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Bates
Jun 15, 2006

peter banana posted:

Hahaha, it's not my podcast. It has thousands of listeners and has won several awards and takes on various left wing issues every 3 days. This episode is specifically about the industrialized food system, though it doesn't mention GMO's at all, just in general the industrial food system and its environmental and animal welfare effects.

The youtube is telling me "chemical farming" requires expensive inputs, more water and more minerals and organic farming produces as much if not more food without it. Then there's clearly no problem - start an organic farm and outcompete all the conventional farmers by selling your food cheaper. Of course organic food is generally more expensive so... what's up with that?

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Taffer
Oct 15, 2010


peter banana posted:

well, whatever, do whatever. Thought some self-professed scientifically minded people might be interested in hear evidence that opposes their already entrenched hypothesis, but apparently not. Nice scientific approach "Combating Scientific Ignorance" thread :thumbsup:

People are interesting in hearing views that oppose theirs, but you know, actual good ones, not some random podcast. If they raise good points, link to the sources of those points, not some people talking about them. Podcasts are not a source nor credible in any way. Even if podcasts have qualified scientists in them you can still just link to the actual research or studies that those qualified scientists are discussing.

my kinda ape
Sep 15, 2008

Everything's gonna be A-OK
Oven Wrangler
If there were practices organic farmers were using that allowed higher yields than conventional practices then why wouldn't conventional farmers adopt those practices as well as using chemicals? Are they all incredibly stupid?

efb

peter banana
Sep 2, 2008

Feminism is a socialist, anti-family, political movement that encourages women to leave their husbands, kill their children, practice witchcraft, destroy capitalism and become lesbians.

Rent-A-Cop posted:

Is there a single peer reviewed journal in that list? I don't recognize any of the names, but I'm not that familiar with agroscience journals.

Yes, Rodale's matching yield studies have been peer-reviewed:
http://www.tgdaily.com/trendwatch-brief/59171-study-touts-benefits-of-organic-farming
http://www.strauscom.com/rodale-release/

Also, source 5, 10, 11& 28 is are from the U.S. Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service which requires peer-review : http://www.ers.usda.gov/about-ers/peer-reviews.aspx

The National Academies Press which is the source for 8 & 23 is a collection of peer-reviewed journals in science.

Source 15 is from Science, so yes.

Source 19 is from the National Institute of Health, which I assume requires peer review.

Source 20 from is peer reviewed: http://www.researchgate.net/publica...ley_in_Ethiopia

Source 21 is from a peer reviewed journal: http://journals.cambridge.org/action/displayMoreInfo?jid=RAF&type=eb&sessionId=FEC6664203CBC3E703D8F21D1DD95F50.journals

Source 22 is from BioScience, a peer-reviewed journal: http://www.aibs.org/bioscience/


You'll notice that the other sources are UN, government organizations or reputable universities. I won't hang my hat in saying they are absolutely peer reviewed, because they might not be, but at the very least those organizations are standing behind the findings.

peter banana fucked around with this message at 23:37 on Mar 15, 2015

peter banana
Sep 2, 2008

Feminism is a socialist, anti-family, political movement that encourages women to leave their husbands, kill their children, practice witchcraft, destroy capitalism and become lesbians.

Anosmoman posted:

The youtube is telling me "chemical farming" requires expensive inputs, more water and more minerals and organic farming produces as much if not more food without it. Then there's clearly no problem - start an organic farm and outcompete all the conventional farmers by selling your food cheaper. Of course organic food is generally more expensive so... what's up with that?

The systems require capital input and not everyone is able to make that switch. That's why people who are going into farming from a non-farming background grow organic by the hundreds:
http://www.tesh.com/story/health-and-well-being-category/organic-farming-is-the-newest-trend-among-young-people/cc/6/id/11873.

Also this: https://www.mint.com/blog/trends/organic-food-07082010/

ghetto wormhole posted:

If there were practices organic farmers were using that allowed higher yields than conventional practices then why wouldn't conventional farmers adopt those practices as well as using chemicals? Are they all incredibly stupid?

efb
Because those who propose it are subjected to poo poo like this thread where people argue about the lack of scientific merits for organic farming while they themselves say they can't be bothered to even entertain opposing viewpoints?

And no, conventional farmers are not stupid, they're just trapped in a cycle of debt and currently conventional crops are more profitable: http://www.producer.com/2015/01/consumers-want-organic-so-why-are-farmers-wary/

peter banana fucked around with this message at 23:31 on Mar 15, 2015

Nintendo Kid
Aug 4, 2011

by Smythe

peter banana posted:


Because those who propose it are subjected to poo poo like this thread where people argue about the lack of scientific merits for organic farming while they themselves say they can't be bothered to even entertain opposing viewpoints?\

There is no "opposing viewpoint" to be had, just marketing hogwash buddy.

Taffer
Oct 15, 2010


Can someone more familiar with this topic explain how this study posted by peter banana: http://rodaleinstitute.org/assets/FSTbooklet.pdf

compares with this?

quote:

A meta-analysis of 147 studies on the impact of GMO's that found, among other things, that GMO crops:

  • Reduced chemical pesticide use by 37%
  • Increased crop yields by 22%
  • Increased farmer profits by 68%
  • Pesticide cost reduced by 39%

Specifically this portion on GM crops

quote:

  • Traditional plant breeding and farming
    methods have increased yields of
    major grain crops three to four times
    more than GM varieties despite huge
    investments of public and private dollars in
    biotech research.
  • There are 197 species of herbicideresistant
    weeds, many of which can
    be linked directly back to GM crops,
    and the list keeps growing.
  • GM crops have led to an explosion in herbicide-use as resistant crops continue
    to emerge. In particular, the EPA approved a 20-fold increase in how much glyphosate
    (Roundup®) residue is allowed in our food in response to escalating concentrations.

I'm inclined to doubt it because the whole thing looks more like marketing than science but there is also a lot of data in it. Curious if it's actually reliable. If so, there's quite the gulf in results between these two.

Ytlaya
Nov 13, 2005

Taffer posted:

Can someone more familiar with this topic explain how this study posted by peter banana: http://rodaleinstitute.org/assets/FSTbooklet.pdf

compares with this?


Specifically this portion on GM crops


I'm inclined to doubt it because the whole thing looks more like marketing than science but there is also a lot of data in it. Curious if it's actually reliable. If so, there's quite the gulf in results between these two.

At the very least, a meta-analysis of many studies is generally far more useful than a single study.

edit: I will acknowledge that many of those studies included in the meta-analysis may have been industry funded and thus might skew the results some, but I'd still be far more inclined to trust the results of the meta-study than a single study that appears to have been conducted by an organisation that is very "pro-organic" to begin with.

