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Sanders down 10 points 5 minutes into the debate
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Oct 14, 2015 02:03
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Stereotype posted:Sanders down 10 points 5 minutes into the debate What market is that?
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Oct 14, 2015 02:05
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He's doing fine in DNOM16.
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Oct 14, 2015 02:11
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I'm finally back to even for the first time since that droopy-faced gently caress Scott Walker dropped out 
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Oct 14, 2015 02:36
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Biden NO's on Debate Loser are still somehow for sale, despite him not being in the debate, and thus being an automatic win for NO.
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Oct 14, 2015 02:49
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made about 60% of my funds on tonight's debate. time to put most of that on BIDENNO? seems kind of expensive at $.57, but he has to decide soon, right?
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Oct 14, 2015 03:50
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Abel Wingnut posted:made about 60% of my funds on tonight's debate. time to put most of that on BIDENNO? seems kind of expensive at $.57, but he has to decide soon, right? I'd say wait a little bit, I honestly wouldn't be surprised if it went back down.
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Oct 14, 2015 03:59
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Zeta Taskforce posted:What market is that? Oh that was the "who speaks more" I could have gotten a profit at one point but I got greedy and lost it all :'(
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Oct 14, 2015 04:11
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So the market is saying Clinton will get the best bump but I still think the media will hype the gently caress out of O'Malley because of course they will. What say you, goons?
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Oct 14, 2015 04:57
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Cashed out of all of my Biden No's to run. I still like it, but there's free money in the mean time. Hopefully some silly story comes out that gets people all riled up again. Managed to snag 629 Biden debate win NO's for $0.97 and 879 debate lose No's for $0.97. Thanks for the free $45 I don't understand the O'Malley to win the debate market, dipped my toes in there too.
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Oct 14, 2015 04:58
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District Selectman posted:Cashed out of all of my Biden No's to run. I still like it, but there's free money in the mean time. Hopefully some silly story comes out that gets people all riled up again. Unless you see a quick return on your other stuff, I think you made a mistake. A lot of Biden YES people were hedging on Hillary flaming out in the debate, and now that she's shown she's fine on stage it seems less likely he jumps in. Plus, the market will essentially close (or jump up to .80ish and stay there) on Halloween which isn't that far away, investment-wise. edit: just checked and cha-ching
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Oct 14, 2015 05:19
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Aliquid posted:Unless you see a quick return on your other stuff, I think you made a mistake. A lot of Biden YES people were hedging on Hillary flaming out in the debate, and now that she's shown she's fine on stage it seems less likely he jumps in. Plus, the market will essentially close (or jump up to .80ish and stay there) on Halloween which isn't that far away, investment-wise. This is a very accurate assessment. I think NO will be 70 by the end of the week.
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Oct 14, 2015 05:29
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Necc0 posted:So the market is saying Clinton will get the best bump but I still think the media will hype the gently caress out of O'Malley because of course they will. What say you, goons? Maybe, but remember, the bet isn't anything to do with that, it's only about polls that come out between now and one week from now. That's not a ton of time. The effects of the debate may not even impact the polls that are released within a week. I think Sanders to "lose" is the smart bet because his 35% poll is coming off the books next. Aliquid posted:Unless you see a quick return on your other stuff, I think you made a mistake. A lot of Biden YES people were hedging on Hillary flaming out in the debate, and now that she's shown she's fine on stage it seems less likely he jumps in. Plus, the market will essentially close (or jump up to .80ish and stay there) on Halloween which isn't that far away, investment-wise. Bought around $0.40, sold around $0.55, I'm ok with that. That's almost 40% return on a max bet. Only have to wait a week for the debate stuff to close out, then I'll see where Biden is at again. I've got about half a max bet for Diamond Joe NO for the D Nom, so I'll be happy either way.
