Fantasy Football 2015: Value Based Guessing

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Popero: Apr 17, 2001; .406/.553/.735

BabeLiker90 posted:

I'm still not sure between Karlos and Denard. I almost feel like no matter who I start I'll be okay. (Ppr)

I started Denard under these same circumstances.

# ? Dec 27, 2015 16:46

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# ? Jun 5, 2024 11:21

MrSargent: Dec 23, 2003; Sometimes, there's a man, well, he's the man for his time and place. He fits right in there. And that's Jimmy T.

I need a gut check. I'm currently starting the following at RB.

Hightower
Williams
Artis Payne

Am I being stupid benching both Miller and Gurley when they helped get me here? I had a huge game from Cousins last night so need a safe floor more than I need a high ceiling at this point I think. The usage/matchup issues have me really questioning who to play.

# ? Dec 27, 2015 16:58

Moxie: Aug 2, 2003

Gobias Ind. posted:

Baldwin if he plays. I'd honestly go Decker over Cobb at this point

Decker and Cobb

# ? Dec 27, 2015 17:02

MacheteZombie: Feb 4, 2007

My opponent in my champ game threw in Gillislee over sproles at the last minute last night. Is this guy actually going to do anything?

# ? Dec 27, 2015 17:02

Vargo: Dec 27, 2008; 'Cuz it's KILLIN' ME!

Which one is less poo poo right now, Joique Bell or Spencer Ware?

# ? Dec 27, 2015 17:09

MrSargent: Dec 23, 2003; Sometimes, there's a man, well, he's the man for his time and place. He fits right in there. And that's Jimmy T.

MacheteZombie posted:

My opponent in my champ game threw in Gillislee over sproles at the last minute last night. Is this guy actually going to do anything?

He has looked pretty good in his limited carries the last few games, but will likely play backup to Karlos Williams this week or at the least be in a timeshare. I would be surprised if he put up more than the 10 Sproles did in 0.5PPR.

# ? Dec 27, 2015 17:10

MacheteZombie: Feb 4, 2007

Vargo posted:

Which one is less poo poo right now, Joique Bell or Spencer Ware?

I'm leaning Joique here. I know everyone's thinking the west/ware timeshare is back on, but I could see west getting all the touches and ware being "emergency" again.

I'll also say I'm not big on either guy,but joique might see a few more touches.

Edit: Sargent, thanks, I thought I missed the next big thing or whatever, lol.

# ? Dec 27, 2015 17:12

Vargo: Dec 27, 2008; 'Cuz it's KILLIN' ME!

MacheteZombie posted:

I'm leaning Joique here. I know everyone's thinking the west/ware timeshare is back on, but I could see west getting all the touches and ware being "emergency" again.

I'll also say I'm not big on either guy,but joique might see a few more touches.

Yeah, this is a lovely situation, I've been weak at RB depth all saeason, but especially since Marshawn's down. I was rocking Yeldon/Andrews for a while, but without Yeldon, I'm scrambling.

# ? Dec 27, 2015 17:14

Veritek83: Jul 7, 2008; The Irish can't drink. What you always have to remember with the Irish is they get mean. Virtually every Irish I've known gets mean when he drinks.

So I'm down 33-0 in the one league(12 team, ESPN standard scoring) in which I'm in the finals.

Hopefully he leaves Jeffery in and get a goose egg there, but I'm starting to second guess myself on QB and D/ST in particular. Help me goons.

# ? Dec 27, 2015 17:17

Arcturas: Mar 30, 2011

Ugh. WR2 for the Championship:

Doug Baldwin
Ted Ginn Jr.
Lockett

Obviously I play Baldwin over Lockett if he's playing (and I pay enough attention to find out an hour before the game - though it's looking likely at the moment). The hard question is whether Ginn makes sense over either.

MrSargent posted:

I need a gut check. I'm currently starting the following at RB.

Hightower
Williams
Artis Payne

Am I being stupid benching both Miller and Gurley when they helped get me here? I had a huge game from Cousins last night so need a safe floor more than I need a high ceiling at this point I think. The usage/matchup issues have me really questioning who to play.

I don't think Miller's that bad a bet. But I also hope both Miller & Gurley crash & burn this week because my opponent has both.

# ? Dec 27, 2015 17:19

MrSargent: Dec 23, 2003; Sometimes, there's a man, well, he's the man for his time and place. He fits right in there. And that's Jimmy T.

Veritek83 posted:

So I'm down 33-0 in the one league(12 team, ESPN standard scoring) in which I'm in the finals.

Hopefully he leaves Jeffery in and get a goose egg there, but I'm starting to second guess myself on QB and D/ST in particular. Help me goons.

