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Dahbadu
Aug 22, 2004

Reddit has helpfully advised me that I look like a "15 year old fortnite boi"

Sheng-ji Yang posted:

not sure how bernie is similar to dukakis at all but ok

They are similar in the same way polar opposites are similar.

Bernie = baller patriot alpha who owns the poo poo out of everything

Dukakis = beta bitch

So I guess they're not similar at all.

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Willa Rogers
Mar 11, 2005

Kalman posted:

Yeah, no. You are literally completely wrong on this (which, I mean, nothing new there.). Clinton does better with millennials than with any other age bracket (she runs about +7 compared to her overall splits.)

All numbers that follow are for 18-34 voters.

Clinton-Trump: 53-32
Clinton-Rubio: 51-34
Clinton-Bush: 49-30

For context, the same numbers for Bernie:

Sanders-Trump: 50-29
Sanders-Rubio: 45-36
Sanders-Bush: 48-33

What's that, you say? Millennials like Hillary better than Bernie? Well I never.

Let's see if the millennials actually come out to vote for Hillary if she wins the nomination. I don't think they will.

Mo_Steel
Mar 7, 2008

Let's Clock Into The Sunset Together

Fun Shoe

Dahbadu posted:

I'm not trying to attack you, but let me give you my two cents and you can make of it what you will:

I think you're over analyzing this and possibly projecting. I think younger people dislike Hillary because her public persona is like Salina in Veep. When I watch her on TDS or in some interview it's almost squirm inducing. Honestly, I feel kinda bad for her because I think this inauthentic guarded persona is something that has been conditioned into her by years of bullshit attacks from the right and having to play the good supportive wife to her husband.

Her ties to Wall Street and the fact she's been living in a bubble of wealth, power and privilege for a long time -- doesn't sit well with me either.

To give you some context, Nancy Pelosi also has a similar affect on me (not talking about Wall Street stuff). And I say this as someone that's voted for Pelosi multiple times. Nancy was never attacked by Obama campaign.

Edit:

I also don't think I'm being sexist here regarding Hillary and Pelosi. My wife (a strong feminist) and all her friends that are into politics feel the same way about these two figures. I don't think it's fair to blame Obama for this one.

I think the difference is the aim of the run. The impression I get from Bernie is that he doesn't care about the office so much as the task; I'm sure Hillary cares about the poor and middle classes too, but it sure feels more like being President is an achievement she wants as a feather in her hat. Maybe that's influenced by all the talk of dynasty and inevitability. :shrug:

Kalman
Jan 17, 2010

Willa Rogers posted:

Let's see if the millennials actually come out to vote for Hillary if she wins the nomination. I don't think they will.

I mean, they won't, but that's because most of them won't bother to vote period, no matter who the nominee is.

Martin Random
Jul 18, 2003

by FactsAreUseless

Deep Hurting posted:

The plural of anecdote is not data, but my former junior high-school art teacher, who's 68, female, and supported Hillary over Obama in 2008, is an enthusiastic Bernie supporter now. Her current Facebook profile picture has her wearing one of his crazy hair and glasses-design hoodies.

I grew up in an extremely rural part of the Pacific Northwest where you still see people flying Confederate flags sometimes (there's one in my above-noted art teacher's neighborhood, in fact). I was at the area's county fair a week ago, and noticed that the local county Democrats booth didn't have a single piece of Hillary campaign material up, but they did have a Bernie 2016 banner, as well as jars collecting cash donations for all the current campaigns. Guess whose jar was the most full?

It was Bernie's.

Eureka/Arcata, by any chance?

spacemang_spliff
Nov 29, 2014

wide pickle

Willa Rogers posted:

Let's see if the millennials actually come out to vote for Hillary if she wins the nomination. I don't think they will.

Hillary is 2016's John Kerry

Mo_Steel
Mar 7, 2008

Let's Clock Into The Sunset Together

Fun Shoe

Kalman posted:

Yeah, no. You are literally completely wrong on this (which, I mean, nothing new there.). Clinton does better with millennials than with any other age bracket (she runs about +7 compared to her overall splits.)

All numbers that follow are for 18-34 voters.

