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EXTREME INSERTION posted:are you blind, rubio looks like an attractive young man He's not ugly but it's not like he turned down a career in professional modeling, even catalog work.
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Dec 15, 2015 22:00
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Halloween Jack posted:Well, when I was young (like, a teenager) I was also duped into thinking that the Democratic party is run by crypto-commie apparatchiks and limousine liberals, and that their voters were a mix of middle-class bleeding hearts and plebs wanting more bread and circuses. But, it didn't follow that the Republican party was run by Randian-Nietzschean rugged individualists and that voting Republican made me the same. I mean, if you think the Democratic party is run by bureaucrat-oligarchs, who do you think runs the Republican party? pretty much yeah
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Dec 15, 2015 22:00
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Three Olives posted:He's not ugly but it's not like he turned down a career in professional modeling, even catalog work. maybe he just looks good compared to ted "chernobyl" cruz etc
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Dec 15, 2015 22:01
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Blasphemeral posted:You're thinking of this one, I think: http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/romney-and-the-gops-five-ring-circus/ Yeah, gonna look for it, it was just like that one, but Trump was to the right of the Tea Party, in no circles. e; Can't find it, I am pretty sure it was in the live chat of the last debate, but I guess that is gone now, oh well. Everyone agrees Trump isn't like any other candidate, no 'game changer' here. Gonna read some articles, haven't been there in a while, a few look interesting. Michael Corleone fucked around with this message at 22:14 on Dec 15, 2015 |
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Dec 15, 2015 22:04
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AhhYes posted:New PPP Iowa Poll: AhhYes
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Dec 15, 2015 22:11
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InsanityIsCrazy posted:i imagine him slowly grinding his way out of bed like an oblivion character, saying his scripted line, and then reverse-grinding back into bed I just want you to know this made me laugh out loud.
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Dec 15, 2015 22:16
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site posted:Hey Joe, could you do me a favor and try to put the timezone in for your debate threads? I don't know whose 8:30 I'm supposed to be counting back from. Debate starts at @104 .beats Swatch Internet Time, hope this helps.
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Dec 15, 2015 22:17
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InsanityIsCrazy posted:i imagine him slowly grinding his way out of bed like an oblivion character, saying his scripted line, and then reverse-grinding back into bed Lol. That makes me want to laugh and throw up at the same time.
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Dec 15, 2015 22:18
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Nessus posted:Projection
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Dec 15, 2015 22:34
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thethreeman posted:I love these rankings and have posted them here before - really cuts through marketing (like rubio being "moderate establishment" when he really has tea party positions, even if he's less willing willing to piss off party leaders than Cruz) I never stop being disappointed that Trump didn't turn out to be a populist like he seemed at first.
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Dec 15, 2015 22:38
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Bryter posted:Debate starts at @104 .beats Swatch Internet Time, hope this helps. lol
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Dec 15, 2015 22:39
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SNAKES N CAKES posted:Don't worry, the experts say he has no chance: Since that article was published fivethirtyeight has been more bullish on Cruz. Firstly because although he's more conservative than any recent Republican candidates, the party has become more Conservative in the last couple decades. And if Trump does well in the early primaries the party could rally around him as an establishment-outsider compromise.
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Dec 15, 2015 22:45
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hot take from the nyt
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Dec 15, 2015 22:52
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Pinterest Mom posted:hot take from the nyt "Would you be more likely or less likely to vote for Donald Trump if you knew that he fathered an illegitimate black child?"
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Dec 15, 2015 22:54
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Yes, when I think of the George H.W. Bush campaign I certainly don't think of vicious attack ads. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Io9KMSSEZ0Y
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Dec 15, 2015 22:55
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Montasque posted:Quick talk radio update: I had kinda though that Rush trying to go anti-Trump wouldn't go very well, and I was right, it didn't. The Establishment is getting increasingly panicked about Trump, and it's amazing to watch.
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Dec 15, 2015 22:55
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Guns are coming out, Trump will officially be Stumped before the clocks strikes midnight tonight. Infact, he will turn back into the pumpkin that he is as JEB!!! verbally destroys him at tonight's debate. I am SO excited!
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Dec 15, 2015 22:55
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Squalid posted:Since that article was published fivethirtyeight has been more bullish on Cruz. Firstly because although he's more conservative than any recent Republican candidates, the party has become more Conservative in the last couple decades. And if Trump does well in the early primaries the party could rally around him as an establishment-outsider compromise. But in what world does that make sense? It's as if the GOP establishment is saying, "gently caress you Trump, if anyone is going to destroy the GOP it's going to be us". Cruz is largely a product of talk radio, which keeps dragging the GOP further and further to the right. Accepting Cruz as your savior would just be an admission that talk radio is more relevant than the RNC. radical meme fucked around with this message at 23:06 on Dec 15, 2015 |
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Dec 15, 2015 23:00
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Do It Once Right posted:1 out of 1 billionaire sugar-daddys agree. get the gently caress outta here where is that from
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Dec 15, 2015 23:02
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Joementum posted:Yes, when I think of the George H.W. Bush campaign I certainly don't think of vicious attack ads. I figured it meant "personal" as in qualities not actually salient to politics. You know, like the kind of attacks Trump's known for.
