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thrawn527 posted:Hey Beer, thanks again for the BeerSheets! I submitted a custom draft request a couple of weeks ago, but I haven't seen it yet on the weekly sheets. Did you ask for the draft date so you could post some custom ones closer to draft date? Did you look in the custom folder on drop box?
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Aug 14, 2015 19:53
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Suave Fedora posted:We're going to need a Rate My Draft thread going into this weekend. Definitely. poo poo's about to get real.
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Aug 14, 2015 19:55
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Ertz is out for the rest of the preseason after a surgery. Bradford will not play this Sunday. One notable observer said he's "definitely not ready" Just passing it on..
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Aug 14, 2015 19:59
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thrawn527 posted:Hey Beer, thanks again for the BeerSheets! I submitted a custom draft request a couple of weeks ago, but I haven't seen it yet on the weekly sheets. Did you ask for the draft date so you could post some custom ones closer to draft date? Yes. I have approximately 1400 requests at the moment.
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Aug 14, 2015 20:00
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CompeAnansi posted:Did you look in the custom folder on drop box? Yeah, I checked. Beer4TheBeerGod posted:Yes. I have approximately 1400 requests at the moment. That's what I figured, but wanted to make sure (though not that many, yikes). Thanks again!
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Aug 14, 2015 20:28
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If you want something sooner shoot me a PM. I don't mind doing it but I don't want to be swamped.
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Aug 14, 2015 20:32
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Beer4TheBeerGod posted:Yes. I have approximately 1400 requests at the moment. H o l y s h i t piss Donated  I hope that helps a little
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Aug 14, 2015 20:44
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I have and always will maintain that ending up with picks 6-12 are much better than 1-5. why? because picks 1-5 are almost always used to draft running backs and its very difficult not to when you get those picks EVEN THOUGH historically only 30% of RBs drafted in the first round become top 10 players at their position. WRs drafted in the first round are twice as likely to reach their potential. Basically, anyone who gets the first couple picks is too scared to deviate away from picking a RB even though it makes sense statistically. Getting a later pick basically forces you into taking the best WR instead of the 3rd or 4th best RB. I am obviously a big fan of the no RB strategy with the exception of maybe the first two picks. It has worked out quite well for me. Anyone try using this approach?
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Aug 14, 2015 20:58
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TommyGun85 posted:I have and always will maintain that ending up with picks 6-12 are much better than 1-5. why? I'm picking third this weekend and if were not to have one of Charles, AP or Leveon I would be a shivering, sniveling mess up until Week 1, so unfortunately I will not be enjoining in this cruel experiment.
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Aug 14, 2015 21:07
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Suave Fedora posted:I'm picking third this weekend and if were not to have one of Charles, AP or Leveon I would be a shivering, sniveling mess up until Week 1, so unfortunately I will not be enjoining in this cruel experiment. well statistically speaking, 2 of those 3 will not end up in the top 10 of running backs. Taking Antonio Brown or Dez is a safer bet in the first and crucial round. Thats why I say its better to get pick 6 instead of 3. It becomes an easier decision to pass on the RB
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Aug 14, 2015 21:12
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TommyGun85 posted:I have and always will maintain that ending up with picks 6-12 are much better than 1-5. why? I have pick 3 in one league and pick 4 in another, and I'm considering going WR in both to A) avoid this issue B) get the best WR in each league and C) confuse people. They're both PPR. Possibly not worth it. I'll probably just trust in the Beer Sheet for pick one. But in most mock drafts, when I got WR/WR in round 1 and 2, Frank Gore is my RB1 when I get one in pick 3. I don't know how I feel about that.
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Aug 14, 2015 21:15
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thrawn527 posted:I have pick 3 in one league and pick 4 in another, and I'm considering going WR in both to A) avoid this issue B) get the best WR in each league and C) confuse people. They're both PPR. Full PPR? I would draft Antonio Brown without hesitation.
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Aug 14, 2015 21:18
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Beer4TheBeerGod posted:Full PPR? I would draft Antonio Brown without hesitation.
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Aug 14, 2015 21:21
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Alright, I probably will then. The people picking in front of me in both are people I'm 99% positive will go RB, so he should be there still.
