Register a SA Forums Account here!
JOINING THE SA FORUMS WILL REMOVE THIS BIG AD, THE ANNOYING UNDERLINED ADS, AND STUPID INTERSTITIAL ADS!!!

You can: log in, read the tech support FAQ, or request your lost password. This dumb message (and those ads) will appear on every screen until you register! Get rid of this crap by registering your own SA Forums Account and joining roughly 150,000 Goons, for the one-time price of $9.95! We charge money because it costs us money per month for bills, and since we don't believe in showing ads to our users, we try to make the money back through forum registrations.
 
  • Post
  • Reply
punk rebel ecks
Dec 11, 2010

A shitty post? This calls for a dance of deduction.
^^^I have to admit, that wasn't as bad as I was expecting.

Adbot
ADBOT LOVES YOU

Kurtofan
Feb 16, 2011

hon hon hon
They even got a guy with the same name, wow.

How did they hijack this party (Min Unidad) by the way? I read that they used to be an opposition party?

Labradoodle
Nov 24, 2011

Crax daubentoni

Kurtofan posted:

They even got a guy with the same name, wow.

How did they hijack this party (Min Unidad) by the way? I read that they used to be an opposition party?

The Supreme Court gave a ruling to suspend its board of directors and replaced them with new figures. They also did the same with the COPEI party a few months back.

Chuck Boone
Feb 12, 2009

El Turpial
The international war against the Bolivarian revolution continued unabated today as DEA agents arrested two of Cilia Flores' relatives in Haiti after they allegedly conspired to smuggle 800 kilograms of cocaine into the United States. Cilia Flores is the First Lady.

The two men were arrested on Tuesday and were scheduled to appear at a court in New York City today. The two men appear to be Cilia's nephews, but she raised one of them as her own child.

Adventure Pigeon
Nov 8, 2005

I am a master storyteller.

Chuck Boone posted:

The international war against the Bolivarian revolution continued unabated today as DEA agents arrested two of Cilia Flores' relatives in Haiti after they allegedly conspired to smuggle 800 kilograms of cocaine into the United States. Cilia Flores is the First Lady.

The two men were arrested on Tuesday and were scheduled to appear at a court in New York City today. The two men appear to be Cilia's nephews, but she raised one of them as her own child.

I read these guys have diplomatic passports. Any chance they can use that to get out of this mess? Either way, it's funny and sad to see connected people like that get arrested.

Labradoodle
Nov 24, 2011

Crax daubentoni

Adventure Pigeon posted:

I read these guys have diplomatic passports. Any chance they can use that to get out of this mess? Either way, it's funny and sad to see connected people like that get arrested.

From what I understand, having a diplomatic passport doesn't automatically grant you immunity in the sense a diplomatic post would. The american courts don't seem to be dragging their feet either:



The government hasn't commented in any official manner regarding the arrests so far and most national newspapers have omitted mentions of the topic. What makes this more ridiculous is that the Flores family is notorious for their nepotism in the government, you can't throw a freaking stone in the center of Caracas without hitting a Flores second cousin with some cushy title, but the First Lady's "son" is relegated to making drug deals? Hot drat.

Labradoodle fucked around with this message at 21:36 on Nov 12, 2015

Chuck Boone
Feb 12, 2009

El Turpial

Labradoodle posted:

What makes this more ridiculous is that the Flores family is notorious for their nepotism in the government, you can't throw a freaking in the center of Caracas without hitting a Flores second cousin with some cushy title, but the First Lady's "son" is relegated to making drug deals? Hot drat.

Just a couple of bad apples, I'm sure. There's absolutely no evidence of any widespread corruption or previous allegations of drug trafficking at the highest levels of the Venezuelan government to put these events into context.

While the national government (namely Maduro, Cilia, and Cabello) have been silent on the issue, a PSUV National Assembly deputy named Earle Herrera spoke yesterday on the case and gave Venezuelanalysis a run for its money:

quote:

This week, big international media outlets have made defamatory allegations against the national executive as part of a dirty media war against Venezuela. The media has risen up as they look to the December 6 [election] (...) The Secretary General of the Organization of American States has spoken out against the National Electoral Council. At the same time, the head of the Southern Command from the United States government, along with European deputies [sic]. Yesterday, international infamy arose against the family of the primera combatiente [literally, "First Fighter"; meaning, "First Lady"], Cilia Flores, and the President of the Republic.

He pointed out that what's happening with Cilia Flores is similar to what happened to Diosdado Cabello earlier this year with the allegations of his involvement in drug trafficking insofar as they're both obvious cases of international media assaults against Venezuela.

Here's the full indictment.

Chuck Boone
Feb 12, 2009

El Turpial
It's been a week since Cilia Flores' nephews were arrested by DEA agents for allegedly looking to smuggle 800 kilograms of cocaine into the United States, and the Venezuelan government hasn't said a single official word about it. Efrain and Francisco Flores had a hearing scheduled for this week, but it's been adjourned until December 2. They're being held at the Metropolitan Correctional Centre in New York City.

The highest-ranking PSUV official to address the news is Diosdado Cabello, who has spoken to the media about it at least twice over the last week. Earlier this week he gave an interview to Globovision where he was asked why there has been no official comment on the story. His theory is that the DEA kidnapped the two men. This is what he said:

quote:

I think that they’re waiting for some concrete information on the issue. Imagine: you have a family member who goes on a trip and is kidnapped and taken to the United States. What information can you give out? I imagine that there is a group of lawyers looking for information so that they can be sure.
(...)
This is a common DEA practice, what took place. It’s the world’s biggest drug trafficking organization (…) this case is a plot to damage the revolution during an electoral campaign. I think that we all know President Maduro and Cilia Flores here in Venezuela, and not just recently but from many years ago. There are no doubts about their integrity and their honesty — never, never, there’s nothing. The people don’t believe lies. We won’t stop because of this.

The parliamentary elections are just over two weeks away and the situation on the ground appears to be - to put it mildly - less-than-ideal if you're a supporter of the democratic process.

Earlier this week, Maduro made some threatening comments on television regarding the elections. He said that the opposition should start to pray that the PSUV wins on December 6, or the PSUV and its supporters would take to the streets "like fire". Here's the video and my translation below: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zxguat-ath0

quote:

Maduro: … if we let them. If they dare to, in that horror movie, we turn off their televisions, and we know how to do that. Those who understand well need few words. Right wing oligarchs: start praying for the revolution to win on December 6. Start praying for peace and calm so that you can be rid of this. And if not, we’ll take to the streets, and we’re like fire [unintelligible] on the streets, you hear? It’s better if we all stay here governing the people happily – pensions for the old folks, homes for the people, public education, and the revolution continues, right? The horror chapter is finished – I’m sorry.