QuarkJets
Sep 8, 2008


Beware the huckster who refuses to provide direct links. These are a loving press release from the originating institute and a blog post, you idiot. The blog post links to a Newspaper article. You're being sloppy as poo poo, dude

"Peer-reviewed" is such a low bar of integrity that it's hilarious whenever a "groundbreaking" study can't even achieve it. The Rodale PDF that you linked to is not peer reviewed. Even The Rodale Institute doesn't claim that it is peer-reviewed; they refer to it properly as a white paper.

quote:

Also, source 5, 10, 11& 28 is are from the U.S. Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service which requires peer-review : http://www.ers.usda.gov/about-ers/peer-reviews.aspx

You're confused. Those aren't citations, they're footnotes. The fact that this "paper" doesn't actually have a list of citations is telling, although some of these footnotes do refer to other papers.

As an example, the start of footnote 5 reads "To learn about the consolidation of the livestock industry and the growth of factory farming, see: James M. MacDonald and William D. McBride, “The Transformation of U.S. Livestock Agriculture: Scale, Efficiency, and Risks,” U.S. Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service, January 2009". But if you go and look up this paper, you find that it doesn't suggest that Organic livestock agriculture is more efficient or less risky, or that it's even feasible on a large scale.

As another example, footnote 10 refers to the Department of Agriculture website here: [url]http://[/url]
https://www.farmland.org/resources/fote/default.asp. This is done in an attempt to prove that Contract Farming is causing us to lose farmland, but the website doesn't mention Contract Farming at all: it blames the spread of urban and suburban areas, or "developed uses": roads, malls, homes, etc.

quote:

Source 15 is from Science, so yes.

Oh poo poo, really? Let's look... okay yes, after a paragraph of bullshit they do mention a Science article. And it even describes that this page says it describes: soil erosion is a threat to our agricultural resources. However, it doesn't blame farming practices, but rather farm location, so switching to organic wouldn't help. It also describes a number of non-organic techniques that would reduce soil erosion on poorly located industrial farms to sustainable levels. The article is also 20 years old, so who knows whether soil erosion is as bad now as it was then (probably?)

Needless to say, this is all shady as poo poo. They're "citing" a list of their own footnotes. That's not good research, that's sloppy bullshit. They try to reinforce this by occasionally injecting an actual citation, but usually to something that actually disagrees with their conclusions. That is hosed up. In no professional field would it be considered acceptable to pass of footnotes as a type of citation, and it's especially unacceptable to cite things and then claim that they say something that they don't say. This isn't a sign of good scientific research or integrity

e: tl;dr this poo poo isn't peer-reviewed, it's linked to by a lot of organic blogs though and they cite some authoritative sources that actually disagree with their claims

QuarkJets fucked around with this message at 05:54 on Mar 16, 2015

FRINGE
May 23, 2003
title stolen for lf posting

Ytlaya posted:

edit: I will acknowledge that many of those studies included in the meta-analysis may have been industry funded and thus might skew the results
This is a common tactic in a variety of controversial areas.

Bates
Jun 15, 2006

peter banana posted:

The systems require capital input and not everyone is able to make that switch. That's why people who are going into farming from a non-farming background grow organic by the hundreds:
http://www.tesh.com/story/health-and-well-being-category/organic-farming-is-the-newest-trend-among-young-people/cc/6/id/11873.

Also this: https://www.mint.com/blog/trends/organic-food-07082010/

Now waitaminute that link tells me something that's different from what the youtube told me

Mint Life posted:

In the organics market, production costs are typically higher due to alternative production practices (higher animal welfare standards, restricted use of chemicals, and soil fertility enhancement), smaller yields and greater manual labor. Without the use of agrochemicals – designed to make food cheaper to produce – an organic grower must spend far more time working crops to prevent disease and destruction. An organic farmer will also lose a far greater percentage of the crop than a chemical farmer.

That link similarly states that "Subsidies are mostly geared towards large-scale, chemically intensive agriculture and artificially lower the price of conventional products." Well the "large-scale" bit is irrelevant because organic farming can be large-scale and the "chemically intensive" bit is simply untrue insofar as subsidies are production oriented and organic farming - as we know - produce as much, if not more, food as conventional farming.

Further your link keeps referencing the labor intensive nature of organic farming and the economies of scale of conventional farming. The thing is though, we want the economies of scale and we don't want our food production to be labor intensive. Food should be cheap so it's available to everybody. If a TV or a yacht is labor intensive and expensive to make then that's fine - this is very much not true of food. It might not be significant to an upper middle class person that spends 5% of their income on food but it matters a lot to a poor person that spends 20-30% of their income on food.

QuarkJets
Sep 8, 2008

FRINGE posted:

This is a common tactic in a variety of controversial areas.

That's really the wrong word to describe corporate R&D, unless you mean to say that it's a common tactic to erroneously suggest that the source of research funding automatically makes that research wrong

peter banana
Sep 2, 2008

Feminism is a socialist, anti-family, political movement that encourages women to leave their husbands, kill their children, practice witchcraft, destroy capitalism and become lesbians.

Taffer posted:

Can someone more familiar with this topic explain how this study posted by peter banana: http://rodaleinstitute.org/assets/FSTbooklet.pdf

compares with this?


Specifically this portion on GM crops


I'm inclined to doubt it because the whole thing looks more like marketing than science but there is also a lot of data in it. Curious if it's actually reliable. If so, there's quite the gulf in results between these two.

The article itself mentions that not all of the studies are peer-reviewed, hilariously to "give it a broader perspective." Sure, of studies where industry has positioned results to be higher, I guess.

Many GM studies will compare potential yield with operational yield, which are different measures ad the studies don't have to differentiate between the two. Also many studies are done in the short term, in which the gains present early on in the application of the GM foods. Over a 13 year period however, for some GM crops the gain is negligible or can be attributed to non-GM genetic variance, like all organisms, great article about it here from Union of Concerned Scientists: http://www.ucsusa.org/sites/default/files/legacy/assets/documents/food_and_agriculture/failure-to-yield.pdf

Additionally this report from the The International Assessment of Agricultural Knowledge, Science and Technology for Development from 400 scientists and 58 governments showed "GM crop yields were "highly variable" and in some cases, "yields declined." The report noted, "Assessment of the technology lags behind its development, information is anecdotal and contradictory, and uncertainty about possible benefits and damage is unavoidable."

http://www.sciencemag.org/content/327/5967/812.short

QuarkJets posted:

Beware the huckster who refuses to provide direct links. These are a loving press release from the originating institute and a blog post, you idiot. The blog post links to a Newspaper article. You're being sloppy as poo poo, dude

"Peer-reviewed" is such a low bar of integrity that it's hilarious whenever a "groundbreaking" study can't even achieve it. The Rodale PDF that you linked to is not peer reviewed. Even The Rodale Institute doesn't claim that it is peer-reviewed; they refer to it properly as a white paper.

Uh yeah, it's a 30 year study and parts of it have been peer-reviewed. Obviously the entire study of 30 years of organic growth over 333 acres has not been replicated in its entirety. Do you require 30 year multi crop studies to prove GMO's are fine for production? I hope so.

The articles I've posted state that parts of their experiments have been peer reviewed to be published in journals such as Nature. Do you really need the actual peer reviewed study or the fact that it appears in a journal which requires peer review from publication? Because I hope you're holding any pro-GM studies to that standard too. You're the one getting sloppy and moving the goal posts of what you consider good science because it doesn't fit your entrenched narrative.

