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Nintendo Kid
Aug 4, 2011

by Smythe

FaustianQ posted:

I literally don't get how you think AMD can't make something competitive with Haswell. Just because Construction cores suck doesn't mean Zen will, the logic doesn't follow, and just like Pentium D-> Conroe, the uarchs are totally unrelated.

Because they have not really managed to catch up with their own like 2010 products, so frankly I don't trust them to catch up with a few years old Intel stuff.

And even if they can in raw performance I'd expect it to still be not even close for power draw, which will be a killer.

I can already hear the attempts to downplay the 400 watt draw of their new chip that manages to tie with Haswell.

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Wistful of Dollars
Aug 25, 2009

lDDQD posted:

If Zen ends up being only 5% slower than Broadwell, I might just buy it out of pity.

If it's within 10% I'll buy it; especially for 8 cores.

EmpyreanFlux
Mar 1, 2013

The AUDACITY! The IMPUDENCE! The unabated NERVE!

Nintendo Kid posted:

Because they have not really managed to catch up with their own like 2010 products, so frankly I don't trust them to catch up with a few years old Intel stuff.

And even if they can in raw performance I'd expect it to still be not even close for power draw, which will be a killer.

I can already hear the attempts to downplay the 400 watt draw of their new chip that manages to tie with Haswell.

See, this isn't a fair comparison since one of the biggest reasons construction cores have lovely IPC is their design, like Zen is entirely something else and actually more or less mimics Intel design except likely in a few key areas. It's pretty much a design limitation on construction cores. I doubt power draw will be on par for Zen, Zen+ might be much closer, but it's shouldn't be anywhere near what Piledriver or Kaveri is pulling. Like, you're either shilling, hyperbolic or just so cynical that you're not making a coherent argument.

I mean this is like looking at a P4D and going "well, there's no way Intel is going to catch up to AMD on single threaded IPC, and even if they do it's going to be something dumb like a 150W, lol". Except that Netburst and Core aren't comparable at all and trying to gauge Cores performance based on Netburst is asinine.

SwissArmyDruid
Feb 14, 2014

by sebmojo
Yeah, but I can trust Intel to do something like that, because they literally have all the money in the market. It's like playing poker against Intel and AMD's down to their last couple thousand in chips. They're dying because they only have enough chips to buy in each hand, but even if they fold every bad hand, they're still on a downward spiral.

Now, there's always the chance that AMD hits a home run, but I'm sure we all agree that this is AMD's final four to eight quarters before bankruptcy.

AMD CPU and Platform Discussion: It's The Final Countdown

No Gravitas
Jun 12, 2013

by FactsAreUseless
AMD CPU and Platform Discussion: New Zen platform might actually be good!

EmpyreanFlux
Mar 1, 2013

The AUDACITY! The IMPUDENCE! The unabated NERVE!

SwissArmyDruid posted:

Yeah, but I can trust Intel to do something like that, because they literally have all the money in the market. It's like playing poker against Intel and AMD's down to their last couple thousand in chips. They're dying because they only have enough chips to buy in each hand, but even if they fold every bad hand, they're still on a downward spiral.

Now, there's always the chance that AMD hits a home run, but I'm sure we all agree that this is AMD's final four to eight quarters before bankruptcy.

AMD CPU and Platform Discussion: It's The Final Countdown

I'm just saying it's disingenuous to compare Construction cores v. Zen cores, just as much as it is to compare Netburst and Core, as a basis for extrapolating the performance latters performance. I mean, do Zen cores even share similarity to whatever AMD has worked on in the past? That at least would be a good starting point, but the best we have for comparison right now is to Intel stock.

GRINDCORE MEGGIDO
Feb 28, 1985


Much more interested in K12 being a killer chip these days - at least they might stand a chance long term in the ARM market.

Anime Schoolgirl
Nov 28, 2002

wipeout posted:

Much more interested in K12 being a killer chip these days - at least they might stand a chance long term in the ARM market.
It also might be their future if any buyout happens (most likely from Samsung)

Nintendo Kid
Aug 4, 2011

by Smythe

FaustianQ posted:

See, this isn't a fair comparison since one of the biggest reasons construction cores have lovely IPC is their design, like Zen is entirely something else and actually more or less mimics Intel design except likely in a few key areas. It's pretty much a design limitation on construction cores. I doubt power draw will be on par for Zen, Zen+ might be much closer, but it's shouldn't be anywhere near what Piledriver or Kaveri is pulling. Like, you're either shilling, hyperbolic or just so cynical that you're not making a coherent argument.

