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a helpful bear
Aug 18, 2004

Slippery Tilde
I think the real question is whether Trump has enough success stories to share without repeating too much.

Edit: Oh god the "burned" pun from Bernie's last caller.

VVV Bernie is really trying to listen in. It's awful VVV

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Alfred P. Pseudonym
May 29, 2006

And when you gaze long into an abyss, the abyss goes 8-8

This Republican Obama voter is calling from The Ghost Dimension

Pavlov
Oct 21, 2012

I've long been fascinated with how the alt-right develops elaborate and obscure dog whistles to try to communicate their meaning without having to say it out loud
Stepan Andreyevich Bandera being the most prominent example of that

Brannock posted:

I actually wonder how much Trump can handle the physical strain of campaigning for another 440 days. He's pretty up there in age and he's giving high energy speeches that have to be a significant strain on his body.

Trump is fueled by his narcissism. If anything the campaign is probably going to be good for his health.

Hollismason
Jun 30, 2007
FEEL FREE TO DISREGARD THIS POST

It is guaranteed to be lazy, ignorant, and/or uninformed.
hahaha talk into the mike goddamnit

Is it me or does Bernie Sanders sound like Larry David a little bit or Super Dave .

Alfred P. Pseudonym
May 29, 2006

And when you gaze long into an abyss, the abyss goes 8-8

Hollismason posted:

hahaha talk into the mike goddamnit

Is it me or does Bernie Sanders sound like Larry David a little bit or Super Dave Osborn.

He talks a lot like Larry David's George Steinbrenner voice.

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ
This could be trouble for Deez Nuts.

UltimoDragonQuest
Oct 5, 2011



Hollismason posted:

hahaha talk into the mike goddamnit

Is it me or does Bernie Sanders sound like Larry David a little bit or Super Dave Osborn.
Every old Jewish guy from New York.
He sounds like Howard Stern's impression of his dad.

Brannock
Feb 9, 2006

by exmarx
Fallen Rib
The more Trump speeches I watch the more I'm convinced he's going to be the GOP candidate

a helpful bear
Aug 18, 2004

Slippery Tilde

Hollismason posted:

hahaha talk into the mike goddamnit

Is it me or does Bernie Sanders sound like Larry David a little bit or Super Dave .

He's putting off some major Larry David vibes especially right now where his voice is sounding really rough.

Absurd Alhazred
Mar 27, 2010

by Athanatos

Joementum posted:

This could be trouble for Deez Nuts.



FEC to American People: "Ehh, we give up."

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ

Brannock posted:

The more Trump speeches I watch the more I'm convinced he's going to be the GOP candidate

It's actually surprising how much he sticks to a script.

Plinkey
Aug 4, 2004

by Fluffdaddy

Hollismason posted:

hahaha talk into the mike goddamnit

Is it me or does Bernie Sanders sound like Larry David a little bit or Super Dave .

Any excuse to repost this

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oz3YvE_FHXY

UltimoDragonQuest
Oct 5, 2011



Bernie is going to speak at Liberty University.

suburban virgin
Jul 26, 2007
Highly qualified lurker.

XK posted:

If Trump would use some notecards with a basic outline of what he wanted to talk about, and use that to keep himself on a constructive tract, rather than hopping all over the place in a stream of consciousness speech, he would be unstoppable.

I dunno, the constant hopping back and forth seems to work for him. It's not a style of speaking that's clever or elegant or should be recommended to any sane person, but it's bizarrely engaging. I think proper training and organization would suck the life out of it.

Third World Reagan
May 19, 2008

Imagine four 'mechs waiting in a queue. Time works the same way.
Trump is the drunk guy at the bar telling the same old story, but he has had a lot of practice telling those stories. And he understands the point of the story is the crowd, not the story.

He can work a crowd unlike any other politician out there right now. It doesn't really matter what he is saying.

XK
Jul 9, 2001

Star Citizen is everywhere. It is all around us. Even now, in this very room. You can see it's fidelity when you look out your window or when you watch youtube

Brannock posted:

The more Trump speeches I watch the more I'm convinced he's going to be the GOP candidate

I was convinced a week ago. If they had anyone else, I wouldn't be, but the have nobody else. Trump is literally their only chance.

Alfred P. Pseudonym
May 29, 2006

And when you gaze long into an abyss, the abyss goes 8-8

oh god Ted Cruz on my TV get it off GET IT OFF

Thump!
Nov 25, 2007

Look, fat, here's the fact, Kulak!



p sick burn on hillary though lol

Plinkey
Aug 4, 2004

by Fluffdaddy

Alfred P. Pseudonym posted:

oh god Ted Cruz on my TV get it off GET IT OFF

He looks really bad in a tucked in shirt and jeans.

a helpful bear
Aug 18, 2004

Slippery Tilde

Alfred P. Pseudonym posted:

oh god Ted Cruz on my TV get it off GET IT OFF

You don't want to watch his thrilling Religious Rally?