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Aug 14, 2015 21:24
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Beer4TheBeerGod posted:Full PPR? I would draft Antonio Brown without hesitation. I have the same pick in a .5 pt PPR and am taking Brown.
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Aug 14, 2015 21:24
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Beer, this is quite a long shot. I imagine it might be a lot of work. But what are the chances of getting BeerSheets to list the players' ages? For keeper/dynasty drafting, it'd be really nice to have an immediate reference especially in the later rounds. So like in round 12, I'm looking at a fourth WR and BeerSheets is showing me like 8 interchangeable players whose names I don't know very well, and in that event I probably just want to avoid picking the old guys and aim for the 2nd-year veterans who are more likely to have an upswing to their careers in coming years.
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Aug 14, 2015 21:24
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correct me if im wrong Beer but the Beersheets are most valuable in the rounds after the first. For the first round you want to make sure ypu dont miss and you are twice as likely to miss by taking a top 5 adp RB than you are a top 5 adp WR. anyway, im just speaking from past experience of what has worked for me. I plan to go WR/WR then use beersheets for the remainder of the draft based on positional scarcity.
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Aug 14, 2015 21:24
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Gore is going to have a good year.
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Aug 14, 2015 21:35
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old dog child posted:Gore is going to have a good year. Which is why I'm considering grabbing him in the early 2nd round (keeper league, lots of round 1 talent gone). It's really going to be between him or Aaron Rodgers (6PPT, 1PPR for RBs)
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Aug 14, 2015 21:40
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TommyGun85 posted:I have and always will maintain that ending up with picks 6-12 are much better than 1-5. why? I take the guy who I project to score the most points next year on a round by round basis. The only reason I would wait on a guy is if I am confident he will be around one pick later. Picking early isn't a limiting factor. Just make sure you draft the guy who is going to score the most points. 
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Aug 14, 2015 21:46
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Sataere posted:I take the guy who I project to score the most points next year on a round by round basis. The only reason I would wait on a guy is if I am confident he will be around one pick later. Picking early isn't a limiting factor. Just make sure you draft the guy who is going to score the most points. I don't think that's quite what you do, or you'd be picking QBs every round  E: Actually I guess Brown scored more than most/all QBs?
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Aug 14, 2015 21:48
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Who says he doesn't?
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Aug 14, 2015 21:50
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Varg posted:okay now you're just being silly Just for the record, there are also two RB slots in that league, but I only included the WR-eligible positions because we were discussing a WR 
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Aug 14, 2015 22:37
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Leperflesh posted:Beer, this is quite a long shot. I imagine it might be a lot of work. But what are the chances of getting BeerSheets to list the players' ages? For Keeper/Dynasty I would rather have their dynasty ADP instead of their age. If it's a slow draft I would take advantage of FantasyPros or DLF. TommyGun85 posted:correct me if im wrong Beer but the Beersheets are most valuable in the rounds after the first. For the first round you want to make sure ypu dont miss and you are twice as likely to miss by taking a top 5 adp RB than you are a top 5 adp WR. There's nothing wrong with that, and in fact determining player reliability is one of the reasons I added the historical column (1/2/P). For example last year in a 12 team half PPR league Antonio Brown produced starter level (WR2 or better) points in 14 of his 15 games. That's pretty drat impressive. The only other players who did that were Leveon Bell (15 games), DeMarco Murray, Gronk, and Andrew Luck. If you're talking about elite numbers (RB1, WR1, or top half of QB/TE) then the only players who put up double digit elite games last year were Matt Forte, DeMarco Murray, Arian Foster, Andrew Luck, and Antonio Brown. I consider BeerSheets to be a guide. There will be players I don't like that I won't draft unless it's a round or two later, and there will be players I will absolutely reach on. In the end it's about your team and how happy you are with it. Beer4TheBeerGod fucked around with this message at 22:49 on Aug 14, 2015 |
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Aug 14, 2015 22:41
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Rate my team thread: http://forums.somethingawful.com/showthread.php?threadid=3736579
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Aug 14, 2015 22:47
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Beer4TheBeerGod posted:For Keeper/Dynasty I would rather have their dynasty ADP instead of their age. If it's a slow draft I would take advantage of FantasyPros or DLF. Hmm, yeah fair point.