I've read some commentators who are looking at this as a really desperate, bold-faced attempt at thuggish intimidation because Maduro knows the PSUV is going to lose if people turn out to vote. In other words, Maduro's saying, "don't vote for the opposition or else".

Yesterday, Lilian Tintori (Leopoldo Lopez's wife) was going to attend a political rally in Cojedes state, but the SUV she was in was blocked from making it by a crowd of PSUV supporters. Cilia Flores is running for a seat in the National Assembly in Cojedes, and Tintori believes that she might be at least partially responsible for the events. There were also security forces nearby that did not interfere in the event. Here's the video along with my translation below: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=INfvK44MA34

quote:

Crowd: Chanting "Leave! Leave!"
Man Riding Shotgun: Back up. Back up. Don't go forward. Just back up like you normally would, and Mariana, record everything..
Woman (likely Tintori): Cilia Flores sent them.
Man Riding Shotgun: And the SEBIN [police] people are out there, and [unintelligible]. Keep backing up. We're not leaving because we want to. They're kicking us out. I mean -- they're intimidating us.
Man in Sunglasses: Move it! Move it! Turn it around, dude! Turn it around, you cocksucker!
Man Riding Shotgun: Now you can turn around.
Man in Sunglasses: Turn around, you cocksucker! Murderer! Get out of here!
Tintori: And the SEBIN did nothing.

TIntori said that some of the people in the crowd were armed, but I couldn't see anyone in the video carrying a weapon.

Finally, earlier this week someone whipped a basketball at Maduro's direction during a televised speech. I'm not sure that he was the target of the airborne assault, but it was a close call: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Q8Rwj0yQeG0

quote:

Maduro: … I swear it before our people. It’s a personal promise with Commander Chavez’s legacy and the people. We’re going to reach the 3 millionth home — [basketball whizzes by] — ah! that’s true, look. Where’s the ball? Look, it’s true.

Borneo Jimmy
Feb 27, 2007

by Smythe
Glenn Greenwald's just published a really good in depth article on the NSA spying on PDVSA
https://theintercept.com/2015/11/18/overwhelmed-nsa-surprised-to-discover-its-own-surveillance-goldmine-on-venezuelas-oil-executives

quote:

A TOP-SECRET NATIONAL SECURITY AGENCY DOCUMENT, dated 2011, describes how, by “sheer luck,” an analyst was able to access the communications of top officials of Venezuela’s state-owned oil company, Petróleos de Venezuela.

Beyond the issue of spying on a business, the document highlights a significant flaw in mass surveillance programs: how indiscriminate collection can blind rather than illuminate. It also illustrates the technical and bureaucratic ease with which NSA analysts are able to access the digital communications of certain foreign targets.

The document, provided by NSA whistleblower Edward Snowden, is a March 23, 2011, article in the NSA’s internal newsletter, SIDtoday. It is written by a signals development analyst who recounts how, in addition to luck, he engaged in a “ton of hard work” to discover that the NSA had obtained access to vast amounts of Petróleos de Venezuela’s internal communications, apparently without anyone at the NSA having previously noticed this surveillance “goldmine.”

That the NSA, unbeknownst to itself, was collecting sensitive communications of top Venezuelan oil officials demonstrates one of the hazards of mass surveillance: The agency collects so much communications data from around the world that it often fails to realize what it has. That is why many surveillance experts contend that mass surveillance makes it harder to detect terrorist plots as compared to an approach of targeted surveillance: An agency that collects billions of communications events daily will fail to understand the significance of what it possesses.

This newest revelation of NSA spying, reported as part of The Intercept’s partnership with teleSUR, comes just weeks after the Wall Street Journal reported that the U.S. government has launched “a series of wide-ranging investigations” into alleged corruption at Petróleos de Venezuela, or PDVSA. That the NSA had obtained access to the electronic communications networks of key PDVSA officials raises the question of whether the agency’s spying has secretly aided the criminal investigations into corruption as well as other government actions targeting the company.

Access to these official PDVSA communications came at a critical moment in U.S.-Venezuela relations, which have been fraught since Hugo Chávez was first elected president in 1998 and particularly since a failed 2002 coup attempt by U.S.-funded groups. Two months after the discovery of this spying access, the U.S. State Department announced the imposition of economic sanctions against PDVSA, accusing the company of trading with Iran in violation of unilateral U.S. restrictions.

At the time, Venezuela was also confronting multibillion-dollar arbitration cases in international tribunals filed by U.S. oil giants Exxon Mobil and ConocoPhillips. The companies claim the Chávez government illegally expropriated large-scale drilling operations in the Orinoco oil belt and handed them over to PDVSA subsidiaries without just compensation.

The NSA analyst who stumbled into this access began his investigation inauspiciously. As he recounts, he opened PDVSA’s website in a browser and wrote down the names of the company’s leaders. He then simply plugged those names into a handful of internal NSA tools and databases such as CADENCE, UTT and PINWALE.

He quickly compiled an enormous cache of valuable leads: over 10,000 employee information forms containing email addresses, phone numbers, and other identifying details — information that could be used to retrieve communications stored in the agency’s huge databases and for future targeting. The analyst also obtained 900 username and password combinations, which he handed off to the NSA’s top hacking team, Tailored Access Operations, to penetrate the company’s network and infect its leadership’s computers with malware.

“By sheer luck, (and a ton of hard work) I discovered an important new access to an existing target and am working with TAO to leverage a new mission capability,” he wrote.

Prior to this breakthrough, the NSA’s spying efforts against Venezuelan energy operations were producing very little fruit, but not for lack of interest. Petroleum represents “more than half of all government revenues,” wrote the analyst, and thus, “to understand PDVSA is to understand the economic heart of Venezuela.” But a 2010 review showed that collection had gone “stagnant.”

One “telltale sign” that the NSA was failing on this target set, he said, was that “most reporting was coming from warranted collection.” That likely meant that the only surveillance the NSA was able to exploit was coming from communications transiting U.S. soil, which would require a secret warrant from the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Court.

To ratchet up warrantless surveillance, the analyst decided to rebuild the collection strategy from scratch, running what he called a “target reboot” in search of “information at the highest possible levels” of PDVSA: “namely, the president and members of the Board of Directors.”

The analyst initially searched for those names in PINWALE, the NSA’s database of digital communications that have been automatically culled from the massive flows of intercepted data using a dictionary of search terms, or “targeting selectors,” including email addresses, IP addresses and user IDs.

This produced few emails from PDVSA’s leaders, but the 10,000 employee contact profiles, included those of PDVSA’s then-president, Rafael Dario Ramírez, and former company vice president Luis Felipe Vierma Pérez. “Now, even my old eyes could see that these things were a goldmine of valid selectors,” the analyst wrote, full of previously unmonitored “work, home, and cell phones, email addresses, LOTS!” In other words, the analyst had uncovered another set of leads to run against larger NSA data sets.