As good as Bortles has been, I can't see sitting Ben for him. They both have tasty matchups but Ben has the proven track record so you have to go with him. As for your defense, I don't think you would be horribly wrong to play Pittsburgh over them, but they have been solid all year and Atlanta's offense hasn't looked good all year. I'd consider the Panthers D stud status.

# ? Dec 27, 2015 17:22

Veritek83: Jul 7, 2008; The Irish can't drink. What you always have to remember with the Irish is they get mean. Virtually every Irish I've known gets mean when he drinks.

MrSargent posted:

As good as Bortles has been, I can't see sitting Ben for him. They both have tasty matchups but Ben has the proven track record so you have to go with him. As for your defense, I don't think you would be horribly wrong to play Pittsburgh over them, but they have been solid all year and Atlanta's offense hasn't looked good all year. I'd consider the Panthers D stud status.

Yeah- while the Panthers let me down in a couple of other leagues last week, I feel like this is a 'dance with the one that brought you' situation.

# ? Dec 27, 2015 17:24

Vargo: Dec 27, 2008; 'Cuz it's KILLIN' ME!

Veritek83 posted:

So I'm down 33-0 in the one league(12 team, ESPN standard scoring) in which I'm in the finals.

Hopefully he leaves Jeffery in and get a goose egg there, but I'm starting to second guess myself on QB and D/ST in particular. Help me goons.

Play Bortles. When in doubt, bet against the NO Defense. (Disclaimer: I am a Jags fan.)

Keep the Panthers D in, though. Last time they played, the Falcons put up 0 points against them, and the Falcolns haven't gotten any better.

# ? Dec 27, 2015 17:26

MrSargent: Dec 23, 2003; Sometimes, there's a man, well, he's the man for his time and place. He fits right in there. And that's Jimmy T.

Veritek83 posted:

Yeah- while the Panthers let me down in a couple of other leagues last week, I feel like this is a 'dance with the one that brought you' situation.

Yah I can understand being a little upset with last week, but they are playing the team they held to 0 points just two weeks ago.

# ? Dec 27, 2015 17:26

dat one portagee: Dec 6, 2006; WAT DOIN BUG?

I've got the same QBs and I'm starting big ben. Steelers offense is on fire and it looks like they have a chance to improve their playoff standing significantly going forward.

# ? Dec 27, 2015 17:27

BigFactory: Sep 17, 2002

CMike or Calvin for a .5 ppr flex?

# ? Dec 27, 2015 17:31

KidDynamite: Feb 11, 2005

Starting 2 in 1 ppr 6 point per TD league.

Bilal Powel vs NE
Ameer Abudullah vs SF
Charles Sims vs CHI

I'm thinking Powell and Abdullah. Guy I'm facing got 13.5 out of sproles yesterday so need my guys to be able to cover that.

# ? Dec 27, 2015 17:37

Rorobb: Aug 17, 2005

Ugh I keep flip flopping on this... Cmike, Gore, James White, Wheaton, or LaFell for my flex? Standard scoring. Stupid OBJ... I'm leaning Gore but I don't like it.

# ? Dec 27, 2015 17:38

MacheteZombie: Feb 4, 2007

Anyone considered about Demaryius today? Brock is looking shaky back there, cinci is good on def, dthom has been dropping balls lately.

I have golden Tate vs sf, west vs cle, Lamar vs ind. .5 ppr

# ? Dec 27, 2015 17:47

Vargo: Dec 27, 2008; 'Cuz it's KILLIN' ME!

MacheteZombie posted:

Anyone considered about Demaryius today? Brock is looking shaky back there, cinci is good on def, dthom has been dropping balls lately.

I have golden Tate vs sf, west vs cle, Lamar vs ind. .5 ppr

Same concerns, but with Emmanuel Sanders. But my other flex options are Kearse and Ware and I'm 55 points down, soooo.....

In your case, I'd go with West if you don't play Demaryius.

# ? Dec 27, 2015 17:54

Arcturas: Mar 30, 2011

Rorobb posted:

Ugh I keep flip flopping on this... Cmike, Gore, James White, Wheaton, or LaFell for my flex? Standard scoring. Stupid OBJ... I'm leaning Gore but I don't like it.

I've got different bad options, but I'm also flexing Gore this week. It's not ideal but...

# ? Dec 27, 2015 17:56

Spoeank: Jul 16, 2003; That's a nice set of 11 dynasty points there, it would be a shame if 3 rings were to happen with it

I need a last minute gut check to know I'm right here. PPR. I've been in this league a decade and I haven't won and it feels like I should be taking down the title this weekend but I'm so nervous :ohdear:

# ? Dec 27, 2015 18:04

SurgicalOntologist: Jun 17, 2004

/\ Looks good to me at least.

