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I would blow Dane Cook
Dec 26, 2008
Forget shares, how much face has been lost lately?

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AtomikKrab
Jul 17, 2010

Keep on GOP rolling rolling rolling rolling.

Jumpingmanjim posted:

Forget shares, how much face has been lost lately?

this question hurts the pride of the chinese people, APOLOGIZE POST HASTE.

Ardennes
May 12, 2002
Yeah, government intervention aside, this is a pretty classic example of what happens in a unregulated marketplace and this is very much about unfettered capitalism eating people alive (and the government throwing the pensioners/small investors into the fire to try to quell it).

In all honesty though, if China suddenly had a even more ideologically free market (somehow) than they have, it wouldn't have helped.

Junkyard Poodle
May 6, 2011


Ardennes posted:

Yeah, government intervention aside, this is a pretty classic example of what happens in a unregulated marketplace and this is very much about unfettered capitalism eating people alive (and the government throwing the pensioners/small investors into the fire to try to quell it).

In all honesty though, if China suddenly had a even more ideologically free market (somehow) than they have, it wouldn't have helped.

What government intervention would have saved the day on this one?

Ardennes
May 12, 2002

Junkyard Poodle posted:

What government intervention would have saved the day on this one?

Nothing can be done to advert a crash of this extent when it finally forms, the issue was pulling regulation from the market in order to form the bubble in the first place. You can to try to frame this into "the Communists and their five year plans" are the cause but this is really about a government trying to keep a economic boom going on indefinitely by pulling regulation and plenty of more "traditional" free market states do this as well. It isn't really a battle of ideologies here beyond the Chinese government being even more incompetent at doing the same thing as many western governments (that said the Eurocrisis is pretty neck and neck as far as incompetence goes).

They should haven't have made the radical changes they made to regulation, and instead actually work on the myriad social, ecological and economic issues that are plaguing China (which is admittedly never going to happen). If anything throwing pensions into the fire is cited as "government intervention" when at the same time can be called another form of deregulation to feed their beast of a market.

Ardennes fucked around with this message at 00:36 on Aug 27, 2015

Volkerball
Oct 15, 2009

by FactsAreUseless
The Chinese governments intervention is to ensure corruption and white collar crime happen to their benefit. It's enforcing the types of things a regulation body is supposed to prevent.

icantfindaname
Jul 1, 2008


Junkyard Poodle posted:

What government intervention would have saved the day on this one?

Government intervention is what caused this crash, the government was literally cheerleading for everyone and their grandma to dump all their savings into the stock market

Junkyard Poodle
May 6, 2011


icantfindaname posted:

Government intervention is what caused this crash, the government was literally cheerleading for everyone and their grandma to dump all their savings into the stock market

And why were they cheerleading for everyone to dump all their savings in the market?

Fojar38
Sep 2, 2011


Sorry I meant to say I hope that the police use maximum force and kill or maim a bunch of innocent people, thus paving a way for a proletarian uprising and socialist utopia


also here's a stupid take
---------------------------->

Junkyard Poodle posted:

And why were they cheerleading for everyone to dump all their savings in the market?

They wanted the prestige of making Shanghai a leading financial capital and since the CCP is run by idiots they thought that by making it look big it would become super important.

Also the rest of the economy is in the shitter and they thought they could control the stock market so they had everyone put their money in under the implicit promise that they wouldn't let exactly what happened happen.

icantfindaname
Jul 1, 2008


Junkyard Poodle posted:

And why were they cheerleading for everyone to dump all their savings in the market?

Because they wanted to continue their legitimacy through economic growth thing, and the CCP apparantly has literally never heard of a Ponzi scheme or what it is, and that stock prices must go up up up forever because that's what stock markets do right? Just like cats only eat fish and all the other horror stories about Chinese education posted in this and other China threads

icantfindaname fucked around with this message at 01:24 on Aug 27, 2015

My Imaginary GF
Jul 17, 2005

by R. Guyovich

Junkyard Poodle posted:

What government intervention would have saved the day on this one?

Government intervention that secured a future for democratic institutions.

Nonsense
Jan 26, 2007

icantfindaname posted:

Because they wanted to continue their legitimacy through economic growth thing, and the CCP apparantly has literally never heard of a Ponzi scheme or what it is, and that stock prices must go up up up forever because that's what stock markets do right? Just like cats only eat fish and all the other horror stories about Chinese education posted in this and other China threads

Just as Mao didn't know you can't make steel in a peasants backyard, you can't beat America at its own game.

