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hey little boy, want to be part of my presidential nomination? i've got candy in this campaign van
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Jan 21, 2016 18:23
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AARP LARPer fucked around with this message at 22:17 on Jan 22, 2016 |
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Jan 21, 2016 18:25
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Carly and Ted should gently caress and produce a bloodline of the most hateable people in existence.
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Jan 21, 2016 18:26
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does this mean we will have a national "#1 Trump Supporter" trophy will it be a hand giving the finger?
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Jan 21, 2016 18:27
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Ted Cruz is a cuck because his children hair color.
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Jan 21, 2016 18:27
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Nonsense posted:Ted Cruz is a cuck because his children hair color. Rafael Ted Cruz Two towheaded kids Still hasn't realized They ain't even his
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Jan 21, 2016 18:30
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Ok... http://mobile.nytimes.com/2016/01/22/us/politics/donald-trump-ted-cruz-republican-establishment.html?referer=https://t.co/81f0CQ0mkD&_r=1 This whole article is great, but the thrust is that GOP intellectuals backing Cruz have come to the horrifying realization that GOP lobbyists and politicians would rather blow the general and lose with Trump than risk winning with Cruz.
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Jan 21, 2016 18:32
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Today I learned how to make .gifs from videos
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Jan 21, 2016 18:32
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https://twitter.com/FiveThirtyEight/status/690223818514763777
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Jan 21, 2016 18:32
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jackofarcades posted:So working class whites with no college degree are depressed / anxious and that's made them turn to substance abuse and suicide. Trump is appealing to these emotions to get votes. Makes sense, Trump's base of support is definitely strongest in depressed/angry poor white people. He's hitting the usual populist (or fascist) notes, pitching a nationalistic/protectionist economic policy while also embracing socially conservative talking points that middle America so loves. I thought this article covered the point pretty well about how Trump appeals to disadvantaged white people by not worshipping free market orthodoxy and simultaneously bashing on immigrants/Muslims http://theweek.com/articles/599577/how-obscure-adviser-pat-buchanan-predicted-wild-trump-campaign-1996
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Jan 21, 2016 18:34
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Patter Song posted:Ok... How long would it take the house to swing back to the Democratic party if the Democrats had the presidency until 2032?
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Jan 21, 2016 18:34
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Within a week Silver will be wearing a Trump hat. 
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Jan 21, 2016 18:35
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Patter Song posted:Ok... quote:Conservative intellectuals have become convinced that Mr. Trump, with his message of nationalist-infused populism, poses an existential threat to conservatism, and plan to issue a manifesto on Friday to try to stop him. Yes, a strongly worded letter will surly stop Trump.
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Jan 21, 2016 18:36
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Xenophon posted:Today I learned how to make .gifs from videos Just throw ya PAC money in the air And buy ads like you just don't care
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Jan 21, 2016 18:36
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I liked the blurb on how GOP PACs haven't spent a single cent in Iowa on Trump attack ads. They are scared shitless
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Jan 21, 2016 18:37
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Is Carly Fiorina a real person, what the gently caress
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Jan 21, 2016 18:41
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Oh No! Not the Conservative Intellectuals! Anything but a 1200 word op/ed, please. Have mercy. The not-at-all anti-intellectual base is sure to spin on a dime and come to its senses.
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Jan 21, 2016 18:42
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Xenophon posted:Today I learned how to make .gifs from videos Your NXT Women's Champion
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Jan 21, 2016 18:43
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nachos posted:Is Carly Fiorina a real person, what the gently caress 
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Jan 21, 2016 18:43
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Do It Once Right posted:Oh No! quote:Rich Lowry, editor of National Review — embracing the role of his predecessor, William F. Buckley, who in the 1950s confronted the Birch Society members — has reached out to conservative thinkers to lend their names to the manifesto against Mr. Trump. He has drawn some of the country’s leading conservatives, including Erick Erickson, William Kristol and Yuval Levin, to write essays buttressing the argument that Mr. Trump has no commitment to restraining the role of government and possesses authoritarian impulses antithetical to conservative principles. Rich Lowry, Eric Erickson, Billy Kristol, and Yuval Levin... I'm sure a few Jeb! Supporters will read it and nod along in agreement.