I mean this is like looking at a P4D and going "well, there's no way Intel is going to catch up to AMD on single threaded IPC, and even if they do it's going to be something dumb like a 150W, lol". Except that Netburst and Core aren't comparable at all and trying to gauge Cores performance based on Netburst is asinine.

But it is a fair comparison. What we know from AMD is for the last x years they've been selling tire fires, and it's reasonable to not accept "it'll totally be good this time" from them until they can prove it. And they've had a worse record on power usage for longer than they've been doing the construction cores.

No, the latter example is dumb because Intel still had scads of money at hand during the Pentium 4 fiasco and was already realizing that reverting to P3 styled chips (starting with Pentium M, in laptops) was the way to go. And it's still funny, because 220 watt AMD chips is a thing that actually happened that we were joking about when the first wave of construction chips came out.

FaustianQ posted:

I'm just saying it's disingenuous to compare Construction cores v. Zen cores, just as much as it is to compare Netburst and Core, as a basis for extrapolating the performance latters performance. I mean, do Zen cores even share similarity to whatever AMD has worked on in the past? That at least would be a good starting point, but the best we have for comparison right now is to Intel stock.

Again, comparing Netburst to Core ignores that the Pentium M chips were a thing Intel already had in full production, starting in early 2003. Early Pentium M chips were already stomping many Pentium 4 chips when they came out.

AMD didn't have a similar alternate architecture available within 3 years of the Bulldozer tire fires, dude.

WhyteRyce
Dec 30, 2001

Intel had poo poo loads of money in the P4 days, a good design waiting in the wings, and hadn't been bleeding talent non stop for 4+ years. It's possible that AMD hits a home run but you can't compare the two situations and say it's as easy as not designing a bad CPU

EmpyreanFlux
Mar 1, 2013

The AUDACITY! The IMPUDENCE! The unabated NERVE!

Nintendo Kid posted:

But it is a fair comparison. What we know from AMD is for the last x years they've been selling tire fires, and it's reasonable to not accept "it'll totally be good this time" from them until they can prove it. And they've had a worse record on power usage for longer than they've been doing the construction cores.

No, the latter example is dumb because Intel still had scads of money at hand during the Pentium 4 fiasco and was already realizing that reverting to P3 styled chips (starting with Pentium M, in laptops) was the way to go. And it's still funny, because 220 watt AMD chips is a thing that actually happened that we were joking about when the first wave of construction chips came out.


Again, comparing Netburst to Core ignores that the Pentium M chips were a thing Intel already had in full production, starting in early 2003. Early Pentium M chips were already stomping many Pentium 4 chips when they came out.

AMD didn't have a similar alternate architecture available within 3 years of the Bulldozer tire fires, dude.

Sorry. you can't compare different uarchs to guess performance, Construction cores are non-determinant of Zen performance, just like you can't use Netburst to guess Core performance. You can however guess based on similar uarchs, which is why Pentium M is a good gauge of early Core, and it's why you can hazard at guessing Zen performance based on Core. This is pretty different than from saying AMD might screw up designing a Core style uarch.

B-Mac
Apr 21, 2003
I'll never catch "the gay"!
It's almost like we won't know how good it is until it is actually released and we see some benchmarks. I don't really think there is much of a point of in saying how good it is or how lovely it is until we actually see it.

Nintendo Kid
Aug 4, 2011

by Smythe

FaustianQ posted:

Sorry. you can't compare different uarchs to guess performance, Construction cores are non-determinant of Zen performance, just like you can't use Netburst to guess Core performance. You can however guess based on similar uarchs, which is why Pentium M is a good gauge of early Core, and it's why you can hazard at guessing Zen performance based on Core. This is pretty different than from saying AMD might screw up designing a Core style uarch.

Again, dude, Intel didn't go straight from Netburst to Core, they had Pentium M up and going in under 3 years from the Netburst launch and already showing significant improvements at launch. And then over the next 3 years until it really became Core it kept getting improved and improved.

