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Evil_Greven
Feb 20, 2007

Whadda I got to,
whadda I got to do
to wake ya up?

To shake ya up,
to break the structure up!?
As expected...

...for a brief time period, anyway.

It's loving Winter. It is pitch dark there, now.

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lollontee
Nov 4, 2014
Probation
Can't post for 10 years!


This was our front yard a week ago. In Finland.

There's a joke in there somewhere.

lollontee
Nov 4, 2014
Probation
Can't post for 10 years!
Are there any good sites for projections and simulations of how climate change might affect different areas of the world vis a vis food production capacity and general weather.

Salt Fish
Sep 11, 2003

Cybernetic Crumb

Friendly Tumour posted:

Are there any good sites for projections and simulations of how climate change might affect different areas of the world vis a vis food production capacity and general weather.

Similar but different; are there any good climate blogs written by individual researchers/scientists? Something on the level of schneier.com, old fivethirtyeight.com, or old badastronomy?

El Perkele
Nov 7, 2002

I HAVE SHIT OPINIONS ON STAR WARS MOVIES!!!

I can't even call the right one bad.

blowfish posted:

hmmm no but neither will green government lead to effective environmental protection~

(green parties are useful to provide a voice that points out we should do something about the environment, but are not useful when it comes to making effective environmental policy)

how come so

Green parties are a direct descedant of the green enviromentalist movements of 1960-1990s which pretty much introduced environmental policy as a distinct field of policy in Western political systems

computer parts
Nov 18, 2010

PLEASE CLAP

El Perkele posted:

how come so

Green parties are a direct descedant of the green enviromentalist movements of 1960-1990s which pretty much introduced environmental policy as a distinct field of policy in Western political systems

Basically because the ideologies of the 1970s-80s still dominate the parties and they haven't adapted to the times. The easiest example is how nuclear power plants were much maligned in the 70s & 80s so modern green parties focus on getting rid of nuclear at any cost.

This is fine, except what often happens is that nuclear plants are shut down in favor of coal plants, which fucks the planet over even more.

suck my woke dick
Oct 10, 2012

:siren:I CANNOT EJACULATE WITHOUT SEEING NATIVE AMERICANS BRUTALISED!:siren:

Put this cum-loving slave on ignore immediately!
Also GMOs and generally methods of sustainability and climate change adaptation involving anything that could be termed intensive agriculture.

suck my woke dick
Oct 10, 2012

:siren:I CANNOT EJACULATE WITHOUT SEEING NATIVE AMERICANS BRUTALISED!:siren:

Put this cum-loving slave on ignore immediately!

El Perkele posted:

how come so

Green parties are a direct descedant of the green enviromentalist movements of 1960-1990s which pretty much introduced environmental policy as a distinct field of policy in Western political systems

We got...

* protected species lists (which haven't changed much except for growing some more and having some bans for collecting individual specimens extended to include imported things)
* loads of little nature reserves around particular habitats/species (which often end up going to poo poo due to being small)
* only sometimes national parks large enough and in sufficiently undisturbed areas to keep working without management
* rubber dinghies throwing themselves in front of Japanese whaling ships

All of these things work as well or as badly as they did in the 1960s and are only effective when focused on a small scale or on very well defined targets (i.e. save the whales or particular patches of land) while being grossly inadequate when dealing with climate change effects or when applied to minimising damage from land use or fishing across entire nations. It generally takes quite a lot of effort to get an organised programme going like in the case of the EU habitats directive which gives blanket protection to the entire area used by populations of target species or target habitats and penalises degradation of these habitats. Even in this case country-level conservation policy had to be dragged kicking and screaming into the 1990s state of the art during the 2000s with this likely-accidentally-effective directive and the EU still spends conservation money mainly on scaled-up land sharing (i.e. organic farms) rather than on land sparing (i.e. sustainable intensification).

suck my woke dick fucked around with this message at 23:34 on Dec 30, 2015

El Perkele
Nov 7, 2002

I HAVE SHIT OPINIONS ON STAR WARS MOVIES!!!