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Jan 21, 2016 18:44
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I'm pretty sure George W. destroyed the Bush brand. Jeb is just the refresher course.
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Jan 21, 2016 18:44
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But... but... my statistics 
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Jan 21, 2016 18:45
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Trees and Squids posted:But... but... my statistics Nate Silvers gets to join the honorary stumped by Trump list.
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Jan 21, 2016 18:47
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I'll need a dental breakdown to be sure (do not actually do this)
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Jan 21, 2016 18:48
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This is the best election cycle ever.
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Jan 21, 2016 18:51
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I want to get in a year-long groundhogs day loop of 2016
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Jan 21, 2016 19:00
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Not even Obama inspired anime before he became president.
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Jan 21, 2016 19:03
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Nonsense posted:Not even Obama inspired anime before he became president. Seriously. I guess Trump truly is the candidate to make anime real.
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Jan 21, 2016 19:05
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Montasque posted:Rich Lowry, Eric Erickson, Billy Kristol, and Yuval Levin... I'm sure a few Jeb! Supporters will read it and nod along in agreement. A dough faced man child, a fat blogger, a smug old conservative Jew, and some guy I've never heard of are coming out with an anti-Trump manifesto??? OH BOY, BETTER RECONSIDER MY TRUMP SUPPORT. I mean, as much as I care about my fellow Americans, black and white, who have been ravaged by unfair trade, the importation of cheap blue collar labor via our porous borders, the importation of cheap white collar labor via VISA abuse, and the outsourcing of any and all jobs to our "trade partners" that can be feasibly exported, I SURELY wouldn't want to upset my establishment betters at RED STATE and NATIONAL REVIEW. LOL get hosed scum. Wet your lips and get ready to kiss PRESIDENT Trump's rear end.
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Jan 21, 2016 19:06
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Xenophon posted:Today I learned how to make .gifs from videos What's the story behind this gif? It looks like he's running a low impact aerobics class for olds (also a description of his campaign)
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Jan 21, 2016 19:06
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Carl Killer Miller posted:What's the story behind this gif? It looks like he's running a low impact aerobics class for olds (also a description of his campaign) He looks like one of those weird things outside some tire/mechanic shops (?) that flap in the wind
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Jan 21, 2016 19:08
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Mitt Romney posted:How long would it take the house to swing back to the Democratic party if the Democrats had the presidency until 2032? A long fuckin time. Maybe by 2030 the Ds will be competitive in the House but the simple basic problem is that even without the House being gerrymandered to poo poo rural America is heavily conservative and liberals haven't (yet) managed to construct a workable coalition to get people elected in red states. Same thing with state governments, most of them are going to be red for decades
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Jan 21, 2016 19:09
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Boosted_C5 posted:A dough faced man child, a fat blogger, a smug old conservative Jew, and some guy I've never heard of are coming out with an anti-Trump manifesto??? The conservative movement is being found out as an identity not a coherent political ideology, and these egg heads can't handle it.