Clinton-Trump: 53-32
Clinton-Rubio: 51-34
Clinton-Bush: 49-30

For context, the same numbers for Bernie:

Sanders-Trump: 50-29
Sanders-Rubio: 45-36
Sanders-Bush: 48-33

What's that, you say? Millennials like Hillary better than Bernie? Well I never.

I'd love to see the breakdown of that.

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ

Kalman
Jan 17, 2010

Mo_Steel posted:

I'd love to see the breakdown of that.

It's from the Quinnipiac poll released today, which has publicly available results. I doubt there is enough sample size to get any sort of breakdown within the age range.

JT Jag
Aug 30, 2009

#1 Jaguars Sunk Cost Fallacy-Haver
Burma Shave

Sir Tonk
Apr 18, 2006
Young Orc

Willa Rogers posted:

No, I think Jimmy Carter's wishy-washy neoliberalism had more to do with that. If Kennedy had won the '80 nomination, I don't think Reagan would have won the general (much as I think it'll take Hillary's winning the nomination next year to elect Pres. Trump).

Carter may have been the final nail (or perhaps the crushing defeat in 1984 was), but McGovern's loss really destroyed the anti-war left and Nixon's presidency certainly killed any lingering hope within the left and perhaps led to groups like the Weathermen moving to a more direct response.

I'm worried that Sanders getting the nomination and then losing will be even worse than the effect of all the liberals that projected their values onto Obama and became all cynical when he didn't bring about full communism by 2010. A whole new generation got excited about politics in 2008 and learned the hard way that you can't change the US in one Presidential term. Kind of like the Tea Party, I guess, but they keep having to relearn it every two years.

Willa Rogers
Mar 11, 2005

^^^ And what if Hillary wins the nomination and loses? Further proof that "she's just too liberal!"

And no, that wasn't the lesson of Obama's presidency. That lesson was: Don't elect demagogues who have no intention of fulfilling their candidacy's promises, especially when they spurn public financing, choose a cabinet full of Wall Street insiders, and are chosen to run by Reid & Daschle.

Kalman posted:

It's from the Quinnipiac poll released today, which has publicly available results. I doubt there is enough sample size to get any sort of breakdown within the age range.

They sampled a total of 120 18-34 year olds. Lmao that you quoted this as being proof positive of the millennial vote for Hillary.

Willa Rogers fucked around with this message at 01:59 on Aug 28, 2015

Sir Tonk
Apr 18, 2006
Young Orc
"I wouldn't vote for my mom, why would I vote for Hillary?"

Dahbadu
Aug 22, 2004

Reddit has helpfully advised me that I look like a "15 year old fortnite boi"
I don't want to turn this thread into Bernie chat, and I'm sorry if it's heading that way. I just wanted to post something that pertained to Bernie being another McGovern or Dukakis, or whatever.

Bernie has legit crossover appeal. You even have Repubs in this thread saying they'd be willing to vote for Bernie. I think that means something. For example, look how Bernie handles gun control:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tgH6nhusfEM

Dahbadu fucked around with this message at 02:31 on Aug 28, 2015

Joementum
May 23, 2004

jesus christ

Sir Tonk posted:

I'm worried that Sanders getting the nomination

Fortunately, you have nothing to worry about! :)

Dahn
Sep 4, 2004

Mitt Romney posted:

Jeb Bush realizes that it is August and the polls don't matter yet. His massive field organization, money and super PAC money will take care of the rest until primaries. None of which Trump has.

Your right of course, Trump is a lightweight, and the Bush machine will wait and totally crush him in 2017.

MaxxBot
Oct 6, 2003

you could have clapped

you should have clapped!!

Internet Webguy posted:

What people in this thread don't get about Jeb is that now is the exact time in the campaign to stomp on as many rakes as possible and have your staff study the ones that give the biggest bruises so you can avoid them when people are paying attention en masse.

A lot of these "gaffes" are just him blatantly stating his family's worldview.

Jeb! hasn't shown even one shred of competence in his entire campaign and has basically gone out of his way to piss off virtually everyone. No way would he for example go on an unprovoked attack against Asians among many other completely idiotic things if he wasn't completely terrible at campaigning. He's also disliked by the conservative base to a greater extent than Romney and is somehow even less charismatic. I don't think the nominee is going to be Trump but it's not going to be Jeb! either.