Later, the analyst gleefully realized that these profiles were not available on the public web. They were all being served to private IP addresses. “WTHeck??? Yep, seems I had been looking at internal PDVSA comms all this time!!!”

Accessing a foreign private network is often technically challenging but bureaucratically simple by NSA standards, requiring low levels of internal review and legal authority. For a target such as an oil company, internal communications are the most valuable intelligence resource possible.

“It’s interesting that the analyst ‘discovered’” access to internal PDVSA communications, Matthew Green, a professor at the Johns Hopkins Information Security Institute, wrote in an email to The Intercept after reviewing the document. The word “discovered” suggests that the NSA either “didn’t realize” it was collecting on this important source or there was an internal communications failure. The NSA possesses the equivalent of “a very ugly version of Google with half the world’s information in it” and a plethora of automated tools to exploit it, said Green, but “an analyst has to occasionally step in and manually dig through the data” to find the treasures hiding in plain sight.

“They’re capturing so much information from their cable taps that even the NSA analysts don’t know what they’ve got,” he added.

Petroleum has long defined U.S. government and corporate interest in Venezuela, which possesses the largest proven reserves in the world. In a 1974 State Department cable, then-U.S. Ambassador Robert McClintock wrote: “As a principal supplier of oil and iron ore to the U.S., as a major trading partner and host to a large U.S. private investment, Venezuela is fa[r] too important to allow us to drift into an adversary relationship.”

Two years later, Venezuela would nationalize its oil reserves, but U.S. interests continued to be served for decades by a series of U.S.-friendly, U.S.-supported right-wing governments. That all changed when Hugo Chávez swept into the presidency in 1998 on a populist mandate and began to change the decadeslong status quo.

“Along comes Chávez and closes the loopholes in the 1976 nationalization law and alters the nature of the relations between the state and the foreign companies,” Miguel Tinker Salas, historian of Venezuela’s oil industry at Pomona College, told The Intercept.

Washington viewed the Chávez government as an economic and political threat that derived its power from petrodollars. According to a 2009 State Department cable released by WikiLeaks, “PDVSA funds and runs the revolution.”

Previous Snowden revelations show that PDVSA is not the only major petroleum company to be targeted for economic espionage. Brazil’s government-controlled oil company, Petrobras, as well as its ministerial overseer, the Ministry of Mines and Energy, were targeted by the NSA and Canada’s CSEC, respectively, according to documents published by TV Globo in 2013. Russia’s Gazprom was also listed as a “target.” Intelligence reporting on oil in Venezuela is referenced in a 2013 presentation detailing the NSA’s PRISM program.

Prior to the Petrobras revelation, an NSA spokesperson told the Washington Post, “The [defense] department does ***not*** engage in economic espionage in any domain, including cyber” (emphasis in the original).

After the Globo story, Director of National Intelligence James Clapper significantly narrowed that broad claim. In a statement, he acknowledged that the United States does conduct economic espionage: “It is not a secret that the Intelligence Community collects information about economic and financial matters, and terrorist financing.”

But Clapper denied such intelligence is used to directly benefit U.S. corporations. “What we do not do, as we have said many times, is use our foreign intelligence capabilities to steal the trade secrets of foreign companies on behalf of — or give intelligence we collect to — U.S. companies to enhance their international competitiveness or increase their bottom line,” Clapper said.

Subsequent to the PDVSA “target reboot,” the U.S. executive branch has undertaken multiple actions — including sanctions against the state-run company in 2011, a money-laundering finding and an executive order, both in March 2015, and multiple reported corruption investigations — putting additional economic and reputational pressure on a company already squeezed by low global oil prices and protracted court battles with U.S. oil majors.

According to Tinker Salas, the Pomona professor, “It is difficult to imagine that the [U.S.] sanctions and the ongoing dispute with Exxon are not connected.”

In the lead-up to next month’s legislative elections, U.S. actions against the Venezuelan government have amounted to a “full-court press,” Mark Weisbrot, co-director of the Center for Economic and Policy Research, told The Intercept. “In recent months, Washington has been campaigning to de-legitimize the Venezuelan election, with leaks and even indictments from the Justice Department and DEA.”

On November 10, weeks before Venezuela’s national elections, DEA officials arrested two relatives of President Nicolas Maduro, who were indicted for allegedly conspiring to traffic cocaine to the United States.

Anonymous government officials told the New York Times last year that defendants in U.S. courts “have no right to know” if warrantless NSA surveillance collected abroad was used to build the case against them.

President Maduro said last month that he will file a lawsuit in the U.S. to challenge the executive order against his country.

The U.S. Justice Department did not respond to requests for comment from The Intercept.

PDVSA and Venezuelan government officials declined to comment for this story, as did the NSA.

Azran
Sep 3, 2012

And what should one do to be remembered?
I think Maduro & co. are doing more than enough on their own to de-legitimize the elections, no need for outside help.

M. Discordia
Apr 30, 2003

by Smythe
Given that Venezuela is an authoritarian narcostate in league with terrorists and every dictatorship on the planet, I sure hope that the Obama administration is doing everything it can to gather intelligence on its state institutions and protect the free world from its influence. I am glad to see these reports of the U.S. government doing exactly what it ought to be doing. The sort of birther conspiracy theorists who expect otherwise will be sorely disappointed.

Chuck Boone
Feb 12, 2009

El Turpial
The NSA spying thing is interesting. The leaked document is here. Maduro said that he was going to re-evaluate Venezuela's relations with the United States over the leak.

Spain's ABC cited an anonymous DEA agent yesterday as saying that the Presidential Honour Guard escorted the Flores cousins on their drug smuggling trip to Haiti last week. Cilia Flores raised Efrain as her own child, and he is in fact Maduro's stepson. Since the Presidential Guard provide security services for the President and his family, the story is plausible. The same source told the newspaper that Runway No. 4 at the Simon Bolivar International Airport is reserved exclusively for the President, but that planes carrying drugs routinely fly from it since cargo isn't checked. The pilot of the private jet that flew the men to Haiti is an active duty Lt. Col. in the Venezuelan Air Force.

A lot of the stuff that's been happening over the last year and a half or so is really starting to click in. The NSA spying on PDVSA starting at least in 2012; then, last year, Hugo Carvajal gets arrested in Aruba on drug trafficking charges. Maduro has a fit and pressures the government of Aruba to release him, which it does. Carvajal was linked to bank accounts in Andorra through a firm he's connected to, and then earlier this year we learn that the Banca Privada D'Andorra is suspected of having laundered over a billion dollars for PDVSA, some of it allegedly drug money. A few months ago, Diosdado Cabello gets on a plane out of the blue and flies to Haiti, where he meets with high-level US officials to talk about who knows what. Now, the Flores cousins get arrested in Haiti trying to smuggle 800 kg worth of cocaine into the US... :tinfoil: there's a movie in here somewhere.