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Dec 15, 2015 23:03
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Rocks posted:get the gently caress outta here South Miami Senior High School's 1989 King Cobra talent competition. (their school mascot is a cobra) Rubio and his team did not win. http://observer.com/2015/04/photo-emerges-of-marco-rubio-acting-like-a-high-schooler-in-high-school/
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Dec 15, 2015 23:08
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Aliquid posted:...Obersgruppenfuhrer Suburban Nazi are really amazing characters. How can you tell that he's not just a normal suburbanite?
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Dec 15, 2015 23:08
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Squalid posted:Since that article was published fivethirtyeight has been more bullish on Cruz. Firstly because although he's more conservative than any recent Republican candidates, the party has become more Conservative in the last couple decades. And if Trump does well in the early primaries the party could rally around him as an establishment-outsider compromise. 538 is going to miss the forest for the trees and claim any Trump loss as victory even though they've completely missed the boat on Ted Cruz too. They are only getting bullish because the hopes for a sensible by the book victory rest on the shoulders of Marco Rubio. Every other candidate is chaos for traditional models.
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Dec 15, 2015 23:10
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Are Mike Murphy and Tim Miller on talk shows talking about how Jeb! has won the debate yet?
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Dec 15, 2015 23:10
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Michael Corleone posted:Guns are coming out, Trump will officially be Stumped before the clocks strikes midnight tonight. Infact, he will turn back into the pumpkin that he is as JEB!!! verbally destroys him at tonight's debate. I am SO excited! Peachstapler posted:WaPo article on the December 15th Trump prediction out the Jeb! private meeting in November: quote:"I'm just curious, when are you going to make a more aggressive attack on Donald Trump?" an unidentified man asked Bush. "It seems like in the last couple of debates — I mean, I'm your biggest fan, but at the same time it seems like there's not a lot of fight in you. I'm just curious, come December 15, is that a possibility?"  Can't stump the Trump. 
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Dec 15, 2015 23:15
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AARP LARPer fucked around with this message at 21:08 on Jan 22, 2016 |
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Dec 15, 2015 23:15
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I haven't read this thread since late October, and my life has been blissful as a result. 18,000 posts later, it doesn't seem like much has changed in the GOP race in the last six or seven weeks. On a whole, what's the general view on Trump running? I mean, we all know he's crazy but do you all think this is a good thing or a bad thing? While it is bad that he's inspiring a bunch of idiots to do/say a bunch of dumb things, I think for the most part it is a good thing as it is bringing out the crazies and allowing the rest of the people to see "Holy gently caress, the GOP is hosed up."
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Dec 15, 2015 23:16
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National Organization of Marriage thinks that they are responsible for the Ted Cruz bump after they endorsed him
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Dec 15, 2015 23:18
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Dec 15, 2015 23:22
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Mordiceius posted:On a whole, what's the general view on Trump running? The world is ending, OP.
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Dec 15, 2015 23:23
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I can't believe how excited I am for Trump's decline!
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Dec 15, 2015 23:24
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I don't know, I've seen some real poundings on the internet.
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Dec 15, 2015 23:27
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Three Olives posted:He's not ugly but it's not like he turned down a career in professional modeling, even catalog work. Whenever I try to visualize Marco Rubio the first mental hit I get is
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Dec 15, 2015 23:32
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fade5 posted:
oh man, jeb! is almost white noise
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Dec 15, 2015 23:35
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Jewel Repetition posted:I figured it meant "personal" as in qualities not actually salient to politics. You know, like the kind of attacks Trump's known for. But not engaging in pointlessly petty name calling isn't a Bush family predilection, that's just something 99.9% of politicians gain no benefit from. Both Presidents Bush were pretty happy to ride personal attacks on their opponents to great success (and sometimes humiliating failure). HW in particular ran the '92 campaign mostly as a referendum on Bill Clinton's character.
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Dec 15, 2015 23:37
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I'm super excited for Jeb!'s suicide bombing of Donald Trump tonight!!! A literal suicide bombing!
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Dec 15, 2015 23:38
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Predictwise now has a graph: http://predictwise.com/politics/2016-president-republican-nomination/
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Dec 15, 2015 23:39
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I am enjoying the recent trajectory of Rubio's poll average. please tell me you have the source for this e: nvm, found it in true jeb! style, 'jeb bush pounded hard' did not turn up a single exciting result Peel fucked around with this message at 23:44 on Dec 15, 2015 |
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Dec 15, 2015 23:42
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Mordiceius posted:I haven't read this thread since late October, and my life has been blissful as a result. 18,000 posts later, it doesn't seem like much has changed in the GOP race in the last six or seven weeks. Take a look at that graph I posted, it's kind of terrifying. Trump has lead since July, with only Carson coming close (and then following a 2012-style decline). Walker, Jeb!, Fiorina, and now Carson have all flamed out, and it's down to Trump, Cruz, and Rubio. Jeb! in particular has spent $50 million dollars on ads (half of his "unbeatable" $100 million dollar SuperPAC), and it hasn't helped for poo poo, he's stuck at 3%. Rush Limbaugh tried to go against Trump and pivot to supporting Cruz, but it backfired and he walked it back today. There are going to be 9 candidates (still) at the debate, so a coordinated take-down of Trump is basically impossible, so Trump's going to come out of the debate either unchanged or better. fade5 fucked around with this message at 23:51 on Dec 15, 2015 |
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Dec 15, 2015 23:46
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fade5 posted:
What happened at the end of September that ate Trump's and Carson's numbers temporarily?
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Dec 15, 2015 23:48
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