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Bush dropping before Iowa is all the way up to $.30
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Nov 21, 2015 16:55
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Necc0 posted:Bush dropping before Iowa is all the way up to $.30 Is there really any way that he drops out before Iowa? It's slightly over 2 months, with a lot of that time eaten up by holidays. Sure he's still hosed in the polls, but that doesn't seem like much time for Jeb! to realize it's over.
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Nov 21, 2015 17:16
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Rasmussen just posted to RCP. Looks like O'Malley may take the lead for biggest bump. No reaction yet in the market.
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Nov 21, 2015 17:18
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Gyges posted:Is there really any way that he drops out before Iowa? It's slightly over 2 months, with a lot of that time eaten up by holidays. Sure he's still hosed in the polls, but that doesn't seem like much time for Jeb! to realize it's over. He's already announced a blitzkrieg starting mid-December and if it's an actual nationwide ad-campaign it'll take longer than the Iowa primary to see the results. There's no way he's out before Iowa
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Nov 21, 2015 17:18
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Vox Nihili posted:Rasmussen just posted to RCP. Looks like O'Malley may take the lead for biggest bump. No reaction yet in the market. This market is now swinging. Tons of money to be made in Hill No right now.
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Nov 21, 2015 17:22
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Vox Nihili posted:Rasmussen just posted to RCP. Looks like O'Malley may take the lead for biggest bump. No reaction yet in the market. Mother Fucker! I just got scared and sold for what I paid at 36 I'm quite heavily invested in John Bell Edwards. I'm going to be on pins and needles all day. User Error has issued a correction as of 17:33 on Nov 21, 2015 |
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Nov 21, 2015 17:29
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Vox Nihili posted:This market is now swinging. Tons of money to be made in Hill No right now. Thanks for the quick post. Someone filled my Buy Clinton No at 50 cents so I'm going to make a nice little profit on this.
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Nov 21, 2015 17:39
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Gyges posted:Is there really any way that he drops out before Iowa? It's slightly over 2 months, with a lot of that time eaten up by holidays. Sure he's still hosed in the polls, but that doesn't seem like much time for Jeb! to realize it's over. No but there will probably be a few events along the way that bump those NO shares up so you can sell for a tidy profit.
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Nov 21, 2015 17:42
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Reminder: Make sure you have enough liquidity to take advantage of an opportunity should it come up. I could have bought a ton more of these if the vast majority of my money hadn't been tied up: (also, brag post)
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Nov 21, 2015 18:24
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Vox Nihili posted:This market is now swinging. Tons of money to be made in Hill No right now. Man. There's only a few more days so I'm tempted to ride this to the end but I could just sell out now with a very nice profit. UGGGHHHHFGHJDFSIGHSDFOGHJSFDOL
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Nov 21, 2015 18:26
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Yeah I should bail while I can. gently caress polls. This is still way too close to risk everything I've made so far. Know when to hold 'em and when to fold 'em.
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Nov 21, 2015 18:33
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Necc0 posted:Yeah I should bail while I can. gently caress polls. This is still way too close to risk everything I've made so far. Know when to hold 'em and when to fold 'em. I think that's probably the right move. One thing I've noticed is that the prices tend to spike after a big swing, then settle back down. If you can sell at the height of the spike you can get really good deals.
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Nov 21, 2015 18:39
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Necc0 posted:Yeah I should bail while I can. gently caress polls. This is still way too close to risk everything I've made so far. Know when to hold 'em and when to fold 'em. A good call. You'll need your money for the panic that's about to ensue tonight in LA Gov 
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Nov 21, 2015 18:40
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Vox Nihili posted:I think that's probably the right move. One thing I've noticed is that the prices tend to spike after a big swing, then settle back down. If you can sell at the height of the spike you can get really good deals. Yup. Just sold. 250% return 
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Nov 21, 2015 18:42
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I'm paying way too close attention to this election to not profit off it. First buy: Bush staying in beyond Iowa.
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Nov 21, 2015 18:48
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Commenters are going ham on Bush dropping before Iowa. I went ahead and used my Dem debate winnings to buy in on Bush-No but I feel like these guys are going to push it even further. Will probably hold on to tonight's LA winnings to buy into Bush-No again when it drops even further.
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Nov 21, 2015 18:56
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Really hoping the Louisiana market spooks further so I can justify hopping back in. Edit: Something like 50/50 or 60/40 would be great, and there are a ton of hard-R partisan commentators pushing things in that direction right now. Vox Nihili has issued a correction as of 20:02 on Nov 21, 2015 |
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Nov 21, 2015 19:52
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lol I bought into LA GOV DEM YES at the beginning for .80 thinking it was a lock. I still think it is, but dang liquidity is super important edit i've also got a ton of YES on Jeb dropping before Iowa because I think it'll spike in the next few weeks. imo there will be calls very soon to consolidate the establishment vote to take on Trump i say swears online has issued a correction as of 21:12 on Nov 21, 2015 |
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Nov 21, 2015 21:09
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Does anyone know what the standing of the Republicans is now for the debate markets? Is Cruz still way up in comparison to everyone else?
