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Cat Mattress
Jul 14, 2012

by Cyrano4747

Swan Oat posted:

Also considering how often Turkey violates Greek airspace, it would be funny if the Greeks just shot down the next fighter that did so.

They have done so in the past.

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Mackers
Jan 16, 2012
http://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-34917226

Some kind of hostage situation in France, near Belgium going on apparently.

quote:

Reports say that a group of armed men may have taken hostages in the northern French town of Roubaix.

There are conflicting initial reports on local media on where exactly in the town the incident is taking place.

Local media said the incident took place at around 19:00 local time (18:00 GMT).

Witnesses reported gunshots being fired. Media reports say the neighbourhood has been closed off by police.

Assuming related to the attacks, could be wrong yet.

Dead Cosmonaut
Nov 14, 2015

by FactsAreUseless

Kaal posted:

Assad's regime is still recognized as Syria's government in some respects, but not all. Military sovereignty is one of them. He's lost so much territory, and has expressed so little control over what territory that he has left, that the U.S. decided it did not need to seek Assad's permission to operate its aircraft over Syria. This position was later supported by UN Secretary-General Ban Ki-Moon, who recognized that the US was operating without Syria's permission, and agreed that the US air strikes were occurring in areas that were no longer under the effective control of the Syrian government.

http://www.un.org/apps/news/story.asp?NewsID=48796#.VlS6LfmrSUk

I am asking this out of ignorance: How well is the Turkish border along Syria secured?

Rad Russian
Aug 15, 2007

Soviet Power Supreme!

CommieGIR posted:

Warned previously intruders would be shot down, and according to Turkey at least, this aircraft was warned too, and it apparently strayed in twice.

Lesson learned: When Turkey says they will shoot you down if you stray in, you'll get shot down.

Where is the proof it was warned? Turkey can say whatever it wants given that their position is pretty biased. Also as it was over Turkey airspace for 17 seconds (according to their own radar logs) it was not a spur of the moment thing and they probably planned this days/weeks ahead of time. They also had to have an outstanding OK order to shoot down a Russian aircraft as 17 seconds is nowhere near the time needed to escalate that up the chain of command during this specific instance. Will be interesting to see what Putin does.

TheDeadlyShoe
Feb 14, 2014

is there some disputed airspace for greece<-> Turkey? Those numbers are absurdly high.

fake edit:

looks like current 'agreed' airspace is 6 nautical miles from land but Greece claims 10 nautical miles from land. I'd wager most (all?) of those violations fall in the 6-10 band.

The New Black
Oct 1, 2006

Had it, lost it.
So Russia finally released their map of the flight path, complete with convenient bend around Turkish airspace. Might as well have just drawn that bit in with crayon.

communism bitch
Apr 24, 2009

Mackers posted:

http://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-34917226

Some kind of hostage situation in France, near Belgium going on apparently.


Assuming related to the attacks, could be wrong yet.

Twitter saying that local media says it's a robbery gone wrong and not related to terrorism, but jfc you're really living life on the edge by taking hostages in France right now, even more-so that in any other circumstances.

Randarkman
Jul 18, 2011

Rad Russian posted:

Where is the proof it was warned? Given that it was over Turkey airspace for 17 seconds (according to their own radar logs) it was not a spur of the moment thing and they probably planned this days/weeks ahead of time. They also had to have an outstanding OK order to shoot down a Russian aircraft as 17 seconds is nowhere near the time needed to escalate that up the chain of command during this specific instance. Will be interesting to see what Putin does.

Turkey does claim that the plane repeatedly entered Turkish airspace and they warned it 10 times. Given earlier incidents, the Turkish military likely did have orders to respond with force the next time something happened.

It essentially seems to be Erdogan calling Putin's bluff. There's probably little Russia can do about this beyond be angry.

TheOtherContraGuy
Jul 4, 2007

brave skeleton sacrifice

Dead Cosmonaut posted:

I am asking this out of ignorance: How well is the Turkish border along Syria secured?

All Turkish border crossing but one are controlled by Kurds. They were preparing the seal the border completely until Erdogan started antagonizing them again.

Swan Oat
Oct 9, 2012

I was selected for my skill.