Dahn
Sep 4, 2004

Dahbadu posted:

I want to turn this thread into Bernie chat,

Who is Bernie and why do we care?

A Neurotic Jew
Feb 17, 2012

by exmarx

Dahbadu posted:

You even have Repubs in this thread saying they'd be willing to vote for Bernie.

:monocle: Have the polling outfits been alerted?

DutchDupe
Dec 25, 2013

How does the kitty cat go?

...meow?

Very gooood.

Dahbadu posted:

I want to turn this thread into Bernie chat, and I'm sorry if it's heading that way. I just wanted to post something that pertained to Bernie being another McGovern or Dukakis, or whatever.

Bernie has legit crossover appeal. You even have Repubs in this thread saying they'd be willing to vote for Bernie. I think that means something. For example, look how Bernie handles gun control:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tgH6nhusfEM

And yet the NRA still gives him an F rating.

I would also like to subscribe to a world where Republicans don't smear and lie and where their base cares about the truth but unfortunately there is no Narnia at the end of the wardrobe.

Montasque
Jul 18, 2003

Living in a hateful world sending me straight to Heaven

Dahn posted:

Who is Bernie and why do we care?

Bernie is the sad old socialist who surrendered his stage to BLM.

Imagine that guy trying to negotiate with Putin?

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008

Kalman posted:

Yeah, no. You are literally completely wrong on this (which, I mean, nothing new there.). Clinton does better with millennials than with any other age bracket (she runs about +7 compared to her overall splits.)

All numbers that follow are for 18-34 voters.

Clinton-Trump: 53-32
Clinton-Rubio: 51-34
Clinton-Bush: 49-30

For context, the same numbers for Bernie:

Sanders-Trump: 50-29
Sanders-Rubio: 45-36
Sanders-Bush: 48-33

What's that, you say? Millennials like Hillary better than Bernie? Well I never.

Yep, millennials would vote for Bernie at almost equal levels as they would for Hillary despite Bernie having a much lower level of support among the general populace. What you need to do is compare the splits among millennials with those of the general voting population, otherwise you're just comparing absolute levels of support, which everyone knows Clinton leads.

Hodgepodge
Jan 29, 2006
Probation
Can't post for 213 days!
The main thing that makes me think of sexism when it comes to Hillary is the hard-on people here get when Biden is mentioned as an option. Because he's generally to the right of Clinton, but he has a manly man persona that makes the the young white male demographic go weak in the knees. I love Onion Biden too, but the appeal is very gendered there.

Bernie's appeal is more that he's campaigning from Hillary's left, which naturally captures the imagination of the left. The idea of not voting for Hillary because she's not Sanders is pretty sad, like you want the guy to be Ralph Nader or something.

Dahbadu
Aug 22, 2004

Reddit has helpfully advised me that I look like a "15 year old fortnite boi"

DutchDupe posted:

And yet the NRA still gives him an F rating.

I would also like to subscribe to a world where Republicans don't smear and lie and where their base cares about the truth but unfortunately there is no Narnia at the end of the wardrobe.

Don't get me wrong, I'm under no impression that won't happen. I know that reality doesn't matter.

Edit:

Basically, Bernie doesn't talk like a guarded politician, he's authentic, he's a populist, he's not anti-gun, and when you have a chance to see him debate or speak he radiates strength (despite being an old grandpa with crazy hair). For those that aren't indoctrinated, I think he may have some appeal.

Dahbadu fucked around with this message at 02:28 on Aug 28, 2015

Dahn
Sep 4, 2004

Montasque posted:

Bernie is the sad old socialist who surrendered his stage to BLM.

Imagine that guy trying to negotiate with Putin?

but he seems like a nice guy

he talks about helping me against the evil capitalist (my boss....and total douchebag)

Deep Hurting
Jan 19, 2006

radical meme posted:

They might vote for him in the primary but, and I hope we never get the chance to see if I'm right, they will not vote for him in a general election. There's too much for the GOP to throw at him to shut down any hope of him ever winning a general election. I don't think "most" Democrats will switch parties I simply think that a lot won't even vote after the attack ad apocalypse that would come out of the GOP against a Bernie run. It would be Dukakis, or worse, all over again. His age is a major drawback. He has one foot in the grave already and people are suppose to vote for him? He's older than Reagan was running for his second term. Remember Old President Dole, Old President McCain and Old President Ron Paul? Yeah, never happened, never will.

