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Arbite
Nov 4, 2009





Grey Hunter posted:


Here is the plan in China – we're pushing for the big one! I want to free up troops for other regions!

Sounds good, but are you going to go over the river straight into the city or detour slightly NW?

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uPen
Jan 25, 2010

Zu Rodina!
A major river crossing shock attack into a million Chinese soldiers seems par for the course.

Dwanyelle
Jan 13, 2008

ISRAEL DOESN'T HAVE CIVILIANS THEY'RE ALL VALID TARGETS
I'm a huge dickbag ignore me

fredleander posted:

Please scream when Operation Sealion is released! I have a vested interest: https://www.fredleander.com

Oh, that's too cool!


Do you think Sealion was at all a realistic goal for the Germans?

goatface
Dec 5, 2007

I had a video of that when I was about 6.

I remember it being shit.


Grimey Drawer

I'd hope the plan is something like one of:

So that it follows roads and might get there in under a year.

Ikasuhito
Sep 29, 2013

Haram as Fuck.

Thalantos posted:

Oh, that's too cool!


Do you think Sealion was at all a realistic goal for the Germans?

I'll give you a hint, part of the Germans plan for landing troops and equipment apparently involved the use of river barges.

Nothingtoseehere
Nov 11, 2010


Thalantos posted:

Oh, that's too cool!


Do you think Sealion was at all a realistic goal for the Germans?

http://www.philmasters.org.uk/SF/Sealion.htm

An essay from the earliest days of the internet how unrealistic a sealion landing would be.

Zeroisanumber
Oct 23, 2010

Nap Ghost

Thalantos posted:

Do you think Sealion was at all a realistic goal for the Germans?

No, not really. If they'd won the Battle of Britain they might have been able to put a squeeze on the islands, and if they'd taken Egypt and effectively cut Great Britain off from the rest of their empire they'd have been within shouting distance of winning the war, but actual invasion just wasn't possible with the equipment they had on-hand.

SIGSEGV
Nov 4, 2010


Ikasuhito posted:

I'll give you a hint, part of the Germans plan for landing troops and equipment apparently involved the use of river barges.

Put tigers on river barges and you have pocket pocket battleships. (Probably a thought Hitler had.)

TheDemon
Dec 11, 2006

...on the plus side I'm feeling much more angry now than I expected so this totally helps me get in character.

Zeroisanumber posted:

No, not really. If they'd won the Battle of Britain they might have been able to put a squeeze on the islands, and if they'd taken Egypt and effectively cut Great Britain off from the rest of their empire they'd have been within shouting distance of winning the war, but actual invasion just wasn't possible with the equipment they had on-hand.

Winning the Battle of Britain was probably logistically impossible by itself, so yeah.

Neophyte
Apr 23, 2006

perennially
Taco Defender

SIGSEGV posted:

Put tigers on river barges and you have pocket pocket battleships. (Probably a thought Hitler had.)

"Behold! The Scharnhorstschitte!"

A Festivus Miracle
Dec 19, 2012

I have come to discourse on the profound inequities of the American political system.

Davin Valkri posted:

Three months from now, Chungking will become a battle that will make KIAfeng look like children's playtime. The best (?) part is that it won't be Grey's fault.

If Grey could knock out Chungking in 1942 I would be absolutely shocked. It would change the whole game. I really doubt that even in the best of circumstances he could do it before the end of 1943 though. If everything goes his way, maybe.

nimby
Nov 4, 2009

The pinnacle of cloud computing.



Thalantos posted:

Do you think Sealion was at all a realistic goal for the Germans?

If they just believed hard enough, anything was possible, I suppose.

TildeATH
Oct 21, 2010

by Lowtax

A White Guy posted:

If Grey could knock out Chungking in 1942 I would be absolutely shocked. It would change the whole game. I really doubt that even in the best of circumstances he could do it before the end of 1943 though. If everything goes his way, maybe.

On the one hand, Grey Hunter is playing against the AI.

On the other hand, the AI is defiantly playing against Grey Hunter.

Deep Dish Fuckfest
Sep 6, 2006

Advanced
Computer Touching


Toilet Rascal
Sometimes the UI and/or Grey Hunter is also playing against Grey Hunter. Big wild card if you ask me.