QuarkJets posted:


You're confused. Those aren't citations, they're footnotes. The fact that this "paper" doesn't actually have a list of citations is telling, although some of these footnotes do refer to other papers.

I never said that this transcript was a scientific paper? I was very clear that it's a transcript of a video and it gives its sources for its research. The research however are a number of peer reviewed studies. Just that it incorporates research from a number of peer reviewed papers, which are all detailed in title and source in yes, the footnotes. Have you looked at any of those papers in the footnotes?

QuarkJets posted:


As an example, the start of footnote 5 reads "To learn about the consolidation of the livestock industry and the growth of factory farming, see: James M. MacDonald and William D. McBride, “The Transformation of U.S. Livestock Agriculture: Scale, Efficiency, and Risks,” U.S. Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service, January 2009". But if you go and look up this paper, you find that it doesn't suggest that Organic livestock agriculture is more efficient or less risky, or that it's even feasible on a large scale.

It was never meant to. If you'd actually read the transcript, you'd see that this video used this study to support their claim that " Livestock that used to be raised on the farm get crammed into polluting factories." See if you read the transcript before dismissing it out of hand you'll actually see which footnote and which claim in the transcript relates to which scientific article! Just like school!

QuarkJets posted:


As another example, footnote 10 refers to the Department of Agriculture website here: [url]http://[/url]
https://www.farmland.org/resources/fote/default.asp. This is done in an attempt to prove that Contract Farming is causing us to lose farmland, but the website doesn't mention Contract Farming at all: it blames the spread of urban and suburban areas, or "developed uses": roads, malls, homes, etc.

That citation to to back up the claim that "Over the last fifty years, millions of desperate farmers have had to sign contracts with corporations that dictate their every move or have lost their farms altogether." Which the paper from the USDA ERS does, though the paper talks about the benefits of contracting, this transcript has used this paper to get the raw numbers. http://www.ers.usda.gov/media/184479/eib66_1_.pdf

QuarkJets posted:


Oh poo poo, really? Let's look... okay yes, after a paragraph of bullshit they do mention a Science article. And it even describes that this page says it describes: soil erosion is a threat to our agricultural resources. However, it doesn't blame farming practices, but rather farm location, so switching to organic wouldn't help. It also describes a number of non-organic techniques that would reduce soil erosion on poorly located industrial farms to sustainable levels. The article is also 20 years old, so who knows whether soil erosion is as bad now as it was then (probably?)

Not a paragraph of bullshit. Context. And again this transcript is not, nor was it ever claimed to be a peer reviewed article. And if you actually read that Science article (I can't copy paste for some reason) you'll see on the end of the first paragraph in the third column the researchers cite farmers intensifying their practises as contributing to soil erosion. Again, this is to back up the transcript's claim that "Industrial farms degrade and erode precious topsoil –64 tons per acre are being lost every year in some spots in our heartland." in terms of the numbers of tons of topsoil lost.

QuarkJets posted:


Needless to say, this is all shady as poo poo. They're "citing" a list of their own footnotes. That's not good research, that's sloppy bullshit. They try to reinforce this by occasionally injecting an actual citation, but usually to something that actually disagrees with their conclusions. That is hosed up. In no professional field would it be considered acceptable to pass of footnotes as a type of citation, and it's especially unacceptable to cite things and then claim that they say something that they don't say. This isn't a sign of good scientific research or integrity

e: tl;dr this poo poo isn't peer-reviewed, it's linked to by a lot of organic blogs though and they cite some authoritative sources that actually disagree with their claims

The sources of the article, not the article itself, are peer reviewed. And they are not citing footnotes, they are citing actual studies if you actually searched for what they've cited and which claims they are backing up using those studies. And The USDA ERS, the UN Food and Agriculture Organization and Tufts University are not "organic blogs" despite what you may have heard.

And again, I hope you're holding any and all GMO articles to the same standard. Or else you're just looking for reasons to discredit actual science to support you narrative that the status quo of industrial farming is good for some reason.

Anosmoman posted:

Now waitaminute that link tells me something that's different from what the youtube told me
Yes, try to keep up. I posted that is response to this question.

Anosmoman posted:

The youtube is telling me "chemical farming" requires expensive inputs, more water and more minerals and organic farming produces as much if not more food without it. Then there's clearly no problem - start an organic farm and outcompete all the conventional farmers by selling your food cheaper. Of course organic food is generally more expensive so... what's up with that?

Anosmoman posted:

That link similarly states that "Subsidies are mostly geared towards large-scale, chemically intensive agriculture and artificially lower the price of conventional products." Well the "large-scale" bit is irrelevant because organic farming can be large-scale and the "chemically intensive" bit is simply untrue insofar as subsidies are production oriented and organic farming - as we know - produce as much, if not more, food as conventional farming.

Mint is not a scientific source, it's an economic one and the question was about economics.

Anosmoman posted:

Further your link keeps referencing the labor intensive nature of organic farming and the economies of scale of conventional farming. The thing is though, we want the economies of scale and we don't want our food production to be labor intensive. Food should be cheap so it's available to everybody. If a TV or a yacht is labor intensive and expensive to make then that's fine - this is very much not true of food. It might not be significant to an upper middle class person that spends 5% of their income on food but it matters a lot to a poor person that spends 20-30% of their income on food.

Yes? And to bring down the cost of organic farming, Rodale's principles (which should be impossible according to many in this thread, as in any organic farming should not show an increase in yield) should be implemented on a wider scale to create those economies of scale. What you're saying is, "economies of scale make this unaffordable, so let's not expand or encourage their growth and blame organic growers for not bringing down their prices." It's a tautology. It takes time, just because organic has not solved all of the world's problems now or has even been studied enough to create a suitable database of answers, it's not valid.

QuarkJets posted:

That's really the wrong word to describe corporate R&D, unless you mean to say that it's a common tactic to erroneously suggest that the source of research funding automatically makes that research wrong
But is it wrong to say that the funding of a particular study should subject the study to additional scrutiny, particularly if the research has not been peer reviewed?

Look, I'm not here to say GMO's are bad, but organic farming is not all bad and in some experiments it has been shown to match or exceed yields which I have red many time in this thread should be impossible. Here is evidence saying that that is not the case and you can discredit the organizations and journals you hear it from or even say that somehow that peer review is not a scientific sniff test, but that doesn't change the findings.

And if you're not going to alter your hypothesis based on the available evidence then you are very definitely not combating scientific ignorance, you're defending it.

peter banana fucked around with this message at 13:24 on Mar 16, 2015

peter banana
Sep 2, 2008

Feminism is a socialist, anti-family, political movement that encourages women to leave their husbands, kill their children, practice witchcraft, destroy capitalism and become lesbians.

Ytlaya posted:

At the very least, a meta-analysis of many studies is generally far more useful than a single study.

edit: I will acknowledge that many of those studies included in the meta-analysis may have been industry funded and thus might skew the results some, but I'd still be far more inclined to trust the results of the meta-study than a single study that appears to have been conducted by an organisation that is very "pro-organic" to begin with.

