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How are you going to vote on May 7th?
This poll is closed.
Conservative 72 6.22%
Labour 410 35.41%
Liberal Democrat 46 3.97%
UKIP 69 5.96%
Green 199 17.18%
SNP 121 10.45%
DUP 0 0%
Sinn Fein 35 3.02%
Plaid Cymru 20 1.73%
Respect 3 0.26%
Monster Raving Loony 56 4.84%
BNP 23 1.99%
Some flavour of socialist party 37 3.20%
Some flavour of communist party 27 2.33%
Independent 3 0.26%
Other 37 3.20%
Total: 1158 votes
[Edit Poll (moderators only)]

 
  • Locked thread
Guavanaut
Nov 27, 2009

Looking At Them Tittys
1969 - 1998



Toilet Rascal

Hoops posted:

One of my least favourite thing about the British Parliament is the fetishisation of tradition and ceremony, all this bollocks with robes and sceptres and dragging the speaker to his seat. Just debate the laws and vote on them, and try and make the country better to live in.
Tradition and ceremony are the only things holding them together. If they tried to fall back on what written and codified laws there are to run a Parliament in the UK...

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dispatch_async
Nov 28, 2014

Imagine having the time to have played through 20 generations of one family in The Sims 2. Imagine making the original two members of that family Neil Buchanan and Cat Deeley. Imagine complaining to Maxis there was no technological progression. You've successfully imagined my life

Jedit posted:

A reminder once again that despite what they claimed, the SNP manifesto would actually demand higher levels of austerity.

Only if you believe the household budget model of the economy put forward by a right wing think tank that was set up to campaign against capital gains tax.

Gonzo McFee
Jun 19, 2010
They're trying to make the SNP sound like the Bash Street Kids.

Hoops
Aug 19, 2005


A Black Mark For Retarded Posting

Fans posted:

A reminder once again that the SNP's manifesto was the only one based in some kind of numerical fact, rather than promising to fund the economy out of nebulous "Money saving" ideas.
Wasn't it actually UKIP who were the only ones whose manifesto was fully costed? I genuinely don't know, I saw it on question time.

Pissflaps
Oct 20, 2002

by VideoGames

Coohoolin posted:

They shuffled up when Skinner showed up to give him his seat, Labour's being ridiculous. The SNP want to sit in the opposition are the Lib Dems were using, there's nothing wrong with that.

The libdems werent on the opposition benches though?

Fans posted:

A reminder once again that the SNP's manifesto was the only one based in some kind of numerical fact

This is bollocks.

Fans
Jun 27, 2013

A reptile dysfunction

Hoops posted:

Wasn't it actually UKIP who were the only ones whose manifesto was fully costed? I genuinely don't know, I saw it on question time.

It was the SNP's. I don't believe the study even bothered to do UKIP's.

Hoops
Aug 19, 2005


A Black Mark For Retarded Posting

Gonzo McFee posted:

They're trying to make the SNP sound like the Bash Street Kids.
I like this simile, it's bang on. I might steal something Gonzo McFee posted to use in real life, eww.

Illuminti
Dec 3, 2005

Praise be to China's Covid-Zero Policy

Prince John posted:

Thanks, interesting stuff on Spain, I hadn't realised that.

The 316k is a net number. I do take your point about all the intricacies, in fact I'd written in a bit more detail about that a little while ago, but was just trying to keep the post short this time. My point of agreement with Farage was just a general "some proportion of that 316k will need housing, therefore we need to build more houses than we otherwise would". The relative size of the numbers can perhaps be slightly instructive, because if the net migration number was 50k, or 5k it would be much less of a problem, but I fully agree with your comments about local needs etc.

I can cut Farage some slack for not being able to explain all the intricacies on a debate platform, but was irritated by Sturgeon & co shouting him down as talking rubbish, when there must be some correlation between immigration and housing demand.


The actual number of immigrants is over 600,000 a year I believe.

Given the currrent state of things I think 316k a year is going to cause problems. It dilutes services for everyone. It's not like London is growing new hospitals and schools. (aware it could be and there's loads of money etc)

Gonzo McFee
Jun 19, 2010

Hoops posted:

I like this simile, it's bang on. I might steal something Gonzo McFee posted to use in real life, eww.

Nobody can just be nice, can they. :(

Hoops
Aug 19, 2005


A Black Mark For Retarded Posting

Gonzo McFee posted:

Nobody can just be nice, can they. :(
You're right tbh, sorry.

