Register a SA Forums Account here!
JOINING THE SA FORUMS WILL REMOVE THIS BIG AD, THE ANNOYING UNDERLINED ADS, AND STUPID INTERSTITIAL ADS!!!

You can: log in, read the tech support FAQ, or request your lost password. This dumb message (and those ads) will appear on every screen until you register! Get rid of this crap by registering your own SA Forums Account and joining roughly 150,000 Goons, for the one-time price of $9.95! We charge money because it costs us money per month for bills, and since we don't believe in showing ads to our users, we try to make the money back through forum registrations.
 
  • Locked thread
Mirthless
Mar 27, 2011

by the sex ghost

Shageletic posted:

That's a too small percentage of minorites in the voting pool to wonder why Republicans win in Oklahoma.

That's 30%. Whites aren't 100% Republican, even here.

I don't know what to say. Maybe if our state party was more mobilized and we could be bothered to even put up candidates in some of these districts we could win? Writing off the state altogether is why a formerly relatively mixed legislature is republican all the way down, from the federal to the local level. Even Tulsa, a relatively liberal city, broke full Republican in 2012. Invest nothing, get nothing.

Adbot
ADBOT LOVES YOU

EugeneJ
Feb 5, 2012

by FactsAreUseless
Perhaps Hillary should hire a communications director with GOP experience

All the happy elves working for the Hillary campaign slowly realizing that she's evil must be a sight to behold

KidVanguard
Jan 27, 2006

American Diaper
The Hillary e-mail thing just seems so emblematic of Hillary's problems in general. She mixes the her personal life with politics and creates a completely unnecessary shitstorm that could have been avoided if she literally just did nothing at all. Instead she goes out of her way to create her own personal server and is tripping all over herself now even though this outcome was completely inevitable and the only reason for it in the first place seems is that she couldn't help herself which is the absolute worse thing for something like this.

hmmmm sounds like another Clinton had the same issues....

I don't know what it is with them and their desire to constantly swim up a waterfall like Salmon trying to procreate. Maybe it's their background of doing exactly that before they became successful but it seems like anytime they're in calm water they freak out and start darting for the nearest rock to hit their heads on.

Sheng-Ji Yang
Mar 5, 2014


quote:

Vice President Joe Biden runs as well or better than Hillary Clinton against top-tier Republicans in a new Quinnipiac swing-state poll. Among general election voters in Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Florida, Biden looks like a better bet. The veep beats Donald Trump by a commanding 10 points in Ohio, double Clinton’s margin in the same matchup. Biden also wins against former Gov. Jeb Bush, R-Fla., and comes within shot of Sen. Marco Rubio, R-Fla., in Biden’s native Pennsylvania. Overall, the poll shows Biden in a similar position to Clinton and could be just as strong a contender for Democrats. Even better news for Biden? His trustworthiness rating hangs around 60 percent in the three states… about the same percent of voters who do not trust Clinton.

http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2015/08/20/joe-jumps-hillary-swoons-in-q-poll/

the poll: http://www.quinnipiac.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/2016-presidential-swing-state-polls/release-detail?ReleaseID=2271

also:

quote:

f Trump makes a third-party run, results are:
Florida - Clinton at 37 percent, with 36 percent for Bush and 19 percent for Trump;
Ohio - Clinton over Bush 37 - 27 percent, with 23 percent for Trump;
Pennsylvania - Clinton tops Bush 37 - 29 percent, with Trump at 24 percent.

Feather
Mar 1, 2003
Get your facts first, then you can distort them as you please.

Mirthless posted:

That's 30%. Whites aren't 100% Republican, even here.

I don't know what to say. Maybe if our state party was more mobilized and we could be bothered to even put up candidates in some of these districts we could win? Writing off the state altogether is why a formerly relatively mixed legislature is republican all the way down, from the federal to the local level. Even Tulsa, a relatively liberal city, broke full Republican in 2012. Invest nothing, get nothing.

Part of the problem is voter disenfranchisement. Minorities especially are subject to it due to onerous ID requirements or certain criminal convictions. So their overall voting power is diminished. Couple with economic problems (e.g. can't afford to lose time off work to vote), and you have a large part of the explanation for why they don't vote. Intrinsic laziness and apathy (as opposed to skepticism and apathy driven by being oppressed and marginalized) aren't disproportionate in these communities.