I can't even call the right one bad.

blowfish posted:

We got...

* protected species lists (which haven't changed much except for growing some more and having some bans for collecting individual specimens extended to include imported things)
* loads of little nature reserves around particular habitats/species (which often end up going to poo poo due to being small)
* only sometimes national parks large enough and in sufficiently undisturbed areas to keep working without management
* rubber dinghies throwing themselves in front of Japanese whaling ships

All of these things work as well or as badly as they did in the 1960s and are only effective when focused on a small scale or on very well defined targets (i.e. save the whales or particular patches of land) while being grossly inadequate when dealing with climate change effects or when applied to minimising damage from land use or fishing across entire nations. It generally takes quite a lot of effort to get an organised programme going like in the case of the EU habitats directive which gives blanket protection to the entire area used by populations of target species or target habitats and penalises degradation of these habitats. Even in this case country-level conservation policy had to be dragged kicking and screaming into the 1990s state of the art during the 2000s with this likely-accidentally-effective directive and the EU still spends conservation money mainly on scaled-up land sharing (i.e. organic farms) rather than on land sparing (i.e. sustainable intensification).

That's a weird list since it only contains very particular aspects of environmental policy and completely disregards stuff like water and energy management, urban planning, ecosystem services etc. Saying that "green governments cannot lead to effective environmental protection" is a pretty bold claim. I could just as well claim that social democratic governments cannot lead to effective socialdemocratic societies, and say that minimum wage laws are a relic. It's not quite solid enough - and green movements and parties have been at the forefront of actually drafting and proposing environmental legislation, often against considerable adversity from other political factions. Oh, and the most visible EU conservation projects in Baltic area are area conservation and water/soil management projects, not organic farming, unless farming subsidies are lumped underneath conservation policies, which just makes everything insane

Unless your contention with green environmental protection is that capitalist and environmentally sustainable socities are at odds and green parties are just complicit in long-term destruction of environment for short-term monetary gain in which case I vehemently agree :v

El Perkele
Nov 7, 2002

I HAVE SHIT OPINIONS ON STAR WARS MOVIES!!!

I can't even call the right one bad.

computer parts posted:

Basically because the ideologies of the 1970s-80s still dominate the parties and they haven't adapted to the times. The easiest example is how nuclear power plants were much maligned in the 70s & 80s so modern green parties focus on getting rid of nuclear at any cost.

This is fine, except what often happens is that nuclear plants are shut down in favor of coal plants, which fucks the planet over even more.

Energy policies are not the end-all be-all of environmental policies, which encompass a whole more subjects than "nuclear power all day long".

Complaining about environmental politics and parties "because nuclear power" is extremely often employed as something like concern trolling. Just saying.

El Perkele fucked around with this message at 00:09 on Dec 31, 2015

doverhog
May 31, 2013

Defender of democracy and human rights 🇺🇦
If you consider the fact countries like Germany and Sweden are replacing their nuclear plants with coal due to Green ideologies it's a perfectly valid complaint.

computer parts
Nov 18, 2010

PLEASE CLAP

El Perkele posted:

Energy policies are not the end-all be-all of environmental policies, which encompass a whole more subjects than "nuclear power all day long".

Complaining about environmental politics and parties "because nuclear power" is extremely often employed as something like concern trolling. Just saying.

That's one example. The GMO controversy is another example.

Radbot
Aug 12, 2009
Probation
Can't post for 3 years!
When you think about it, it's really the environmentalist's fault.

Trabisnikof
Dec 24, 2005

From a US perspective, I would add: the Clean Water Act, the Clean Air Act, the Surface Mining Control and Reclamation Act, Resource Conservation and Recovery Act, and the Comprehensive Environmental Response, Compensation, and Liability Act. Those are just off the top of my head. All do massive amounts to protect our environment and society to this day.

In Addition to the aforementioned Endangered Species Act and Wilderness Act that have had massive positive impacts and continue to do so.