The Supreme Court
Feb 25, 2010

Pirate World: Nearly done!
316,000 people net gain for the UK? Arrghhhh let's make the country poo poo, that'll show 'em

(verbatim from hansard, probably)

Isn't this a good thing because
A. we're all getting old and need people to start paying for our pensions
B. immigrants are a net gain?

I don't understand the daily mail etc. view of immigrants ruining everything they hold dear. Surely a ton of people coming to Britain when we're not building enough homes puts house prices up?

Gonzo McFee
Jun 19, 2010

Hoops posted:

You're right tbh, sorry.

Wasn't serious, mate.

thespaceinvader
Mar 30, 2011

The slightest touch from a Gol-Shogeg will result in Instant Death!

Illuminti posted:

The actual number of immigrants is over 600,000 a year I believe.

Given the currrent state of things I think 316k a year is going to cause problems. It dilutes services for everyone. It's not like London is growing new hospitals and schools. (aware it could be and there's loads of money etc)

IIRC from the Beeb's article it's 641k gross, 318k net. They want to get it down under 100k (net, presumably). It went up by fifty loving per cent last year, according to the Beeb. Quite HOW this ambitious plan is to be enacted I'm not sure, given that the bulk of the article focuses on illegal immigrants, who as far as I'm aware are a small minority of the total, and to be honest, a number we don't actually properly know, since it's not like illegal workers tend to identify themselves as such.

It appears to be a thinly veiled crackdown on illegal workers, but not on illegal employers (though I'm aware that fines can be enacted on people employing illegal workers), nor on the currently-legitimate immigrants who make up the bulk of the figures.

Of course, another way to reduce net immigration is to cause a whole bunch of your political opponents to think they'd probably be better off emigrating, so there's that.

a pipe smoking dog
Jan 25, 2010

"haha, dogs can't smoke!"

Fans posted:

It was the SNP's. I don't believe the study even bothered to do UKIP's.

The study didn't do UKIPs because they were the only party to get their budget audited and it would have just been a duplication.

But seriously if the IFS think your budget is good that is not something to be proud of.

Niric
Jul 23, 2008

Coohoolin posted:

Terrorist attacks tend to get lumped in together as a vague homogeneous category despite the specific origins and motivations of different groups and attacks so the more realist types of theories aren't much use. National security and political approval aren't necessarily the same thing either, and it's very possible that good security approaches don't garner anywhere near the level of popularity that bad security approaches would (I'm sure examples are easy to think of). Personally when it comes to this kind of issue I like the Copenhagen approach- states create their own security threats by a deliberate expression of danger or fear, often for political motives, sometimes out of ignorance or arrogance. Iraq was not a security threat to the US, and yet it became one for all intents and purposes. The most effective reaction to Islamic terrorism, as we know, is to stop murdering people in the Middle East, so any country that responds to an Islamic terror attack with anything other than "ok we'll stop murdering your families" isn't actually doing much for their security.

Basically public consciousness can be affected by the state itself, in deciding what does and does not constitute a viable threat to national security, and these decisions are mostly unrelated to reality.

The Copenhagen school is Buzan and Waever and the like isn't it? That's what I meant by securitization theory; since it focuses on discourse, I was hoping there'd been some analyses of public attitudes as part of that. It'd probably be more general in focus than normal I guess though, since from memory securitization papers tended to focus on assessing what constitutes a successful securitization move, rather than looking at wider contexts.

Boring academic chat: as interesting as I found a lot of Buzan and waever's work (especially waever bringing in aspects of deconstruction and post structuralism), I always thought the role of the audience and reception was under valued, and that a much wider focus on public opinion and culture in general was necessary

Hoops
Aug 19, 2005


A Black Mark For Retarded Posting

Gonzo McFee posted:

Wasn't serious, mate.
I still shouldn't have gone in for poo poo like that, it's for wankers who are spending too much time on Internet forums.

Coohoolin
Aug 5, 2012

Oor Coohoolie.

Niric posted:

The Copenhagen school is Buzan and Waever and the like isn't it? That's what I meant by securitization theory; since it focuses on discourse, I was hoping there'd been some analyses of public attitudes as part of that. It'd probably be more general in focus than normal I guess though, since from memory securitization papers tended to focus on assessing what constitutes a successful securitization move, rather than looking at wider contexts.

Boring academic chat: as interesting as I found a lot of Buzan and waever's work (especially waever bringing in aspects of deconstruction and post structuralism), I always thought the role of the audience and reception was under valued, and that a much wider focus on public opinion and culture in general was necessary

I never read the original academics, Copenhagen theory was lightly touched on in my course but if you just understand it as constructivism applied to securitization it's pretty straightforward. The problem with IR theories, as always, is they never go far enough into exploring the sociological aspects and implications of their proffered theories. It's very much "beep boop theory reflects model, model represents theory" without actually trying to understand the underlying issues.