SurgicalOntologist posted:

I'm second-guessing starting Bilal Powell vs NE over Hightower vs JAC in half-PPR. Hightower seems more reliable, but Powell's targets the last 5 games: 7, 5, 13, 5, 7. Although Hightower went from never getting targets to getting 4 last week...

Second opinion anyone?

# ? Dec 27, 2015 18:10

pmchem: Jan 22, 2010

Spoeank posted:

I need a last minute gut check to know I'm right here. PPR. I've been in this league a decade and I haven't won and it feels like I should be taking down the title this weekend but I'm so nervous

I'd consider Hightower over Karlos but they're both solid options. Same with Stafford over Russ, but Russ is at home so seems legit.

# ? Dec 27, 2015 18:10

pmchem: Jan 22, 2010

Cobb, Denard Robinson, Cooks. PPR, pick two? Thinking first two due to Honeybadger injury and likelihood of Saints implosion.

# ? Dec 27, 2015 18:12

Arkane: Dec 19, 2006; by R. Guyovich

.5 PPR FLEX spot

My options are Randall Cobb, Lamar Miller, or Tim Hightower

Was gonna play Cobb, but the report that Peterson is gonna cover him has me wanting to play Miller instead. Thoughts?

# ? Dec 27, 2015 18:15

dxt: Mar 27, 2004; METAL DISCHARGE

Unsure about my Flex, RB2 and WR2 spots. yahoo standard 0ppr. For 3rd place after losing by 1 point last week (gently caress Eddie Lacy)

# ? Dec 27, 2015 18:16

Arkane: Dec 19, 2006; by R. Guyovich

pmchem posted:

Cobb, Denard Robinson, Cooks. PPR, pick two? Thinking first two due to Honeybadger injury and likelihood of Saints implosion.

Cooks for sure

Denard has a higher floor and is a safe pick in that spot, Cobb has a higher ceiling and is the riskier pick in that spot. Decide accordingly!

# ? Dec 27, 2015 18:22

pubic works project: Jan 28, 2005; No Decepticon in history, and I say this with great surety, has been treated worse or more unfairly.

Start Denard Robinson or Rueben Randle? Already have ARob and Bort going. Don't want to load up on Jags.

# ? Dec 27, 2015 18:24

BonoMan: Feb 20, 2002; Jade Ear Joe

I'm sitting Lamar Miller in my semis. Sorry dude. Sore quad and ankle plus lovely playcalling equals me not playing him.

I'm rolling with Woodhead who already got a solid 10 and:

McFadden
Hightower
Artis-Payne

Any reason to roll with C-AP over Hightower or DMC? Cam is my QB.

# ? Dec 27, 2015 18:26

illcendiary: Dec 4, 2005; Damn, this is good coffee.

Flex position, no PPR:

Ginn @ ATL
Hilton @ MIA
Lamar Miller vs. IND
Artis-Payne @ ATL
Wheaton @ BAL

I have too many options :qq:

# ? Dec 27, 2015 18:28

Crunkjuice: Apr 4, 2007; That could've gotten in my eye!
*launches teargas at unarmed protestors*

I THINK OAKLAND PD'S USE OF EXCESSIVE FORCE WAS JUSTIFIED!

Delanie Walker or Julius Thomas? Both are solid loving options and I can't pick between them

# ? Dec 27, 2015 18:28

Spoeank: Jul 16, 2003; That's a nice set of 11 dynasty points there, it would be a shame if 3 rings were to happen with it

Crunkjuice posted:

Delanie Walker or Julius Thomas? Both are solid loving options and I can't pick between them

I'd roll with Thomas because of the matchup.

And thanks for your help pmchem and SurgicalOntologist

# ? Dec 27, 2015 18:30

Beer4TheBeerGod: Aug 23, 2004; Exciting Lemon

Gobias Ind. posted:

Aiken.

Flex one of the following in standard (I can't make up my mind!):

Artis-Payne vs Atlanta
Hillman vs Cincinnati
Kearse vs St. Louis
CMike vs. St.Louis

Artis-Payne.

Moxie posted:

Decker
Cobb
Baldwin (Q)
Megatron (Q)
Moncrief (Q)

Starting Cobb as of this moment

Decke if Baldwin is out.

BabeLiker90 posted:

I'm still not sure between Karlos and Denard. I almost feel like no matter who I start I'll be okay. (Ppr)

Denard.

MrSargent posted:

I need a gut check. I'm currently starting the following at RB.