TheDeadlyShoe posted:

is there some disputed airspace for greece<-> Turkey? Those numbers are absurdly high.

fake edit:

looks like current 'agreed' airspace is 6 nautical miles from land but Greece claims 10 nautical miles from land. I'd wager most (all?) of those violations fall in the 6-10 band.

Greece and Turkey have a somewhat fraught, sometimes contentious history. Tensions persist to this day.

Rad Russian
Aug 15, 2007

Soviet Power Supreme!

The New Black posted:

So Russia finally released their map of the flight path, complete with convenient bend around Turkish airspace. Might as well have just drawn that bit in with crayon.



LOL what else to expect from Russia. Although Turkey is not disputing that both the missile hit happened inside Syrian territory and the plane crashed inside Syrian territory. So their position on this is lovely as well.

Pretty much equivalent to shooting a fleeing robber in the back. NATO will be fine with this given the actors involved but still lovely thing to do.

Rad Russian fucked around with this message at 20:47 on Nov 24, 2015

communism bitch
Apr 24, 2009

Rad Russian posted:

LOL what else to expect from Russia. Although Turkey is not disputing that both the missile hit happened inside Syrian territory and the plane crashed inside Syrian territory. So their position on this is lovely as well.

I'm not 100% certain but I don't think international conflict operates under the same rules as playground tag where you can not longer be touched once you're in the safe circle.

Tigey
Apr 6, 2015

Oberleutnant posted:

I'm not 100% certain but I don't think international conflict operates under the same rules as playground tag where you can not longer be touched once you're in the safe circle.

Playground tag would be much more fun with heatseeking missiles

more like dICK
Feb 15, 2010

This is inevitable.

The New Black posted:

So Russia finally released their map of the flight path, complete with convenient bend around Turkish airspace. Might as well have just drawn that bit in with crayon.



How does a functioning adult look at this and see nothing wrong? This is a serious question, do pro-russian trolls have developmental disabilities?

Dead Cosmonaut
Nov 14, 2015

by FactsAreUseless

more like dICK posted:

How does a functioning adult look at this and see nothing wrong? This is a serious question, do pro-russian trolls have developmental disabilities?

How would a Russian aircraft hypothetically avoid violating an airspace if they were aware of its presence?

Rukeli
May 10, 2014

Swan Oat posted:

Also considering how often Turkey violates Greek airspace, it would be funny if the Greeks just shot down the next fighter that did so.

I've been thinking this through and have come to the conclusion that Turkey shooting down a Russian aircraft is very different. Turkey is strongly opposed to Russia airstrikes on the Syrian rebels, but is unable to stop this from happening. Accepting Russian aistrikes on Syria is one thing, accepting Russian airstrikes from their own airspace is another.

Rad Russian
Aug 15, 2007

Soviet Power Supreme!
I say Putin doubles down and from now on escorts his bombers with SU-30SMs and SU-34s which they have in Syria. Either of those planes would (on paper) cleanup any number of F-16s. Thinking of course that Turkey wouldn't do anything from then on. Turkey would of course then sacrifice its F-16s to start WW3 because Turkey.

ass struggle
Dec 25, 2012

by Athanatos

more like dICK posted:

How does a functioning adult look at this and see nothing wrong? This is a serious question, do pro-russian trolls have developmental disabilities?

Russian jets are known for their ability to turn on right angles.

Bait and Swatch
Sep 5, 2012

Join me, Comrades
In the Star Citizen D&D thread

Rad Russian posted:

Where is the proof it was warned? Turkey can say whatever it wants given that their position is pretty biased. Also as it was over Turkey airspace for 17 seconds (according to their own radar logs) it was not a spur of the moment thing and they probably planned this days/weeks ahead of time. They also had to have an outstanding OK order to shoot down a Russian aircraft as 17 seconds is nowhere near the time needed to escalate that up the chain of command during this specific instance. Will be interesting to see what Putin does.

The proof was a page or two back, though the warnings aren't new. Turkey has made multiple press statements and brought the issue of incursions to NATO twice.

They also start giving warnings to planes miles out from the border when their travel path indicates that they are going to end up in Turkish air space. So that jet had much more than 17 seconds of notice. That being said, there likely was some type of standing order in Turkey for what do in regards to the next Russian incursion.