XK
Jul 9, 2001

Star Citizen is everywhere. It is all around us. Even now, in this very room. You can see it's fidelity when you look out your window or when you watch youtube

Fargo Fukes posted:

I dunno, the constant hopping back and forth seems to work for him. It's not a style of speaking that's clever or elegant or should be recommended to any sane person, but it's bizarrely engaging. I think proper training and organization would suck the life out of it.

I basically agree, I just think his spiel would end up even more effective if he had even a basic outline of his own talking points in front of him.

I kind of like how the GOP kept trying to hit Obama on using a teleprompter, when it's a totally legitimate thing for a professional to use, then gets their whole process hosed up by a guy who doesn't use one and just throws meat at the base off the top of his head.

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ
Make America Great Again

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ

Fargo Fukes posted:

I dunno, the constant hopping back and forth seems to work for him. It's not a style of speaking that's clever or elegant or should be recommended to any sane person, but it's bizarrely engaging. I think proper training and organization would suck the life out of it.

Reagan had the same speaking style until his bosses at GM told him to use notecards and, well, the rest is history.

Dolash
Oct 23, 2008

aNYWAY,
tHAT'S REALLY ALL THERE IS,
tO REPORT ON THE SUBJECT,
oF ME GETTING HURT,


How long has Trump been sustaining his surge now? At first we theorized he'd be the first of the 2012-style Not-Romneys, peaking for a few weeks and crashing, but it feels like he's been the front runner for close to two months now and he shows no signs of stopping.

If the first primary was in September rather than February I'd say the risk was real that he could start winning, but it's tough to imagine this enthusiasm holding up for another six months. Sooner or later he or his followers will have to get bored or burn out, right? Half a year's a long time to be this revved up, if Trump said something about how they should have the election sooner that practically sounds like a hint.

If he starts putting together big rallies like this regularly it'll do a lot to embarrass the other GOP candidates. Some Republicans have said the bigger names can just wait for him to go away but it'll look really bad if they keep their heads down for a couple months while Trump's rallying thousands or tens of thousands of supporters - then again, it might look even worse if they tried to match him and failed.

Something Else
Dec 27, 2004

to ride eternal, shiny and chrome

THUNDERDOME LOSER 2022

Joementum posted:

This could be trouble for Deez Nuts.



A dog in every bathtub

Third World Reagan
May 19, 2008

Imagine four 'mechs waiting in a queue. Time works the same way.
like in that speech, a few times he asks the crowd questions to get a feel for things he should say

on his speech pattern, he will say three things together, they are all different sentences but they seem like a single sentence and you can pick what you want from it. He loves to have the last statement be a backhanded comment.

BrutalistMcDonalds
Oct 4, 2012


Lipstick Apathy
That was the first Trump speech I've seen and I've mostly avoided politics. But that was both stunning and disturbing!

Rambling, contradictory stream-of-consciousness. But he's charismatic and funny and it makes him appear willing to *act* and not waste time hemming and hawing like other politicians. Economics is vaguely populist but reactionary, incoherent and flexible, constantly shifting. We need strength and toughness and meanness to become powerful again and to kick the Mexicans with the one hand and the depredations of foreign powers with the other. He speaks in slogans and repeats them, and then repeats them, and repeats them. And he especially thrives in stadiums with large numbers of people.

Remind you of anyone? He's not that and history isn't repeating itself, but it sorta rhymes.

NotJesus
Jan 17, 2007

Dolash posted:

If the first primary was in September rather than February I'd say the risk was real that he could start winning, but it's tough to imagine this enthusiasm holding up for another six months.
This enthusiasm needs to hold for more than a year, actually.

Kellsterik
Mar 30, 2012

Third World Reggin posted:

I am going to put forth a theory.

Trump came from money, but not old money. He never fit in with the old money crowd.

They despised him and everything he did since he wasn't part of their culture.

He now plans to use the powers of the POTUS to get back at all of them and the ways they make money.

I don't care if this is true or not.

That was Nixon

Donovan Trip
Jan 6, 2007
I firmly believe that the US economy will tank soon and Trump will use it to push his campaign against China and Mexico and he'll just keep saying "see I was right!"

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ

Kellsterik posted:

That was Nixon

Uhh, Nixon did not come from money.

Feather
Mar 1, 2003
Get your facts first, then you can distort them as you please.

Joementum posted:

Uhh, Nixon did not come from money.

Correct. Nixon came from a festering pit of pure sociopathic evil and raw desire for power.

Donovan Trip
Jan 6, 2007
is there a stream of the socialist populist? I need to wash the taste of popular fascism out

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ
Trump scheduled a press conference. He decided not to attend it.

XK
Jul 9, 2001

Star Citizen is everywhere. It is all around us. Even now, in this very room. You can see it's fidelity when you look out your window or when you watch youtube

Joementum posted:

Trump scheduled a press conference. He decided not to attend it.