AriadneThread
Feb 17, 2011

The Devil sounds like smoke and honey. We cannot move. It is too beautiful.


TildeATH posted:

On the other hand, the AI is defiantly playing against Grey Hunter.

low blow

Grumio
Sep 20, 2001

in culina est
When can we expect the Junyo to be ready? The building was accelerated in the Dec 7 post, but the delivery date was the same as its commissioning IRL (3 May). I'm not familiar with the industry mechanics; I'm guessing that date isn't updated immediately?

Nick Esasky
Nov 10, 2009
every day a ship spends under acceleration is two days off the quene, IIRC. We'll probably be seeing Junyo in the middle of March.

A Festivus Miracle
Dec 19, 2012

I have come to discourse on the profound inequities of the American political system.

Nick Esasky posted:

every day a ship spends under acceleration is two days off the quene, IIRC. We'll probably be seeing Junyo in the middle of March.

So, by the time the IJN gets one new carrier, the Allies get like what? 1 CV and a couple of CVE/Ls? Grey's gonna have to do waaaaaay better than historical this time around.

TehKeen
May 24, 2006

Maybe she's born with it.
Maybe it's
cosmoline.


Out of curiosity, when should I be expecting the Musashi to enter the game? I know she was commissioned in Aug '42, but dunno what that translates to in game.

Drone
Aug 22, 2003

Incredible machine
:smug:


Have there been any intelligence reports or sightings of the three USN carriers that are currently in-theater? I don't think we've seen a peep of them in this LP.

Basically I want KB to hunt down these carriers where ever they may be.

A Festivus Miracle
Dec 19, 2012

I have come to discourse on the profound inequities of the American political system.

Drone posted:

Have there been any intelligence reports or sightings of the three USN carriers that are currently in-theater? I don't think we've seen a peep of them in this LP.

Basically I want KB to hunt down these carriers where ever they may be.

A TF with a CV ran through the Marianna's doing ~naughty things~ to some of Grey's Invasion fleets in early December, but otherwise, they haven't really been out and about much which is kinda how the Allied player should be using his CVs.

Veloxyll
May 3, 2011

Fuck you say?!

Yeah, early on your air wings are underwhelming and the threat of getting your carriers KB'd makes doing much with em early very risky

Dwanyelle
Jan 13, 2008

ISRAEL DOESN'T HAVE CIVILIANS THEY'RE ALL VALID TARGETS
I'm a huge dickbag ignore me

nothing to seehere posted:

http://www.philmasters.org.uk/SF/Sealion.htm

An essay from the earliest days of the internet how unrealistic a sealion landing would be.

I read that about a decade ago, it was one of my first exposures to more serious WW2 analysis.

lenoon
Jan 7, 2010

In essence then, the most likely Alternate history scenario for an attempted Sealion would probably have been a considerably shorter war.

edit: Mein Furher! The Wehrmacht have captured the South-Eastern portion of Kent and are advancing on Canterbury!

Aha! Excellent! We have captured some airfields that can be replaced by a guy using a horse drawn roller on one of England's 8 billion fields!

lenoon fucked around with this message at 18:15 on Jan 6, 2016

Grey Hunter
Oct 17, 2007

Hero of the soviet union.
Accidental destroyer of planets






We hit Ocean Island.



Its mine now.







They are learning, it seems.







We protect a leaving task force.







Low level fighting continues at Iba.







Dull day – they are going to happen. But hey – we're now winning a **Major Victory**!



This is optimistic.

fredleander
Dec 7, 2015

Thalantos posted:

Oh, that's too cool!


Do you think Sealion was at all a realistic goal for the Germans?

Well, the Brits thought so.

fredleander
Dec 7, 2015

Zeroisanumber posted:

No, not really. If they'd won the Battle of Britain they might have been able to put a squeeze on the islands, and if they'd taken Egypt and effectively cut Great Britain off from the rest of their empire they'd have been within shouting distance of winning the war, but actual invasion just wasn't possible with the equipment they had on-hand.

The UK was "cut off" from "their empire" already weeks before the Italians entered the war.

As for the equipment the Germans had on-hand - it was nothing wrong with that.

fredleander
Dec 7, 2015

Ikasuhito posted:

I'll give you a hint, part of the Germans plan for landing troops and equipment apparently involved the use of river barges.