His age is the only factor I would be all that concerned about (affecting the election), but one important difference between himself and McCain, at least, is that Bernie would not choose a loving moron as his running mate.

Ron Paul never made it to the general so I don't see how he's relevant to the point you're trying to make.


Martin Random posted:

Eureka/Arcata, by any chance?

I wish! There's a lot of great music that's come from that area.

Jewel Repetition
Dec 24, 2012

Ask me about Briar Rose and Chicken Chaser.

Kalman posted:

They aren't and they don't. Hell, there are black people who vote Republican! (Probably about as many as will vote for Bernie in the primaries.)

I think more black people will vote for Bernie than will vote for Republicans.

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008

Hodgepodge posted:

The main thing that makes me think of sexism when it comes to Hillary is the hard-on people here get when Biden is mentioned as an option. Because he's generally to the right of Clinton, but he has a manly man persona that makes the the young white male demographic go weak in the knees. I love Onion Biden too, but the appeal is very gendered there.

Bernie's appeal is more that he's campaigning from Hillary's left, which naturally captures the imagination of the left. The idea of not voting for Hillary because she's not Sanders is pretty sad, like you want the guy to be Ralph Nader or something.

Virtually no one here has any interest in Biden. I've seen a bunch of ironic "Diamond Joe" support but that's not real support. Maybe you're missing the jokes.

mr. mephistopheles
Dec 2, 2009

radical meme posted:

They might vote for him in the primary but, and I hope we never get the chance to see if I'm right, they will not vote for him in a general election. There's too much for the GOP to throw at him to shut down any hope of him ever winning a general election. I don't think "most" Democrats will switch parties I simply think that a lot won't even vote after the attack ad apocalypse that would come out of the GOP against a Bernie run. It would be Dukakis, or worse, all over again. His age is a major drawback. He has one foot in the grave already and people are suppose to vote for him? He's older than Reagan was running for his second term. Remember Old President Dole, Old President McCain and Old President Ron Paul? Yeah, never happened, never will.

You are taking your insane, baseless perception of the situation and projecting it onto millennials as a demographic. Nobody else thinks this.

Jewel Repetition
Dec 24, 2012

Ask me about Briar Rose and Chicken Chaser.

radical meme posted:

Millennials are not going to vote for Bernie in the general election. Old, white, white haired, commie, New England Jew is never going to pull the votes of young people in this country.

edit: even if he promised them free legal weed and cancel all student debt he wouldn't get their vote in the general.

http://www.newyorker.com/news/daily-comment/feeling-the-bern-with-the-youth-vote

Dahn
Sep 4, 2004

Vox Nihili posted:

Virtually no one here has any interest in Biden. I've seen a bunch of ironic "Diamond Joe" support but that's not real support. Maybe you're missing the jokes.

I love Diamond Joe, no race is complete without a creepy huger.

Boosted_C5
Feb 16, 2008
Probation
Can't post for 5 years!
Grimey Drawer
Still LOLing at all the support for Hillary Clinton. She is neither impressive OR likeable, she is riding the coattails of her husband's name. She rode them into a Senate seat, a 2008 presidential campaign, and then a cabinet position. I didn't vote for BILL Clinton or Obama but I also think on a personal level they seem likeable enough. If they were my neighbors, I wouldn't talk politics with them to avoid arguments, but I'd hang out with them over the grill or over a beer. If Hillary Clinton was my neighbor, I'd turn off the lights and hide behind the couch if I looked out the window and saw her coming my way. You people should be dusting off all your Romney jokes, when speaking she comes off as someone trying to pretend to be a normal human being or trying to pretend to be able to relate to normal human beings.

Most people who are not a lock Democrat vote anyway probably do not like her at all.

AND on top of it all, she's a phony and a fraud. She's a special interest and foreign interest trollop.

AND you have a candidate who actually represents the things you claim to be for.

AND you keep talking about your demographic advantage that is continuing to grow re: the electoral college and winning the presidency.