Either way, it is not a positive turn of events in any regard and the Turkish decision to escalate events to the point of an A2A shoot down rather than shadowing or escorting the offending jet seems entirey politically motivated. While it was Russia who provided the justification by entering the Turkish air space, it was still the Turks who took the drastic step of an A2A attack in response to what was, at worst, a provocation rather than any actual threat.

ass struggle
Dec 25, 2012

by Athanatos

Rad Russian posted:

I say Putin doubles down and from now on escorts his bombers with SU-30SMs and SU-34s which they have in Syria. Either of those planes would (on paper) cleanup any number of F-16s. Thinking of course that Turkey wouldn't do anything from then on. Turkey would of course then sacrifice its F-16s to start WW3 because Turkey.

Hmm or you know stop purposefully flying into Turkey.

Dead Cosmonaut
Nov 14, 2015

by FactsAreUseless

Rukeli posted:

I've been thinking this through and have come to the conclusion that Turkey shooting down a Russian aircraft is very different.

Like with the Turks and Greeks, once in awhile Turkey and Russia have to remind the rest of the world that they hate each other.

Dandywalken
Feb 11, 2014

Rad Russian posted:

I say Putin doubles down and from now on escorts his bombers with SU-30SMs and SU-34s which they have in Syria. Either of those planes would (on paper) cleanup any number of F-16s. Thinking of course that Turkey wouldn't do anything from then on. Turkey would of course then sacrifice its F-16s to start WW3 because Turkey.

Yeah... YEAH!

/makes airplane flying motions with his hands followed with machinegun fire

YEAH GET EM! GET EM!

uninterrupted
Jun 20, 2011

Rad Russian posted:

Also as it was over Turkey airspace for 17 seconds (according to their own radar logs)

Don't really get why people keep harping on this. It's an armed warship, who gives a gently caress how long it was in Turkish airspace, it was in Turkish airspace.

poo poo, the Six-day War happened because Egypt had it's military somewhat near the Israeli border.

Turkey has a right to defend itself.

Dead Cosmonaut
Nov 14, 2015

by FactsAreUseless

uninterrupted posted:

Don't really get why people keep harping on this. It's an armed warship, who gives a gently caress how long it was in Turkish airspace, it was in Turkish airspace.

poo poo, the Six-day War happened because Egypt had it's military somewhat near the Israeli border.

Turkey has a right to defend itself.

Have a mobilized army near your border is entirely different than flying sporadic bombing missions over Syria. Turkey picked the absolute worst point to get riled about this.

Randarkman
Jul 18, 2011

Dead Cosmonaut posted:

Have a mobilized army near your border is entirely different than flying sporadic bombing missions over Syria. Turkey picked the absolute worst point to get riled about this.

I don't think they "picked a point to get riled up about this", they decided to test what they can get away with (in a similar vein, but greater severity, to what the Russians have been doing for a while) and send a message of "go gently caress yourself" to Putin.

My Imaginary GF
Jul 17, 2005

by R. Guyovich

uninterrupted posted:

Don't really get why people keep harping on this. It's an armed warship, who gives a gently caress how long it was in Turkish airspace, it was in Turkish airspace.

poo poo, the Six-day War happened because Egypt had it's military somewhat near the Israeli border.

Turkey has a right to defend itself.

Six-day war happened because Egypt was going to launch an attack on Israel within hours, and fortunately Israel was able to strike first and with overwhelming force.

kustomkarkommando
Oct 22, 2012

Kaal posted:

Assad's regime is still recognized as Syria's government in some respects, but not all. Military sovereignty is one of them. He's lost so much territory, and has expressed so little control over what territory that he has left, that the U.S. decided it did not need to seek Assad's permission to operate its aircraft over Syria. This position was later supported by UN Secretary-General Ban Ki-Moon, who recognized that the US was operating without Syria's permission, and agreed that the US air strikes were occurring in areas that were no longer under the effective control of the Syrian government.

http://www.un.org/apps/news/story.asp?NewsID=48796#.VlS6LfmrSUk

Yeah but effective control is an absolute hornets nest and the US's legal reasoning in justifying the strikes inside Syria is by no means a settled thing.

I mean if it ever went up in front of the ICJ there are serious doubts it would pass muster.

Mackers
Jan 16, 2012

uninterrupted posted:

Turkey has a right to defend itself.

Yeah, but they weren't defending themselves and everyone knows it. They seem to have been itching to shoot down a Russian jet as some kind of idiot macho display. Really not the kind of people I'd like making the calls for my country.