Prince John
Jun 20, 2006

Oh, poppycock! Female bandits?

The Supreme Court posted:

I don't understand the daily mail etc. view of immigrants ruining everything they hold dear. Surely a ton of people coming to Britain when we're not building enough homes puts house prices up?

It's a toughie for the Daily Mail alright - fear of the ~~brown people~~ vs house price rises. I guess I'm not really surprised that the first trumps the second in their eyes. Don't forget, they're literally only here to abuse your children, claim your benefits, steal your job, and poo poo on your lawn.

baka kaba
Jul 19, 2003

PLEASE ASK ME, THE SELF-PROFESSED NO #1 PAUL CATTERMOLE FAN IN THE SOMETHING AWFUL S-CLUB 7 MEGATHREAD, TO NAME A SINGLE SONG BY HIS EXCELLENT NU-METAL SIDE PROJECT, SKUA, AND IF I CAN'T PLEASE TELL ME TO
EAT SHIT

Illuminti posted:

The actual number of immigrants is over 600,000 a year I believe.

Given the currrent state of things I think 316k a year is going to cause problems. It dilutes services for everyone. It's not like London is growing new hospitals and schools. (aware it could be and there's loads of money etc)

Reminder that immigrants are a net contributor to the state, i.e. they use less public services than they pay for. The problem isn't immigrants, it's a systemic issue where the government simply doesn't have a handle on providing the resources that the country needs (and is paying for).

I mean even if all immigration stopped right now, the population is still rising faster than we're building houses and schools and so on. There's still a shortfall that needs addressing, except without immigrants there's a drop in the tax take, raising THE DEFICIT which must be held down at all costs. And not only is the government loath to spend money on public services, they don't particularly want to pop the housing bubble either. Immigration might be a lever used to put pressure on the working class, but they're not the ones pushing on it - and it doesn't need to be that way

And this talk of Farage being the only one saying any of this - everyone was saying that there needs to be more houses, more investment in infrastructure, more public spending to provide for the needs of the economy and the people in it. Farage was just the only one using it to bash immigrants living here, just as he used every other topic to bash immigrants living here, whether there's any factual basis or not. I don't see the point in giving him props on this

OwlFancier
Aug 22, 2013

Well, it might be more accurate to say everyone was saying how terrible it is that we have such a housing shortage but nobody was really proposing to do anything very much about it.

baka kaba
Jul 19, 2003

PLEASE ASK ME, THE SELF-PROFESSED NO #1 PAUL CATTERMOLE FAN IN THE SOMETHING AWFUL S-CLUB 7 MEGATHREAD, TO NAME A SINGLE SONG BY HIS EXCELLENT NU-METAL SIDE PROJECT, SKUA, AND IF I CAN'T PLEASE TELL ME TO
EAT SHIT

Well sure but they were all proposing house building schemes of various sorts, and this and that investment. It's not like Farage alone was striding forth into the housing crisis with pragmatic and objective measures to save us once and for all. He was offering basically the same deal and honking about there being too many immigrants

Antwan3K
Mar 8, 2013
Without immigrants the UK would already have become the third-world hellhole a majority of its voters deserve to live in

JFairfax
Oct 23, 2008

by FactsAreUseless
How many people are dying each year?

Lord of the Llamas
Jul 9, 2002

EULER'VE TO SEE IT VENN SOMEONE CALLS IT THE WRONG THING AND PROVOKES MY WRATH

JFairfax posted:

How many people are dying each year?

I think I know where the NHS reforms are headed...

IceAgeComing
Jan 29, 2013

pretty fucking embarrassing to watch
The fact that having net migration of 300,000+ while building less than 100,000 houses annually is incredibly dumb is a legitimate political point

The solution is that we should be building more social housing, rather than demonising immigrants for the crime of trying to improve their personal situation. Although I do think that if you do introduce strong policies against illegal immigrants, you should focus on punishing the people that knowingly employ illegal immigrants rather than those who come to the UK illegally, since I'm going to guess that people employing illegal migrants aren't going to be paying them the minimum wage or closely following employment legislation, and that harms working class people generally - both migrants and those born in the UK.