Adventure Pigeon
Nov 8, 2005

I am a master storyteller.
So what day do elections start? I'm crossing my fingers they go well for you guys, but I'm pretty worried from all that's been said.

Borneo Jimmy
Feb 27, 2007

by Smythe
Regarding those arrests
http://www.telesurtv.net/english/news/Venezuela-Condemns-Irregularities-in-DEA-Arrest-of-Venezuelans-20151117-0001.html

quote:

Some media outlets falsely claimed that 800 kilos of drugs were found on the plane, however Haitian government officials later denied the claim. A DEA official who participated in the arrest told CNN that the pair were arrested over allegations that they were in Haiti to finalize a deal to import that quantity of drugs to the United States.

The other 4 individuals traveling on the plane were released without charge and the plane was allowed to return to Venezuela.

Cabello questioned why the DEA would allow the plane, associated with alleged drug trafficking, to be released. That only two people were ultimately arrested led the president of the National Assembly to classify the detention as a kidnapping.

The two individuals arrested are said to be the nephews of Cilia Flores, the wife of Venezuelan President Maduro. However, White House spokesperson Josh Earnest could not confirm they were in fact connected to Venezuela's first family.

After the two men were arrested, some international media reported on Friday that authorities raided a house and yacht in La Romana, Dominican Republic, that allegedly belonged to the Flores family.

However, the Dominican national drug control agency dismissed the claims as “speculation,” saying there was no official information to suggest the house and yacht were property of the Flores family. The Dominican anti-drug agency also confirmed that the raid happened the day before the two men were arrested, even though the event was only reported and linked to the family days later.

Tania Diaz, a candidate for the upcoming Venezuelan legislative elections for the ruling socialist party said the media coverage of the arrest was part of an orchestrated campaign to influence the country’s upcoming Dec. 6 elections. The two men arrested appeared in court in New York last Thursday and must appear again on Wednesday.

Borneo Jimmy fucked around with this message at 00:59 on Nov 21, 2015

Chuck Boone
Feb 12, 2009

El Turpial

Adventure Pigeon posted:

So what day do elections start? I'm crossing my fingers they go well for you guys, but I'm pretty worried from all that's been said.

The elections will take place on Sunday, December 6. Thanks for the thoughts - I don't think I'll be able to sleep that night.

Polls have been showing Maduro's popularity at around the 20-25% mark for the whole year, and with two weeks left before the election polls are showing the opposition bloc with a ~35% lead over the PSUV. In previous election, when the gap between the two sides wasn't as big, fraud was easier to swallow. But if the CNE announces that the PSUV wins on December 6 -- how do you reconcile that with the reality on the ground?

I was talking to my cousin about this recently, and he brought up a good point. He thinks that as bad as losing the National Assembly would be for the PSUV, this probably isn't where they're going to make their last stand. Even without the National Assembly, the PSUV would have the presidency, plus all of the influence they've built up over the years on the military, the judiciary, and other public institutions. In other words, this probably isn't a "do or die" moment for them. In fact, some factions inside the PSUV might even be better served by an opposition win. Someone like Diosdado Cabello might see a defeat on December 6 as the catalyst he needs to challenge Maduro for leadership.

Chuck Boone fucked around with this message at 01:26 on Nov 21, 2015

Chuck Boone
Feb 12, 2009

El Turpial
We are officially two weeks away from the election!

Today, a National Assembly candidate for the opposition named Miguel Pizarro held a rally in the Jose Felix Ribas area of Caracas. At some point during the rally, a colectivo armado [pro-government armed group] showed up on motorcycles. Many of the men in the group wore PSUV shirts, and more than a couple were armed. The men fired into the air and forced the rally to break up. Here's a quick video showing the colectivo in action, with a focus on a hooded man carrying a submachine gun: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=V7BiDy8YmNg

In the picture below, the same man can be seen with a clearer view of his firearm:



In the pictures below, a hooded man in a PSUV shirt holds and aims his weapon:







The picture below shows three weapons being discharged (two in the middle, one on the right):



If you're interested in colectivos armados, the Amnesty International and Human Rights Watch documents I linked in the OP have lots of information on their role in the protests last year. They were often seen operating side-by-side with official security forces.

Borneo Jimmy
Feb 27, 2007

by Smythe
Here's an interesting article on the upcoming elections.
https://indypendent.org/2015/11/11/venezuela-impasse

quote:

SANTA ELENA DE UAIREN, Venezuela — It used to be that to learn about Venezuela’s socialist revolution, the reporting of prominent U.S. newspapers would be about as useful as a solitary photo negative; reduced to light and dark, good and evil, the colors would appear reversed, and the chronology of struggle quietly absent.

But while the undertones of doom have been present for over a decade, this year’s 159 percent inflation rate, according to the International Monetary Fund, and a 10 percent decline in the nation’s gross domestic product have raised serious questions about the impact of the economic crisis on ordinary Venezuelans and in turn on the government’s ability to maintain popular support.

It’s true, the economy is shot. In the past year, oil prices tumbled from $105 per barrel to under $50, cutting the country’s foreign earnings by half. A battered exchange system and booming illegal market has seen the Venezuelan bolívar devalued to the point that the monthly minimum wage was on par with a 36-pack of diapers or a few kilos of dried beans, until President Nicolas Maduro doubled it on October 15.

Car parts are hard to find and vehicles languish in backyards, and between patchy imports and the widespread hoarding and reselling of food by vendors called bachaqueros — a reference to leafcutter ants — scarcity has made grocery lists a fool’s errand.

Despite the best efforts of the state media apparatus — which is in full campaign mode for the December 6 congressional elections — to ignore these realities, it’s impossible not to witness them on the ground.

Across the country, the streets buzz with numbers as friends and strangers compete with stories of outrageous prices: “1,800 bolívars for a kilo of lentils!” “I paid 600 bolos for the taxi home!”

The official exchange rate for the bolívar has remained at 6.3 to one U.S. dollar since February 2013, but its black market value has tumbled from 110 to the dollar in October 2014 to the current rate of 820.

An Invisible Catch-22

Bachaqueo has mutated into an invincible catch-22, as many wage-earning families make ends meet with profits from illegal sales while simultaneously driving the cycle of inflation with their cutthroat prices. Meanwhile, as more people get in on the business, the lines outside supermarkets with low, government-regulated prices grow ever longer with hardly anyone buying for themselves.