Bread Set Jettison
Jan 8, 2009

Biden/sanders 2016

Xenophon
Jun 28, 2003

by FactsAreUseless
Grimey Drawer

Feather posted:

Different source material to work with. Whatever else one might say regarding Obama's position on the left/right scale or his acumen dealing with Congress, he doesn't do stupid poo poo that results in red meat for a media and entire political engine who will run with the tiniest impropriety to make a huge scandal of.

The man's smart and savvy. Hillary may be smart and a good policy wonk, but she's a terrible politician in many respects.

They tried plenty of times to turn random poo poo into that red meat, though - ACORN, Trinity Church, Tony Rezko, Bill Ayers, etc. Obama is just, as you say, smart and savvy as a campaigner.

Veskit
Mar 2, 2005

I love capitalism!! DM me for the best investing advice!
Has anyone charted out where voting stations are in relation to where minorities work/live and or where low income housing/jobs are?

1994 Toyota Celica
Sep 11, 2008

by Nyc_Tattoo
"Well three thousand years ago, right? The Great Wall of China was built." Applause. "We'd like to have that wall, that wall no one gets through."

EugeneJ
Feb 5, 2012

by FactsAreUseless

Bread Set Jettison posted:

Biden/sanders 2016

If Biden adopts all of Bernie's proposals, I'm on board. I don't think Bernie would run for VP if Biden wouldn't help his cause.

KidVanguard
Jan 27, 2006

American Diaper

Feather posted:

Part of the problem is voter disenfranchisement. Minorities especially are subject to it due to onerous ID requirements or certain criminal convictions. So their overall voting power is diminished. Couple with economic problems (e.g. can't afford to lose time off work to vote), and you have a large part of the explanation for why they don't vote. Intrinsic laziness and apathy (as opposed to skepticism and apathy driven by being oppressed and marginalized) aren't disproportionate in these communities.

Also many times they lack any sort of deliverables for their votes. White people vote Republican and they usually get what they were promised (staving off minority progress). Minorities vote Democrat and they still get shot by police.

Gyges
Aug 4, 2004

NOW NO ONE
RECOGNIZE HULK

Tir McDohl posted:

Thank god, Walker is the one that I'm most fearful of showing up in a general

Of all the clown car candidates to fear, Walker and Cruz are the two you should fear the least. In a general election setting you can't punt on issues and you can't get away with having one of the most punchable faces in political history.

Montasque
Jul 18, 2003

Living in a hateful world sending me straight to Heaven
I'm still trying to process the fact that Trump supporters beat up a homeless Hispanic man in Boston, and Trump's response was "I have passionate fans."

Zelder
Jan 4, 2012

Sanders as VP would be wasting Sanders.

theblackw0lf
Apr 15, 2003

"...creating a vision of the sort of society you want to have in miniature"
This is one of the better analysis of Clinton's meeting with BLM activists I've read

http://www.vox.com/2015/8/19/9178475/clinton-crime-bill

Short version: Clinton was arguing the intention of the bill was to reduce violence in black communities, not systematize white supremacy, and the activists wanted to know whether she realized that those were the actual consequences of the bill, and through that whether she's realized the damage done and has learned the lessons from it. And their frustration is that she really didn't answer that question

Here's the last few paragraphs

quote:

...The problem is that the conversation isn't clear whether "extension of white supremacist violence" is about the intent of these policies or their consequences. This is a common problem with discussion of racism: Structural racism isn't about feelings in individuals' hearts, it's about systems and outcomes. But it's easy to slip from talking about systems to talking about people, and that's what happened here.

Personally, I think the intent simply doesn't matter. Clinton herself said, "You don't change hearts. You change laws." What matters is the external reality, not the feelings of the people who create it; caring about people will not save you from making policy choices that will hurt them. And — especially with hindsight — it's possible to see that the consequences of the 1994 crime bill, as well as the tough-on-crime laws it encouraged states to pass or keep, were part of a system that has created widespread immiseration in black America.

Those consequences may have been intended or unintended. But people often confuse "unintended consequences" and "collateral damage," and the damage done by the bill wasn't collateral. By 1994, the crime wave had already peaked; the crime rate was starting a quarter-century of decline. Increased incarceration is responsible for a small fraction of that — but by 1994, the people being put in prison, on the margin, had long since stopped being the people who posed a serious threat. The suffering caused by the bill wasn't a caveat, it was the primary consequence of its passage.

The question: What has Clinton learned?