Can I just state that before this poster determined the meta-analysis "more useful" not a single one of the studies in the meta-analysis was cited in the article? Not. One. Additionally the actual meta analysis itself only cites ~30 references, a far cry from the 147 the article states. If I came in here with something like that to support organic farming I'd get eviscerated and rightly so.

But I have to defend every source from mine and bring the peer reviewed ones to people who don't know how to read footnotes. And that's after a page of people automatically dismissing the content without even reading it. Honestly, when does the thread title get to be changed to "Defending Scientific Ignorance."

peter banana fucked around with this message at 13:22 on Mar 16, 2015

CommieGIR
Aug 22, 2006

The blue glow is a feature, not a bug


Pillbug

peter banana posted:

The @FoodMythBusters section is what I think everyone should really listen to (it's 6:29 and can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7TRI7yeeYQQ) It weighs the environmental effects of industrial agriculture as well as the fact that in the right systems organic can match or even overtake conventional yields.

That's some nice conjecture you have there, be a shame if someone were to test it.

peter banana posted:

The article itself mentions that not all of the studies are peer-reviewed, hilariously to "give it a broader perspective." Sure, of studies where industry has positioned results to be higher, I guess.

Many GM studies will compare potential yield with operational yield, which are different measures ad the studies don't have to differentiate between the two. Also many studies are done in the short term, in which the gains present early on in the application of the GM foods. Over a 13 year period however, for some GM crops the gain is negligible or can be attributed to non-GM genetic variance, like all organisms, great article about it here from Union of Concerned Scientists: http://www.ucsusa.org/sites/default/files/legacy/assets/documents/food_and_agriculture/failure-to-yield.pdf

The UCS has been called out in the past for basically ignoring scientific evidence to push an agenda. Its an ideology group, not a scientific group.

CommieGIR fucked around with this message at 16:31 on Mar 16, 2015

peter banana
Sep 2, 2008

Feminism is a socialist, anti-family, political movement that encourages women to leave their husbands, kill their children, practice witchcraft, destroy capitalism and become lesbians.

CommieGIR posted:

That's some nice conjecture you have there, be a shame if someone were to test it.


The UCS has been called out in the past for basically ignoring scientific evidence to push an agenda. Its an ideology group, not a scientific group.

Criticized by Jerry Falwell for accepting climate change? Yeah okay.

http://www.wnd.com/2007/02/40332/

CommieGIR
Aug 22, 2006

The blue glow is a feature, not a bug


Pillbug

peter banana posted:

Criticized by Jerry Falwell for accepting climate change? Yeah okay.

http://www.wnd.com/2007/02/40332/

No, for their stance on nuclear and GMOs specifically, but nice strawman.

http://geneticliteracyproject.org/2014/05/06/video-union-of-concerned-scientists-blames-gmos-for-superweeds-but-issue-more-complex/

http://www.marklynas.org/2013/01/response-to-ucs-science-dogma-and-mark-lynas/

CommieGIR fucked around with this message at 16:40 on Mar 16, 2015

peter banana
Sep 2, 2008

Feminism is a socialist, anti-family, political movement that encourages women to leave their husbands, kill their children, practice witchcraft, destroy capitalism and become lesbians.

Oh cool, the genetic literacy project which is 100% objective and totally not funded by Sygenta and led by an agribusiness shill:
http://www.propagandists.org/propagandists/jon-entine/
http://www.motherjones.com/tom-philpott/2012/02/atrazine-syngengta-tyrone-hayes-jon-entine

QuarkJets
Sep 8, 2008

peter banana posted:

Uh yeah, it's a 30 year study and parts of it have been peer-reviewed. Obviously the entire study of 30 years of organic growth over 333 acres has not been replicated in its entirety. Do you require 30 year multi crop studies to prove GMO's are fine for production? I hope so.

Have you actually done any peer reviewed research? I ask because you don't seem to understand what peer review even means. If your answer to "has this been peer reviewed" is "yes, but only parts of it" then the answer is actually no, it's not a peer reviewed publication. Peer review does not entail repeating a study in its entirety; it's a review process by which the content is examined by outside experts before even being considered for publication, and you're not supposed to have direct contact with or ability to choose the experts. Rodale self-published the 30 year study, so by definition it is not peer reviewed.

The peer review process is meant to prevent cases where someone "publishes" something bogus and then "confirms" it in a bunch of subsequent studies without ever subjecting their results to criticisms from outside peers. Failing to submit your work to the peer review process, especially when making groundbreaking claims as the Rodale Institute does, raises a huge red flag in any professional researcher's mind, and with good reason. Do not let followup studies fool you into believing that those studies mean that this work is peer reviewed. If I wrote up a white paper declaring that I've discovered Cold Fusion and then had a colleague write up a confirmation study, that wouldn't make my work peer reviewed.

quote:

The articles I've posted state that parts of their experiments have been peer reviewed to be published in journals such as Nature. Do you really need the actual peer reviewed study or the fact that it appears in a journal which requires peer review from publication? Because I hope you're holding any pro-GM studies to that standard too. You're the one getting sloppy and moving the goal posts of what you consider good science because it doesn't fit your entrenched narrative.

Nope, that's not peer review. And as I pointed out already, one of the "articles" was a loving press release from the same people who both conducted and published the study and the other was from a news aggregator so small that they don't even have a wikipedia entry.

The original 30-year Rodale study was not peer reviewed. A study by a Cornell professor that is related to the Rodale study was peer reviewed. And yes, obviously I hold all of my references to the extremely easy-to-meet standard of peer review, which is why it's so shocking that the Rodale study doesn't even meet that standard.

quote:

I never said that this transcript was a scientific paper? I was very clear that it's a transcript of a video and it gives its sources for its research. The research however are a number of peer reviewed studies. Just that it incorporates research from a number of peer reviewed papers, which are all detailed in title and source in yes, the footnotes. Have you looked at any of those papers in the footnotes?

I'm saying that those are not sources, but you keep calling them sources. Many of those "sources" are literally just footnotes.

Yes, clearly I have looked at a number of the papers in those footnotes. I quoted them at you while showing that the papers show the opposite of what is claimed in the video, fuckwit. You surely must have realized this at some point while typing out the rest of your responses.

I'm catching a flight soon, I'm going to hammer out some responses to the rest of your post later. But that study is not loving peer reviewed just because someone repeated a single aspect of it later

CommieGIR
Aug 22, 2006

The blue glow is a feature, not a bug


Pillbug

peter banana posted:

Oh cool, the genetic literacy project which is 100% objective and totally not funded by Sygenta and led by an agribusiness shill:
http://www.propagandists.org/propagandists/jon-entine/
http://www.motherjones.com/tom-philpott/2012/02/atrazine-syngengta-tyrone-hayes-jon-entine

Let's take a deeper look at these articles, specifically the Mother Jones writer Tom Philpott, surely Tom has no bias nor connection to anything that might skew his views:

quote:

Tom Philpott is the cofounder of Maverick Farms, a center for sustainable food education in Valle Crucis, North Carolina. He was formerly a columnist and editor for the online environmental site Grist and his work on food politics has appeared in Newsweek, Gastronomica, and the Guardian.