Bip Roberts
Mar 29, 2005

My Imaginary GF posted:

Government intervention that secured a future for democratic institutions.

You're 5 words short.

Junkyard Poodle
May 6, 2011


What are the odds that the CCP used their encouragement into the equity markets as a way to transfer capital to the shadow bank/local gov lending agreements that soured do to poor risk controls (ie gov/gov backed companies got undeserved preferential interest rates & prioritized over more economically sound options)?

Could early reform in their financial system (the liberalization of interest rates, freer flows of capital and a transparent rating systems) have helped?

How much did/are the state ran banks being allowed by the CCP to participate in the shadow banking system?

A GIANT PARSNIP
Apr 13, 2010

Too much fuckin' eggnog


Fojar38 posted:

They wanted the prestige of making Shanghai a leading financial capital and since the CCP is run by idiots they thought that by making it look big it would become super important.

Also the rest of the economy is in the shitter and they thought they could control the stock market so they had everyone put their money in under the implicit promise that they wouldn't let exactly what happened happen.

To be fair a bunch of American companies believed them and based their growth plans around China's "infinite" growth.

Fojar38
Sep 2, 2011


Sorry I meant to say I hope that the police use maximum force and kill or maim a bunch of innocent people, thus paving a way for a proletarian uprising and socialist utopia


also here's a stupid take
---------------------------->
So what're futures looking like today?

Excelzior
Jun 24, 2013

looks like a modest uptick to start the day off

we'll see if it holds up

Arglebargle III
Feb 21, 2006

Back in March I heard something about some government funds and missing money and selling at 5000.

Shadoer
Aug 31, 2011


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2% so far, maybe the market has found the bottom for now.

Fojar38
Sep 2, 2011


Sorry I meant to say I hope that the police use maximum force and kill or maim a bunch of innocent people, thus paving a way for a proletarian uprising and socialist utopia


also here's a stupid take
---------------------------->

Shadoer posted:

2% so far, maybe the market has found the bottom for now.

This is China, there is always more and it is always worse.

NEED TOILET PAPER
Mar 22, 2013

by XyloJW

Shadoer posted:

2% so far, maybe the market has found the bottom for now.

It's been on a downward trend for the day. I think we'll be seeing it consistently hit the negatives by the time it closes.

Shadoer
Aug 31, 2011


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NEED TOILET PAPER posted:

It's been on a downward trend for the day. I think we'll be seeing it consistently hit the negatives by the time it closes.

Yeah, it's managed to go down to just under 1% now. I'm thinking it's going to stay just above 0 for a while, then when it comes near closing then BAM another 2%-3% drop.

tbp
Mar 1, 2008

DU WIRST NIEMALS ALLEINE MARSCHIEREN

Fojar38 posted:

This is China, there is always more and it is always worse.

Equities tend to have significant support levels that they will not drop below based on the fundamentals of the company. Though they may be a bit more opaque in this case you can reasonably expect that there are, for each individual firm, a level it will pretty much absolutely not go below, and I doubt many at all listed on the SSE will go to zero.

Vehementi
Jul 25, 2003

YOSPOS
Is shanghai trading through lunch today or something?

ah nevermind, google isn't showing the gap

hooman
Oct 11, 2007

This guy seems legit.
Fun Shoe
In tonight's show the role of "Chinese Capitalism" will be performed by an elephant.

Thai elephant gores handler to death and runs off carrying three tourists

Dilber
Mar 27, 2007

TFLC
(Trophy Feline Lifting Crew)


and here comes the drop again!

Shadoer
Aug 31, 2011


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Dilber posted:

and here comes the drop again!

We are still above 0! It's not happening yet.

Dilber
Mar 27, 2007

TFLC
(Trophy Feline Lifting Crew)


Now it's not.

Shadoer
Aug 31, 2011


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Support a feminist today!


We are back in the red!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TkBMAHUkibY

Shadoer
Aug 31, 2011


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Okay we are back in the green. They've gotten pretty good at funneling pension money in.

Goa Tse-tung
Feb 11, 2008

;3

Yams Fan
we broke +3% yaaaaay :unsmith:

Alucardd
Aug 1, 2006
+4.5% Crisis is over guys.

e: +5% it is a miracle!