Yet the telling difference between Chavista complaints and those of the opposition is that the former analyze causes, starting with the country’s invariable dependency on oil revenue and a “fast money culture” fomented by the illegal market. For the latter, a tirade of insults against Hugo Chávez, Fidel Castro and Mao Zedong suffices.

The government favors a simplistic defense, accusing the private business sector of sabotage. The Central Bank has avoided releasing any official data on inflation since last year, on the grounds that the country is at war.

Meanwhile, the media chorus against Venezuela has only gotten louder since the March 2013 death of Chávez, the country’s charismatic leader, and the ascension of Maduro, his hand-picked successor. Wall Street seizes every opportunity to forecast default, driving up the interest on Venezuelan bonds. Leading companies have ceased production, either from a lack of imported dollars or as an act of deliberate subversion.

Since the government instituted a three-tiered foreign exchange system in 2003, there have been phantom importers manipulating the system, resulting in an accumulated $300 billion in capital flight. The manipulations also contributed to scarcity, as many of the items being imported on paper were never actually brought into the country.

Over the years, the buying and selling of subsidized U.S. dollars on the illegal market became the most profitable business in the country, undermining both the program’s intent and the national currency.

But are the government’s hands tied? Victor Alvarez, an economist and former minister under Chávez, estimated in May that “70 percent [of scarcity and speculation] is due to depletions, deviations and errors in economic policy, while 30 percent is caused by opposing sectors who play at destabilization.”

According to Alvarez, currency controls were set in place as a “temporary measure” to reduce dollar dependency, but the government had no “justifiable reason” to maintain them beyond 2006.

Today, the U.S.-based currency-tracking website DolarToday holds the bolívar in a vise. Its publishers can set off rounds of inflation just by raising the price of the black market dollar on a whim, claiming all the while that their calculations reflect the “objective street rate.”

Earlier this year, in an attempt to undercut the black market, the government launched Simadi, a free-floating rate starting at 172 bolívars to the dollar. At the time the black market rate was 185.

In the weeks following, DolarToday drove the black market rate out of reach, effectively neutralizing Simadi.

On October 23, the Central Bank filed a lawsuit in the United States against DolarToday for cyberterrorism, demanding that it be made illegal for the site to publish unofficial exchange rates and suing for damages.

While many Venezuelans support the case against the website, leftist critics generally accuse the government of putting more energy into blaming the opposition than into fixing the problems at hand. The lack of official economic data has further alienated Venezuelans who are struggling with inflated prices and don’t see the state corroborating their experience.

Concrete Solutions

However, in the void left by Maduro’s inaction, grassroots activists have turned inwards and begun to seek concrete solutions.

With the help of key ministries that continue to grant money to social movements, these activists have become the motor for a renaissance of small-scale production in this oil-dependent nation.

In Guatire, a working-class suburb of the capital city of Caracas, Alejandro Baiz, a young filmmaker, and a group of volunteers have received funding from the Communes and Housing Ministries to remake an abandoned lot into a center of social production called Territorio Caribe.

The space now boasts greenhouses where local children learn about urban farming, a community news station and an educational space that offers classes on everything from carpentry to natural childbirth.

The Communes Ministry supports Venezuelans in creating autonomous socialist collectives that emphasize self-sufficiency and self-governance, in accordance with Chávez’s dream of gradually replacing the bourgeois state with a communal state. Thousands of these collectives are registered across the country, with the more prolific examples focusing on permaculture and participatory democracy.

“We’re not trying to change the world, only create an alternative from our immediate possibilities,” Baiz explains.


If bachaqueros are the foot soldiers of the economic war, Alejandro and his crew of around 70 volunteers meet them on the proverbial battlefield. By producing homemade soaps, deodorants and shampoos, the people at Territorio Caribe are bringing their communities products most commonly monopolized by bachaqueros.

By selling arepa flour made from yucca, plantain and taro, they are providing a local alternative to the Harina P.A.N. corn flour produced monopolistically by Empresas Polar, Venezuela’s largest private corporation.

Farther from the city lights, Gabriel Garcia, 55, keeps busy organizing against genetically modified seeds with help from the Communes Ministry.

Born and raised on the fertile land of Lara State, Gabriel is behind Venezuela’s decade-old National Campesino Seed Day and the trailblazing International Seed Forum in 2012 to protect organic seeds native to the Americas.

“But it’s not all talking,” promises Gabriel. “We put it in practice, we grow our own food out back. We keep seed banks and make sure they are available to growers.”

Even with the extra labor involved in organic farming, Gabriel says, all-natural and communally grown produce can be even cheaper than conventional counterparts when the high cost of imported agrochemicals and extensive distribution chains are factored in.

Lara has more communes than any other state and a long tradition of subsistence farming. That has, to some extent, protected the region from food scarcity. With government support, the local communes are currently building
defenses against speculation by seeking ways to distribute goods in the state capital of Barquisimeto without intermediaries.


“We’ve seen more clearly than anyone that the best way to combat the economic war is by producing, by growing, wherever there is free space,” Gabriel insists.

But if the revolution loses the next elections, he warned, free space may be harder to come by.

“Landowners and cattle herders, these people have tremendous power and are looking to regain their empire,” he said, recalling the segregated and exclusive countryside that existed before Chávez’s 1999 constitutional reforms outlawed large rural landholdings.

Upcoming Elections

The international media has hailed the December 6 elections for the National Assembly as a plebiscite on Maduro, but it is highly unlikely that the opposition will win with a majority wide enough to alter the government agenda. A two-thirds majority is needed to revise constitutional law or petition the Supreme Court for presidential impeachment. A three-quarters majority would be required to remove the vice-president or ministers from office.

A poll conducted by the Caracas-based firm Hinterlaces in July saw 67 percent of Venezuelans agree that the opposition garners votes “because of the discontent in the country, but does not have popular backing.”

Aside from a pervasive anti-Chavista sentiment, the opposition coalition MUD (Democratic Unity Roundtable) is composed of a wide range of parties from reactionary to liberal reformist, with no clear leader nor ideological goals to bring them together.

Currently, a pro-government coalition holds just under two-thirds of the 165 congressional seats.

For Rodrigo Acosta, a Chilean muralist whose family fled the military dictatorship of Augusto Pinochet in 1984 only to settle in Venezuela during the neoliberal era that preceded Chávez, an opposition win would mean disaster.

Harkening back to Salvador Allende’s brief socialist reign in Chile during the early 1970s, Acosta recalls the rightwing congressional majority that blocked every initiative proposed by Allende’s party.

“We have to prepare ourselves to resist,” Acosta says, while clarifying that resistance from here onward should come “from within the organized
commune.”