Meanwhile what does AMD have? Well they'll supposedly have another architecture "soon", instead of say already having it available middle of last year, which would be on par with Intel being able to change course and bring out the Pentium M. And that new architecture is probably just going to be able to stomp over existing construction cores, not be very competitive with anything recent from Intel when it first launches.

We really can compare different uarchs to guess performance. Guess what? AMD has a legacy of power hunger and an engineering team that's more restricted/underfunded then ever. It's the rational thing to expect Zen to be power hungry as hell compared to similar performance Intel chips, and to also not get anywhere close to recent ones by the time it's out.

Canned Sunshine
Nov 20, 2005

CAUTION: POST QUALITY UNDER CONSTRUCTION



Nintendo Kid posted:

It's the rational thing to expect Zen to be power hungry as hell compared to similar performance Intel chips, and to also not get anywhere close to recent ones by the time it's out.
Except that we don't know how long AMD has been working on this architecture - they've known for awhile that the Construction cores weren't their long-term future, so for all you know it's been in development for 4-5 years already.

At this point it wouldn't be difficult to get within a decent range of Skylake performance since Intel has stagnated on the performance front in order to optimize power efficiency. So while yes, it very well could be less efficient power-wise, I doubt many are going to care if AMD's Zen is 110W or whatever and within a decent performance % of Skylake at 95W for desktop usage if it means some competitiveness back in the market, and especially if Zen is at least overclockable to help make up that % since we know Skylake really isn't.

You're also "mis-remembering" the entire Pentium M situation, since the Pentium M was just a continued development of the Pentium III (Tualatin) at the time, so there was no magical "3-year" period where Intel magically had Pentium M "up and running" - it always was "up and running", because the Pentium III already existed. Sure, it took a lot of R&D to get it to where it ended up being, but it's disingenuous to represent it as some magical new architecture.

But I'll chalk it all up to "Fishmechism".

Nintendo Kid
Aug 4, 2011

by Smythe

SourKraut posted:

Except that we don't know how long AMD has been working on this architecture - they've known for awhile that the Construction cores weren't their long-term future, so for all you know it's been in development for 4-5 years already.

At this point it wouldn't be difficult to get within a decent range of Skylake performance since Intel has stagnated on the performance front in order to optimize power efficiency. So while yes, it very well could be less efficient power-wise, I doubt many are going to care if AMD's Zen is 110W or whatever and within a decent performance % of Skylake at 95W for desktop usage if it means some competitiveness back in the market, and especially if Zen is at least overclockable to help make up that % since we know Skylake really isn't.

You're also "mis-remembering" the entire Pentium M situation, since the Pentium M was just a continued development of the Pentium III (Tualatin) at the time, so there was no magical "3-year" period where Intel magically had Pentium M "up and running" - it always was "up and running", because the Pentium III already existed. Sure, it took a lot of R&D to get it to where it ended up being, but it's disingenuous to represent it as some magical new architecture.

They worked long as hell on the construction cores and they still sucked, I don't see how working long on this new thing would for sure make it not suck.

It would be pretty difficult for them to get int that range since it would require a massive leap in performance from anything they've done before. And power draw really does matter if they ever hope to be serious competitors in laptops and to a lesser extent servers again.

If Pentium M is "just" Pentium III then Core is just Pentium M as well, and so on and so forth dude. Meaning that we're basically just running multicore Pentium IIIs today. It's a useless thing to claim that III and M are the same but M and Core ain't.

future ghost
Dec 5, 2005

:byetankie:
Gun Saliva

Nintendo Kid posted:

They worked long as hell on the construction cores and they still sucked, I don't see how working long on this new thing would for sure make it not suck.

It would be pretty difficult for them to get int that range since it would require a massive leap in performance from anything they've done before. And power draw really does matter if they ever hope to be serious competitors in laptops and to a lesser extent servers again.

Meaning that we're basically just running multicore Pentium IIIs today.
I actually have an Intel-made socket 775 board that reports the Q8300 running in it as 4 Pentium IIIs. It never got any BIOS upgrades for yorkfield chips.

Professor Science
Mar 8, 2006
diplodocus + mortarboard = party

wipeout posted:

Much more interested in K12 being a killer chip these days - at least they might stand a chance long term in the ARM market.
what market? I'm not being flippant, this is a serious statement--everybody keeps making claims about how server ARM will absolutely positive be a thing and I always go back to this, and AMD has no mobile presence.

champagne posting
Apr 5, 2006

YOU ARE A BRAIN
IN A BUNKER

It's a market that only exists in the minds of the most vividly dreaming AMD fanatics.

