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Viper_3000 posted:$500 on the Reem -155 good work dude
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Mar 15, 2015 06:12
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jabro posted:Nice. origami posted:good things can happen DumbWhiteGuy posted:good work dude Thanks. Really had no expectations on the RDA fight other than a hunch he was undervalued with that line. That was a nice surprise though. Hell of a fight too.
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Mar 15, 2015 06:16
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drat I missed what looked like a good card to bet. Nice hit Viper.
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Mar 15, 2015 14:20
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There's really not a lot of situations where I would bet on Matt Brown. If someone is capable and willing to stifle him either on the feet or on the ground, and aren't prone to giving that up and swinging, he's very much capable of losing. Love him and his fights but he will never get by people on his level who aren't afraid to eat a bad fight.
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Mar 17, 2015 23:22
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Intel&Sebastian posted:There's really not a lot of situations where I would bet on Matt Brown. If someone is capable and willing to stifle him either on the feet or on the ground, and aren't prone to giving that up and swinging, he's very much capable of losing. Love him and his fights but he will never get by people on his level who aren't afraid to eat a bad fight. The Mike Swick-Erick Silva era of Matt Brown beatings were probably the best time to bet on him. Not sure if he'll ever get more favorable matchups of that nature again (or decent underdog odds) since he's cracked the top 5 of the WW division.
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Mar 17, 2015 23:44
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canoshiz posted:The Mike Swick-Erick Silva era of Matt Brown beatings were probably the best time to bet on him. Not sure if he'll ever get more favorable matchups of that nature again (or decent underdog odds) since he's cracked the top 5 of the WW division. I'm still optimistic that we will get Brown vs Condit someday
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Mar 18, 2015 05:02
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Gonzaga is around -170 on most betting sites. That seems like a pretty good line considering that Cro Cop is completely, utterly shot and should have stopped fighting a long time ago.
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Apr 8, 2015 13:13
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MrSmokes posted:Gonzaga is around -170 on most betting sites. That seems like a pretty good line considering that Cro Cop is completely, utterly shot and should have stopped fighting a long time ago. cro cop has two straight finishes in MMA, eight straight victories in kickboxing (the remy fight was a travesty) and is the last K-1 grand prix winner. whereas gonzaga just lost to a closeted fatty. you make call chief, it's your money.
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Apr 8, 2015 13:40
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Foul Fowl posted:cro cop has two straight finishes in MMA, eight straight victories in kickboxing (the remy fight was a travesty) and is the last K-1 grand prix winner. whereas gonzaga just lost to a closeted fatty. you make call chief, it's your money. 
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Apr 8, 2015 20:07
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I like the zoom out with the guy praising jesus coming into frame
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Apr 8, 2015 20:25
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I mean, I want to believe and all as well, but isn't a repeat of that pretty much the best outcome for Crocop?
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Apr 8, 2015 20:37
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I feel like the best bets here involve the fight ending in round 1.
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Apr 9, 2015 03:59
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Mr. Nice! posted:I mean, I want to believe and all as well, but isn't a repeat of that pretty much the best outcome for Crocop? Gonzaga is a lot worse than he was in that fight whereas Crocop isnt much worse than he was in that fight. But yes Gonzaga should be a favorite and i dont see a lot of value on either guy if the lines have Gonzaga as -175 or whatever it is
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Apr 9, 2015 04:39
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Gonzaga is good at every aspect of fighting but still not very good at fighting, which I largely ascribe to brain problems
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Apr 9, 2015 05:06
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He does put one in mind of Sling Blade.
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Apr 9, 2015 05:48
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Betting on heavyweight fights is stupid and betting on this heavyweight fight is really stupid.
