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There is a lot of value in the Paul Ryan speaker market right now. NO seems to be pretty undervalued considering he's told the freedom caucus his demands and now they have 2-3 days to hem and haw about it until Friday. There are bound to be some news stories coming that bump up those NO shares.
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Oct 21, 2015 03:46
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nachos posted:There is a lot of value in the Paul Ryan speaker market right now. NO seems to be pretty undervalued considering he's told the freedom caucus his demands and now they have 2-3 days to hem and haw about it until Friday. There are bound to be some news stories coming that bump up those NO shares. This is good advice; if I weren't all tangled up in Biden I'd take it.
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Oct 21, 2015 03:55
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This thread is so much fun 
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Oct 21, 2015 04:36
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Anyone else signed up for Draft Biden emails? Supposedly they're letting supporters know that they need to make a buzz on media and get local politicians to support Biden.
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Oct 21, 2015 05:05
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I just want to establish this rule right now : Whether or not Biden ends up running whoever ends up being right isn't allowed to gloat about it too much. You can gloat a bit though. Just a bit.
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Oct 21, 2015 05:09
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I'm really going to laugh my rear end off if this has all just been the machinations of the Draft Biden guys trying to cajole Joe to run.
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Oct 21, 2015 05:13
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It pretty much has been, yeah. imo. Never ever underestimate grifters with a huge financial interest to grift.
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Oct 21, 2015 05:15
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Gyges posted:I'm really going to laugh my rear end off if this has all just been the machinations of the Draft Biden guys trying to cajole Joe to run. This is my take. I really want to see the language of that email.
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Oct 21, 2015 05:17
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my guess: wednesday's market will wrecking-ball around a lot like monday's market. remember, on monday several talking heads were saying something'd happen within 48hr. predictitors won't forget that. plus, biden's speaking to URI. they're going to shake and bake at every little tweet. because of this, i say sell what you have now and buy low tomorrow. those NO shares will come down to low .20s, high .10s if the swings are anything like monday's. and if you're feeling antsy, still sell and head to the paul ryan market. i guess my point is i don't see the market going above $.32 for the next 8hr. might as well sell and buy NO low.
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Oct 21, 2015 05:29
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I wish I were that attuned; I've been more conservative and will probably just sit on my .38 average.
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Oct 21, 2015 06:03
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Abel Wingnut posted:my guess: wednesday's market will wrecking-ball around a lot like monday's market. remember, on monday several talking heads were saying something'd happen within 48hr. predictitors won't forget that. plus, biden's speaking to URI. they're going to shake and bake at every little tweet. Today's market was weird. Crazy volume that failed to move it in any direction. 80,000 shares traded, which is tons compared to any day except yesterday. Chunks of hundreds or thousands of shares on both sides that were orderly chewed through. I'm not making any predictions other that I will be selling if it goes above 35 and buying below 25, trying not to get in too deep but still having enough skin in the game for a decent payout I just realized that I have cleared $25 after fees in the last week from constantly buying and selling. Which probably works out to $2/hour when I should be doing homework and writing papers.
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Oct 21, 2015 06:07
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As a note: right now is, according to traders, the most reasonable evidence that Biden will run. Not 3 months ago when he actually had a chance and there was a ton of time. Now, after a major debate with two clear front runners. This market is stupid. This is the highest it has been.
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Oct 21, 2015 08:49
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Necc0 posted:I just want to establish this rule right now : Whether or not Biden ends up running whoever ends up being right isn't allowed to gloat about it too much. You can gloat a bit though. Just a bit. Can I gloat extra for having kept the same position for months?
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Oct 21, 2015 10:07
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Jewel Repetition posted:Can I gloat extra for having kept the same position for months? Why don't you ask your spaghetti for answers. 
Tenasscity has issued a correction as of 11:58 on Oct 21, 2015 |
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Oct 21, 2015 11:52
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Stereotype posted:As a note: right now is, according to traders, the most reasonable evidence that Biden will run. Not 3 months ago when he actually had a chance and there was a ton of time. Now, after a major debate with two clear front runners. This market is stupid. This is the highest it has been. what evidence?
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Oct 21, 2015 11:55
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Abel Wingnut posted:my guess: wednesday's market will wrecking-ball around a lot like monday's market. remember, on monday several talking heads were saying something'd happen within 48hr. predictitors won't forget that. plus, biden's speaking to URI. they're going to shake and bake at every little tweet. Alternatively head on over to the Biden as the Democratic nominee market, Biden fans have it down to the low 70s/high 60s. It's a bit longer of a bet, but there really is 0 chance that doesn't go up to the low 80s/mid 90s within a week or two.