Huh. That's very interesting.

As for that second website, they link back to:

quote:

AN OMSJ PUBLIC SERVICE

I wonder who those guys are?

http://www.omsj.org/

Oh.

Let's see. Anti-vax bullshit, chemtrails, huh. Lots of reputable information there, for sure. The site is run by Clark Baker, of JUNK SCIENCE right wing fame. Well done.

CommieGIR fucked around with this message at 17:00 on Mar 16, 2015

peter banana
Sep 2, 2008

Feminism is a socialist, anti-family, political movement that encourages women to leave their husbands, kill their children, practice witchcraft, destroy capitalism and become lesbians.

CommieGIR posted:

Let's take a deeper look at these articles, specifically the Mother Jones writer Tom Philpott, surely Tom has no bias nor connection to anything that might skew his views:


Huh. That's very interesting.

As for that second website, they link back to:


I wonder who those guys are?

http://www.omsj.org/

Oh.

Let's see. Anti-vax bullshit, chemtrails, huh. Lots of reputable information there, for sure.

I'm just saying the Genetic Literacy project is as flawed as any of those sources.

CommieGIR
Aug 22, 2006

The blue glow is a feature, not a bug


Pillbug

peter banana posted:

I'm just saying the Genetic Literacy project is as flawed as any of those sources.

Your source for this is a stealth website run by the same guy that runs Junk Science, a Right Wing conspiracy theory investigation blog.

Holy poo poo dude.

peter banana
Sep 2, 2008

Feminism is a socialist, anti-family, political movement that encourages women to leave their husbands, kill their children, practice witchcraft, destroy capitalism and become lesbians.

CommieGIR posted:

Your source for this is a stealth website run by the same guy that runs Junk Science, a Right Wing conspiracy theory investigation blog.

Holy poo poo dude.

and the Genetic Literacy Project is funded by the GMO companies. Not sure what your point is.

Taffer
Oct 15, 2010


peter banana posted:

Can I just state that before this poster determined the meta-analysis "more useful" not a single one of the studies in the meta-analysis was cited in the article? Not. One. Additionally the actual meta analysis itself only cites ~30 references, a far cry from the 147 the article states. If I came in here with something like that to support organic farming I'd get eviscerated and rightly so.

But I have to defend every source from mine and bring the peer reviewed ones to people who don't know how to read footnotes. And that's after a page of people automatically dismissing the content without even reading it. Honestly, when does the thread title get to be changed to "Defending Scientific Ignorance."

In the article reporting on the meta-analysis? No, why would they? The article is there just to gain attention for the analysis and report its general findings. For people who genuinely want to know the details, the link is provided to the actual meta-analysis, and it is not behind a paywall. And yes, the list of studies cited for the analysis is in a nice PDF right on that page. http://journals.plos.org/plosone/article/asset?unique&id=info:doi/10.1371/journal.pone.0111629.s004

You need to get over your persecution complex, nobody is holding your links to a higher standard than others. People are responding with skepticism to your claims because they run counter to known science on organic and GM crops, and to make claims that contradict established science, more robust evidence is needed.


peter banana posted:

and the Genetic Literacy Project is funded by the GMO companies. Not sure what your point is.

You realize that's not comparable, right? There's conflict of interest, and then there's an actual crazy person.

peter banana
Sep 2, 2008

Feminism is a socialist, anti-family, political movement that encourages women to leave their husbands, kill their children, practice witchcraft, destroy capitalism and become lesbians.

Taffer posted:

In the article reporting on the meta-analysis? No, why would they? The article is there just to gain attention for the analysis and report its general findings. For people who genuinely want to know the details, the link is provided to the actual meta-analysis, and it is not behind a paywall. And yes, the list of studies cited for the analysis is in a nice PDF right on that page. http://journals.plos.org/plosone/article/asset?unique&id=info:doi/10.1371/journal.pone.0111629.s004

You need to get over your persecution complex, nobody is holding your links to a higher standard than others. People are responding with skepticism to your claims because they run counter to known science on organic and GM crops, and to make claims that contradict established science, more robust evidence is needed.

And I totally agree, someone should look over Rodale's results to peer review them and the organization itself admits it is happy to let that happen. But clearly the first responses in this thread were to say that the research referenced was not peer reviewed before anyone had even read it (which even you must admit is not a scientific approach) which people can say over and over, but many of the sources from the @FoodMythBusters are peer reviewed.

CommieGIR
Aug 22, 2006

The blue glow is a feature, not a bug


Pillbug

peter banana posted:

and the Genetic Literacy Project is funded by the GMO companies. Not sure what your point is.

That your argument against it is literally from the tinfoil conspiracy theory crowd. Nicely done.

peter banana
Sep 2, 2008

Feminism is a socialist, anti-family, political movement that encourages women to leave their husbands, kill their children, practice witchcraft, destroy capitalism and become lesbians.

CommieGIR posted:

That your argument against it is literally from the tinfoil conspiracy theory crowd. Nicely done.

Nope, my argument is from the UCS, which has been "called out" by a vested interest.

CommieGIR
Aug 22, 2006

The blue glow is a feature, not a bug


Pillbug

peter banana posted:

Nope, my argument is from the UCS, which has been "called out" by a vested interest.

No, you cited a conspiracy theorists stealth website. The UCS is a green ideology group, they really don't count and have been called out on obvious bias before.

I mean, c'mon now, you can't cite a guy who is literally wearing a tinfoil hat and another guy who is the founding partner of a Organic farm as valid sources and expect to be taken seriously.

https://www.activistfacts.com/organizations/145-union-of-concerned-scientists/

quote:

Among UCS’s many concerns, “the food you eat” is at the top of the list. More than a million dollars went to its food program in 2001. Genetically enhanced foods — dubbed “Frankenfoods” by opponents — have caused worldwide hysteria even though no reputable scientific institution can find anything to be afraid of. But that doesn’t stop UCS’s “experts” from playing cheerleader to these unfounded fears.

They warn that biotech foods could result in the “squandering of valuable pest susceptibility genes,” “enhancement of the environment for toxic fungi,” and the “creation of new or worse viruses.” They scream about “Poisoned wildlife” and “new allergens in the food supply.” Biotech foods, they claim, might “increase the levels of toxic substances within plants,” “reduce the effectiveness of antibiotics to fight disease,” “contaminate foods with high levels of toxic metals,” “intensify weedy properties” and cause the “rapid evolution of resistance to herbicides in weeds,” leading to “superweeds.”

Rigorous scientific analysis led UCS to this list of horrors, right? Wrong. That was merely a “‘brainstorming’ of potential harms.” So how likely are any of these to occur? “Risk assessments can be complicated,” UCS says, and pretty much leaves it at that. In other words, they have absolutely no idea.