Now a longtime resident of the Andean city of Merida, Acosta is part of a vibrant campaign that aims to revive Chavista spirit around the country.

Conceived from a symposium of artists from Bolivia, Argentina, Brazil, Peru and Colombia, the campaign flooded social media recently with evocative
designs of anatomical hearts and veins intertwining across Latin America.

The beating heart is a reminder of “the deep sentiment that still unites us,” Acosta says.

In the past few years, many Chavistas have experienced a “crisis of morale,” he broods. It’s a collective exhaustion that “comes from seeing many of the revolution’s achievements be abandoned and uncared for.”

The goal is to remind people of their role in Venezuela’s participatory democracy, and to echo Chávez’s parting advice to work together toward a communal state.

“We can’t leave everything to the administration, we can’t sit and wait for a solution,” Acosta avows.

Still, as far as the economy is concerned, there’s little indication of when the hard times will end. Many professionals and young artists have left the country in search of better opportunities, leaving devastating gaps in public services. Crime has risen across the board, causing security forces to focus their efforts on blitzes and raids against urban gangs, while the state appears unable to curb petty crime such as bachaqueo, even despite strict new laws.

The 2016 budget was unveiled in October with emphasis on diversified trade and punctual debt payments, but with imports dropping, many economists have questioned this approach. And according to budget documents provided to Reuters, the official exchange rate of 6.3 will be carried into the coming year, making it unlikely that the illegal market will be weakened.

Venezuela’s social movements have a history of confronting adversity, but 17 years into the Bolivarian Revolution, the epoch of high-minded ideas bolstered by abundant resources is long gone.

The difference will be made in Venezuela by those who see opportunity in its absence, not the opportunity to profiteer and drive the economy further downward, but the possibility of regeneration.

Good to see the collective actively organizing and providing concrete solutions to the economic crisis.

Vincent Van Goatse
Nov 8, 2006

Enjoy every sandwich.

Smellrose

Borneo Jimmy posted:


You are a shameful human being.

Woolie Wool
Jun 2, 2006


Someone just get rid of him already.

Chuck Boone
Feb 12, 2009

El Turpial
There is an article in El Nacional today that says that lack of foreign exchange and raw materials has resulted in a 65% decrease in food production in the country for 2015.

The article cites an economist named Tomas Socias who specializes in supply, and he blames the the government's currency exchange and price regulations policies for the crisis. He said:

quote:

These regulations are not a new thing. They existed in previous governments, but they were frequently revised. A product never retained its price for three years, for example, as we see today. Even though presidents before Chavez also controlled foreign currencies in the country, companies could always count on the dollars they needed to maintain operations.

Socias said that approximately 40% of all factories in the food sector are idle as a result of the government's inability to provide them with the currency they need to import raw materials for production.

Empresas Polar, the largest food producer in the country, has been hit hard by the government's policies. The article cites the fact that the company's plants in Carabobo state have halted production recently due to to lack of money/raw materials. The same article claims that Heinz factories in the country were idle for at least 1 week in November for the same reasons, while a Kraft factory that makes mayonnaise has been operating at 50% due to lack of oil.

That the Venezuelan government has been hostile to private business is something that we already knew. Earlier this year, the government expropriate the largest food distribution centre servicing Caracas, located in La Yaguara - which contained warehouses belonging to Polar and Pepsi - so that it could demolish it to build homes.

A central piece of the mythos Maduro and the PSUV are pushing is that private industry is deliberately shutting down production or hoarding products in order to overthrow the government. On Saturday, Maduro spoke at an event in La Guaira and addressed Lorenzo Mendoza - the CEO of Empresas Polar - directly, saying:

quote:

A little birdie told me that they were at a meeting with the pelucon del diablo [a derogatory term that means something like “aristocrat from hell”, referring to Mendoza], and he was pulling his hair like he was crazy because he didn’t understand all of the evil that he has done, hiding all the products from the people and charging whatever he wants for them. Well, after December 6 you will lose everything, pelucon del diablo. After December 6 you and I will face off, pelucon del diablo. I’m waiting for you after December 6, face to face, coward. Coward!

Labradoodle
Nov 24, 2011

Crax daubentoni
For a recent example of how regulations affect supply, we have eggs. A few weeks ago eggs could be bought for approximately Bs1200 per carton, making them quite expensive (around 1/15 of a monthly minimum wage) but they could be found everywhere, no one was queuing for eggs.

Egg producers had been transparent about their cost structure, making it clear the high price tag passed on to customers wasn't a whim, but a necessity in order to keep production going. In a fit of pandering, the government decided a carton should cost no more than Bs420 and threatened all producers and store owners with heavy fines if they chose to disobey and the result was that in a matter of a couple of weeks, you can't find a single loving egg anywhere.

Eggs were one of the few cheap sources of protein that could still be found with ease, since beans and meat are already heavily regulated. Just like that, an entire industry runs the risk of disappearing because a bunch of idiots skipped Econ 101.

Azran
Sep 3, 2012

And what should one do to be remembered?
I love how Maduro comes across as totally deranged whenever he speaks in public.

Constant Hamprince
Oct 24, 2010

by exmarx
College Slice

ALL-PRO SEXMAN posted:

You are a shameful human being.

More of a shameful RSS feed at this point.

Crowsbeak
Oct 9, 2012

by Azathoth
Lipstick Apathy

How dare the US spy on foreign governments and their organizations! Especially if it is in conflict with them.

Chuck Boone
Feb 12, 2009

El Turpial
There's a video making the rounds on social media of a woman walking through a chicken farm and describing how the scarcity crisis has left her with no food for her chickens. Here's the link along with my translation below: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YI6zjjwsb3Q

quote:

Woman: It's 6:00 AM. Take a look at these animals. They're around their coops, out in the wild looking for food. They have no food. What a huge shame. The efforts of all our work for so long is disappearing in mere weeks because we have no way to feed them. There's no food at [Bs.] 1,300, 4,000, or 3,700 -- or at any price. It's such a shame that all of our efforts over the last few years - after everything we've gone through - is being lost.
We don't know what to do. This is a really sad and painful situation, not just for us but for all farmers. We let them out in the wild to see how many of them will be able to survive, but we already have some animals at their limit. You're about to see some chickens over here that are doing really poorly because they're so hungry, and they've been hungry for so long. There is no food at all in their troughs. There's nothing. This is sad and terrible. Here's a little chicken near its end - look. And she's not the only one. This is really sad.
I'm putting all of my pain in God's hands, along with everything else that is happening. I don't have words anymore - only pain. Sadly, this is the reality that we are living.

Judging by her accent, I'd say that she's probably from the soutwestern part of the country, probably Tachira state.