Illuminti
Dec 3, 2005

Praise be to China's Covid-Zero Policy

Antwan3K posted:

Without immigrants the UK would already have become the third-world hellhole a majority of its voters deserve to live in

Or all the old people would have died off due to lack of care and we'd have a young dynamic nation of go getters. And without immigrants or old people we'd all be entrepreneuring from our affordable single occupancy 4 bedroom townhouses and country retreats

Guavanaut
Nov 27, 2009

Looking At Them Tittys
1969 - 1998



Toilet Rascal

JFairfax posted:

How many people are dying each year?
Net migration: 318,000 (2014)
Number of births: 778,803 (2013)
Number of deaths: 576,458 (2013)

A move towards slight population deflation would ease a lot of the problems with housing shortages, high population density, school places, wages, etc, but might mean increased resources per capita having to be spent on the elderly.

Fans
Jun 27, 2013

A reptile dysfunction

Pissflaps posted:

This is bollocks.

Let's do some reading together!

http://www.ifs.org.uk/uploads/publications/bns/BN170.pdf

quote:

The SNP plans appear to be underpinned by a specific plan for total spending, social security and tax policies for the next parliament. In marked and positive contrast to the other parties, they have not predicated their fiscal plans on achieving any additional revenues from uncertain and unspecified anti avoidance measures.

Ichabod Sexbeast
Dec 5, 2011

Giving 'em the old razzle-dazzle

JFairfax posted:

How many people are dying each year?

Not enough

Fans
Jun 27, 2013

A reptile dysfunction
Together we can avert the looming pension crisis by making sure no one lives long enough to collect one.

Guavanaut
Nov 27, 2009

Looking At Them Tittys
1969 - 1998



Toilet Rascal
Does that mean that pubs can allow smoking sections again?

Antwan3K
Mar 8, 2013

Illuminti posted:

Or all the old people would have died off due to lack of care and we'd have a young dynamic nation of go getters. And without immigrants or old people we'd all be entrepreneuring from our affordable single occupancy 4 bedroom townhouses and country retreats

What about non-aspirational masochists who don't want to become rich or "sell out"?

Pissflaps
Oct 20, 2002

by VideoGames

Let's continue reading together it's fun!

quote:

However, unlike the
other parties, the SNP have not made any clear statement about what level of borrowing
they would be comfortable with in the medium- and longer-term.

And from this you concluded that the SNP manifesto was solely 'based on numerical fact'.

Fans
Jun 27, 2013

A reptile dysfunction

Pissflaps posted:

And from this you concluded that the SNP manifesto was solely 'based on numerical fact'.

What level of borrowing they're comfortable with is a good thing to know, but them not stating it doesn't mean their stuff suddenly becomes uncosted again.

Guavanaut
Nov 27, 2009

Looking At Them Tittys
1969 - 1998



Toilet Rascal

Antwan3K posted:

What about non-aspirational masochists who don't want to become rich or "sell out"?
maso-sadists :eng101:

Jedit
Dec 10, 2011

Proudly supporting vanilla legends 1994-2014

Fans posted:

What level of borrowing they're comfortable with is a good thing to know, but them not stating it doesn't mean their stuff suddenly becomes uncosted again.

If the SNP manifesto is accurately costed you should know what level of borrowing they would be comfortable with by looking at the shortfall.

marktheando
Nov 4, 2006

Costing of manifestos seems a bit pointless anyway since no government in history has ever stuck to their manifesto.

dispatch_async
Nov 28, 2014

Imagine having the time to have played through 20 generations of one family in The Sims 2. Imagine making the original two members of that family Neil Buchanan and Cat Deeley. Imagine complaining to Maxis there was no technological progression. You've successfully imagined my life

marktheando posted:

Costing of manifestos seems a bit pointless anyway since no government in history has ever stuck to their manifesto.

Also the ridiculousness of the idea that anybody has the faintest clue what the economy is going to be doing in 4 years time.

Illuminti
Dec 3, 2005

Praise be to China's Covid-Zero Policy

Antwan3K posted:

What about non-aspirational masochists who don't want to become rich or "sell out"?

Well there's bound to be a lot of houses left empty for them to squat in, paper over the windows and write manifestos

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Pistol_Pete
Sep 15, 2007

Oven Wrangler

dispatch_async posted:

Also the ridiculousness of the idea that anybody has the faintest clue what the economy is going to be doing in 4 years time.

I'm still hoping for a property crash in the SE. My lovely flat has increased in value by a THIRD in the last 3 years. I'd gladly take a hit to my equity to see all the property owners wailing about "muh investment!!!!!" and demanding government subsidies to pay their stupid mortgages.

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