In contrast, more reputable authorities have a very good grasp of the potential risks of genetically enhanced foods. The U.S. Environmental protection Agency says that genetically enhanced corn “does not pose risks to human health or to the environment.” The World Health Organization says that biotech foods “are not likely to present risks for human health” and observes that “no effects on human health have been shown as a result of the consumption of such foods by the general population.” Even the European Union, which has gone out of its way to stifle food technology for political reasons, notes: “The use of more precise technology [in genetically enhanced crops] and the greater regulatory scrutiny probably make them even safer than conventional plants and foods.”

The Food and Environment Program at UCS is headed up by Margaret Mellon and her deputy Jane Rissler, both of whom hold Ph.Ds and have held positions at prestigious universities. So what do a couple of highly trained research scientists, armed with nothing but guesswork, ideology and a million dollar budget, do? They fight biotech food every step of the way.

Although UCS claims that it “does not support or oppose genetic engineering per se,” Mellon and Rissler in fact have never met a GM food they didn’t mistrust. That’s because they hold biotech foods to an impossibly high standard.

In 1999, UCS joined the National Wildlife Federation, the Sierra Club, the Natural Resources Defense Council, the Arizona-Sonora Desert Museum, and the Defenders of Wildlife, in petitioning the EPA for strict regulation of corn modified to produce large amounts of the bacillus thuringiensis (Bt) toxin. Bt is a naturally occurring insect poison that protects plants from pests like the European corn borer. UCS’s letter was part of a major scare campaign to convince the public that Bt corn posed a risk to the Monarch Butterfly.

Both the USDA and the EPA later concluded that Bt corn caused no harm to the Monarch. This reinforced the findings of federal regulators who had performed a comprehensive safety review of Bt corn before it was allowed into the marketplace. UCS remains unconvinced, even though the safest place for a Monarch larva to be is in a Bt cornfield. Rissler argued there was “insufficient data” to make such a conclusion.

peter banana
Sep 2, 2008

Feminism is a socialist, anti-family, political movement that encourages women to leave their husbands, kill their children, practice witchcraft, destroy capitalism and become lesbians.

CommieGIR posted:

No, you cited a conspiracy theorists stealth website. The UCS is a green ideology group, they really don't count and have been called out on obvious bias before.

I mean, c'mon now, you can't cite a guy who is literally wearing a tinfoil hat and another guy who is the founding partner of a Organic farm as valid sources and expect to be taken seriously.

I don't I'm with the UCS, maybe they have been called out before but by the people who would profit the most from discrediting them.

CommieGIR
Aug 22, 2006

The blue glow is a feature, not a bug


Pillbug

peter banana posted:

I don't I'm with the UCS, maybe they have been called out before but by the people who would profit the most from discrediting them.

What, like the Royal Society? Or the National Academy of Sciences?

peter banana
Sep 2, 2008

Feminism is a socialist, anti-family, political movement that encourages women to leave their husbands, kill their children, practice witchcraft, destroy capitalism and become lesbians.

CommieGIR posted:

What, like the Royal Society? Or the National Academy of Sciences?



this conversation has never been about the health effects and I have never disputed that GMO's are safe in terms of health. Just that some form of organic farming can match conventional yields. I didn't even mention GMO's when I first posted.

CommieGIR
Aug 22, 2006

The blue glow is a feature, not a bug


Pillbug

peter banana posted:

this conversation has never been about the health effects?

So let's just ignore the Crop Scientists and Seed Scientists on that poster, right?

peter banana posted:

Just that some form of organic farming can match conventional yields. I didn't even mention GMO's when I first posted.

So, prove it. Thusfar it has not been proven, and all estimates point to significant decreases in crop yields and the inability to match market demand. There are rare cases where it is true, but it is not a blanket case for all crops.

CommieGIR fucked around with this message at 17:25 on Mar 16, 2015

peter banana
Sep 2, 2008

Feminism is a socialist, anti-family, political movement that encourages women to leave their husbands, kill their children, practice witchcraft, destroy capitalism and become lesbians.

CommieGIR posted:

So let's just ignore the Crop Scientists and Seed Scientists on that poster, right?

No I would agree with them and support more research?

CommieGIR
Aug 22, 2006

The blue glow is a feature, not a bug


Pillbug

peter banana posted:

No I would agree with them and support more research?

http://scienceblogs.com/webeasties/2013/05/14/union-of-concerned-scientists-failing-on-farming/

The UCS has some good stuff they are doing, I will give them that especially on climate change (despite the fact that they wholly ignore nuclear as a carbon neutral power generating system), however, their crop science and anti-GMO stance is not based on rational scientific reasoning.

quote:

Several years ago, UCS decided to branch out into the science of how we grow our food. This should be a wonderful thing – our agriculture system is badly broken, and there are scientific and technological solutions to help feed a growing human population while minimizing environmental impact.

'There’s a better way to grow our food. Working with nature instead of against it, sustainable agriculture uses 21st-century techniques and technologies to implement time-tested ideas such as crop rotation, integrated plant/animal systems, and organic soil amendments.

Sustainable agriculture is less damaging to the environment than industrial agriculture, and produces a richer, more diverse mix of foods. It’s productive enough to feed the world, and efficient enough to succeed in the marketplace—but current U.S. agricultural policy stacks the deck in favor of industrial food production.'

We need evidence-based advocates pressing this message, and UCS recently put out a big press release on a path to environmentally sustainable farming. They’ve got great information and resources, and I’d love to recommend them as a one-stop-shop for scientific information about the way we grow our food. But I can’t, and it’s because of this:

'While the risks of genetic engineering have sometimes been exaggerated or misrepresented, GE crops do have the potential to cause a variety of health problems and environmental impacts. For instance, they may produce new allergens and toxins, spread harmful traits to weeds and non-GE crops, or harm animals that consume them.'

There’s so much here to address, but I’ll just point you to others that make the points that genetically engineered crops are or can be more environmentally friendly, and there’s never been a credible report of any pathology linked to GMOs. There was recently an entire issue of the journal Nature (one of the most well-respected science journals in the world), in which even the most critical article basically exonerated GMO of any health impacts.

I don't think anyone in this thread has suggested we should not do proper research on GMOs and their safety, however, this is not the way to go about it.

CommieGIR fucked around with this message at 17:35 on Mar 16, 2015

peter banana
Sep 2, 2008

Feminism is a socialist, anti-family, political movement that encourages women to leave their husbands, kill their children, practice witchcraft, destroy capitalism and become lesbians.

CommieGIR posted:

http://scienceblogs.com/webeasties/2013/05/14/union-of-concerned-scientists-failing-on-farming/

The UCS has some good stuff they are doing, I will give them that especially on climate change (despite the fact that they wholly ignore nuclear as a carbon neutral power generating system), however, their crop science and anti-GMO stance is not based on rational scientific reasoning.

yep, which is why I specifically made no claims even with regards to UCS about health effects. I would agree that no pathology has been linked to them at this point. To be honest, the fact that nutritional enhancement is not a priority for GMO companies is a concern if these are all in our best interest, but companies are companies and they're here to make a buck, as are organic growers. I would never deny that.

