyloJW
You are a funny guy.

Avshalom
Feb 14, 2012

by Lowtax
hahaha yaaaaay

Avshalom
Feb 14, 2012

by Lowtax
this is the best friday the 13th of my life

fade5
May 31, 2012

by exmarx

Avshalom posted:

i don't know :( i don't even know what this thing is

i asked in another thread and they were like "it's gotenks????" like i'm an idiot but what the gently caress is a gotenk and how does it apply to me
It's probably from the same rich mystery person who is apparently buying new avs/gang tags for people, that's where I got my new :black101: av as well. How the hell have you never watched DBZ, I thought everyone ever watched DBZ at one point or another.

E: Huh, looks like it's already changed.:v:

Actual news, to make this a relevant post:
http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/03/12/us-israel-election-idUSKBN0M80ZB20150312
It looks like Netanyahu's little gamble in the US may have actually backfired on him, and Netanyahu may not be prime minister very soon:

quote:

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu launched a last-minute media blitz on Thursday to counter what appears to be a rising tide of support for his main opponent in next week's election, the centrist Zionist Union.

The latest opinion polls show momentum shifting to Zionist Union after weeks of running neck-and-neck with Netanyahu's right-wing Likud, and the premier again warned voters who have abandoned his party for like-minded challengers that without their votes, he could lose.

Forecast to win up to 24 seats to Likud's 21 in the 120-member parliament, Zionist Union hopes the gap will be wide enough to persuade Israel's president to ask its leader, Labour party chief Isaac Herzog, rather than Netanyahu, to try to form a coalition government after Tuesday's balloting.

"If we don't close the gap in the coming days, there is certainly a risk that Tzipi Livni and Bougie Herzog will be the next prime ministers," Netanyahu told Channel 2 in one of two primetime television interviews, using Herzog's nickname.
I'm not sure whether this is a good thing or a bad thing, honestly. For the Israelis on the ground, did this come out of nowhere, or is this about what you expected to happen?

Also, I don't have an intrinsically negative reaction to Herzog's name like I do to Netanyahu's. Is my gut feeling of non-hatred correct/justifiable, or do I just not know enough about Herzog to start hating him yet?

fade5 fucked around with this message at 23:38 on Mar 12, 2015

Lum_
Jun 5, 2006
Some of it is just get out the vote scaremongering (because Netanyahu is all about generating fear in general), some of it is that the polls for Israeli elections have been historically bad. No polls picked up how strong Yesh Atid was going to be last election for example. If the polls are correct, as it stands right now Moshe Kahlon will basically be able to decide who gets to be Prime Minister, assuming Rivlin doesn't encourage a unity government.

Herzog's biggest draw right now is that his name isn't Netanyahu.

Fuck You And Diebold
Sep 15, 2004

by Athanatos

Lum_ posted:

I'm here for you, man. You deserve this much for your valiant attempts at Arikporn.

Look at this upstanding person, you have done the world a service this day.

Lum_
Jun 5, 2006
latest handicapping (from the last polls taken):

Required to form government: 61

Zionist Union: 24
Likud: 21

Right wing:
Habayit Hayahudi: 11 Will support Likud (or themselves, if Likud completely melts down)
Yisrael Beitenu: 5 Was seen before as a possible member of a left wing coalition, but the past few weeks Liberman has been doubling down on the racist foaming at the mouth so it's really unlikely. Could miss getting in the Knesset.

Haredi parties:
Shas: 8
UTJ: 6
Yahad: 4

These parties lean right and in any event will never sit in a government with Yesh Atid, so at this point can go into the right wing column since Zionist Union needs Yesh Atid's votes to get in. Yahad possibly may not make the Knesset, and will not join a left wing list in any case.

Left wing:
Joint Arab List: 13 Has said they will not join either Zionist Union or Likud in forming a government. Most paths to Herzog being PM require them to go back on that.
Meretz: 4 REALLY close to not making the next Knesset, which will hurt the left's chances badly.

