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The American Prospect ran a big piece on Kirkpatrick's 2014 campaign, for those interested.Bob Moser posted:Few Democrats in Congress were as well positioned as Kirkpatrick to undertake a campaign of Clinton-style triangulation. She voted “just” 89 percent with President Obama, according to the Sunlight Foundation—one of the lower partisan-purity tallies on the Hill. But Kirkpatrick had tried the “no-D Democratic” approach before, in 2010, when she spent the campaign on the defensive after voting for Obamacare, insisting she was actually a model of “independence” and pledging fiscal responsibility and aisle-crossing. She got whomped. So this year, Kirkpatrick made the curious strategic decision to run as herself: a deal-cutter who brings millions in grant money to her cash-starved district; an opponent of EPA regulations when they threaten local jobs, and an environmentalist otherwise; and, most important, a progressive populist on such defining issues as immigration reform, corporate taxation, and health-care reform. The Prospect has been beating this drum for a while now, that Dems have to run more liberal candidates even in tossup districts. I always suspect there's a bit of wishful thinking at play, but this seemed like a pretty well-supported article. Bob Moser posted:The Obamacare attack ads flew fast and furious, but Kirkpatrick didn’t flinch, pointing out that the law had benefited thousands of her constituents. “I talk to people almost on a daily basis who now have coverage they never had before,” she said in a September debate. “Thank heavens.” (Thank heavens for Obamacare? Smelling salts for the consultants, quick!) By being so unblinking and unapologetic about supporting the ACA, she put herself in a position to turn the issue on Tobin, who had opposed Arizona’s Medicaid expansion as House speaker. “He fought Medicaid expansion, and 21,000 people in my district just signed up for Medicaid,” she told a Phoenix radio host in September.
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May 27, 2015 02:22
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She sounds like she has balls--a rare quality in a Democrat in a Republican district. The DSCC could definitely do worse than supporting her candidacy.
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May 27, 2015 02:39
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Oh yeah, there's also a court case going on that would, if successful, allow the legislature to disband the nonpartisan redistricting commission that drew the maps in Arizona and redraw the lines in what would be a Republican gerrymander. So she might be trying to outrun that as well.
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May 27, 2015 03:29
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For those who weren't paying attention (which, as is obvious by me posting it three days later, includes myself,) Mike Coffman announced that he's running for re-election in the house this past Monday. He had seemed like the leading candidate to run against Bennet in Colorado but wouldn't have been a favorite to actually win that race. Plan B, as far as I can tell, is that there isn't one and Republicans just hope that someone will stick his neck out and then win due to a red November wave.
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Jun 5, 2015 03:28
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Cliff Racer posted:For those who weren't paying attention (which, as is obvious by me posting it three days later, includes myself,) Mike Coffman announced that he's running for re-election in the house this past Monday. He had seemed like the leading candidate to run against Bennet in Colorado but wouldn't have been a favorite to actually win that race. Plan B, as far as I can tell, is that there isn't one and Republicans just hope that someone will stick his neck out and then win due to a red November wave. I've never seen someone fail upward from luck better than Michael Bennet.
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Jun 5, 2015 13:46
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 Sandoval not running for NV Senate The NV Dems must be praising their pagan idols right about now.
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Jun 9, 2015 14:36
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e:f,b
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Jun 9, 2015 14:37
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Between that and the guy challenging Bennett in CO not running, been a good week for Senate Dem chances
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Jun 9, 2015 14:40
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Franco Potente posted:
Wow. Without Sandoval in the race, this is now at least a tossup if not a lean or likely D hold, right? Catherine Cortez Masto has to be the favorite against any other GOP nominee.
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Jun 9, 2015 18:07
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Franco Potente posted:
My sister just texted me ecstatically.
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Jun 9, 2015 18:14
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Franco Potente posted:
Puttin out a bowl of wine for Athena itt
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Jun 9, 2015 20:07
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Sen. Johnny Isakson (R-GA) announces he is suffering from early-stage Parkinson's disease, but will still run for re-election in 2016.
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Jun 10, 2015 18:20
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Hagan won't run against Burr in NC.
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Jun 24, 2015 01:41
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Ugh I can't believe they are even possibly considering Heath Shuler
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Jun 24, 2015 01:47
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Rather surprised, all the dominoes had seemed to be falling in place for Democrats this cycle. In other news Pat Toomey has seemed to be surprisingly strong (though still beatable lately) while Portman looks like he'll have real issues in Ohio. Wasn't expecting that this time around.
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Jun 24, 2015 01:55
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Pawlowski seems weak to me. I liked Sestak last time around but the critiques earlier in this thread convinced me he's a crappy candidate, too. I feel like the state party did a great job finding and electing Tom Wolf, but if this is the best we've got for a Senate race against a beatable one-term incumbent in a presidential year...I don't know. Isn't there anyone on the bench?
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Jun 24, 2015 03:59
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They didn't find Wolf, Wolf found them and had to push a bunch of other people out of the way to get in. There's a lot of low to mid level people on the bench, its just that none of them are willing and able to step up. I still think that Sestak is a fine candidate, its just that Toomey has managed to turn himself into one too.
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Jun 24, 2015 04:02
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Any word on if Foxx is gonna run against Burr? I figured his bump up to Transportation Sec. was to give him some influence back in NC.