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Oct 21, 2015 12:42
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Gyges posted:Alternatively head on over to the Biden as the Democratic nominee market, Biden fans have it down to the low 70s/high 60s. It's a bit longer of a bet, but there really is 0 chance that doesn't go up to the low 80s/mid 90s within a week or two. That's a pretty safe bet and assuming he doesn't announce today, it should go into 80/90 range as early as tomorrow. It's very likely Hillary is going to savage the benghazi committee, especially now that multiple stories about it being a partisan witch hunt have come out. The Biden boys on PredictIt seem to be basing a lot of their logic on Hillary being hurt by these attacks so when she comes out looking like a champ the Biden enthusiasm should go down fast.
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Oct 21, 2015 13:04
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Abel Wingnut posted:what evidence? I think he's saying that YES is at an all time high
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Oct 21, 2015 13:41
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It's been 48 hours since the "he's announcing in 48 hours!" Monday spike and the price is still at a loving dirt cheap 31 cents. This is ridiculous.
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Oct 21, 2015 16:36
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nachos posted:It's been 48 hours since the "he's announcing in 48 hours!" Monday spike and the price is still at a loving dirt cheap 31 cents. This is ridiculous. I might max out if it sticks here much longer. Doubt he'll announce today, though, with the Benghazi stuff going on.
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Oct 21, 2015 16:43
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biden's speaking now...
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Oct 21, 2015 17:11
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Biden YES is tanking!
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Oct 21, 2015 17:13
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Just went past 50c, very tempting to sell now.
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Oct 21, 2015 17:14
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I bailed the moment I saw Biden announcing on Rose Garden with Obama. Slight profit. So it goes.
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Oct 21, 2015 17:16
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I'm watching this now and ready to dump shares at a moment's notice, haha. e: yay for my wallet, boo for Bernie's chances
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Oct 21, 2015 17:17
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NOT RUNNING!
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Oct 21, 2015 17:18
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oooooohhhhh yeeeeeaaaaas
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Oct 21, 2015 17:19
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Haha yesssss. Woke up this morning with a feeling, grabbed 25 shares of Biden No at 32. Shoulda bought more :/
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Oct 21, 2015 17:19
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Predictor is only working in the technical sense on my phone at the moment. Glad I managed to pull most of my sell order off before it sold.
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Oct 21, 2015 17:19
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AARP LARPer has issued a correction as of 01:50 on Jan 23, 2016 |
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Oct 21, 2015 17:20
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AARP LARPer has issued a correction as of 01:50 on Jan 23, 2016 |
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Oct 21, 2015 17:20
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Shoulda maxed, but I'll humbly accept my $1k or so.
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Oct 21, 2015 17:21
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Gyges posted:Predictor is only working in the technical sense on my phone at the moment. Glad I managed to pull most of my sell order off before it sold. Same here. I cancelled my .50 sell order and put in a .97 when I saw he was speaking from the Rose Garden
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Oct 21, 2015 17:21
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Thank you Diamond Joe. I should finally be up from my disastrous string of bets on Fiorina, the Debt Ceiling, and Trump polls.
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Oct 21, 2015 17:22
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Yeah, I was going to try and get in on one more SELL NO buy , but that site crashed quickkkk
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Oct 21, 2015 17:22
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AARP LARPer has issued a correction as of 01:50 on Jan 23, 2016 |
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Oct 21, 2015 17:23
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JohnnyPalace posted:Same here. I cancelled my .50 sell order and put in a .97 when I saw he was speaking from the Rose Garden Ok, dumb question here I'm sure but what's the point of selling at .97 now? Because there's a chance that someone will buy them and you'll get your money sooner?
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Oct 21, 2015 17:23
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hell yeah I'm back in the blackDo Not Resuscitate posted:gently caress me. Welp, here I am. I'm showing up for my well-deserved beating. Bring it on, boys. Didn't you drop your shares after the debate? I thought you switched sides and a newcomer came to take your place.
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Oct 21, 2015 17:24
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This is glorious. Just glorious. PredictIt still crashed, though, robbing me of my well-deserved bounty of those delicious Bidenite tears. Do Not Resuscitate posted:gently caress me. Welp, here I am. I'm showing up for my well-deserved beating. Bring it on, boys. I thought you went to the
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Oct 21, 2015 17:24
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lelandjs posted:Ok, dumb question here I'm sure but what's the point of selling at .97 now? Because there's a chance that someone will buy them and you'll get your money sooner? For the poll ones it's a necessity, since not only might RCP not update at the right time, but PredictIt might pull their results at the wrong time. They've been wrong more than 3% of the time.
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Oct 21, 2015 17:25
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