As for increased yields and environmental practices, I believe that there is still work to be done and inconclusive results and there are good alternate agricultural practices which are not getting the respect and credence they deserve. But I have those environmental concerns about the proven deleterious effects of conventional industrial agriculture in general, which often gets wrongly lumped in to the GMO issue itself.

archangelwar
Oct 28, 2004

Teaching Moments

peter banana posted:

Just that some form of organic farming can match conventional yields. I didn't even mention GMO's when I first posted.

Can you qualify this claim better, because every time you have tried to correct someone you keep weakening the strength of this claim to the point of crafting a strawman that no one has argued. Are you claiming that organic farms can have identical yields as conventional farms dedicated to maximizing yields under identical conditions with equal or lesser resources expended? Unless this is your contention, you are literally tilting at windmills and starting to sound more like a shill than an genuinely interested party.

Caconym
Feb 12, 2013

So join us in getting GM research publicly accepted and funded instead of this veiled scaremongering that only results in politicians withdrawing public funds øeaving the entire field to big business...

CommieGIR
Aug 22, 2006

The blue glow is a feature, not a bug


Pillbug
I'm still waiting to find out how the Genetic Literacy Project is just as flawed as the website that claims that Vaccines cause Shaken Baby Syndrome and Chemtrails are real.

peter banana
Sep 2, 2008

Feminism is a socialist, anti-family, political movement that encourages women to leave their husbands, kill their children, practice witchcraft, destroy capitalism and become lesbians.

CommieGIR posted:

I'm still waiting to find out how the Genetic Literacy Project is just as flawed as the website that claims that Vaccines cause Shaken Baby Syndrome and Chemtrails are real.

It's not. I never said it was. It's just funded by corporate interests, that's all. Doesn't mean their findings are wrong, just that they should be subject to skepticism and to think that they're above skepticism is equally wrong. One of the sources which said that was flawed, I'll admit. But you can't just discount someone's article because he's an organic farmer, that's an appeal to position in the opposition direction. Here's another article about John Entine from the New Yorker which mentions his relationship with Sygenta.
http://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2014/02/10/a-valuable-reputation

archangelwar posted:

Can you qualify this claim better, because every time you have tried to correct someone you keep weakening the strength of this claim to the point of crafting a strawman that no one has argued. Are you claiming that organic farms can have identical yields as conventional farms dedicated to maximizing yields under identical conditions with equal or lesser resources expended? Unless this is your contention, you are literally tilting at windmills and starting to sound more like a shill than an genuinely interested party.

This is a difficult question because the purpose of organic farming is not to necessarily use less or fewer resources. You're asking something from organic agriculture for which it was not designed. Organic agriculture can mean a lot of things. It can be a full permaculture systems-based approach to a small homestead or it can be a complete replication of an industrial farm just using copper sulfate for pest management instead of RoundUp. Both of those would win an organic certification in Ontario, at least. That's why it's so difficult to get a real answer on organic. We're comparing apples to orange to cantaloupes to Miley Cyrus. Maybe that means more stringent guidelines are needed. I would support that too.

When I talk about organic I mean the practices which will be the most sustainable for the land, soil, plants, pests, environment, water and consumers in the long term. The purpose of organic agriculture is to limit as far as is practicable the reliance of agriculture on fossil fuels, excessive fresh water use and practice agriculture in a sustainable way long term. I would argue that since we can already produce enough to feed the world, but throw much of it away or store it inefficiently, producing more is a canard, and producing sustainably is a worthwhile challenge. Maybe GMO will solve that issue, maybe organic will, likely it will be a combination of the 2.

Moreover, I would never say that all organic practices would yield more than all conventional practices. Not all solutions will work in all places for all crops. That's why more research is needed. Within these environmental systems, the effects good and bad can take decades to manifest, which is why Rodale's research is ongoing even though some experiments they have published have been peer reviewed.

Now to take one of the studies cited in the @FoodMythBusters transcript:
"Yield Gain and Risk Minimization in Maize (Zea Mays) through Cultivar Mixtures in Semi-arid Zones of the Rift Valley in Ethiopia"
http://journals.cambridge.org/action/displayAbstract?fromPage=online&aid=1608340

From the abstract:

quote:

The effect of mixtures of cultivars on yield and risk distribution in four maize cultivars grown at four different population levels was studied in semi-arid environments in Ethiopia. Mixtures yielded between 2 and 29% more than the pure stands, but late maturing pure stands produced more biomass than mixtures. Mixtures of cultivars with similar flowering periods yielded 60% more than the pure stands in dry growing seasons, but only 30% more when there was more rain.

Note here that the researchers have taken the concept of biodiversity vs. monoculture to produce results. Monoculture being a practice typically found in conventional agriculture, though the cultivars may not have been strictly "organic."

Even this study from Nature admits that in some situations organic yields are lower, but the results are contextual:
http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v485/n7397/full/nature11069.html?WT.ec_id=NATURE-20120510

quote:

Here we use a comprehensive meta-analysis to examine the relative yield performance of organic and conventional farming systems globally. Our analysis of available data shows that, overall, organic yields are typically lower than conventional yields. But these yield differences are highly contextual, depending on system and site characteristics, and range from 5% lower organic yields (rain-fed legumes and perennials on weak-acidic to weak-alkaline soils), 13% lower yields (when best organic practices are used), to 34% lower yields (when the conventional and organic systems are most comparable). Under certain conditions—that is, with good management practices, particular crop types and growing conditions—organic systems can thus nearly match conventional yields, whereas under others it at present cannot. To establish organic agriculture as an important tool in sustainable food production, the factors limiting organic yields need to be more fully understood, alongside assessments of the many social, environmental and economic benefits of organic farming systems.

So this indicates to me, along with Rodale's research that it's not a matter of "cannot" when it comes to organic, it's a matter of finding what's going to work through scientific method. That's what I base my argument on. I think it's unscientific to throw out organic whole cloth. Has it been used as a marketing device when it shouldn't have? Absolutely. Do crazy anti-vaxxers like to hitch their wagon to organic (and does that piss me off)? Definitely. But to say that practices and systems which worked for thousands of years and are continuing to work today to meet yields should be wholly disregarded as pseudoscience (when they're demonstrably not) to make way for new biotechnology and only biotech, to me is unscientific. And it's not a strawman. I've presented these same studies including the one above earlier in the thread and for whatever reason posters found a way to declare them invalid. Keep in mind when I first started the discussion about organic, literally the first post was:

Deteriorata posted:

Are you seriously expecting anybody to waste an hour of their lives listening to a podcast so they can tell you how stupid it is?
Which is fine. Discount whatever doesn't fit your narrative if that makes you feel better, but don't act like you're "combating scientific ignorance" while doing it.