Anime Schoolgirl
Nov 28, 2002

Professor Science posted:

AMD has no mobile presence.
This is pretty much the most important part of the equation. They have to at least put something out that squishes the low-TDP i3/i5 mobile chips in terms of features and performance at the same power envelope, and it's something the laptop market is in need of if we want actual build quality in the 600-700 dollar price range.

This has a slim chance of happening, of course, but it's pretty much their only clear shot at getting as much as they wish for out of Zen.

Anime Schoolgirl fucked around with this message at 20:07 on Aug 15, 2015

HalloKitty
Sep 30, 2005

Adjust the bass and let the Alpine blast

Anime Schoolgirl posted:

This is pretty much the most important part of the equation. They have to at least put something out that squishes the low-TDP i3/i5 mobile chips in terms of features and performance at the same power envelope, and it's something the laptop market is in need of if we want actual build quality in the 600-700 dollar price range.

This has a slim chance of happening, of course, but it's pretty much their only clear shot at getting as much as they wish for out of Zen.

But didn't they actually do that already with Carrizo? (An actual laptop with the second highest Carrizo in).

It has better gaming performance than the stuff Intel has at the same price, and it even has hardware x265 decoding which can push out 3840×2160 60 FPS video.

But almost nobody is building laptops with them. There's probably no chance you'll see them in a decent laptop, either, because Intel has the higher end brand image.

vv But it is in the same power envelope, and definitely will be cheaper, and has better graphics performance. CPU, of course not, but it's 'good enough'. I actually think Carrizo could do well if it had a chance.

HalloKitty fucked around with this message at 20:41 on Aug 15, 2015

Anime Schoolgirl
Nov 28, 2002

HalloKitty posted:

But didn't they actually do that already with Carrizo? (An actual laptop with the second highest Carrizo in).

It even has hardware x265 decoding which can push out 3840×2160 60 FPS video.

But almost nobody is building laptops with them. There's probably no chance you'll see them in a decent laptop, either, because Intel has the higher end brand image.
It's still not quite the foot-in-the-door product which would be something significantly faster in either graphics or processing power at a much better cost or same power envelope, plus the inertia of lovely contract stipulations Intel had for several years is still in effect, as you said.

Part of the problem is with the OEMs themselves, as well. The ultrabook craze has made everyone throw build quality out the window in favor of using putty-plastic that bends at will for the sake of losing a quarter of an inch in thickness. Plus everyone wants an i3 or better and i3 mobile chips cost twice as much as i3 desktop chips :suicide: and thus you have keyboards and trackpads that stop being operational and responsive at anything beyond the slightest touch at the SKU price people actually buy, aka 600-700 dollars. Something is wrong when Chromebooks are sturdier than those.


Tangential, but I'd like to be able to build ECC-equipped PCs again without paying the $150-200 Intel Xeon chipset and CPU premium. At least I finally built a $1500 computer without being ashamed of it.

Anime Schoolgirl fucked around with this message at 20:37 on Aug 15, 2015

EmpyreanFlux
Mar 1, 2013

The AUDACITY! The IMPUDENCE! The unabated NERVE!
So what your saying is that for the same price, carrizzo laptops could have superior build quality?

Here's a dumb question, can AMD leverage its experience with x86 to enhance K12 to run x86 programs? Or has Intel effectively covered this with the Transmeta deal?

Anime Schoolgirl
Nov 28, 2002

FaustianQ posted:

So what your saying is that for the same price, carrizzo laptops could have superior build quality?
That is correct. 100-150 dollars less could have them use actual sturdy lightweight plastic, an actual screen instead of 1366x768, and still maintain a profit margin.

Unfortunately they'd rather put them on 400 dollar SKUs with one channel RAM which effectively halves the graphics power on those things.

Nintendo Kid
Aug 4, 2011

by Smythe

FaustianQ posted:

Here's a dumb question, can AMD leverage its experience with x86 to enhance K12 to run x86 programs? Or has Intel effectively covered this with the Transmeta deal?

They can, but, that would probably be mighty pokey, and I have no idea what sort of OS setup could effectively use it.