Hightower
Williams
Artis Payne

Am I being stupid benching both Miller and Gurley when they helped get me here? I had a huge game from Cousins last night so need a safe floor more than I need a high ceiling at this point I think. The usage/matchup issues have me really questioning who to play.

I would put Gurley in over Williams, personally. I prefer proven assets to folks in potential timeshares, but I could be wrong. I don't know WTF to make up Miller.

Vargo posted:

Which one is less poo poo right now, Joique Bell or Spencer Ware?

Bell.

Arcturas posted:

Ugh. WR2 for the Championship:

Doug Baldwin
Ted Ginn Jr.
Lockett

Obviously I play Baldwin over Lockett if he's playing (and I pay enough attention to find out an hour before the game - though it's looking likely at the moment). The hard question is whether Ginn makes sense over either.

Ted Ginn Jr. has scored 20+ points the last three weeks and is clearly a stud in the offense. I would go with him.

BigFactory posted:

CMike or Calvin for a .5 ppr flex?

CMike. I don't know WTF is up with Megatron and I don't want to know.

KidDynamite posted:

Starting 2 in 1 ppr 6 point per TD league.

Bilal Powel vs NE
Ameer Abudullah vs SF
Charles Sims vs CHI

I'm thinking Powell and Abdullah. Guy I'm facing got 13.5 out of sproles yesterday so need my guys to be able to cover that.

Sounds viable. It's a coin flip.

Rorobb posted:

Ugh I keep flip flopping on this... Cmike, Gore, James White, Wheaton, or LaFell for my flex? Standard scoring. Stupid OBJ... I'm leaning Gore but I don't like it.

CMike.

MacheteZombie posted:

Anyone considered about Demaryius today? Brock is looking shaky back there, cinci is good on def, dthom has been dropping balls lately.

I have golden Tate vs sf, west vs cle, Lamar vs ind. .5 ppr

West is a must start this week.

Spoeank posted:

I need a last minute gut check to know I'm right here. PPR. I've been in this league a decade and I haven't won and it feels like I should be taking down the title this weekend but I'm so nervous

You're good.

SurgicalOntologist posted:

Second opinion anyone?

Go with your gut.

pmchem posted:

Cobb, Denard Robinson, Cooks. PPR, pick two? Thinking first two due to Honeybadger injury and likelihood of Saints implosion.

Denard and Cooks.

Arkane posted:

.5 PPR FLEX spot

My options are Randall Cobb, Lamar Miller, or Tim Hightower

Was gonna play Cobb, but the report that Peterson is gonna cover him has me wanting to play Miller instead. Thoughts?

Go with your gut.

dxt posted:

Unsure about my Flex, RB2 and WR2 spots. yahoo standard 0ppr. For 3rd place after losing by 1 point last week (gently caress Eddie Lacy)

You're good.

SeannieDarko posted:

Start Denard Robinson or Rueben Randle? Already have ARob and Bort going. Don't want to load up on Jags.

Denard Robinson. Load up on Jags.

BonoMan posted:

I'm sitting Lamar Miller in my semis. Sorry dude. Sore quad and ankle plus lovely playcalling equals me not playing him.

I'm rolling with Woodhead who already got a solid 10 and:

McFadden
Hightower
Artis-Payne

Any reason to roll with C-AP over Hightower or DMC? Cam is my QB.

Go with your gut here. C-AP has a great matchup but DMC is the only thing left in Dallas. I might consider C-AP over Hightower but I think you'll be fine.

illcendiary posted:

Flex position, no PPR:

Ginn @ ATL
Hilton @ MIA
Lamar Miller vs. IND
Artis-Payne @ ATL
Wheaton @ BAL

I have too many options

Artis-Payne.

Crunkjuice posted:

Delanie Walker or Julius Thomas? Both are solid loving options and I can't pick between them

Julius.

# ? Dec 27, 2015 18:32

pmchem: Jan 22, 2010

SeannieDarko posted:

Start Denard Robinson or Rueben Randle? Already have ARob and Bort going. Don't want to load up on Jags.

Why not? They face the worst D in the league.

# ? Dec 27, 2015 18:35

Spoeank: Jul 16, 2003; That's a nice set of 11 dynasty points there, it would be a shame if 3 rings were to happen with it

Fantasy Football 2016:

# ? Dec 27, 2015 18:35

Beer4TheBeerGod: Aug 23, 2004; Exciting Lemon

^^^ Oh for gently caress's sake.

Half PPR with 2RB and a flex. Currently starting Gurley (@Sea), Artis-Payne (@Atl), and Rashad Jennings (@Min). Currently sitting Kelce (Cle), Diggs (NYG), Bolden (@NYJ), and Gillislee (Dal).

Sanity check?

# ? Dec 27, 2015 18:37