Among many other things, yes. Actually, the German planning on the tactical landings were not dissimilar to those used by the Japanese. As for "river barges", more than 3.000 were modified for their particular purpose. BTW, did you know that the allies used 600 river barges in an auxiliary role during Operation Overlord?

But, we really shouldn't use more space here. After all, this thread is not about Operation Sea Lion. I was just interested in knowing when/if such a scenario was released by Matrix.

If anybody is interested in discussing Sea Lion they should establish a thread here. I can't promise to participate very much, though - I did my part on the Armchair General Forum some years ago on the thread that has gone down as - TTTSNBN - The Thread That Shall Not Be Named. It contained 15.000 postings. I also wrote a book on it. Presently I am busy with my "Saving MacArthur" project: https://www.fredleander.com. Which is why I am here in the first place. I am using the WitP as a sort of filing cabinet for the project.

lenoon
Jan 7, 2010

Even without that essay it's not difficult to understand why it would have failed (and of course us being afraid of it was simply that, fear - not always rational). Normandy went well due to complete and uncontested naval superiority and overwhelming control of the air coupled with planning, equipment and a literal gently caress ton of kit. Compare one issue - seaborne resupply. Normandy: secure beaches, specialist landing gear, sink enormous floating docks into strategic points. Sealion: we'll just take Dover and make it immediately ready for operations!

Dover isn't even a good starting point of an invasion. So we lose Kent! Aside from some airfields and bits of the radar network bugger all is on the coast anyway. The impact is on morale rather than any strategic loss - especially with the navy then blockading supply, sealion ends with the most experienced German divisions doing POW farming in the very fields they were trying to fight through.

Britain was never 100% cut off from the empire throughout the war. The happy times of the u-boat fleet made a huge impact, that goes without saying, but we were never truly and completely isolated. It plays really well into the deliberately constructed propaganda image of "very well then, alone!" To have embattled Britain constantly under threat of a credible invasion, but we should be able to separate fear and propaganda from military reality. Before the North Africa campaign we were also the home base for the vast majority of allied combatants - would have been like walking into a barracks with "tommies gently caress kids" pinned to your chest!

Koesj
Aug 3, 2003
Fred we have a *serious* military history thread here full of *serious* posts about StuG Lyfe, pikes, etc: http://forums.somethingawful.com/showthread.php?threadid=3585027

You can take your Seelöwe ramblings there.

A Festivus Miracle
Dec 19, 2012

I have come to discourse on the profound inequities of the American political system.

:allears:

Hindsight truly is 20/20. Imagine if we applied the same thinking that Hitler's lieutenants used to landing at places like Tarawa. Even with equipment specifically designed for the purpose of amphibious landing,with the training to match,plus the air and naval support, a large number of contested landings in the Pacific theater were horrendous bloodbaths. Granted, the environments are fundamentally different, and Japanese strategy for a large part of the war was "fight them on the beaches", but still.

fredleander
Dec 7, 2015

fredleander posted:

Among many other things, yes. Actually, the German planning on the tactical landings were not dissimilar to those used by the Japanese. As for "river barges", more than 3.000 were modified for their particular purpose. BTW, did you know that the allies used 600 river barges in an auxiliary role during Operation Overlord?

But, we really shouldn't use more space here. After all, this thread is not about Operation Sea Lion. I was just interested in knowing when/if such a scenario was released by Matrix.

If anybody is interested in discussing Sea Lion they should establish a thread here. I can't promise to participate very much, though - I did my part on the Armchair General Forum some years ago on the thread that has gone down as - TTTSNBN - The Thread That Shall Not Be Named. It contained 15.000 postings. I also wrote a book on it. Presently I am busy with my "Saving MacArthur" project: https://www.fredleander.com. Which is why I am here in the first place. I am using the WitP as a sort of filing cabinet for the project.

Koesj, I am not the one continuing this.....:-). ...good idea to read others postings properly.

Drone
Aug 22, 2003

Incredible machine
:smug:


The only grognard game that I know of that comes packaged with a hypothetical Sealion scenario is Decisive Campaigns: Blitzkrieg from Warsaw to Paris. There's a scenario that starts with the Germans landed on the south/southeast coast of England, but as far as I know there's really no way to impact the logistics of it. There are several options that you can define at the start of the scenario though.

fredleander
Dec 7, 2015

Grey Hunter posted:



Low level fighting continues at Iba.