EmpyreanFlux
Mar 1, 2013

The AUDACITY! The IMPUDENCE! The unabated NERVE!

Anime Schoolgirl posted:

That is correct. 100-150 dollars less could have them use actual sturdy lightweight plastic, an actual screen instead of 1366x768, and still maintain a profit margin.

Unfortunately they'd rather put them on 400 dollar SKUs with one channel RAM which effectively halves the graphics power on those things.

1366x768 seems to hurt my eyes and I have no idea why, but hey at 15W, a Carizzo Chromebook sounds amazing (that will never happen :smith:)

Nintendo Kid posted:

They can, but, that would probably be mighty pokey, and I have no idea what sort of OS setup could effectively use it.

Just thinking out loud about AMD moving away from x86 or at least being able to bridge the gap.

champagne posting
Apr 5, 2006

YOU ARE A BRAIN
IN A BUNKER

FaustianQ posted:

Just thinking out loud about AMD moving away from x86 or at least being able to bridge the gap.

Out of x86 and into what? Wouldn't going into ARM get them trounced by more experienced actors?

future ghost
Dec 5, 2005

:byetankie:
Gun Saliva
They'd be up against Samsung and Qualcomm at the high end with mediatek and a hundred other Chinese shops at the low/mid-range. Not much room to maneuver there.

EmpyreanFlux
Mar 1, 2013

The AUDACITY! The IMPUDENCE! The unabated NERVE!

Boiled Water posted:

Out of x86 and into what? Wouldn't going into ARM get them trounced by more experienced actors?

Isn't one of the biggest issue with ARM, besides performance obviously, is it's backwards compatibility with x86?

cisco privilege posted:

They'd be up against Samsung and Qualcomm at the high end with mediatek and a hundred other Chinese shops at the low/mid-range. Not much room to maneuver there.

I thought Qualcomm and Intel were in talks? Also, AMD is apparently partnering with Mediatek.

Nintendo Kid
Aug 4, 2011

by Smythe

FaustianQ posted:

Isn't one of the biggest issue with ARM, besides performance obviously, is it's backwards compatibility with x86?

In transitioning minor applications over sure, but for servers people will port poo poo to anything for business line applications, including Itanium, so long as the chip works well for a server.

And having a slow x86 core on top of a decent ARM core doesn't really help for anything, you'd need a radically modified OS to handle some of the stuff going on on x86 and some of the things going on on ARM. There are some mainframe OSes which can handle splitting tasks over diverse microarcitectures, but it's useless for say a Windows application.

BOOTY-ADE
Aug 30, 2006

BIG KOOL TELLIN' Y'ALL TO KEEP IT TIGHT

Anime Schoolgirl posted:

That is correct. 100-150 dollars less could have them use actual sturdy lightweight plastic, an actual screen instead of 1366x768, and still maintain a profit margin.

Unfortunately they'd rather put them on 400 dollar SKUs with one channel RAM which effectively halves the graphics power on those things.

I'll never get why anyone would use single channel RAM over dual or better. I could maybe see it being about cost, but that stuff has been around for ages & can't be that pricey. I'm still hoping AMD can pull a surprise like back in the K7 & above days so we can get some good competition/pricing again.

Professor Science
Mar 8, 2006
diplodocus + mortarboard = party

Nintendo Kid posted:

In transitioning minor applications over sure, but for servers people will port poo poo to anything for business line applications, including Itanium, so long as the chip works well for a server.

And having a slow x86 core on top of a decent ARM core doesn't really help for anything, you'd need a radically modified OS to handle some of the stuff going on on x86 and some of the things going on on ARM. There are some mainframe OSes which can handle splitting tasks over diverse microarcitectures, but it's useless for say a Windows application.
nah, you'd just do binary translation like Denver or x86 Android. Houdini on x86 runs ARM code on x86, after all. The problem is that the perf hit sucks in a close market.

The real problem, of course, is that ARM isn't easier to make a chip for than x86 so who even cares if you're building ARM or x86 anyway. Larrabee/the Knights line disproved the whole "instruction decode on x86 will completely dominate the power for a small chip" thing (also Edison).

EmpyreanFlux
Mar 1, 2013

The AUDACITY! The IMPUDENCE! The unabated NERVE!
Can this be the general CPU thread please? It'd make it more interesting and active compared to the slow wait for whatever AMD is releasing, and a rundown on different uarchs would be a good primer to discussion.