Also it is the Clean Air Act that is allowing the EPA to put in place the Clean Power Plan without a new act of Congress.

So blame the environmentalists for not being "good enough" but it is ignorant to pretend that the impacts of the laws passed on the backs of their efforts only work on the small scale.

computer parts
Nov 18, 2010

PLEASE CLAP

Trabisnikof posted:

From a US perspective, I would add: the Clean Water Act, the Clean Air Act, the Surface Mining Control and Reclamation Act, Resource Conservation and Recovery Act, and the Comprehensive Environmental Response, Compensation, and Liability Act. Those are just off the top of my head. All do massive amounts to protect our environment and society to this day.

In Addition to the aforementioned Endangered Species Act and Wilderness Act that have had massive positive impacts and continue to do so.

Also it is the Clean Air Act that is allowing the EPA to put in place the Clean Power Plan without a new act of Congress.

So blame the environmentalists for not being "good enough" but it is ignorant to pretend that the impacts of the laws passed on the backs of their efforts only work on the small scale.

I didn't know Nixon was an environmentalist.

StabbinHobo
Oct 18, 2002

by Jeffrey of YOSPOS

computer parts posted:

I didn't know Nixon was an environmentalist.

chalking everything legislative that happened up to the president of the moment isn't just poo poo politics its poo poo posting

computer parts
Nov 18, 2010

PLEASE CLAP

StabbinHobo posted:

chalking everything legislative that happened up to the president of the moment isn't just poo poo politics its poo poo posting

He specifically pushed for some of those policies.

doverhog
May 31, 2013

Defender of democracy and human rights 🇺🇦
Nixon was a better president than Reagan or Bush jr.

Uncle Jam
Aug 20, 2005

Perfect

computer parts posted:

He specifically pushed for some of those policies.

And those policies rock. When I was a kid no restaurant or cafe in the city had outdoor seating next to the sidewalk because it was disgusting outside.

Trabisnikof
Dec 24, 2005

computer parts posted:

I didn't know Nixon was an environmentalist.

Here's something that could help complete your education: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Presidency_of_Richard_Nixon

Sogol
Apr 11, 2013

Galileo's Finger
It seems to me that the conversation about "what to do" often hovers at a certain level of abstraction. For me the question I have to continuously ask myself is whether or not I am functioning as a beneficiary of the active and created system that is actively producing planetary degradation and resource inequity resulting in climate change and systemic poverty. Of course I need to understand and come to some decisions for myself about the nature of that system. If I determine that I am functioning as a beneficiary, do I care about that? If I do, consistent with the OP, where are the various levels of action and response available to me? What would need to change about my own life if I cared, both immediately and in terms of how I conceive of a future? What would need to change about the "way of life" in which I was actively participating and from which I was actively benefiting? How would I go about participating in the possibility of such change? Are there points of leverage for action, non-cooperation, etc.? Do I have a coherent change model in general and change models specific to the sorts of changes I might imagine as benevolent? The level of abstraction is often pinned to some version of keeping in tact a way of life, and therefore status as a beneficiary, of the system producing the effect. The reasoning and argumentation often seems to proceed backward from there (Arkane being the poster child for this). Aspects of the way of life are treated as necessary, it seems to me. As a beneficiary, typing this on an iPad, etc. my own determination of necessity is not entirely trustworthy in this matter.

Fuck You And Diebold
Sep 15, 2004

by Athanatos

Friendly Tumour posted:

Are there any good sites for projections and simulations of how climate change might affect different areas of the world vis a vis food production capacity and general weather.

From what I understand the modeling isn't nearly strong/detailed/reliable enough to point to specific climate changes for a specific region. The are guesstimates, mostly based on long term fairly obvious things, like overall warming shifting growing zones towards the poles, but even something like rainfall depends on so many variables there are no solid projections.

El Perkele
Nov 7, 2002

I HAVE SHIT OPINIONS ON STAR WARS MOVIES!!!