Center:
Yesh Atid: 12 Will most likely support Zionist Union (if Lapid joins a right wing or unity government anyway, expect tons of table-flipping from everyone)
Kulanu: 10 Will support whoever makes Kahlon finance minister

Assuming the polls are correct, Zionist Union could get in with support of Yesh Atid, Meretz, the Arab List, and Kulanu. That puts them at 63 seats. The wild card here is that this requires bringing the Arab List formally into the government which is probably not a line a coalition with the word "Zionist" in the name can cross. However, there isn't another path to making Herzog PM. So we could see some very interesting days.

The most likely coalition is Likud - Habayit Hayahudi - Lieberman - the Haredi parties - Kulanu which puts the Right at 65 seats. It would also be a coalition so hard right that Netanyahu would be the crazy moderate.

If Likud melts down below 20 seats, all bets are off. If a lot of the smaller parties miss getting into the Knesset and thus make other factions larger (Arab List, etc) all bets are off. Basically, until next week, the only thing we know for sure is that Moshe Kahlon will be Israel's next Finance Minister.

Another interesting possibility is if Netanyahu does again form a mega-coalition with Zionist List, the largest opposition party then becomes leader of the opposition. That would be the Arab List. This means that Netanyahu would have to officially consult with Ayman Odeh before invading Gaza. That will be fun.

Lum_ fucked around with this message at 00:01 on Mar 13, 2015

Avshalom
Feb 14, 2012

by Lowtax
every post i make brings me joy. i vow to redouble my posting rate from now on.

emanresu tnuocca
Sep 2, 2011

by Athanatos

fade5 posted:

It looks like Netanyahu's little gamble in the US may have actually backfired on him, and Netanyahu may not be prime minister very soon:

I'm not sure whether this is a good thing or a bad thing, honestly. For the Israelis on the ground, did this come out of nowhere, or is this about what you expected to happen?

Also, I don't have an intrinsically negative reaction to Herzog's name like I do to Netanyahu's. Is my gut feeling of non-hatred correct/justifiable, or do I just not know enough about Herzog to start hating him yet?

Zionist Camp always had a couple of seats advantage over Likud since polling started, it was even greater for a few weeks before Bennett self imploded by showing that his party is still largely racist toward Mizrahi Jews.

Herzog pretty much a complete nobody who's been in Avoda forever and largely don't nothing of note, he managed to win the Avoda primaries to the surprise of many who expected Shelly Yehimovitch to be the party's chairperson, his appeal right now is simply that he is not Bibi, that's really about it. Odds really are against him being PM though so it doesn't really matter.

TEAYCHES
Jun 23, 2002

Was that John Oliver thing where Herzog hired a voice actor to dub over himself real?

Cat Mattress
Jul 14, 2012

by Cyrano4747

fade5 posted:

Also, I don't have an intrinsically negative reaction to Herzog's name like I do to Netanyahu's. Is my gut feeling of non-hatred correct/justifiable, or do I just not know enough about Herzog to start hating him yet?

Lum_ posted:

Herzog's biggest draw right now is that his name isn't Netanyahu.

Herzog's name reminds me of Werner Herzog and Herzog Zwei.

emanresu tnuocca
Sep 2, 2011

by Athanatos
Hmm I just looked it up and it looks like it was an intentional stunt of sorts, he even references the voice change in that video, it's seems like it's meant to mock the notion that Netanyahu is worthy of being a PM on account of being a good orator or something. Kinda stupid, but it looks like "Last Week Tonight" kinda didn't get the ad.

DarkCrawler
Apr 6, 2009

by vyelkin
Does the biggest winner automatically get the first shot to form a government?

emanresu tnuocca
Sep 2, 2011

by Athanatos
No. The one most MKs (represented by the chairmen of their parties) recommend to the president gets first try.

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Avshalom
Feb 14, 2012

by Lowtax
netanyahu has a small, blunt and hairless penis

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