Has there been any AAR's where the Japanese side has landed directly on Bataan as one of their first moves in the Philippines?

Dralun
May 22, 2012

fredleander posted:

Has there been any AAR's where the Japanese side has landed directly on Bataan as one of their first moves in the Philippines?

Not that I've seen. I assume the reason is because the map has Corregidor and other Manila Bay coastal defenses included in that hex and would thrash any attempted landing.

Dwanyelle
Jan 13, 2008

ISRAEL DOESN'T HAVE CIVILIANS THEY'RE ALL VALID TARGETS
I'm a huge dickbag ignore me

fredleander posted:

Well, the Brits thought so.

Gotta love the fog of war, I suppose.

Zeroisanumber
Oct 23, 2010

Nap Ghost

Drone posted:

The only grognard game that I know of that comes packaged with a hypothetical Sealion scenario is Decisive Campaigns: Blitzkrieg from Warsaw to Paris. There's a scenario that starts with the Germans landed on the south/southeast coast of England, but as far as I know there's really no way to impact the logistics of it. There are several options that you can define at the start of the scenario though.

Panzer General has three different hypothetical Sealion scenarios, but it also has the Amerika bomber and Maus tank so...

Drone
Aug 22, 2003

Incredible machine
:smug:


Bored, so I copied the list of variant rules options for the Sealion scenario from the DC:WtP manual, since I suppose it's relevant to the conversation.

quote:

17.5.1. VARIANT I: BEACH DEFENSE
If active, any British troops defending against an amphibious assault will fight with double
their power.
17.5.2. VARIANT II: GUERRILLA
There is 10% chance that a German-occupied hex in Britain will lose 400 supply points from
partisan action and sabotage. Furthermore, there is a 0.25% chance per occupied hex that a
British Guerrilla unit will appear.
17.5.3. VARIANT III: US VOLUNTEERS
From round 10 onwards there is 50% chance per turn that American Volunteers will arrive in
Cheltenham (0,1).
17.5.4. VARIANT IV: GAS ATTACKS
Every turn the British may execute a poison gas attack on a hex of choice (this is historically
accurate; Churchill had already authorized such action)
. These missions are considered to be
performed by Bomber Command, operating from Scotland airfields. If playing campaign mode
the Germans could have prepared for these attacks, lowering their effectiveness.
17.5.5. VARIANT V: FOR KING AND COUNTRY
Gives Britain 20% higher base morale and a 10% chance per turn per major town to get an
extra Home Guard Brigade.
17.5.6. VARIANT VI: BAD WEATHER
Normally there is 25% chance on rain. With this variant active, the chance of foul weather rises
to 40%, and the chance of a severe Channel storm rises to 10%. If there is such a storm, the
Germans will be forced to suspend cross-channel shipping of supplies and reinforcements
until the weather moderates.
17.5.7. VARIANT VII: SUCCESSFUL CORRIDOR
If this variant is active the Germans’ cross-Channel corridor will be secure for the first 7 days
instead of the first 3.
17.5.8. VARIANT VIII: BRITAIN DIVERTED
The whole XII Corps, 2nd Canadian division, 5th Flak Division and some artillery assets will be
absent, presumable because of Axis diversionary actions in other theaters. There is also only
50% chance for Britain that each of the 5 scheduled reinforcement divisions will arrive.
17.5.9. VARIANT IX: EXTRA FLEET
The Germans get extra shipping points: 30 instead of 20 a round.

Grey Hunter
Oct 17, 2007

Hero of the soviet union.
Accidental destroyer of planets






The pass here is still dangerous.



The S-38 is having a good day.







Oh, they do have some duds, I was starting to wonder.







We have planes in the Philippines?







We pick off another transport.







Nothing of import to say today – troops moved forwards, so we have men in Manilla now.



This is not unrealistic.



The West Point was one of those big liners right?

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Koesj
Aug 3, 2003

fredleander posted:

Koesj, I am not the one continuing this.....:-). ...good idea to read others postings properly.

No I mean that if you want to engage in a discussion about your work with jaded historians you can go there.

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