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Apr 9, 2015 06:55
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Marching Powder posted:Betting on heavyweight fights is stupid and betting on this heavyweight fight is really stupid. if your line of thinking is 'lol heavyweights anything can happen', then the smart thing to do would be to bet on the underdog
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Apr 9, 2015 16:03
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Me: Lets flip a coin and if its heads you win $200, if its tails you owe me $100 Smart guy who sees through the BS: no way... coin flips are way too unpredictable. it would be retarded to bet on something random
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Apr 9, 2015 18:41
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manyak posted:Me: Lets flip a coin and if its heads you win $200, if its tails you owe me $100 hahaha i think in a lot of ways crocop is actually a better fighter than he was last time in the sense that he's not taken aback by the idea of getting hurt from the infallible crocop guard, but he's also worse in that he's glacially slow, his hip mobility is much worse, and he does nothing but clinch constantly now. it's interesting in a profoundly sad and sure to be disappointing way.
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Apr 9, 2015 18:47
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manyak posted:Me: Lets flip a coin and if its heads you win $200, if its tails you owe me $100 lol
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Apr 10, 2015 13:51
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manyak posted:Me: Lets flip a coin and if its heads you win $200, if its tails you owe me $100 That example has an ev of $50 in my favor. That's actually not a terrible wager.
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Apr 10, 2015 15:01
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Mr. Nice! posted:That example has an ev of $50 in my favor. That's actually not a terrible wager.  There are equal odds of either outcome occuring, but one pays twice as much as the other.
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Apr 10, 2015 16:26
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Mr. Nice! posted:That example has an ev of $50 in my favor. That's actually not a terrible wager. nice
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Apr 10, 2015 16:33
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cro cops chance of winning is really low
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Apr 11, 2015 00:38
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ahahaha
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Apr 11, 2015 22:09
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Amazing
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Apr 11, 2015 22:11
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Yup.
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Apr 11, 2015 22:12
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make that three straight finishes. 
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Apr 11, 2015 22:14
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  (not me)
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Apr 12, 2015 05:13
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canoshiz posted:
Wow. I'd be pissed.
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Apr 12, 2015 06:06
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Mr. Nice! posted:That example has an ev of $50 in my favor. That's actually not a terrible wager.
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Apr 12, 2015 08:23
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Came into PSP to read the reactions in the GDT, and saw this thread. Holy crap I hope no one lost too much. Also it turns out the last time I checked this thread was on page 2, and it cracked me up reading all the warnings of betting on Jones against Shogun.
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Apr 12, 2015 18:40
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el B posted:Came into PSP to read the reactions in the GDT, and saw this thread. Holy crap I hope no one lost too much. This thread is a constant source of entertainment, you should have it bookmarked.
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Apr 12, 2015 18:46
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$20 on Felice +115 She's had an easy weight cut and is in better shape than I've ever seen her in. Paige looks scared, and is inexperienced. She's also a Chicago girl, so I irrationally bet on her. Watch me throw money away!
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Apr 17, 2015 23:28
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I'm really surprised to see Mizugaki at +300 to +325 on some sites. I could see him as a slight underdog but that seems like a value bet.
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Apr 17, 2015 23:52
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MassRafTer posted:I'm really surprised to see Mizugaki at +300 to +325 on some sites. I could see him as a slight underdog but that seems like a value bet. it's a really fun betting card with plenty of value. i've got mizugaki and miller to triumph over the young upstarts in a parlay to win near on 10x my bet and felice, cub, jacare and machida in a parlay for similar odds.
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Apr 18, 2015 09:45
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Added Miller +120 for $10. No real reason other than gut feeling and my inner degen wants to throw more money around so that I have something to do tonight besides watch the Rays game that I also bet on. Fights are way more entertaining to bet on.
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Apr 18, 2015 21:54
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Viper_3000 posted:Added Miller +120 for $10. No real reason other than gut feeling and my inner degen wants to throw more money around so that I have something to do tonight besides watch the Rays game that I also bet on. Fights are way more entertaining to bet on. I took Miller by sub. +500 is pretty good value considering how quickly he slaps subs on when he hurts someone.
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Apr 19, 2015 00:19
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Pre-emptive RIP to the above 3 posts
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Apr 19, 2015 00:20
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Herring came in with too much muscle and not enough cardio/conditioning. Which was my main concern after watching the weigh ins having placed my bets. She nearly had Van Zandt in the 1st though. Her ground game before she gassed was on point though. I was at dinner when Miller was fighting. How bad did I lose that one?
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Apr 19, 2015 01:38
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