I can't even call the right one bad.

doverhog posted:

If you consider the fact countries like Germany and Sweden are replacing their nuclear plants with coal due to Green ideologies it's a perfectly valid complaint.

It is a valid complaint, but it reduces the scope of environmental policies to one or two aspects of it, while completely ignoring the larger picture - and it doesn't even start to consider the intra-envipol/envir.movement schisms regarding energy policies.

Environmental policies and conservation are a broad issue. Many environmental politicians and movements do not really focus 100 % on GMO or energy policies, whereas popular discussions about environmental policies are unusually focused on nuclear policies and ignore other areas of that field of politics.

Honj Steak
May 31, 2013

Hi there.
It's also not really the Greens' fault that Germany produces more coal energy than a few years ago. The exit from nuclear energy was decided by a conservative government and it was supposed to be replaced entirely by renewables, but some local politicians and most energy companies decided to push for coal, too. This is even criticised by the current federal minister of energy, who is a social democrat.

computer parts
Nov 18, 2010

PLEASE CLAP

Honj Steak posted:

It's also not really the Greens' fault that Germany produces more coal energy than a few years ago. The exit from nuclear energy was decided by a conservative government and it was supposed to be replaced entirely by renewables, but some local politicians and most energy companies decided to push for coal, too. This is even criticised by the current federal minister of energy, who is a social democrat.

Have they released responses criticizing the shift towards coal?

Aves Maria!
Jul 26, 2008

Maybe I'll drown

blowfish posted:

Also GMOs and generally methods of sustainability and climate change adaptation involving anything that could be termed intensive agriculture.

To be fair, things like Bt crops and crops that encourage the increased use of pesticides are not good from a wider ecological perspective.

Not to say GMOs are bad, just that some applications are suspect at best.

computer parts
Nov 18, 2010

PLEASE CLAP

Lotka Volterra posted:

To be fair, things like Bt crops and crops that encourage the increased use of pesticides are not good from a wider ecological perspective.

Not to say GMOs are bad, just that some applications are suspect at best.

Crops that encourage increased use of pesticides are known as "organic".

Trabisnikof
Dec 24, 2005

computer parts posted:

Crops that encourage increased use of pesticides are known as "organic".

We get it, you're mad cause some hippie stole your lover but your neverending need to beat up on the strawman dumbo-greenie adds nothing to this thread.

computer parts
Nov 18, 2010

PLEASE CLAP

Trabisnikof posted:

We get it, you're mad cause some hippie stole your lover but your neverending need to beat up on the strawman dumbo-greenie adds nothing to this thread.

It is a common misconception that organic crops require fewer pesticides and fewer resources. You can see this misconception (at least in terms of the pesticides) in the person I quoted.

Correcting this misconception is required for productive policy regarding resource usage, especially a major field like agriculture.

Trabisnikof
Dec 24, 2005

computer parts posted:

It is a common misconception that organic crops require fewer pesticides and fewer resources. You can see this misconception (at least in terms of the pesticides) in the person I quoted.

Correcting this misconception is required for productive policy regarding resource usage, especially a major field like agriculture.

Actually, the post you quoted never mentioned organics at all. That's why it is a very blatant strawman.


Lotka Volterra posted:

To be fair, things like Bt crops and crops that encourage the increased use of pesticides are not good from a wider ecological perspective.

Not to say GMOs are bad, just that some applications are suspect at best.

Look! No mention of organics at all! But yet you had to jump in at attack your organics strawman in the climate change thread. Also afaik everything in Lotka Volterra's post is valid.

computer parts
Nov 18, 2010

PLEASE CLAP

Trabisnikof posted:

Actually, the post you quoted never mentioned organics at all. That's why it is a very blatant strawman.


Look! No mention of organics at all! But yet you had to jump in at attack your organics strawman in the climate change thread. Also afaik everything in Lotka Volterra's post is valid.

You seem very testy about organics. Do you happen to live in the Pacific Northwest?