WTF would you blow an advantage like that, if you actually believe it exists, by supporting an entitled stiff over someone who actuallu closely represents your views and desires???

A Neurotic Jew
Feb 17, 2012

by exmarx
to summarize the baby boomers in this thread are yelling at clouds like always and should probably be turned into fertilizer for a Millenials weed garden somewhere.

WhiskeyJuvenile
Feb 15, 2002

by Nyc_Tattoo

Dahbadu posted:

I don't want to turn this thread into Bernie chat, and I'm sorry if it's heading that way. I just wanted to post something that pertained to Bernie being another McGovern or Dukakis, or whatever.

Bernie has legit crossover appeal. You even have Repubs in this thread saying they'd be willing to vote for Bernie. I think that means something. For example, look how Bernie handles gun control:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tgH6nhusfEM

here's a common sense solution: gently caress rural America

hth

Dahn
Sep 4, 2004

Boosted_C5 posted:

Still LOLing at all the support for Hillary Clinton. She is neither impressive OR likeable, she is riding the coattails of her husband's name. She rode them into a Senate seat, a 2008 presidential campaign, and then a cabinet position. I didn't vote for BILL Clinton or Obama but I also think on a personal level they seem likeable enough. If they were my neighbors, I wouldn't talk politics with them to avoid arguments, but I'd hang out with them over the grill or over a beer. If Hillary Clinton was my neighbor, I'd turn off the lights and hide behind the couch if I looked out the window and saw her coming my way. You people should be dusting off all your Romney jokes, when speaking she comes off as someone trying to pretend to be a normal human being or trying to pretend to be able to relate to normal human beings.

Most people who are not a lock Democrat vote anyway probably do not like her at all.

AND on top of it all, she's a phony and a fraud. She's a special interest and foreign interest trollop.

AND you have a candidate who actually represents the things you claim to be for.

AND you keep talking about your demographic advantage that is continuing to grow re: the electoral college and winning the presidency.

WTF would you blow an advantage like that, if you actually believe it exists, by supporting an entitled stiff???

But she is a Clinton you can't talk to her like that.

Dahn
Sep 4, 2004

WhiskeyJuvenile posted:

here's a common sense solution: gently caress rural America

hth

Yeah that place your food comes from, gently caress those guys.

Back to Dubstep and bardrinks.

Willa Rogers
Mar 11, 2005


On Friday, in a greater coup, Sanders received the endorsement of the fifteen-year-old prank candidate Deez Nuts, who made a splash in some Midwestern polls earlier this month, and who cited his frank and accessible style. Queried about Sanders’s leading opponent in the race, Hillary Clinton, Mr. Nuts simply asked, “Why can’t you be more open and friendly like Bernie?”


Mr. Nuts, lol.

A Neurotic Jew posted:

to summarize the baby boomers in this thread are yelling at clouds like always and should probably be turned into fertilizer for a Millenials weed garden somewhere.

I'd rather water my weed garden with the sweet sweet tears of Hillary supporters. :twisted:

Willa Rogers
Mar 11, 2005

WhiskeyJuvenile posted:

here's a common sense solution: gently caress rural America

hth

you're a really really bad poster

hth

Dahn
Sep 4, 2004

Willa Rogers posted:

On Friday, in a greater coup, Sanders received the endorsement of the fifteen-year-old prank candidate Deez Nuts, who made a splash in some Midwestern polls earlier this month, and who cited his frank and accessible style. Queried about Sanders’s leading opponent in the race, Hillary Clinton, Mr. Nuts simply asked, “Why can’t you be more open and friendly like Bernie?”


Mr. Nuts, lol.


I'd rather water my weed garden with the sweet sweet tears of Hillary supporters. :twisted:

Bernie was so close, then Deez had to poo poo all over it, Damm you.....why did you do it? after all you are a Nutz, you should know better.

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point of return
Aug 13, 2011

by exmarx

Vox Nihili posted:

Virtually no one here has any interest in Biden. I've seen a bunch of ironic "Diamond Joe" support but that's not real support. Maybe you're missing the jokes.

The people who want Biden in the race are mostly the media, because the media has a really terrible relationship with the Clintons.

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