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Jun 24, 2015 16:50
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Franco Potente posted:Any word on if Foxx is gonna run against Burr? I figured his bump up to Transportation Sec. was to give him some influence back in NC. He said he didn't want it. Honestly he's not the best candidate. He has to win back the suburban areas that shifted in 2012 compared to 2008 and I doubt OBAMAS TRAINZ BUREAUCRAT will be as hard to attack as any other statewide elected Dem save Elaine Marshall since she lost last time. Cowell isn't running, but she's my sentimental favorite from way back. She'd be better as the possible successor for McCheese if Cooper loses. She'd clobber any other possible 2020 candidate, since under him it's total clownshoes with Forrest, Berger, etc. Brad Miller will probably get the call. He's available, known in Raleigh and Greensboro, and isn't too conservative for the activists nor is he too liberal for everyone else. That Politico article is lazy. Stein is clearly running for AG and Cowell already announced she's running for reelection.
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Jun 24, 2015 17:18
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I hope I get to see Virginia Foxx lose an election one day rather than just retire
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Jun 25, 2015 00:26
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Republican Jeff Miller (FL-01) is going to run for Rubio's seat. He'll have a better shot at winning the Republican nom than DeSantis, surely?
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Jun 26, 2015 00:50
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Franco Potente posted:Republican Jeff Miller (FL-01) is going to run for Rubio's seat. He'll have a better shot at winning the Republican nom than DeSantis, surely? We'll have to wait and see who can project the more agreeable level of insanity. I'm unfamiliar with Miller, but am quite certain of DeSantis' wing nut insanity.
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Jun 26, 2015 01:24
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So, this is more 2018 Senate Elections than 2016, and more E/N than D&D, but holy poo poo I just got to meet Senator Sherrod Brown and he told me I was doing great work.    Only guy I could see beating him in 3 years would be Kasich if Kasich decides to run for Senate, which is definitely a possibility. It would also be horrible, because Brown is one of the best drat Senators in this country.
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Jun 29, 2015 16:52
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Ehh, he could get a cabinet post or have a scandal or get sick or get bored or just be up in a terrible cycle. Its hard enough to predict 2016, predicting 2018 is close to impossible at this point.
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Jun 30, 2015 00:29
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railroad terror posted:So, this is more 2018 Senate Elections than 2016, and more E/N than D&D, but holy poo poo I just got to meet Senator Sherrod Brown and he told me I was doing great work. You know what would be a great way to thank Senator Brown? Making a contribution to your state's Democratic party before the quarter is over.
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Jun 30, 2015 00:38
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Which party does Kelly Ayotte represent? Judging by her launch video  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cwAE__ElQVc But you know what's not a mystery? The fact that one of the vets in this has an awesome mustache!
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Jun 30, 2015 13:36
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Joementum posted:Which party does Kelly Ayotte represent? Judging by her launch video Shoe store! Playground! Veteran! Shaking hands! Garden!
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Jun 30, 2015 13:38
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Ah, the vaunted Linda McMahon strategy once more in action. Looking forward to the "Vote for Clinton....and Ayotte!" in the waning days of the campaign.
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Jun 30, 2015 13:47
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My Imaginary GF posted:You know what would be a great way to thank Senator Brown? You've obviously never seen the Rhode Island Democratic Party (should have mentioned I'm not an Ohioite. Ohioan?)
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Jun 30, 2015 14:19
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Ohioan
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Jul 1, 2015 00:37
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I believe it's actually Ohioid.
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Jul 1, 2015 01:01
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Rep. Joe Heck is running for NV Senate, probably the best non-Sandoval candidate the Republicans could recruit. Also, fun story, Joe Heck is a General in the Army Reserves and was up for a promotion a couple years ago. These promotions require Senate confirmation and his was held up by a certain Senator from Nevada in retribution for McConnell stalling on nomination votes.
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Jul 6, 2015 14:40
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Joe Sestak will walk 500 miles, including several where children are standing.
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Jul 6, 2015 17:33
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Edit: Just beaten, drat it.
GalacticAcid has issued a correction as of 17:37 on Jul 6, 2015 |
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Jul 6, 2015 17:34
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Joementum posted:Rep. Joe Heck is running for NV Senate, probably the best non-Sandoval candidate the Republicans could recruit. How does Cortez poll against him?
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Jul 6, 2015 18:19
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Joementum posted:Joe Sestak will walk 500 miles, including several where children are standing. Why's everyone in PA scared to step up against him? Isn't there a DA somewhere that can do it?
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Jul 6, 2015 19:37
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De Nomolos posted:Why's everyone in PA scared to step up against him? Isn't there a DA somewhere that can do it? Looks like there's lots of people willing to step up against him, it's just that he keeps steam-rollering them under his feet.
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Jul 6, 2015 20:18
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De Nomolos posted:Why's everyone in PA scared to step up against him? Isn't there a DA somewhere that can do it? De Nomolos posted:Why's everyone in PA scared to step up against him? Isn't there a DA somewhere that can do it? The state party is backing Allentown Mayor Ed Pawlowski. Allentown City Hall is currently taking some heat from the FBI. quote:City officials believe the search was focused on Allentown's contracting process, city spokesman Mike Moore said Friday. So hopefully there's alternative, otherwise we might be stuck with Sestak. Kathleen Kane is the state AG and at one time seemed like the Great Blue Hope, but she's probably toast. From Allegheny County, I've seen Eugene DePasquale (state Auditor General), Rich Fitzgerald (county Executive, he doesn't have a great reputation with county employees though), and Dave Hickton (US Attorney for Western PA - highly unlikley, really low-key guy without any name recognition) all mentioned. I don't know as much about the rest of the state.
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Jul 6, 2015 22:27
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Joementum posted:Joe Sestak will walk 500 miles, including several where children are standing. There is a man that is not used to being around small children or animals.
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Jul 7, 2015 01:26
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Joementum posted:Which party does Kelly Ayotte represent? Judging by her launch video whoa new hampshire has a heroin epidemic, i should live there
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Jul 7, 2015 18:14
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