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Jan 21, 2016 19:11
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Mitt Romney posted:How long would it take the house to swing back to the Democratic party if the Democrats had the presidency until 2032? they might win the house with a double digit presidential win, lots of gerrymandered districts are set up to be about 50something% republican so a really big swing can flip some of those. plus with the median house district voting for Romney by a couple points, it's not a completely impossible task like democrats winning the Wyoming legislature or Republicans winning the Hawaii legislature. they'd almost certainly lose it in the next midterm election though, and it'd basically take this year's gop worst case scenario repeating every presidential election to keep democrats in charge of congress even half the time. assuming democrats don't start showing up for midterm elections all of a sudden for some reason, probably safe to assume that won't happen that's with the current maps. but either a wave of fair redistricting laws or referenda or a ton of democratic takeovers of state legislatures, not this year but in 2020, would have to happen to change the maps significantly. and fair districting draws maps that skew Republican since compactness and communities of interest are priorities, and democrat voting communities tend to be more concentrated than Republican ones, with higher margins of victory and therefore 'wasted' votes. still, the median district would shift slightly more democratic if Republican gerrymanders were undone, it's not the whole explanation for the median being to the right of the mean but it makes it more so to make a house map biased toward democrats a wave of democratic gerrymanders like the ones in Maryland and Illinois would be necessary and that's really not very likely since even if democrats got control over enough states the good government tendencies of their supporters would make them less willing, and splitting concentrated centers of democratic support harms the job security of a handful of minority democrat legislators so they tend to support Republican districting plans over their own parties'. that's why corinne brown in the hideous gerrymandered district in Florida is fighting against her own party's efforts to split up her safe district so the party as a whole can win more seats also the potential candidates in districts that voted for Romney, especially the local politicians whose careers are based on winning low turnout races in non presidential years, are more conservative than the democrats who can make it to the house currently, so a democratic congress wouldn't just mean the democratic minority getting all the things they want. there might actually have to be compromises so i think democrats can win the house and even many state legislatures, which would let them make the maps a little better, but they're not winning the house in a neutral year without a ton of gerrymanders or getting closer to half of non urban whites to vote for them yuval levin is the one health care 'wonk' who tells republicans what they want to hear, i think. he made a very nice career for himself these last few years providing rhetorical cover for the idea that republicans card about improving health care outcomes or had some sort of plan or alternative oystertoadfish fucked around with this message at 19:23 on Jan 21, 2016 |
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Jan 21, 2016 19:13
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icantfindaname posted:A long fuckin time. Maybe by 2030 the Ds will be competitive in the House but the simple basic problem is that even without the House being gerrymandered to poo poo rural America is heavily conservative and liberals haven't (yet) managed to construct a workable coalition to get people elected in red states. Same thing with state governments, most of them are going to be red for decades That's way too dire a prediction. People were talking about a Permanent Democratic Majority back in 2008-9. There is absolutely a chance that Donald Trump or Ted Cruz drives down GOP turnout enough to eke out a few state houses in the elections leading up to 2020, the election that matters.
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Jan 21, 2016 19:14
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https://twitter.com/kenvogel/status/690224721846206465 Good news for Cruz here.
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Jan 21, 2016 19:16
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Carl Killer Miller posted:What's the story behind this gif? It looks like he's running a low impact aerobics class for olds (also a description of his campaign) I'm not sure. A National Review reporter (Alexis Levinson) tweeted the video and said something about ol' Jebbo, and I don't have my earphones with me at work today. redreader posted:He looks like one of those weird things outside some tire/mechanic shops (?) that flap in the wind when I saw it, my mind when BEEP BOOP JEB BOT ACTIVATED JEB BOT RUNNING AMOK JEB BOT POWERING DOWN BEEP Montasque posted:The conservative movement is being found out as an identity not a coherent political ideology, and these egg heads can't handle it. This is a really loving good way of describing the current atmosphere.
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Jan 21, 2016 19:16
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Thump! posted:Seriously. I guess Trump truly is the candidate to make anime real.  Alllll going according to keikaku
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Jan 21, 2016 19:19
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Montasque posted:The conservative movement is being found out as an identity not a coherent political ideology, and these egg heads can't handle it. Pretty much. This months Atlantic actually has a really good article about the Republican schism. Don't know if it's been posted, but: http://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2016/01/the-great-republican-revolt/419118/
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Jan 21, 2016 19:20
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Montasque posted:https://twitter.com/kenvogel/status/690224721846206465 Jeb! vs Rubio is like a like a bunch of brats fighting each other at the kids table during Thanksgiving dinner.
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Jan 21, 2016 19:20
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