This picture somehow made me realize that to truly kick his campaign into high gear, Trump needs his own flag.

Brannock
Feb 9, 2006

by exmarx
Fallen Rib

JJ McCullough posted:

What is Trump?

The greatest virtue imbedded in democratic government is not fairness or equality, but honesty. Democratic elections deliver the preference of the public as stated, with little allowance for after-the-fact denial. The result is not merely the government we deserve but the government we claimed to want, and like any honest statement, we must suffer the consequence of expressing it.

Much of the mainstream media’s rhetoric surrounding Donald Trump is aggressively anti-democratic. We are constantly told he “can’t” or “won’t’” win, he’ll “never” be the nominee or president, and “should” or “must” drop out immediately. It is therefore also profoundly dishonest, as it seeks to deny the popularity of a candidate that is quite obviously present — and by recent accounts, growing.

I am deeply sympathetic to basically every criticism of Trump, but repeated assertions from on high about his “doomed” campaign and “inevitable” surrender make me squeamish. Candidates are not generally scolded or shamed out of elections, nor should they be. They are not obligated to earn a passing grade from the Very Serious People in order to continue their campaigns; runs should only end once voters have expressed their opinion, either at the ballot box, or through a series of unambiguous polls. As of now, Trump has not failed either test.

There have been endless articles attempting to diagnose the Trump phenomenon from a variety of different angles, but all share common conclusion that the man’s base is coherent and strong. This suggests Trump’s road to the nomination is anything but impossibly uphill. A majority of GOP voters may oppose him, but primary elections are decided by plurality vote and on a packed ballot less than 50% can be more than enough to win. In 2012, Rick Santorum won Iowa with 24%, Romney won New Hampshire with 39% and Gingrich won South Carolina with 40%. And back then the GOP field was considerably less crowded.

Though Canadians have scorned the Trump candidacy with predictable smugness, the modern politician he most resembles is Toronto’s Rob Ford. Like Trump, he was popular in a way the Serious People found equal parts maddening and incomprehensible. Like Trump, they constantly predicted just one more gaffe would make him go away forever. Like Trump, he represented an honest expression of public sentiment that can only emerge in a direct-election political system.

During his peak, when his reelection looked imminent, my thesis of Mayor Ford was that he simply represented the fact that a lot of people these days are nasty and gross, and nasty gross people like electing one of their own to power as much as anyone else. Educated upper-middle-class types are often in a great deal of denial about the sheer popularity of a vulgar lower-class culture they go out of their way to avoid, and become shocked when forced to confront it. How did Two and a Half Men get so popular? And where did all these Minions come from? It’s a style of willful dishonesty about the nature of the society they inhabit, formed from a sheltered perspective.

Trump is not popular for political reasons, and efforts to cast him as a revolutionary figure of substance, particularly among alt-righters who worship the man as their white nationalist messiah, seem tortured and weird. Trump does not have a history of pushing clear or consistent political beliefs, priorities, or agendas. He does have a history of being an entertaining reality show star known for sassy insults and loveable egomania.

Voters are human, and can be animated by the superficial appeals of celebrity, novelty, and humour. Such appeals have the capacity to cloud better judgements about merit and ideology, and common sense in general.

Much of modern American culture is shaped by products and media that encourage us to discard rational consideration of what is right or good in favour of what is fun or satisfying in the immediate moment. It is not surprising that politics is not immune to this, and commentators on both right and left alike have cautioned for decades against following “celebrity” politicians offering fame in place of reputation and emotional satisfaction instead of wisdom.

Trump is perhaps a more grotesque and brazen spectacle than what we are used to, but the trend lines have been pointing in his direction for quite some time. While his erratic vanity makes it difficult to predict just how long he intends to pursue the presidency, his popularity is an honest expression of what a certain faction of Americans enjoy, and the sentiment will outlast the man.

Absurd Alhazred
Mar 27, 2010

by Athanatos
How long before Trump calls Bernie a self-hating Jew for not being pro-Israel enough?

NotJesus
Jan 17, 2007

Brannock posted:

[Something about shaming Trump out of his campaign as if - hahaha!]
So Trump wants to have the election right now while he's on top, but it's his opponents who hate democracy?

BrutalistMcDonalds
Oct 4, 2012


Lipstick Apathy
That's a really good article. I don't have anything to add except that I love the Rob Ford comparison and noting how isolated the cognoscenti really are.

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rudatron
May 31, 2011

by Fluffdaddy
That's such an elitist take on the situation, Trump is popular because he's legitimately anti-establishment at a time when being establishment is unpopular (because of a long history of failures and domestic uncertainty), and because he's closer, in terms of clear policy/ideology, to the base than the party elites. It's absolutely nothing like the way they're framing it, 'superficial novelty vs. serious politics'. He is presenting an ideology, it's just not the one that the party establishment has.

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