The beef industry has also been complaining over the past few days that they're being forced to sell their products at prices set 2-3 years ago. With an inflation rate of about 200% in the last year alone, you can see how damaging that is to any industry. They're warning that farmers will be out of business soon if the government doesn't change its regulation scheme.

Like Labradoodle said, I think what we're seeing is the government desperately trying to get food into people's homes by strictly enforcing these ridiculously low prices, but what they're actually doing is destroying what little productive capacity the country had left.

I heard Freddy Bernal, who is running for the National Assembly and is a high-profile PSUV member, say the other day in an interview that a PSUV win in December would mean that supermarkets would be stocked on December 7 because private businesses would stop hoarding products. It makes no sense even by the PSUV's own logic (why would the "economic war" suddenly end just because the opposition lost the election?), but it gives you a sense of how desperate the PSUV is and how low they'll go to try to win this election.

Crowsbeak posted:

How dare the US spy on foreign governments and their organizations! Especially if it is in conflict with them.

What's funny about this story is that out of every entity the US spies on (read: everyone), PDVSA is actually pretty high on the list of "espionage worthy" organizations. There is all kinds of evidence that Rafael Ramirez turned it into a front for laundering drug money. Knowing everything we know about the company, I'd be infinitely more surprised if I somehow found out that the US was not spying on PDVSA.

Crowsbeak
Oct 9, 2012

by Azathoth
Lipstick Apathy

Chuck Boone posted:


What's funny about this story is that out of every entity the US spies on (read: everyone), PDVSA is actually pretty high on the list of "espionage worthy" organizations. There is all kinds of evidence that Rafael Ramirez turned it into a front for laundering drug money. Knowing everything we know about the company, I'd be infinitely more surprised if I somehow found out that the US was not spying on PDVSA.

All the article proves to me is why Gleen Greenwald should be ignored.

BeigeJacket
Jul 21, 2005

Azran posted:

I love how Maduro comes across as totally deranged whenever he speaks in public.

I've often wondered, when reading the English translations provided by goons, whether Maduros speeches sound as rambling and word salady in Spanish. Because that poo poo seems to be all over the place.

Munin
Nov 14, 2004


Crowsbeak posted:

All the article proves to me is why Gleen Greenwald should be ignored.

Why is that?

Chuck Boone
Feb 12, 2009

El Turpial

BeigeJacket posted:

I've often wondered, when reading the English translations provided by goons, whether Maduros speeches sound as rambling and word salady in Spanish. Because that poo poo seems to be all over the place.

When I translate them I try to keep the intent and structure of his speech as intact as possible, but this is difficult to to sometimes. For example, he'll often say something like, "Venezuela is a dignified country, Venezuela is a country of workers, Venezuela is a free country, Venezuela is a country that will never bow down to the Empire!". In those cases, I might translate that whole section into "Venezuela is a dignified country of workers, a free country, a country that will never bow down to the Empire!".

He also uses a lot of colloquialism which are just impossible to translate. For example, when he threatened that PSUV supporters would take to the streets "like fire", the actual phrase that he used was, "candela con burundanga". I have no idea how to translate slang like "burundanga" into English, but the meaning of the sentence remains more or less the same. He also tends to speak very casually, so a translated sentence that reads "I will make sure to punish anyone found guilty of hoarding products" will probably sound much more formal in English than in Spanish.

Overall, though, I'd say that if what you're getting from the translations is that his speeches are rambling, word saladly and all over the place, then that's pretty on point!

zocio
Nov 3, 2011

Chuck Boone posted:

"candela con burundanga". I have no idea how to translate slang like "burundanga" into English

You might want to try with equivalencies, burundanga is pretty much dark magic, so what type of dark magic do english speakers know?, voodoo; so you might say "taking the streets by storm like voodoo fires", that's how I often do it, not that it adds anything to your translation, but it gets the message across that Maduro's rethoric is on another level of crazy than what most people (including people from normal Latin American countries like me) are used to.

Hugoon Chavez
Nov 4, 2011

THUNDERDOME LOSER

zocio posted:

You might want to try with equivalencies, burundanga is pretty much dark magic, so what type of dark magic do english speakers know?, voodoo; so you might say "taking the streets by storm like voodoo fires", that's how I often do it, not that it adds anything to your translation, but it gets the message across that Maduro's rethoric is on another level of crazy than what most people (including people from normal Latin American countries like me) are used to.

Burundanga is actually a drug that was briefly used to drug people and rob them in Venezuela.

Hell, here it is: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hyoscine_hydrobromide

It's a rather dumb phrase, but I guess you could translate it to "Fire with cocaine"?

And to answer the question, Maduro is loving nuts and his speeches make no sense more often than not. There are more than a few reels of him messing up when reading his speeches and just saying a bunch of nonsense.

BeigeJacket
Jul 21, 2005

Does Maduro have any of Chavez' charisma or common touch at all?

zocio
Nov 3, 2011
I stand corrected, translating those mad ramblings are a pain to translate in any language and don't amount to anything most of the time.

Is there anyone who does make what he rambles about become reality?, Diosdado maybe?

Chuck Boone
Feb 12, 2009

El Turpial

zocio posted:

You might want to try with equivalencies, burundanga is pretty much dark magic, so what type of dark magic do english speakers know?, voodoo; so you might say "taking the streets by storm like voodoo fires", that's how I often do it, not that it adds anything to your translation, but it gets the message across that Maduro's rethoric is on another level of crazy than what most people (including people from normal Latin American countries like me) are used to.

True! Unfortunately, I've been out of Venezuela long enough that I'm out of the loop when it comes to a lot of the slang and colloquialisms. My cousins can help me out with that most of the time. With the word "burundanga", I'd actually never heard it before. When I looked it up, as Hugoon Chavez pointed out, I saw that it was a drug, so I had 0 idea how that sentence could make any sense in English. I guess that it doesn't make sense in Spanish either, and that's the issue!

BeigeJacket posted:

Does Maduro have any of Chavez' charisma or common touch at all?

None at all. Chavez stick his foot in his mouth more than once, but he would also sing, play instruments, and tell funny jokes and anecdotes during his speeches. He definitely had a lot of charisma and he knew how to work a crowd, whereas Maduro is clearly out of his element when he talks.

zocio posted:

Is there anyone who does make what he rambles about become reality?, Diosdado maybe?

Diosdado is a different creature because he doesn't talk as much as Maduro on television, but when he does he's usually "unveiling plots" or accusing people of stuff directly. He has a television show that airs on Wednesdays called Con El Mazo Dando where he tends to do just that. My impression of Diosdado is that he's more threatening and vicious than Maduro. Maduro will go off on someone from time to time, but there's something more meticulous and premeditated about Diosdado spending time on his television show presenting evidence against some enemy of the government that makes his speeches more sinister. That's my impression.