When Clinton asked the activists to put forward policies of their own that they could demand she and other politicians get on board with, they refused. Because they want Clinton (as well as Bernie Sanders, who voted for the 1994 crime bill, and Martin O'Malley, who built a tough-on-crime regime as mayor of Baltimore) to show that she has educated herself about the problem. Dismantling mass incarceration won't just take reforms (not all of which make for politically appealing talking points); it will need a resistance to making the same sort of mistakes over again in the future.

As far as I'm concerned — and the activists who confronted Clinton might disagree — Clinton doesn't need to show she's changed her heart. But she does need to show that she has learned, and changed her mind.

Venom Snake
Feb 19, 2014

by Nyc_Tattoo

Mirthless posted:

Because he couldn't control his party when he had a supermajority and compromised starting from the middle - constantly - during the first six years of his presidency. He lacked the executive experience to do the job. His inability to accomplish progressive objectives killed liberal voter enthusiasm and the effectiveness of the GOP at claiming victories as a minority party and in drumming up anti-Obama sentiment while simultaneously sitting at the table with him allowed them to steal midterm elections in landslide after landslide. Blaming gerrymandering for this is idiotic. It was a failure in Democratic leadership that lead to 2010. Obama was at the head of that.

This isn't actually true. The most extensive reform of American Healthcare ever was accomplished; which isn't exactly something small. Also lol if you think the President can do anything about midterm elections. Literally the reason why 2010 was a poo poo show was because of rise of the tea party and the death of blue dog democrats. 2010 was the herald of the Democratic Party becoming more liberal, not less.

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ
                                                                                                                                                                            :lol:
                                                                                                                                                                             /
                                                                                                                                                                           /

theblackw0lf
Apr 15, 2003

"...creating a vision of the sort of society you want to have in miniature"

Zelder posted:

Sanders as VP would be wasting Sanders.

Same with Warren as VP, which I've heard floated a few times.

Mirthless
Mar 27, 2011

by the sex ghost

Feather posted:

Part of the problem is voter disenfranchisement. Minorities especially are subject to it due to onerous ID requirements or certain criminal convictions. So their overall voting power is diminished. Couple with economic problems (e.g. can't afford to lose time off work to vote), and you have a large part of the explanation for why they don't vote. Intrinsic laziness and apathy (as opposed to skepticism and apathy driven by being oppressed and marginalized) aren't disproportionate in these communities.

Oklahoma's voter ID law was a ballot initiative in 2010 that passed with a whopping 77% of the vote, in the same election that flipped our state legislature nearly fully Republican. Liberal turnout was part of the problem in 2010 that allowed that disenfranchisement in the first place.

FlamingLiberal
Jan 18, 2009

Would you like to play a game?



Warren being offered VP would feel like an attempt by the Dem leaders/DLC to placate their big donors by getting her out of the Senate.

Rubies
Dec 30, 2005

Live Forever
Die Every Day

:h: :s: :d: :c:

Are people not aware that there is already a "wall" between the US and Mexico? Last year I went to The Imperial Valley and Yuma for work and the border security is insane. Like un-American surveillance, random stops, request for ID, etc. Nobody is getting through there. Most of the people cross in the vast desert wastelands, and there's already a poo poo ton of BP cruising that. People still get thru. A physical wall won't change the situation.

sullat
Jan 9, 2012

FlamingLiberal posted:

Warren being offered VP would feel like an attempt by the Dem leaders/DLC to placate their big donors by getting her out of the Senate.

Worked out for McKinley!

Nonsense
Jan 26, 2007

Rubies posted:

Are people not aware that there is already a "wall" between the US and Mexico? Last year I went to The Imperial Valley and Yuma for work and the border security is insane. Like un-American surveillance, random stops, request for ID, etc. Nobody is getting through there. Most of the people cross in the vast desert wastelands, and there's already a poo poo ton of BP cruising that. People still get thru. A physical wall won't change the situation.

It sounds good to rubes, and it sounds even better to nationalist racists when you say Mexico has to pay for it.

1994 Toyota Celica
Sep 11, 2008

by Nyc_Tattoo



I can't be the only one who sees a little resemblance. One in two hundred of us is supposed to be a direct descendant of old Temujin, after all.

Feather
Mar 1, 2003
Get your facts first, then you can distort them as you please.

Mirthless posted:

Oklahoma's voter ID law was a ballot initiative in 2010 that passed with a whopping 77% of the vote, in the same election that flipped our state legislature nearly fully Republican. Liberal turnout was part of the problem in 2010 that allowed that disenfranchisement in the first place.