Alucardd fucked around with this message at 07:59 on Aug 27, 2015

Fojar38
Sep 2, 2011


Sorry I meant to say I hope that the police use maximum force and kill or maim a bunch of innocent people, thus paving a way for a proletarian uprising and socialist utopia


also here's a stupid take
---------------------------->
Oh well.

See you all at the next crash in two weeks

Shadoer
Aug 31, 2011


Zoe Quinn is one of many women targeted by the Gamergate harassment campaign.

Support a feminist today!


Alucardd posted:

+4.5% Crisis is over guys.

Hurrah!

Man isn't it great that whenever it looks like things are going to tank again, a mysterious billionaire buys a bunch of stocks and everything is okay again?!

Fojar38
Sep 2, 2011


Sorry I meant to say I hope that the police use maximum force and kill or maim a bunch of innocent people, thus paving a way for a proletarian uprising and socialist utopia


also here's a stupid take
---------------------------->
So focusing on the macro for a moment all these news articles keep talking about how China is going to switch to a "consumption-based model." How is that going and how likely is it to succeed?

mobby_6kl
Aug 9, 2009

by Fluffdaddy

Shadoer posted:

Okay we are back in the green. They've gotten pretty good at funneling pension money in.



Is that Chinese green or everyone else green?

Shadoer
Aug 31, 2011


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Support a feminist today!


mobby_6kl posted:

Is that Chinese green or everyone else green?

Everyone green.

At +4% right now

lmaoboy1998
Oct 23, 2013

icantfindaname posted:

Splitting off the various non-Mandarin Han subgroups isn't really feasible in part because those groups have basically always been politically united for the last 2000 years, but I don't see how you can say Xinjiang and Tibet shouldn't be split with a straight face.

Electro-Boogie Jack posted:

Seriously. Tibet is one of the easiest cases you can find for the ideal of self-determination, it's so bizarre to see someone say 'water rights' as if that meaningfully trumps a peoples right to self-rule.

It could be a fantasy, I guess, although at times people said the same thing about all the countries absorbed by the USSR regaining their freedom too. I'd wager there was a time when a lot of people thought the English would occupy vast chunks of the Earth in perpetuity, too.

The difficulty is that both Tibet and Xinjiang are now majority Han chinese, so it's not really the open and shut case you guys are suggesting at all. If you held a referendum on independence in either Xinjiang or Tibet the population would vote to stay in China.

Of course, the Chinese government moved a lot of them there, which is what complicates the issue ethically. But a lot of those Han families have now been living there for three generations. You can't practically disqualify them from any referendum.

icantfindaname
Jul 1, 2008


lmaoboy1998 posted:

The difficulty is that both Tibet and Xinjiang are now majority Han chinese, so it's not really the open and shut case you guys are suggesting at all. If you held a referendum on independence in either Xinjiang or Tibet the population would vote to stay in China.

Of course, the Chinese government moved a lot of them there, which is what complicates the issue ethically. But a lot of those Han families have now been living there for three generations. You can't practically disqualify them from any referendum.

Xinjiang is actually two regions stapled together, one of them is the Tarim Basin, the other is basically part of Mongolia whose inhabitants the Qing murdered and resettled with Han Chinese

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dzungaria

Even taken as a whole Wiki has it at only 45% Han, and the vast majority of them live in Dzungaria.

As for Tibet, Wiki lists the TAR as 90% Tibetan 8% Han, soooooooo yeah. I imagine the Qinghai and Sichuan parts of the Tibetan Plateau have similar ratios

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lmaoboy1998
Oct 23, 2013

icantfindaname posted:

Xinjiang is actually two regions stapled together, one of them is the Tarim Basin, the other is basically part of Mongolia whose inhabitants the Qing murdered and resettled with Han Chinese

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dzungaria

Even taken as a whole Wiki has it at only 45% Han, and the vast majority of them live in Dzungaria.

As for Tibet, Wiki lists the TAR as 90% Tibetan 8% Han, soooooooo yeah. I imagine the Qinghai and Sichuan parts of the Tibetan Plateau have similar ratios

Hmm. I guess my high school history/chinese studies teacher didn't know wtf he was talking about. But he used to let his girlfriend sit in on our classes and once told me he lost his virginity to Under The Bridge so perhaps I should have seen that coming.

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