Nintendo Kid
Aug 4, 2011

by Smythe

Professor Science posted:

nah, you'd just do binary translation like Denver or x86 Android. Houdini on x86 runs ARM code on x86, after all. The problem is that the perf hit sucks in a close market.

The real problem, of course, is that ARM isn't easier to make a chip for than x86 so who even cares if you're building ARM or x86 anyway. Larrabee/the Knights line disproved the whole "instruction decode on x86 will completely dominate the power for a small chip" thing (also Edison).

Er that's the thing. You're talking about software emulation essentially. His thing would be multiple dissimilar cores, like 1+ ARM and 1+ x86. People already had some pretty annoying issues with chipsets of two different kinds of ARM activated at different times in an attempt to save power, some cores ARM and some cores x86 would be even more difficult.

PC LOAD LETTER
May 23, 2005
WTF?!

Professor Science posted:

nah, you'd just do binary translation like Denver or x86 Android.
They could also pull off something like a partial or full hardware ARM ISA emulation inside the x86 core itself too. Would be hard to do but much faster than software emulation. Intel did that with their first Itanic chips and it worked pretty well. Just didn't get much usage in the market they were aiming for so they pulled it from the 2nd version of Itanic. At least that was the reasoning given anyways.

There have been no hints of them doing anything like this though. Most likely they'd end up doing binary translation like everyone else does since that is much simpler over all to do anyways.

japtor
Oct 28, 2005

Ozz81 posted:

I'm still hoping AMD can pull a surprise like back in the K7 & above days so we can get some good competition/pricing again.
Well they did get one guy from those days back a few years ago:
http://www.anandtech.com/show/6129/apple-a4a5-designer-k8-lead-architect-jim-keller-returns-to-amd

GRINDCORE MEGGIDO
Feb 28, 1985


Boiled Water posted:

It's a market that only exists in the minds of the most vividly dreaming AMD fanatics.

Ultimately, I think the only future AMD has is pumping out ARM chips. K12 performing would give me hope they could do that, even if its just because it gives them a load of architectural modules for future ARM chips, mobile ones if they have sense / more value for acquisition.

Hopefully Zen will be awesome but even if it is, the x86 war of attrition is going to kerb stomp them eventually and its just not interesting watching that happen.

The only time I was fanatical at all about AMD was when they were actually better then Intel chips, and people still didn't use them.
Makes u think.

GRINDCORE MEGGIDO fucked around with this message at 14:09 on Aug 16, 2015

Palladium
May 8, 2012

Very Good
✔️✔️✔️✔️

wipeout posted:

Ultimately, I think the only future AMD has is pumping out ARM chips. K12 performing would give me hope they could do that, even if its just because it gives them a load of architectural modules for future ARM chips, mobile ones if they have sense / more value for acquisition.

Hopefully Zen will be awesome but even if it is, the x86 war of attrition is going to kerb stomp them eventually and its just not interesting watching that happen.

The only time I was fanatical at all about AMD was when they were actually better then Intel chips, and people still didn't use them.
Makes u think.

The only times AMD held the performance crown was versus Katmai P3s, Willamette and Prescott P4s, the latter two where Intel pruposely dived head first into executing that awful Netburst uarch. Rest of the time they are only competitively priced at the low end. For portables which has steadily grown to 2/3 share of the entire PC market, they basically handed the entire segment to Intel on a silver platter since god knows when.

BOOTY-ADE
Aug 30, 2006

BIG KOOL TELLIN' Y'ALL TO KEEP IT TIGHT

Please PLEASE let this guy do something awesome for AMD again...video cards and APUs are great, but I'd love to have another Opteron/Athlon/Phenom-level PC again that's at least somewhat comparable to Intel's chips.

Rosoboronexport
Jun 14, 2006

Get in the bath, baby!
Ramrod XTreme
Semiaccurate predicts financial changes for AMD. I know, Semiaccurate, yadda yadda, grain of salt, but what will be spun off/sold to Samsung?

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PC LOAD LETTER
May 23, 2005
WTF?!
I doubt Samsung wants any part of AMD.

I could see Intel or NV snapping up the GPU portion and maybe some patents but that is about it.

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