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Aug 14, 2015 22:48
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Doing an auction draft and trying to get a feel for players I might be interested in certain budget ranges. Thoughts on Melvin Gordon vs Todd Gurley?
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Aug 15, 2015 00:08
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Cart Mountain posted:Doing an auction draft and trying to get a feel for players I might be interested in certain budget ranges. Thoughts on Melvin Gordon vs Todd Gurley? Redraft Gordon, dynasty Gurley.
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Aug 15, 2015 00:10
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jabro posted:Redraft Gordon, dynasty Gurley. Gurley is currently slated to miss 2-3 regular season games, and those games missed projections rarely go down
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Aug 15, 2015 00:11
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Woodhead gonna overshadow Gordon all year unless that lunchpail grit machine gets hurt.
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Aug 15, 2015 00:14
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RVProfootballer posted:I don't think that's quite what you do, or you'd be picking QBs every round I assumed you would realize I meant by their relative position. I only draft the highest scoring running backs, wide receivers and tight ends with my top picks. Sometimes they forget they are supposed to be the best players at their position that year.
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Aug 15, 2015 00:14
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LmaoTheKid posted:Woodhead gonna overshadow Gordon all year unless that lunchpail grit machine gets hurt. This. I was never high on Gordon coming out (but that's probably just me), but everything I've heard indicates that he's had trouble with his blocking and pick-ups. I have a feeling Woodhead is going to take a strangle hold on passing down situations and if Gordon even falters a bit in early down work, I could see Woodhead working his way into a timeshare.
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Aug 15, 2015 00:18
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Guys I need some keeper advice. I'm most likely picking last in my 14-team league and have to choose 1 of the following: Adrian Peterson Eddie Lacy Demarius Thomas Antonio Brown I'm leaning towards AP. Yes I won this league last year.
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Aug 15, 2015 00:36
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I say Lacy.
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Aug 15, 2015 00:40
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Is it PPR? 0PPR: Lacy > AP > Brown > DT 0.5PPR: Lacy = Brown > AP > DT 1PPR: Brown > Lacy > AP > DT e: Lacy is young so keeping him gives you a young RB keeper for future drafts, too. A RB supported by A. A. Ron Rodgers throwing behind him.
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Aug 15, 2015 00:40
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TommyGun85 posted:I have and always will maintain that ending up with picks 6-12 are much better than 1-5. why?
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Aug 15, 2015 00:49
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Beer4TheBeerGod posted:For Keeper/Dynasty I would rather have their dynasty ADP instead of their age. If it's a slow draft I would take advantage of FantasyPros or DLF. Yo Beer, your dropbox account got locked due to too much traffic. This is very distressing since my draft is tomorrow.  e: Of course it works immediately after I post.
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Aug 15, 2015 01:07
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old dog child posted:Is it PPR? Peterson is going to catch a ton of passes (for Peterson) this year so I don't know why he gets downgraded as PPR goes up. In fact if you're picking last in a 14-teamer, I think Peterson beats those other four hands down regardless of scoring. You go Peterson and best WR available at the turn and don't look back. e: His career high is 43, and he's cracked 40 twice. He's only had 50+ targets three times in his career and they've been focusing on (and he's looked good at) getting him the ball in space out of the backfield. Bridgewater will take a step forward and I wouldn't at all be surprised to see Peterson sniff 60 catches. Teemu Pokemon fucked around with this message at 01:36 on Aug 15, 2015 |
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Aug 15, 2015 01:32
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Dandy Kaiser posted:Peterson is going to catch a ton of passes (for Peterson) this year so I don't know why he gets downgraded as PPR goes up. In fact if you're picking last in a 14-teamer, I think Peterson beats those other four hands down regardless of scoring. You go Peterson and best WR available at the turn and don't look back. Lacy is young, Peterson is old. AB is young, Peterson is still old. It's not that I downgraded Peterson, it's that I promoted AB.
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Aug 15, 2015 01:35
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Peterson is a 7-year professional football player who's three years older than me and in terms of body age and milage is probably 10 years younger. Dude is a freak and basically spent the last year in cryo-stasis. I'd be taking him easily and then be looking for a better long-term keeper later in the draft.
Teemu Pokemon fucked around with this message at 01:40 on Aug 15, 2015 |
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Aug 15, 2015 01:37
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