Below: Diosdado with his mazo ("mallet"; the name of the show translates to "Hitting With the Mallet"). No, these images are not photoshopped.. That is the actual club he uses as the prop on his show, although it's usually just placed on his desk as the second image shows.



Labradoodle
Nov 24, 2011

Crax daubentoni

Chuck Boone posted:

Diosdado is a different creature because he doesn't talk as much as Maduro on television, but when he does he's usually "unveiling plots" or accusing people of stuff directly. He has a television show that airs on Wednesdays called Con El Mazo Dando where he tends to do just that. My impression of Diosdado is that he's more threatening and vicious than Maduro. Maduro will go off on someone from time to time, but there's something more meticulous and premeditated about Diosdado spending time on his television show presenting evidence against some enemy of the government that makes his speeches more sinister. That's my impression.

Below: Diosdado with his mazo ("mallet"; the name of the show translates to "Hitting With the Mallet"). No, these images are not photoshopped.. That is the actual club he uses as the prop on his show, although it's usually just placed on his desk as the second image shows.





Interestingly, Diosdado has regularly ranked amongst the most hated figures of Chavismo by their own supporters (and the opposition, of course) for a long time, because as Venezuelan popular lore has it he's made an immense fortune by looting the country. He didn't use to be an overtly public figure either despite his numerous high-ranking posts (and his brief stint as interim president in April of 2002) but during the past few years he's stepped into the spotlight with his TV show, constant public statements, the capture of Lopez, and the grooming of his daughter (who also happens to be a pop-star) as the face of young Chavismo.

If there's not some power play dynamics there at the very least he had to step up in order to present a unified front and let people know that he's backing the bumbling Maduro. Which is effective because the dude is scary as gently caress.

Crowsbeak
Oct 9, 2012

by Azathoth
Lipstick Apathy

Munin posted:

Why is that?

Why should the USA not spy on its rivals? Or does Greenwald just live in a fantasy land with unicorns?

Phlegmish
Jul 2, 2011



BeigeJacket posted:

I've often wondered, when reading the English translations provided by goons, whether Maduros speeches sound as rambling and word salady in Spanish. Because that poo poo seems to be all over the place.

I've seen his speeches on Telesur, he reminds me of an East Bloc politician talking about the next five-year plan that this time for sure will definitely bring about the socialist revolution in spite of all the wreckers, saboteurs and class enemies.

I hope Venezuelans give him the boot come December.

Munin
Nov 14, 2004


Crowsbeak posted:

Why should the USA not spy on its rivals? Or does Greenwald just live in a fantasy land with unicorns?

You seem to have misread the article slightly.

It's a good article exploring a major grey area in the US surveillance policies. The main things it questions is whether US surveillance capabilities was used to provide advantages to domestic companies and destabilise one of their foreign competitors. There have been repeated denials by US officials that they would ever engage in commercial espionage and they have had to revise these statements in part due to the matters discussed in the article.

The PDVSA is one of the perfect examples to highlight that grey area. It is obviously of interest to the intelligence services and the temptation obviously exists to provide information to the PDVSA rivals to help put pressure on Venezuela. The issue is that doing this opens up channels of cooperation between the secret services and domestic industry which then leads allies to be seriously uncomfortable when it turns out that the US was also specifically targeting their domestic champions for surveillance, for example Petrobas. From what I can read it does not take issue with the idea that Venezuela and potentially also the PDSVA should be the targets of surveillance.

Now you could take the tack that the US should not give a poo poo about the hurt sensibilities of allies and other nations and since they are currently the sole world superpower they should everyone else just go hang. I would argue that would be shortsighted however.

Otherwise the main thing the article editorialises about is the central thrust of a lot of their arguments that dragnet spying has serious issues. First in that it generates more data than the US intelligence services can ever hope to process and second that it makes a lot of that data available to analysts without much oversight since that data could not be pre-processed and categorised in the first place.

Munin fucked around with this message at 21:32 on Nov 24, 2015

Munin
Nov 14, 2004


Borneo Jimmy posted:

Here's an interesting article on the upcoming elections.
https://indypendent.org/2015/11/11/venezuela-impasse


Good to see the collective actively organizing and providing concrete solutions to the economic crisis.

I like how the article highlights the handouts provided to a favoured few as a bright spots in Venezuela after detailing the disastrous situation faced by the bulk of its inhabitants.

Adbot
ADBOT LOVES YOU

Chuck Boone
Feb 12, 2009

El Turpial
Speaking of Diosado Cabello and the things he's likely to say...

He was at an event earlier today in Monagas state in which local communal councils received Bs. 95 million in state funds. During the event, he talked about the election, and warned the crowd about an opposition win:

quote:

You know, we’re heading into an election. If the Venezuelan right-wing wins the parliamentary election, you can forget about your homes and your communes; you can forget about your communal councils, your pensions. Forget about computers for kids and healthcare. You can forget about absolutely everything.

He also addressed an issue that the opposition has been calling attention to since forever: the fact that PSUV candidates appear alongside official PSUV politicians during events to inaugurate public works or hand over state funds to groups. The opposition claims that this practice is unfair, since it in effect allows for 1) the government to campaign on behalf of candidates, and b) candidates to use the state's vast resources to aid in their campaigns. The Consejo Nacional Electoral agrees. Earlier this month, the head of the body, Tibisay Lucena, explicitly said that election laws prohibit public institutions or any level of government from campaigning on behalf of candidates.

During the same event in Monagas, Cabello essentially said that he didn't care about what the election laws have to say, because PSUV candidates "are part of a political project, a socialist revolution", and:

quote:

Wherever there is a [public] work by the Bolivarian revolution, there also will be Chavez’s candidates, [candidates] for the homeland and the Bolivarian revolution.

Also today, the Instituto Venezolano de Datos (IVAD) released a poll in which it found that 79% of respondents believe the country is going "in the wrong direction", while only 14.9% believe that it's heading "in the right direction". The same poll asked respondents to rank the biggest issues impacting their lives, the top four being:
  • Scarcity/shortages: 38.8%
  • High cost of living: 28.8%
  • Insecurity: 13.8%
  • Unemployment: 3.7%

The poll sampled 1,200 Venezuelans across the country between November 10 and 20, and has a margin of error of 2.37%.

On a more humorous note, Jesus Torrealba (the head of the opposition bloc) talked to reporters today and said that he was confident that the opposition would win the election next week. When asked what the opposition would do in the event that it lost the election, Torrealba said:

quote:

We have experience when it comes to that. It wouldn’t be anything new.

  • 1
  • 2
  • 3
  • 4
  • 5
  • Post
  • Reply