And of course there's the usual hypocrisy of bitching to NATO over your borders, while simultaneously illegally occupying a chunk of Cyprus. gently caress both of them.

TheDeadlyShoe
Feb 14, 2014

it's authoritarian macho posturing vs authoritarian macho posturing. Noone wins.

it boggles my mind that Russia would keep up this provocation nonsense while they were about start bombing Syria, though.

Rip Testes
Jan 29, 2004

I never forget a face, but in your case I'll be glad to make an exception.
I seem to recall a fair amount of hangwringing over challenging Putin militarily would result in a major confrontation between the West and Russia. Kudos to Turkey for not chickening out.

Dead Cosmonaut
Nov 14, 2015

by FactsAreUseless

Randarkman posted:

I don't think they "picked a point to get riled up about this", they decided to test what they can get away with (in a similar vein, but greater severity, to what the Russians have been doing for a while) and send a message of "go gently caress yourself" to Putin.

Erdogan told Putin to go gently caress himself right when Putin was about to seriously ramp up his bombing campaign in Syria.

I don't think Putin has any intention of respecting this gesture. This won't be the last time it'll happen.

Mc Do Well
Aug 2, 2008

by FactsAreUseless
Aren't we supposed to be allies against ISIL?

The old men still fighting the Cold War could do the sensible thing and defeat this enemy decisively - or we can just nuke each other and get it over with.

Dead Cosmonaut
Nov 14, 2015

by FactsAreUseless
Turkey has been locked into its own political bullshit and has been dragging its feet over ISIS since day one.

Bait and Swatch
Sep 5, 2012

Join me, Comrades
In the Star Citizen D&D thread
If anyone remembers the teenage girls that ISIS was using in some of their propaganda, one of them was reportedly beaten to death for trying to escape Raqqa: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/art...tter_mailonline

ass struggle
Dec 25, 2012

by Athanatos

McDowell posted:

Aren't we supposed to be allies against ISIL?

The old men still fighting the Cold War could do the sensible thing and defeat this enemy decisively - or we can just nuke each other and get it over with.

Yeah except Russia is bombing ISIS about as much as Turkey is.

CommieGIR
Aug 22, 2006

The blue glow is a feature, not a bug


Pillbug

McDowell posted:

Aren't we supposed to be allies against ISIL?

The old men still fighting the Cold War could do the sensible thing and defeat this enemy decisively - or we can just nuke each other and get it over with.

Russia is mainly bombing Assad's targets, not ISIL. They could give two fucks about ISIL.

TheOtherContraGuy
Jul 4, 2007

brave skeleton sacrifice

Rip Testes posted:

I seem to recall a fair amount of hangwringing over challenging Putin militarily would result in a major confrontation between the West and Russia. Kudos to Turkey for not chickening out.

There's nothing stopping Russia from exercising pipeline diplomacy on Turkey and if that second pilot is captured and burned alive I don't think the average person will feel terribly sympathetic for the Turkish position.

Randarkman
Jul 18, 2011

TheOtherContraGuy posted:

There's nothing stopping Russia from exercising pipeline diplomacy on Turkey and if that second pilot is captured and burned alive I don't think the average person will feel terribly sympathetic for the Turkish position.

Turkey has threatened to stop buying Russian gas in the past, they're like one of Russia's largest customers. Russia not selling gas to Turkey is about as much a blow to Russia (likely more) as it is to Turkey.

Dodoman
Feb 26, 2009



A moment of laxity
A lifetime of regret
Lipstick Apathy

Dead Cosmonaut posted:

I am asking this out of ignorance: How well is the Turkish border along Syria secured?

Not very well because ISIS, Kurds, foreign fighters have been able to move around without much trouble.

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Kaal
May 22, 2002

through thousands of posts in D&D over a decade, I now believe I know what I'm talking about. if I post forcefully and confidently, I can convince others that is true. no one sees through my facade.

kustomkarkommando posted:

Yeah but effective control is an absolute hornets nest and the US's legal reasoning in justifying the strikes inside Syria is by no means a settled thing.

I mean if it ever went up in front of the ICJ there are serious doubts it would pass muster.

But it wouldn't because the US only recognizes the ICJ on a case-by-base basis.

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