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Nov 21, 2015 21:35
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At this point I don't feel comfortable betting against Jeb! being an incompetent fuccboi at any price. No on Trump polling at 27% is going for less than 75c when he's currently at 24.6 and hasn't hit 27 since the first of the month. This might stay undervalues for a while, there's a lot of  ONLINE POLLS in the comments.
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Nov 21, 2015 21:35
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Well alright, I'm up $20 today. That's not too bad at all with only $50 invested.
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Nov 22, 2015 01:02
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I don't think there's going to be a lot of spook in the la governor market, looks like the sos site is showing Edwards ahead as predicted and the Republican YES market is tanking. There's probably money to be made but 2 risky 4 did guy.
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Nov 22, 2015 01:53
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The Louisiana Governor market has rebounded. hmm... what to do...
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Nov 22, 2015 01:54
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watwat posted:The Louisiana Governor market has rebounded. hmm... what to do... I saw that. I can't figure out if this is based on actual new information though.
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Nov 22, 2015 02:04
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I sold out of LA gov because I had a bunch of Dem.YES. I know I lose out on that last 5%, but I'd rather take 95% now than risk losing it in a Republican upset. Still think Edwards is gonna pull it out, but we'll see.
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Nov 22, 2015 03:28
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JosefStalinator posted:I sold out of LA gov because I had a bunch of Dem.YES. I know I lose out on that last 5%, but I'd rather take 95% now than risk losing it in a Republican upset. Still think Edwards is gonna pull it out, but we'll see. Good call - I did the same. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DgjnkHtHyHg
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Nov 22, 2015 03:29
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JosefStalinator posted:I sold out of LA gov because I had a bunch of Dem.YES. I know I lose out on that last 5%, but I'd rather take 95% now than risk losing it in a Republican upset. Still think Edwards is gonna pull it out, but we'll see. Me too. I sold at 97. I had a 71 basis. I am happy leaving the last 10% on the table if it means I can pull 90% off the table.
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Nov 22, 2015 03:44
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Made a cool $65  Suck it Vitter.
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Nov 22, 2015 03:53
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JBE's poll numbers are going down the tiniest bit. With luck this will continue and there will be some last minute scraps to grab. E: Screw it, grabbed some Yes R's at 1c a bit earlier and was able to sell for 2 just now, that's a happy profit. fronz has issued a correction as of 04:03 on Nov 22, 2015 |
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Nov 22, 2015 04:00
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quote:9:10 p.m.: It's pretty much official now, as the Associated Press joins the chorus calling the gubernatorial election for John Bel Edwards. Read our full story here.
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Nov 22, 2015 04:24
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fronz posted:JBE's poll numbers are going down the tiniest bit. With luck this will continue and there will be some last minute scraps to grab. Even when the writing is on the wall we can still squeeze the breitbots
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Nov 22, 2015 04:26
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What's the deal with the FBN debate winner market? It's 30 cents for Trump YES, even though he's had a decrease of .2%.
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Nov 22, 2015 04:50
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Edwards' victory is good, and I think people overstated the Kentucky outcome since it had a real shortage of good polling going into election day. The LA race was way better polled, even with the last minute terrorist attacks to add some uncertainty.
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Nov 22, 2015 04:57
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Wanamingo posted:What's the deal with the FBN debate winner market? It's 30 cents for Trump YES, even though he's had a decrease of .2%. Trump is currently the new Biden. Gyges has issued a correction as of 06:10 on Nov 22, 2015 |
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Nov 22, 2015 04:57
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Trump Bump No is currently at 72 Buy/24 Sell if you want to try and buy in at sub 30. Edit: Turns out ABC just upended the market with a new poll of Trump at 32, Cruz at 8 Gyges has issued a correction as of 06:25 on Nov 22, 2015 |
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Nov 22, 2015 06:10
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Gyges posted:Trump Bump No is currently at 72 Buy/24 Sell if you want to try and buy in at sub 30. What the gently caress I just lost $35 
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Nov 22, 2015 06:33
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Usually polls are released in the morning. That was weird. They may want to get the full jump on the Sunday roundtables.
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Nov 22, 2015 07:34
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Trump NO on hitting 27 utterly collapsed, under 50, which is weird as he hasn't it that since the beginning of the month and presumably after Paris candidates with foreign policy should be favored.
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Nov 22, 2015 08:07
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Yeah, Trump 27+ is all over the place. People are putting a lot of stock in that 32 poll. Any hope in that not posting on RCP in time for the end of the debate market?
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Nov 22, 2015 08:14
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| # ? May 13, 2024 23:09 |
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RCP dumped a few polls, so the current ones may stick around awhile. My uncle who works at the RNC gave me a hot tip, though. Don't bet on polls.
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Nov 22, 2015 08:26
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