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Oct 14, 2015 05:35
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District Selectman posted:Bought around $0.40, sold around $0.55, I'm ok with that. That's almost 40% return on a max bet. Only have to wait a week for the debate stuff to close out, then I'll see where Biden is at again. I've got about half a max bet for Diamond Joe NO for the D Nom, so I'll be happy either way. Yeah, all this did was really calm my nerves and reassure myself since I'm at about 75% in on Biden NO now, average .41. edit 75% of my portfolio, not 75% of $850. Yikes. i say swears online has issued a correction as of 05:42 on Oct 14, 2015 |
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Oct 14, 2015 05:39
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quote:Wtf is going on in that market!! Will hillary really be over 40% she is horrible deviseve candidate!!
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Oct 14, 2015 06:07
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good, goooood *temples fingers* EDIT  it's happening, hold off if you want more Biden NOHey, can I see ALL buy/sell orders or am I only privy to the top five? The top five almost gives me an indication of the liquidity of the market but not quite. i say swears online has issued a correction as of 06:21 on Oct 14, 2015 |
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Oct 14, 2015 06:11
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Aliquid posted:Yeah, all this did was really calm my nerves and reassure myself since I'm at about 75% in on Biden NO now, average .41. Cmon son, max bet that poo poo
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Oct 14, 2015 06:22
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District Selectman posted:Cmon son, max bet that poo poo this is student loan money, don't prod my ego
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Oct 14, 2015 06:23
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Betting against Sanders' monthly poll numbers seems pretty good right now. It's 36 cents for a no share, he's sitting at 25.1% right now, and the next poll to drop will be one that had him at 35%. Not exactly a guaranteed bet, but I like it. e: betting against Paul Ryan being the next speaker seems pretty smart, too.
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Oct 14, 2015 15:24
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Biden market is finally deflating
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Oct 14, 2015 15:29
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Necc0 posted:Biden market is finally deflating 
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Oct 14, 2015 16:29
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Gotta say, I'm feeling pretty salty that Jindal is an option in the current Next-To-Drop-Out market when he already "dropped out" per the first such market.
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Oct 14, 2015 16:33
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Wanamingo posted:Betting against Sanders' monthly poll numbers seems pretty good right now. It's 36 cents for a no share, he's sitting at 25.1% right now, and the next poll to drop will be one that had him at 35%. Not exactly a guaranteed bet, but I like it. That is a good catch. I just got some at 37. But I'm going against you for Paul Ryan. Betting that the establishment manages to guilt trip him into doing it
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Oct 14, 2015 16:45
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Necc0 posted:Biden market is finally deflating I'm the one who just pushed the buy price from 42 to 46 so I'm happy it tanked post debate.
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Oct 14, 2015 16:52
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Yeah the speaker market is way too iffy. Paul Ryan might get one of his dead hookers brought up and forced into it and he might be feeling morose over his future presidential aspirations since the current crop of republicans are absolutely poisoning the brand (that poison is loving stark right now after the democrat debate looked to be so much more adult than the republican insanity), but at the same time he seems pretty immune to party machinations. But there's literally no one else who can win unless the 'sensible' side of the republican party decides it's to their benefit to give in to Webster. Honestly if there were a market for "will the house be a clusterfuck until 2017" I'd buy a shitload of YES at this point.
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Oct 14, 2015 17:07
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Zeta Taskforce posted:But I'm going against you for Paul Ryan. Betting that the establishment manages to guilt trip him into doing it The Biden argument
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Oct 14, 2015 17:07
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Necc0 posted:So the market is saying Clinton will get the best bump but I still think the media will hype the gently caress out of O'Malley because of course they will. What say you, goons? I put a few dollars betting this and now I've lost a few dollars. I'm just gonna wait to see if it bounces.
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Oct 14, 2015 17:10
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pathetic little tramp posted:Yeah the speaker market is way too iffy. I personally just think the GOP can't get the votes on him, and I can't imagine what the GOP would give him that would compensate for his work-life balance (which is already apparently under severe strain) so I bought a hundred NO shares or so. EDIT: Also holding on to Biden NO shares for now and hoping for another bounce after Sunday. Fingers crossed it'll crash again before the Benghazi hearing on the 22nd, though. Combed Thunderclap has issued a correction as of 17:16 on Oct 14, 2015 |
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Oct 14, 2015 17:13
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There is no surer bet than the GOP house loving themselves up at every opportunity. Ryan won't run unless he has full support and there is no chance the freedom caucus goes along with that. Right wing media is already against him and getting more vocal about his amnesty support.