Trabisnikof
Dec 24, 2005

computer parts posted:

You seem very testy about organics? Do you happen to live in the Pacific Northwest?

No I really don't give a poo poo about organics. I just find your shitposting in the climate thread very annoying. No one but you is talking about organics.


Anyway, for those who wanted the discuss the topic of this thread, have some video of the SoCalGas leak: https://youtu.be/exfJ8VPQDTY

1/4 of the methane emissions of California....

Aves Maria!
Jul 26, 2008

Maybe I'll drown
Trabisnikof already said it as well as I could have, I was not at all referring to organic versus GMO crops but thanks for the casual dismissal of something I never said.

Fuck You And Diebold
Sep 15, 2004

by Athanatos
The anti-GMO crowd often seems to conflate Monsanto and GMO. I try and nuance their view by pointing out Monstanto, along with most of big agri, is pretty terrible. That doesn't then mean that the process of creating GMOs is terrible, as it can do cool and good things like extend the climate that crops can be grown in so resource poor areas can use more growing area, or add in nutrients to a crop that otherwise doesn't have it so key dietary needs can be addressed in the developing world. Not all GMO tech is aimed towards pesticides.

computer parts
Nov 18, 2010

PLEASE CLAP

Lotka Volterra posted:

Trabisnikof already said it as well as I could have, I was not at all referring to organic versus GMO crops but thanks for the casual dismissal of something I never said.

You provided a defense of Green Party positions of GMOs. Green Parties also tend to support Organic crops as a replacement for GMO crops. I apologize for attributing their beliefs to you, but it is not that far of a logical leap to make given the context.

Trabisnikof
Dec 24, 2005

gently caress You And Diebold posted:

The anti-GMO crowd often seems to conflate Monsanto and GMO. I try and nuance their view by pointing out Monstanto, along with most of big agri, is pretty terrible. That doesn't then mean that the process of creating GMOs is terrible, as it can do cool and good things like extend the climate that crops can be grown in so resource poor areas can use more growing area, or add in nutrients to a crop that otherwise doesn't have it so key dietary needs can be addressed in the developing world. Not all GMO tech is aimed towards pesticides.

Or bio-sequestration will likely need GMOs to be effective enough by the time we get our act together. Although a lot of people think we still shouldn't be talking about geoengineering.

Aves Maria!
Jul 26, 2008

Maybe I'll drown

computer parts posted:

You provided a defense of Green Party positions of GMOs. Green Parties also tend to support Organic crops as a replacement for GMO crops. I apologize for attributing their beliefs to you, but it is not that far of a logical leap to make given the context.

I attempted to head that off with the qualifying statement at the end, but apparently I didn't phrase it emphatically enough. I essentially agree with Diebold's position, just pointing out poor applications that lend an air of legitimacy to the anti-GMO crowd.

Shayu
Feb 9, 2014
Five dollars for five words.
Do I give up my nice things like car, phone, heat for climate changes to end? Don't want to do that.

Freakazoid_
Jul 5, 2013


Buglord

gently caress You And Diebold posted:

The anti-GMO crowd often seems to conflate Monsanto and GMO. I try and nuance their view by pointing out Monstanto, along with most of big agri, is pretty terrible. That doesn't then mean that the process of creating GMOs is terrible, as it can do cool and good things like extend the climate that crops can be grown in so resource poor areas can use more growing area, or add in nutrients to a crop that otherwise doesn't have it so key dietary needs can be addressed in the developing world. Not all GMO tech is aimed towards pesticides.

I would say Monsanto and GMOs are inseparable at this point. I know GMOs could be used for good, but they're currently being used for bad and we need to address that first, even if it means hampering GMOs for a while.

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Verge
Nov 26, 2014

Where do you live? Do you have normal amenities, like a fridge and white skin?

Shayu posted:

Do I give up my nice things like car, phone, heat for climate changes to end? Don't want to do that.

That point is contested. I don't think many people think you'll lose necessities like heating but your car is up for debate. Phones have very small carbon footprints if I know my pollution.

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