Certainly we can all agree that our current industrialized agriculture system of monoculture and CAFOs is not sustainable in the long term and steps need to be taken to find another way. I actually don't have a problem with GMO's based on the scientific research. I support organic agriculture and the transparency of the growers I buy from, so I will go with an organic label and as long as GMO's are kept off of it in terms of what I eat, that's fine. I would like to see further development of GMOs to increase nutritional benefits and vitamins, perhaps increase protein so we need less animal protein (or at least convince people we need less) and maybe even create new crops which can start to reverse much of the ecological damage we've already created (read into the heavy metal neutralizing effects of fungi, for example).

So to summarize:
Pro-organic based on research
Neutral GMO's in their current form
Anti industrial, cow-poo poo-Lake-Erie-algae-bloom agriculture.

peter banana fucked around with this message at 19:51 on Mar 16, 2015

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CommieGIR
Aug 22, 2006

The blue glow is a feature, not a bug


Pillbug

peter banana posted:

So to summarize:
Pro-organic based on research
Neutral GMO's in their current form
Anti industrial, cow-poo poo-Lake-Erie-algae-bloom agriculture.

Ummmmmmm.....

The Organic Industry is really heavy with the manure usage, its actually been a significant issue due the E. Coli outbreaks that it has been tied back to.

peter banana posted:

So this indicates to me, along with Rodale's research that it's not a matter of "cannot" when it comes to organic, it's a matter of finding what's going to work through scientific method. That's what I base my argument on. I think it's unscientific to throw out organic whole cloth. Has it been used as a marketing device when it shouldn't have? Absolutely. Do crazy anti-vaxxers like to hitch their wagon to organic (and does that piss me off)? Definitely. But to say that practices and systems which worked for thousands of years and are continuing to work today to meet yields should be wholly disregarded as pseudoscience (when they're demonstrably not) to make way for new biotechnology and only biotech, to me is unscientific. And it's not a strawman.

EXCEPT ITS NOT, AND DID NOT. Organic has in no way been responsible for any of the food stability we see today, in fact you are literally making the argument that we should ignore the direct successes we got from the Green Revolution in favor of the previous thousands of years of farming, which was filled with successive crop failures and massive famine.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Norman_Borlaug

quote:

During the mid-20th century, Borlaug led the introduction of these high-yielding varieties combined with modern agricultural production techniques to Mexico, Pakistan, and India. As a result, Mexico became a net exporter of wheat by 1963. Between 1965 and 1970, wheat yields nearly doubled in Pakistan and India, greatly improving the food security in those nations.[9] These collective increases in yield have been labeled the Green Revolution, and Borlaug is often credited with saving over a billion people worldwide from starvation.[10] He was awarded the Nobel Peace Prize in 1970 in recognition of his contributions to world peace through increasing food supply.

quote:

The Green Revolution spread technologies that already existed, but had not been widely implemented outside industrialized nations. These technologies included modern irrigation projects, pesticides, synthetic nitrogen fertilizer and improved crop varieties developed through the conventional, science-based methods available at the time.

The novel technological development of the Green Revolution was the production of novel wheat cultivars. Agronomists bred cultivars of maize, wheat, and rice that are generally referred to as HYVs or "high-yielding varieties". HYVs have higher nitrogen-absorbing potential than other varieties. Since cereals that absorbed extra nitrogen would typically lodge, or fall over before harvest, semi-dwarfing genes were bred into their genomes. A Japanese dwarf wheat cultivar (Norin 10 wheat), which was sent to Washington, D.C. by Cecil Salmon, was instrumental in developing Green Revolution wheat cultivars. IR8, the first widely implemented HYV rice to be developed by IRRI, was created through a cross between an Indonesian variety named "Peta" and a Chinese variety named "Dee-geo-woo-gen."

With advances in molecular genetics, the mutant genes responsible for Arabidopsis thaliana genes (GA 20-oxidase,[18] ga1,[19] ga1-3[20]), wheat reduced-height genes (Rht)[21] and a rice semidwarf gene (sd1)[22] were cloned. These were identified as gibberellin biosynthesis genes or cellular signaling component genes. Stem growth in the mutant background is significantly reduced leading to the dwarf phenotype. Photosynthetic investment in the stem is reduced dramatically as the shorter plants are inherently more stable mechanically. Assimilates become redirected to grain production, amplifying in particular the effect of chemical fertilizers on commercial yield.

HYVs significantly outperform traditional varieties in the presence of adequate irrigation, pesticides, and fertilizers. In the absence of these inputs, traditional varieties may outperform HYVs. Therefore, several authors have challenged the apparent superiority of HYVs not only compared to the traditional varieties alone, but by contrasting the monocultural system associated with HYVs with the polycultural system associated with traditional ones.[23]

§Production increases[edit]
Cereal production more than doubled in developing nations between the years 1961–1985.[24] Yields of rice, maize, and wheat increased steadily during that period.[24] The production increases can be attributed roughly equally to irrigation, fertilizer, and seed development, at least in the case of Asian rice.[24]

While agricultural output increased as a result of the Green Revolution, the energy input to produce a crop has increased faster,[25] so that the ratio of crops produced to energy input has decreased over time. Green Revolution techniques also heavily rely on chemical fertilizers, pesticides and herbicides and rely on machines, which as of 2014 rely on or are derived from crude oil, making agriculture increasingly reliant on crude oil extraction.[26] Proponents of the Peak Oil theory fear that a future decline in oil and gas production would lead to a decline in food production or even a Malthusian catastrophe.[27]


World population 1950–2010
§Effects on food security[edit]
Main article: Food security
The effects of the Green Revolution on global food security are difficult to assess because of the complexities involved in food systems.

The world population has grown by about four billion since the beginning of the Green Revolution and many believe that, without the Revolution, there would have been greater famine and malnutrition. India saw annual wheat production rise from 10 million tons in the 1960s to 73 million in 2006.[28] The average person in the developing world consumes roughly 25% more calories per day now than before the Green Revolution.[24] Between 1950 and 1984, as the Green Revolution transformed agriculture around the globe, world grain production increased by over 250%.[29]

The production increases fostered by the Green Revolution are often credited with having helped to avoid widespread famine, and for feeding billions of people.[30]

There are also claims that the Green Revolution has decreased food security for a large number of people. One claim involves the shift of subsistence-oriented cropland to cropland oriented towards production of grain for export or animal feed. For example, the Green Revolution replaced much of the land used for pulses that fed Indian peasants for wheat, which did not make up a large portion of the peasant diet.[31]

quote:

He dismissed certain claims of critics, but did take other concerns seriously and stated that his work has been "a change in the right direction, but it has not transformed the world into a Utopia".[62]

Of environmental lobbyists, he said:

"some of the environmental lobbyists of the Western nations are the salt of the earth, but many of them are elitists. They've never experienced the physical sensation of hunger. They do their lobbying from comfortable office suites in Washington or Brussels...If they lived just one month amid the misery of the developing world, as I have for fifty years, they'd be crying out for tractors and fertilizer and irrigation canals and be outraged that fashionable elitists back home were trying to deny them these things".

CommieGIR fucked around with this message at 20:03 on Mar 16, 2015

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