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Oct 14, 2015 17:16
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pathetic little tramp posted:Yeah the speaker market is way too iffy. Paul Ryan might get one of his dead hookers brought up and forced into it and he might be feeling morose over his future presidential aspirations since the current crop of republicans are absolutely poisoning the brand (that poison is loving stark right now after the democrat debate looked to be so much more adult than the republican insanity), but at the same time he seems pretty immune to party machinations. But there's literally no one else who can win unless the 'sensible' side of the republican party decides it's to their benefit to give in to Webster. I'm pretty sure that Webster's district is one of those most likely to flip to a Democratic one after Florida's court ordered redraw. So that would be a hilarious choice that would take advantage of the Speaker not having to be a member in the future.
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Oct 14, 2015 17:27
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EngineerSean posted:The Biden argument When you put it that way... ...you have a point. My mind is bound by logic and the laws of physics. For that matter so is Ryan's brain. I am incapable of grasping the hatred the ultra right wing has for political reality and governing. NO isn't easy money either. I'm sitting this one out. Sold my 60 shares for a total loss of about $4.00.
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Oct 14, 2015 18:38
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The ultra right is perfectly logical when you consider they are incentivized to create as much obstruction as possible
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Oct 14, 2015 18:56
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Zeta Taskforce posted:Sold my 60 shares for a total loss of about $4.00. I'm proud of you. I know I'm some kind of gambling addict because the the hundred dollars I made in four hours last night buying at 50 and selling at 60 is way better than sitting at my desk manipulating numbers and making two hundred an hour. EngineerSean has issued a correction as of 19:28 on Oct 14, 2015 |
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Oct 14, 2015 18:56
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EngineerSean posted:I know I'm some kind of gambling addict because the the hundred dollars I made in four hours last night buying at 50 and selling at 60 is way better than sitting at my desk manipulating numbers and making two hundred an hour. It's really fun, way better than actual gambling because I finally found a reason why I've spent the last decade reading worthless political news. I was just developing instincts.
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Oct 14, 2015 18:59
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Even at 60c Biden No sounds like a good deal. Wish I had deposited more when it was flipping around at 45c.
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Oct 14, 2015 19:38
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I actually sold my entire Biden NO stake for between 50 and 60, I might buy again in the future though.
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Oct 14, 2015 19:40
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EngineerSean posted:I actually sold my entire Biden NO stake for between 50 and 60, I might buy again in the future though. That's a reasonable move, though waiting another 24 hrs or so would probably have made you a good chunk of change more.
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Oct 14, 2015 19:46
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Vox Nihili posted:That's a reasonable move, though waiting another 24 hrs or so would probably have made you a good chunk of change more. Yeah I feel like I play this game a lot. For instance: EngineerSean posted:just sold my first shares of Bidenrun NO at 50, feels good man feels like an idiot when it's 60 six hours later
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Oct 14, 2015 19:47
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EDIT: ^ It's OK! I have the opposite problem, I play pretty conservative and always want to hang on to my shares at all costs. Case in point: Does anyone actually feel like Biden NO is really going to drop in value again? Considering selling my shares as well but having difficulty seeing a scenario where I'll be able to get them in the 30s/40s again.
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Oct 14, 2015 19:50
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Combed Thunderclap posted:EDIT: ^ It's OK! I have the opposite problem, I play pretty conservative and always want to hang on to my shares at all costs. Case in point: Either Biden or the media will need to play him up and build some drama for the big dinner event (name is slipping my mind). Otherwise, all the big Yes boosters are melting down and lots of people look to be cutting losses, which is equivalent to a big No buy order. Solid wall of such orders down to 50c now.
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Oct 14, 2015 19:53
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