Liberals are a small plurality in the Democratic Party. The only way liberal ideas are going to get any traction in this party is by being disruptive. Take issue all you like with BLM's tactics, the fact that a group of people comprising 13% of the population at best are driving the narrative in the primary is impressive. Liberals in general should take the cue.

Put another way, America in general is very very conservative, mean and spiteful. That includes mainstream Democrats, whose support for social issues is a km wide and a cm deep unless forced to be otherwise.

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ
Good question.

Dahbadu
Aug 22, 2004

Reddit has helpfully advised me that I look like a "15 year old fortnite boi"
If Bernie is able to win the nom, I think Bernie will pick someone he feels he can trust and work with, is charismatic, and a strong debater/speaker. I have no clue who that is.

Taking out the most important factor of "does Bernie trust this person," tapping one of these guys may be a smart thing:

HappyHippo
Nov 19, 2003
Do you have an Air Miles Card?

Do it Biden, please jump in the race. Gore too.

D1Sergo
May 5, 2006

Be sure to take a 15-minute break every hour.

Joementum posted:

Good question.



Why, Jeb? Why?

TK-42-1
Oct 30, 2013

looks like we have a bad transmitter



Is it a given that one of the Castros is going to be the veep pick? That ball has been rolling for a few years now but I don't really hear much of it outside of 'this would be a good idea.'

Bread Set Jettison
Jan 8, 2009

Dahbadu posted:

If Bernie is able to win the nom, I think Bernie will pick someone he feels he can trust and work with, is charismatic, and a strong debater/speaker. I have no clue who that is.

Taking out the most important factor of "does Bernie trust this person," tapping one of these guys may be a smart thing:



Vice twin presidents

Bread Set Jettison
Jan 8, 2009

How hilarious is Sanders/Castro ticket though its like, pure socialism

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ

TK-42-1 posted:

Is it a given that one of the Castros is going to be the veep pick? That ball has been rolling for a few years now but I don't really hear much of it outside of 'this would be a good idea.'

Much more likely to be a boring white dude in the Tim Kaine mold.

nachos
Jun 27, 2004

Wario Chalmers! WAAAAAAAAAAAAA!
What are Jeb!?'s Real Conservative Results? Do they actually approve of his record?

A Winner is Jew
Feb 14, 2008

by exmarx

Dahbadu posted:

If Bernie is able to win the nom, I think Bernie will pick someone he feels he can trust and work with, is charismatic, and a strong debater/speaker. I have no clue who that is.

Taking out the most important factor of "does Bernie trust this person," tapping one of these guys may be a smart thing:



2 VP's for the price of one!

Sheng-Ji Yang
Mar 5, 2014


the castros are currently climbing the establishment ladder, not sure why sanders would pick them

Spaceman Future!
Feb 9, 2007

Montasque posted:

GOP Ganging Up to Trounce Trump?


http://www.foxbusiness.com/business-leaders/2015/08/19/anti-trump-ad-blitz-coming/

Can the Donald survive? Stay tuned folks!

yes lets get into a dick waving media war with a dude with enough money to buy every ad spot between today and election day.


theyre completely hosed, they have no idea what to do, hahah

Fuck You And Diebold
Sep 15, 2004

by Athanatos
Sanders/Castro into a Castro/Castro ticket

PT6A
Jan 5, 2006

Public school teachers are callous dictators who won't lift a finger to stop children from peeing in my plane
Oh man, Jeb is getting his poo poo pushed in at this press conference. He's never, ever going to be the nominee.

Adbot
ADBOT LOVES YOU

Tricky D
Apr 1, 2005

I love um!
Marco Rubio wants to help single mothers by eliminating the EITC.

quote:

The pro-family side of my plan would help Danielle even more. Right now, she gets a $1,000 tax credit for each of her two kids. This doesn’t come close to meeting the costs she faces as a parent, and it fails to recognize the investment she is making in America’s future as a mom. My tax plan would raise the per-child credit to as much as $2,500, allowing Danielle to keep significantly more of what she earns.

I would also change the way she receives assistance. Instead of getting the Earned Income Tax Credit at the end of the year, Danielle would receive a wage enhancement credit to boost her paycheck. This will reward and encourage her hard work, and amount to about $500 more per year.

In this scenario, Danielle is a single mother of two who makes $9.50 an hour.

  • Locked thread